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Fiona Chen's Michigan Expert Report
EXPERT REPORT IT FRAUD INVESTIGATION NEEDED: MICHIGAN BIDEN VOTES NEED TO BE REDUCED AND REVERSED BY 138,399 AND CHECKED FOR 49,779 VOTE SURGE AT 3:50 AM 11/4/2020 By Fiona Chen, MPA, Ph.D., CPA, ABV, CFF, CITP Fiona Chen Consulting Company: A Tax & Forensic Accounting Firm 275 Stonegate Road, Ste M Algonquin, IL 60102 December 14, 2020 1 IT FRAUD INVESTIGATION NEEDED: MICHIGAN BIDEN VOTES NEED TO BE REDUCED AND REVERSED BY 138,399 AND CHECKED FOR 49,779 VOTE SURGE AT 3:50 AM 11/4/2020 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In Michigan, screenshot evidence identified a surge vote increase for Biden of 138,339 votes at 6:31 am on 11/4/2020. After online vote watchers questioned the surge vote for Biden only, Michigan state officials and news reports admitted this number increase was a mistake which should not have happened. The vote number is supposedly to have been corrected at the Shiawassee County level. This increased number of 138,339 was never reversed at the State summary level. Biden based on this increased number continued at the state level to have had accumulative 154,188 votes higher than Trump’s at the end. The 154,188 Biden votes should be reduced by 138,339 to be 15,849. Furthermore, another similar surge vote for Biden was reported happening at 3:50 am of 11/4/2020 for 49,779. The State has not shown the detailed listing of that vote combinations, 54,497 for Biden and 4,718 for Trump. This number needs to be investigated. -
Forecasting the 2020 US Elections with Decision Desk HQ: Methodology for Modern American Electoral Dynamics
Harvard Data Science Review • Issue 2.4, Fall 2020 Forecasting the 2020 US Elections with Decision Desk HQ: Methodology for Modern American Electoral Dynamics Kiel Williams, Mukul Ram, Matthew Shor, Sreevani Jarugula, Dan DeRemigi, Alex Alduncin, Scott Tranter Published on: Oct 27, 2020 DOI: 10.1162/99608f92.9663befd License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC-BY 4.0) Forecasting the 2020 US Elections with Decision Desk HQ: Methodology for Modern American Harvard Data Science Review • Issue 2.4, Fall 2020 Electoral Dynamics ABSTRACT Øptimus has constructed models to predict the outcomes of the 2020 presidential and congressional general elections in collaboration with Decision Desk HQ. The model is an iteration from its 2018 U.S. Congressional model designed to predict the outcome of the election as if it were held today. The congressional model predicts the probability of a Republican (GOP) victory in individual House and Senate elections, as well as the number of aggregate seats expected to be won by each party (to predict partisan control of each chamber). The presidential model uses a similar framework to estimate vote shares and probabilities of victory for each major party candidate in each of the states.1 These estimates are then used to proxy electoral college predictions that determine who is elected as the next President of the United States. We provide a survey of features, feature engineering techniques, models, and ensembling techniques. We also provide some empirical results. Keywords: elections, political science, government, machine learning Media Summary We start with a data set of 200+ base features spanning economic indicators, political environment measures (both national and local), candidate traits, campaign finance reports, and engineered variables designed to draw context-specific information into the model. -
