THE SOUTH AFRICAN INSTITUTE OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS

March 2/1999

The DRC Diplomatic Flurry: Quo Vadis? Diplomatic efforts to resolve the seven-month rebellion in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) continue apace. What are the various efforts and what have they achieved? What are the lessons from all the activity?

Diplomatic initiatives were stepped up at all levels his talks with Mugabe as 'wonderful'. Wolpe said during the last week of February 1999, and he believed 'the space can be created for serious continued in the first week of March 1999 with talks negotiations on both the internal and external issues between President Nelson Mandela, Zimbabwean that underlie the conflict'. Lloyd reflected that President and Namibian President Mugabe had agreed on the need for an early Sam Nujoma. ceasefire and negotiated settlement, though his meeting with the Zimbabwean leader was Internationally, diplomatic efforts by the United apparently short and heated. States resumed when the US Under-Secretary of State (Political Affairs), Thomas Pickering, held talks This latest flurry of international missions has raised with President Robert Mugabe, on Sunday 28 important questions. Did the high-level US and February. Pickering's trip to Harare followed shortly British talks with Mugabe achieve the kind of after talks on Thursday 25 February, between the commitment needed for a peaceful solution to the US special envoy to the Great Lakes region, Howard DRC conflict? How different was this round of Wolpe and Mugabe. Pickering's visit indicated that shuttle diplomacy by Western countries from those the US was playjng down recent differences with previously undertaken? Do Africans still need the West to solve their problems and Mugabe over the detention of two "Mugabe, given his journalists, in order to secure the does this suggest the end of the latter's co-operation in achieving a military support for much-vaunted diplomatic campaign peaceful solution to conflict in the Kabila s government, is t0 bring about 'African solutions to DRC. Earlier in February, the US a key target for African problems'? Did Kabila's Deputy Assistant Secretary of State diplomatic efforts to announcement on 20 February 1999 for African Affairs, Witney W. end the conflict." of dissolving his cabinet and Schneidman, paid a visit to Luanda unbanning political parties stimulate on a fact-finding mission. Also on 25 February, the these diplomatic efforts? British Foreign Office Minister, Tony Uoyd, held talks with Mugabe. Lloyd, was on a four-day, nine- On returning from a summit with his allies in country mission aimed at seeking a peaceful Kinshasa from 28 February to 1 March, Mugabe resolution to the DRC conflict on behalf of the British announced additional backing for Kabila as a 're- Prime Minister Tony Blair. He thereafter flew to examination of other means' to put an end to the Luanda to hold similar talks with Angolan President war in the Congo. Although Mugabe declined to Jose Eduardo dos Santos. divulge actual details of the support offered, military analysts argued that th is was as good as announcing Mugabe, given his military support for Laurent an all-out offensive. This has led diplomatic sources .Kabila's DRC government, is a key target for to suggest that this round of US and British peace diplomatic efforts to end the conflict. He is also the missions to Harare has failed. European Union chairman of the SADC Organ on Politics, Defence Special Envoy Aldo Ajello was pessimistic after his and Security, a guise which he has used to justify own tour of the region during the same time. He military involvement in the DRC. Pickering, Wolpe said that the Congo crisis was 'far from a solution'. and Lloyd were apparently optimistic on reaching a negotiated settlement in the DRC. Pickering, on Bilateral efforts at the regional level were undertaken his first stop of an African tour scheduled to include on 24 February when President Nelson Mandela Tanzania, Uganda, Kenya and Nigeria, described held talks with Namibian President Sam Nujoma

