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~~~~~~~'m~~~~~~~~,~~~~~u~~~~a~m~o ~.m~~~~~~m~7-~*a$W~m~~~&lJ~~~~,~ft,~m~ ~~%~~~~,~~~~m~~~~*~~~~~~~~~~~~o .u~jrH}~~.l'Ia*~, ~:m:~~~ (quantitative analysis) ~1tB9~ ~ (qualitative analysis), ~jJti;J::, f&~B~RJ(;/l'1iT~JI'M, .§.~,~m~~ G?~~~~~B9~~~*om~~~~~ttm~~~m~Z~*~~~,~~ ~*fB9;/J~, ~~~f!U1twr~1:.t~, tt~tAm~z~*IUlf»\fF-~ifl.1IHliWltii\iB9 llUJ~, ~1iT1!f~:ttl2, ~jfU~~~z~~:iJJ'MfJ;'l,~j-jil:}jti;f.l±,ill'iiN-AtHtlffit }j7*~eeBti~~Mi~, ~Th14tEl!I!~J::~jn*J::~ii~JiU1lt~~J(HI9rt~m:(f,-l:-) tEl.!f1.fif;jjJE3] : ( I) ~Zilii'ltlB~~~Mi~lf{JWii'frB~l.!f1.~i1~C'Jej~~-~f~J~i1'tirm~)o
( II) ~z:tE7f'1<-~t1 (uncertainty) rA9:fTf.l3I:!!lilill 0 ( lIT) ~z~'it1iIIJI tlt:tttJ,:& IJm ~ [Z5l ~tE7f' r~~Wj'jH'fi! ~HUt ftl:\ l?;i ~~JJJ &:
~J'J9fF~IM:rif.J 0 (IV) ~zill!J7E'Bt~~~iHJ9IM~Th;o ~.~",'w!jJm:
*m.llrj:t~):~ i1J~f!;r~mJt!*ii1Ij ~x~ [2-: ~~ Nerlove Marc and Kenneth L. Bachman, The Analysis of Chan ges in Agricultural Supply: Problems and Approaches, Journal of Farm Economics, Vol. 42. August 1960.
( 1 ) -14 -
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:fr$J;t3~~~:tm{t!m, .I&~~~iltI:1tff(m*iR5:E~~*€ta<]~:Ji~j:if£l't~~:Ji0 tm ~mtrr ill{iIN !b~ft@, ft7\:;,JZ, ~1}~ ift{,t1;tfij~'t~Z3mMf'J*:Nf, ~WMM{1~3m~fr!j mA, ~~
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:tmJ:m~,~tf;~~~~~~o~~:tmw*~5:E~m~~m~~tf;~~,~ mnx:TilJ1l!Wt:~ (dynamic supply) B9~~fll:1mo ~~;M~1fiIltl~7Jm-m"fm ~~~~;M~~Iltl~tB7I-m(envelope), fi'jj~;M~~f!:!l~~IIH~~;JVJ~~Iltl~~l'B ~~~MtBMm (different interval of time) ll!\tb ~~&1t¥-l'B~;M~ ~~~~m~~~~~~~~,~;M~~~~~M~~~~~nA~~~~~~ ~ ra':bt ITfi 5:E 0 Ut-)
frill ffl J;}. '1~Uf,.~''ffJ{1(matff(,iliI 0 llit7&itlmR1t-*tE~~ (once-and for-all change in price), lW*a~ SLSL ~:K;M~M!I!!I~, tEl!!I~ SLSL J:: 8~Bll1\'im~\\I;tz~fijJl1U, ;jt1«mffi£ OA, ~;ftlJZ*tfr1J:~ABo :E'EI:J:a~~~Iltl~ ~~~, J;}.~~mJ:~~OC,tE~~J:,~~~~~~P, m~~Z~~~~ j;tjf11*flF, ff~f&~Jj]Jdlfq!ftffl1~~a<][l}t1f1lJ, .ti;~O~1I*1Jn~*~:I:~ CP (P Jlk'itE:K;M~M*'1L1:), ii'iiRil1Jn~ CD, D f,Uli~ B~z~1t'Jj}~~lffl~J:~~o ~"fm{lmfJJ~ft1iftE OC, JlIjJ!t~ifArirll~$frf-WJzfMf7~ CE, TIil~;f.?, CF,CG,CH~, ~ D,E,F,G,H ~:li:wliU§B~Z~MtB~.E;ItIJ~~Iltl~PJf:m ~,~~~~~~~~~ITfi~~~*M~~~Po ~ii'ii, 1!tWFz'~m, {flm:1t~~:lt!ltE~I!J*, ~~FI!M7En~~-7l\.~o "fmJ!t,
