RISKMAP 2021 Asia Pacific

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Khabarovsk Ulaanbaatar Harbin Mongolia Urumqi Changchun Vladivostok Sapporo Shenyang Beijing North Korea Tianjin Pyongyang Dalian Seoul Japan South Korea Tokyo Osaka Nagoya Kabul Kashmir Zhengzhou Xi’an Islamabad Fukuoka Afghanistan China Kandahar Lahore Shanghai Chengdu Wuhan Nepal Chongqing Pakistan Delhi Kathmandu Bhutan Fuzhou Taipei Karachi Kunming Bangladesh Paciﬁc Dhaka Guangzhou Ocean Ahmedabad INDIA Shenzhen Kolkata Chittagong Hong Kong India Myanmar Hanoi Naypyidaw Mumbai Laos Vientiane Hyderabad Yangon N. Mariana Is. (US) Thailand Manila Bangkok Guam (US) Bangalore Chennai Vietnam Philippines Cambodia Phnom Penh Ho Chi Minh City Cebu Marshall Is. (US) Colombo Sri Lanka Sulu Federated States of Micronesia Penang Archipelago Aceh Brunei Malaysia Maldives Kuala Lumpur Singapore Kalimantan Sulawesi Sumatra Kiribati Maluku Papua Papua Bougainville (PNG) Jakarta New Indonesia Java Surabaya Guinea Timor-Leste Port Moresby Solomon Islands Indian Ocean Darwin Samoa Vanuatu Cairns Fiji Tonga controlrisks.com/riskmap New Caledonia (France) The Risk Ratings are compiled from sources that Control Risks considers to be reliable or are expressions of opinion. Control Risks has made reasonable commercial efforts to ensure the accuracy of the information on which the Risk Ratings are based. However, the Risk Ratings are provided ‘as is’ and include reasonable judgements in the circumstances prevailing at the time. The Risk Ratings provided should not be construed as definitive or binding Australia advice. Boundaries and names shown on this map do not imply endorsement or acceptance by Control Risks. Brisbane Copyright © Control Risks 2021. All rights reserved. Reproduction in whole or in part prohibited without the prior consent of the Company. Perth Security risk forecast Political risk forecast Sydney Adelaide Canberra Auckland Very Low Medium High Extreme Melbourne Low New Zealand Very Low Low Medium High Extreme Wellington Christchurch Security risk forecast Political risk forecast Very Low Medium High Extreme Low Very Low Low Medium High Extreme.

Copy Link

Recommended publications

The India-Myanmar Relationship: New Directions After a Change of Governments?
Articles IQAS Vol. 48 / 2017 3–4, pp. 171–202 The India-Myanmar Relationship: New Directions after a Change of Governments? Pierre Gottschlich Abstract Despite a promising start after independence, bilateral relations between India and Myanmar have had a long history of mutual neglect and obliviousness. This paper revisits the develop- ments since the end of colonial rule and points out crucial historical landmarks. Further, the most important policy issues between the two nations are discussed. The focal point of the analysis is the question of whether one can expect new directions in the bilateral relationship since the election of new governments in India in 2014 and in Myanmar in 2015. While there have been signs of a new foreign policy approach towards its eastern neighbour on the part of India under Prime Minister Narendra Modi, it remains to be seen if the government of Aung San Suu Kyi’s National League for Democracy will substantially alter Myanmar’s course on an international level. Keywords: India, Myanmar, Burma, foreign policy, bilateral relations 1. Introduction Recent political developments in Myanmar1 have led to hopes for ground- breaking democratisation and liberalisation processes in the country (Bünte 2014; Kipgen 2016). In particular, the landslide victory of the former opposi- tional National League for Democracy (NLD) under the leadership of Aung San Suu Kyi in general elections in 2015, with the subsequent formation of an NLD government in early 2016, is seen as a turning point in the history of Myanmar. With a potentially major political and economic transformation, there might also be room for a reconsideration of Myanmar’s foreign policy, particularly with regard to its giant neighbours, China and India (Gordon 2014: 193–194).