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Game Information ................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................... Detroit Tigers Media Relations Department w Comerica Park w Phone (313) 471-2000 w Fax (313) 471-2138 w Detroit, MI 48201 w www.tigers.com Detroit Tigers vs. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim Monday, July 16, 2012 Comerica Park, Detroit, MI Game Time - 7:05 p.m. EDT RECENT RESULTS: The Tigers blanked the Orioles 4-0 yesterday afternoon. Justin TIGERS AT A GLANCE Verlander (10-5) fanned eight batters in eight shutout innings to earn the win for Detroit. Austin Jackson and Miguel Cabrera both homered for the Tigers, while Jhonny Peralta and Record: 46-43 / Streak: W1 Alex Avila both added a hit and an RBI. The Tigers begin a seven-game homestand with Game #90 / Home #43 the first game of a four-game series versus the Angels this evening. The homestand Home: 22-20 / Road: 24-23 concludes with a three-game series against the White Sox beginning on Friday evening. WINNING WAYS: The Tigers enter tonight’s game versus the Angels having won 10 of Tonight’s Scheduled Starters the club’s last 14 games dating back to June 28. Detroit is tops among all American RHP Rick Porcello vs. RHP Ervin Santana League clubs with a .714 winning percentage during that stretch. (6-5, 4.47) (4-9, 5.75) PILING UP THE WINS OVER THE ANGELS AT COMERICA PARK: The Tigers enter TV/Radio tonight’s game having won eight of the club’s last 12 games over the Angels at Comerica FSD/AM 1270 & 97.1 FM Park dating back to June 6, 2009. -
Marlins Notes: • Brian Anderson's Solo Home Run in The
Boston Red Sox (4-1) vs. Miami Marlins (2-3) Monday, April 02, 2018 Marlins Park, Miami, FL úñ Club 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 R H E LOB Boston 0 0 0 3 2 0 1 0 1 7 12 0 7 Miami 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 3 10 0 10 Win: Brian Johnson (1-0, 1.50, 6.0 ip, 6 h, r, er, 2 bb, 5 so, hr, 82/49) Attendance: Game – 11,113 Loss: Trevor Richards (0-1, 10.38, 4.1 ip, 5 r, 5 er, 8 h, bb, 5 so, hr, 93/55) Season – 79, 148 Save: None Time: 3:09 2B: BOS – Núñez (2), Vázquez (1), Devers (2) 3B: BOS – None MIA – Castro (1) MIA – None HR: BOS – Ramirez (1), Betts (1) SB: BOS – Ramirez (2) MIA – Anderson (1) MIA – None Marlins Notes: Brian Anderson’s solo home run in the bottom of the second was the first of his career and extended his season opening hitting streak to five games, which marks a new career high. Starlin Castro tallied his 500th career RBI in the bottom of the 9th on an RBI groundout that scored Tomas Telis. Castro extended his hitting streak at Marlins Park to 13 games (.382/21x55) and has now hit safely in nine of his last 10 games vs. Boston (.395/17x43). Trevor Richards suffered the loss in his MLB debut. He became the 10th rookie to appear for the Marlins this season, which leads the Majors. Tomás Telis singled in the seventh and has now hit safely in his last four Interleague games (4x11). -
Congressional Record—House H6850
H6850 CONGRESSIONAL RECORD — HOUSE December 4, 2020 but because of the pandemic, we are ex- commitment and determination to bring our the commitment that you have indi- periencing over 1 million cases a week beloved Austin safely home. cated on this letter. It would bring joy and 2,000 deaths a day. Yesterday there was a news story from the unlike any these parents have ever ex- Because of that, we are finding our- region that Austin Tice had been released and was on a plane headed home. Our phones perienced if you would do so. selves in more self-induced economic were going crazy, our email was exploding, So, Mr. President, I salute you. I sa- comas, just like we are seeing in my Twitter, Facebook, Instagram—every kind of lute you for your desire and commit- State of California and my district on social media was buzzing with an outpouring ment to bring Austin home. And I sus- the central coast of California. of high hopes and great joy. Many, many pect that it has a lot to do with the We can’t wait any longer for another news outlets reached out eagerly hoping to fact that he is an American citizen, but economic package. That is why Demo- verify this great news. I also suspect, Mr. President, that it crats and Republicans of the Problem We know you can make this joyful news a has a lot to do with what you know reality. We know the Syrians are ready to Solvers Caucus worked with a bipar- about Austin. -
