Crossing Boundaries in Science the Mystery of Risks – How Can Science Help Reconcile Perception and Assessment?

Home , Chancellor of Germany

Leopoldina-Conference Crossing Boundaries in Science The mystery of risks – How can science help reconcile perception and assessment?

4 – 6 July 2019 Potsdam | Germany Cover picture: © Sisters of Design – Anja Krämer & Claudia Dölling GbR Crossing Boundaries in Science The mystery of risks – How can science help reconcile perception and assessment?

4 – 6 July 2019 Potsdam | Germany The mystery of risks – How can science help reconcile perception and assessment?

2nd Conference “Crossing Boundaries in Science” of German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina 4 – 6 July 2019 | Potsdam/Germany

The conference format Crossing Boundaries in Science of the German Na- tional Academy of Sciences Leopoldina is meant to stimulate discussions between areas of research that are particularly dependent on new forms of interdisciplinary cooperation and method transfer. The first international conference, entitled Modeling Nature and Society – Can We Control the World? took place in Weimar in June 2016. Its objective was to provide an overview and discuss current attempts using scientific modeling to under- stand and control complex systems in nature and society.

The second international conference The mystery of risks – How can science help reconcile perception and assessment? will focus on the role of science in perception, assessment and handling of risks in our grow- ingly complex world. This includes the frequent overestimation of certain risks associated for example with terrorism, genetic engineering, artificial intelligence or vaccination but also the prevalent underestimation of risks associated with common causes of destruction, illness and death. The scientific community attempting to assess and communicate these risks objectively is often confronted with big challenges since public risk perception systematically follows more subjective and emotional principles. This systematic misjudgment of risks often leads to irrational individual and sociopolitical decisions and the inefficient use of resources.

4 In the three-day conference scientists from areas such as sociology, economy, physics, psychology, medicine, meteorology and biology will discuss the following questions:

• Did our lives get riskier or do we simply know too much about potential risks to handle them objectively? • How are risks socially constructed? • What are commonly underestimated and overestimated risks? • What are the positive as well as negative consequences of the misperception of risks? • Does the precautionary principle hinder innovation and progress? • How can science help to reconcile the systematic misperception of risk and promote evidence-based policy in this context? • Are scientists also responsible for creating new risks when providing new knowledge that may be misused for harmful purposes? • What are short term and long term science-based strategies to mitigate risks? • How to promote risk literacy and resilience of individuals and society?

5 Program

Thursday, 4 July 2019 Potsdam Museum | Am Alten Markt 9 | 14467 Potsdam

18:30 Keynote Lecture Welcoming Address Jörg Hacker ML German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina Introduction Thomas Lengauer ML Max Planck Institute for Informatics Uncertain risks in an uncertain world Armin Nassehi Ludwig-Maximilians-University Munich 20:15 Reception

Friday, 5 July 2019 Hotel Mercure | Lange Brücke | 14467 Potsdam

9:00 Welcoming Address Bärbel Friedrich ML German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina

9:15 – 10:45 Session 1: How risks are socially constructed Chair: Ralph Hertwig ML Max Planck Institute for Human Development The paradox of the risk society Martin Schröder University of Marburg Risk as feelings and perception matters Ellen Peters The Ohio State University Discussion (speakers and chair)

10:45 – 11:15 Coffee Break

6 11:15 – 13:15 Session 2: Limits of assessing and communicating risks Chair: Alfons Bora University of Bielefeld Foundations of the precautionary principle and what’s wrong with empirical psychology Nassim Nicholas Taleb New York University Risk information transmission in critical infrastructures Didier Sornette ETH Zurich Risk communication and policy Ragnar Löfstedt King’s College London Discussion (speakers and chair)

13:15 – 14:30 Lunch

14:30 – 16:30 Session 3: Commonly over- and underestimated risks Chair: Thomas Lengauer ML Max Planck Institute for Informatics Between phlegm and panic – underestimated versus overestimated risks Gaby-Fleur Böl The German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment How to advocate for vaccination in a climate of science denial Cornelia Betsch University of Erfurt Can China trigger a crisis of globalization? Heribert Dieter Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik Discussion (speakers and chair)

