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Howeyt' by BRIAN A Thursday, November 18, 1999 • Volume 6, Number 14 Page 1of8 GOP bench beyond -~.~r... THE ·-·==···-··­=--==- Mcintosh is lean -- Tucker Quayle pondering move home HoWEYT' By BRIAN A. HOWEY in Indianapolis Stephen Goldsmith. Sue Anne Gilroy. Paul Helmke. A mere three years ago, these were the "rising stars" POLITICAL of the Indiana Republican Party - the people who would carry the party back to the glory days of winning the gover­ norship and maintaining the other centers of power. REPORT Today, they are a vanquished trio, and while their political careers are not over by any means, their losses for governor, mayor of Indianapolis and the U.S. Senate have The Howey Political Report is published by NewsLink thrust the Indiana GOP's hope almost solely into the hands Inc. Founded in 1994, The Howey Political Report is of U.S. Rep. David Mcintosh. And he faces the daunting an independent, non-partisan newsletter analyzing the political process in Indiana. task of knocking off a popular incumbent governor - some­ thing that hasn't even come close to happening since gover­ Brian A. Howey nors were allowed to succeed themselves. editor and publisher What should be even more troubling for Indiana The Howey Political Report Office: 317-254-1533 Republicans is that when compared to their Democratic PO Box 40265 Fax: 317-254-2405 counterparts, the next generation of leaders for the party is Indianapolis, IN 46240-0265 [email protected] extremely lean. www.howeypolitics.com Compare the leadership potential for the Indiana Washington office: 202-775-3242 Democrats in the post-O'Bannon era. There could be a three­ Business Office: 317-254-0535. Pager: 317-320-2722 way battle for the 2004 gubernatorial nomination among Lt. Gov. Joe Kernan, Attorney General Jeff Modisett, and House Daytime number: 317-254-2400, Ext. 273 Speaker John Gregg. Most insiders give Kernan the inside Subscriptions: $250 annually via fax or first advantage because of his No. 2 position as well as his politi­ class mail. Call 317-254-1533. cal and oratory skills. Modisett has been one of the most © 1999, The Howey Political Report. All rights prominent AGs in recent history. Gregg is a political legend reserved. Photocopying, faxing or reproducing in any in the making based on the sheer vividness of his personali­ form, in whole or in part, is a viola.tion offederal la.w ty. and is strictly prohibited without consent of the There is the Congressional class that includes Baron publisher. Continued on page 2 "QUOTE" OF THE WEEK INSIDE F E A T U R E S 'I think It's a good PR move, personally' ... " Ticker Tape: Goldsmith to B&D p. 2 HPR Interview: Cook & Rothenb rg p. 4 ·State Sen. Larry Borst, on Gov. O'Bannon's O'Bannon, Mcintosh DC bucks flow p. 6 insistence the legislature pass leftover bills from Horse Race:· 2nd CD battles focus on last spring, to The Associated Press Linder, Pence, Phipps, Fox p.8 HPR Daily Wire Debuts January 2000 Thursday, NoveD1LJ~,er ll8, 1999 Pagt2 of8 THAN\<S To ME .. WE'RE RiDiNG 1HE ~i8LJE {?l/.2.Sil.JJON 'Jl)BACCO • SETTLEMENT TO. nlE LARGEST FiN.ANC1AL WiNDFAU. THiS STATE HAS EVER SEEN· .. 1 THEoWicaLL'I. ( 1r. r I~~- <!~· II ,,.~.,- • •.. :' ~ ~ ,/ 1'HEHS NOTffiN~ . · l'_t~~,''--m Hi=.RE, ____ FOLKS!""tr" __ _ Hill and Tim Roemer, who _1ave !;ta1:ewide come back in 2004 :arn1d an open governor­ office potential. ship. TICKI'.~R Next there are the mayors·· Ba1rt The Indiana R•:!JPUblican Congres­ T A p E Peterson in Indianapolis, Graham Ric 1c 1 :l sional delegation has ·',i',vo potential in Fort Wayne, and John Femandt~z in statewide candidates: .1 hrk Souder, who Bloomington - all with statewide potential is self-limited to six teirns (his final race SolllrCE•I) tell HPR tiiat ~1e at this point. Then there are legislators - would be 2004), and i.s perhaps the most Marion County Re·pul iii can Peggy Welch from Bloomington, Rllls:s attuned political strat1;,:~r.l:st in the state; and • chairmnnship dilemnruil will Stilwell from Booneville, Brian lfasle:r Ed Pease, who served m a distinguished be rescilved within thi! 1~ext fashion in the Indiana S1~nate, 8Illdt two we·l!ks. One scer1 :i1io from Evansville. has Staite Sen. Pat Mi linr Throw in Davi.d Johnson, a c .. md]·· appears to be on a nati:onal leadership tra­ replacing John Swee1'.ey. date Washington analysts Charles Cook jectory in the House:. But other sources sai~1 IVliller and Stuart Rothenberg say could have: From the Stateho1 se, Auditor has made a commitm1011t to shelf-life after his race with U.S. Se.11. Connie Nass is consi.: ~r:!d a possible LG her ch1JJrch for the neJt~ year Richard Lugar, and Jill Lon,;, the de.puty candidate. Marion CournLy Sheriff Jack and not serve as d1air. wm U.S. Secretary of Agricul1ture, who main·· Cottey could be an ernerging political force, although he bloodied himself up in Gov. Fra111k O'Banno11 who tains a home in Argos. 