United Parcel Service By Michael Vida Carmela Miele Salvatore Samà 1 of 34 St. John’s University Undergraduate Student Managed Investment Fund United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) $58.40 Date: April 14, 2003 Type of Report: Recommendation & Analysis Recommendation: Limit order to buy 175 shares at $55.00 Market order to buy 175 shares Industry: Transportation - Air Delivery, Freight & Parcel Services Analysts: Michael Vida -
[email protected] Carmela Miele –
[email protected] Salvatore Samà –
[email protected] Share Data Price - $58.40 Fundamentals Date – April 14, 2003 P/E (12/02): 20.2 Target Price - $60.35 P/E (12/03E): 26.46 52 Week Price Range - $53.00 - $67.10 Book Value/Share: $11.09 Market Capitalization - $ 64.644 Billion Price/Book Value: 5.167 Shares Outstanding – 1.12 Billion Dividend Yield: 1.46% Revenue - $31.272 Billion Proj. LT EPS Growth Rate: 14% ROE 2002: 26.10% Earnings Per Share and Projections FY Ending Full Year Consensus Est. 12/01A 2.13 12/02A 2.84 12/03E 2.29 Avg=2.33 (yahoo) 12/04E 2.67 Avg=2.67 (yahoo) 12/05E 2.94 N/A 2 of 34 Executive Summary We are recommending the purchase of 350 shares of UPS, currently trading on the NYSE at $57.30. United Parcel Services has one of the most extensive global ground and air networks for transportation. The largest transportation company, UPS, has been outperforming S&P by 30%. UPS is not solely a transportation company; they also act as consultants for the logistics of major companies in 130 countries.