[Show full text]
Japan-ASEAN Connectivity Initiative(PDF)
November. 2020 Japan-ASEAN Connectivity Initiative MOFA Japan has supported ASEAN's efforts to strengthen connectivity in order to narrow the gaps in the ASEAN region and further facilitate the integration of ASEAN community based on the Master Plan on ASEAN Connectivity (MPAC) 2025 and Ayeyawady-Chao Phraya-Mekong Economic Cooperation Strategy (ACMECS) Masterplan. Japan will continue to provide support in this field. Japan has announced its decision to support strengthening ASEAN connectivity both in hard and soft ware with focus on the ongoing 2 trillion yen worth of land, sea, and air corridor connectivity infrastructure projects as below, together with capacity building projects for 1,000 individuals over the next three years. “Land Corridor” East-West Corridor *The following connectivity projects include projects （Thailand） The road connecting Da Nang, Viet Nam under consideration. （Cambodia）・Mass Transit System Project and Mawlamyaing, Myanmar ・National Road No. 5 Improvement Project “Sea and Air corridor” in Bangkok (RED LINE) Southern Corridor （）（Myanmar） The road connecting Ho Chi Minh, Viet Nam Cambodia ・・Bago River Bridge Construction Project and Dawei, Myanmar Sihanoukville Port New Container Terminal Development Project ・East-West Economic Corridor Improvement Project Mandalay Hanoi ・・East-West Economic Corridor Highway Development The Project for Port EDI for Port Myanmar Modernization Project (Phase 2)(New Bago-Kyaikto Highway Section) Naypyidaw Laos （Myanmar）・Infrastructure Development Project in Thilawa Area Phase
[Show full text]
The Brookings Institution
MYANMAR-2021/07/22 1 THE BROOKINGS INSTITUTION WEBINAR THE QUAGMIRE IN MYANMAR: HOW SHOULD THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY RESPOND? Washington, D.C. Thursday, July 22, 2021 PARTICIPANTS: JONATHAN STROMSETH Senior Fellow Lee Kuan Yew Chair in Southeast Asian Studies, Foreign Policy The Brookings Institution AYE MIN THANT Features Editor Frontier Myanmar Pulitzer Prize-winning journalist Formerly at Reuters MARY CALLAHAN Associate Professor Henry M. Jackson School of International Studies University of Washington DEREK MITCHELL President National Democratic Institute for International Affairs Former U.S. Ambassador to Myanmar (Burma) KAVI CHONGKITTAVORN Senior Fellow Institute of Security and International Studies Chulalongkorn University’ Columnist Bangkok Post * * * * * ANDERSON COURT REPORTING 1800 Diagonal Road, Suite 600 Alexandria, VA 22314 Phone (703) 519-7180 Fax (703) 519-7190 MYANMAR-2021/07/22 2 P R O C E E D I N G S MR. STROMSETH: Greetings. I’m Jonathan Stromseth, the Lee Kuan Yew Chair in Southeast Asian Studies at Brookings and I’m pleased to welcome everyone to this timely event, the quagmire in Myanmar: How should the international community respond? Early this year, the Burmese military also known as the Tatmadaw detained State Counselor Aung San Suu Kyi and other civilian leaders in a coup d’état ending a decade of quasi- democracy in the country. The junta has since killed hundreds of protestors and detained thousands of activists and politicians, but mass protests and mass civil disobedience activities continue unabated. In addition, a devasting humanitarian crisis has engulfed the country as people go hungry, the healthcare system has collapsed and COVID-19 has exploded adding a new sense of urgency as well as desperate calls for emergency assistance.
[Show full text]
Synthesis Report on Ten ASEAN Countries Disaster Risks Assessment
Synthesis Report on Ten ASEAN Countries Disaster Risks Assessment ASEAN Disaster Risk Management Initiative December 2010 Preface The countries of the Association of Southeast (Vietnam) droughts, September 2009 cyclone Asian Nations (ASEAN), which comprises Brunei, Ketsana (known as Ondoy in the Philippines), Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, Malaysia, Myanmar, catastrophic flood of October 2008, and January Philippines, Singapore, Thailand, and Vietnam, is 2007 flood (Vietnam), September 1997 forest-fire geographically located in one of the most disaster (Indonesia) and many others. Climate change is prone regions of the world. The ASEAN region expected to exacerbate disasters associated with sits between several tectonic plates causing hydro-meteorological hazards. earthquakes, volcanic eruptions and tsunamis. The region is also located in between two great Often these disasters transcend national borders oceans namely the Pacific and the Indian oceans and overwhelm the capacities of individual causing seasonal typhoons and in some areas, countries to manage them. Most countries in tsunamis. The countries of the region have a the region have limited financial resources and history of devastating disasters that have caused physical resilience. Furthermore, the level of economic and human losses across the region. preparedness and prevention varies from country Almost all types of natural hazards are present, to country and regional cooperation does not including typhoons (strong tropical cyclones), exist to the extent necessary. Because of this high floods, earthquakes, tsunamis, volcanic eruptions, vulnerability and the relatively small size of most landslides, forest-fires, and epidemics that of the ASEAN countries, it will be more efficient threaten life and property, and droughts that leave and economically prudent for the countries to serious lingering effects.
