Campaign 2019
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www.policymagazine.ca September—October 2019 Canadian Politics and Public Policy Campaign 2019 $6.95 Volume 7 – Issue 5 On On June 6, 1919, CN was created by an act of the Parliament of Canada. This year, we celebrate 100 years on the move. It took the best employees, retirees, customers, partners Track and neighbouring communities to make us a world leader in transportation. For our first 100 years and the next 100, we say thank you. for 100 cn.ca Years CNC_191045_CN100_Policy_Magazine.indd 1 19-06-14 10:45 dossier : CNC-191045 client : CN date/modif. rédaction relecture D.A. épreuve à description : EN ad Juin 100% titre : CN & Aboriginal Communities 1 sc/client infographe production couleur(s) publication : On Track for 100 Years 14/06/19 format : 8,5" x 11" infographe : CM 4c 358, rue Beaubien Ouest, bureau 500 Montréal (Québec) H2V 4S6 t 514 285-1414 PDF/X-1a:2003 Love moving Canada in the right direction Together, we’re leading Canadians towards a more sustainable future We’re always We’re committed We help grow We’re connecting connected to the environment the economy communities With free Wi-Fi, phone charging Where next is up to all of us. Maximizing taxpayer We are connecting more than outlets and roomy seats, Making smart choices today value is good for 400 communities across the you’re in for a comfy ride will contribute to a greener your bottom line country by bringing some (and a productive one, too). tomorrow. (and Canada’s too). 4,8 million Canadians closer to the people and places they love. Route # of daily Distance Productive Non-productive Cost Cost Taxpayer savings departures train time car time* of travelling of travelling by by choosing by car** train (as low as) train travel*** Ottawa Toronto Up to 20 450 km 4 h 25 min 4 h 46 min $487 $49 $438 Ottawa Montréal Up to 12 198 km 1 h 50 min 2 h 21 min $230 $37 $193 Ottawa Québec City Up to 8 482 km 5 h 39 min 4 h 47 min $510 $49 $461 Toronto Montréal Up to 13 541 km 4 h 49 min 5 h 39 min $583 $49 $534 Government of Canada employees enjoy a 10% discount on personal travel booked directly with VIA Rail. Government of Canada employees can take advantage of specially negotiated rates for business travel available through the Shared Travel Services HRG Portal. The discount does not apply to Prestige class or Escape fares. * Data pulled from a travel application on March 22, 2019, at 5 pm. ** The total cost to the taxpayer of travelling by car is calculated based on the following formula: $ cost of travelling by car (Treasury Board kilometric rate for Ontario of $0.58/km for car travel by a government official X total distance travelled) + $ employee-related cost (average hourly rate of $48/h for a government employee, based on a salary of $100,000 per year including employee benefits X travel time) = $ total cost to taxpayer. *** The value of travelling by train is calculated based on the following formula: $ cost of travelling by car – $ cost of travelling by train = $ taxpayer savings. Fares and conditions are subject to change without notice. TMTrademark owned by VIA Rail Canada Inc. 2100, rue Drummond Cossette Montréal (Québec) H3G 1X1 24/04/19_13:14 client : VIA Rail Canada Nº Septième 111159146-1 format pap : 100 % @ 300 dpi description : Magazine Nº Cossette 111159146 trim — : 8,5” x 11” publication : Policy magazine – EN Nº VIA 6XXX-X safety - - - : 7,5” x 10” (0,5 po) conseillère : Andréanne L. Livraison: 9 août bleed — : 8,75” x 11,25” (0,125”) infographiste : Eric L. Parution: 15 août visible : — nom fi chier : 59146-1_VIA_GovAd_Policy-FP-August-En.indd Check couleur : C M J N Les sorties laser ne refl ètent pas fi dèlement les couleurs telles qu’elles paraîtront List sur le produit fi ni. Cette épreuve est utilisée à des fi ns de mise en page seulement. 4 Peerless Clothing is the largest supplier of men’s and boy’s tailored clothing to most major department stores and speciality retail- ers in both the United States and Canada. Proudly Canadian / Fièrement canadien The largest manufacturer of men’s and boy’s tailored clothing in the world. www.peerless-clothing.com 1.800.336.9363 5 In This Issue 6 From the Editor / L. Ian MacDonald Campaign 2019 Canadian Politics and 7 Lori Turnbull Public Policy The Road to 170 John Delacourt EDITOR AND PUBLISHER 9 Sunny Ways Redux? Not so Fast L. Ian MacDonald [email protected] 12 Yaroslav Baran ASSOCIATE EDITOR AND The Scheer Strength: Relatability DEPUTY PUBLISHER Brian Topp Lisa Van Dusen 15 [email protected] The NDP’s Ballot Question CONTRIBUTING WRITERS 17 Ziya Tong Thomas S. Axworthy, Mayday! M’aidez! Andrew Balfour, Yaroslav Baran, Derek H. Burney, Catherine Cano, 20 Karina Gould