A Renewal of Protest? Observing the Yellow Vests Through the Biographical Lens”
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Forex Medium-Term Outlook(Jan, 2019)
Forex Medium-Term Outlook 26 December 2018 Mizuho Bank, Ltd. Forex Department 【Contents】 Overview of Outlook ・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 2 USD/JPY Outlook –Time for a Change in the Premise 2019 – Vital Points for Global Economy; The Year in Which the True Price of Rate Hikes Emerges ・・・・ ・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・ ・ P. 3 2019 – Vital Points for Forex Rates; Time for a Change in the Premise・・・・・・・・・・・P. 5 U.S. Monetary Policies Now and Going Forward – The First Step into a New Phase・・・・・P. 6 Overview of Tail Risks – Potentials for the Unexpected in Japan, the United States, and Europe・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・ P. 1 0 EUR Outlook – ‒ “Increasing Caution” and “Continuing Confidence” ECB Monetary Policies Now and Going Forward – APP Termination and Outlook Regarding Reinvestment・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 4 Uncertain future Reflected in French “Yellow Vests” Riots – Issues the EU Should Worry About・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 5 Ongoing Shift to a “Post-Merkel” Germany and EU – The EUR 3.0 Era・・・・・・・・・・P. 1 7 Medium-Term Forex Outlook 1 Mizuho Bank Ltd. Overview of Outlook USD/JPY clearly fell in December. In line with the concerns I have consistently expressed in this report, the prices of risky assets have been forced to undergo a correction in response to the increase in U.S. interest rates. The Fed had until recently remained indifferent to this asset price volatility, but it may finally no longer be able to ignore the fluctuations. This is evidenced by the fact that Committee members were forced in December to downgrade their dot plot projections for the entire forecasting period. Market predictions, however, are even more pessimistic than those suggested by the revised dot plot, with some even predicting the end of rate hikes altogether. -
ZAD, Commune, Metropolis
ZAD Commune Metropolis 24 1 Metropolis Against the Airport and Its World 23 ZAD Commune Metropolis 22 ‘That it might take a generation to build a victorious revolu- tionary movement in all its breadth does not cause us to waver. We envisage this with serenity.’ Just before boarding the ferry, you check the internet and see that the police have pulled out of two main crossroads in the ZAD. The Interior Ministry can no longer maintain its milita- rized presence without hindering its ability to protect Paris. In this period of weakness, the Zone to Defend will grow. You close the internet, walk out of the cafe, and into the streets of Calais, filled with immigrants trying to reach their families on the isle. It is the spring of 2013. Where are the words, where is the house, where are my ancestors, where are my loves and where are my friends? There are none, my child. Everything has to be built. You must build the language that you will live in, You must build the house cover artwork by Jannis Kounellis, “Untitled works”, 1999 where you’ll no longer be alone. You must find the ancestors layout & printing by the Anti-Cybernetics League, Oakland, CA, 2013 who will make you more free, “ZAD, Commune, Metropolis” originally published on 4/28/2013 at: and you must invent the new www.indymedia.org.uk/en/2013/04/509012.html sentimental education through which once again, for more info about the ZAD visit: you will love. zad.nadir.org/?lang=en zinelibrary.info/against-airport-and-its-world/ 4 21 ruins the old world has left within us and which remain to be demolished.'' a few preliminary notes.. -
Nuit Debout: a Nova Barricada De Paris?
