Page 1 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 1 Q.1 As you may have heard, Louise Mensch, the MP for Corby and East Northamptonshire, is standing down and there will therefore have to be a by-election in the next few months to elect a new MP for the area. Many local people are saying that they probably won't vote at all when the by-election happens, while others say they definitely would vote. Please say how likely you are to vote the by-election here, when it happens - on a scale of 1-10, where 1 means you definitely would not vote, and 10 means you are certain to vote. Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Absolutely certain (10) 680 321 359 28 78 136 122 136 179 281 130 98 171 140 290 14 194 87 208 255 71 to vote 45% 44% 47% 21% 31% 43% 43% 60% 63% 49% 41% 37% 50% 56% 61% 31% 39% 40% 50% 67% 50% (9) 81 39 42 9 10 21 15 10 15 23 16 17 24 18 23 6 26 19 31 16 8 5% 5% 5% 7% 4% 7% 5% 4% 5% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 5% 13% 5% 9% 7% 4% 5% (8) 136 67 69 11 30 27 28 17 23 54 19 30 33 29 43 6 51 23 50 29 15 9% 9% 9% 8% 12% 9% 10% 8% 8% 9% 6% 11% 10% 12% 9% 14% 10% 11% 12% 8% 11% (7) 88 43 45 15 16 20 21 5 13 30 30 16 13 16 25 6 35 11 23 16 13 6% 6% 6% 11% 6% 6% 7% 2% 4% 5% 9% 6% 4% 7% 5% 13% 7% 5% 5% 4% 9% (6) 55 20 35 7 14 12 10 6 6 17 15 13 10 10 22 1 22 9 15 12 5 4% 3% 5% 5% 6% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 5% 5% 3% 4% 5% 1% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% (5) 155 80 74 20 27 38 34 18 17 58 45 23 29 23 36 8 80 22 35 24 11 10% 11% 10% 15% 11% 12% 12% 8% 6% 10% 14% 9% 8% 9% 8% 18% 16% 10% 8% 6% 8% (4) 33 17 15 12 8 4 4 1 3 9 11 10 2 1 13 - 16 5 6 6 3 2% 2% 2% 9% 3% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% 4% 4% 1% * 3% - 3% 3% 1% 1% 2% (3) 44 17 27 7 16 10 6 2 3 15 7 10 11 7 9 1 24 3 9 6 6 3% 2% 4% 5% 6% 3% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 5% 1% 2% 2% 4% (2) 47 30 18 2 23 8 7 3 4 14 6 17 10 5 11 4 26 1 3 3 5 3% 4% 2% 2% 9% 2% 3% 1% 1% 3% 2% 6% 3% 2% 2% 9% 5% * 1% 1% 3% Definitely would (1) 166 95 71 23 34 38 32 22 17 69 33 32 32 - - - - 34 34 9 7 not vote 11% 13% 9% 17% 13% 12% 11% 10% 6% 12% 11% 12% 9% - - - - 15% 8% 2% 5% Refused 2 1 1 - - - - 1 1 - - 1 1 - - - 2 1 1 1 - * * * - - - - * * - - * * - - - * * * * - Don't know 16 6 10 - - 1 6 4 4 3 3 1 9 - - - 16 3 3 5 - 1% 1% 1% - - * 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% * 3% - - - 3% 1% 1% 1% - Mean 7.31 7.12 7.50 5.91 6.26 7.23 7.28 8.10 8.45 7.40 7.14 6.81 7.70 8.51 8.56 7.45 7.48 7.17 7.92 8.74 7.84 Standard deviation 3.21 3.32 3.08 3.16 3.36 3.22 3.16 3.02 2.67 3.25 3.10 3.31 3.10 2.14 2.21 2.56 2.65 3.29 2.84 2.26 2.82 Standard error 0.08 0.13 0.11 0.42 0.30 0.21 0.18 0.17 0.13 0.14 0.18 0.21 0.15 0.13 0.10 0.38 0.12 0.21 0.13 0.11 0.25

Lord Ashcroft Page 2 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 2 Q.2 Which candidate do you expect to vote for in the by-election? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Conservative (Christine 249 123 125 14 29 60 43 40 63 113 43 42 50 249 - - - - 200 5 10 Emmett) 17% 17% 16% 10% 11% 19% 15% 18% 22% 20% 14% 16% 14% 100% - - - - 48% 1% 7% Labour (Andy Sawford) 472 203 269 56 82 94 81 71 88 154 96 98 125 - 472 - - 21 21 292 51 31% 28% 35% 41% 32% 30% 28% 32% 31% 27% 30% 37% 36% - 100% - - 10% 5% 77% 36% Liberal Democrat (Jill 46 23 23 2 12 9 7 7 8 14 15 9 8 - - 46 - 8 8 2 19 Hope) 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% - - 100% - 4% 2% * 13% The UK Independence 50 35 15 2 4 6 14 9 14 25 7 6 12 - - - - 21 21 10 1 Party (Margot Parker) 3% 5% 2% 2% 2% 2% 5% 4% 5% 4% 2% 2% 4% - - - - 10% 5% 3% 1% The Green Party 12 5 7 2 2 5 2 1 - 7 3 2 - - - - - 3 3 2 4 (Jonathan Hornett) 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% * - 1% 1% 1% - - - - - 1% 1% 1% 3% The British National 11 8 3 - - 4 6 1 1 1 1 2 7 - - - - 3 3 - - Party (Gordon Riddell) 1% 1% * - - 1% 2% * * * * 1% 2% - - - - 1% 1% - - Independent anti-wind 2 1 1 - - - - 1 1 2 ------1 1 - 1 farm candidate (James * * * - - - - 1% * * ------1% * - * Delingpole) Another party 2 1 1 - - - 1 1 1 2 ------2 2 - - * * * - - - * * * * ------1% * - - Will not vote 166 95 71 23 34 38 32 22 17 69 33 32 32 - - - - 34 34 9 7 11% 13% 9% 17% 13% 12% 11% 10% 6% 12% 11% 12% 9% - - - - 15% 8% 2% 5% Refused 87 52 36 - 8 15 12 22 30 32 16 12 27 - - - 87 13 13 4 4 6% 7% 5% - 3% 5% 4% 10% 11% 6% 5% 5% 8% - - - 18% 6% 3% 1% 3% Don't know 404 189 215 35 84 84 87 51 62 155 100 64 85 - - - 404 111 111 57 47 27% 26% 28% 26% 33% 27% 31% 22% 22% 27% 32% 24% 25% - - - 82% 51% 27% 15% 33%