!'lUiJ! 89~m'~'fP, *J~fJ1~~tERMf1%t1;~Iltl~;l}!J: 0 imlifM 2 rJfir., B~mtE~Wl ~~lffl*Jil SLSL 89W:*~~~, ~ITfi, ffin~WIH~HlJ~89J:n, fZ~{lm~/itfiJ: ih tt7CW oc, tflii'iiJ:7t.:n OE, OG, OJ ~ 0 -Mil:mw OA J:ir~ OCfl;f, ~ ~imitl!l~~{'tt:Mtw AB ¥ CDo @'"fm{tJIf1H7J~.f.ftE OC, JlUrJWz#t:~Itff.S
;]!-: ~M Marc Nerlove, Distributed Lags and Estimation of Long-Run Supply and Demand Elasticities, Theoretical Considerations. Journal of Farm Economics, Vo1.40, No.2. May, 1958. ( 2 ) - 15-
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~i\~j}f:!nJM~lfil®~;WW!;~5!Jtt 0 ~8Z.. ~:M®{M€J~ tE R ~~ Ht#UitllB~ SESE *iJ1.UJE, fi'fi;'iFHttJ:!;;u!llBf~ SLSL miJtiJ5Eo ( 3 ) -16 - ~~:tE~1J!~§':'-1'1flllJ!, li!P;;f!-fIM i!!~ ~ ~tmfl fMI~.!lIJ, ~§':'Jl:1f *~ ,~.~R~~~oc~,~~W~.~~~~,m~~~®~fiW~~., ~ J!tifl§:'7fg;il!~~ (distributed lag) ®flllJ!o FR:l~1Fti1Jg;il!~Il~~::t~ lW~tb1m13U€i~flllmf 0 ~:t co ~ 55 K 50 1/5 4,) 35 wI:....- ---I- c /5 A ~---'l Sl... oj.·. --L.__~ ...!----"'"-1.--- /'Oo() 1.50 () .1,0001 3.000 !./cJOO ~~ (tf.~~D ~2:~.~flm~!lIJtf~~t~~~ mi!!~~~~~,-*~a§':'~!lIJ,~~@~-~~~~~~§':'M*~oc~ ~~*,~~*oo~~oo~~m~g~o-fli!!~~~z~*,~~~R~:tE -~~~OO~R~~m,@;;f!~.~~~~~~~~,J!t~~.~f1~~Z~* ( 4 ) -17 - rmffiJ'lljmt;!i;~%im (distributed lag)o iI11:~J%z-f:jHS, EEn~~m;::Mz~iiilJJJl, ,e.., mzOO1iD!~ (ridigities) J;;1.:&J3~IZSl~zi3.~, iiJ!£l~z.~~ff:m, ~~~ 1f~mlt9~, 1mfl:m:&;l'I;ffult9:R.;z.~I!, rm~~~p~IjetRJ.m\~~~0 ~Jtm~*et ~~, ~~~OO~~~,~~*~:m~~~'~~~J~~~~~*et~~,~ [email protected]::mqX~(jt7'C~%(/~, m~fm~*~~j'J!%11'jj1i';;-fU~J~(jtlf.1rl'l'~ ~o f&J!:t~lJi%lre:tE~'Hl~~lzfjU~~+%i1HIiHllfo ji'g~%!lE~~~, :a:-B:m~fmZ[?5lI!~ (dependent variable) EElj~1' P,§t1lt;Mz1l1:li.~~ (independent variable) zf5~, r.il~·ill/:1:~1j;M~:rz(j~ ~.o Jltfi~/il{,1i~, tmtlN1{f!iljj!~fiJj10:;~;;::\~~~,nr~.i1lttnrF;;::\ Yt=a+ (3oXt+ fJ1Xt-1+ fJ2Xt- 2+'''+flt ······ ..·· ·· .. ··· .. ·(1) ec =a+ :EfJ.Xt-£+Ut £=0 Y t : [?5l;M!t (dependent variable) X t : 1l1:li.~~ (independent variable) Ut: m~'-l~~~ (stochastic random variable) Jt9=t E(u£)=O 3t{\£ i -p, E( ) {O 'M i~j; i,j=l, 2'''n .IX. UIUj = u 2 11; i=j; i,j=1,2"'n A9=t.0'fif.8~-if!ll\t~;frJ(};fJ£ ~if ~~lHJ91ll :Ii.