Nuit Debout: a nova barricada de Paris? Marcia Camargos ontra as minas terrestres, a caça aos animais selva- gens, o abate de bovinos, “que sofrem como nós”, contra o apartheid palestino, a perseguição aos curdos, a insegurança no bairro chinês, a islamo- fobia, a violência de Estado, as guerras, a Lei do Trabalho ou o governo golpista de Michel Temer. Escolha a sua causa e levante a sua bandeira. Na Place de la République, na interseção entre três distritos, os arrondissements da capital francesa, cabem todos os protestos. Local preferido dos insatisfeitos de plantão, ela tornou-se o ponto de partida ou chegada das manifestações cada vez mais frequentes na cidade. Isso, apesar do Estado de urgência em vigor, dando poderes extraordinários à polícia e proibindo as aglomerações. Resposta do governo François Hollande aos atentados terroristas que se abateram sobre a França, e medida preventi- va contra futuros ataques, foi decretado na tarde de 14 de novembro de 2015 em todo o território nacional. Oficialmente ainda em vigor, acabou re- C laxado, pouco a pouco, diante da crescente pres- MARCIA CAMARGOS é jornalista e escritora com pós-doutorado em História pela USP. Revista USP • São Paulo • n. 111 • p. 169-172 • outubro/novembro/dezembro 2016 169 textos / Homenagem são da opinião pública, dos movimentos sociais e e da prosperidade. Na esquerda repousa uma tábua dos sindicatos, que contestam as interdições. Dia com as inscrição “Droits de l’Homme”. sim, dia não, eles fecham o trânsito com passeatas Originalmente Place du Château d’Eau, de todo tipo e tamanho que, não raro, terminam nome derivado da enorme fonte de 1811, saída em confrontos com a polícia, além de detenções da prancheta de Pierre-Simon Girard para trazer e feridos. -
Yellow Vests, Carbon Tax Aversion, and Biased Beliefs
YELLOW VESTS,CARBON TAX AVERSION, AND BIASED BELIEFS* Thomas Douenne and Adrien Fabre† Abstract This paper seeks to understand how beliefs endogenously form and determine attitudes towards policies. Using a new survey and National households’ survey data, we investigate the case of car- bon taxation in France in the context of the Yellow Vests movement that started against it. We find that French people would largely reject a Tax & Dividend policy, i.e. a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uniformly to all households. However, they also overestimate the negative impact of the scheme on their purchasing power, wrongly think it is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. Using information about the scheme as instrument to identify robust causal effects, our econometric analysis shows that correcting these three biases would suffice to generate majority approval. Yet, we find that people’s beliefs are persistent and their revisions biased towards pessimism so that only a small minority can be convinced. Indeed, if overly pes- simistic beliefs cause tax rejection, they also result from it through motivated reasoning, which manifests what we define as “tax aversion”. JEL classification: D72; D91; H23; H31; Q58 Keywords: Climate Policy; Carbon tax; Bias; Beliefs; Preferences; Tax aversion *Acknowledgments: We are grateful to Mouez Fodha, Fanny Henriet and Katheline Schubert for their comments and their help to get funding. We also thank Béatrice Boulu-Reshef, Stefano Carattini, Nicolas Jacquemet, Mathias Lé, Linus Mattauch, Joseph Stiglitz, Thierry Verdier, seminar participants at the Paris School of Economics and an anonymous referee of the FAERE Working Paper series. -
Macron, the Yellow Vests and the National Debate. Playing for Time, Not Solving the Political Legitimacy Crisis
NO. 17 MARCH 2019 Introduction Macron, the Yellow Vests and the National Debate Playing for Time, Not Solving the Political Legitimacy Crisis Ronja Kempin and Paweł Tokarski France’s yellow vests (gilets jaunes) are heterogeneous, make contradictory demands, and refuse to give up. Since November 2018 they have been demonstrating for more purchasing power and greater democracy. Having made financial concessions, Presi- dent Emmanuel Macron is now playing for time. He has initiated a “grand national debate”, in which all citizens were called on to voice their opinions concerning future political issues. This debate is likely to help him win the European Parliament (EP) elections in May and facilitate splintering the yellow vests. To avert further protests that could paralyse the country, delegitimise his government and ensure that his presidency fails, Macron needs to improve the way he communicates his reform agenda. Merely playing for time will not make France reformable and governable for this president, any more than it did for his predecessors. The protests never end. Since 17 November are held by the rural lower-middle class, 2018, people wearing high-visibility yel- including craftsmen and women and shop- low vests have been taking to the streets keepers. They can barely earn a living from of France on Saturdays. The protests by their work and are afraid of sliding into the yellow vests, organised nationwide, were poverty. Politically, according the yellow initially directed against the higher tax on vests, they have no voice. They reject the fossil fuels planned by President Macron. support of the trade unions and parties of They quickly evolved into a list of 42 the political left, which previously chan- demands. -
