Brad Ellsworth's Interesting Week
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Appendix File Anes 1988‐1992 Merged Senate File
Version 03 Codebook ‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐‐ CODEBOOK APPENDIX FILE ANES 1988‐1992 MERGED SENATE FILE USER NOTE: Much of his file has been converted to electronic format via OCR scanning. As a result, the user is advised that some errors in character recognition may have resulted within the text. MASTER CODES: The following master codes follow in this order: PARTY‐CANDIDATE MASTER CODE CAMPAIGN ISSUES MASTER CODES CONGRESSIONAL LEADERSHIP CODE ELECTIVE OFFICE CODE RELIGIOUS PREFERENCE MASTER CODE SENATOR NAMES CODES CAMPAIGN MANAGERS AND POLLSTERS CAMPAIGN CONTENT CODES HOUSE CANDIDATES CANDIDATE CODES >> VII. MASTER CODES ‐ Survey Variables >> VII.A. Party/Candidate ('Likes/Dislikes') ? PARTY‐CANDIDATE MASTER CODE PARTY ONLY ‐‐ PEOPLE WITHIN PARTY 0001 Johnson 0002 Kennedy, John; JFK 0003 Kennedy, Robert; RFK 0004 Kennedy, Edward; "Ted" 0005 Kennedy, NA which 0006 Truman 0007 Roosevelt; "FDR" 0008 McGovern 0009 Carter 0010 Mondale 0011 McCarthy, Eugene 0012 Humphrey 0013 Muskie 0014 Dukakis, Michael 0015 Wallace 0016 Jackson, Jesse 0017 Clinton, Bill 0031 Eisenhower; Ike 0032 Nixon 0034 Rockefeller 0035 Reagan 0036 Ford 0037 Bush 0038 Connally 0039 Kissinger 0040 McCarthy, Joseph 0041 Buchanan, Pat 0051 Other national party figures (Senators, Congressman, etc.) 0052 Local party figures (city, state, etc.) 0053 Good/Young/Experienced leaders; like whole ticket 0054 Bad/Old/Inexperienced leaders; dislike whole ticket 0055 Reference to vice‐presidential candidate ? Make 0097 Other people within party reasons Card PARTY ONLY ‐‐ PARTY CHARACTERISTICS 0101 Traditional Democratic voter: always been a Democrat; just a Democrat; never been a Republican; just couldn't vote Republican 0102 Traditional Republican voter: always been a Republican; just a Republican; never been a Democrat; just couldn't vote Democratic 0111 Positive, personal, affective terms applied to party‐‐good/nice people; patriotic; etc. -
The Long Red Thread How Democratic Dominance Gave Way to Republican Advantage in Us House of Representatives Elections, 1964
THE LONG RED THREAD HOW DEMOCRATIC DOMINANCE GAVE WAY TO REPUBLICAN ADVANTAGE IN U.S. HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ELECTIONS, 1964-2018 by Kyle Kondik A thesis submitted to Johns Hopkins University in conformity with the requirements for the degree of Master of Arts Baltimore, Maryland September 2019 © 2019 Kyle Kondik All Rights Reserved Abstract This history of U.S. House elections from 1964-2018 examines how Democratic dominance in the House prior to 1994 gave way to a Republican advantage in the years following the GOP takeover. Nationalization, partisan realignment, and the reapportionment and redistricting of House seats all contributed to a House where Republicans do not necessarily always dominate, but in which they have had an edge more often than not. This work explores each House election cycle in the time period covered and also surveys academic and journalistic literature to identify key trends and takeaways from more than a half-century of U.S. House election results in the one person, one vote era. Advisor: Dorothea Wolfson Readers: Douglas Harris, Matt Laslo ii Table of Contents Abstract…………………………………………………………………………………....ii List of Tables……………………………………………………………………………..iv List of Figures……………………………………………………………………………..v Introduction: From Dark Blue to Light Red………………………………………………1 Data, Definitions, and Methodology………………………………………………………9 Chapter One: The Partisan Consequences of the Reapportionment Revolution in the United States House of Representatives, 1964-1974…………………………...…12 Chapter 2: The Roots of the Republican Revolution: -
1990 GENERAL ELECTION UNITED STATES SENATOR Democrat Baron P. Hill 28,655 Republican Dan Coats 23,582 SECRETARY of STATE Democrat Joseph H