~~, rsIJ!:tWiA1'gl3f.1JJfH/tm- )nl~~ ff #f§1i5 0 ~m~J!t-lllJJl!1, wM~'fiU5~"'* Koyck .!:J;;1J!l±l~'tWt&~%l'f (geometric lag distribution) (J{J)j'i*, cri:-) ~;;::\ (l) ~nltnrmtt~~;;::\o 1t£*-}j~;;::\1mr: Yt=a+fJ(WoXt+W1Xt_I+ W 2Xt_2+"')+Ut 00 =a+fJ:EW£Xt_I+Ut ··· ..·· ..·..··· ..·..·..· ..·..·· ..·.. ····..····..·.. ·..(2) £=0 ~WnJ<lliIYX, 2il'J'lP Xt_1 $'f Y t Zil3'1S!1£\*lf.1, t-i jg\~}[jJ~ t , f&J!:I.: WI nr :j'l}~~tillr: W I=(1-0)()1 O [J:-: ~rm Koyck L.M., Distributed Lags and Investment Analysis. North Holland publtshlng Company, Amsterdam, 1954. ( 5 ) -18 Ef:l5t(4.~~5}' .'!t1iJ1f .Y,=a(1-9)+f1(1-(})X,+tJYt-I+(flt-Ou'_I) (6) ~J!t~(6)~:Jt-MiiT}IU'ttt:m:J~~1¥J~~, 1'f:iJ~1!I~~~T1iJff a(1"'0) ,P(I-9)1ft (J, ~Jlta~,81iJJiJlti1t.Ilii~o:Ji~~ (6) JlP:m-~~1E~%~~ :;;to :tE~n.'I' (1) ${5:tinJ!Hit~ (Partial adjustment model) 0 (tt-) ~~m~~!f.m Nerlove ~m;\;l!lH, fflJ;l.~5E!l~JHlm~I1J~OCll; ~ ~J!t~~1iJ~ffl*~5EA~&r~mZ~m~~~~o ~~.~~-~~~ffi~ (static expectation), 1t~m (~1'llffiiftO ~5E~1W~:¥~J&Ufi!r, JlU~ M~~1Jfl~m: Y,·=a+oP'-l-rUt (7) y,.: ~lf:l;lf;j~#U€t Pe-I: l::lUJztlt1C1Jlftt 21,: ~.~••, ;tt1tt~~~(l)f<1J )It~,itJ1mz~~~~m Y,- Y'-l=1t(Y,·- Yt-I) OLn-L 1 (S) Y,: i'~Wlz.~~ Yt-l: w-jWZ~m 7t: ~~~t'\ iI/;!l~*It·~[ll~fR~~:!E.gtUI9~.'i1,~1t=11lif, JlIj~(8).Jm~Jjl(;Y, =Y,", f:lO 'IW!#H~~~~WJ~'lSih¥J~~, tlPllt, 1llI3~:mJ!n~ifii5CiEB9 0 ~it~(7)~~:8), JlJ]1iJ}l{jj)f5:till1!H~~~tmr: Yt=01t+(l-1t)Yt_l+07l'P'-l+Ut (9) Eit1J~~(g), ~ A1iJffl.~Ji*f, ~ME~1Jjldl~ITiifi~a7t, (1-11:) 7ft. 01t, ~ifii11Jiff.1l', alft. 0, !f:ij~JFnrif1i:~~J4~~rro~~~~o (2) ~mfJUtfj~~ (adaptive expectation model), (~.::) 1lt-: ~~ Marc Nertove, Estimates of the Elasticities of Supply of Sele cted Agricultural Commodities, Journal of Farm Economics,1956, pp. 495-509. tt.:::: Cagcn P., The Monetary Dynamics of Hyper Inflation. in Friedman Ed., Studies in the Quantity Theory of the Money, Chicago, University of Chicago Press, 1956. ( 6 ) -19 *!1t~~m Cagon ~tE'Jtflm~m-~ (price inflation) l1J1f'tJUHr~z ~~*m~mmm~o~.A~~~zffl~m~~~~~Z~~,~.~Z. ;f;ti~Q(J&:J.l!9F~F1ttQ(JOO110 (ffl: - ) ~JJiffi;MzfjU~m~~ : Yt=c+dPt*+ut··············· ..·..····..