[Show full text]
Crossing the Line: Geopolitics and Criminality at the India-Myanmar Border
RESEARCH REPORT CROSSING THE LINE Geopolitics and criminality at the India–Myanmar border PREM MAHADEVAN NOVEMBER 2020 CROSSING THE LINE CROSSING THE LINE Geopolitics and criminality at the India–Myanmar border ww Prem Mahadevan November 2020 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS The author would like to thank Mark Shaw and Tuesday Reitano for invaluable feedback provided during the course of this research project. Thanks also to Mark Ronan and his team for a speedy and efficient editorial process. The author expresses gratitude to the Government of Norway for funding the research. ABOUT THE AUTHOR Before joining the Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime, Prem Mahadevan was a senior researcher with the Center for Security Studies at the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology. He specialized in research on organized crime, intelligence and irregular warfare. He has co-authored policy studies for the Swiss foreign ministry and written a book on counter-terrorist operations for the Indian Army. His academic publications include two books on intelligence and terrorism. © 2020 Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime. All rights reserved. No part of this publication may be reproduced or transmitted in any form or by any means without permission in writing from the Global Initiative. Cover: View of the remote Zokhawthar–Rihkhawdar border crossing, a hotspot for the illicit smuggling of goods between India and Myanmar. © Eric Winny via Wikimedia Commons Design: Elné Potgieter Cartography: Rudi de Lange Please direct inquiries to:
[Show full text]
China and the February 1, 2021 Coup D'etat in Burma: Beijing's
Volume 19 | Issue 10 | Number 1 | Article ID 5600 | May 15, 2021 The Asia-Pacific Journal | Japan Focus China and the February 1, 2021 Coup d’Etat in Burma: Beijing’s Geopolitical Nightmare Donald M. Seekins Abstract: Despite its oft-stated commitment to non-interference in the domestic affairs of foreign countries, the People’s Republic of China has intervened on many levels in Burma’s conflict-ridden society, both before and after 1988. It is in 2021 Burma’s largest economic partner in terms of trade, aid and investment, and has fit Burma into its continent- and ocean-spanning One Belt/One Road Initiative. In chronically unstable border areas, it has a major influence on armed insurgent groups such as the Kokang Group and the United Wa State Army. Beijing’s top priority has been to ensure political stability, and it found Aung San Suu Kyi a willing and China's 'Burma Road' project, part of the able partner after she became “State broader Belt-and-Road infrastructural Counselor” in 2016. But the coup d’etat of initiative. February 1, 2021 has cast a shadow over the Beijing-Naypyidaw relationship and Burma’s future. Keywords: Burma (Myanmar), China, One This article assesses relations between the Belt/One Road Initiative, State Law and Order People’s Republic of China and the Republic of Restoration Council/State Peace and the Union of Myanmar, or Burma, in light of the Development Council, State Administrative military coup d’état which took place on Council, Aung San Suu Kyi. February 1, 2020. This event caused an unexpected crisis in ties between the two neighboring countries, which the Burmese have traditionally described as pauk paw relations, those between “distant cousins.
[Show full text]
Asian American Pacific Islander Heritage Month Magazine
Asian American Pacific Islander Heritage Month U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE INTERIOR PMB Administrative Services AVSO CADR IBC OFAS OHA Our Vision: To Deliver Outstanding Products and Customer Service While Actively Creating and Sustaining a Respectful Focus Welcome Embracing Diversity By Julie P. Bednar Associate Director Human Resources Directorate Interior Business Center Welcome to our inaugural Special Emphasis Program Magazine. I've been a federal civil servant for almost 30 years in Human Resources. I use the term "civil servant" in its truest form - I am proud to have served the citizens of our If each of us embraced diversity in all of its forms, and country to my fullest extent and to bring value to our showed respect for all of the diversity that surrounds us taxpayers. I'm extremely proud of the diversity of our every day, imagine the possibilities! federal workforce. I challenge each of you to have one new experience each In my eyes, "diversity" has so many different meanings. day for the next two weeks - it can be as simple as trying Diversity can be the personal characteristics that you a new dish for your next meal or considering an opinion observe when you first meet someone. Diversity can be that is different from your own. Then reflect upon what how each of us grew up, which has an impact on how we you have learned in two weeks. interpret our daily experiences. Diversity can be how Keep on going -- embrace a new experience every day, each person's ideas can be harvested to create day after day.