Please note that these views do not necessarily reflect those of the SAUA in . Although both Heads of State declined to 29 September 1998: the European Union's Special provide any detail on the content of their discussions, the Envoy Aldo Ajello started his twelve-day trip to several conflict in the DRC was nevertheless at the centre of the African countries, including South Africa, to find a talks. At the same time, President of possible solution to this crisis. , the Vice-Chairman of SADC and a mediator 22 October 1998: UN Security Council called for an in the DRC conflict, met with President dos Santos. Their immediate ceasefire, an end to the military offensive talks were focused on the ongoing conflict in Angola, and and hostilities, and respect for the sovereignty and Angola's role in the DRC. South African Foreign Minister territorial integrity of the DRC. Alfred Nzo, was also dispatched to Luanda on 24 February 30 October 1998: US Assistant Secretary of State for to discuss the issue of conflict in the DRC with Dos Santos. African Affairs Susan Rice commenced a regional tour with the aim of brokering peace in the Great Lakes Zambian President Frederick Chiluba, a key mediator in region. She held talks with all parties in the DRC the Congo conflict, is not a welcome visitor in Angola at conflict and asserted the need for a diplomatic solution the moment given Luanda's allegations of 's role to the then three-month war. in resupplying UNITA with arms. The Zambian President 26-28 November 1998: at the 20th Franco-African appeared in Uganda on 27 February to hold talks with Summit held in Paris, Ugandan President Yoweri President on a possible ceasefire and Museveni and Rwandan President Pasteur Bizumungu endorsement of Chiluba's peace plan. The Zambian were verbally attacked by 34 African leaders for President was also scheduled to meet with invading the DRC. French President the Rwandan government, but had to cut Jacques Chirac announced that a short his trip after the bombings on "The RCD refuses to ceasefire agreement would be signed in 28 February. President Nelson Mandela accept any ceasefire December 1998. Kabila dismissed such also held talks in Cape Town with DRC plan that they have claims while the rebels rejected ceasefire opposition leader, Bishop Musengwa, on proposals made in their absence. 25 February 1999. Reports indicate that no role in drafting" • 9-11 February 1999: US Defence Sam Nujoma was in Libya on Saturday, Secretary William Cohen made an official 27 February. Libya has backed Chad's three-day visit to South Africa. He military involvement in the Congo, and Nujoma, a new reaffirmed the US position about finding a peaceful mediator in the conflict, could have been securing Colonel solution to the DRC conflict, reiterating that there could 's support for a ceasefire and a be no military solution. negotiated settlement. • 15-18 February 1999: Belgian Prime Minister Jean-Luc Dehaene visited South Africa and called on all parties A Chronology of Diplomatic Efforts in the DRCconflictto reach a peaceful solution through The diplomatic efforts over the DRC can be divided into talks. various levels: First-track (governmental) initiatives at the international, continental (OAU), regional (SADC) and Continental: bilateral levels. Second-track efforts have been conducted • 10 September 1998: Defence Ministers from the DRC by some Non-Governmental Organisations in South and it allies, together with those from Rwanda and Africa. Uganda met in Addis Ababa to discuss, under the auspices of the OAU, means of implementing a First Track Efforts ceasefire accord agreed to at the Pretoria and Victoria Outlined below is a selection of the meetings which have Falls summits. A ceasefire agreement was drafted but occurred within the various SADC, OAU, UN, and not signed because Rwanda refused to admit that it bilateral efforts. The latter includes US, UK and the mooted had troops in the DRC. Portuguese initiative of Foreign Minister Jaime Gama. • 17-18 December 1998: Leaders at the OAU summit International: in Ouagadougou, Burkina Faso reaffirmed their support • 28 August - 3 September 1998: at the 12th Non- for peace initiatives agreed to at the Franco-African Aligned Members Summit held in Durban, President summit in Paris. Mandela called an urgent meeting with the leaders from both sides of the Congo divide. In what was Regional: referedtoasa'summitwithin a summit', SADC leaders • 7 August 1998: three South African Cabinet Ministers together with the UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan were dispatched to Lubumbashi on a fact-finding agreed upon a speedy and peaceful solution to the mission. DRC crisis. • 8 August 1998: a summit called by President Mugabe • 23 September 1998: Deputy UN Emergency Relief at Victoria Falls, involving Angola, the DRC, Namibia Coordinator, Martin Griffiths commenced monitoring and Botswana, established a commission to investigate massacres of civilians and the humanitarian situation Kabila's charges against Rwanda and Uganda. South around the Great Lakes. Africa was not invited. • 23 