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February 11, 2021 February 11, 2021 Will Seuffert Executive Secretary VIA E-FILING Minnesota Public Utilities Commission 121 7th Place East Suite 350 St. Paul, MN 55101-2147 Re: Public Comments of Clean Energy Organizations In the Matter of Xcel Energy’s 2020-2034 Upper Midwest Resource Plan PUC Docket No. E002/RP-19-368 Dear Mr. Seuffert: The clean energy organizations Fresh Energy, Clean Grid Alliance, Union of Concerned Scientists, and the Minnesota Center for Environmental Advocacy (collectively the “Clean Energy Organizations” or “CEOs”) submit these Comments on the 2020-2034 Upper Midwest Integrated Resource Plan filed by Northern States Power d/b/a Xcel Energy. Respectfully, /s/Ellen Anderson Ellen Anderson Climate Program Director Minnesota Center for Environmental Advocacy Attorney for Clean Energy Organizations EA/edl cc: e-Dockets electronic service recipients PUBLIC VERSION TRADE SECRET DATA HAS BEEN EXCISED 67$7( 2) 0,11(627$ %()25( 7+( 38%/,& 87,/,7,(6 &200,66,21 In the Matter of Xcel Energy’s 38& 'RFNHW 1R (53 2019-2034 Upper Midwest Integrated Resource Plan &/($1 (1(5*< 25*$1,=$7,216¶ ,1,7,$/ &200(176 2Q %HKDOI 2I )UHVK (QHUJ\ &OHDQ *ULG $OOLDQFH 8QLRQ RI &RQFHUQHG 6FLHQWLVWV 0LQQHVRWD &HQWHU IRU (QYLURQPHQWDO $GYRFDF\ )HEUXDU\ PUBLIC VERSION TRADE SECRET DATA HAS BEEN EXCISED 7$%/( 2) &217(176 3DJH ,1752'8&7,21« 6800$5< 2) $5*80(17 « , 7+( &200,66,21 6+28/' $'237 &(26 35()(55(' 3/$1 25 $7 7+( 9(5< /($67 02',)< ;&(/¶6 3/$1 72 (;&/8'( 7+( 352326(' *$6 3/$17 $ 7KH &RPPLVVLRQ +DV 7KH $XWKRULW\ 7R $SSURYH 5HMHFW 2U 0RGLI\ ;FHO¶V 3UHIHUUHG 3ODQ % &(2V¶ (Q&RPSDVV 0RGHOLQJ 'HPRQVWUDWHV 7KDW ;FHO¶V 3UHIHUUHG 3ODQ :KLFK ,QFOXGHV 7KH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW ,V 1RW ,Q 7KH 3XEOLF ,QWHUHVW 7KH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW LV QRW DQ RSWLPDO UHVRXUFH HYHQ XQGHU ;FHO¶V DVVXPSWLRQV &(2V GHYHORSHG QHZ UHVRXUFH SRUWIROLRV ZLWK FRUUHFWHG DVVXPSWLRQV &(2V DQDO\]HG UHVRXUFH SODQV XQGHU GLIIHUHQW VFHQDULRV &(2V¶ (Q&RPSDVV UHVXOWV &(2V¶ PRGHOLQJ VKRZV WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW LV QRW LQ WKH SXEOLF LQWHUHVW & 5HOLDELOLW\ 1HHGV $UH 1RW $ 5HDVRQDEOH -XVWLILFDWLRQ )RU ,QFOXGLQJ 7KH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW ,Q ;FHO¶V 5HVRXUFH 3ODQ 7KH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW LV QRW QHHGHG WR DGGUHVV ³FULWLFDO UHOLDELOLW\ QHHGV´ a. Background: Xcel Y2 And Coal Retirement Reliability Studies .....................24 b. Telos’s Up-To-Date Analysis Shows That The Proposed Gas Plant Is Not Needed For Reliability .............................................................................25 i. Telos report background .........................................................................26 ii. Telos report study scenarios ....................................................................27 iii. Telos report findings ................................................................................29 c. Xcel’s Other “Critical Reliability Needs” Claims Are Uunsupported ;FHO¶V EODFN VWDUW SODQQLQJ LV QRW