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Traditional Prediction of Drought Under Weather and Climate Uncertainty
Natural Hazards https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-019-03613-4 ORIGINAL PAPER Traditional prediction of drought under weather and climate uncertainty: analyzing the challenges and opportunities for small‑scale farmers in Gaza province, southern region of Mozambique Daniela Salite1 Received: 5 October 2018 / Accepted: 20 April 2019 © The Author(s) 2019 Abstract This paper explores the traditional indicators that small-scale farmers in Gaza province in southern Mozambique use to predict drought events on their rain-fed farms. It analyzes the contextual situation regarding the accuracy and reliability of the traditional prediction methods under the current weather and conditions of climate uncertainty and variabil- ity, and the opportunities that their prediction methods can bring to reduce their current and future exposure and vulnerabilities to drought. Farmers use a total of 11 traditional environmental indicators to predict drought, either individually or combined, as required to increase their prediction certainty. However, the farmers perceive that current unpre- dictability, variability, and changes in weather and climate have negatively afected the interpretation, accuracy, and reliability of most of their prediction indicators, and thus their farming activities and their ability to predict and respond to drought. This, associated with the reduced number of elders in the community, is causing a decline in the diver- sity, and complexity of interpretation of indicators. Nonetheless, these difculties have not impeded farmers from continuing to use their preferred prediction methods, as on some occasions they continue to be useful for their farming-related decisions and are also the main, or sometimes only, source of forecast. Considering the role these methods play in farmers’ activities, and the limited access to meteorological forecasts in most rural areas of Mozambique, and the fact that the weather and climate is expected to continually change, this paper concludes that it is important to enhance the use of traditional prediction meth- ods. -
The Mozambican National Resistance (Renamo) As Described by Ex-Patticipants
The Mozambican National Resistance (Renamo) as Described by Ex-patticipants Research Report Submitted to: Ford Foundation and Swedish International Development Agency William Minter, Ph.D. Visiting Researcher African Studies Program Georgetown University Washington, DC March, 1989 Copyright Q 1989 by William Minter Permission to reprint, excerpt or translate this report will be granted provided that credit is given rind a copy sent to the author. For more information contact: William Minter 1839 Newton St. NW Washington, DC 20010 U.S.A. INTRODUCTION the top levels of the ruling Frelirno Party, local party and government officials helped locate amnestied ex-participants For over a decade the Mozambican National Resistance and gave access to prisoners. Selection was on the basis of the (Renamo, or MNR) has been the principal agent of a desuuctive criteria the author presented: those who had spent more time as war against independent Mozambique. The origin of the group Renamo soldiers. including commanders, people with some as a creation of the Rhodesian government in the mid-1970s is education if possible, adults rather than children. In a number of well-documented, as is the transfer of sponsorship to the South cases, the author asked for specific individuals by name, previ- African government after white Rhodesia gave way to inde- ously identified from the Mozambican press or other sources. In pendent Zimbabwe in 1980. no case were any of these refused, although a couple were not The results of the war have attracted increasing attention geographically accessible. from the international community in recent years. In April 1988 Each interview was carried out individually, out of hearing the report written by consultant Robert Gersony for the U. -
In Mozambique Melq Gomes
January 2014 Tracking Adaptation and Measuring Development (TAMD) in Mozambique Melq Gomes Q3 Report - Feasibility Testing Phase MOZAMBIQUE TAMD FEASIBILITY STUDY QUARTER THREE REPORT, 10/01/2014 Contents INTRODUCTION 2 STAKEHOLDER ANALYSIS/KEY ENTRY POINTS 8 THEORY OF CHANGE ESTABLISHED 9 INDICATORS (TRACK 1 AND TRACK 2) AND METHODOLOGY 14 National level indicators 14 District level indicators 15 METHODOLOGICAL APPROACH 16 EMPIRICAL DATA COLLECTION (a) TRACK 1 (b) TRACK 2 16 CHALLENGES 17 CONCLUSIONS AND EMERGING LESSONS 17 ANNEXES 18 Annex 1: National level indicators 18 Annex 2: Guijá Field Work Report – Developing the ToC. 18 Annex 3: Draft of the workplan for Mozambique. 18 www.iied.org 1 MOZAMBIQUE TAMD FEASIBILITY STUDY QUARTER THREE REPORT, 10/01/2014 INTRODUCTION 1.1 - Mozambique Context Summary: Mozambique is the 8th most vulnerable country to climate change and is one of the poorest countries in the world with a high dependency on foreign aid. The population is primarily rural and dependent on agriculture, with 60% living on the coastline. Droughts, flooding and cyclones affect particular regions of the country and these are projected to increase in frequency and severity. The main institution for managing and coordinating climate change responses is the Ministry for Coordination of Environment Affairs (MICOA), the Ministry for Planning and Development also has a key role. New institutions have been proposed under the National Strategy on Climate Change but are not yet operational, it was approved in 2012. (Artur, Tellam 2012:8) Mozambique Climate Vulnerability and future project effects (Artur, Tellam 2012:9) Summary: The main risk/hazards in Mozambique are floods, droughts and cyclones with a very high level of current and future vulnerability in terms of exposure to floods and cyclones as more than 60% of the population lives along the coastline below 100 meters of altitude. -
