SYRIA, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: Update on incidents according to the Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project (ACLED) compiled by ACCORD, 19 December 2019 Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality Number of reported fatalities National borders: GADM, November 2015a; administrative divisions: GADM, November 2015b; incid- ent data: ACLED, 14 December 2019; coastlines and inland waters: Smith and Wessel, 1 May 2015 SYRIA, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Contents Conflict incidents by category Number of Number of reported fatalities 1 Number of Number of Category incidents with at incidents fatalities Number of reported incidents with at least one fatality 1 least one fatality Explosions / Remote Conflict incidents by category 2 7110 925 3048 violence Development of conflict incidents from June 2017 to June 2019 2 Battles 1282 659 4216 Strategic developments 602 9 20 Methodology 3 Violence against civilians 527 339 658 Conflict incidents per province 4 Protests 110 1 5 Riots 12 1 1 Localization of conflict incidents 4 Total 9643 1934 7948 Disclaimer 8 This table is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 14 December 2019). Development of conflict incidents from June 2017 to June 2019 This graph is based on data from ACLED (datasets used: ACLED, 14 December 2019). 2 SYRIA, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Methodology on what level of detail is reported. Thus, towns may represent the wider region in which an incident occured, or the provincial capital may be used if only the province The data used in this report was collected by the Armed Conflict Location & Event is known. Erroneous location data, especially due to identical place names, cannot Data Project (ACLED). ACLED collects data on reported conflict events in selected be fully excluded. African and Asian countries, Syria being among them. ACLED researchers collect event data from a variety of sources and code them by date, location, agent, and Incidents comprise the following categories: battles, headquarters or bases es- event type. tablished, non-violent strategic activities, riots/protests, violence against civilians, non-violent transfer of territory, remote violence. For details on these categories, Most of the data collected by ACLED is gathered based on publicly available, please see secondary reports. It may therefore underestimate the volume of events. Fatality data particularly is vulnerable to bias and inaccurate reporting, and ACLED states • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict to use the most conservative estimate available. ACLED uses the reports’ context Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook; ACLED - ASIA, 2015 to estimate fatalities for events with reported fatalities for which the exact number http://www.acleddata.com/wp- content/uploads/2015/07/ACLED_ is unknown (“10” for plural fatalities, “100” if “hundreds” are mentioned, etc.). Codebook_2015_ASIA-CR.pdf For further details on ACLED and for the full data, see www.acleddata.com and Raleigh; Linke; Hegre, and Karlsen, 2010. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) Codebook (2019), 10 April 2019 Based on this data, the Austrian Centre for Country of Origin & Asylum Research https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2017/10/ and Documentation (ACCORD) compiles updates on conflict incidents and pub- ACLED_Codebook_2019FINAL_pbl.pdf lishes them on ecoi.net to offer another access point to the ACLED datasets. • ACLED – Armed Conflict Location & Event Data Project: Armed Conflict It is advised to employ extreme caution when using fatality numbers. Location and Event Data Project (ACLED) User Quick Guide, April 2019 https://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/dlm_uploads/2019/04/ Assessments of the security situation should not be based solely on quantitative General-User-Guide_FINAL.pdf analysis of event data. Geographic map data is primarily based on GADM, complemented with other sources if necessary. Incidents are mapped to GADM provinces using the provinces in ACLED data. Province names and borders may differ between ACLED and GADM. Incidents that could not be located are ignored. The numbers included in this overview might therefore differ from the original ACLED data. ACLED uses varying degrees of geographic precision for the individual incidents, depending 3 SYRIA, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Conflict incidents per province are taken from GADM data which serves as the basis for the maps above. Number of In Al Hasakah, 247 incidents killing 