16:30 Networking Coffee

17:00 Potsdam Palace Tour by Boat

ML = Member of Leopoldina

7 Saturday, 6 July 2019 Hotel Mercure | Lange Brücke | 14467 Potsdam

8:45 – 10:30 Session 4: Assessing existential risks Chair: Julius Weitzdörfer Cambridge Centre for Existential Risks Student rapporteurs

The challenge of climate change Jochem Marotzke ML Max Planck Institute for Meterology What is the real threat of pandemics? Lothar Wieler ML Robert Koch Institute Discussion (speakers and chair)

10:30 – 11:00 Coffee Break

11:00 – 13:00 Session 5: Coping with risks Chair: Filippa Lentzos King’s College London Coping with uncertainty in a complex world Ortwin Renn ML Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS), Potsdam How to cope with extreme global events and strengthen societies‘ resilience Garry Peterson Stockholm Resilience Centre Discussion (speakers and chair)

Student rapporteurs & closing remarks How to improve risk literacy? Ralph Hertwig ML Max Planck Institute for Human Development 13:00 Farewell Networking Lunch

Registration Please register via: www.leopoldina.org/risk2019 CVs of speakers and chairs in alphabetical order

CVs of speakers and chairs in alphabetical order Cornelia Betsch Heisenberg Professor for Health Communication, University of Erfurt, Germany

Affiliation and address: Health Communication | Gesundheitskommunikation Psychology and Infectious Diseases Lab | PIDI Lab Center for Empirical Research in Economics and Behavioral Sciences | CEREB Media and Communication Science | University of Erfurt Nordhäuser Strasse 63 | 99089 Erfurt | Germany [email protected]

Academic background and career: since 2017 DFG Heisenberg-Professor for Health Communication, University of Erfurt, Germany 2013 Habilitation at the University of Erfurt, Germany 2007-2017 Researcher at the University of Erfurt, Germany 2006 PhD (Psychology), University of Heidelberg, Germany

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2018 WHO working group „Data for vaccination acceptance and demand“, World Health Organization, Geneva, Switzerland since 2018 Scientific Advisory Board of the GErn Study (Health and nutrition monitoring in Germany), Robert Koch Institute and Max Rubner- Institute since 2015 Scientific Advisory Board of the German Science Media Center, Cologne 2012-2018 National Verification Committee for Measles and Rubella Elimination (hosted by the Robert Koch Institute; installed by the German Federal Ministry of Health) 2012-2017 Member of ETAGE (European Technical Advisory Group of Experts on Immunization)

Areas of expertise: Psychology, health communication, vaccine decision making

10 Gaby-Fleur Böl Head of Department Risk Communication, German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment

Affiliation and address: German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment Max-Dohrn-Str. 8-10| 10589 Berlin | Germany [email protected] www.bfr.bund.de

Academic background and career: since 2009 Director and Professor, German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment since 2006 Head of Department Risk Communication, German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment 2005 Habilitation, Institute of Biochemistry and Biology, University of Potsdam 1997-2006 Head of Project Group, Department Biochemistry of Micronutrients, German Institute of Human Nutrition, Potsdam-Rehbrücke 1994-1997 Postdoctoral Researcher, Institute of Physiological Chemistry, Heinrich-Heine-University, Düsseldorf 1994 PhD (Biochemistry), Institute of Molecular Pharmacology, Hannover Medical School

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2009 Deputy President, German Federal Institute for Risk Assessment since 2006 German Representative for the Communications Expert Network of the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA) since 2005 Private Lecturer for Biochemistry, University of Potsdam

Areas of expertise: Risk communication, risk perception, crises communication, cellular signal transduction

11 Alfons Bora Professor of sociology at the Faculty for Sociology, Bielefeld University, Germany

Affiliation and address: Universität Bielefeld Fakultät für Soziologie | AB XI: Recht und Gesellschaft Postfach 10 01 31 | 33501 Bielefeld | Germany [email protected]