Lord Ashcroft Page 3 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 3 Q.2 Which candidate do you expect to vote for in the by-election? Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 862 386 476 32 63 140 169 180 278 308 156 147 251 287 452 45 - 72 318 328 73 Weighted base 845 400 445 77 129 178 155 131 176 318 166 158 202 249 472 46 - 59 259 311 86 Conservative (Christine 249 123 125 14 29 60 43 40 63 113 43 42 50 249 - - - - 200 5 10 Emmett) 29% 31% 28% 18% 23% 34% 28% 30% 36% 36% 26% 26% 25% 100% - - - - 77% 2% 11% Labour (Andy Sawford) 472 203 269 56 82 94 81 71 88 154 96 98 125 - 472 - - 21 21 292 51 56% 51% 61% 73% 63% 53% 53% 54% 50% 48% 58% 62% 62% - 100% - - 36% 8% 94% 60% Liberal Democrat (Jill 46 23 23 2 12 9 7 7 8 14 15 9 8 - - 46 - 8 8 2 19 Hope) 6% 6% 5% 3% 9% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 9% 5% 4% - - 100% - 13% 3% 1% 22% The UK Independence 50 35 15 2 4 6 14 9 14 25 7 6 12 - - - - 21 21 10 1 Party (Margot Parker) 6% 9% 3% 3% 3% 3% 9% 7% 8% 8% 4% 4% 6% - - - - 36% 8% 3% 1% The Green Party 12 5 7 2 2 5 2 1 - 7 3 2 - - - - - 3 3 2 4 (Jonathan Hornett) 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 1% - 2% 2% 1% - - - - - 5% 1% 1% 5% The British National 11 8 3 - - 4 6 1 1 1 1 2 7 - - - - 3 3 - - Party (Gordon Riddell) 1% 2% 1% - - 2% 4% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 3% - - - - 4% 1% - - Independent anti-wind 2 1 1 - - - - 1 1 2 ------1 1 - 1 farm candidate (James * * * - - - - 1% * 1% ------2% 1% - 1% Delingpole) Another party 2 1 1 - - - 1 1 1 2 ------2 2 - - * * * - - - 1% * * 1% ------3% 1% - -

Lord Ashcroft Page 4 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 4 Q.2 Which candidate do you expect to vote for in the by-election? Base: All respondents expressing an intention to vote Weighting: Turnout Weights This table has been weighted to reflect the vote share in Corby constituency at the last General Election and includes only those most likely to vote

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 614 282 332 17 37 92 114 141 214 222 108 97 187 203 330 25 - 53 233 259 51 Weighted base 576 278 298 41 76 117 105 103 135 221 110 99 146 171 328 25 - 41 185 238 59 Conservative (Christine 171 89 82 9 19 37 26 32 48 78 27 29 37 171 - - - - 144 4 7 Emmett) 30% 32% 27% 23% 25% 32% 24% 31% 35% 35% 25% 29% 25% 100% - - - - 78% 2% 12% Labour (Andy Sawford) 328 142 187 29 46 68 60 55 70 108 67 61 92 - 328 - - 14 14 222 35 57% 51% 63% 71% 61% 58% 57% 54% 52% 49% 61% 62% 63% - 100% - - 34% 8% 93% 60% Liberal Democrat (Jill 25 13 12 1 8 3 4 4 5 9 8 4 5 - - 25 - 6 6 1 12 Hope) 4% 5% 4% 3% 11% 3% 4% 4% 3% 4% 7% 4% 3% - - 100% - 14% 3% 1% 20% The UK Independence 35 25 10 * 2 4 10 8 11 16 6 5 8 - - - - 16 16 8 1 Party (Margot Parker) 6% 9% 3% 1% 2% 3% 9% 8% 8% 7% 5% 5% 6% - - - - 40% 9% 3% 1% The Green Party 8 3 5 1 * 4 2 1 - 6 2 * - - - - - 1 1 2 4 (Jonathan Hornett) 1% 1% 2% 3% * 4% 2% 1% - 3% 2% * - - - - - 3% 1% 1% 6% The British National 6 4 2 - - * 4 1 1 1 * * 5 - - - - 1 1 - - Party (Gordon Riddell) 1% 1% 1% - - * 4% 1% 1% * * * 3% - - - - 3% 1% - - Independent anti-wind 2 1 1 - - - - 1 1 2 ------1 1 - 1 farm candidate (James * * * - - - - 1% * 1% ------3% 1% - 1% Delingpole) Another party 1 1 1 - - - * 1 1 1 ------1 1 - - * * * - - - * 1% * 1% ------3% 1% - -

Lord Ashcroft Page 5 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 5 Q.2 Which candidate do you expect to vote for in the by-election? Base: All respondents Weighting: Turnout Weights

Q.5 General Election Vote Liberal Total Conservative Labour Democrat Another party Didn't vote Refused Don't know Unweighted base 894 329 295 80 14 77 81 18 Weighted base 834 262 274 88 30 93 70 19 Conservative (Christine 171 144 4 7 4 8 1 2 Emmett) 20% 55% 2% 8% 14% 9% 2% 10% Labour (Andy Sawford) 328 14 222 35 6 48 * 2 39% 5% 81% 40% 22% 52% 1% 10% Liberal Democrat (Jill 25 6 1 12 - 5 1 1 Hope) 3% 2% 1% 13% - 6% 1% 5% The UK Independence 35 16 8 1 7 2 - * Party (Margot Parker) 4% 6% 3% 1% 25% 3% - * The Green Party 8 1 2 4 - 1 - - (Jonathan Hornett) 1% * 1% 4% - 1% - - The British National 6 1 - - 3 * - 1 Party (Gordon Riddell) 1% * - - 10% 1% - 5% Independent anti-wind 2 1 - 1 - - - - farm candidate (James * * - 1% - - - - Delingpole) Another party 1 1 ------* * ------Refused 64 10 3 3 - 5 42 1 8% 4% 1% 4% - 6% 60% 5% Don't know 194 66 33 26 9 22 26 12 23% 25% 12% 30% 29% 24% 37% 65%

Lord Ashcroft Page 6 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 6 Q.2 Which candidate do you expect to vote for in the by-election? Base: All who don't know/ refuse voting intention Weighting: Turnout Weights

Q.5 General Election Vote Liberal Total Conservative Labour Democrat Another party Didn't vote Refused Don't know Unweighted base 280 96 36 29 5 23 78 12 Weighted base 258 77 35 29 9 28 67 13 Refused 64 10 3 3 - 5 42 1 25% 14% 8% 11% - 19% 62% 8% Don't know 194 66 33 26 9 22 26 12 75% 86% 92% 89% 100% 81% 38% 92% To be reallocated (con/ 97 33 16 13 4 11 13 6 lab) 38% 43% 46% 45% 50% 41% 19% 46% To be reallocated (lib 58 20 10 8 3 7 8 4 dem) 23% 26% 28% 27% 30% 24% 11% 28%

Lord Ashcroft Page 7 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 7 Adjusted Voting Intention Weighting: Turnout Weights This table is based on a manual adjustment of data reallocating some don't knows - a procedure which addresses the spiral of silence among some groups of voters, which has successfully increased the accuracy of voting intention polls at recent General Elections

Total Total 633 Conservative 204 32% Labour 344 54% Liberal Democrat/ 33 Liberal 5% Other 52 8%

Lord Ashcroft Page 8 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 8 Q.3 Are you fairly sure that is what you'll do at the by-election, or do you think you may well change your mind between now and then? Base: All naming party will vote for

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 862 386 476 32 63 140 169 180 278 308 156 147 251 287 452 45 - 72 318 328 73 Weighted base 845 400 445 77 129 178 155 131 176 318 166 158 202 249 472 46 - 59 259 311 86 Fairly sure I will vote 727 349 378 61 111 151 130 114 160 281 140 125 180 217 419 32 - 39 221 282 65 as stated 86% 87% 85% 79% 86% 85% 84% 87% 91% 88% 84% 79% 89% 87% 89% 68% - 67% 85% 91% 75% I may well change my 119 52 67 16 17 28 25 17 16 37 26 33 22 32 53 15 - 20 38 29 21 mind 14% 13% 15% 21% 14% 15% 16% 13% 9% 12% 16% 21% 11% 13% 11% 32% - 33% 15% 9% 25%