D UHDVRQDEOH MXVWLILFDWLRQ IRU WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW L PUBLIC VERSION TRADE SECRET DATA HAS BEEN EXCISED ,, 7+( &200,66,21 6+28/' 5(-(&7 ;&(/¶6 35()(55(' 3/$1 %(&$86( ;&(/ +$6 )$,/(' 72 6+2: 7+$7 7+( 3/$1 :,7+ 7+( 352326(' *$6 3/$17 ,6 ,1 7+( 38%/,& ,17(5(67 .............................................................................36 $ ;FHO¶V 3UHIHUUHG 3ODQ 'RHV 1RW &RPSO\ :LWK 0LQQHVRWD 5HVRXUFH 3ODQQLQJ /DZV ;FHO¶V SODQ IDLOV WR PRGHO UHQHZDEOH DOWHUQDWLYHV WR WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW ;FHO¶V SODQ IDLOV WR OLPLW WKH ULVN RI DGYHUVH HIIHFWV RQ FXVWRPHUV ;FHO¶V SODQ LV LQFRQVLVWHQW ZLWK RWKHU JXLGLQJ SROLFLHV % 7KH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW ,V &RQWUDU\ 7R 6WDWH 3ROLF\ ,,, &(26¶ $1$/<6,6 2) 27+(5 ,668(6 ,1 ;&(/¶6 35()(55(' 3/$1 $ 5HVRXUFH 3ODQQLQJ 6KRXOG $GGUHVV $QG $GYDQFH (QHUJ\ (TXLW\ 3URFHGXUDO MXVWLFH &OLPDWH DQG HQYLURQPHQWDO MXVWLFH 5DFLDO HTXLW\ FRPPLWPHQWV % 5HFRPPHQGDWLRQV )RU ,QQRYDWLRQ ,Q 7RGD\¶V *ULG ;FHO FRUUHFWO\ ZLWKGUHZ WKH LQLWLDO SODQ¶V ³UHOLDELOLW\ UHTXLUHPHQW´ ;FHO VKRXOG FRQWLQXH HYDOXDWLQJ WKH QHHG IRU DQG W\SH RI DGGLWLRQDO ILUP GLVSDWFKDEOH UHVRXUFHV LQ ;FHO DQG WKH FRPPLVVLRQ VKRXOG FRQWLQXH HYDOXDWLQJ HFRQRPLF GLVSDWFK DQG VHDVRQDO RSHUDWLRQV RI IRVVLO XQLWV ,PSURYHPHQWV WR DYRLGHG FRVW DQDO\VHV FRXOG UHVXOW LQ DGGLWLRQDO HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\ DQG GLVWULEXWHG JHQHUDWLRQ UHVRXUFHV & 5HQHZDEOH (QHUJ\ %DWWHU\ 6WRUDJH $QG 'HPDQG 5HVSRQVH &DQ 3URYLGH 0RUH *ULG 6HUYLFHV 7KDQ ;FHO¶V )LOLQJ ,QGLFDWHV &21&/86,21 LL PUBLIC VERSION TRADE SECRET DATA HAS BEEN EXCISED Human influence on the climate system is clear, and recent anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases are the highest in history . recent climate changes have had widespread impacts on human and natural systems. Continued emission of greenhouse gases will cause further warming and long-lasting changes in all components of the climate system, increasing the likelihood of severe, pervasive and irreversible impacts for people and ecosystems. Limiting climate change would require substantial and sustained reductions in greenhouse gas emissions which, together with adaptation, can limit climate change risks. ,QWHUJRYHUQPHQWDO 3DQHO RQ &OLPDWH &KDQJH ³,3&&´ &KDLU¶V 9LVLRQ 3DSHU 'RF Ethical considerations, and the principle of equity in particular, are central to this report, recognizing that many of the impacts of warming up to and beyond 1.5°C, and some potential impacts of mitigation actions required to limit warming to 1.5°C, fall disproportionately on the poor and vulnerable. ,3&& 6SHFLDO 5HSRUW *OREDO :DUPLQJ RI & It is the goal of the state to reduce statewide greenhouse gas emissions across all sectors producing those emissions to a level at least 15% below 2005 levels by 2015, to a level at least 30% below 2005 levels by 2025, and to a level at least 80% below 2005 levels by 2050. 