Vol.20, No.2, 2011 ISSN 1229-6902 Special Issue Jin-Ha Kim North Korea 2012 On The Threshold Of Power, 2011/12 Pyongyang’s Politics of Transition Kibum Han North Korea’s South Korea Policy: An Evaluation of Determining Variables and Prospects for 2012 Vol.20, No.2, 2011 Mimura Mitsuhiro Outlook for North Korean Economic Reform and Marketization Young Sun Jeon Diagnosis and Assessment of North Korea's Sociocultural Sector in 2012 Christopher A. Ford Stalemate and Beyond: The North Korean Nuclear Impasse and Its Future Troy Stangarone & Nicholas Hamisevicz The Prospects for Economic Reform in North Korea after Kim Jong-il and the China Factor Webpage: http://www.kinu.or.kr International Journal of Korean Unification Studies Guideline for Manuscript Submission As the National Research Foundation of Korea’s • Books: John Smith, China’s Revolution: Rise Published biannually by the Korea Institute for National Unification registered journal as of 2009, The International and Fall (Princeton, N.J.: Princeton University Journal of Korean Unification Studies (ISSN NO. Press, 1992), p. 37. 1229–6902) is biannually published by Korea • Article: K. J. Holsti, “The Horseman of Publisher Taewoo Kim Institute for National Unification (KINU), a Apocalypse,” International Studies Quarterly, Editor-in-chief Kyuryoon Kim government-funded research institution in the Vol. XXX, No. 4 (Spring 1992). pp. 55–89. 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Ford .... 121 The Prospects for Economic Reform in North Korea after Kim Jong-il and the China Factor Troy Stangarone & Nicholas Hamisevicz .... 175 Contributors Jin-Ha Kim is a research fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification (KINU). He was formerly a visiting professor at the Institute of Foreign Affairs and National Security (IFANS). Dr. Kim received his Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of Chicago in 2009. His research interests lie in comparative authoritarianism, bureaucratic dictatorships, post-socialist transitions, and the political economy of North Korea. His recent works on North Korea include “Crisis of Succession: Mapping the Paths into and out of the Personalist Dictatorship in North Korea,” EAI-ASI Working Paper (November 2011); “North Korea’s Leadership Structure and Post-Socialist Transition: Compared with the Cases of Vietnam and Romania” (in Korean and co-authored with Moon-Hee Song), Unification Policy Studies, Vol. 20, No. 1 (June 2011); “Reopening the Six-Party Talks: Prospects and North Korea’s Likely Negotiating Strategies Following the U.S.-China Summit” (in Korean), KDI Review of the North Korean Economy (May 2011); and “North Korea’s Succession Plan: Stability and Future Outlook,” Ilmin Working Paper, No. 8 (December 2010). He can be reached at [email protected]. Kibum Han is a visiting fellow at the Korea Institute for National Unification (KINU), and has been an adjunct professor in the Department of North Korean Studies at Korea University since September 2011. He was for- merly a deputy executive director at the National Intelligence Service. Dr. Han received his Ph.D. in Political Science from Kyungnam University in Seoul, Korea in 2009. The title of his doctoral dissertation was Organiza- tional Behavior and Bureaucratic Politics in North Korea’s Decision- making Process: Expansion and Retreat of Economic Reform, 2000–2009. His research interests include North Korean internal politics, inter-Korean relations, and South Korea’s policy toward the North. He can be reached at [email protected]. Mimura Mitsuhiro is a senior research fellow and the director of the research division of the Economic Research Institute for Northeast Asia (ERINA) in Niigata, Japan. He has written a number of papers on the North Korean economy, North Korean law, the inter-Korean relationship, and Northeast Asian economic cooperation. Through collaboration with scholars and policy makers and frequent visits to North Korea, South Korea, China, Russia, the EU, and the U.S., his research provides excellent insight into Northeast Asia. He co-authored Keizai Kara Mita Kitachosen [North Korea from an economic viewpoint] (Tokyo: Akashi- Shoten, 2010); Modernization and Opening-Up of North Korean Economy: Roles and Efforts of Neighboring Countries (Seoul: KINU, 2009); and Kitachosen to Ningen no Anzen Hosho [North Korea and Human Security] (Tokyo: Keio University Press, 2009). He earned his Ph.D. and M.A. degrees from the Graduate School of Law at Osaka University in Japan and his B.A.