Lord Ashcroft Page 9 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 9 Q.4 If you change your mind, which party would you be most likely to switch to? Base: All could potentially change vote

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 112 44 68 6 9 22 26 24 25 40 22 26 24 33 46 13 - 22 44 29 19 Weighted base 119 52 67 16 17 28 25 17 16 37 26 33 22 32 53 15 - 20 38 29 21 Conservative 26 14 13 2 6 6 6 3 3 10 8 3 5 - 16 5 - 13 13 7 1 22% 27% 19% 15% 33% 23% 25% 15% 20% 27% 31% 9% 23% - 30% 32% - 64% 33% 24% 6% Labour 20 10 10 5 - 4 5 3 3 8 2 8 3 12 - 3 - 3 5 6 2 17% 19% 16% 30% - 13% 22% 21% 20% 21% 7% 24% 12% 39% - 19% - 13% 12% 20% 9% Liberal Democrat 20 7 14 5 2 4 2 5 3 5 5 8 2 5 15 - - - 4 4 8 17% 13% 20% 29% 11% 14% 7% 29% 20% 14% 18% 25% 9% 16% 29% - - - 10% 15% 39% The UK Independence 15 10 5 - 2 5 4 3 2 5 2 7 2 7 3 2 - 3 9 1 4 Party (UKIP) 13% 20% 7% - 10% 18% 15% 18% 12% 14% 6% 20% 8% 22% 6% 11% - 13% 23% 2% 18% The Green Party 4 2 2 - 2 - 2 - - 1 - 2 1 - 2 2 - - - - 1 3% 4% 3% - 12% - 7% - - 2% - 6% 4% - 3% 15% - - - - 4% The British National 2 2 - - - - 1 - 1 1 - - 1 - 1 - - 1 1 1 - Party (BNP) 1% 3% - - - - 3% - 5% 2% - - 3% - 1% - - 4% 2% 2% - Independent anti-wind ------farm candidate (James ------Delingpole) Another party ------Don't know 31 7 24 4 6 9 5 3 4 7 10 5 9 7 17 3 - 1 8 10 5 26% 14% 35% 26% 34% 32% 22% 17% 24% 19% 37% 15% 40% 23% 31% 23% - 6% 20% 36% 23%

Lord Ashcroft Page 10 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 10 Q.5 At the general election in May 2010, many people didn't vote. Can you remember, did you vote in that election, or did you not vote? And which party did you vote for in the general election in May 2010? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Conservative 417 202 215 17 50 90 79 68 113 192 78 63 84 200 21 8 124 217 417 - - 28% 27% 28% 12% 20% 28% 28% 30% 39% 33% 25% 24% 24% 80% 4% 17% 25% 100% 100% - - Labour 381 164 217 9 60 79 78 67 89 117 77 70 118 5 292 2 62 - - 381 - 25% 22% 28% 7% 23% 25% 27% 30% 31% 20% 24% 26% 34% 2% 62% 4% 13% - - 100% - Liberal Democrat 143 56 87 15 37 29 23 24 15 63 35 29 16 10 51 19 50 - - - 143 10% 8% 11% 11% 14% 9% 8% 11% 5% 11% 11% 11% 5% 4% 11% 41% 10% - - - 100% Another party 46 35 11 5 4 11 13 9 5 12 6 18 11 7 7 - 15 - - - - 3% 5% 1% 4% 2% 3% 5% 4% 2% 2% 2% 7% 3% 3% 2% - 3% - - - - Didn't vote 364 204 160 88 82 69 65 31 29 130 88 65 81 23 98 16 114 - - - - 24% 28% 21% 65% 32% 22% 23% 14% 10% 23% 28% 24% 23% 9% 21% 34% 23% - - - - Refused 108 56 52 2 6 26 24 23 27 44 22 11 31 1 1 1 98 - - - - 7% 8% 7% 2% 2% 8% 8% 10% 10% 8% 7% 4% 9% 1% * 2% 20% - - - - Don't know 43 18 25 - 16 13 5 3 6 17 9 11 5 2 2 1 29 - - - - 3% 2% 3% - 6% 4% 2% 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 1% 1% * 3% 6% - - - -

Lord Ashcroft Page 11 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 11 Q.5 At the general election in May 2010, many people didn't vote. Can you remember, did you vote in that election, or did you not vote? And which party did you vote for in the general election in May 2010? Base: All respondents who voted (and were willing to disclose who they voted for)

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1053 463 590 19 75 163 211 232 353 388 197 175 293 262 375 29 272 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 988 458 530 46 151 209 192 168 223 383 196 179 229 222 371 29 251 217 417 381 143 Conservative 417 202 215 17 50 90 79 68 113 192 78 63 84 200 21 8 124 217 417 - - 42% 44% 41% 37% 33% 43% 41% 41% 51% 50% 40% 35% 37% 90% 6% 28% 49% 100% 100% - - Labour 381 164 217 9 60 79 78 67 89 117 77 70 118 5 292 2 62 - - 381 - 39% 36% 41% 20% 40% 38% 40% 40% 40% 30% 39% 39% 51% 2% 79% 6% 25% - - 100% - Liberal Democrat 143 56 87 15 37 29 23 24 15 63 35 29 16 10 51 19 50 - - - 143 14% 12% 16% 32% 25% 14% 12% 15% 7% 16% 18% 16% 7% 4% 14% 67% 20% - - - 100% Another party 46 35 11 5 4 11 13 9 5 12 6 18 11 7 7 - 15 - - - - 5% 8% 2% 11% 3% 5% 7% 5% 2% 3% 3% 10% 5% 3% 2% - 6% - - - -

Lord Ashcroft Page 12 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 12 Q.6 I see that you voted Conservative in the general election in 2010, but you intend to vote for a different party at the by-election. Which one of the following is the main reason you intend to vote for a different party in the by-election? Base: All voted Conservative in 2010 but intending to vote for another party in the by-election

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 72 39 33 1 4 9 15 14 29 34 12 9 17 - 23 10 - 72 72 - - Weighted base 59 32 27 2 7 11 13 9 17 28 12 9 11 - 21 8 - 59 59 - - Because I am not happy 30 17 13 2 4 2 10 3 9 15 6 5 4 - 12 5 - 30 30 - - about what the 50% 52% 49% 100% 50% 22% 81% 30% 51% 52% 54% 51% 42% - 58% 61% - 50% 50% - - Conservatives are doing in government Because I prefer a 5 3 2 - - 2 - 1 2 2 2 - 1 - 2 2 - 5 5 - - particular candidate 9% 10% 9% - - 22% - 7% 14% 9% 15% - 12% - 11% 23% - 9% 9% - - Because of particular 5 2 3 - - - 2 2 1 4 1 - 1 - 3 - - 5 5 - - local issues 8% 7% 10% - - - 13% 21% 7% 13% 5% - 6% - 15% - - 8% 8% - - Another reason 19 10 9 - 4 6 1 4 5 7 3 4 4 - 3 1 - 19 19 - - 32% 32% 33% - 50% 55% 6% 42% 29% 26% 27% 49% 41% - 15% 16% - 32% 32% - -

Lord Ashcroft Page 13 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 13 Q.7 When it comes to the next general election, expected to be held in 2015, which of the following statements best applies to you? Base: All voted Conservative in 2010 but intending to vote for another party in the by-election