·· ·..·· ·..·· ..·· (IO) P t*: ~~ztJUUlfl:m Yt: 1t~z~~ fit: milt!l~!f!. ~J;l.13W~~ Pt·-Pt-I* =~/(Pt-I-Pt.-I*) OLryLl············{lJl Pt_I·: -mj-~zfJtMflm Pt-I: Wi-~z.~mm ry: 'fJumt.*t{ :mT~~fiTmfi!ia~~Mr1J~~, 1§%M~Uo)m~m pt*= __ c _+_~t tit uO)' d d d P t- I *= - ~ +Y~Jl -~-~ ·....·..···....·..·....·...... ···...·...... ····....U2) tJ.~(l21~A~(lD, TIfi~~AA(l)~:t@iJ~tJum~:t:~: ¥t=oy + (l-ry)J(t-l+dryPt - l+ p.t- (l-ry)Ut_l'" '" ·.. ·.. ··• .. ·U31 $ f~ J;J~~ :t:Jl,illJ~ffumm:t:, Il*T3!lit~~1f ~}Jlj Z 7j., m:JIiJflrd(~fl t51fh ~U~*&1f~gIJ 0 &..~~tE.~J:1f~m:~(f]~glj 0 ~'lIfflWl~:t:~I51i'~' ~:ui7£M:~m:fi'ji#z~1iJmm(f]tg~, fjjj'$f5}~JE~:t:"?1~~~~Jl"i:.,J![fl (3) ~~jj'tltJjJl,$f~;;JI,J~m~mtSl'I9-Jti:~Ao (~=:) ~~-~~:t:~£~m:J~=~13~:t: Yt*=ao+a1Pt·+ut Pt*-Pt-I*=ry(Pt-I-Pt-1*) OL'YL 1 [J:-: Olman Hee, The Effect of price On Acreage and yield of Potatoes, Agricultural Economics Research, USDA, October, 1958. tt::: ~!l!1 Griliches Zvi, Distributed Lags: A Survey, Econometrica, Journal of the Econometric Society, Vo1.35, No.1, January, 1967. P,42. tt~: Waud Roger N., Small Sample Bias due to Misspecification in the ·Partial Adjustment, and Adaptive Expectation Models, A mericam Statistical Association Journal, December 1966. ( 7 ) -20- Y&-Y'-l-n-(Y~·-Y~_l) OLn-Ll···;,;···· ...... ·•.. ·.. ····.. ·....·a4J 5f;a41*~-~~:fi;eW1;ltjfljtro~~ Y~· lIl~~1JtWJllm p~. ~m:~ia'4., ~ ~~§,E:::~1§.~1J~~(IlJo.1Jf1'.it(8)Z;E~ffif1'J1 0 mtER~re1Jm~U4J*z~'iiJ lli~j1j~~. Y~·, P t * ». P~-l* m:j;;, JlUnrJi~m;M~~~~wJ;Mflmmm ffltl:f.j#wrt~~, (ft-I:-) f&!H: Yt=ao77t+ ((1-7)+ (1-7t»)Yt-l+a177tP~-1 _e-((1-7 )(1-1Z")JY~-2+n-(Ut - (1-7)Ut-l) ···as) m)J~A115ilJt2, 'tiA'iL~JRJU~l±l'M 7=10. 7t=lll1f, 1mf7}jj)jIj~m5t~:l@m fJtllJJ~A;ii!:1J~AU5).ZflJj~iITi*f~~f?lJT0 1J~A(l5FtEJM~*!t.1::ffm1Wlm~B9 rY:I~: 'f;f~-1m;ii!:~;M~1U~Ulif~I~~ffilta9&g7E (identification) rY:I~, W-lm, tfJ.3J! -iIE!lt':f:trof7fTmJr: (1-7)+ (1-n-) =0.9 (1-"/)(1-7t) =0.2 YllJ (1-7t)!- O.9(1-n')+ 0.2=0 ~ j;;:Z:P (1-7t) "" {o.s 0.4 tmJl:!:;7t ft.;~fIfrriJ1.30.5, ?lFnr~O.6, mJ*ft1i'lJ.;J.