Assessment of the Financial Flows in Mozambique
Assessment of the Financial Flows in Mozambique June, 2016 VillageReach is a global health innovator that develops, tests, implements and scales new solutions to critical health system challenges in low-resource environments, with an emphasis on strengthening the “last mile” of healthcare delivery. www.villagereach.org // [email protected] Page 2 Table of Contents Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................................... 3 Background ................................................................................................................................................... 3 Methods ........................................................................................................................................................ 4 Results ........................................................................................................................................................... 5 3.1 Planning process .................................................................................................................................. 5 3.2 Financial flow ....................................................................................................................................... 8 3.3 Gavi funding ...................................................................................................................................... 11 3.4 Challenges that have affected the EPI .............................................................................................. -
Projectos De Energias Renováveis Recursos Hídrico E Solar
FUNDO DE ENERGIA Energia para todos para Energia CARTEIRA DE PROJECTOS DE ENERGIAS RENOVÁVEIS RECURSOS HÍDRICO E SOLAR RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS PORTFÓLIO HYDRO AND SOLAR RESOURCES Edition nd 2 2ª Edição July 2019 Julho de 2019 DO POVO DOS ESTADOS UNIDOS NM ISO 9001:2008 FUNDO DE ENERGIA CARTEIRA DE PROJECTOS DE ENERGIAS RENOVÁVEIS RECURSOS HÍDRICO E SOLAR RENEWABLE ENERGY PROJECTS PORTFOLIO HYDRO AND SOLAR RESOURCES FICHA TÉCNICA COLOPHON Título Title Carteira de Projectos de Energias Renováveis - Recurso Renewable Energy Projects Portfolio - Hydro and Solar Hídrico e Solar Resources Redação Drafting Divisão de Estudos e Planificação Studies and Planning Division Coordenação Coordination Edson Uamusse Edson Uamusse Revisão Revision Filipe Mondlane Filipe Mondlane Impressão Printing Leima Impressões Originais, Lda Leima Impressões Originais, Lda Tiragem Print run 300 Exemplares 300 Copies Propriedade Property FUNAE – Fundo de Energia FUNAE – Energy Fund Publicação Publication 2ª Edição 2nd Edition Julho de 2019 July 2019 CARTEIRA DE PROJECTOS DE RENEWABLE ENERGY ENERGIAS RENOVÁVEIS PROJECTS PORTFOLIO RECURSOS HÍDRICO E SOLAR HYDRO AND SOLAR RESOURCES PREFÁCIO PREFACE O acesso universal a energia em 2030 será uma realidade no País, Universal access to energy by 2030 will be reality in this country, mercê do “Programa Nacional de Energia para Todos” lançado por thanks to the “National Energy for All Program” launched by Sua Excia Filipe Jacinto Nyusi, Presidente da República de Moçam- His Excellency Filipe Jacinto Nyusi, President of the -
Environmental Impact of Flooding in the Gaza Province, Limpopo River
UNEP/OCHA JEU / Kaisa Nugin, MSB May 8, 2013 ENVIRONMENTAL ASSESSMENT Flooding in the Gaza Province, Limpopo River Basin, Mozambique Cover photo: Flooded area in Mandlakazi, Mozambique © Kaisa Nugin / Konstanze Kampfer Table of contents List of Acronyms ...................................................................................................................................... 3 Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................. 4 Key findings ......................................................................................................................................... 4 Key recommendations ........................................................................................................................ 6 1. Background ..................................................................................................................................... 9 1.1 Mission objective .................................................................................................................. 11 1.2 Methodology ......................................................................................................................... 11 2. Findings ......................................................................................................................................... 13 2.1 General ................................................................................................................................. -