1 the late stages of the Gilroy campaiign stated he wanted tlhie legis· with direct mail and rad:i.o ads mairuy saw latur1e to "get in, get ,c,ut and Republican cupboard as racially insensitiv,E:. John R Price, run­ get dlo111e" {Fort WaryrMt Should Mcintosh ups,et Gov. Journal Gazette) not 11mly ning for govenor in the GOP primar)', O'Bannon in 2000, that would be a looks ms if he's goi111n1 ti> get could be seen as a pol 1;n _ial LG choice if replenishing event for the Grand Old ·:he four bills he insisij1ai~ on lightning doesn't strifo: l\1clntosh. passing dluring this w1~!k's Party, because his organizait: ::m has 61.~ The Republican nrayoral class is annual Organization Clay, potential to spin off policy and a :next almost non-existent, atthough Evansville's but on Wednesday generation of candidates in a fashilo1rn simi­ Russell Lloyd Jr. will rnerit attention. announ·ced that Ame!'icarn lar to those of Lugar, Dan Coats andl Ev.a[] Helmke would be the -: c ds-on favonte in United life will stay ir1 Bayh. the 4th CD when Sm.:der decides to step Indianapolis after a icc1mpro­ A Mcintosh defeat would be devas­ misie was reached allc1111ing down. He'll need to win a race befor·e he tating, although Mcintosh's yo11th altld is viable on a statewide, .>tage. Continued on page 3 energy might give him the c7portunity tc The GOP's legt'> :tive class is very • Page3 of8 Thursday, November 18, 1999 lean. State Rep. Jeff Linder is in an uphill Republicans controlled the legislature, the race for the 2nd CD nomination. Mike governorship, most of the-Statehouse TICKER Ripley ran a credible race for Congress in offices and the two U.S. Senate seats. It 1994, losing to Souder, and might be dominated Hoosier Democrats to the point T A P E expected to try again. Younger House of earning the so-called "rock-ribbed members like Matt Whetstone of Browns­ Republican" designation. the insurance giant to sell burg and State Sens. Becky Skillman of In 1999, analysts Cook and stock. The passage of this Bedford and Sue Scholer of West Rothenberg were questioning whether legislation would allow Lafayette, are potential ticket members. Indiana could be considered a Republican O'Bannon to recoup some From the business community, for­ state (see HPR Interview, page 4). of the losses he suffered mer Lilly CEO Randall Tobias would be during the chaotic end of credible with key GOP constituencies. the legislature's long ses­ What if Mcintosh•••• sion last spring. The AUL Another Lilly executive, Mitch Daniels, .. .loses in 2000? compromise allowed com­ would probably be an instant savior for With Lugar in the twilight of his pany President Jerry Semler the GOP, but has shown little inclination career, Dan Coats retired, and with names to announce that 1,500 new for holding public office. like Goldsmith, Hudnut, Gilroy and jobs were coming to And there is Kevin Kellems, the Helmke absorbing defeats, what the Indianapolis and that a new former Lugar aide who is running an Indiana Republicans may need are their high rise would be built uphill battle against Baron Hill in the 9th own version of Evan Bayh - a legacy. WRTV's Norm Cox reported CD. that the building could be Indiana Democrats can trace their bulH along 1-465 and not As you can see, there are a lot of successes of the past 10 years to the emer­ downtown. O'Bannon and "ifs" and unknowns about the Indiana gence of Bayh, his take-over of the state legislative leaders took Republican Party after Mcintosh and party, and the spin-off of his proteges. stinging criticism after leg· Lugar. That GOP legacy could be Tucker islation that passed both ''There's no question, the Indiana Quayle, the 25-year-old son of former houses fell by the wayside Republican Party has a very shallow Vice President Dan Quayle. Sources tell last spring. That included bench, very shallow," said Mike Pence, HPR Tucker Quayle is trilingual, a busi­ continued tax incentives for the radio talk show host who is running nessman, a missionary who has served in research and development, a change in the financial for the 2nd CD. Should he win in China. "He's as good looking as his old institutions tax for In-state November 2000, he would be a credible man and as smart as his mom," the source banks to keep them from statewide candidate.
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