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 72 39 33 1 4 9 15 14 29 34 12 9 17 - 23 10 - 72 72 - - Weighted base 59 32 27 2 7 11 13 9 17 28 12 9 11 - 21 8 - 59 59 - - I will probably vote 9 5 4 - - - 3 4 2 6 2 - 1 - 1 1 - 9 9 - - Conservative again when 15% 16% 14% - - - 20% 43% 14% 23% 15% - 6% - 3% 15% - 15% 15% - - it comes to the general election I will consider voting 34 18 17 - 7 6 6 4 11 13 7 7 7 - 13 5 - 34 34 - - Conservative again at 58% 55% 62% - 100% 54% 47% 43% 65% 45% 63% 80% 69% - 63% 59% - 58% 58% - - the next general election but I am not sure yet I will almost 16 10 6 2 - 5 4 1 4 9 3 2 3 - 7 2 - 16 16 - - certainly, or most 27% 30% 24% 100% - 46% 33% 14% 21% 32% 22% 20% 25% - 34% 26% - 27% 27% - - definitely, not vote Conservative again at the next general election

Lord Ashcroft Page 14 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 14 Q.8 Which of the following statements do you most agree with ... Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 I am satisfied with the 364 185 179 37 65 79 58 50 74 156 74 59 75 128 47 9 112 52 162 33 23 job David Cameron is 24% 25% 23% 27% 25% 25% 20% 22% 26% 27% 24% 22% 22% 51% 10% 19% 23% 24% 39% 9% 16% doing overall as Prime Minister I am dissatisfied with 472 236 236 45 91 96 94 61 85 205 108 79 79 109 76 23 186 115 200 55 55 the job that David 31% 32% 31% 33% 35% 31% 33% 27% 30% 36% 34% 30% 23% 44% 16% 49% 38% 53% 48% 14% 39% Cameron is doing overall as Prime Minister - BUT I'd still prefer to have him as Prime Minister than have Ed Miliband as Prime Minister I am dissatisfied with 474 217 257 40 75 98 88 81 91 154 93 99 128 7 318 9 106 28 31 255 47 the job that David 32% 29% 34% 29% 30% 31% 31% 36% 32% 27% 30% 37% 37% 3% 67% 20% 22% 13% 8% 67% 33% Cameron is doing overall as Prime Minister - AND I'd prefer to have Ed Miliband as Prime Minister instead. Refused 39 23 15 2 6 8 8 9 6 17 10 3 9 - 2 2 22 5 5 3 3 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% - 1% 5% 5% 2% 1% 1% 2% Don't know 154 75 79 11 18 34 37 24 30 42 30 26 55 5 29 3 65 17 18 36 15 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 11% 13% 11% 10% 7% 9% 10% 16% 2% 6% 7% 13% 8% 4% 10% 10%

Lord Ashcroft Page 15 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 15 Q.9 Which party do you think would have the best approach to each of the following issues - the Conservatives, Labour, or the Liberal Democrats? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Getting the economy growing and creating jobs The Conservatives 541 278 263 32 79 114 105 88 122 238 117 80 106 209 30 12 191 131 308 28 31 36% 38% 34% 24% 31% 36% 37% 39% 43% 41% 37% 30% 31% 84% 6% 27% 39% 60% 74% 7% 22% Labour 587 273 314 73 98 113 106 91 106 207 113 115 152 16 397 7 127 29 34 301 65 39% 37% 41% 54% 38% 36% 37% 40% 37% 36% 36% 43% 44% 6% 84% 15% 26% 14% 8% 79% 45% The Liberal Democrats 93 44 49 9 26 18 15 13 13 34 27 18 15 7 9 21 34 14 20 7 25 6% 6% 6% 6% 10% 6% 5% 6% 4% 6% 9% 7% 4% 3% 2% 46% 7% 6% 5% 2% 17% Don't know 282 142 140 21 53 70 60 33 45 96 58 54 74 17 36 6 140 43 55 46 22 19% 19% 18% 16% 21% 22% 21% 15% 16% 17% 18% 20% 21% 7% 8% 13% 28% 20% 13% 12% 16% Cutting the deficit and the debt The Conservatives 703 390 312 49 112 162 137 108 135 320 134 126 122 228 105 23 235 152 339 72 66 47% 53% 41% 36% 44% 51% 48% 48% 47% 56% 43% 47% 35% 92% 22% 49% 48% 70% 81% 19% 46% Labour 415 168 246 54 75 72 71 64 78 135 86 73 121 5 293 2 86 18 20 239 31 28% 23% 32% 40% 29% 23% 25% 28% 27% 23% 27% 27% 35% 2% 62% 5% 17% 9% 5% 63% 22% The Liberal Democrats 75 37 38 4 12 17 15 13 14 26 21 13 15 7 13 17 25 10 14 7 28 5% 5% 5% 3% 5% 5% 5% 6% 5% 4% 7% 5% 4% 3% 3% 36% 5% 4% 3% 2% 19% Don't know 310 141 169 27 56 65 63 41 58 94 74 55 88 9 60 5 146 36 44 63 19 21% 19% 22% 20% 22% 20% 22% 18% 20% 16% 23% 20% 25% 4% 13% 11% 30% 17% 10% 16% 13%

Lord Ashcroft Page 16 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 15 Q.9 Which party do you think would have the best approach to each of the following issues - the Conservatives, Labour, or the Liberal Democrats? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Improving the NHS The Conservatives 343 176 167 34 43 80 61 44 81 140 59 65 79 163 16 6 97 62 195 11 13 23% 24% 22% 25% 17% 25% 21% 20% 28% 24% 19% 24% 23% 66% 3% 12% 20% 29% 47% 3% 9% Labour 702 328 374 76 114 137 132 118 126 255 156 120 171 30 414 11 184 61 84 325 71 47% 45% 49% 56% 44% 43% 46% 52% 44% 44% 50% 45% 49% 12% 88% 23% 37% 28% 20% 85% 50% The Liberal Democrats 117 62 55 7 32 28 18 17 16 56 28 19 15 18 8 25 45 26 42 6 31 8% 8% 7% 5% 13% 9% 6% 7% 5% 10% 9% 7% 4% 7% 2% 53% 9% 12% 10% 2% 21% Don't know 341 170 171 19 67 72 74 47 63 125 72 63 81 37 35 5 165 69 96 40 28 23% 23% 22% 14% 26% 23% 26% 21% 22% 22% 23% 24% 23% 15% 7% 12% 34% 32% 23% 10% 20% Improving schools The Conservatives 427 219 208 21 57 90 84 66 108 186 80 69 91 181 24 8 130 91 245 16 23 28% 30% 27% 16% 22% 29% 29% 29% 38% 32% 25% 26% 26% 73% 5% 18% 26% 42% 59% 4% 16% Labour 634 287 348 83 111 122 114 98 106 225 132 118 159 27 398 7 149 47 64 315 59 42% 39% 45% 61% 44% 39% 40% 44% 37% 39% 42% 44% 46% 11% 84% 15% 30% 22% 15% 83% 41% The Liberal Democrats 126 68 58 7 34 34 22 19 9 58 34 16 17 17 7 29 49 25 36 5 40 8% 9% 8% 5% 13% 11% 8% 8% 3% 10% 11% 6% 5% 7% 2% 63% 10% 12% 9% 1% 28% Don't know 316 163 153 24 53 69 66 42 62 105 69 63 79 24 42 2 164 53 71 45 21 21% 22% 20% 17% 21% 22% 23% 19% 22% 18% 22% 24% 23% 10% 9% 4% 33% 24% 17% 12% 15%