[Show full text]
The Upattasanti Pagoda in Myanmar's New Capital of Naypyidaw
The Sacred Core: the Upattasanti Pagoda in Myanmar’s New Capital of Naypyidaw -by- Donald M. Seekins, Ph.D. The relocation of the capital of Myanmar (Burma) from Yangon (Rangoon) to Naypyidaw in late 2005 surprised both Burmese and foreign observers. Myanmar is one of Southeast Asia’s poorest countries. The construction of an entirely new city as the national capital was not only prohibitively expensive, but seriously disrupted the smooth running of the state, as thousands of civil servants were obliged to move from their old homes in Yangon to their new work-site, located in the center of the country. There was considerable waste of scarce resources; for example, new facilities such as a National Library and National Museum had been built in Yangon after 1988, but were rebuilt in Naypyidaw. Yangon has a Zoological Garden, built during the British colonial era, but another zoo was set up in the new I wish to express my deep thanks to the Graduate Research Program of the University College of the University of Maryland for providing me with a grant in 2012 that made possible fieldwork in Naypyidaw. 1 capital, complete with an air-conditioned pavilion where penguins happily frolic, protected from the merciless tropical sun.1 After 2005, there was much speculation concerning the motivations of Senior General Than Shwe, military strongman and chairman of the State Peace and Development Council (SPDC) junta, in decreeing the capital shift.2 These can generally be placed in three categories, which in order of descending credibility are: (1) strategic factors, especially the military regime’s fear of continued popular unrest in the crowded old capital of Yangon and the advantages of moving the capital inland in terms of controlling the unstable ethnic minority and border areas, adjacent to China, Thailand and India; (2) historical and symbolic factors, including the long history of Burmese kings building new capital cities for themselves and 1 Helen Beaton.
[Show full text]
Myanmar and the United States: Prospects for a Limited Security Partnership
MYANMAR AND THE UNITED STATES: PROSPECTS FOR A LIMITED SECURITY PARTNERSHIP Dr Jürgen Haacke November 2015 Table of contents In its short history, the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney has established itself as an Executive summary 01 internationally recognised authority on American studies Introduction 02 outside of the United States. Spanning the study of politics and policy, economics and business, culture and 1. The strategic context of Myanmar 04 society, the Centre fulfils its mission through education, research, public outreach, and policy initiatives. 2. Myanmar’s relations with China 10 The Centre provides knowledge and expertise in public 3. Myanmar’s relations with 18 policy issues of interest and importance to both Australia the United States and the United States through its thought leadership initiatives, one of which is the Emerging US Security 4. Myanmar: Diversifying 26 Partnerships in South-East Asia project. foreign relations Acknowledgments 5. Conclusions 28 This paper is part of a wider research and outreach project Endnotes 29 on emerging US security partnerships in South-East Asia supported by a grant from the John D. and Catherine T. About the author 36 MacArthur Foundation. The author would like to thank the Myanmar Institute of International Strategic Studies for its assistance in organising an expert workshop to review and critique an earlier version of this study in May 2015. The author would also like to thank the John D. and Catherine T. MacArthur Foundation for its generous support, and the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney for leading and organising the project on Emerging US Security Partnerships in South-East Asia.
[Show full text]
University of California, Santa Cruz the Naypyidaw Rationale
University of California, Santa Cruz The Naypyidaw Rationale: Cultures of Power and Constructions of Legitimacy in the Republic of Myanmar June 2015 Nic Zinter Senior Thesis Dept. of Politics 1 A note on the terminology: The official title of the Burmese state as specified by the 2008 Constitution is “The Republic of the Union of Myanmar,” although the use of “Myanmar” to designate the territory formerly known as “Burma” was a move to push out colonial influence after the Burmese Security Forces initiated a violent coup d’état in 1988 responding to a series of student uprisings and popular protests. While the majority of major news outlets refer to this nation as Myanmar, the designation of Burma is still used by a coalition of governments, including that of the United States, that refuse to recognize the legitimacy of the now-vacated military government. In spite of the dissolution of the military junta in 2011, the current government of Myanmar led by Thein Sein upholds the name “Myanmar” and continues to rule from the junta-designated capital at Naypyidaw. As such, I use the designations of “Myanmar” and “Burma” throughout the course of this paper – not to make any sort of political statement for or against the current government of Myanmar. Rather, when discussing issues pertaining specifically to the government, I use the term “Myanmar;” when discussing the peoples or the territory within Myanmar’s national boundaries, or the historic kingdoms or colonies that predate the junta, I utilize the term “Burma.” 2 On 6 November 2005, at the decidedly auspicious time of 6:37 a.m., the capital of the Republic of the Union of Myanmar was moved from Yangon, the site of tumultuous protest, democratic movements, and political upheaval, to the barren grasslands of a territory known as Pyinmana, which at the time had a population just shy of one hundred thousand.