1990 GENERAL ELECTION UNITED STATES SENATOR democrat Baron P. Hill 28,655 republican Dan Coats 23,582 SECRETARY OF STATE democrat Joseph H. Hogsett 27,842 republican William H. Hudnut III 23,973 AUDITOR OF STATE democrat Ann A. Whaley 25,695 republican Ann G. DeVore 23,193 TREASURER OF STATE democrat Thomas L. New 22,590 republican Marjorie H. O'Laughlin 27,586 CLERK OF SUPREME & APPELLATE COURTS democrat Dwayne M. Brown 27,409 republican Daniel Rock Heiser 20,343 CONGRESS 8TH DISTRICT democrat Frank McCloskey 27,856 republican Richard E. Mourdock 24,892 STATE SENATOR DISTRICT 49 democrat Joseph F. O'Day 13,691 republican Linda L. Orth 7,746 STATE REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 75 democrat Dennis T. Avery 15,298 democrat Mark Alan sunderman 9,545 republican Vaneta G. Becker 20,226 republican Joseph H. Harrison, Jr. 14,079 STATE REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 76 democrat Larry E. Lutz 6,235 republican Jan Gallo 3,248 STATE REPRESENTATIVE DISTRICT 77 democrat J. Jeff Hays 10,093 PROSECUTING ATTORNEY democrat Stanley M. Levco 31,947 republican Glen A. Deig 19,795 COUNTY AUDITOR democrat Sam Humphrey 28,171 republican Genna A. Lloyd 23,514 COUNTY SHERIFF democrat Ray Hamner 26,954 republican Joe Rhodes 25,711 COUNTY ASSESSOR democrat James L. Angermeier 27,775 republican Ed Witte 23,494 COMMISSIONER DISTRICT TWO democrat Mark R. Owen 25,245 republican Don L. Hunter 26,391 COUNTY COUNCIL DISTRICT ONE democrat Robert Lutz 5,108 republican James B. Raben 5,706 COUNTY COUNCIL DISTRICT TWO democrat no candidate republican Curt Wortman 10,479 COUNTY COUNCIL DISTRICT THREE democrat Bill Palmer Taylor 4,482 republican Michael J. -
CONGRESSIONAL RECORD—HOUSE September 24, 2001 Mr
17698 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD—HOUSE September 24, 2001 Mr. BURTON of Indiana. Mr. Speaker, it is House of Representatives. Lee Hamilton rep- national Relations Committee. In that capacity, with great pleasure that I rise today in full sup- resented the Ohio River counties of the State it was my distinct pleasure and honor to serve port of H.R. 1583, a bill designating the Fed- of Indiana and was first elected in 1964. Be- with and get to know our distinguished col- eral building and United States courthouse lo- fore retiring he served as the Chairman of our league, the former Chairman and Ranking cated at 121 West Spring Street in New Al- House Committee on International Relations. Democratic Member, Lee Hamilton. bany, Indiana as the ‘‘Lee H. Hamilton Federal While Chairman, I had the pleasure of work- Over the decade that I worked with Mr. Building and United States Courthouse.’’ ing with Lee as the Ranking Republican Mem- Hamilton, he was always looked to by Com- Lee Hamilton is a proud ‘‘Hoosier’’ through ber, where I learned of his extensive knowl- mittee members for bipartisan leadership, wise and through, and to this day he continues to edge and capacity for hard work in addition to insight and steady guidance in crafting Amer- work for the people of Indiana. Lee was the his sense of moral imperative. It is at this time ica’s foreign policy. star of his basketball teams in high school and that I also learned of his willingness to bring Mr. Hamilton’s voice was one marked by college, and earned induction into the Indiana back the pre-World War II era of bipartisan moderation, thoughtfulness and balance, and Basketball Hall of Fame. -
Congressional Mail Logs for the President (1)” of the John Marsh Files at the Gerald R
The original documents are located in Box 8, folder “Congress - Congressional Mail Logs for the President (1)” of the John Marsh Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. Copyright Notice The copyright law of the United States (Title 17, United States Code) governs the making of photocopies or other reproductions of copyrighted material. Gerald R. Ford donated to the United States of America his copyrights in all of his unpublished writings in National Archives collections. Works prepared by U.S. Government employees as part of their official duties are in the public domain. The copyrights to materials written by other individuals or organizations are presumed to remain with them. If you think any of the information displayed in the PDF is subject to a valid copyright claim, please contact the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library. r Digitized from Box 8 of The John Marsh Files at the Gerald R. Ford Presidential Library Presi dent's Mail - May 11, 1976 House 1. Augustus Hawkins Writes irr regard to his continuing · terest in meeting with the President to discuss the· tuation at the Equal Employment Opportunity Commission prior to the appoint ment of a successor to Chairman owell W. Perry. 2. Larry Pressler Says he will vote to sustain e veto of the foreign military assistance se he believes the $3.2 billion should be u ed for nior citizens here at horne. 3. Gus Yatron Writes on behalf of Mrs. adys S. Margolis concerning the plight of Mr. Mi ail ozanevich and his family in the Soviet Union. 4. Guy Vander Jagt Endorses request of the TARs to meet with the President during their convention in June. -