Academic background and career: since 1999 Professor of sociology at Bielefeld University 1995-1997 Researcher at the Freie Universität Berlin 1998 Habilitation, Department of Philosophy and Social Sciences of the Freie Universität Berlin, venia legendi: Soziologie 1991-1998 Researcher at the Social Science Research Center Berlin (Wissenschaftszentrum Berlin für Sozialforschung, WZB) 1991 Dr. phil., Albert-Ludwigs-Universität Freiburg, Department of Philosophy 1983-1991 Researcher at the Max Planck Institute for Foreign and International Criminal Law (Freiburg im Breisgau, Germany), Department of Criminology 1987 Second State Examination in Law 1985 Magister Artium in Sociology

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): 2012-2018 Member of Kompetenznetzwerk Stammzellforschung NRW since 2008 Member and speaker (2014-2016) of the Scientific Advisory Board of the Institute for Technology assessment ITA of the Austrian Academy of Sciences, Vienna 2008-2012 Member of the German Ethics Council (Deutscher Ethikrat) since 2004 Founder member of Netzwerk Technikfolgenabschätzung (Network Technology Assessment)

Areas of expertise: Science policy, sociology of law

12 Heribert Dieter Senior Fellow, German Institute for International and Security Affairs

Affiliation and address: Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik | German Institute for International and Security Affairs Ludwigkirchplatz 3-4 | 10719 Berlin | Germany [email protected] www.swp-berlin.org

Academic background and career: since 2017 Associate Professor (apl. Professor), University of Potsdam since 2013 Visiting Professor for International Political Economy, Zeppelin University, Lake Constance since 2001 Senior Fellow, Research Unit Global Issues, German Institute for International and Security Affairs, Berlin (tenure) 2011 Visiting Professor, Asia Research Centre, Murdoch University, Perth, Australia 2010-2011 Professor, Chair of International Relations, Ruhr University Bochum (temporary position) 2005 Free University of Berlin, Habilitation, Venia Legendi in Political Science 1993 Free University of Berlin, Graduation as Dr. rer. pol. (magna cum laude) (Doctorate in Political Science and Economics) 1983-1989 Free University of Berlin, M.A. in Political Science and Economics

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): 2016 Visiting Professor, Centre for European Studies, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia 2009-2010 Visiting Researcher, Department of Political Economy, University of Sydney 2009 Co-Director of the “Warwick Commission on International Financial Reform” 2007 Member and Principal Writer of the “Warwick Commission on the Future of the Multilateral Trading System”

Areas of expertise: International trade and finance, globalization

13 Bärbel Friedrich Chairperson Joint Committee on the Handling of Security-Relevant Research (DFG/Leopoldina)

Affiliation and address: Joint Committee on the Handling of Security-Relevant Research (DFG/Leopoldina) c/o ABC Business Center Friedrichstraße 79 | 10117 Berlin | Germany [email protected]

Academic background and career (selection): since 2015 Chairperson of the Joint Committee on the Handling of Security- Relevant Research of German Research Foundation (DFG) and German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina since 2014 Member of the advisory council of the University of Vienna, Austria 2008-2018 Scientific director of the Alfried Krupp Institute of Advanced Studies in Greifswald, Germany 2005-2015 Vice President of the German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina, Halle, Germany 1997-2003 Vice President of the German Research Foundation (DFG) 1994-2013 Full Professor of Microbiology at the Humboldt-University, Berlin, Germany 1985-1989 Vice President of the Association of General and Applied Microbiology (VAAM) 1985-1994 Full Professor of Microbiology at the Free University Berlin, Germany

Further positions and memberships (selection): 2003-2005 Member of the German Federal Parliament Enquete Committee “Ethical and legal aspects of modern medicine“ 1997-1999 Member of the German Federal Science Council since 1994 Member of the German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina since 1994 Member of the Berlin-Brandenburg Academy of Sciences, Germany

Areas of expertise: Synthesis, structure and function of hydrogen-converting enzymes, functional genome research of lithoautotropic bacterial metabolism, science management

