Private Notes on Gary Becker
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James Duesenberry As a Practitioner of Behavioral Economics
Journal of Behavioral Economics for Policy, Vol. 2, No. 1, 13-18, 2018 James Duesenberry as a practitioner of behavioral economics Ken McCormick1* Abstract In 1949 James Duesenberry published Income, saving and the theory of consumer behavior. His objective was to solve a puzzle presented by the macroeconomic data on consumption. To do so, he created the Relative Income Hypothesis. Duesenberry explicitly challenged the neoclassical assumption of independent consumer preferences and made use of ideas that are now common in behavioral economics: loss aversion, status quo bias, spotlight effects, herd behavior, and interdependent preferences. He also raised policy questions about the effect of redistributive taxes on national saving. To answer the questions he raised, we need empirical research by behavioral economists. Finally, the issue arises as to why the Relative Income Hypothesis has virtually disappeared from economics even though it is superior to the Permanent Income Hypothesis that replaced it. JEL Classification: B31; E21; E71 Keywords Duesenberry — Relative Income Hypothesis — independent preferences — saving 1University of Northern Iowa *Corresponding author: [email protected] “State a moral question to a ploughman and a reasons for supposing that preferences are in fact interdepen- professor. The former will decide it as well and dent” (1949, 3). often better than the latter because he has not Duesenberry’s appeal to psychological and sociological been led astray by artificial rules”. evidence marks him as an early practitioner of behavioral economics. In his view, Homo Economicus leads economists THOMAS JEFFERSON (1787) astray. Economists need to work with a more realistic vi- sion of human behavior, one that will provide more accurate Introduction predictions. -
A Revisionist History of Regulatory Capture WILLIAM J
This chapter will appear in: Preventing Regulatory Capture: Special Interest . Influence and How to Limit it. Edited by Daniel Carpenter and David Moss. Copyright © 2013 The Tobin Project. Reproduced with the permission of Cambridge University Press. Please note that the final chapter from the Cambridge University Press volume may differ slightly from this text. A Revisionist History of Regulatory Capture WILLIAM J. NOVAK A Revisionist History of Regulatory Capture WILLIAM J. NOVAK PROFESSOR, UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN SCHOOL OF LAW The idea of regulatory capture has controlled discussions of economic regulation and regulatory reform for more than two generations. Originating soon after World War II, the so-called “capture thesis” was an early harbinger of the more general critique of the American regulatory state that dominated the closing decades of the 20th century. The political ramifications of that broad critique of government continue to be felt today both in the resilient influence of neoliberal policies like deregulation and privatization as well as in the rise of more virulent and populist forms of anti-statism. Indeed, the capture thesis has so pervaded recent assessments of regulation that it has assumed something of the status of a ground norm – a taken-for-granted term of art and an all-purpose social-scientific explanation – that itself frequently escapes critical scrutiny or serious scholarly interrogation. This essay attempts to challenge this state of affairs by taking a critical look at the emergence of regulatory capture theory from the perspective of history. After introducing a brief account of the diverse intellectual roots of the capture idea, this essay makes three interpretive moves. -
Three US Economists Win Nobel for Work on Asset Prices 14 October 2013, by Karl Ritter
Three US economists win Nobel for work on asset prices 14 October 2013, by Karl Ritter information that investors can't outperform markets in the short term. This was a breakthrough that helped popularize index funds, which invest in broad market categories instead of trying to pick individual winners. Two decades later, Shiller reached a separate conclusion: That over the long run, markets can often be irrational, subject to booms and busts and the whims of human behavior. The Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences noted that the two men's findings "might seem both surprising and contradictory." Hansen developed a statistical method to test theories of asset pricing. In this Monday, June 15, 2009, file photo, Rober Shiller, a professor of economics at Yale, participates in a panel discussion at Time Warner's headquarters in New York. The three economists shared the $1.2 million prize, Americans Shiller, Eugene Fama and Lars Peter Hansen the last of this year's Nobel awards to be have won the Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic announced. Sciences, Monday, Oct. 14, 2013. (AP Photo/Mark Lennihan, File) "Their methods have shaped subsequent research in the field and their findings have been highly influential both academically and practically," the academy said. Three American professors won the Nobel prize for economics Monday for shedding light on how Monday morning, Hansen said he received a phone stock, bond and house prices move over time— call from Sweden while on his way to the gym. He work that's changed how people around the world said he wasn't sure how he'll celebrate but said he invest. -