Lord Ashcroft Page 17 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 15 Q.9 Which party do you think would have the best approach to each of the following issues - the Conservatives, Labour, or the Liberal Democrats? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Protecting the environment The Conservatives 322 150 172 19 38 64 64 50 87 124 58 60 81 138 22 4 100 73 184 17 14 21% 20% 22% 14% 15% 20% 22% 22% 31% 22% 18% 22% 23% 55% 5% 9% 20% 34% 44% 5% 10% Labour 391 168 223 49 61 68 66 64 82 123 82 71 115 10 285 5 60 23 31 229 21 26% 23% 29% 36% 24% 22% 23% 29% 29% 21% 26% 27% 33% 4% 60% 11% 12% 10% 7% 60% 14% The Liberal Democrats 394 227 167 29 83 101 82 59 40 192 93 60 49 57 97 33 157 62 110 62 75 26% 31% 22% 22% 32% 32% 29% 26% 14% 33% 29% 23% 14% 23% 21% 70% 32% 29% 26% 16% 52% Don't know 396 192 204 38 74 82 74 52 76 135 83 75 102 43 69 5 174 59 92 73 34 26% 26% 27% 28% 29% 26% 26% 23% 27% 24% 26% 28% 29% 17% 15% 11% 36% 27% 22% 19% 23% Dealing with crime The Conservatives 610 328 282 35 83 144 123 96 128 275 127 98 110 212 75 18 205 133 309 55 45 41% 44% 37% 26% 32% 46% 43% 43% 45% 48% 40% 37% 32% 85% 16% 38% 42% 61% 74% 14% 31% Labour 490 221 269 76 86 93 83 71 81 166 101 88 135 12 338 5 92 18 25 265 44 33% 30% 35% 56% 34% 30% 29% 32% 28% 29% 32% 33% 39% 5% 72% 10% 19% 8% 6% 70% 31% The Liberal Democrats 87 37 50 4 25 20 13 11 13 33 14 24 16 1 15 19 39 10 11 9 32 6% 5% 7% 3% 10% 6% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 9% 5% * 3% 41% 8% 5% 3% 2% 22% Don't know 316 151 166 20 62 58 66 47 63 101 74 57 85 24 44 5 155 56 72 52 22 21% 20% 22% 15% 24% 18% 23% 21% 22% 18% 23% 21% 24% 10% 9% 10% 32% 26% 17% 14% 16%

Lord Ashcroft Page 18 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 15 Q.9 Which party do you think would have the best approach to each of the following issues - the Conservatives, Labour, or the Liberal Democrats? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Defending Britain's interests in Europe The Conservatives 613 317 296 42 83 139 121 99 129 273 121 105 113 197 92 15 202 132 308 49 53 41% 43% 39% 31% 32% 44% 42% 44% 45% 48% 38% 39% 33% 79% 19% 33% 41% 61% 74% 13% 37% Labour 450 210 240 57 86 88 73 67 79 154 92 89 115 15 311 3 95 20 21 254 31 30% 28% 31% 42% 34% 28% 26% 30% 28% 27% 29% 33% 33% 6% 66% 6% 19% 9% 5% 67% 21% The Liberal Democrats 93 42 51 10 22 22 16 12 12 39 26 14 13 3 17 19 36 11 14 13 34 6% 6% 7% 7% 9% 7% 6% 5% 4% 7% 8% 5% 4% 1% 4% 40% 7% 5% 3% 3% 24% Don't know 347 168 179 27 65 67 75 47 66 109 75 59 104 34 53 10 159 55 74 66 25 23% 23% 23% 20% 25% 21% 26% 21% 23% 19% 24% 22% 30% 13% 11% 21% 32% 25% 18% 17% 18% Reforming welfare to stop scroungers and cut benefit dependency The Conservatives 786 400 386 60 128 168 155 126 150 324 164 145 153 215 164 18 265 164 339 119 74 52% 54% 50% 44% 50% 53% 54% 56% 53% 56% 52% 54% 44% 87% 35% 38% 54% 76% 81% 31% 52% Labour 370 157 213 54 64 64 59 56 73 131 71 57 111 12 248 1 78 15 24 201 24 25% 21% 28% 40% 25% 20% 21% 25% 26% 23% 23% 21% 32% 5% 52% 3% 16% 7% 6% 53% 17% The Liberal Democrats 76 40 37 2 19 21 12 11 12 38 14 12 12 5 10 20 28 8 13 8 23 5% 5% 5% 2% 7% 7% 4% 5% 4% 7% 5% 4% 3% 2% 2% 43% 6% 4% 3% 2% 16% Don't know 270 140 130 18 45 64 59 33 51 81 65 53 71 16 51 8 120 29 41 54 22 18% 19% 17% 14% 18% 20% 21% 15% 18% 14% 21% 20% 20% 7% 11% 17% 24% 14% 10% 14% 15%

Lord Ashcroft Page 19 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 15 Q.9 Which party do you think would have the best approach to each of the following issues - the Conservatives, Labour, or the Liberal Democrats? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Controlling immigration The Conservatives 621 317 303 37 107 134 123 103 117 269 136 104 113 192 107 17 207 132 292 70 63 41% 43% 40% 27% 42% 42% 43% 46% 41% 47% 43% 39% 33% 77% 23% 36% 42% 61% 70% 18% 44% Labour 369 162 207 64 57 70 57 50 71 118 65 74 111 12 252 4 70 15 21 196 23 25% 22% 27% 47% 22% 22% 20% 22% 25% 21% 21% 28% 32% 5% 53% 8% 14% 7% 5% 51% 16% The Liberal Democrats 85 38 46 5 24 19 11 11 14 29 22 17 16 1 14 21 31 6 7 10 24 6% 5% 6% 4% 10% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 7% 6% 5% * 3% 46% 6% 3% 2% 3% 17% Don't know 429 219 210 30 67 93 94 62 83 159 92 72 106 44 100 4 183 64 96 105 34 29% 30% 27% 22% 26% 29% 33% 28% 29% 28% 29% 27% 31% 18% 21% 9% 37% 29% 23% 28% 24%

Lord Ashcroft Page 20 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 16 Q.10 Thinking about Britain's economy, which of the following comes closest to your view? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Although things are 658 327 331 61 104 133 115 100 146 269 143 114 131 189 144 19 213 104 263 108 53 difficult now, the 44% 44% 43% 45% 41% 42% 40% 44% 51% 47% 45% 43% 38% 76% 30% 41% 43% 48% 63% 28% 37% right decisions are being made and things will improve significantly over the next three or four years In three or four years' 845 409 436 75 152 183 171 125 140 306 172 153 215 60 329 28 278 113 154 273 90 time, the economy will 56% 56% 57% 55% 59% 58% 60% 56% 49% 53% 55% 57% 62% 24% 70% 59% 57% 52% 37% 72% 63% be no better, or even worse than it is now