Yellow Vests, Pessimistic Beliefs, and Carbon Tax Aversion
YELLOW VESTS,PESSIMISTIC BELIEFS, AND CARBON TAX AVERSION* Thomas Douenne and Adrien Fabre† Link to most recent version Abstract Using a representative survey, we find that after the Yellow Vests movement, French people would largely reject a Tax & Dividend policy, i.e. a carbon tax whose revenues are redistributed uni- formly to each adult. However, they overestimate their net monetary loss, wrongly think the policy is regressive, and do not perceive it as environmentally effective. We show that changing people’s beliefs about the tax incidence and effectiveness can largely increase support. Yet, beliefs change little following our informational treatments. Indeed, if overly pessimistic beliefs cause tax rejec- tion, they also result from it through motivated reasoning, which manifests what we define as “tax aversion”. JEL classification: D72; D91; H23; H31; Q58 Keywords: Climate Policy; Carbon tax; Beliefs; Preferences; Tax aversion *Acknowledgments: We are grateful to Mouez Fodha, Fanny Henriet and Katheline Schubert for their comments and their help to get funding. We also thank Stefano Carattini, Linus Mattauch, Joseph Stiglitz, Thierry Verdier, as well as seminar participants at the Paris School of Economics, Columbia University, University of Pennsylvenia, University of Amsterdam, University of Quebec at Montréal, KU Leuven, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Environmental Defense Fund, EIEE-CMCC (Milan), OECD, OFCE, and conference participants at FSR Climate Annual Conference (Florence), ADRES (Lyon), FAERE (Rennes). We are thankful to Christina Hobbs for the proof- reading. We are grateful to anonymous referees for their insightful comments and suggestions. We acknowledge financial support from the Cepremap, EUR PGSE (ANR-17-EURE-0001) ANR (ANR16-CE03-0011), and Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne economics doctoral school (ED 465). -
Moosejaw Market Expansion Into France
Bowling Green State University ScholarWorks@BGSU Honors Projects Honors College Spring 5-17-2019 Moosejaw Market Expansion into France Rachel Renou [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/honorsprojects Part of the Business Administration, Management, and Operations Commons, E-Commerce Commons, International Business Commons, and the Marketing Commons Repository Citation Renou, Rachel, "Moosejaw Market Expansion into France" (2019). Honors Projects. 439. https://scholarworks.bgsu.edu/honorsprojects/439 This work is brought to you for free and open access by the Honors College at ScholarWorks@BGSU. It has been accepted for inclusion in Honors Projects by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks@BGSU. 1 Moosejaw Market Expansion into France Rachel Renou Honors Project Submitted to the Honors College at Bowling Green State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for graduation with UNIVERSITY HONORS DATE Dr. Zhang Management Department; College of Business, Advisor Dr. Gremler Marketing Department; College of Business, Advisor 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary…………………………………………………………………………….....3 Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………..4 Background……………….…………………………………………………………………….....5 Country Analysis………………………………………………………………………...…….….8 Political Environment……………………………………………..………………..…..…8 Social/Cultural Environment………………………………………………………….....11 Industry/Business Analysis…………………………………………………………………..….16 Five Forces Analysis……………………………………………………………………….....….22 SWOT Analysis……………………………………………………………………………….....27 -
'68 to Nuit Debout: Shifting Perspectives on France's Anti-Police