14 Jörg Hacker President of the German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina

Affiliation and address: German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina Jägerberg 1 | 06108 Halle (Saale) | Germany [email protected] www.leopoldina.org © David Ausserhofer Ausserhofer © David für die Leopoldina

Academic background and career: since 2010 President German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina, Halle (Saale) 2008-2010 President Robert Koch Institute, Berlin 2006 Visiting Professor at the Sackler Institute for Advanced Studies, Tel Aviv University, Israel 2000, 2005 Research visits at the Institute Pasteur, Paris 1988-2008 Professor for Microbiology, since 1993 Head of the Institute for Molecular Infection Biology, University of Würzburg 1980-1988 Research Assistant at the Department of Microbiology, Würzburg 1979 PhD (Biology), Martin-Luther-University of Halle (Saale)

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): 2014-2016 Member Scientific Advisory Board of the UN Secretary-General Ban Ki-Moon since 2010 Member of the Innovation Dialog of the Chancellor of Germany 2003-2009 Vice President German Research Foundation (DFG)

Areas of expertise: Science policy, molecular biology

15 Ralph Hertwig Director, Max Planck Institute for Human Development

Affiliation and address: Max Planck Institute for Human Development Center for Adaptive Rationality Lentzeallee 94 | 14195 Berlin | Germany [email protected] www.mpib-berlin.mpg.de © Arne Sattler

Academic background and career: since 2012 Director, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin (Germany) 2008 Visiting professor at the Center for the Study of Rationality, Hebrew University of Jerusalem and Columbia Business School, New York (USA) 2005-2012 Full Professor for Cognitive and Decision Sciences at the Department of Psychology, University of Basel (Switzerland) 2003-2005 Assistant Professor for Applied Cognitive Science at the Department of Psychology, University of Basel (Switzerland) 2003 Research Scientist, Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin (Germany) 2000-2002 Research Fellow, Department of Psychology, Columbia University, New York (USA) 1997-2000 Research Scientist, Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Human Development, Berlin (Germany) 1995-1997 Postdoctoral Fellow / Research Scientist, Center for Adaptive Behavior and Cognition, Max Planck Institute for Psychological Research, Munich (Germany) 1995 Research Associate, National Science Foundation Project (Principal Investigator: Dr. Gerd Gigerenzer), University of Chicago, Illinois (USA) 1995 PhD (Dr. rer. Soc.), University of Konstanz (Germany)

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): 2017 Gottfried Wilhelm Leibniz Prize 2016 Honorary Professor, Free University of Berlin (Germany) 2013 Honorary Professor, Humboldt University of Berlin (Germany) 2008-2012 Dean / Dean of research, Department of Psychology, University of Basel (Switzerland)

Areas of expertise: Psychology, decision making 16 Thomas Lengauer Max Planck Institute for Informatics

Affiliation and address: Department of Computational Biology and Applied Algorithmics Max Planck Institute for Informatics Campus E1 4 | 66123 Saarbrücken | Germany [email protected] www.mpi-inf.mpg.de © Christof Rieken © Christof

Academic background and career (selection): since 2018 Emeritus Member of Max Planck Institute for Informatics, Saarbrücken since 2003 Adjunct Professor at University of Bonn since 2001 Adjunct Professor at Saarland University, Saarbrücken 2001-2018 Director at Max Planck Institute for Informatics, Saarbrücken 1992-2001 Full professor of Computer Sience at University of Bonn 1992-2001 Director at the Institute for Algorithms and Scientific Computing, GMD – German Research Center for Information technology, Sankt Augustin, Germany 1984-1992 Full professor of Computer Science, University of Paderborn 1981-1984 Research Assistant, Department of Computer Science, Saarland Unversity, Saarbrücken 1979-1981 Member of Technical Staff, Bell Labortaories, Murray Hill, NJ, USA 1979 Ph.D. (Computer Science), Stanford University 1976 Dr.rer. nat. (Mathematics), Free University of Berlin

Further positions and memberships (selection): since 2017 President of the International Society for Computational Biology since 2015 Member of the Presidential Board of Leopoldina 2007 Member of German National Academy of Science and Technology acatech 2003 Member of German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina 1994-1995 Vice President of the German Society for Informatics (GI)