221 people were reported. The following Number of Number of Province incidents with locations were among the affected: Abu Fas, Abu Hamdah, Abu Rasayn, Adlah, incidents fatalities fatalities Al Jana, Al Jawadiyah, Al Maylibiyah, Al-Hasakeh, Al-Hasakeh - Al Ghazal, Al Hasakah 247 75 221 Al-Hasakeh - Al Mufti, Al-Hasakeh - Ghoweran, Al-Karameh, Al-Malikeyyeh, Aleppo 1341 307 1017 Al-Sa’da, Al-Shamsani, Al-Tuwinah, Alia, Amuda, Aradah, Aziziyeh, Bikaret Elhilaiya, Darbasiyah, Dashishah, Fadghami, Fakkeh, Hadaj, Halleq, Hole, Ar Raqqah 151 68 174 Jabal Abdulaziz, Jazaa, Khrbit Al-Banat, Makhroum, Markada, Mjeibreh, As Suwayda’ 56 19 39 Mousa Kora, Qahtaniyyah, Qasruk, Qayrawan Amuda, Quamishli, Ras Al Damascus 26 14 42 Ain, Rmelan, Semalka Border Crossing, Shadadah, Tal Ahmad, Tal Anbar, Tal Dar‘a 172 70 125 Brak, Tal Farfara, Tal Hmis, Tal Shayr, Tal Tamer, Tall Hurmuz, Tall Kubaybah, Dayr Az Zawr 782 367 2105 Tell Halaf, Um Hojairah, Umm Hafur. Hamah 3387 353 2014 In Aleppo, 1341 incidents killing 1017 people were reported. The following Hims 49 32 188 locations were among the affected: A’rima, A’wejel, Abad, Abla, Abu Zandin, Idlib 3016 502 1502 Abyan Saman, Abzemo, Afrin, Aghtrin, Ain Dara, Ain al Arab, Ain al Arab Air Lattakia 242 38 260 Base, Ajil, Al Bab, Al Bughaz, Al Hussyah, Al Khalidiyah, Al Qurt, Al’awasi, Quneitra 21 6 11 Al-Bohouth al-Elmia, Al-Eis, Al-Malikeyyeh, Al-Mallah, Al-Qasmiyeh, Rif Dimashq 152 83 250 Al-Rashdeen, Aleppo, Aleppo - Al-Ansari, Aleppo - Al-Farafra, Aleppo - Al-Khaldiya, Aleppo - Al-Layramoun, Aleppo - Al-Nayrab, Aleppo - Al-Nile, Tartus 1 0 0 Aleppo - Al-Sabeel, Aleppo - Al-Salhen, Aleppo - Al-Sukari, Aleppo - Al-Zahraa, Aleppo - Fardos, Aleppo - Halab Al-Jadida, Aleppo - Hamadaniyeh, Aleppo - Jamiliyeh, Aleppo - Jibreen, Aleppo - Masharqa, Localization of conflict incidents Aleppo - Ramousa, Aleppo - Sakhour, Aleppo - Salah Al-Dina, Aleppo - Shahabaa, Aleppo - Syriac Quarter, Aleppo - Tishreen, Amarnah, Andan, Note: The following list is an overview of the incident data included in the ACLED Anjara, Ar-Ra’ee, Arab Hassan Kabeer, Arnaz, Atareb, Awshariyah, Azaz, dataset. More details are available in the actual dataset (date, location data, event Baadinli, Babis, Bafelyun, Banes, Barad, Barna, Barqum, Bastron, Basufan, type, involved actors, information sources, etc.). The data’s precision varies among Basuta, Baza’a, Big Othmaniya, Bishqatine, Biyanoun, Blinta, Bshantra, the incidents: a town may represent a region, or the provincial capital may be Bulbul, Burj Al-Qas, Buwaybiyah, Byanun, Dabiq, Dadat, Daghelbash, Dahrat used if the precise location of an incident is unkown. In the following list, the names Abd Rabou, Dana, Dandaniya, Daret Azza, Darwish Ubasi, Deir Ballut, Deir of event locations are taken from ACLED, while the administrative region names Jamal, Deir Meshmesh, Deir Samaan, Ein Daqneh, Electricity Association 4 SYRIA, FIRST HALFYEAR 2019: UPDATE ON INCIDENTS ACCORDING TO THE ARMED CONFLICT LOCATION & EVENT DATA PROJECT (ACLED) COMPILED BY ACCORD, 19 DECEMBER 2019 Suburb, Ghandorah, Hadher, Halula, Harbal, Haritan, Hayyan, Hazwan, Khneiz, Kleib, Maadan, Mansura, Sakoura, Sawsak, Tall Othman, Tell Abiad, Herbel, Hmeira, Hoteh, Hur, Huwair al-Eis, ICARDA Research Facility, Ibbin, Yarmuk. Jalbul, Jamus Wiran, Jandairis, Jarablus, Jazraya, Jeineh, Jub al Hamir, Juwaiq, Kafr Aleppo, Kafr Amma, Kafr Dael, Kafr Hamra, Kafr Janna, Kafr In As Suwayda’, 56 incidents killing 39 people were reported. The following Kalbein, Kafr Karmin, Kafr Khasher, Kafr Naha, Kafr Naseh Elatareb, Kafr locations were among the affected: Al Thaalah Military Air Base, Al-Thaala, Noran, Kafr Rum, Kafr Safra, Kafr Taal, Kafr Zayt, Kafrantin, Kaljibrin, Ara, As-Sweida, Atil, Deir al-Laban, Harran, Kafr, Karaa, Khalkhaleh, Kassibeh, Kawkabah, Khalsa, Khan Al-Asal, Khan Tuman, Khan al-Asal, Majadel, Mardak, Qanawat, Qarayya, Raha, Salakhed, Samma al Hneidat, Kharab Hisaq, Khirbat az Zuwayn, Kimar, Korhyok, Kreidiyeh, Lower Taara, Tall Qulayb, Tarba. Kafardali, Ma’btali, Maaret Elartiq, Maarrata, Makbas, Makhala, Mansoura, Mansura, Manyan, Maraanaz, Maratet Um Hosh, Mare’, Maryuda, Mashaala, In Damascus, 26 incidents killing 42 people were reported. The following Masikah, Meidan Ekbis, Menagh, Menagh - Military Airport, Menbij, locations were among the affected: Damascus, Damascus - Al-Midan, Meydanki, Mreimin Afrin, Nabul, Nayrab Air Base, Olasha, Qabasin, Qamari, Damascus - Al-Qadam, Damascus - Barzeh, Damascus - Jobar, Damascus - Qarrasi, Qastal Jandu, Qebtan al Jabal, Qermitliq, Qilah, Qude, Qurt Qulaq Kafr Sousah, Damascus - Sarouja, Patrol Palestine Branch.