Fiona Chen's Wisconsin Expert Report
EXPERT REPORT THE NOVEMBER 4, 2020 VOTE NUMBER SURGE OF 193,720 INCONSISTENT WITH 1% VOTER POPULATION INCREASE: WISCONSIN VOTING COMPUTER SYSTEM NEEDS TO BE AUDITED OR AT LEAST THIS NUMBER INVESTIGATED By Fiona Chen, MPA, Ph.D., CPA, ABV, CFF, CITP Fiona Chen Consulting Company: A Tax & Forensic Accounting Firm 275 Stonegate Road, Ste M Algonquin, IL 60102 December 9, 2020 1 THE NOVEMBER 4, 2020 VOTE NUMBER SURGE OF 193,720 INCONSISTENT WITH 1% VOTER POPULATION INCREASE: WISCONSIN VOTING COMPUTER SYSTEM NEEDS TO BE AUDITED OR AT LEAST THIS NUMBER INVESTIGATED EXECUTIVE SUMMARY In Wisconsin, when the total vote increased 1%, from 12:59 am to 1:46 am PST on November 4, 2020, suddenly, Biden's vote increased 156,009 and Trump's vote increased 37,621. This total vote increase was 193,720. According to this one percent (1%) increase, the Wisconsin population or voter registration needed to have been 11,937,200. But the entire Wisconsin total population is only 5,820,000. The vote number changes were likely made directly in the computer system without the scan of individual vote ballots. Direct data change explains why the total number of vote increases was without the corresponding percentage change. Such direct computer data entry is confirmed in the State of Michigan. In Michigan, screenshot evidence identified a similar surge for Biden of 138,339 votes on 11/4/2020 about the same time as in Wisconsin. Various sources reported it as an entry “typo”. So far, no evidence shows how it was reversed at the macro level as claimed. -
Nationals Braves Mets Marlins Phillies
OUR EXPERTS RANK BRYCE HARPER THE BEST LEFTFIELDER IN BASEBALL. TO SEE HOW YOUR FAVORITE PLAYERS STACK UP, CHECK OUT THE BBTN 100 ON ESPN.COM PROJECTIONS Both the Nationals and Braves have young, talented rosters with few Isolation players. The key difference, though, which will be reflected in the final standings, is that the Braves’ locker room lacks veteran leadership and diversity with respect to age and nationality—traits that promote good chemistry. The Nats also have nearly double the number of players who have spent multiple seasons with the club, promoting unity in Washington. Pre-chem Wins from chemistry Projected Team wins Ego Demographic Isolation record The Mets are ranked 27th in WASHINGTON chemistry, owing 1 largely to a weak 91 0.1 0.2 0.7 92–70 Isolation factor. NATIONALS The underlying issue? A ATLANTA disparate 2 starting staff, WC 90 0.1 -1.0 0.9 90–72 led by Bartolo BRAVES Colon, 40, and Zack Wheeler, NEW YORK 23. The Phillies, 3 ranked 30th, METS 73 -0.5 -0.3 -1.3 71–91 suffer from an extremely negative Ego MIAMI factor, driven by 4 several overpaid MARLINS 68 -0.7 -0.4 2.1 69–93 vets, like Ryan Howard (projected 0.2 PHILADELPHIA WAR) and 5 Jonathan PHILLIES 70 -1.5 -0.2 -0.2 68–94 Papelbon (0.8). UNSTABLE ELEMENT DEFINING PROPERTY The Nationals have an exceptional rotation, led by Stephen Strasburg, Gio Gonzalez and Jordan Zimmermann. But where the Nats’ staff truly differentiates itself is with its No. 4 starter, , whose projected 2014 WAR (below) Harper, 21, showed DOUG FISTER far outpaces all other No. -
Sports and the Rhetorical Construction of the Citizen-Consumer
