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Scientific Adversary Procedure the Technical Aspects of the Strategic RECORD Scientific Adversary Procedure The Technical Aspects of the Strategic Defense Initiative Scientist Advocates: Richard Darwin Edward Gerry Dartmouth College May 24, 1985 GERRY -- GARWIN SCIENTIFIL ADVERSARY PRuCEQURE . MAY =-24, 1985 1. Table of Contents• Schedule of Events Statements and Agreed Propositions Disputed Propositions Scientific Adversary Procedure Proposal Background of the Scientific Adversary Procedure VII. CVs of Participants VIII, COrrespondence between Gerry, Gar- win and the Faculty Committee on propostions -- all versions, earliest to latest IX. Remarks of Roger Masters and Arthur Kantrewitz at the start of the evening session X. Comments and Backgrounds of the Reviewers I. Comments and Backgrounds of the Procedure Analysts XII. Background Articles b Gerry and Garwin:: How Many Orbiting Las-rs for Boost-Phase Intercept? (f..Arl.-Jin) Testimony on The Strategic Defense Initiative (Garwin). Shrouded Galoshes Beat Space Trucks (Garwin/Gottfried) The Strategic Defense Initiative (Gerry)• XIII. inral Media Reports To press 6 June 1985 SCIENTIFIC ADVERSARY PROCEDURE STRATEGIC DEFENSE INITIATIVE: WILL IT WORK? MAY 23-24 Thursday, May 23 5:7;0PM Dinner for Participants (Faculty Club) 7:00PM Definition of Accepted and Challenged Propositiont (Ruebhausen Room, Rockefeller Center) Scientist Advocates: Edward Gerry, President, W. J. Schafer Associates Richard Garwin, IBM Fellow Friday, May 24 8:00AM Definition of Accepted and Challenged Propositions (continued from the previous evening) 1:00PM Treatment of the Challenged Propositions (Cook Auditorium) Introduction and Welcome: Agnar Pytte, Provost of Dartmouth College The Concept of Scientific Adversary Procedures: Prof. Roger Masters, Department of Government Introduction of the Scientist Advocates: Prof. Arthur Kantrowitz, Thayer School of Engineering Scientist Advocates: Edward Gerry and Richard Garwin Reviewers: Prof. Bengt. U. O. Sonnerup, Department of Engineering Prof. Walter Stockmayer e Department of Chemistry Prof. John Strohbehn, Department of Engineering Procedure Analysts: . Prof. Allan Mazur, Syracuse University Ambassador Robert Barry, Dickey Fellow (2; win . c, f-t'a z a ! "Go a 4.".• T-1 a n r- rmr wynifiqpr p f-33 9 'Le 1iVizt - tvi 4-4 I 4,) ; (.4 a 4 3 3 3 /IL 0 74i 1 q rrnif" r 79, 74 7 3 ♦.-, ifv ;‘, , I i i I I : ; wnicn pro h i b its significant Fri 1 q C; 1 41 C: sir aLel:it = ; CA !..d 1 • .rPfmIrp ever -inrreaslng forces. 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L- 7 r. ; A ; I4 1.-1 irtr E-- t r, 1 r- C (4 1 11 ::1: i•:; ; 2 vit v • 1 • 5. Energy efficiency considerations 'favor chemically propelled homing kill vehicles rail guns up to an added —y n uy following equation: Ph-oe / OA/ EF-P1 (-1 iNvcy AV L'Itt 1 CH-Em I Gin. -PI c 1 FAlcy 64 1,6M By E 501-cf a-vN F I e- 15-0 Vh-T7 Iv sot... ✓ rioN OF Fr AV /, \ n , A n_ I— (I -1\P ) -°4/:;2 ft- 5i-64.400 ve,tpoiy 5? (--/e=tc- frf Gak 0 } GHz hics} = 4-,4-6..c viz 73' flbft4-y.7P cd y ,41,9-$1 icr-77 o (4eI and. A $713-c--E /LAIL- (-✓ AI EPP- frel OVA rihr£ _ N vet Z-01- 5771- k_inheT1c., N TA-c, / iv 417 ,AV Under assumptions of an electrical generfiti:in G of 30%, rail gun efficiency of chemical rocket. specific impulse of 7. n n seconds and stage—mass fraction of reasonable number of stages, this velocit. ,- approximately . 141kmisec. (see following t , - and calculations) (.AGAPE D) P (SEC) ISP 300 RAIL GUN EFF ETAG SrAGF MAfz;S FR AC. F 0.9 ELEC CONY EFF ETOE n ELTA - V (KM/SEC) 14.07, C:PAVITY (KM/SEC) 6 0.009S STAC:_iE VEL FACTOR SVF 0.8 HUNDEP OF STAGES N 6 HO STAGES MASS RATIO FUEL MASS _HEM EFF ELSE EFF *,,-,********************************************************************** 282.1432. 7'57.0774' • 9.00% 9.00% e.,,o - 7.0.1-17,-71 f V444704, EYP DELTAV2 FACTOR DELTAV3 -4----4-4-4.,i-,,-***':****,--v-*45-***************4************ 5.790927 0.836733 12.34193 10.727 ; „ 211 7 7. °9-7697 „ 836773 14. 597" 17' „ 217 I 7. 4 7.0,1,06.35 0.276778 . 72505 13.159 ' „ 0. Q.76778 6.76306 13. 1.1.92 14.07C , 6 „ 215219 0 76'38 16.76747 14.030 1-1. 47,.' 8 1.84692 t 0. 83,5733 17.24341 14.432 10 1.646143 0.036778 17.51497 1. 4. 655 . 194 70 1.137995 0.376778 18. 15860 15.194 15 67 1. 053644 0. 336738 13.36030 15. ::(:)3 1"J. • 7'5 1000 1.005260 0.876778 18. 43730 15.424 4 B NTE T.'T DEL TA — ( KM,/ SEC iV 9 41 /3 914 , 14 \A/ ‘A1 \t■ ON4' Y • • 1 g {-1 e.; IrS 4.44. 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