From mai-juin ’68 to Nuit Debout: Shifting perspectives on France’s anti-police Chris Reynolds, Nottingham Trent University Abstract In the great drama that was mai-juin 1968, the police were unquestionably a central actor. In particular, they played a pivotal role in transforming what started out as a relatively minor, student-based rebellion into a nationwide movement that brought the Gaullist regime to the brink of collapse. The 2016 Nuit Debout protest movement drew strong comparisons to the 1968 events with many wondering if France stood to experience a repeat of those heady days. This article will argue that the inability of Nuit Debout to capture the imagination of the general public in a similar fashion to what happened in 1968 is not solely the result of the exceptional and divergent contexts. Instead, it will contend that this failure is also to be understood through an appreciation of shifting perspectives on France’s anti-police. Such positive developments, it will be argued, have ironically been shaped as a result of the 1968 events and the manner with which they are most commonly remembered. La police était un acteur indéniablement principal dans les événements de mai-juin 1968 en France. En particulier, ils ont joué un rôle critique dans la transformation d’une crise étudiante, relativement mineur, en un mouvement national qui a poussée le régime gaulliste jusqu’au bord du gouffre. Le mouvement Nuit Debout de 2016 a été très souvent comparé aux événements de 1968 avec beaucoup qui se demandaient si la France risquait une répétition de cette crise phare. -
Country Report: France
Country Report: France 2020 Update 2020 Update Acknowledgements & Methodology The 2020 update of this report was written by Laurent Delbos and Claire Tripier at Forum réfugiés – Cosi and edited by ECRE. Forum réfugiés-Cosi wishes to thank all those individuals and organisations who shared their expertise to contribute or check the information gathered during the research. Particular thanks are owed to many Forum réfugiés-Cosi colleagues who have shared their practical experience on the right of asylum in France – which have been key to feed concrete reality-checks and observations into this report; to the two lawyers who have taken the time to share their views on the French system; to the staff of France terre d’asile, the Anafé and the UNHCR Paris office for their expert and constructive feedback provided for the initial report and finally to ECRE for its support throughout the drafting process. Forum réfugiés- Cosi would also like to thank the European Asylum, Migration and Integration Fund (AMIF) for co-financing its awareness-raising missions which allowed us to provide additional time to research and draft this report. The findings presented in this report stem from background desk research, interviews with field practitioners and lawyers, as well as feedback from French NGOs and the Paris-based UNHCR office and finally statistics shared by the French authorities. Caveat: In France, asylum policies – including reception procedures – are largely under prefectural execution. This review of practice is mostly based on observations in the departments of Ile de France, Rhône, Puy-de-Dôme, Haute- Garonne and Alpes-Maritimes. However, the conclusions presented in this report on the concrete implementation of asylum policies have been cross-checked and triangulated with observations of these practices in other regions and are supported by findings presented in other reports – be they official or drafted by civil society organisations. -
Putting the Policing of Nuit Debout in Context
View metadata, citation and similar papers at core.ac.uk brought to you by CORE provided by Bournemouth University Research Online International Journal of Communication 12(2018), 1887–1907 1932–8036/20180005 Activist Reflexivity and Mediated Violence: Putting the Policing of Nuit Debout in Context ANNA FEIGENBAUM Bournemouth University, UK PATRICK MCCURDY University of Ottawa, Canada To better understand the historical trajectory of the policing of Nuit Debout, in this article we argue that the reflexive relationship between police and protest tactics is heavily mediated by the presence of the press and by the emergence of digital technologies. Our analysis focuses on three sets of reflexive activist practice: (a) challenging media representations—the adaptations and innovations that respond to dominant media framing of police–protester relations; (b) “sousveillance” and police monitoring—the recording and monitoring of police violence and the public education around the police’s use of force; (c) civic forensics and data aggregation—the gathering, analyzing, and collectivizing of citizen-generated data. Although not intended as a taxonomy, these groups of practices are offered as conceptual lenses for critically examining how activists’ tactical repertoires for protesting police adapt and evolve, building on each other to challenge the representational, legal, and material dimensions of state power as it manifests in police–protester relations. Keywords: policing, social movements, riot control, protest, Nuit Debout The riot police—CRS—cut off the march in two, supposedly because there were some dangerous elements in the front—I don’t know if it’s true. They blocked us around 45 minutes. When they finally let us pass, some of the protesters got angry and started throwing things on the police. -
Nuit Debout: Frankreich Gerät in Bewegung!