THE SPORTS MALL OF AMERICA: SPORTS AND THE RHETORICAL CONSTRUCTION OF THE CITIZEN-CONSUMER Cory Hillman A Dissertation Submitted to the Graduate College of Bowling Green State University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of DOCTOR OF PHILOSOPHY August 2012 Committee: Dr. Michael Butterworth, Advisor Dr. David Tobar Graduate Faculty Representative Dr. Clayton Rosati Dr. Joshua Atkinson © 2010 Cory Hillman All Rights Reserved iii ABSTRACT Dr. Michael Butterworth, Advisor The purpose of this dissertation was to investigate from a rhetorical perspective how contemporary sports both reflect and influence a preferred definition of democracy that has been narrowly conflated with consumption in the cultural imaginary. I argue that the relationship between fans and sports has become mediated by rituals of consumption in order to affirm a particular identity, similar to the ways that citizenship in America has become defined by one’s ability to consume under conditions of neoliberal capitalism. In this study, I examine how new sports stadiums are architecturally designed to attract upper income fans through the mobilization of spectacle and surveillance-based strategies such as Fan Code of Conducts. I also investigate the “sports gaming culture” that addresses advertising in sports video games and fantasy sports participation that both reinforce the burgeoning commercialism of sports while normalizing capitalism’s worldview. I also explore the area of licensed merchandise which is often used to seduce fans into consuming the sports brand by speaking the terms of consumer capitalism often naturalized in fan’s expectations in their engagement with sports. Finally, I address potential strategies of resistance that rely on a reassessment of the value of sports in American culture, predicated upon restoring citizens’ faith in public institutions that would simultaneously reclaim control of the sporting landscape from commercial entities exploiting them for profit. -
Declaration of Seth Keshel Pursuant to 28 U.S.C Section 1746, I, Seth
Declaration of Seth Keshel Pursuant to 28 U.S.C Section 1746, I, Seth Keshel, make the following declaration. 1. I am over the age of 21 years and I am under no legal disability, which would prevent me from giving this declaration. 2. I am a trained data analyst with experience in multiple fields, including service in the United States Army as a Captain of Military Intelligence, with a one-year combat tour in Afghanistan. My experience includes political involvement requiring a knowledge of election trends and voting behavior. 3. I reside at 233 Muir Hill Dr., Aledo, TX 76008. 4. My declaration highlights substantial deviance from statistical norms and results regarding voting patterns in Wisconsin. 5. All 2020-related voting totals are taken from the Decision Desk HQ unofficial tracker, are not certified, and are subject to change from the time of the creation of this declaration. 6. Wisconsin has shown a steady decrease for support in Democratic presidential nominees since Barack Obama won the state by 13.91% in 2008. He won Wisconsin again in 2012, but only by a margin of 6.94%, and Republican Donald Trump won the state by 0.77% in 2016. 7. As part of an overall working-class voter shift, Wisconsin has moved in the same manner as Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, and Minnesota – decreasing levels of support for Democratic nominees, and by consequence of this shift, increasing levels of support for Republican Case 2:20-cv-01771-PP FiledExhibit 12/03/20 9 Page 1 of 8 Document 9-9 nominees. -
The Architect (PDF)
UPCOMING PROMOTIONS THE ARCHITECT OF THE DETROIT TIGERS The blueprint that built Dave Dombrowski into one of baseball’s most respected executives. By Ben Chiswick On a sunny Wednesday afternoon in West Michigan, Dave Dombrowski sat behind home plate at Fifth Third Ballpark. The President, CEO and General Manager of the Detroit Tigers blended in among the scouts and radar guns on a day in which the rest of the ballpark was overtaken by 6,000 screaming kids enjoying a field trip. But Dombrowski was not there to complement a bag of salty peanuts with a cold beer, or egg on a buddy to take part in the dizzy bat race. The baseball veteran was there to work, evaluating the talent on the Tigers’ Class-A affiliate, the West Michigan Whitecaps. In his 33rd