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3 April 2003 International Programme Committee (IPC) Chairman: Dr Beijing, China 31 Ma r ch - 3 April 2003 International Programme Committee (IPC) Chairman: Dr. QIN Dahe, Chairman for CNCC, IPCC/WGI Co-Chair, China Vice-Chairmen: Prof. YAN Hong, Assistant Secretary-General of WMO Dr. ZHENG Guoguang, Vice-Chairman and Secretary General for CNCC, China Members: Dr. Rajendra PACHAURI, IPCC Chair Dr. M. MUNASINGHE, IPCC Vice Chair Dr. Y.A. IZRAEL, IPCC Vice Chair Dr. Susan SOLOMON, IPCC/WG1 Co-Chair, NOAA Aeronomy Lab, USA Dr. O. CANZIANI, IPCC/WG2 Co-Chair, Argentina Dr. M.L. PARRY, IPCC/WG2 Co-Chair, UK Dr. B. METZ, IPCC/WG3 Co-Chair, Netherlands Dr. O. DAVIDSON, IPCC/WG3 Co-Chair, Sierra Leone Dr. Keith ALVERSON, Executive Director, PAGES International Project Office, Switzerland Prof. P.LEMKE, Chair, JSC/WCRP, Alfred-Wegener-Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Germany Dr. Guy P. BRASSEUR, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Germany Mr. Dennis TIRPAK, UNFCCC Mr. RUAN Shuigen, CMA, China Mr. TANG Xu, CMA, China Secretary General of IPC Dr. ZHENG Guoguang, Vice-Chairman and Secretary General for CNCC, China Deputy Secretary General of IPC Mr. ZHANG Guocai, Director-General, National Meteorological Center, China Dr. ZHANG Renhe, President, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Scientific Steering Committee (SSC) Chairman: Prof. YE Duzheng, Academician, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Vice-Chairmen: Prof. CHAO Jiping, Academician, State Oceanic Administration (SOA), China Prof. Berrien MOORE III, Director of the Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans and Space, University of New Hampshire, USA Sir. John T. HOUGTON, Hadley Centre, Meteorological Office, UK Dr. R. ANTHES, President, UCAR, USA Dr. Tim KILLEN, Director, NCAR, USA Prof. LIU Tungsheng, Academician, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Prof. SHI Yafeng, Academician, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Prof. ZENG Qingcun, Academician, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Prof. ZHANG Xinshi, Academician, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Prof. ZHOU Xiuji, Academician, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Members: Prof. A. SUMI, Director, Center for Climate System Research, University of Tokyo Japan Prof. AN Zhisheng, Academician, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Prof. CHOU Jifan, Academician, Training Center of CMA, China Prof. CHEN Jay Chung, Hongkong, China Prof. CHAN Johnny C. L., Hongkong, China Dr. David CARSON, Joint Planning Staff, World Climate Research Programme Dr. David R. EASTERLING, National Climatic Data Center, USA Prof. Deliang CHEN, Dept. of Earth Sciences, Gteborg University, Sweden Prof. DING Yihui, National Climate Center, CMA, China Prof. Soi Kun FONG, Macao, China Dr. James HANSEN, Goddard Institute for Space Studies, NASA, USA Dr. John CHURCH, Antarctic CRC and CSIRO Marine Research, Australia Dr. Jerry M. MELILLO, Co-Director, Ecosystems Center, USA Prof. HUANG Ronghui, Academician, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Prof. LI Jijun, Academician, Lanzhou University, China Dr. N. SUNDARARAMAN, Former Secretary of the IPCC Prof. Paul A. MAYEWSKI, University of Maine, USA Prof REN Zhenhai, Academician, National Environment Protection Agency, China Prof. WANG Pinxian, Academician, Tongji University, China Prof Wei-Chyung WANG, Atmospheric Sciences Research Center, State University of New York at Albany, USA Prof. WU Guoxiong, Academician, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, China Mr. Yadowsun BOODHOO, President of CCL/WMO Academic Secretaries: Prof REN Guoyu, National Climate Center, China Dr. LUO Yong, National Climate Center, China Dr. SHI Li, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences Local Organizing Committee (LOC ) Chairman: Mr. SHEN Xiaonong, Director-General, Department of International Cooperation, CMA, China Vice-Chairmen: Mr. ZHOU Shuguang, Deputy Director-General, Department of Forecasting Services and Disaster Mitigation, CMA, China Prof. LI Weijing, Deputy Director-General, National Climate Center, China Mr. ZHENG Yunjie, Deputy Director-General, Department of International Cooperation, CMA, China Members: Mr.WANG Bangzhong, Depai inent of Forecasting Services and Disaster Mitigation, CMA, China Mr. YING Ning, Department of Forecasting Services and Disaster Mitigation, CMA, China Ms. FENG Xuezhu, Department of Science, Technology and Education, CMA, China Ms. CHAO Qingchen, National Meteorological Center, China Mr. CHEN Zhenlin, Department of International Cooperation, CMA, China Mr. SUN Rui, Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences, China Ms. ZHANG Yan, National Meteorological Center, China 111 CONTENTS Plenary Session Keynote Speeches March 31„2003, Conference Hall, NSMC Building (MR1) SO-01 Connections between climate and the ozone layer: A review 1 Dr. Susan Solomon SO-02 GPS observations of climate change......................................................................................................1 Dr. Richard A. Anthes SO-03 On orderly human activities................................................................................................................ 