Lord Ashcroft Page 21 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 17 Q.11 With our economy facing challenges in the months ahead, who do you most trust to manage the economy in the best interests of Britain - David Cameron, Nick Clegg and the Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne, OR Ed Miliband and the Shadow Chancellor Ed Balls? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 David Cameron, Nick 729 364 365 70 122 159 125 103 150 317 153 127 131 226 85 34 258 163 354 49 66 Clegg and the 48% 49% 48% 51% 48% 50% 44% 45% 53% 55% 49% 48% 38% 91% 18% 74% 53% 75% 85% 13% 46% Chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne Ed Miliband and the 493 237 257 41 94 93 94 80 91 166 104 83 140 4 342 6 99 17 18 284 54 Shadow Chancellor Ed 33% 32% 33% 30% 37% 29% 33% 36% 32% 29% 33% 31% 40% 2% 72% 12% 20% 8% 4% 74% 38% Balls Neither of these 144 92 52 16 17 32 36 24 18 57 28 23 36 10 21 3 64 23 26 18 16 10% 12% 7% 12% 7% 10% 13% 11% 6% 10% 9% 9% 10% 4% 4% 7% 13% 11% 6% 5% 11% Don't know 137 44 93 9 22 32 30 19 26 35 30 33 39 8 25 4 70 14 18 30 7 9% 6% 12% 7% 9% 10% 11% 8% 9% 6% 10% 12% 11% 3% 5% 8% 14% 6% 4% 8% 5%

Lord Ashcroft Page 22 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 18 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Summary Base: All respondents

Q.12 Summary Delivered Written a Set up stalls leaflets or Put up posters personally or handed out newspapers to or billboards Knocked on your addressed leaflets in Sent you an your door in your area door letter to you your area Phoned you email Unweighted base 1503 1503 1503 1503 1503 1503 1503 Weighted base 1503 1503 1503 1503 1503 1503 1503 Labour 890 267 490 496 365 210 43 59% 18% 33% 33% 24% 14% 3% The Conservatives 648 116 166 334 181 86 26 43% 8% 11% 22% 12% 6% 2% The Liberal Democrats 321 43 52 114 95 16 12 21% 3% 3% 8% 6% 1% 1% None of these 411 1193 919 803 1067 1239 1432 27% 79% 61% 53% 71% 82% 95%

Lord Ashcroft Page 23 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 19 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Delivered leaflets or newspapers to your door Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 890 414 476 75 134 181 183 142 176 321 198 155 215 132 355 27 268 124 236 287 78 59% 56% 62% 56% 52% 57% 64% 63% 62% 56% 63% 58% 62% 53% 75% 57% 55% 57% 57% 75% 54% The Conservatives 648 310 339 43 96 133 131 111 136 262 134 115 138 143 190 22 221 98 212 161 80 43% 42% 44% 31% 38% 42% 46% 49% 48% 46% 42% 43% 40% 57% 40% 48% 45% 45% 51% 42% 56% The Liberal Democrats 321 169 152 29 51 70 57 58 56 129 69 60 64 58 102 19 106 51 99 83 34 21% 23% 20% 21% 20% 22% 20% 26% 20% 22% 22% 22% 18% 23% 22% 42% 22% 23% 24% 22% 24% None of these 411 226 186 44 80 92 75 52 70 164 78 78 91 56 86 11 154 65 111 71 33 27% 31% 24% 32% 31% 29% 26% 23% 24% 29% 25% 29% 26% 23% 18% 23% 31% 30% 27% 19% 23%

Lord Ashcroft Page 24 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 20 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Put up posters or billboards in your area Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 267 131 136 33 55 56 45 41 37 95 58 56 59 35 132 7 63 18 50 95 21 18% 18% 18% 24% 22% 18% 16% 18% 13% 16% 18% 21% 17% 14% 28% 14% 13% 8% 12% 25% 15% The Conservatives 116 67 49 29 24 22 16 16 9 39 21 30 25 26 38 3 33 8 24 23 7 8% 9% 6% 21% 9% 7% 6% 7% 3% 7% 7% 11% 7% 11% 8% 6% 7% 4% 6% 6% 5% The Liberal Democrats 43 25 18 5 2 13 7 8 8 18 6 8 11 6 13 2 14 5 11 13 4 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 4% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% None of these 1193 582 612 91 190 254 235 181 243 467 252 195 279 195 330 39 421 196 355 280 118 79% 79% 80% 67% 74% 80% 82% 80% 85% 81% 80% 73% 81% 78% 70% 84% 86% 90% 85% 73% 82%

Lord Ashcroft Page 25 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 21 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Knocked on your door Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 490 221 269 49 87 95 91 73 96 156 110 95 130 65 241 5 121 56 111 175 42 33% 30% 35% 36% 34% 30% 32% 32% 33% 27% 35% 35% 37% 26% 51% 10% 25% 26% 27% 46% 29% The Conservatives 166 83 83 4 32 32 32 29 37 64 31 33 38 35 47 5 60 30 59 51 11 11% 11% 11% 3% 13% 10% 11% 13% 13% 11% 10% 12% 11% 14% 10% 11% 12% 14% 14% 13% 8% The Liberal Democrats 52 33 19 7 6 9 10 7 14 16 9 13 14 11 11 7 16 12 17 10 3 3% 4% 3% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 5% 3% 3% 5% 4% 4% 2% 15% 3% 6% 4% 3% 2% None of these 919 460 459 77 153 202 178 136 172 380 189 154 196 156 216 34 334 143 270 187 93 61% 63% 60% 57% 60% 64% 62% 60% 60% 66% 60% 58% 57% 63% 46% 72% 68% 66% 65% 49% 65%

Lord Ashcroft Page 26 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 22 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Written a personally addressed letter to you Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 496 224 272 42 50 102 106 88 109 164 108 88 136 53 235 8 140 49 96 213 36 33% 30% 35% 31% 19% 32% 37% 39% 38% 28% 34% 33% 39% 21% 50% 17% 29% 23% 23% 56% 25% The Conservatives 334 165 168 24 24 63 72 72 79 131 74 61 67 82 86 9 116 51 119 86 32 22% 22% 22% 18% 9% 20% 25% 32% 28% 23% 24% 23% 19% 33% 18% 19% 24% 23% 29% 23% 22% The Liberal Democrats 114 67 47 10 22 18 19 22 24 40 27 19 28 14 37 6 36 13 26 40 10 8% 9% 6% 7% 9% 6% 7% 10% 8% 7% 8% 7% 8% 6% 8% 13% 7% 6% 6% 10% 7% None of these 803 428 375 80 178 174 140 97 134 319 160 150 174 131 192 33 285 134 234 126 85 53% 58% 49% 59% 70% 55% 49% 43% 47% 56% 51% 56% 50% 53% 41% 70% 58% 62% 56% 33% 59%

Lord Ashcroft Page 27 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 23 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Set up stalls or handed out leaflets in your area Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 365 174 191 43 65 79 63 49 67 121 82 59 102 54 152 13 102 36 79 116 43 24% 24% 25% 32% 25% 25% 22% 22% 23% 21% 26% 22% 30% 22% 32% 28% 21% 17% 19% 30% 30% The Conservatives 181 89 91 26 30 29 35 25 35 59 34 42 45 47 56 8 54 21 52 43 25 12% 12% 12% 19% 12% 9% 12% 11% 12% 10% 11% 16% 13% 19% 12% 16% 11% 9% 13% 11% 18% The Liberal Democrats 95 48 47 15 16 24 14 14 13 32 21 20 22 22 27 11 29 6 20 25 10 6% 7% 6% 11% 6% 8% 5% 6% 5% 6% 7% 8% 6% 9% 6% 24% 6% 3% 5% 7% 7% None of these 1067 525 541 79 177 225 213 167 207 434 218 184 230 168 310 29 368 172 313 258 90 71% 71% 71% 58% 69% 71% 74% 74% 72% 76% 69% 69% 66% 68% 66% 61% 75% 79% 75% 68% 63%