The Econometric Analysis of Recurrent Events in Macroeconomics and Finance the ECONOMETRIC and TINBERGEN INSTITUTES LECTURES
The Econometric Analysis of Recurrent Events in Macroeconomics and Finance THE ECONOMETRIC AND TINBERGEN INSTITUTES LECTURES Series Editors Herman K. van Dijk and Philip Hans Franses The Econometric Institute, Erasmus University Rotterdam The Econometric and Tinbergen Institutes Lectures series is a joint project of Princeton University Press and the Econometric Institute at Erasmus University Rotterdam. This series col- lects the lectures of leading researchers which they have given at the Econometric Institute for an audience of academics and students. The lectures are at a high academic level and deal with topics that have important policy implications. The series covers a wide range of topics in econometrics. It is not confined to any one area or sub-discipline. The Econometric Institute is the leading research center in econometrics and management science in the Netherlands. The Institute was founded in 1956 by Jan Tinbergen and Henri Theil, with Theil being its first director. The Institute has received worldwide recognition with an advanced training program for various degrees in econometrics. Other books in this series include Anticipating Correlations: A New Paradigm for Risk Manage- ment by Robert Engle Complete and Incomplete Econometric Models by John Geweke Social Choice with Partial Knowledge of Treatment Response by Charles F. Manski Yield Curve Modeling and Forecasting: The Dynamic Nelson- Siegel Approach by Francis X. Diebold and Glenn D. Rude- busch Bayesian Non- and Semi-parametric Methods and Applications by Peter E. Rossi -
Review of Economics Imperialism Versus Multidisciplinarity John B
Marquette University e-Publications@Marquette Economics Faculty Research and Publications Economics, Department of 1-1-2016 Review of Economics Imperialism versus Multidisciplinarity John B. Davis Marquette University, [email protected] Accepted version. History of Economic Ideas, Vol. 24, No. 3 (2016): 77-94. DOI. © 2016 Fabrizio Serra Editore. Used with permission. Forthcoming in History of Economic Ideas Economics imperialism versus multidisciplinarity John B. Davis, Marquette University and University of Amsterdam 2015 STOREP Conference Plenary Lecture Shifting Boundaries: Economics in the Crisis and the Challenge of Interdisciplinarity June 11-13, 2015 Abstract: This paper examines the implications of Chicago School economist Edward Lazear’s 2000 defense of economics imperialism using standard trade theory. It associates that defense with interdisciplinarity or the idea that the sciences are relatively autonomous, but treats this defense as a mask for a more conventional imperialist strategy of promoting Chicago School neoclassicism. Lazear’s argument actually created a dilemma for Chicago regarding how it could espouse interdisciplinarity while operating in a contrary way. I argue that the solution to this dilemma was for neoclassicism to rebuild economics imperialism around neoclassicism as a theory that sees the world in its own image in a performative manner. This strategy, however, suffers from a number of problems, which upon examination ultimately lead us to multidisciplinarity or the idea that the sciences can have transformative effects on one another. This latter conception can be associated with a complexity economics approach as an alternative view of the relation between the sciences. The paper argues that this view provides a basis for pluralism in economics. -
The Relevance of Duesenberry's Relative Income Hypothesis In
Keeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia Tazeb Bisset ( [email protected] ) Dire Dawa University Dagmawe Tenaw Dire Dawa University https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9768-0430 Research Article Keywords: Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects, relative income, APC, ARDL, Ethiopia Posted Date: October 7th, 2020 DOI: https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-83692/v1 License: This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License. Read Full License Keeping up with the Joneses: the Relevance of Duesenberry’s Relative Income Hypothesis in Ethiopia Tazeb Bisset1 and Dagmawe Tenaw2 Department of Economics Dire Dawa University, Dire Dawa, Ethiopia 1Email: [email protected] 2Email: [email protected] Abstract Although it was mysteriously neglected and displaced by the mainstream consumption theories, the Duesenberry’s relative income hypothesis seems quite relevant to the modern societies where individuals are increasingly obsessed with their social status. Accordingly, this study aims to investigate the relevance of Duesenberry’s demonstration and ratchet effects in Ethiopia using a quarterly data from 1999/2000Q1-2018/19Q4. To this end, two specifications of relative income hypothesis are estimated using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) regression model. The results confirm a backward-J shaped demonstration effect. This implies that an increase in relative income induces a steeper reduction in Average Propensity to consume (APC) at lower income groups (the demonstration effect is stronger for lower income households). The results also support the ratchet effect, indicating the importance of past consumption habits for current consumption decisions. In resolving the consumption puzzle, the presence of demonstration and ratchet effects reflects a stable APC in the long-run. -
