<<

RELIGION NETWORKS AND HIV/AIDS IN RURAL

DISSERTATION

Presented in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for

The Degree of Doctor of Philosophy in the Graduate

School of Ohio State University

By

jimi adams

* * * * *

Ohio State University 2007

Dissertation Committee: Approved by Professor Kazimierz M. Slomczynski, Advisor

Professor James W. Moody, Outside Member ______

Professor Korie Edwards Advisor Graduate Program Professor Steven H. Lopez

Copyright by

jimi adams

2007

ABSTRACT

Sub-Saharan ’s residents represent approximately two-thirds of the

nearly 40 million global HIV/AIDS cases, while comprising only about one-tenth of

the world’s population. In the rural settings where most inhabitants of SSA live,

religious organizations are the only formal organizations present, and virtually all

residents of SSA participate in a religious organization. Many have theorized a

relationship between religion and HIV/AIDS, suggesting alternately its helpful and

harmful potential in this crisis. The existing research conceptualizes religion, HIV

risk and the connection between them by studying individuals, organizations, or

aggregations of individuals and organizations. In this dissertation, I demonstrate the

adjustments a network perspective contributes to researchers’ ability to understand

religious organizational responses to this epidemic, the nature of HIV-risk and,

perhaps most importantly, how these are linked. The resulting conceptualization

suggests some of the first mechanisms that demonstrate how beneficial and harmful

HIV-related outcomes can arise simultaneously from religious structure or

corresponding individual behaviors.

The first section describes religious organizational networks to demonstrate

how structural factors shape the HIV-related messages conveyed

within religious organizations. While many intended models of prevention and

intervention rely on implicit formal organizational hierarchies, little is known about ii how this contributes to the content and effectiveness of subsequent prevention

messages. Therefore, I first provide comparative description of the networks within

which local religious leaders develop the HIV-related messages conveyed in their

congregations. I then compare the HIV-related messages of religious leaders at the

national-denominational and local-congregational levels, to demonstrate the existing

gaps between the intended model and the functional reality of these efforts. I explain

how local clustering of these networks drives the discordant messages. For the

analyses in this section, I draw on a social network perspective as a story-telling

device that provides a better understanding of how religious organizations develop

their responses to the HIV-epidemic.

Conceptualizations of individuals’ HIV-risk also benefit from adopting a

network perspective to more readily capture the of HIV. While

individuals’ religious involvement may reduce risk behaviors; HIV risk cannot be

fully understood in these terms. Potential infection is dependent, not only the

frequency of risk behaviors, but also on characteristics of ones’ partners (e.g.,

probability of their infection). With the final analysis in this dissertation, I generate a

series of simulated networks to demonstrate that the differences observed in risk

behaviors associated with religious affiliation do not necessarily translate into

corresponding differences in network-oriented risk properties. I draw on data from the

Malawi Religion Project and the Malawi Diffusion and Ideational Change Project to

investigate these questions.

iii

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS

This project has been a long process of which I have played but one part.

Ultimately, the ideas are mine, so only I can be blamed for what’s here, however the

contributions of quite a few people substantially strengthened the work. I particularly

would like to thank my advisors in this project. While a dissertation typically

progresses under the guidance of one person, mine has included the tutelage

(officially and unofficially) of three. Their willingness to work with and defer to one

another during this process has allowed the work to continue, and not get bogged

down in administrative limbo.

James Moody has provided invaluable guidance in framing the project as a

whole, and providing continual support – theoretical, technical and mental, at stages

when each were nearing complete breakdowns.

Kazimierz Slomczynski took me on as a student at a relatively advanced stage

of the project, and provided helpful pushes forward, without which the project, and

my career, probably would have stalled out several times.

Susan Cotts Watkins invited me to join the projects that provide the data for

this project. Her continual offering of suggestions, and unmatched knowledge of what

has already been done have been invaluable resources in this process. She willingly

let graduate students, not only run the data collection projects, but also shape their

content, which is beyond what I could have asked for. This gave me the chance to iv examine questions that interested me in ways that otherwise would have not been

possible. For that opportunity, I am immensely grateful.

I would also like to thank the other members of my committee, Korie Edwards

and Steven Lopez for adding their helpful insights into areas of this project where

their expertise was especially salient, and filled what otherwise would have been

substantial gaps.

Two fellow graduate students have been particularly helpful in my making it

through this process. Jenny Trinitapoli willingly accepted me into what was, in

essence, her project. I thank her for not seeing me as infringing on her territory, but

instead being an incredible sounding-board. The ideas here were often little more than

half-baked before our discussions formed them into something cogent. Joshua

Dubrow has read drafts of, and provided helpful feedback on, virtually everything I

have written over the past five years, and has not laughed at me once. That I know of.

