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MultivariateMultivariate StatisticsStatistics

PsyPsy 524524 AndrewAndrew AinsworthAinsworth StatStat ReviewReview 11 IVIV vs.vs. DVDV

‹‹IndependentIndependent VariableVariable (IV)(IV) ––ControlledControlled byby thethe experimenterexperimenter

––and/orand/or hypothesizedhypothesized influenceinfluence

––and/orand/or representrepresent differentdifferent groupsgroups IVIV vs.vs. DVDV

‹‹DependentDependent variablesvariables

––thethe responseresponse oror outcomeoutcome variablevariable

‹‹IVIV andand DVDV -- “input/output”,“input/output”, “stimulus/response”,“stimulus/response”, etc.etc. IVIV vs.vs. DVDV ‹ UsuallyUsually representrepresent sidessides ofof anan equationequation xy→ xyz→→ β xy+ α = xy= β + α ExtraneousExtraneous vs.vs. ConfoundingConfounding VariablesVariables

‹ ExtraneousExtraneous ––leftleft outout (intentionally(intentionally oror forgotten)forgotten) ––ImportantImportant (e.g.(e.g. regression)regression)

‹ ConfoundingConfounding –– ––ExtraneousExtraneous variablesvariables thatthat offeroffer alternativealternative explanationexplanation ––AnotherAnother variablevariable thatthat changeschanges alongalong withwith IVIV UnivariateUnivariate,, BivariateBivariate,, MultivariateMultivariate

‹ UnivariateUnivariate ––onlyonly oneone DV,DV, cancan havehave multiplemultiple IVsIVs

‹ BivariateBivariate ––twotwo variablesvariables nono specificationspecification asas toto IVIV oror DVDV ((r oror χχ2)2)

‹ MultivariateMultivariate ––multiplemultiple DVsDVs,, regardlessregardless ofof numbernumber ofof IVsIVs ExperimentalExperimental vs.vs. NonNon--ExperimentalExperimental

‹ ExperimentalExperimental – high level of researcher control, direct manipulation of IV, true IV to DV causal flow

‹ NonNon--experimentalexperimental – low or no researcher control, pre-existing groups (gender, etc.), IV and DV ambiguous

‹ ExperimentsExperiments == internalinternal validityvalidity

‹ NonNon--experimentsexperiments == externalexternal validityvalidity WhyWhy multivariatemultivariate ?statistics? WhyWhy multivariatemultivariate statistics?statistics?

‹ RealityReality

––UnivariateUnivariate statsstats onlyonly gogo soso farfar whenwhen applicableapplicable

––“Real”“Real” datadata usuallyusually containscontains moremore thanthan oneone DVDV

––MultivariateMultivariate analysesanalyses areare muchmuch moremore realisticrealistic andand feasiblefeasible WhyWhy multivariate?multivariate?

‹ ““Minimal”Minimal” IncreaseIncrease inin ComplexityComplexity

‹ MoreMore controlcontrol andand lessless restrictiverestrictive assumptionsassumptions

‹ UsingUsing thethe rightright tooltool atat thethe rightright timetime

‹ RememberRemember – Fancy stats do not make up for poor planning

– Design is more important than WhenWhen isis MVMV analysisanalysis notnot usefuluseful

‹‹HypothesisHypothesis isis univariateunivariate useuse aa univariateunivariate statisticstatistic

––TestTest individualindividual hypotheseshypotheses univariatelyunivariately firstfirst andand useuse MVMV statsstats toto exploreexplore

––TheThe SimplerSimpler thethe analysesanalyses thethe moremore powerfulpowerful StatStat ReviewReview 22 Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata

‹‹ContinuousContinuous datadata

––smoothsmooth transitiontransition nono stepssteps

––anyany valuevalue inin aa givengiven rangerange

––thethe numbernumber ofof givengiven valuesvalues restrictedrestricted onlyonly byby instrumentinstrument precisionprecision Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata

‹ DiscreteDiscrete ––CategoricalCategorical ––LimitedLimited amountamount ofof valuesvalues andand alwaysalways wholewhole valuesvalues

‹ DichotomousDichotomous ––discretediscrete variablevariable withwith onlyonly twotwo categoriescategories ––BinomialBinomial distributiondistribution Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata ‹ ContinuousContinuous toto discretediscrete

– Dichotomizing, Trichotomizing, etc.