HLA MYINT 105 Neoclassical Development Analysis: Its Strengths and Limitations 107 Comment Sir Alec Cairn Cross 137 Comment Gustav Ranis 144
Public Disclosure Authorized pi9neers In Devero ment Public Disclosure Authorized Second Theodore W. Schultz Gottfried Haberler HlaMyint Arnold C. Harberger Ceiso Furtado Public Disclosure Authorized Gerald M. Meier, editor PUBLISHED FOR THE WORLD BANK OXFORD UNIVERSITY PRESS Public Disclosure Authorized Oxford University Press NEW YORK OXFORD LONDON GLASGOW TORONTO MELBOURNE WELLINGTON HONG KONG TOKYO KUALA LUMPUR SINGAPORE JAKARTA DELHI BOMBAY CALCUTTA MADRAS KARACHI NAIROBI DAR ES SALAAM CAPE TOWN © 1987 The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development / The World Bank 1818 H Street, N.W., Washington, D.C. 20433, U.S.A. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, or otherwise, without the prior permission of Oxford University Press. Manufactured in the United States of America. First printing January 1987 The World Bank does not accept responsibility for the views expressed herein, which are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the World Bank or to its affiliated organizations. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Pioneers in development. Second series. Includes index. 1. Economic development. I. Schultz, Theodore William, 1902 II. Meier, Gerald M. HD74.P56 1987 338.9 86-23511 ISBN 0-19-520542-1 Contents Preface vii Introduction On Getting Policies Right Gerald M. Meier 3 Pioneers THEODORE W. SCHULTZ 15 Tensions between Economics and Politics in Dealing with Agriculture 17 Comment Nurul Islam 39 GOTTFRIED HABERLER 49 Liberal and Illiberal Development Policy 51 Comment Max Corden 84 Comment Ronald Findlay 92 HLA MYINT 105 Neoclassical Development Analysis: Its Strengths and Limitations 107 Comment Sir Alec Cairn cross 137 Comment Gustav Ranis 144 ARNOLD C. -
Micro Foundations of Earnings Differences
DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES IZA DP No. 10922 Micro Foundations of Earnings Differences Tirthatanmoy Das Solomon W. Polachek JULY 2017 DISCUSSION PAPER SERIES IZA DP No. 10922 Micro Foundations of Earnings Differences Tirthatanmoy Das Indian Institute of Management Bangalore and IZA Solomon W. Polachek State University of New York at Binghamton and IZA JULY 2017 Any opinions expressed in this paper are those of the author(s) and not those of IZA. Research published in this series may include views on policy, but IZA takes no institutional policy positions. The IZA research network is committed to the IZA Guiding Principles of Research Integrity. The IZA Institute of Labor Economics is an independent economic research institute that conducts research in labor economics and offers evidence-based policy advice on labor market issues. Supported by the Deutsche Post Foundation, IZA runs the world’s largest network of economists, whose research aims to provide answers to the global labor market challenges of our time. Our key objective is to build bridges between academic research, policymakers and society. IZA Discussion Papers often represent preliminary work and are circulated to encourage discussion. Citation of such a paper should account for its provisional character. A revised version may be available directly from the author. IZA – Institute of Labor Economics Schaumburg-Lippe-Straße 5–9 Phone: +49-228-3894-0 53113 Bonn, Germany Email: [email protected] www.iza.org IZA DP No. 10922 JULY 2017 ABSTRACT Micro Foundations of Earnings Differences This paper examines how human capital based approaches explain the distribution of earnings. It assesses traditional, quasi-experimental, and new micro-based structural models, the latter of which gets at population heterogeneity by estimating individual- specific earnings function parameters. -
Why Is There No Milton Friedman Today? · Econ Journal Watch
Discuss this article at Journaltalk: http://journaltalk.net/articles/5808 ECON JOURNAL WATCH 10(2) May 2013: 210-213 Why Is There No Milton Friedman Today? Richard A. Posner1 LINK TO ABSTRACT The short answer to the question posed by Econ Journal Watch is that Milton Friedman combined, with enormous success both within the economics pro- fession and in the society at large, three distinct roles. He was an analyst, using conventional analytical methods, of technical issues in macroeconomics, such as business cycle economics (with emphasis on the role of money), inflation and deflation, international exchange rates, and the consumption function. He was an advocate on economic grounds of specific public policies, such as an end to conscription, a negative income tax (of which the Earned Income Tax Credit is a variant, adding a work requirement surprisingly absent from Friedman’s proposal), and school vouchers. And he was a public intellectual/guru/philosopher, ad- vocating in books, magazines, op-ed pages, and electronic media a politically controversial return to libertarian (equivalently, free-market, laissez-faire, classical- liberal) economic policy. Friedman also made an influential contribution to economic methodology in arguing that an economic theory should be tested by its predictive accuracy alone, without regard to the realism or unrealism of its assumptions (Friedman 1953). The argument is questionable because, owing to the difficulty of assessing such consequences (reliable experiments concerning economic behavior are very difficult to conduct), economists have tended to rely heavily—certainly Friedman did—on assumptions, often assumptions based on priors rooted in ideology, personality, or other subjective factors. -