\liJ~}j~#IiJ)j<:ti 7 B91t1iM'U~ O.62Z~:b"~O.5, ~Jtt, ~~~~Z.11«~~~5Eo m-1li:;lHJtM*jt~jj)I3~f*. :g.Jj:*11~%'2?d\~ 1 Ji3f€m, :tlfJ:Jt(1-7)(1-1Z"):&~1Eful, frltEA(lS)q:t Yt_! Z %~~i't, m~·~~li';~qifo §li1rl{#ila9-~~;3:;, tE~¥.riiLl:~~~f£$f@~, 1& J1:tjj;.f!H~E~JJ'o *iiH~oc.1:;i2R.=:fi~Ur)B~~Bifill~h\;, ~:§fiBt2l!t~I£~1fJ~fjJnff7J-:#T 0 tE J\m7J-;!frz*I, 1'1A 7::. 0 [rjJMia:ill~*t:r;'rj}itiJIlfi'ri1't1rtf"';'::FgtHj]'(l!J~AJ;5:.Ei, '8v1~mJ Behrman fiff ~- rm~~~Ift, :kl~/;;tz.~*f) .• rntn]jjIJttJ:i¥:Jpl\;1IJiJ, {j(;j;&~·H'fld"j~&:Il,tPNiHf Jo (r,-t:=) ~J!t, ,}'J~~~,@'IJMjH~Z1'Urt7J-trr, W;'A~~Tm5f7}iiIJ~mAo 1m f7}WIiJ~ mAZ~~if!i ~mnrtU~ 1 o.lIiI 2 *illtfjjJ, ;ta Pfi1tei fin ~~.!\':JftllUri iu--: iir~ifj~ft'tfY!~f~ 1 0 2==: ~M Behrman Jere R.. Supply Response in Underdeveloped Agricul ture. North-Holland Publishing Company, Amsterdam. 1968. pp.2-S. ( 8 ) - 21- M~~zoc~~~~~~~~olli.~L~~~~~z~~~~~~~m iWlZSJ* T E JdZ .ltUlltt~t,!~*~~~~~~13tllio ~Jlb tE~~IDlL' ~f5j ~~@jt~!::.R~~ffI}m~f5}!IPJ:tm (partial dynamics) B9~J!:;, lZSl;lt*n~jUifiJng ~.®flSl~, ta:r!tm11lt*, *¥&li1i1ltitib J;,1J;,t:Jtfl!t"nrm~~l!lto ••L, ~m~z~~~~.~~~~~!IPJ,*~&~~~~,!E~11lt*U&~~~!IPJ~ fEl~I'B~. f7HJ&l~ fWfiJ~~I't:, 1R;ltt~H!i1f~' 0 flSlllt, 1m mJ!:;, 1{1l /llifll1JflL;l'tffu fiJ 7f;~!IPJ~~mA' .ltU;ltf@ffl11:·:m*ffi£jfi;:tflo ~.L~B9%~,1mID~~mJ!:;~.~M~~B9%~,tEfiJm~I't:~~W L' JtfFtli!JM:~~~{R~~if~~~13t£iollUlllfit~*~itillB9~~~17IjJ;t ijW;fJfl1mf71~~~J!:;Z~fflt!EoU~~41~~61~z~rl'l'lt7UJffi~fT%:jfi,;ltIW {Rm~mJ!:;ta:rf : Yt=a+bYt_l+cRt_1+dDt ····....·· ..·..·..····....·····....·..·· ..·.. ····..(16) Y t : ~t 1mZ!E~:I: (~*) R t_ 1 : ~t-1:MZ*¥&li1i.~M!: (~:2:g{~:ll~ilm) ~:.~.t:MZ••~., ftft~~~.mXWZ~~Sl, •• mx~Z:¥-btm~o :flfIJl1J1~it Y t =168, 942.000+0.877Yt _ 1 +26.000Rt _ l-192, 440. OOODt (7.244) (1.047) (4.498) R2=0.965 F=156.501 D.W.=2.481 (2) -:M7.K~Z#~~ Y t = 186, 317.000+0.698Yt_l+ 24. 000R t_l-108, 553. OOODt (5.020) (1.653) (3.834) R2=0.933 F=79.278 D.W.=2.451 (3) =:M7.K~Z~~ Y t=274, 329. 000+0.506Yt_l+53.000Rt_1-122, 145.000Dt (2.067) (1.598) (4.091) R2=0.876 F=40.298 D.W.=2.450 (4) it~\ifz*~ Y t = 1,195,616.000+0.411Yt _ 1 + 162. 987R t _ l - 567, 695. 118Rt (1.870) (1.782) (3.933) R2=0.825 F=26.729 D.W.=2.103 ftt-; (lJ flUI1J!,tJ.:tz;;I·J1:~·M, ~~i~rt.J~ 2 =£i;!1i! 5 0 (2) '4i=1J~Jtig;TJli'1ll1 pg~fl1! ~ t flf 0 ( 9 ) :8l2tUjMtUM}m1i:f~ 1iHUfElWr,,~Jm, ;!I;'3'f~ &a~~=~~J(~ 0 t!O~if9t~ {1M [1.