Areas of expertise: Computational biology

17 Filippa Lentzos Senior Research Fellow, King’s College London

Affiliation and address: Department of Global Health & Social Medicine and Department of War Studies King’s College London Bush House | 30 Aldwych | London WC2B 4BG | United Kingdom [email protected]

www.filippalentzos.com | www.kcl.ac.uk/ghsm | www.kcl.ac.uk/warstudies

Academic background and career (selection): since 2017 Senior Research Fellow, Depts of GHSM and of War Studies, King’s College London 2012-2017 Senior Research Fellow, Dept of GHSM, King’s College London 2007-2011 Senior Research Fellow, BIOS Centre, London School of Economics 2006-2007 Research Fellow, BIOS Centre, London School of Economics 2003-2006 Postdoctoral Fellow, BIOS Centre, London School of Economics and Center for Study of Law and Society at the University of California, Berkeley 2002-2003 Postdoctoral Fellow, Centre for Analysis of Risk & Regulation, London School of Economics

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2018 Associate Senior Researcher within Armament and Disarmament at the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) since 2018 Biosecurity columnist at the Bulletin of Atomic Scientists since 2016 NGO Coordinator for the Biological Weapons Convention since 2009 Associate Editor of the journal BioSocieties

Areas of expertise: Biosecurity, biological disarmament, governance, risk regulation

18 Ragnar Löfstedt Professor of Risk Management and Director of King’s Centre for Risk Management, King’s College London

Affiliation and address: King’s Centre for Risk Management | Bush House 30 Aldwych | London WC2B 4BG | United Kingdom [email protected] www.kcl.ac.uk

Academic background and career: since 2002 Professor of Risk Management and Director of King’s Centre for Risk Management, King’s College London since 2002 Adjunct Professor at the Department of Engineering and Public Policy, Carnegie Mellon University, Pennsylvania since 2002 Adjunct Professor at the Centre for Public Sector Research, Gothenburg University, Sweden 1999-2004 Adjunct faculty at the Harvard Center for Risk Analysis, Harvard School of Public Health, Boston/Massachusetts 1999-2001 Reader (Associate professor), University of Surrey, UK 1993-1999 Lecturer in social geography at the Centre for Environmental Strategy, University of Surrey, UK 1993 Post-doctorate position at the Risk, Society and Policy Group at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA), Laxenburg/Austria 1993 PhD in geography at Clark University, Massachusetts

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): 2008 Distinguished Educator Award by the Society for Risk Analysis “in recognition of exceptional contributions to the field of risk analysis” 2006 Outstanding Service Award, Society for Risk Analysis 2005 Fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis (SRA) 2000 Chauncey Starr Award for exceptional contributions to the field of risk analysis under the age of 40, Society for Risk Analysis

Areas of expertise: Risk communication, evidence-based policy making in Europe

19 Jochem Marotzke Director at the Max Planck Institute for Meteorology

Affiliation and address: Max Planck Institute for Meteorology Bundesstr. 53 | 20146 Hamburg | Germany [email protected] www.mpimet.mpg.de

Academic background and career: since 2006 Honorary Professor, University of Hamburg since 2003 Director and Scientific Member, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg 1999-2003 Professor of Physical Oceanography, Southampton Oceanography Centre (UK) 1992-1999 Assistant and Associate Professor of Physical Oceanography, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Cambridge, MA, USA 1990 PhD, Physical Oceanography, University of Kiel

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2017 Member of the National Academy of Science and Engineering (acatech) since 2012 Chair of the Scientific Advisory Board, Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel (GEOMAR) 2010-2013 Coordinating Lead Author, IPCC Assessment Report 5 and 6 2009 Fridtjof Nansen Medal of the European Geosciences Union 2007 Election to Deutsche Akademie der Naturforscher Leopoldina (German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina)