Felix Syrovatka Nuit Debout: Frankreich gerät in Bewegung! Am frühen Morgen des 11 . April 2016 konstant hohe Arbeitslosigkeit auf, die räumte die Polizei die Place de la Répub- gleichzeitig mit einer Verschärfung der lique im Herzen von Paris und zerstörte räumlichen Ungleichheit beim Zugang zu Zelte und Infrastruktur der noch jungen öffentlichen Dienstleistungen verbunden französischen Bewegung Nuit Debout ist . Ebenso kam es, wie Boltanski und („Die Nacht erhebt sich“) . Doch schon Chiapello (2006) darlegen, seit Ende der am selben Abend protestierten wieder 1980er Jahre zu einem radikalen Wandel Tausende gegen die Arbeitsmarktpolitik der Arbeitsverhältnisse, der mit einem der sozialistischen Regierung . Ausgangs- kontinuierlichen Anstieg von befristeten punkt waren die Demonstrationen Ende Arbeitsverhältnissen und Leiharbeit ver- März, an deren Anschluss mehrere hundert bunden war . Zwischen 1985 und 2001 Menschen die Place de la République be- stieg allein die Anzahl der durch Leiharbeit setzten und anfingen, eine Infrastruktur geleisteten Stunden um 506 Prozent (Del- aufzubauen . Vernetzt über die sozialen bar/Léonard 2002: 6) . Im Jahr 2014 lag der Medien, wie Facebook und Twitter, brei- Anteil befristeter Arbeitsverträge bei Neu- teten sich die Platzbesetzungen in mehr als einstellungen bei 84 Prozent, der höchste 60 französischen Städten, darunter allen Wert in der gesamten EU . Zugleich ist der großen, aus . Selbst in traditionell eher kon- Arbeitsmarkt heute durch eine hohe struk- servativeren Städten wie Nizza existieren turelle Arbeitslosigkeit geprägt und stark Ableger der Nuit-Debout-Bewegung . fragmentiert . Junge Menschen, Frauen Anfang der 1990er Jahre überschritt oder MigrantInnen werden durch dieses die Arbeitslosenquote die Zehn-Prozent- System der prekären Beschäftigung dis- Marke und zementierte die Arbeitslosig- kriminiert und vom Arbeitsmarkt ausge- keit als drängendstes Problem . -
“FRANCE DESERVES to BE FREE”: CONSTITUTING FRENCHNESS in MARINE LE PEN's NATIONAL FRONT/NATIONAL RALLY Submitted By
THESIS “FRANCE DESERVES TO BE FREE”: CONSTITUTING FRENCHNESS IN MARINE LE PEN’S NATIONAL FRONT/NATIONAL RALLY Submitted by Lauren Seitz Department of Communication Studies In partial fulfillment of the requirements For the Degree of Master of Arts Colorado State University Fort Collins, Colorado Summer 2020 Master’s Committee: Advisor: Karrin Anderson Julia Khrebtan-Hörhager Courtenay Daum Copyright by Lauren Nicole Seitz 2020 All Rights Reserved ABSTRACT “FRANCE DESERVES TO BE FREE”: CONSTITUTING FRENCHNESS IN MARINE LE PEN’S NATIONAL FRONT/NATIONAL RALLY This thesis employs constitutive rhetoric to analyze French far-right politician Marine Le Pen’s discourse. Focusing on ten of Le Pen’s speeches given between 2015 and 2019, I argue that Le Pen made use of Kenneth Burke’s steps of scapegoating and purification as a way to rewrite French national identity and constitute herself as a revolutionary political leader. Le Pen first identified with the subjects and system that she scapegoats. Next, she cast out elites, globalists, and immigrants, identifying them as scapegoats of France’s contemporary identity split. Finally, by disidentifying with the scapegoats, Le Pen constituted her followers as always already French patriots and herself as her leader. This allowed her to propose a new form of French national identity that was undergirded by far-right ideals and discourse of revolution. This thesis presents several implications for understanding contemporary French national identity, the far right, and women politicians. It also contributes to the project of internationalizing public address research in Communication Studies. ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS First, thank you to my advisor, Kari Anderson. I truly could not have completed this thesis without your guidance, encouragement, and advice.