~M, ~ JJt#t~lM~:ffi*~~ljgjt~1h fl,J~~:8U~&t~~z*M:~ ..mrnJ ~flm~~~M,~~~~~~.~~Mo~~&t~~~~~-.~~~~m, ;!I;!l6'~~ ltt~1j Ili!fFI'l' B9Ji§~, 1:; !l6'~ 111m ji'g~ ~M! ~~; F 1t#~~JE, ttttm~~HM#m1M9~JE0 *:'Z~I:!:l~fiJ1l~JMI~~~~l1Ifq~A , ItJjnfgfll!b1f~.~&t~~a~fl1f~o ii~m;l~HI~ EI ~QJ:J!(j9q. E1, m&tf#~iml¥J ~~.*l!b~M~.~~~~~~*m~~~rnJmo ( 10 ) -'23- y: """ 00+(ltJ>!: +flt (1) OL.,,/~1""""""·""··"·""··"(2) OL.7tL1 · ·(3) Yt =o7t00 +7tatPt+(1-7t)Yt_t+7tlw ·· ·• · .. · "'(4) ~(4)~~~ pt=oX!.-- -!,Oo _ (1-n'lYt_1-~-Ut (5) nat 7tat nat nat ~(5}~~~-1t1J~ Pf-t- Yt~_ nllo _(l-n)Yt....ll_7tUt-1 (6) na1 nat 7tat nat ~1tnlt(4), (2):&(6~ Yt=7tQo+nat(,,/Pt_t+ (1-,,/)P;'-t)+(1-n)Yt_1+7tUt =onQo+7ta Pt-1 +(1"",,,/)[~":"1__ nOo _ Q:=n)Yt-3 1{'Y 7ta1 7ta1 7tat - n:~~!J}+(1-71)Yt_1 +7tUt_1 -7t00,,/+C(1-,,/)+(1-n»)Yt-1+a1n"/Pt_l - ((1-'Y)(1-n»)Yt_:+7tUt- (1-'Y)n Ut-t -nQo,,/+((1-'Y)+(1-n»)Yt-t+atn"/Pt-1 - ((l-,,/)(1-7t»)Yt-ll+7t(Ut- (1-ry)Ut_I) ( 11 ) - 24- ~, ~ ~ § I*' :lIJJ !£ ifi • IiliJ :lIJJ &: .il: -I. ==lIIi...Ji Ih! \J! • 1f! * ~I (0.) I (0'WO ', <;,Je) ------~T----·--"---'------!-I--- 41 1,570,115 1,484,792 2.295.04 I 0 42 1,641,557 1,570,115 3,736.26 o 43 1,695,107 1,641,557 5,420.13 o 44 1,614,953 1,695,107 4,082.21 o 45 1,789,829 1,614;953 4,581.63 o 46 1,839,009 1,789,829 4,271.08 o 47 1,894,127 1,839,009 4,531.64 o 48 1,856,316 ' 1,894,127 4,697.62 1 49 1,912,018 1,856,316 4,520.88 o 50 2,016,276 1,912,018 6,262.45 o 51 2,112,875 2,016,276 6,494.04 o 52 2,109,037 Z,J12,875 5,584.20 o 53 2,246,639 2,109,037 6,221.15 o 54 2,348,041 2,246,639 6,461':'40 o 55 2,379,661 2,348,041 7,048.16 o 56 2,413,79;) 2,379,661 7,180.46 o 57 2,518,103 2,413,700 7,483.48 o 58 2,321,633 2,518,103 7,746.84 1 59 2,462,643 2,321,633 6,966.72 o 60 2,313,802 2,462,643 7,448.28 1 61 2,440,329 2,313,802 7,247.56 o ~M*~:~-.&~=~~m~~~.~~~~~*o~~.*~~~~0R~~~~ ~0lJi~ib ~~~~ZII!'f!j>!;j{l (41~=100) ~~o ~1Z9.*mlll!.~~~ , ff1::~~ZIl&!K~*z.