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RTD 2011 Annual Report to DRCOG on Fastracks 4-3-12

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RTD 2011 Annual Report to DRCOG on Fastracks 4-3-12 2011 Annual Report to DRCOG on FasTracks Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY ...................................................................................... 1 INTRODUCTION ................................................................................................ 13 1.0 Project Definition: Scope and Costs ......................................................... 13 1.1 Project9B Definition and Scope ............................................................................... 13 1.2 Current10B Plan and Costs ....................................................................................... 15 1.3 201211B Annual Program Evaluation (APE) ............................................................. 25 1.3.1 Cost23B and Revenue Challenges, Risk Factors, and Opportunities ............... 25 1.3.1.141B Construction Costs and Variability ......................................................... 26 1.3.1.242B Sales And Use Tax Forecast Change .................................................... 28 1.3.1.3 Management Reserve Fund 43B................................................................... 30 1.3.1.4 Railroad Negotiations ............................................................................. 31 1.3.1.544B Grant Opportunities ................................................................................ 31 1.3.2 Results24B of the 2012 APE ............................................................................ 32 1.3.2.145B Major Changes from 2011 APE .............................................................. 32 1.3.2.247B Financial Plan Alternatives Considered .................................................. 34 1.3.2.348B RTD Board Financial Plan Selection ...................................................... 36 1.3.3 Collaborative25B Efforts ................................................................................... 36 1.3.3.149B Metro Mayors FasTracks Task Force ..................................................... 36 1.3.3.250B Sales and Use Tax Forecast Working Group ......................................... 38 1.3.3.351B FasTracks Construction Inflation Workshop ........................................... 39 1.3.3.4 FasTracks Construction Review Council ................................................ 39 1.4 Status12B of FasTracks Lines ................................................................................... 42 1.4.1 Central26B Rail Extension ................................................................................ 42 1.4.2 Denver27B Union Station ................................................................................. 44 1.4.3 Eagle28B Project ............................................................................................. 48 1.4.3.153B East Rail Line ......................................................................................... 50 1.4.3.254B Gold Line ............................................................................................... 52 1.4.3.355B Northwest Rail Line – Phase 1 ............................................................... 54 1.4.3.456B Commuter Rail Maintenance Facility ...................................................... 56 1.4.4 I29B -225 Rail Line ............................................................................................ 58 1.4.5 Maintenance30B Facilities ................................................................................ 60 1.4.5.157B Light Rail Maintenance Facility ............................................................... 60 1.4.6 North31B Metro Rail Line ................................................................................. 62 1.4.7 Northwest32B Rail Line – Phase 2 ................................................................... 64 1.4.8 Northwest Rail Line – Phase 3 ................................................................... 64 1.4.9 Northwest BRT ........................................................................................... 66 1.4.10 Southeast33B Rail Extension ......................................................................... 68 1.4.11 Southwest34B Rail Extension......................................................................... 70 1.4.12 US35B 36 Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Line - Phase 1 ........................................ 73 1.4.13 US36B 36 Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) Line - Phase 2 ........................................ 73 1.4.14 West Rail Line .......................................................................................... 76 2.0 Summary2B of Financial Plan ....................................................................... 78 3.0 Implementation3B Schedule .......................................................................... 79 3.1 14BModifications to Line/Project Schedules .............................................................. 79 3.2 Status15B of Environmental Process ........................................................................ 85 4.0 Bus4B Service Levels ..................................................................................... 88 TOC i 2011 Annual Report to DRCOG on FasTracks 5.0 OperatingB Characteristics ......................................................................... 88 6.0 Transit6B Oriented Development (TOD) ....................................................... 98 7.0 Downtown7B Denver Circulator .................................................................. 102 8.0 Other8B FasTracks Plan Elements.............................................................. 104 8.1 Legislative16B Update ............................................................................................ 104 8.1.1 Senate38B Bill 11-223, concerning state sales tax revenues retained by a vendor as compensation for expenses incurred by the vendor in the collection and remittance of such tax revenues to the state, and making an appropriation therefore. ............................................................................................................. 104 8.2 Quality7B Management Oversight ......................................................................... 104 8.3 Quality18B of Life (QoL) .......................................................................................... 105 8.4 FasTracks19B Public Information/Public Outreach Program ................................... 105 8.5 Citizens20B Advisory Committee (CAC) ................................................................. 109 8.6 Sustainability21B Program ...................................................................................... 109 8.7 FastConnects22B .................................................................................................... 111 8.8 Workforce Initiative Now (WIN) .......................................................................... 113 8.9 Transformation through Transportation (T3) Industry Forum ............................. 113 List of Figures Figure 1: FasTracks Plan - Rapid Transit Lines ............................................. 14 Figure 2: Historical Copper Prices .................................................................. 26 Figure 3: Historical Crude Oil Barrel Prices ................................................... 27 Figure 4: Unit Costs for Running Rail (per ton) .............................................. 27 Figure 5: Unit Costs for Reinforcing Steel (Cwt) ............................................ 28 Figure 6: Projected Sales and Use Tax Growth 2005-2035, 2011 vs. 2012 APE .................................................................................................................... 30 Figure 7: FasTracks Program Capital Cost Summary (YOE$) ...................... 33 Figure 8: Historical Perspective of Tax Revenue Forecasts 2005-2035 ....... 33 Figure 9: Central Rail Extension ...................................................................... 43 Figure 10: Denver Union Station Transit Improvements ............................... 44 Figure 11: Denver Union Station ..................................................................... 45 Figure 12: Eagle Project ................................................................................... 49 Figure 13: East Rail Line .................................................................................. 51 Figure 14: Gold Line ......................................................................................... 53 Figure 15: Northwest Rail Line ........................................................................ 55 Figure 16: CRMF Site Location ........................................................................ 57 Figure 17: I-225 Rail Line .................................................................................. 59 TOC ii 2011 Annual Report to DRCOG on FasTracks Figure 18: Light Rail Maintenance Facility ..................................................... 60 Figure 19: North Metro Rail Line ...................................................................... 63 Figure 20: Northwest Rail Line ........................................................................ 65 Figure 21: Northwest BRT ................................................................................ 67 Figure 22: Southeast Line ................................................................................ 69 Figure 23: Southwest Rail Line ........................................................................ 71 Figure 24: US 36 BRT Line ............................................................................... 75 Figure 25: West
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