Manuscript Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society doi:10.1093/cjres/rsw025 Intercity migration in China: a recurrent-event duration analysis of repeat migration Ming Tiana, Zheng Tianb and Brian Cushingc Downloaded from aSchool of Social Development and Public Policy, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, China,
[email protected] bInternational School of Economics and Management, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China,
[email protected] cDepartment of Economics, West Virginia University, Morgantown, WV 26506, USA, brian. http://cjres.oxfordjournals.org/
[email protected] Received on September 22, 2015; accepted on April 6, 2016 This paper focuses on repeat migration of migrant workers in China. We explore repeat migration from the perspective of the duration of each migration stage in one’s migration history. The main methodology is a recurrent-event Cox proportional hazard (PH) duration at Beijing Normal University Library on October 20, 2016 model that examines the effects of both time-independent and time-dependent variables on the potential for repeat migration. We also assess the PH assumption for time-independent variables. We find that the age of first migration, the accompaniment of family members and the types and location of destination cities have significant effects on the potential of migrants’ subsequent movements to other cities. Keywords: repeat migration, Chinese rural migrants, recurrent-event duration model JEL Classifications: R23, C41, O15 Introduction migration policies regarding the magnitude and Massive rural–urban migration in China is an direction of migration flows. This article focuses important feature of Chinese labour markets. on repeat migration of Chinese migrant work- The migration process is complex, involving ini- ers from the perspective of the duration of each tial movement outside a migrant’s place of ori- stage in one’s migration history.