Federal Election Commission Memorandum To
FEDERAL ELECTION COMMISSION Washington, DC 20463 MEMORANDUM TO: THE COMMISSION STAFF DIRECTOR GENERAL COUNSEL CHIEF COMMUNICATIONS OFFICER FEC PRESS OFFICE FEC PUBLIC DISCLOSURE FROM: ACTING COMMISSION SECRETARY AND CLER DATE: SEPTEMBER 22,2010 SUBJECT: SUPPLEMENTAL COMMENT CONCERNING AO 2010-19 (Google) Transmitted herewith Is a timely submitted supplemental comment from Michael Toner on behalf of Facebook, Inc., regarding the above-captioned matter. Proposed Advisory Opinion 2010-19 is on the agenda for Thursday, September 23,2010. Attachment RECEIVED RECEIVEO FEC MAIL CENTER FEDERAL ELECTIQN COMMISSION Michael E. Toner 2ilOSEP22 AM 8: 56 Direct: (202) 508-6175 20I0SEP22 AMI|:05"^"'^"^^" OFFICE Or GENERAL COUK'SEL Bryan Cave LLP September 21, 2010 1155 F Street N.W. Washington, D.C. 20004 Tel (202) 508-6000 BY FACSIMILE AND HAND DELIVERY Fax (202) 508-6200 www.bryancave.com Mr. Christopher Hughey Acting General Counsel Federal Election Commission Bryan Cava Offieaa 999 E Street, NW Atlanta Washington, DC 20004 Charlotte Chicago Re: Supplemental Comment Conceming Advisor}^ Opinion 2010-19 (Google) Dallas Hamburg Hong Kong Dear Mr. Hughey: Irvine Jefferson City Pursuant to 2 U.S.C. § 437f(d), I submit this additional comment on behalf of Kansas City Facebook, Inc. ("Facebook") regarding Advisory Opinion Request 2010-19 sought by London Google and Drafts A and B of Advisory Opinion 2010-19 ("Draft A" and "Draft B'^ Los Angeles Milan released by the Commission on September 17,2010. New York Paris For tlic reasons set forth below, the Commission should reject Draft A because the Phoenix modified disclaimer requirement contained dierein has the potential to grossly San Francisco mislead Intemet users about who is paying for online advertisements. -
The Collapse of Executive Life Insurance Co. and Its Impact on Policyholders
THE COLLAPSE OF EXECUTIVE LIFE INSURANCE CO. AND ITS IMPACT ON POLICYHOLDERS HEARING BEFORE THE COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT REFORM HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES ONE HUNDRED SEVENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION OCTOBER 10, 2002 Serial No. 107–142 Printed for the use of the Committee on Government Reform ( Available via the World Wide Web: http://www.gpo.gov/congress/house http://www.house.gov/reform U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 83–976 PDF WASHINGTON : 2003 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2250 Mail: Stop SSOP, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate 11-MAY-2000 11:30 Jan 30, 2003 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5011 Sfmt 5011 C:\DOCS\83976.TXT HGOVREF1 PsN: HGOVREF1 COMMITTEE ON GOVERNMENT REFORM DAN BURTON, Indiana, Chairman BENJAMIN A. GILMAN, New York HENRY A. WAXMAN, California CONSTANCE A. MORELLA, Maryland TOM LANTOS, California CHRISTOPHER SHAYS, Connecticut MAJOR R. OWENS, New York ILEANA ROS-LEHTINEN, Florida EDOLPHUS TOWNS, New York JOHN M. MCHUGH, New York PAUL E. KANJORSKI, Pennsylvania STEPHEN HORN, California PATSY T. MINK, Hawaii JOHN L. MICA, Florida CAROLYN B. MALONEY, New York THOMAS M. DAVIS, Virginia ELEANOR HOLMES NORTON, Washington, MARK E. SOUDER, Indiana DC STEVEN C. LATOURETTE, Ohio ELIJAH E. CUMMINGS, Maryland BOB BARR, Georgia DENNIS J. KUCINICH, Ohio DAN MILLER, Florida ROD R. BLAGOJEVICH, Illinois DOUG OSE, California DANNY K. DAVIS, Illinois RON LEWIS, Kentucky JOHN F. TIERNEY, Massachusetts JO ANN DAVIS, Virginia JIM TURNER, Texas TODD RUSSELL PLATTS, Pennsylvania THOMAS H. -
Another Body Blow for Democrats Fire Still Possible Bayh’S Unexpected Successors to Sen