Areas of expertise: Climate change, climate modelling

20 Armin Nassehi Chair for Sociology and Theory of Society, Department of Sociology, LMU Munich

Affiliation and address: Department of Sociology Konradstr. 6 | 80801 Munich | Germany [email protected] www.nassehi.de © Hans-Günther Kaufmann © Hans-Günther

Academic background and career: since 2012 Member of the Board of the Research Institute of Philosophy, Hannover 2005-2009 Vice-Dean of the Faculty of Social Science; since 2009 senator of the University of Munich and member of the University Council since 1998 Chair of Sociology at the University of Munich 1994-1998 Assistant Professor of Sociology at the University of Münster, Germany 1994 Habilitation in sociology, University of Münster 1992 PhD (sociology), University of Münster 1985 Degree (Diploma) in Education at University of Münster

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2012 Editor of the journal "Kursbuch” Author of about 20 books and more than 150 contributions to books and journals. since 2001 working as management counsultant and keynote speaker in business companies, government departments, cultural institutions etc. Lots of interviews and contributions in newspapers, radio broad- casting and TV Complete list of publications available under

Areas of expertise: Social theory, theory of modernity and modern society, sociology of culture, political sociology, migration

21 Ellen Peters Distinguished Professor of Psychology and Director of the Decision Sciences Collaborative, The Ohio State University

Affiliation and address: The Ohio State University 1827 Neil Avenue | 132 Lazenby Hall | Columbus OH 43210 | USA [email protected] twitter: ellenpetersjdm | Lab website: bit.ly/CAIDeLab © Martin Tusler © Martin

Academic background and career: since 2017 Distinguished Professor of Psychology, The Ohio State University since 2017 Professor, Department of Marketing and Logistics, Fisher College of Business, The Ohio State University (courtesy) since 2015 Professor, Department of Internal Medicine, The Ohio State University College of Medicine (courtesy) since 2012 Professor of Psychology, The Ohio State University 2010-2012 Associate Professor of Psychology, The Ohio State University 2006-2010 Senior Research Scientist, Decision Research, Eugene, OR 1998 PhD (Psychology), University of Oregon

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): 2018 Fellow, American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS) 2015-2017 Member, Committee on the Science of Science Communication: A Research Agenda, The National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine, Division of Behavioral and Social Sciences and Education 2014-2015 President, Society for Judgment and Decision Making 2011-2013 Chair. Risk Communication Advisory Committee, Food and Drug Administration, Bethesda, MD. since 2009 Member, group on Cognitive, Affective, and Social Processes in health Research (CASPhR), Behavioral Research Program, National Cancer Institute, Bethesda, MD. Awarded NIH Merit Award for our work.

Areas of expertise: Judgment and decision making, risk perception and communication, affect and emotion, numeracy, age differences

22 Garry Peterson Professor of Environmental Science with specialization in resilience in social-ecological systems, Stockholm University Head of Subject Sustainability Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre

Affiliation and address: Stockholm Resilience Centre | Stockholm University Kräftriket 2B | 10691 | Sweden [email protected] www.stockholmresilience.org

Academic background and career: since 2011 Professor of Environmental Science, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University 2009-2011 Researcher, Stockholm Resilience Centre, Stockholm University 2003-2009 Assistant Professor & Canada Research Chair, Department of Geography & McGill School of Environment, McGill University, Montreal 2000-2003 Postdoctoral Researcher, Center for Limnology, University of Wisconsin - Madison 1999-2000 Postdoctoral Researcher, National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, University of California - Santa Barbara 1999 PhD (Zoology), University of Florida 1991 BASc Systems Design Engineering University of Waterloo, Canada

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2015 Co-lead Seeds of Good Anthropocene project (goodanthropocenes.net) since 2014 Member Models and Scenarios Working Group of the Intergovernmental Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) 2013-2016 Co-lead, and science lead for Arctic Council’s Arctic Resilience Report since 2003 Member of board of Resilience Alliance, an international part- nership aimed at improving the theory and practice of ecological management

Areas of expertise: Ecosystem services, tipping points, futures

23 Ortwin Renn Managing Scientific Director Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies, Potsdam (IASS)

Affiliation and address: Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies Berliner Str. 130 | 14467 Potsdam | Germany [email protected] www.iass-potsdam.de