Margaret Clarke, Celine Cooper, Protecting Elections in a New Threat Environment Rachel Curran, Susan Delacourt, Patrick Gossage Graham Fraser, Dan Gagnier, 22 Martin Goldfarb, Sarah Goldfeder, Could it Happen Here? Patrick Gossage, Frank Graves, Don Newman Shachi Kurl, Brad Lavigne, 25 Kevin Lynch, Jeremy Kinsman, The ‘Big E’ Election—Energy and the Environment Andrew MacDougall, Peter Mansbridge, 27 Jeremy Kinsman Carissima Mathen, Velma McColl, Being Back: Foreign Policy as a Campaign Issue David McLaughlin, David Mitchell, Don Newman, Geoff Norquay, 30 Kevin Page Fen Osler Hampson, Robin V. Sears, Is Fiscal Responsibility an Issue in the 2019 Campaign? Gil Troy, Lori Turnbull, Jaime Watt, Anthony Wilson-Smith 33 Helaina Gaspard and Emily Woolner WEB DESIGN Because it’s 2019: Checking in on Gender Budgeting in Canada Nicolas Landry Peter Mansbridge [email protected] 36 The Debate that Changed Debates SOCIAL MEDIA EDITOR Grace MacDonald 39 Column / Don Newman [email protected] In Case of Minority, Break Glass GRAPHIC DESIGN & PRODUCTION 40 Shachi Kurl Monica Thomas Could Health Care be on the Ballot Again? [email protected] 43 Jan Hux Policy Canada Has Its Own Diabetes Crisis Policy is published six times annually by LPAC Ltd. The contents are copyrighted, but may be reproduced BOOK REVIEWS with permission and attribution in Review by Robert Lewis print, and viewed free of charge at 44 Trudeau: The Education of a Prime Minister the Policy home page at www.policymagazine.ca. John Ivison Printed and distributed by St. Joseph 45 Review by Robin V. Sears Communications, 1165 Kenaston Love & Courage: My Story of Family, Resilience and Street, Ottawa, Ontario, K1A 1A4 Overcoming the Unexpected. Available in Air Canada Maple Leaf Jagmeet Singh Lounges across Canada, as well as VIA Rail Lounges in Montreal, Ottawa and Toronto. Now available on PressReader. COVER PHOTOS Justin Trudeau: Adam Scotti photo, Andrew Scheer: Flickr photo, Jagmeet Singh: Wikimedia photo, Elizabeth May: Keri Coles/Green Party of Canada photo Special thanks to our sponsors facebook.com/ and advertisers. Connect with us: @policy_mag policymagazine 6 From the Editor / L. Ian MacDonald Campaign 2019 elcome to our special pre- to get rid of Trudeau since “The short time,” writes Shachi Kurl of the An- election issue, Campaign road to doing this is to elect a Con- gus Reid Institute, “party leaders find W 2019. This full issue on the servative government.” For Elizabeth themselves compelled to say some- campaign sets the stage for the October May and the Greens, the 2019 elec- thing about our physical well being.” 21 election. It’s all here—the polling, tion represents a moment. As Ziya In a guest column, Diabetes Canada the policies and the players—at the na- Tong writes, the question is how May President Jan Hux asks whether the tional level and across the country. will weather the scrutiny. importing of insulin by the U.S. “rais- es concerns of potential drug shortag- Our cover package includes looks at n the modern era, democracies es on this side of the border.” She calls the four main parties and their lead- are aware of threats to their elec- it Canada’s “own diabetes crisis.” ers by seasoned strategists. Then we tions, of which the 2016 U.S. elec- consider the main issues, from cli- I tion cycle was the most obvious exam- Most campaigns have defining mo- mate change and carbon taxes, to ple. Democratic Institutions Minister ments and in the modern Canadian pipelines. We look at Canadian policy Karina Gould writes of Canada’s pro- political era, none more so than the keystones, from fiscal frameworks and tective and pre-emptive response. The 1984 leaders’ debate, which changed health care to foreign policy. Progress other question is whether populism is the rules and rewards of the game. Pe- on women’s issues is also on the cam- growing in Canada. Patrick Gossage, ter Mansbridge captures the drama of paign agenda. former press advisor to Pierre Trudeau, the exchange between John Turner Lori Turnbull of Dalhousie Universi- wonders Could it Happen Here? and Brian Mulroney. Taken to task for ty takes us through a key set of num- a series of deathbed Liberal patronage One of the mega-issues in this cam- bers, specifically the 170 seats needed appointments, Turner said lamely: “I paign is bound to be climate change to form a majority government in the had no option.” To which Mulroney and carbon taxes, which Don New- 338-seat House. There are many ways famously replied: “You had an option, man explores in The ‘Big E’ Election— to get there, but if they fall short, sir, you could have done better.” His- Energy and the Environment. that’s another story called minority tory was made at that moment.