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Roadmap for Transport Infrastructure Development for Metro Manila and Its Surrounding Areas (Region III and Region IV-A) Main Points of the Roadmap Technical Assistance from the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) Roadmap Study Objective Study Period To formulate “Transportation March 2013 – March 2014 Infrastructure Roadmap” for sustainable development of Metro Manila and its surrounding areas Stakeholders Consulted (Region III and IV-A) NEDA DPWH Outputs DOTC MMDA Dream plan towards 2030 Others (donors, private sectors, etc.) Roadmap towards 2016 and 2020 Priority projects 2 Significance of the study area: How to ensure sustainable growth of Metro Manila and surrounding regions. Study Area Nueva Ecija Aurora Tarlac GCR: MManila, Region III, Region IV-A Region III 100km Mega Manila: MManila, Bulacan, Rizal, Laguna, Cavite Metro Manila : 17 cities/municipality Pampanga Metro Manila shares 36% of GDP GCR shares 62% of GDP (Population :37%) Bulacan 50km Popuation Population growth rate (%/year) GRDP Metro (000) (Php billion) Rizal (1) GRDP by sector; growth rate (%/year), Manila 25,000 (2) 4,000 (3) sector share (%) 6.3% 2.0% 20,000 1 18 1.5% 3,000 15,000 Cavite 1.8% 3.1% Laguna 2,000 2.4% 6.1% 10,000 6 2.6% 81 2.1% 32 4.6% 63 17 1,000 Batangas 5,000 17 31 28 41 42 31 51 41 Region IV-A 0 0 MetroMetro Region IIIIII RegionRegion IV-A IV Visayas Mindanao ManilaManila Growth rate of population & GRDP is between 2000 and 2010 3 Rapid growth of Metro Manila, 1980 - 2010 1980 2010 2010/’80 Population (000) 5,923 11,856 2.0 Roads (km) 675 1,032 1.5 GRDP @ 2010 price (Php billion) 1,233 3,226 2.6 GRDP per Capita (Php 000) 208 272 1.3 No. of Vehicles ( 000 units) 446 1,904 4.3 Public LRT (km) 20 (‘85) 50 2.5 Transport Bus (000 units) 3.6 14.2 3.9 Jeepney (000 units) 37 48 1.3 Are there solutions for sustainable development of Metro Manila? 4 3 Major Urban Problems in Metro Manila Traffic congestions Natural disasters (flood, earthquake, Transport typhoon, landslide, etc.) Affordable housing, slum/squatter areas Land use Environment They are interrelated!! 5 Traffic congestions; everywhere throughout the day Hourly Traffic Distribution on MManila Roads1) 2030 7% Direction1 Volume/ Capacity Ratio 6% Direction 2 2-way 5% V/C > 1.50 (beyond capacity) V/C = 1.00 – 1.50 (at & above capacity) 4% V/C = 0.75 – 1.00 (reaching capacity) 3% V/C < 0.75 (below capacity) 2% % of Daily Traffic of Daily % 1% 0% 02 07 13 19 24 1) Results from 11 survey stations, 2012 Traffic Demand and Impact (Metro Manila) 2012 2030 ‘30/’12 Traffic demand (million trips/day) 12.8 14.5 1.13 Public transport share in total demand 69% 69% 1.00 Occupancy of road space by private vehicles 78% 78% 1.00 Transport cost (Php billion/day) 2.4 6.0 2.50 If nothing is done by 2030 Air quality GHG 4.79 5.72 1.19 (million Tons/year) PM 0.014 0.019 1.36 NOx 0.049 0.059 1.20 Source: JICA Study Team 6 Hazard risks threaten large number of households. No. of households living in hazard areas High risk areas: 0.5 mil. (MManila), 1.4 mil. (GCR), Moderate risk areas: 0.7 mil. (MManila), 1.8 mil. (GCR), No. of ISFs living along waterways; 60,130 (MManila) No. of ISFs in priority waterways; 19,500 (8 waterways) Legend High risk Moderate risk Hazard risk areas Low risk Priority waterways Earthquake Flood Landslide 7 Need for affordable housing is large. Affordable housing needs (Metro Manila 2010) Distribution of Informal Settlers Backlog: 500,000 households Resettlement: 560,000 households 8 Situation may worsen as Manila grows to Metro Manila and farther to Mega Manila. Expansion of Urban Areas Metro Manila (2010) Tokyo/23wards 2 2 Area：620 km 621km Population：11.9 million 9.1 million Density: 191person/ha 146 person/ha Population (million) 30 Mega Manila 29.4 5 Large Urban Areas Tokyo: 35 million 25 Jakarta: 28 million 23.0 Seoul: 26 million 20 Shanghai: 25 million Karachi: 24 million Area 15 BRLC 13.9 10 11.9 5 Metro Manila 0 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 2010 2030 How and where the people in need of affordable housing free from hazard risk Source: MMUTIS can be accommodated! 9 Vision and Approach to Dream Plan Metro Manila’s problems can no longer be solved within Metro Manila. Region III and Region IV-A must work out effective ways to maximize positive impacts of Metro Manila and contribute to mitigate Metro Manila’s problems. 