Academic background and career: since 2016 Scientific Director at the Institute for Advanced Sustainability Studies (IASS) in Potsdam since 2016 Chair and coordinator of the Kopernikus Research Consortium: Systems Integration and Coupling of Energy Systems (E-Navi) 2013-2016 Dean of the Department of Economic & Social Sciences (University of Stuttgart) 2012-2016 Director of the Center for Interdisciplinary Risk and Innovation Research at the University of Stuttgart (ZIRIUS) since 2003 Director of the non-profit company DIALOGIK, a research institute for investigating communication and participation processes in environmental policy making. since 1994 Full Professor and Chair of Environmental Sociology and Technology Assessment of Stuttgart University (Germany).

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2018 Chair of the Board of Trustees of the Technical University Berlin since 2016 Chair of the Working Group „Making Sense of Science“, commissioned by SAPEA (Science Advise on Policy of the European Academies of Science) and SAM (Scientific Advise Mechanism) for the EU Commission since 2012 President of the „European Virtual Risk Institute“ Stuttgart since 2009 Affiliate professorship at Beijing Normal University since 2008 Adjunct professor for “integrated risk analysis” at Stavanger University (Norway).

Areas of expertise: Risk governance, sustainability studies, public involvement, technology assessment

24 Martin Schröder Professor of Sociology

Affiliation and address: University of Marburg Institute of Sociology Ketzerbach 11 | 35037 Marburg | Germany [email protected] www.uni-marburg.de

Academic background and career (selection): since 2016 Professor, Institute of Sociology, Marburg University 2013-2016 Junior professor, Institute of Sociology, Marburg University 2011-2012 Postdoc: Centre for European Studies, Harvard University, Cambridge, MA 2009-2010 Postdoc: Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies, Cologne 2006-2010 Doctoral student: Max Planck Institute for the Study of Societies, Cologne

Areas of expertise: Social inequality, life satisfaction research, empirical gender studies, welfare states, varieties of capitalism, internationally comparative research, political economy, economic sociology

25 Didier Sornette Professor, Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks, ETH Zurich

Affiliation and address: Department of Management, Technology and Economics (D-MTEC) ETH Zurich Scheuchzerstrasse 7 | 8092 Zurich | Switzerland [email protected] www.er.ethz.ch

Academic background and scientific career: since 2006 Professor, Chair of Entrepreneurial Risks, ETH Zurich 1992 Visiting scientist at the Institute of Theoretical Physics at Santa Barbara, CA 1990-2006 Research director at CNRS, France 1986-1990 Visiting scientist at the Ecole Polytechnique, Paris 1985-1986 Post-doc at College de France in the Condensed Matter Laboratory of Prof. P.G. de Gennes 1985 PhD at University of Nice in Physical Sciences 1984 Visiting scientist at ANU, Canberra, Australia 1981-1990 Research scientist of the CNRS

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2011 Founding member of the Risk Center at ETH Zurich since 2008 Director of the Financial Crisis Observatory since 2007 Professor of Physics associated with the Department of Physics and Professor of Geophysics associated with the Department of Earth Sciences, ETH Zurich

Areas of expertise: Prediction of social, commercial and marketing success; prediction of crises and extreme events in complex systems and risk management, with applications to social and natural systems innovation, entrepreneurship, risks and resilience of complex systems

26 Nassim Nicholas Taleb Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering, New York University Tandon School of Engineering

Affiliation and address: New York University Tandon School of Engineering | Polytechnic Institute 6 MetroTech Center Brooklyn, NY 11201 | USA [email protected] www.fooledbyrandomness.com

Academic background and career (selection): 2009-2013 Distinguished Research Scholar, Oxford University, Said Business School BT Center since 2008 Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering, New York University Tandon School of Engineering 2007-2009 Visiting Research Professor, London Business School 2005-2007 Dean’s Professor, University of Massachusetts at Amherst, Isenberg School of Management 1999-2007 Fellow, and Adjunct Professor of Mathematics, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York University