Lord Ashcroft Page 28 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 24 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Phoned you Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 210 99 111 12 22 33 49 40 54 72 45 35 58 23 97 3 62 21 40 89 15 14% 13% 15% 9% 9% 11% 17% 18% 19% 13% 14% 13% 17% 9% 20% 6% 13% 10% 10% 23% 10% The Conservatives 86 44 41 5 13 14 10 16 28 29 16 18 22 20 21 2 31 10 30 16 10 6% 6% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 7% 10% 5% 5% 7% 6% 8% 4% 5% 6% 4% 7% 4% 7% The Liberal Democrats 16 13 3 3 2 - 2 2 7 2 1 6 7 2 3 2 6 2 4 3 3 1% 2% * 2% 1% - 1% 1% 2% * * 2% 2% 1% 1% 5% 1% 1% 1% 1% 2% None of these 1239 611 628 121 223 276 228 174 216 481 260 224 275 210 362 42 415 188 353 282 122 82% 83% 82% 89% 87% 87% 80% 77% 76% 84% 82% 84% 79% 84% 77% 89% 84% 87% 85% 74% 85%

Lord Ashcroft Page 29 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 25 Q.12 We're interested in the extent to which people locally have heard from the political parties over the last few weeks. Please can you tell me whether Labour, the Conservatives and the Liberal Democrats have done each of the following ... -Sent you an email Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 43 25 18 5 - 12 6 7 13 14 9 9 10 2 33 - 4 2 3 25 3 3% 3% 2% 4% - 4% 2% 3% 5% 2% 3% 3% 3% 1% 7% - 1% 1% 1% 6% 2% The Conservatives 26 15 11 2 2 4 3 8 6 10 8 2 6 17 1 - 4 3 17 2 1 2% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 4% 2% 2% 2% 1% 2% 7% * - 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% The Liberal Democrats 12 11 1 5 2 - - 3 2 3 1 6 3 6 1 2 2 - - 1 3 1% 1% * 4% 1% - - 1% 1% * * 2% 1% 2% * 5% * - - * 2% None of these 1432 692 740 123 252 300 276 213 268 548 299 251 334 226 439 44 485 213 397 355 137 95% 94% 96% 91% 98% 95% 97% 95% 94% 95% 95% 94% 96% 91% 93% 95% 99% 98% 95% 93% 95%

Lord Ashcroft Page 30 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 26 Q.13 Regardless of which Party you might vote for, which Party do you think is most likely to win the by election in Corby and East Northamptonshire? Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Labour 1066 537 529 93 157 218 214 173 211 402 216 187 261 141 410 28 333 164 283 328 90 71% 73% 69% 69% 61% 69% 75% 77% 74% 70% 68% 70% 76% 57% 87% 59% 68% 76% 68% 86% 63% The Conservatives 363 163 200 42 84 73 58 47 58 147 83 62 71 100 60 15 124 47 122 49 48 24% 22% 26% 31% 33% 23% 20% 21% 20% 26% 26% 23% 20% 40% 13% 32% 25% 22% 29% 13% 34% The Liberal Democrats 32 12 20 - 6 13 3 1 8 12 2 10 7 5 2 3 13 1 5 3 3 2% 2% 3% - 2% 4% 1% 1% 3% 2% 1% 4% 2% 2% * 7% 3% * 1% 1% 2% Another party 15 7 7 - 2 1 6 2 3 6 4 2 3 - 1 - 7 3 3 1 - 1% 1% 1% - 1% * 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% - * - 1% 1% 1% * - Don't know 28 18 11 - 6 10 4 3 5 8 10 6 4 2 - 1 14 2 3 - 2 2% 2% 1% - 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 2% 1% 1% - 2% 3% 1% 1% - 1%

Lord Ashcroft Page 31 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 27 Demographics Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Gender Male 736 736 - 83 119 140 143 116 136 306 147 141 143 123 203 23 241 104 202 164 56 49% 100% - 61% 47% 44% 50% 51% 47% 53% 47% 53% 41% 50% 43% 50% 49% 48% 48% 43% 39% Female 767 - 767 52 136 176 143 110 150 268 168 126 204 125 269 23 251 112 215 217 87 51% - 100% 39% 53% 56% 50% 49% 53% 47% 53% 47% 59% 50% 57% 50% 51% 52% 52% 57% 61% Age 18-24 135 83 52 135 - - - - - 52 42 18 23 14 56 2 35 11 17 9 15 9% 11% 7% 100% - - - - - 9% 13% 7% 7% 5% 12% 5% 7% 5% 4% 2% 10% 25-34 255 119 136 - 255 - - - - 99 62 57 38 29 82 12 93 31 50 60 37 17% 16% 18% - 100% - - - - 17% 20% 21% 11% 12% 17% 26% 19% 14% 12% 16% 26% 35-44 316 140 176 - - 316 - - - 159 70 62 25 60 94 9 99 41 90 79 29 21% 19% 23% - - 100% - - - 28% 22% 23% 7% 24% 20% 19% 20% 19% 22% 21% 20% 45-54 286 143 143 - - - 286 - - 113 64 53 55 43 81 7 99 43 79 78 23 19% 19% 19% - - - 100% - - 20% 20% 20% 16% 17% 17% 16% 20% 20% 19% 20% 16% 55-64 225 116 110 - - - - 225 - 84 39 43 59 40 71 7 73 33 68 67 24 15% 16% 14% - - - - 100% - 15% 12% 16% 17% 16% 15% 16% 15% 15% 16% 17% 17% 65 or older 286 136 150 - - - - - 286 68 39 33 145 63 88 8 93 58 113 89 15 19% 18% 20% - - - - - 100% 12% 12% 13% 42% 25% 19% 17% 19% 27% 27% 23% 11%

Lord Ashcroft Page 32 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 27 Demographics Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Social Class AB 575 306 268 52 99 159 113 84 68 575 - - - 113 154 14 187 97 192 117 63 38% 42% 35% 38% 39% 50% 40% 37% 24% 100% - - - 46% 33% 31% 38% 45% 46% 31% 44% C1 315 147 168 42 62 70 64 39 39 - 315 - - 43 96 15 116 39 78 77 35 21% 20% 22% 31% 24% 22% 23% 17% 14% - 100% - - 17% 20% 33% 24% 18% 19% 20% 25% C2 267 141 126 18 57 62 53 43 33 - - 267 - 42 98 9 76 36 63 70 29 18% 19% 16% 14% 22% 20% 18% 19% 12% - - 100% - 17% 21% 19% 15% 17% 15% 18% 20% DE 346 143 204 23 38 25 55 59 145 - - - 346 50 125 8 112 45 84 118 16 23% 19% 27% 17% 15% 8% 19% 26% 51% - - - 100% 20% 26% 18% 23% 21% 20% 31% 11%