0LQQ 6WDW + VXEG Climate change threatens the very things that make Minnesota a great place to live - from our wonderful lakes to farmable land and clean air. 0LQQ ([HF 2UGHU 1R 'HF LLL PUBLIC VERSION TRADE SECRET DATA HAS BEEN EXCISED ,1752'8&7,21 7KH FOHDQ HQHUJ\ QRQSURILW RUJDQL]DWLRQV )UHVK (QHUJ\ &OHDQ *ULG $OOLDQFH 8QLRQ RI &RQFHUQHG 6FLHQWLVWV DQG WKH 0LQQHVRWD &HQWHU IRU (QYLURQPHQWDO $GYRFDF\ FROOHFWLYHO\ WKH ³&OHDQ (QHUJ\ 2UJDQL]DWLRQV´ RU ³&(2V´ MRLQWO\ VSRQVRU WKHVH &RPPHQWV RQ WKH 8SSHU 0LGZHVW ,QWHJUDWHG 5HVRXUFH 3ODQ ³,53´ ILOHG E\ 1RUWKHUQ 6WDWHV 3RZHU GED ;FHO (QHUJ\ ³;FHO (QHUJ\´ ³;FHO´ RU ³WKH &RPSDQ\´ 7KHVH &RPPHQWV ZHUH SUHSDUHG ZLWK WHFKQLFDO DVVLVWDQFH IURP $QQD 6RPPHU DQG &KHOVHD +RWDOLQJ RI (QHUJ\ )XWXUHV *URXS DQG 0DWWKHZ 5LFKZLQH RI 7HORV (QHUJ\ 7KH &(2V DSSODXG ;FHO (QHUJ\ IRU PDQ\ HOHPHQWV SUHVHQWHG LQ LWV UHVRXUFH SODQ ³;FHO¶V 3UHIHUUHG 3ODQ´ )RU H[DPSOH &(2V DUH SOHDVHG WR VHH DFFHOHUDWHG GDWHV IRU UHWLUHPHQW RI ;FHO¶V UHPDLQLQJ FRDO SODQWV DQG DUH YHU\ VXSSRUWLYH RI WKH FDUERQ UHGXFWLRQ JRDOV ;FHO (QHUJ\ KDV VHW LQFOXGLQJ SHUFHQW FDUERQ UHGXFWLRQ E\ DQG SHUFHQW FDUERQIUHH HQHUJ\ E\ ,Q DGGLWLRQ ZH VXSSRUW ;FHO¶V SURSRVDO WR DGG QHDUO\ 0: RI QHZ UHQHZDEOH HQHUJ\ VXEVWDQWLDO GHPDQG UHVSRQVH DQG HQHUJ\ HIILFLHQF\ VDYLQJV RI RYHU JLJDZDWW KRXUV +RZHYHU WKHUH LV D IDWDO IODZ LQ ;FHO¶V 3UHIHUUHG 3ODQ LW LQFOXGHV D SURSRVHG FRPELQHG F\FOH JDV SODQW LQ %HFNHU 0LQQHVRWD ³3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW´ GHVLJQHG WR RSHUDWH XQWLO RU ORQJHU ;FHO¶V 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW LV D ORVLQJ SURSRVLWLRQ IRU UDWHSD\HUV WKH 6WDWH RI 0LQQHVRWD DQG HYHQ ;FHO¶V RZQ JRDOV $GGLQJ QHZ IRVVLO IXHO UHVRXUFHV XQGHUPLQHV ;FHO¶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¶V DELOLW\ WR UHDFK LWV HPLVVLRQ UHGXFWLRQ JRDOV )LQDOO\ DQG PRVW SURPLQHQWO\ WKLV 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW LV D EDG GHDO IRU UDWHSD\HUV 7KH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW DQG LWV SLSHOLQH ZRXOG FRPPLW ZHOO RYHU WZR ELOOLRQ GROODUV RI H[SHQVH WR PDLQWDLQLQJ DQG RSHUDWLQJ ODVW FHQWXU\¶V WHFKQRORJ\ ,Q WKH QHDU IXWXUH WKLV 3URSRVHG 3ODQW ZLOO EH D VWUDQGHG DVVHW DQG UDWHSD\HUV ZLOO EH IRRWLQJ WKH ELOO 6800$5< 2) $5*80(17 ,Q 6HFWLRQ , $ &(2V VKRZ WKDW GHVSLWH OHJLVODWLRQ SDVVHG LQ UHJDUGLQJ WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW WKH &RPPLVVLRQ UHWDLQV ERWK WKH DXWKRULW\ DQG GXW\ WR VFUXWLQL]H ;FHO¶V 3UHIHUUHG 3ODQ :KLOH LQ WKH OHJLVODWXUH SDVVHG D ELOO WKDW H[HPSWHG ;FHO IURP D &HUWLILFDWH RI 1HHG IRU WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW WKLV GRHV QRW PHDQ WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW LV VHW LQ VWRQH 7KH OHJLVODWLRQ RQO\ H[HPSWV WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW IURP WKH UHTXLUHPHQWV IRU D &HUWLILFDWH RI 1HHG DQG VLWLQJ DQG URXWLQJ SHUPLWV ,W OHDYHV LQ SODFH DOO RI WKH &RPPLVVLRQ¶V DXWKRULW\ WR DSSURYH PRGLI\ RU UHMHFW ;FHO¶V ,53 ,Q 6HFWLRQ , % DQG , & &(2V GHPRQVWUDWH WKDW D FRPELQDWLRQ RI ZLQG VRODU DQG EDWWHU\ VWRUDJH ZLOO UHOLDEO\ PHHW ;FHO¶V QHHGV DW D ORZHU FRVW WKDQ WKH 3URSRVHG *DV 3ODQW UHIXWH ;FHO¶V FODLPV WKDW WKH SODQW LV QHHGHG IRU UHOLDELOLW\ DQG VKRZ WKDW WKH SODQW LV QRW FRQVLVWHQW ZLWK VWDWH
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