– ANOVA obsession or limited to one analyses

– Power reduction and limited interpretation

– Reinforce use of the appropriate stat at the right time Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata x1 x2 x1di x2di 11 9 1 0 10 7 1 0 11 10 1 1 14 12 1 1 14 11 1 1 10 8 1 0 12 10 1 1 10 9 1 0 11 8 1 0 10 11 1 1 …… ……

X1 dichotomized at >=11 and x2 at median >=10 Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata

‹ CorrelationCorrelation ofof X1X1 andand X2X2 == .922.922

‹ CorrelationCorrelation ofof X1diX1di andand X2diX2di == .570.570 Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata

‹ DiscreteDiscrete toto continuouscontinuous

––cannotcannot bebe donedone literallyliterally (not(not enoughenough infoinfo inin discretediscrete variables)variables)

––oftenoften dichotomousdichotomous datadata treatedtreated asas havinghaving underlyingunderlying continuouscontinuous scalescale 0.35 NormalNormal ProbabilityProbability FunctionFunction

0.3

0.25

0.2

0.15

0.1

0.05

0 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata

‹ CorrelationCorrelation ofof X1X1 andand X2X2 whenwhen continuouscontinuous scalescale assumedassumed == .895.895

‹ (called(called TetrachoricTetrachoric correlation)correlation)

‹ NotNot perfect,perfect, butbut closercloser toto realreal correlationcorrelation Continuous,Continuous, DiscreteDiscrete andand DichotomousDichotomous datadata

‹‹ LevelsLevels ofof MeasurementMeasurement –– NominalNominal –– CategoricalCategorical –– OrdinalOrdinal –– rankrank orderorder –– IntervalInterval –– orderedordered andand evenlyevenly spacedspaced –– RatioRatio –– hashas absoluteabsolute 00 OrthogonalityOrthogonality

‹ CompleteComplete NonNon--relationshiprelationship

‹ OppositeOpposite ofof correlationcorrelation

‹ AttractiveAttractive propertyproperty whenwhen dealingdealing withwith MVMV statsstats (really(really anyany stats)stats) OrthogonalityOrthogonality

‹ PredictPredict yy withwith twotwo Xs;Xs; bothboth XsXs relatedrelated toto y;y; orthogonalorthogonal toto eacheach other;other; eacheach xx

predictspredicts additivelyadditively (sum(sum ofof xxi/y/y correlationscorrelations equalequal multiplemultiple correlation)correlation)

X2 Y X1 OrthogonalityOrthogonality

‹ DesignsDesigns areare orthogonalorthogonal alsoalso

‹ WithWith multiplemultiple DV’sDV’s orthogonalityorthogonality isis alsoalso advantagesadvantages StandardStandard vs.vs. SequentialSequential AnalysesAnalyses ‹ ChoiceChoice dependsdepends onon handlinghandling commoncommon predictorpredictor variancevariance

X Y 1

X2 StandardStandard vs.vs. SequentialSequential AnalysesAnalyses ‹ StandardStandard analysisanalysis –– neitherneither IVIV getsgets creditcredit

y c Ag en t e o p Im

Health StandardStandard vs.vs. SequentialSequential AnalysesAnalyses ‹ SequentialSequential –– IVIV enteredentered firstfirst getsgets creditcredit forfor sharedshared variancevariance

y c Ag en t e o

Imp

Health MatricesMatrices

‹ DataData MatrixMatrix GRE GPA GENDER

500 3.2 1 420 2.5 2 650 3.9 1 550 3.5 2 480 3.3 1 600 3.25 2 For gender women are coded 1 MatricesMatrices

‹ CorrelationCorrelation oror RR matrixmatrix GRE GPA GENDER GRE 1.00 0.85 -0.13 GPA 0.85 1.00 -0.46 GENDER -0.13 -0.46 1.00 MatricesMatrices

‹ /CovarianceVariance/ oror SigmaSigma matrixmatrix

GRE GPA GENDER GRE 7026.67 32.80 -6.00 GPA 32.80 0.21 -0.12 GENDER -6.00 -0.12 0.30 MatricesMatrices

‹ SumsSums ofof SquaresSquares andand CrossCross--productsproducts matrixmatrix (SSCP)(SSCP) oror SS matrixmatrix

GRE GPA GENDER GRE 35133.33 164.00 -30.00 GPA 164.00 1.05 -0.58 GENDER -30.00 -0.58 1.50 MatricesMatrices

‹ SumsSums ofof SquaresSquares andand CrossCross--productsproducts matrixmatrix (SSCP)(SSCP) oror SS matrixmatrix N 2 SS() Xiijj=−∑ ( X X ) i=1 N SP()( Xj Xki=−∑ Xjj X )() Xik − X k i=1