MOZAMBIQUE Food Security Update November 2007
MOZAMBIQUE Food Security Update November 2007 Moderate levels of food insecurity persist in the southern and central Figure 1. Current estimated food security Mozambique, and 520,000 poor to very poor persons cannot meet their conditions, fourth quarter (Nov-Dec 2007) food needs without external assistance, and will need continuous humanitarian assistance through March 2008. The World Food Program (WFP) will assist more than 470,000 persons through December 2007 but could face a pipeline break thereafter if the food security conditions worsen or critical events like flooding and high winds associated with tropical depressions, storms or cyclones increase the level of need. The normal rains have marked the onset of the rainy and agriculture season in much of the southern and central regions. Although a positive rainy season is forecast, farmers are in urgent need of seeds for planting, particularly in areas of the south affected by drought last season where seed shortages are widespread. Above normal rains occurred in much of northern Mozambique, although these were off season rains for region, as effective rains are not normally established until late November/early December. As the season progresses and heavy rains fall, localized inundations may occur in rivers basin where already highly saturated soils may increase the rate at which water levels rise. Contingency plans should be developed for Source: FEWS NET potential flooding. Seasonal calendar and critical events FEWS NET Washington FEWS NET MOZAMBIQUE 1717 H St NW FEWS NET is a USAID-funded activity. The authors’ views expressed in Tel: 258 21 461872 0r 21 460588 this publication do not necessarily reflect the view of the United States Washington DC 20006 [email protected] Agency for International Development or the United States Government. -
Inhambane Province – Panda, Mabote and Lagoa Poelela, Jan-Feb 2019
J. Osborne, C. Langa, C. Datizua & I. Darbyshire. April 2019 Mozambique TIPAs Fieldwork Report: Inhambane Province – Panda, Mabote and Lagoa Poelela, Jan-Feb 2019 J. Osborne, C. Langa, C. Datizua & I. Darbyshire Inhambane Province in southern Mozambique supports significant areas of a range of natural habitats and a wealth of biodiversity. It is also a well-known tourist destination and an important area for production of cashew and coconut crops. Over 50 of Mozambique’s endemic plant taxa occur in Inhambane as well as a similar number of regional near-endemics. The province has three protected areas, coastal Pomene Game Reserve and Bazaruto National Park and inland Zinave National Park bordering Manica Province. However, across most of the Province, areas of forest and natural vegetation are under pressure from timber extraction, urban development, cattle and agricultural expansion and are not protected by legislation. As with much of Mozambique, Inhambane province is relatively under-recorded botanically. Previously most botanical exploration has been concentrated in coastal habitats, though even some of the coastal areas in Inhambane are little known botanically. In this fieldwork we have focussed on three districts in Inhambane, Panda (Panda-sede and Mawayela local post), Mabote (Mabote local post), and Inharrime (in Inharrime-Sede local post). We identified areas of potential botanical interest, targeting patches of natural vegetation identified from Google Earth imagery with the aim of (i) documenting the vegetation, (ii) gathering distribution data for a target list of nationally endemic, regionally endemic and threatened plants, (iii) assessing land-use, protection and threats and(iv) identifying potential Important Plant Areas (IPAs). -
Annual Report 2009 UNDP Mozambique
UNDP Mozambique United Nations Development Programme AnnualAnnual RReporeportt 20092009 UNDP Mozambique Av. Kenneth Kaunda, 931 P. O. Box 4595 Maputo Tel: +258 21 481 400 Fax: +258 21 491 691 E-mail: [email protected] [email protected] www.undp.org.mz United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) is the UN's global development network, advocating for change and connecting countries to knowledge, experience and resources to help people build a better life. We are on the ground in 166 countries, working with them on their own solutions to global and national development challenges. As they develop local capacity, they draw on the people of UNDP and our wide range of partners. Published by UNDP Mozambique Cover photo: Eeva Parviainen, UNDP Mozambique Designed and printed by Leima, Impressões Originais, Lda. © UNDP 2009 S S UNDP Mozambique Annual Report 2009 Foreword 2 ONTENT ONTENT 1 Together with the Government 5 C C 2 Highlights of the Year 8 3 Aid Effectiveness and Delivering as One 11 UN agencies helping Millennium Village communities to help themselves 13 4 Eradicating Poverty and tackling HIV and AIDS 15 Poverty reduction monitored by Civil Society Organizations 17 5 Fostering Democratic Governance 19 Strengthening legal institutions 21 Capacity developed for democratic elections 22 Parliamentary oversight fortified 24 A decade of decentralization 25 6 Preventing Crisis and Adaptation to Climate Change 27 Expanding mine action 28 Adaptation to climate change in Chicualacuala 31 7 Analyzing Policy and Economics 33 Differences in Human Development Indices analyzed 34 8 Behind the Scenes: Operations and Agency Services 35 9 Expenditure and Resources 37 Acronyms 39 Photo Captions 40 ANNUAL REPORT 2009 1 Foreword UNDP has been a partner of the Mozambican people and also meant strengthened media coverage of the their Government since Independence. -