~J3ti\P , ~'I&m~*~Jl.U~O 0 ( 12 ) - 25- 41 757,289 716,326 3,534.57 o 42 740,124 757,289 6,233.64 1 43 836,452 740,124 3,956.00 o 44 711,305 836,452 4,493.50 1 45 906,724 711,305 3,925.87 o 46 931,699 906,724 4,943.20 o 47 934,027 931,699 o 48 930,233 934,027 4,823.70 o 49 901,393 930,233 6,867.00 o 50 981,966 901,393 7,259.73 o 51 1,057,417 981,966 6,892.48 o 52 1,061,395 1,057,417 6,870.63 o 53 1,101,967 1,016,393 7,097,20 o 54 1,127,011 1,101,967 7,695.44 o 55 1,103,426 1,127,011 8,032.30 1 56 1,152,556 1,103,426 7,860.16 o 57 1,220,154 1,152,556 8,471.68 o 58 1,239,141 1,220,154 7,929.48 o 59 1,279,891 1,239,141 8,410.00 o 60 1,258,676 1,279,891 8,402.24 o 61 1,212,802 1,258,676 8,942.01 1 ( IS ) 7'""" 26- mIl4';::':II$1~*i~.~~1t:J.~ ,_. :§t ~I '* M!l; ,,"it Itv JIJI!l; J!!-TM.ii>iij.lll ~ ~ ~ <, & I (i}III.n I (i}IJA) I (7e) ----~--- .------_._~.. _... __.- -~--_..------~~-_._------41 812,826 768,466 3,489.36 ° 42 901,433 812,826 4,315.20 ° 43 858,655 901,433 3,-944.40 0 44 903,648 a58,655 4,689.30 ° 45 883,105 903,648 4,167.65 1 46 907,310 883,105 3,995.88 ° 47 960,100 907,310 4,01/.1.69 ° 48 926,083 960,100 4,422.00 1 49 1,010,625 926,083 5,327.50 0 50 1,034,310 1,010.,625 5,531.12 1 51 1,055,458 1,034,310 5,013-80 ° 52 1,092,642 1,055,458 5,148.00 ° 53 1,144,672 1,092,642 5,535.20 ° 54 1,221,030 1,144,672 6,162.85 ° 55 1,276,235 1,221,030 6,612.00 ° 56 1,261,234 1,276,235 6,993.78 ° 57 1,297,949 1,251,234 6,729.00 ° 58 1,082,492 1,297,949 7,330.44 1 59 1,182,752 1,082,492 5,841.60 0 60 1,055,127 1,182,752 5,854.40 1 61 1,227,527 1,055,127 6,181.:98 ° j{*,*I{: lflJH5'iU ( 14 ) -Zl- 41 2,090,463 2,021,719 1,660 o 42 2,276,942 2,090,463 2,238 o 43 2,556,823 2,276,942 2,394 o 44 2,437,443 2,556,823 2,272 1 45 2,56B,104 2,437,443 2,581 o 46 2,693,417 2,568,104 2,900 o 47 2,957,893 2,693,417 2,944 o 48 2,894,146 2;957~893 3,492 o 49 2,978,676 2,894,146 3,322 o 50 3,233,563 2,978,676 4,049 o 51 3,079,586 3,233,563 4,251 o 52 2,148,172 3,079,586 4,086 1 53 2,347,797 2,148,172 3,007 o 54 3,131,103 2,347,797 4,488 o 55 3,460,106 3,131,103 4,540 o 56 3,719,945 3,460,106 4,974 o 57 3,444,619 3,719,945 5,654 o 58 3,701,769 3,444,619 , 5,001 o 59 3,440,639 3,701,769 6,017 o 60 3,391,354 3,440,639 5,264 o 61 2,927,708 3,391,354 5,415 1 ( 15 ) -28 - 1. 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