year in the industry of professional baseball, Dombrowski has learned a thing or two about player development. Though his current role requires his primary focus to be on the big league club in Detroit, he sets aside time every year to visit each of the Tigers’ full-season affili- ates. “Coming in here and watching is for my own firsthand experience and to get a feel for it,” explained Dombrowski. “I’ve heard reports on all of these guys but I like to get a feel myself. It’s amazing when you’ve seen a lot of guys play over the years, people stand out very quickly.” Dombrowski is kept well informed on all the happenings in the minor league system throughout the year. This primarily comes in the form of conversations with Director of Player Development Glenn Ezell and the many reports left by coaches, scouts and roving instructors that spend the season visiting the various minor league affiliates in the Detroit Tigers farm system. -
Post-Election Interview with Scott Tranter
Harvard Data Science Review • Issue 2.4, Fall 2020 Post-Election Interview with Scott Tranter Scott Tranter, Liberty Vittert, Xiao-Li Meng Published on: Dec 21, 2020 License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC-BY 4.0) Harvard Data Science Review • Issue 2.4, Fall 2020 Post-Election Interview with Scott Tranter 0:00 / 45:10 Listen to the interview and read the transcript below. Liberty Vittert: (LV): Hello and welcome to the Harvard Data Science Review's special theme on the 2020 U.S. Election. I'm Liberty Vittert, Media Feature Editor for the Harvard Data Science Review and I'm joined by my co-host Xiao-Li Meng, our Editor-in-Chief. Today we are speaking with Scott Tranter, the CEO and cofounder of 0ptimus Analytics, an adjunct professor at American University, and an adviser to Decision Desk HQ. Scott and his team predicted a Biden win in the Harvard Data Science Review in October 2020, and he is here today to discuss his correct prediction in the aftermath of this election. Xiao-Li Meng (XLM): Scott, it’s good to see you, and I'm particularly happy to see you very relaxed, after all of this. Scott Tranter (ST): Yeah. Can I just open up with the fact that my model was better than Liberty's off- the-cuff, whatever you wanted to say, prediction. LV: I think the audience must know. I feel like I need to come to terms with it. Scott and I made a bet about three years ago. I took Trump and he took the field as to who would win in 2020. -
2013 Topps Baseball Card Set Checklist
2013 TOPPS BASEBALL CARD SET CHECKLIST 1 Bryce Harper 2 Derek Jeter 3 Hunter Pence 4 Yadier Molina 5 Carlos Gonzalez 6 Ryan Howard 8 Ryan Braun 9 Dee Gordon 10 Adam Jones 11 Yu Darvish 12 A.J. Pierzynski 13 Brett Lawrie 14 Paul Konerko 15 Dustin Pedroia 16 Andre Ethier 17 Shin-Soo Choo 18 Mitch Moreland 19 Joey Votto 20 Kevin Youkilis 21 Lucas Duda 22 Clayton Kershaw 23 Jemile Weeks 24 Dan Haren 25 Mark Teixeira 26 Chase Utley 27 Mike Trout 28 Prince Fielder 29 Adrian Beltre 30 Neftali Feliz 31 Jose Tabata 32 Craig Breslow 33 Cliff Lee 34 Felix Hernandez 35 Justin Verlander 36 Jered Weaver 37 Max Scherzer 38 Brian Wilson 39 Scott Feldman 40 Chien-Ming Wang 41 Daniel Hudson 42 Detroit Tigers® 43 R.A. Dickey Compliments of BaseballCardBinders.com© 2019 1 44 Anthony Rizzo 45 Travis Ishikawa 46 Craig Kimbrel 47 Howie Kendrick 48 Ryan Cook 49 Chris Sale 50 Adam Wainwright 51 Jonathan Broxton 52 CC Sabathia 53 Alex Cobb 54 Jaime Garcia 55 Tim Lincecum 56 Joe Blanton 57 Mark Lowe 58 Jeremy Hellickson 59 John Axford 60 Jon Rauch 61 Trevor Bauer 62 Tommy Hunter 63 Justin Masterson 64 Will Middlebrooks 65 J.P. Howell 66 Daniel Nava 67 San Francisco Giants® 68 Colby Rasmus 69 Marco Scutaro 70 Todd Frazier 71 Kyle Kendrick 72 Gerardo Parra 73 Brandon Crawford 74 Kenley Jansen 75 Barry Zito 76 Brandon Inge 77 Dustin Moseley 78 Dylan Bundy 79 Adam Eaton 80 Ryan Zimmerman 81 Clayton Kershaw Johnny Cueto R.A.