No Change on Burr
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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE March 17, 2010 INTERVIEWS: DEAN DEBNAM 888-621-6988 / 919-880-4888 (serious media inquiries only please, other questions can be directed to Tom Jensen) QUESTIONS ABOUT THE POLL: TOM JENSEN 919-744-6312 No Change on Burr Raleigh, N.C. – North Carolina voters continue to be pretty evenly divided three ways between liking Richard Burr, disliking Burr, and being ambivalent toward Burr. 35% of voters this month say they approve of his job performance with 37% disapproving and 28% having no opinion. Burr continues to hold the lead over all of his Democratic opponents. Elaine Marshall comes closest at a 41-36 disadvantage while Cal Cunningham and Kenneth Lewis trails by identical 43-32 margins. Burr holds a 16-20 point lead with independents against all three of the Democratic candidates, and has 83-85% of the Republican vote locked up while the Democrats poll at 59-64% within their own party. There continue to be indications that this race will tighten up once the Democrats have a nominee. The field of candidates is pretty anonymous at this point- 71% of voters have no opinion about Marshall and that goes up to 85% for Lewis and 86% for Cunningham. Against a generic Democratic opponent Burr currently leads just 41-39. “So far this race is mirroring the 2008 Senate contest in North Carolina,” said Dean Debnam, President of Public Policy Polling. “We have an incumbent with weak approval ratings and a Democratic field full of unknowns, allowing the incumbent to hold a solid early lead. Whether Richard Burr will meet the same fate as Elizabeth Dole once the Democrats have a candidate remains to be seen.” PPP will release its monthly numbers on Bev Perdue tomorrow. PPP surveyed 878 North Carolina voters from March 12th to 15th. The survey’s margin of error is +/-3.3%. Other factors, such as refusal to be interviewed and weighting, may introduce additional error that is more difficult to quantify. Complete results are attached and can be found at www.publicpolicypolling.com. If you would like an interview regarding this release, please contact Dean Debnam at (888) 621-6988 or 919-880-4888. ### Public Policy Polling Phone: 888 621-6988 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Web: www.publicpolicypolling.com Raleigh, NC 27604 Email: [email protected] North Carolina Survey Results Q1 Do you approve or disapprove of Democratic Q6 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Senator Kay Hagan's job performance? If you of Elaine Marshall? If favorable, press 1. If approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press 2. unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press If you're not sure, press 3. 3. Approve .................. 31% Not Sure.................. 25% Favorable........................................................ 17% Disapprove.............. 44% Unfavorable .................................................... 12% Q2 Do you approve or disapprove of Republican Not Sure.......................................................... 71% Senator Richard Burr's job performance? If Q7 If the candidates for US Senate next year were you approve, press 1. If you disapprove, press Democrat Cal Cunningham and Republican 2. If you're not sure, press 3. Richard Burr, who would you vote for? If Cal Approve .......................................................... 35% Cunningham, press 1. If Richard Burr, press 2. Disapprove...................................................... 37% If you’re undecided, press 3. Cunningham ................................................... 32% Not Sure.......................................................... 28% Burr................................................................. Q3 Generally speaking, next year would you vote 43% to reelect Republican Richard Burr or vote for Undecided....................................................... 25% his Democratic opponent? If you would vote for Q8 If the candidates for US Senate next year were Burr, press 1. If you would vote for his Democrat Kenneth Lewis and Republican Democratic opponent, press 2. If you’re not Richard Burr, who would you vote for? If sure, press 3. Kenneth Lewis, press 1. If Richard Burr, press Burr................................................................. 41% 2. If you’re undecided, press 3. Democrat ........................................................ 39% Lewis .............................................................. 32% Not Sure.......................................................... 20% Burr................................................................. 43% Q4 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion Undecided....................................................... 25% of Cal Cunningham? If favorable, press 1. If Q9 If the candidates for US Senate next year were unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press Democrat Elaine Marshall and Republican 3. Richard Burr, who would you vote for? If Favorable .............. 4% Not Sure................ 86% Elaine Marshall, press 1. If Richard Burr, press Unfavorable........... 10% 2. If you’re undecided, press 3. Marshall .......................................................... Q5 Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion 36% of Kenneth Lewis? If favorable, press 1. If Burr................................................................. 41% unfavorable, press 2. If you’re not sure, press Undecided....................................................... 3. 23% Favorable........................................................ 5% Unfavorable .................................................... 9% Not SuSurere.................................................................................................................... 85% March 12-15, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 878 North Carolina voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q10 Who did you vote for President last year? If Q13 Would you describe the community you live in John McCain, press 1. If Barack Obama, press as urban, suburban, rural, or a small town? If 2. If someone else or you don’t remember, urban, press 1. If suburban, press 2. If rural, press 3. press 3. If a small town, press 4. McCain............................................................ 48% Urban.............................................................. 14% Obama............................................................ 47% Suburban ........................................................ 27% Someone else/Don't remember ...................... 6% Rural ............................................................... 29% Q11 Would you describe yourself as a liberal, Small Town..................................................... 30% moderate, or conservative? If liberal, press 1. If Q14 If you are a woman, press 1, if a man, press 2. moderate, press 2. If conservative, press 3. Woman ........................................................... 53% Liberal............................................................. 17% Man................................................................. 47% Moderate......................................................... 42% Conservative................................................... Q15 If you are a Democrat, press 1. If you are a 41% Republican, press 2. If you are an independent Q12 I am going to name 7 issues. Which of these is or identify with another party, press 3. most important to you? The War in Iraq, Democrat ........................................................ 47% education, the economy and jobs, taxes, moral or family values, health care, or immigration. If RepublicRepublicanan............................................................................................................ 35% the War in Iraq is most important, press 1. If Independent/OtIndependent/Otherher.................................................................................... 18% education, press 2. If the economy and jobs, press 3. If taxes, press 4. If moral and family Q16 If you are white, press one now. If you are values, press 5. If health care, press 6. If African-American, press two now. If other, immigration, press 7. If some other issue is press 3. most important, press 8. White .............................................................. 77% War in Iraq ...................................................... 5% African-American ............................................ 20% Education........................................................ 9% Other............................................................... 3% Economy and Jobs ......................................... 53% Q17 If you are 18 to 29 years old, press 1 now. If Taxes.............................................................. 5% you are 30 to 45, press 2. If you are 46 to 65, press 3. If older, press 4. Moral and family values .................................. 14% 18 to 29........................................................... 10% Health care ..................................................... 12% 30 to 45........................................................... 26% Immigration ..................................................... 2% 46 to 65........................................................... 46% Other............................................................... 2% Older than 65 .................................................. 18% March 12-15, 2010 3020 Highwoods Blvd. Survey of 878 North Carolina voters Raleigh, NC 27604 [email protected] / 888 621-6988 Q18 252.................................................................. 14% 336.................................................................