ANNUAL REPORT 2006 © Banque centrale du Luxembourg, 2007 The BCL Annual Report 2006 is an abridged translation of the Rapport Annuel de la BCL 2006, which is the binding version. Reproduction for educational and non-commercial purposes is permitted provided that the source is acknowledged. Banque centrale du Luxembourg 2, boulevard Royal - L-2983 Luxembourg Telephone: (+352) 4774 - 1 Fax: (+352) 4774 - 4910 Internet: www.bcl.lu E-mail:
[email protected] CONTENTS THE GOVERNOR'S MESSAGE 6 Chapter 1 ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL SITUATION 9 1.1 Economic situation at the international level 9 1.1.1 Short-term interest rates and monetary policy decisions 9 1.1.2 Long-term government bond yields 11 1.1.3 Equity markets 12 1.1.4 Exchange rate developments 13 1.1.5 Consumer prices 14 1.1.6 Output, demand and labour market developments 15 1.1.7 External trade 15 1.1.8 Balance of payments 16 1.2 Economic situation in Luxembourg 16 1.2.1 Prices and costs 16 1.2.1.1 Consumer prices and inflation projections 16 1.2.1.2 Producer prices in industry 19 1.2.1.3 Construction prices 20 1.2.2 Sectoral developments 28 1.2.2.1 Industry 28 1.2.2.2 Construction 29 1.2.2.3 Commerce and other sectors 30 1.2.3 Consumer survey 30 1.2.4 Financial sector 31 1.2.4.1 Financial sector activity 31 1.2.4.2 Retail interest rates in Luxembourg 33 1.2.4.3 Employment in the financial sector 35 1.2.4.4 Profit and loss accounts 35 1.2.4.5 Credit institutions' 2007 Q1 results 37 1.2.5 Luxembourg Stock Exchange 39 1.2.6 Labour market 40 1.2.7 External trade 44 1.2.8 Balance of payments 44 1.2.9