Lord Ashcroft Page 33 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 28 Area Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Unweighted base 1503 687 816 57 126 246 313 311 450 546 289 249 419 287 452 45 492 258 504 400 126 Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 NET: Corby 797 385 412 73 150 169 147 113 144 249 181 145 221 82 344 18 237 97 155 286 56 53% 52% 54% 54% 59% 54% 52% 50% 50% 43% 57% 54% 64% 33% 73% 39% 48% 45% 37% 75% 39% Beanfield - Corby 66 32 34 14 10 5 15 5 17 14 15 11 26 6 28 2 17 8 13 31 3 4% 4% 4% 10% 4% 2% 5% 2% 6% 2% 5% 4% 7% 2% 6% 4% 3% 4% 3% 8% 2% Central - Corby 27 8 18 - 8 2 4 6 6 7 8 3 8 3 15 - 6 3 4 12 2 2% 1% 2% - 3% 1% 2% 3% 2% 1% 3% 1% 2% 1% 3% - 1% 1% 1% 3% 1% Danesholme - Corby 101 61 40 12 21 23 16 13 15 38 22 15 25 9 37 1 40 15 22 27 9 7% 8% 5% 9% 8% 7% 6% 6% 5% 7% 7% 6% 7% 4% 8% 1% 8% 7% 5% 7% 6% East - Corby 79 33 45 2 6 21 21 9 19 18 19 16 26 11 31 2 25 7 15 31 4 5% 5% 6% 2% 2% 7% 7% 4% 7% 3% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 4% 5% 3% 4% 8% 2% Exeter - Corby 7 3 4 - 2 4 - 1 1 - 3 2 2 - 5 - 2 - - 3 - * * 1% - 1% 1% - * * - 1% 1% 1% - 1% - * - - 1% - Great Oakley - Corby 35 20 16 2 8 6 8 5 5 14 6 7 8 6 14 1 6 4 9 10 2 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1% Kingswood - Corby 83 34 49 4 16 15 15 19 13 21 19 17 25 9 40 1 15 11 20 31 4 6% 5% 6% 3% 6% 5% 5% 9% 4% 4% 6% 6% 7% 4% 8% 2% 3% 5% 5% 8% 3% Lodge Park - Corby 32 17 15 - - 12 5 8 8 3 5 7 17 1 17 - 11 2 4 19 1 2% 2% 2% - - 4% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 5% * 4% - 2% 1% 1% 5% * Oakley Vale - Corby 115 57 59 12 30 34 18 17 5 54 24 20 19 12 45 5 37 15 24 34 11 8% 8% 8% 9% 12% 11% 6% 7% 2% 9% 7% 7% 5% 5% 9% 11% 7% 7% 6% 9% 7% Rowlett - Corby 74 41 33 9 21 13 11 8 12 23 16 15 20 8 41 2 14 4 7 27 8 5% 6% 4% 7% 8% 4% 4% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 3% 9% 4% 3% 2% 2% 7% 6% Rural West - Corby 37 19 17 3 6 6 7 5 9 11 9 6 11 6 9 4 18 10 13 9 8 2% 3% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 3% 2% 2% 9% 4% 5% 3% 2% 6% Shire Lodge - Corby 51 23 28 5 7 8 9 9 14 14 14 11 12 4 25 - 16 5 7 22 4 3% 3% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 5% 2% 5% 4% 4% 2% 5% - 3% 2% 2% 6% 3% Stanion & Corby Village 11 8 3 2 2 1 2 - 3 2 3 3 3 1 8 - 1 - - 6 - - Corby 1% 1% * 2% 1% * 1% - 1% * 1% 1% 1% * 2% - * - - 2% - Tower Hill - Corby 49 16 33 2 12 8 12 4 11 13 12 7 16 5 18 1 19 4 8 18 1 3% 2% 4% 2% 5% 3% 4% 2% 4% 2% 4% 3% 5% 2% 4% 3% 4% 2% 2% 5% 1% Weldon & Gretton - 29 13 17 4 2 10 4 4 5 16 5 5 3 2 11 - 10 7 9 7 - Corby 2% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% - 2% 3% 2% 2% - NET: East North 706 352 355 62 105 147 138 113 142 326 135 121 125 167 129 28 254 120 262 95 87 47% 48% 46% 46% 41% 46% 48% 50% 50% 57% 43% 46% 36% 67% 27% 61% 52% 55% 63% 25% 61% Barnwell - East North 32 17 14 5 6 4 5 4 8 16 6 7 3 14 2 - 9 4 13 3 3 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 1% 6% * - 2% 2% 3% 1% 2%

Lord Ashcroft Page 34 Corby By-Election Poll CATI Fieldwork : 12th-18th October 2012 Absolutes/col percents Table 28 Area Base: All respondents

Gender Age Social Class Voting Intention Vote in 2010 Con 2010 Total Male Female 18-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ AB C1 C2 DE Con Lab LibDem DK/ Ref Not now Con Lab LibDem Weighted base 1503 736 767 135 255 316 286 225 286 575 315 267 346 249 472 46 491 217 417 381 143 Fineshade - East North 22 17 5 2 4 5 5 3 3 13 3 4 1 4 5 - 7 6 10 - 3 1% 2% 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% * 2% 1% - 1% 3% 2% - 2% Irthlingborough John 72 30 42 2 16 20 13 9 12 27 17 15 13 14 9 2 23 15 26 6 14 Pyel - East North 5% 4% 6% 1% 6% 6% 5% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 4% 6% 2% 5% 5% 7% 6% 2% 10% Irthlingborough 53 20 33 6 14 10 10 5 8 23 12 7 11 10 15 2 22 12 21 10 8 Waterloo - East North 4% 3% 4% 5% 6% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 4% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 5% 5% 5% 3% 5% Kings Forest - East 34 19 15 2 2 9 5 4 12 14 9 4 7 7 5 1 14 5 10 7 5 North 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 2% 2% 3% 1% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% Lower Nene - East North 43 21 21 2 4 7 10 7 12 19 7 8 9 8 8 1 19 7 13 10 5 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 3% 2% 3% 4% 3% 3% 3% 3% Lyveden - East North 34 15 19 - 8 6 7 6 7 18 6 8 3 4 6 4 13 8 13 4 10 2% 2% 2% - 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 3% 1% 2% 1% 8% 3% 4% 3% 1% 7% Oundle - East North 75 37 38 5 10 14 18 14 15 47 9 8 11 16 17 4 29 13 28 11 9 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 6% 6% 5% 8% 3% 3% 3% 7% 3% 8% 6% 6% 7% 3% 7% Prebendal - East North 32 12 20 - 4 8 7 5 7 17 9 3 3 16 4 1 9 5 18 3 2 2% 2% 3% - 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 6% 1% 1% 2% 2% 4% 1% 1% Raunds Saxon - East 73 42 30 10 12 7 12 15 17 25 17 14 16 16 19 1 28 11 25 11 4 North 5% 6% 4% 7% 5% 2% 4% 7% 6% 4% 5% 5% 5% 6% 4% 3% 6% 5% 6% 3% 3% Raunds Windmill - East 57 30 27 4 4 16 12 10 10 24 8 11 14 14 9 2 19 8 22 10 1 North 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 6% 2% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 1% Stanwick - East North 34 16 17 2 4 5 10 8 5 11 11 8 5 6 8 1 15 5 9 3 4 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 3% 3% 1% 2% 2% 2% 3% 2% 2% 1% 3% Thrapston Lakes - East 65 27 38 6 6 22 10 9 12 30 11 10 14 19 6 5 21 10 27 6 10 North 4% 4% 5% 5% 2% 7% 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 4% 8% 1% 12% 4% 4% 7% 2% 7% Thrapston Market - East 64 40 25 14 12 10 11 10 8 30 10 13 11 13 14 4 17 8 19 7 9 North 4% 5% 3% 11% 5% 3% 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 5% 3% 5% 3% 9% 3% 4% 5% 2% 6% Woodford - East North 18 8 10 - - 2 5 4 6 11 1 3 4 4 3 - 8 3 8 4 1 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 2% 2% 2% 2% * 1% 1% 2% 1% - 2% 2% 2% 1% 1%

Lord Ashcroft