Areas of expertise: Taleb's works focuses on mathematical, philosophical, and practical problems with risk and probability, as well as on the properties of systems that can handle disorder. He spent 21 years as a derivatives trader and, after closing 650,000 op- tion transactions and examining 200,000 risk reports, he changed careers in 2006 to become a scholar, mathematical researcher and philosophical essayist

27 Julius Weitzdörfer Research Associate, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk Director of Studies and Affiliated Lecturer, Faculty of Law, University of Cambridge

Affiliation and address: Centre for the Study of Existential Risk | University of Cambridge 16 Mill Lane | Cambridge CB2 | United Kingdom [email protected] www.cser.ac.uk

Academic background and scientific career: 2018 Dr iur, Hamburg University 2017 MA, University of Cambridge since 2014 Director of Studies in Law and Charles & Katharine Darwin Research Fellow, Darwin College; Affiliated Lecturer, Faculty of Law; Research Associate, Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, University of Cambridge 2011-2012 JSPS Fellow, Kyoto University 2010 First Judicial Examination, Hamburg 2009-2013 Research Assistant, Max-Planck-Institute, Hamburg 2005-2009 LLB, Bucerius Law School (Waseda University, Tokyo; Fudan University, Shanghai)

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2018 Parliamentary Researcher, Prof Lord Martin Rees, Baron Rees of Ludlow, OM, FRS, FREng, FMedSci, FBA, FRAS, SD h.c. (Harvard), The House of Lords, United Kingdom since 2018 advisor to the UK All-Party Parliamentary Group on Future Generations 2017 selected as Future Leader, Science and Technology in Society Forum, Kyoto 2017 selected as a Technology and Innovation Delegate, Academy of Achievement

Areas of expertise: Risk governance and crisis management, environmental-, energy- (nuclear), and disaster-law

28 Lothar H. Wieler President of the Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany

Affiliation and address: Robert Koch Institute Nordufer 20 | 13353 Berlin | Germany [email protected] www.rki.de © Schnartendorff RKI 2018 © Schnartendorff

Academic background and career (selection): since 2015 President of the Robert Koch Institute, Berlin, Germany 1998-2015 Full professor and Director of the Institute of Microbiology and Epizootics, Department of Veterinary Medicine, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany 2003-2009 Dean of research in the Department of Veterinary Medicine, Freie Universität Berlin, Germany 1990-1998 Institute of Hygiene and Infectious Diseases of Animals, Justus Liebig University Gießen, Germany 1997 Board certification for Microbiology 1996 Habilitation (field: Infectious Diseases and Hygiene of Animals; Institute of Hygiene and Infectious Diseases of Animals, Justus Liebig University Gießen, Germany) 1988 Doctoral thesis (Institute of Medical Microbiology, Infection and Epidemic Diseases, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität Munich, Germany)

Further positions, memberships and distinctions (selection): since 2018 Member of the Strategic and Technical Advisory Group for Infectious Hazards (STAG-IH) of the World Health Organisation (WHO) since 2018 Member of the European Advisory Committee on Health Research (EACHR) of WHO/Europe since 2017 Member of the IANPHI (International Association of National Public Health Institutes) Executive Board since 2015 Vice-board spokesman for the project consortium “InfectControl 2020”

Areas of expertise: Microbiology, veterinary medicine

29 The German National Academy of Sciences Leopoldina brings together the expertise of some 1,500 distinguished scientists to bear on questions of social and political relevance, publishing unbiased and timely scientific opinions. The Leopoldina represents the German scientific community in international committees and pursues the advancement of science for the benefit of humankind and for a better future.

The Joint Committee on the Handling of Security-Relevant Research was established by the German Research Foundation (DFG) and the Leopoldina to raise awareness amongst researchers of dual-use issues in security-relevant research and to further develop and foster both a responsible approach to security-relevant research and self-governance within the research community. Venue workshop

4 July 2019 Keynote Lecture Potsdam Museum, Am Alten Markt 9, 14467 Potsdam 5-6 July Conference Hotel Mercure, Lange Brücke, 14467 Potsdam 30