[Show full text]
Central Level Disaster Relief Stockpile Distribution Net UNJLC - UNSDI-T
FF II CC SS SS Field Information and China Coordination Support Section Sources: UNHCR, Global Insight digital mapping © 1998 Europa Technologies Ltd. Central Level Disaster Relief Stockpile Distribution Net UNJLC - UNSDI-T The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this As of September 2011 map do not imply official endorsement or acceptance by the United Nations. China_CLDRS_DistribNet_A3LC.WOR RUSSIAN FEDERATION ASTANAASTANA !! Hailar KAZAKHSTAN HEILONGJIANGHEILONGJIANG !! ULAANBAATARULAANBAATAR !! !! !! Qiqihar MONGOLIA CCC!! HarbinHarbin NEIMENGGUNEIMENGGU !! CC!! UrumshiUrumshi Changchung !! !! Jilin !! AlmatyAlmaty CCC !! JILINJILINJILIN BISHKEKBISHKEK LIAONINGLIAONING XINJIANGXINJIANG HEBEIHEBEI ShenyangShenyangC!!!! Fushun !! CC !! KYRGYZSTAN CCC DEMOCRATIC PEOPLE'S !! !! Anshan !! Hohhot !! BEIJINGBEIJING !! BEIJINGBEIJING !! BEIJINGBEIJING !! BEIJINGBEIJING !! BEIJINGBEIJING Baotou !! BEIJINGBEIJING UZBEKISTAN OshOsh GANSUGANSU !! REP. OF KOREA !! !! BEIJINGBEIJINGCC !! Tangshan !! KashgarKashgar CCC DushanbeDushanbe CC !! DushanbeDushanbe CC TienjinTienjin !! !! CCC TienjinTienjinCC !! Dalian !! P'YONGYANGP'YONGYANG !! CCC !! !! Yinchuan TIANJINTIANJIN JAPAN !! Shijiazhuang !! !! !! !! TAJIKISTAN Taiyuan !! TURKMENISTAN !! Xining NINGXIANINGXIA !! SEOULSEOUL NINGXIANINGXIA SHANXISHANXI KunduzKunduz !! !! Jinan Mazar-i-SharifMazar-i-Sharif GolmudGolmud Mazar-i-SharifMazar-i-Sharif CCC !! LanzhouLanzhou SHANDONGSHANDONG !! Qingdao REPUBLIC CC SHANDONGSHANDONG !! MaimanaMaimana KabulKabul
[Show full text]
UNESCO Office, Jakarta Calendar of Events 2019
UNESCO Office, Jakarta Calendar of Events 2019 December 3 December Future Ready ASEAN regional competition final workshop (TBC) Venue: Jakarta Organizer: ASEAN fundations, Microsoft philanthropies, UNESCO Office Jakarta (PCB) TBC (5 days) Borobudur Field School – part 2 (cultural landscape surveying workshop) Venue: Borobudur WH site and surrounding areas Organizer: UNESCO Office, Jakarta (CLT Unit), BCO and MoEC November 26 – 29 Review of the Revised ALS Modules and Finalization of New ALS Modules November Venue: General Santos City, Philippines (TBC) Organisers: UNESCO Jakarta Office, KOICA and DepEd 04 – 08 Revision of New ALS Modules - Version 2.0 November Venue: Clark, Pampanga, Philippines (TBC) Organisers: UNESCO Jakarta Office, KOICA and DepEd TBC Conference on Shared Maritime Heritage Venue: TBC (Jakarta or elsewhere) Organizer: UNESCO Office, Jakarta (CLT Unit) in collaboration with Negeri Rempah Foundation, ASEAN, and Coordinating Ministry of Maritime Affairs October 29 – 31 October The 27th IHP RSC Asia and the Pacific Meeting Venue: Naypyidaw Organizer: UNESCO Jakarta and IHP-Myanmar 14-18 October Ethics Teachers Training Course Venue: Fiji National University (Namaka Campus Nadi) Organizer: UNESCO Office, Jakarta (SHS Unit) and Fiji National University 10 October Review (Language and Content)/Quality Assurance of New ALS Modules Venue: Manila, Philippines (TBC) Organisers: UNESCO Jakarta Office, KOICA and DepEd TBC High Level Seminar on Inclusive Cities Venue: TBC (Banjarmasin) Organizer: UNESCO Office, Jakarta (SHS Unit),
[Show full text]