Risk B U Lletin
ISSUE 2 | NOVEMBER 2019 CIVIL SOCIETY OBSERVATORY OF ILLICIT ECONOMIES IN EASTERN AND SOUTHERN AFRICA SUMMARY HIGHLIGHTS 1. A new pricing survey into Tanzania’s heroin 3. In Mozambique, the assassination of an market shows that heroin use has spread election observer has thrown into relief how far inland from the coastal ‘southern route’, assassinations are deployed to silence dissent and the quality of heroin for sale reveals and reform. surprising inland supply routes. The murder of Anastácio Matavel, an activist The so-called southern route for Afghan heroin and NGO leader heading election observations trafficking is understood as having generated in Mozambique’s Gaza province, has shaken a substance abuse crisis along the East African civil society and international observers. Yet coast. Results from a new, innovative regional Matavel’s murder is just the latest in a pattern drug-pricing survey, however, are shifting our of similar killings that have intensified in understanding of domestic heroin markets and recent years; the targets are often journalists, routes. Initial results from surveys of heroin academics, activists and politicians. markets in Tanzania suggest widespread nation- wide supply routes, while trends in quality of 4. Kenya’s ill-regulated mass transit industry supply and type of retail packaging suggest provides a convenient way of ‘cleaning’ dirty several overlapping land routes. These results money – and it appears various corrupt indicate a domestic heroin market that has interests would like to keep it that way. few barriers to entry for aspiring traffickers A recent narcotics case in Nairobi has exposed and dealers. the links between Kenya’s mass transit sector and narcotics trafficking. -
Women and Drought in Southern Mozambique: More Responsailities, Less Power and Increased Vulnerabilities
WOMEN AND DROUGHT IN SOUTHERN MOZAMBIQUE: MORE RESPONSAILITIES, LESS POWER AND INCREASED VULNERABILITIES A study in Funhalouro, Panda, Chicualacuala, Chigubo, Magude and Moamba Maputo December 2016 Table of Contents List of abbreviations and acronyms ......................................................................................... 3 Executive Summary ....................................................................................................................... 4 Recommendations .................................................................................................................................... 6 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................ 9 2. Methodology and limitations ............................................................................................... 12 Desk Review ............................................................................................................................................ 13 Populations covered by the study .................................................................................................... 13 Data collection ........................................................................................................................................ 14 Easing factors and constrains ............................................................................................................ 16 3. Research findings ................................................................................................................... -
Rp119 Cover.Pmd
LTC Research Paper Security, Conflict, and Reintegration in Mozambique: Case Studies of Land Access in the Postwar Period by Gregory W. Myers, Julieta Eliseu, and Erasmo Nhachungue University of Wisconsin-Madison 175 Science Hall 550 North Park Street Madison, WI 53706 http://www.ies.wisc.edu/ltc/ Research Paper LTC Research Paper 119, U.S. ISSN 0084-0815 originally published in August 1994 SECURITY, CONFLICT, AND REINTEGRATION IN MOZAMBIQUE: CASE STUDIES OF LAND ACCESS IN THE POSTWAR PERIOD by Gregory W. Myers, Julieta Eliseu, and Erasmo Nhachungue All views, interpretations, recommendations, and conclusions expressed in this publication are those of the authors and not necessarily those of the supporting or cooperating organizations. LTC Research Paper 119 Land Tenure Center University of Wisconsin-Madison August 1994 ■.■ TABLE OF CONTENTS Page List of tables, graphs, and diagrams v List of maps vii Acknowledgments ix Executive summary xi I. Introduction 1 II. Research methodology 5 III. An overview of land access in postwar Mozambique 11 A. Access under statutory land law 11 1. Land law 11 2. Formal land administration 14 3. Land availability and scarcity 20 4. State land concessions 22 5. Competitive and overlapping land claims 41 B. Access under customary land law 43 1. Customary rules and land access 43 2. Customary rules and refugee reintegration 46 3. Customary rules and their constraints 48 C. Land disputes and conflicts 50 IV. Four case studies of land access 61 A. Chokwe and Chibuto districts, Gaza Province 61 1. Research sites and objectives 61 2. Land tenure in Chokwe and Chibuto districts before independence 62 3.