10 Tri-engine growth with GPS for Greater Capital Region Gate to wellspring of hope Place for livable communities Space for dynamic business centers Need for Regional Integration Connectivity of Metro Manila, Region3 and Region4-A Connectivity with global market Strengthening connectivity through transport development and industry location strategies Redefine spatial structure of Metro Manila Shift from radial/circumferential to ladder form 1977 Metro Plan High density residential areas in city center → suburban Development of peri-urban/suburban areas Development of subcenters Recovery of green space Redevelopment/retrofitting of city center areas Conventional Proposed Road network pattern Eco zone 1 12 Regional development strategy (Integrated, Innovative and Inclusive) The rest of Region III the country REGIONAL GROWTH CENTER (SUBIC-CLARK-TARLAC) • New urban core Integration of regional • Green city • Gateway port/airport development clusters with north- south transport backbones MEGA PLANNED URBAN MANILA EXPANSIONN (Bulacan) (expressway and suburban rail) • Affordable housing • New towns Accommodation of ISFs living in high Suburban Rail Expressway hazard risk areas and those who need affordable housing in planned new METRO-MANILA • Inner-city urban areas with good accessibility redevelopment/revitalization and living environment in Bulacan, • Rehabilitation of disaster prone areas Cavite and Laguna areas. Retrofitting/regeneration of PLANNED URBAN existing urban areas in integration EXPANSIONN (Cavite, Laguna) • Affordable housing with transportation development • New towns (port areas, NAIA, water front, others) Region IV -A REGIONAL GROWTH CENTER (BATANGAS-LIPA-LUCENA) • New urban core • Gateway port The rest of the country 13 Spatial development concept for GCR (from monocentric to polycentric) Today Future Baler Baler Palayan Development of Palayan hierarchical Tarlac Cabanatuan Tarlac Cabanatuan regional centers/clusters Gapan Mabalacat Mabalacat Angels Clark Economic Clark development San Fernando San Fernando Baliuag Agro-based Lubao Olongapo Malolos Sta.Maria Olongapo Malolos Sta. Maria Manufacturing San Jose Del Monte Subic San Jose Del Monte Subic Meycauayan Rodriguez Rodriguez Balanga Balanga Services, BPO San Mateo San Mateo Antipolo Metro Antipolo Metro Cainta Tourism, others Cainta Manila Manila Taytay Taytay Bacoor Bacoor Binangonan Binangonan Improved Imus Imus Gen. Trias Gen. Trias San Pedro San Pedro Sta. Rosa Sta. Rosa connectivity Binan Binan Cabuyao Sta Cruz Dasmarinas Cabuyao Sta Cruz (between Trece Martires Dasmarinas Calamba Calamba urban/growth Tanauan Tagaytay San Pablo San Pabro center, urban- Lipa Metropolis rural) Regional Center Provincial Capital Lipa Lucena Sub-regional Center Lucena Urban center Urban Center Batangas Batangas City population City population 14 Key Transport Intervention for Regional Integration Transport as a catalyst to: Transport network in the region must be: integrate cities, growth centers, gateways, hierarchical urban and rural areas within a region multimodal facilitate local economic development, disaster-resilient enhance social integrity, and promote intelligent environmental sustainability service-oriented, rather than hard facilitate planned/guided urban growth infrastructure and expansion of Metro Manila NLEx – SLEx connection: DPWH’s High Standard Highway Network urgently needed and doable Project components NLEx Segment 10 NLEx – SLEx connector Skyway Stage 3 Port access connection Impact Reduction in EDSA traffic Diversion of long-haul traffic from main urban roads Improvement of port access 16 Need for competitive (high quality and capacity) public transport backbone: North-South Commuter Rail and EDSA Subway Objectives To strengthen connectivity between Metro Manila Malolos San Jose Del Monte and adjoining municipalities in Region III and IV-A To guide urban development of new urban centers along the route to meet large resettlement demands North-South Commuter Rail (Malolos - Calamba) 1) Route length: 91 km Elevated with modern high capacity train Future extension to CLARK Impact No level crossings at main roads At-grade urban roads created elevated Land use are connected EDSA subway: 2nd north-south mass transit backbone (San Jose Del Monte – Dasmarinas): 2) 75 km underground Promoting north-south urban growth Impact NS Commuter Dramatic improvement of mobility and Main Line Dasmarinas accessibility along EDSA and other roads - Existing line - Extension/new line New urban land development - Subway opportunities Secondary Line 1) F/S is on-going 2) Preliminary study was done in Roadmap Study. 0 5 10 20km Calamba 17 Integrated development is a key for success: Suburban rail + new town (experiences of Japan) Kashiwa-no-Ha Smart City along Tsukuba Express Tsukuba Tokyo • Location: 50km from Tokyo, 40km from Narita International Airport • Area：28,400 ha; Central part：2,700 ha • Population：216,300 (2011) Tokyu Tama Denentoshi along Tokyu Denentoshi Line Tokyu Line 10km Tokyo Other Lines • 20km Location: 20-30km from Tokyo River • Area：5,000ha • Population：600,000 (2013) 30km
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