Myron S. Scholes [Ideological Profiles of the Economics Laureates] Daniel B
Myron S. Scholes [Ideological Profiles of the Economics Laureates] Daniel B. Klein, Ryan Daza, and Hannah Mead Econ Journal Watch 10(3), September 2013: 590-593 Abstract Myron S. Scholes is among the 71 individuals who were awarded the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel between 1969 and 2012. This ideological profile is part of the project called “The Ideological Migration of the Economics Laureates,” which fills the September 2013 issue of Econ Journal Watch. Keywords Classical liberalism, economists, Nobel Prize in economics, ideology, ideological migration, intellectual biography. JEL classification A11, A13, B2, B3 Link to this document http://econjwatch.org/file_download/766/ScholesIPEL.pdf ECON JOURNAL WATCH Schelling, Thomas C. 2007. Strategies of Commitment and Other Essays. Cambridge, Mass.: Harvard University Press. Schelling, Thomas C. 2013. Email correspondence with Daniel Klein, June 12. Schelling, Thomas C., and Morton H. Halperin. 1961. Strategy and Arms Control. New York: The Twentieth Century Fund. Myron S. Scholes by Daniel B. Klein, Ryan Daza, and Hannah Mead Myron Scholes (1941–) was born and raised in Ontario. His father, born in New York City, was a teacher in Rochester. He moved to Ontario to practice dentistry in 1930. Scholes’s mother moved as a young girl to Ontario from Russia and its pogroms (Scholes 2009a, 235). His mother and his uncle ran a successful chain of department stores. Scholes’s “first exposure to agency and contracting problems” was a family dispute that left his mother out of much of the business (Scholes 2009a, 235). In high school, he “enjoyed puzzles and financial issues,” succeeded in mathematics, physics, and biology, and subsequently was solicited to enter a engineering program by McMaster University (Scholes 2009a, 236-237). -
Jan Tinbergen
Jan Tinbergen NOBEL LAUREATE JAN TINBERGEN was born in 1903 in The Hague, the Netherlands. He received his doctorate in physics from the University of Leiden in 1929, and since then has been honored with twenty other degrees in economics and the social sciences. He received the Erasmus Prize of the European Cultural Foundation in 1967, and he shared the first Nobel Memorial Prize in Economic Science in 1969. He was Professor of Development Planning, Erasmus University, Rot- terdam (previously Netherlands School of Economics), part time in 1933- 55, and full time in 1955-73; Director of the Central Planning Bureau, The Hague, 1945-55; and Professor of International Economic Coopera- tion, University of Leiden, 1973-75. Utilizing his early contributions to econometrics, he laid the founda- tions for modern short-term economic policies and emphasized empirical macroeconomics while Director of the Central Planning Bureau. Since the mid-1950s, Tinbergen bas concentrated on the methods and practice of planning for long-term development. His early work on development was published as The Design of Development (Baltimore, Md.: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1958). Some of his other books, originally published or translated into English, include An Econometric Approach to Business Cycle Problems (Paris: Hermann, 1937); Statistical Testing of Business Cycle Theories, 2 vols. (Geneva: League of Nations, 1939); International Economic Cooperation (Amsterdam: Elsevier Economische Bibliotheek, 1945); Business Cycles in the United Kingdom, 1870-1914 (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1951); On the Theory of Economic Policy (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1952); Centralization and Decentralization in Economic Policy (Amsterdam: North-Holland, 1954); Economic Policy: Principles and Design (Amster- dam: North-Holland, 1956); Selected Papers, L. -
The Past, Present, and Future of Economics: a Celebration of the 125-Year Anniversary of the JPE and of Chicago Economics
The Past, Present, and Future of Economics: A Celebration of the 125-Year Anniversary of the JPE and of Chicago Economics Introduction John List Chairperson, Department of Economics Harald Uhlig Head Editor, Journal of Political Economy The Journal of Political Economy is celebrating its 125th anniversary this year. For that occasion, we decided to do something special for the JPE and for Chicago economics. We invited our senior colleagues at the de- partment and several at Booth to contribute to this collection of essays. We asked them to contribute around 5 pages of final printed pages plus ref- erences, providing their own and possibly unique perspective on the var- ious fields that we cover. There was not much in terms of instructions. On purpose, this special section is intended as a kaleidoscope, as a colorful assembly of views and perspectives, with the authors each bringing their own perspective and personality to bear. Each was given a topic according to his or her spe- cialty as a starting point, though quite a few chose to deviate from that, and that was welcome. Some chose to collaborate, whereas others did not. While not intended to be as encompassing as, say, a handbook chapter, we asked our colleagues that it would be good to point to a few key papers published in the JPE as a way of celebrating the influence of this journal in their field. It was suggested that we assemble the 200 most-cited papers published in the JPE as a guide and divvy them up across the contribu- tors, and so we did (with all the appropriate caveats).