VOL. 4 NO. 15 POLITITUESDAY, FEBRUARY 16, 2010 CO WWW.PolITICO.COM Friendly Another Body Blow for Democrats Fire Still Possible Bayh’s unexpected Successors to Sen. Evan Bayh retirement puts Thunders on • Among the Indiana seat in play names floated BY JONATHAN MA R TIN Monday as pro- AND JOHN BR ESNAHAN Health Care spective Demo- cratic Senate candidates: Reps. Sen. Evan Bayh, a leading mod- Plenty of Democrats viewed the Brad Ellsworth erate Democrat from Indiana who Massachusetts Senate upset as a mes- and Baron Hill. was once thought to be a rising na- sage to move cautiously. But some are tional political star, won’t run for convinced Scott Brown’s victory sent • Democratic a third term, a decision which im- sources in just the oppo- Washington and perils his party’s hold on the seat. PIT boSS site message, Indiana suggest- Bayh’s stunning decision — an- BY JEANNE which means ed Monday that nounced Monday afternoon in In- CUMMINGS the sort of Ellsworth may dianapolis — came as he geared up intraparty emerge as the es- for what may have been his most power struggle that got nasty during tablishment favor- difficult campaign in an otherwise the health care debate isn’t likely to go ite; he released a gilded political life. statement saying away anytime soon. he’ll consider the The son of a senator, Bayh nev- This week, progressive groups that race. er lost a race during a career in ran ads pushing Democratic moder- which he was elected as secretary ates to embrace sweeping reform • Former Sen. -
Congressional Scorecard 109Th Congress 2 0 0 5 - 2006
IRANIAN AMERICAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE Congressional Scorecard 109th Congress 2 0 0 5 - 2006 Please visit us on the web at www.iranianamericanpac.org About IAPAC IAPAC is a registered bipartisan political action committee that contributes to candidates for public office who are attuned to the domestic concerns of the Iranian American community. IAPAC focuses exclusively on domestic policy issues such as civil rights and immigration, and it encourages Americans of Iranian descent to actively participate in civic affairs. Mission • To support and promote the election of candidates for federal, state and local office, regardless of party affiliation, who are attuned to the domestic needs and issues of the Iranian American community • To support and promote Iranian American participation in civic affairs Issue Advocacy Civil Liberties: Balancing Civil Liberties and National Security in the Post-9/11 Era. Protecting our security and ensuring that the government does not infringe upon basic constitutional rights have long been important issues for civil libertarians and certain ethnic communities. IAPAC believes that our government must take the appropriate measures to protect our nation from further atrocities, but that it can do so without eliminating basic constitutional rights. Immigration: Immigration reform that is driven by proper national security concerns and remedies based on a fair and accurate appraisal of deficiencies in the immigration process, and not simply on national origin. Specifically, IAPAC advocates for a fair and measured execution of federal regulations governing the issuance of non-immigrant and immigrant visas for Iranian nationals. Congressional Scorecard The IAPAC 2005-2006 Congressional Scorecard rates members of Congress on votes and other positions taken in the House of Representatives and the Senate in the 109th Congress, which affect the domestic needs of the Iranian American community. -
A Debate About Bush's War and the 2006 Impact
V 12, No 14 Tuesday, Nov. 29, 2005 A debate about Bush’s war and the 2006 impact ‘It will end in a way and at an hour of our choosing’ “This session will be so By BRIAN A. HOWEY in Indianapolis political. A real tax Last week, the National Capital Memorial Advisory Commission announced it had chosen a prominent National Mall site for the memorial to President Dwight D. package won’t make it Eisenhower, which was a bit of obscure news given the swirl of controversy over the until next year.” War in Iraq. Eisenhower is poised to join on the mall a pantheon of great American –– State Sen. Allen presidents: Washington, Jefferson, Lincoln and FDR. President Eisenhower resisted