August 1998: the Pretoria Summit, called by leaders were confident progress was being made in President Mandela, issued a communique calling for bringing about a peaceful solution to the DRC conflict. an immediate ceasefire in the DRC This summit which was attended by SADC Heads of State together with Second Track Efforts by NGOs leaders from Kenya, Uganda and Rwanda, produced • Second track efforts were embarked upon by the Africa a ten-point plan on a ceasefire, troop standstill and study group of the South African Institute of negotiations. International Affairs (SANA). On 11 November 1998, • 8 September 1998: a summit at Victoria Falls produced the group hosted the president of the Federal an agreement drawn up by the seven attending Heads Committee of the Union for Democracy and Social of State, but with the exclusion of the rebels who were Progress (UDPS), the main opposition group in the not permitted to attend the formal talks. DRC, Mutomo Kabundji. On 3 December 1998, • 14 September 1998: the SADC annual Heads of State Thomas Nziratimana, the representative of the summit held in Mauritius, where Kabila was urged to Congolese Coalition for Democracy (CDC) in southern meet the rebels. Africa, explained the political agenda of the RCD. • 24 September 1998: Central African Summit in the • The Durban-based African Centre for the Constructive Cabonese Capital Libreville, organised the President Resolution of Disputes (Accord) has been engaged with to discuss peace mechanisms. Attended key role players in the DRC conflict and has been by Chad, the Central African Republic, Equatorial facilitating talks between the different parties, Guinea, Cameroon, Angola, Congo-Brazzaville and • Policy Studies (CPS) hosted a conference on the Great Namibia. Lakes crisis. • 19-20 September 1998: Zambian President Chiluba and President Benjamin Mkapa of Tanzania met with Where to now? Rwandan and Ugandan leaders as part of SADC efforts From the onset diplomatic efforts have been, and continue to resolve the DRC crisis. to be, dogged by Kabila's refusal to meet in face-to-face • 29-30 September 1998: SADC army leadership agreed talks with the rebels in spite of the considerable diplomatic after two days of talks in Luanda that a threat to any efforts. member of the 14-member regional grouping could justify allied military intervention. The RCD, in turn, refuses to accept any ceasefire plan • 26 October 1998: meeting of SADC foreign and that they have no role in drafting. A regional peace summit defence ministers in Lusaka. The talks was also scheduled to take place in Lusaka during December 1998 attended by representatives of Kenya, Uganda, has been continuously postponed as a result of Kabila's Rwanda, the OAU Secretary-General Salim Ahmed refusal to meet with the rebels. Growing tension between Salim, a delegation from the Congolese Rally for Angola and Zambia has also led to President dos Santos's Democracy (RCD) and Libyan observers. objections to meet in Lusaka or to endorse any peace plan • 18 January 1999: Windhoek summit, attended by the drawn up by Chiluba. However five nations with troops in the DRC. Namibian Namibia is likely to object to a shift in venue to Botswana President Sam Nujoma announced that a draft (a mooted option) given the unsettled border and ceasefire would shortly be signed by the rebels, extradition issues between the two countries. without a face-to-face meeting with Kinshasa. This has yet to be accomplished. Nevertheless a regional summit is crucial for the signing of a ceasefire. South African NGOs may play a role, despite Bilateral: Kabila's general suspicion of South African intentions. • 6 November 1998: President Mandela hosts talks with Rwandan Vice-President . The latter Possible Lessons? admitted that Rwandan troops were backing the rebels One should not mistake diplomatic activity on the DRC trying to oust Kabila. for actual achievement. No quick and easy solution is • 29 November 1998: President Mandela hosts talks possible, and a lack of coordination between the different with the RCD leader, Ernest Wamba dia Wamba. and complex diplomatic efforts complicates finding a viable • 26-28 November 1998: President Chissano staged avenue for sustained mediation. A more controlled bilateral talks with President Museveni at the Franco- diplomatic process is needed, yet it is not clear who can African summit. or should control such a process. African efforts continue • 5 March 1999: President Mandela hosted President to trip over personal ity tensions, past suspicions and fragile Mugabe and President Nujoma in Pretoria. All three egos.