2 Prof. YE Duzheng SO-04 Climate change and sustainable development in the IPCC AR4........................................................... 3 Prof. Mohan Munasinghe SO-05 The Earth System Science Partnership (ESSP) for the integrated study of the earth system................ 4 Dr. David J. Carson SO-06 Inter-decadal variability of the temperature and precipitation patterns in the East Asian Monsoon region ........................................................................................................................................................6 Prof. DING Yihui SO-07 Global warming does not lead to more intense tropical cyclones ......................................................... 7 Prof. Johnny C. L. CHAN SO-08 Climate change in the Pacific over the past 300 years ...........................................................................8 Dr. Keith Alverson SO-09 Revised estimates of 20th century sea-level rise.................................................................................... 9 Dr. John A. Church SO-10 Model development for the global warming prediction by using the Earth Simulator............................9 Prof. Akimasa Sumi SO-11 Observed high latitude temperature change in North America...............................................................10 Dr. David R. Easterling S1-05 A review an tropical cyclone field experiments and research.............................................................. 11 Prof. CHEN Lianshou S2-1-01 Discussion an the present climate change from warm-dry to warm-wet in Northwest China...........13 Prof. SHI Yafeng S4-01 Summertime quadruplet heating pattern in the subtropics and the associated atmospheric circulation 15 Prof. Guoxiong WU S4-08 Cloud-climate interaction over East Asia: a modeling perspective.......................................................15 Prof. Wei-Chyung WANG S6-O1 Interdecadal variability of climate and its impact an water resources in China .................................16 Prof. HUANG Ronghui S6-14 Climate-induced variability of sea level in Stockholm: Influence of air temperature and atmospheric circulation.................................................................................................................17 Prof. Deliang CHEN S9-05 In preparation for climate change ......................................................................................................18 a Yadowsun Boodhoo S9-11 WMO role in controlling climate change........................................................................................... 19 Younis Al-Fenadi S0-12 Climate Change and Sustainable Development................................................................................20 Sir John Houghton S0-13 A 700 Year Record of the Antarctic Oscillation and Implications for Understanding the Global Climate System ............................................................................................................................ 20 Paul A. Mayewski Session 1: Extreme Weather and Climate Events and Climate Change April 1, 2003, Multi-Function Hall, NMC (MR5) <Oral Presentations> S1-01 The changing nature of Australian droughts......................................................................................22 Neville Nicholls S1-02 China heavy rainfall experiment and study (CHeRES) ................................................................... ...................................................................................................................................................... 25 NI Yunqi S1-03 Climate change: Assessment of climatic extremes risk ................................................................... 26 V. Cazac S1-04 Temporal characteristics of the numbers of days with heavy rain and torrential rain in the last 100 years in Wuhan and Yichang ............................................................................................................... 27 CHEN Zhenghong S1-06 Spatial statistical structure of annual climate extremes and gridding their temporal trends...28 Dmitry Kiktev S1-07 Climatic change of flood and drought events with their characteristics in the recent 50 years over Zhejiang Province ......................................................................................................................... 30 GU Junqiang SI-08 Changes in extreme climate events during the 20th century in South Korea ...................................
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