plunging the United States into war. He had Paul, to the Muncie Star Press opportunities at the Suez Canal, Hungary and Vietnam. He knew war, having served in the Army infantry and, in 1918 during World War I, engaged in battle in the tank corps. As supreme Allied commander in 1944, he was responsible for sending 47 divisions, 6,900 ships and more than a million men into battle, supplying them with 9,000 tons of supplies every day. As Wikipedia notes, “The Normandy invasion succeeded in its objective by sheer force The Howey Political Report is published of numbers.” by NewsLink Inc. It was founded in 1994. On Sept. 14, 2001, it appeared Brian A. Howey, Publisher that President George W. Bush had a shot Mark Schoeff Jr., Washington Writer at becoming a great American president. Jack E. -
State of the Statehouse
hile elections sometime deliver results that are unexpected (the list is a long one; I’m sure you have your favorite upsets), there are also certain givens leading up to each voting responsibility. Two at the top of the list are: 1. Politicians, or maybe more accurately the people involved in the Wpolitical process, will repeatedly tell us why any election is important. That refrain is amplified in 2010, mostly because it determines who holds the mighty gavel – and pen – the following year. 2. A sea of change is coming, with the party out of power using that mantra to help regain control. The adage applies this time around, but it’s a different type of change than what was experienced two years ago or during the memorable mid-term election of 1994. The Indiana Chamber’s nonpartisan political action committee, Indiana Business for Responsive Government (IBRG), has a focused mission: help elect thoughtful candidates to the Indiana General Assembly who support pro-economy, pro-jobs legislation and initiatives. Jeff Brantley, with 20 years of experience in Indiana in a variety of roles, leads that effort as vice president of political affairs. Kevin Brinegar, Chamber president, has been with this organization for 18 years and involved in the legislative/political process for 30 years. Brinegar uses two key words – power and authority – in addressing topic No. 1. The 2010 election, of course, coincides with the 2010 census. Following the annual people count, the political party that controls the House and Senate in Indiana (and many other states), has the “power and authority to redraw district boundaries. -
Senator John Mccain 08 Watch: December 2005
SENATOR JOHN MCCAIN 08 WATCH: DECEMBER 2005 IN FOCUS: McCain Said Murtha “Has Never Been A Big Thinker.” McCain was recently asked about an article in the New Republic that said, “John Kerry, McCain says, doesn’t have ‘the strength to see it through.’ And John Murtha is ‘a lovable guy,’ but ‘he’s never been a big thinker; he’s an appropriator.’ ...McCain tells me that Murtha has become too emotional about the human cost of the war. ‘As we get older, we get more sentimental.’” On his comment that Murtha is becoming too emotional, McCain replied, “I think he has become emotional, and understandably so. He goes to funerals. He goes, as many of us do, out to Walter Reed and he sees the price of war. And I think that that has had some effect on him.” [Meet the Press, NBC, 12/4/05] IN HIS OWN WORDS: McCAIN ON SANTORUM “Let’s not underestimate what Rick represents in the United States Senate. He represents family values, he represents commitment to family and America and he represents what in my view is the next generation of leadership.” [Santorum event, 12/2/05] BUZZ WATCH: Newsday: McCain Trying To Cast Himself “As The President’s Conservative Heir-Apparent.” “In a bid to pick up President George W. Bush supporters, McCain’s backers have been casting him as the president’s conservative heir-apparent in key primary states like Michigan, New Hampshire and South Carolina, where the senator suffered his most bitter primary defeat. The senator’s aides underscore the fact he’s a pro-gun, anti-abortion conservative who gets an 83 out of 100 rating from the Christian Coalition, even after criticizing the role evangelical Christians played in Bush’s 2000 campaign.” [Newsday, 12/10/2005] McCain Slipping In The Primary Polls And At Statistical Tie With Clinton.