There are numerous others who read drafts of this work, chatted online or over

coffee about the ideas, or simply offered a listening ear when needed. Among those, I

would especially like to acknowledge the feedback and support I received from Sara

Bradley, Agnes Chimbiri, Peter Fleming, Stephane Helleringer, Hans-Peter Kohler,

Ryan Light, Michelle Poulin, Mark Regnerus, Georges Reniers, Irina Tomescu-

Dubrow, Alexander Weinreb and Sara Yeatman. I would also like to note the

MDICP/MRP field teams for their invaluable contributions, not only to the collection

of excellent data, but also to shaping the projects that come out of them. In particular,

my work has especially benefited from the input of Sydney Lungu, James Mwera,

Julius Nyambo and Joel Phiri. v During this project, I have received financial support from several sources,

without which the work would not have been possible. I am grateful for this support

from the National Institutes of Health (grants 1R01-HD050142 and 5R01-HD041713,

Susan Watkins, PI; 7R01-DA012831 and 1R01-HD041877, Martina Morris, PI), the

Society for the Scientific Study of Religion, the Office of International Affairs and

the Initiative in Population Research at Ohio State University, and the Population

Studies Center at the University of Pennsylvania.

My parents long ago taught me (or allowed me) to ask questions in ways that

inevitably paved my path to grad school. For that and the support they provided along

the way, I am thankful. Several friends of mine who have pastored the various

churches I’ve attended over the past decade have pushed (or pulled against) me when

necessary. I want to thank for that: Matt Bartley, Mike Borst, Brian Brooks, Chris

Martin, JR Woodward and Jim Zippay. Each of you helped me to recognize that my

faith and my work do not have to be, and in fact should not be, separate.

The places I have lived while writing this have been an incredible support, and

for being there through it, I am grateful to all of you with whom I’ve shared those

spaces, and considerable chunks of our lives: Kyle Bush, Jed Dearing, Tim & Jenny

Evans, Tim Poindexter, Cisco Sanchez, John & Karen Thomas and Jenny Trinitapoli

& Gregory Collins (and Cassia).

And most of all, I want to thank God for never giving up on me no matter how

many times I try to on Him.

vi

VITA

October 21, 1976…………………….. Born – Lexington, KY

2004…………………………………...M.A. Sociology, Ohio State University

2001 – 2006 ………………….……… Graduate Teaching and Research Associate, Ohio State University

PUBLICATIONS

1. adams, jimi. 2007 “Stained Glass Makes the Ceiling Visible: Organizational Opposition to Women’s Congregational Leadership.” Gender and Society, 21(1): 80-105.

2. adams, jimi and James Moody. 2007. “To Tell the Truth?: Concordance in Multiply Reported Network Data.” Social Networks, 29(1): 44-58.

FIELD OF STUDY

Major Field: Sociology

vii

TABLE OF CONTENTS

Page Abstract …………………………………………….…………………………...….....ii Acknowledgments …………………………………………………………...…...…...v Vita ……………………………………………………………….………..………..vii List of Tables …………………………….…………………………………..……….x List of Figures ………………………….……………………………………..….....xii

Chapters:

1. Introduction: A Relational Approach for a Relational Problem ...….………...1

2. Theoretical Orientation: Moving from People and Variables to Relations and Networks …………………………………………………..20

3. Data: The Malawi Religion Project and The Malawi Diffusion and Ideational Change Project ..…………………….44

4. Examining Policy Location (not Locution): Congregation Leaders’ HIV-Related Discussion Networks …...... 63

5. What’s Got to Do With It? Comparing Religious HIV Discourse between Denominational and Congregational Leaders ….…97

6. Damned if You Do, Damned if You Don’t: Religious Affiliation and HIV Risk Network Structure .……………...…...133

7. Conclusion and Discussion ………………………………..……………….166

viii

TABLE OF CONTENTS cont’d

Page Appendix A: Congregation Leader - Qualitative Training Guide …….…...... …173

Appendix B: Network Component of Congregation Leader .…...... 177

Appendix C: National Leader Interview Guide .…….…………………………...183

Appendix D: Global-to-Local Supply Chain of HIV-Intervention – A Conceptual Model ………………………………………………189

References .………………………………………………………………………...191

ix

LIST OF TABLES

Table Page

1.1 HIV Status by Religious Affiliation MDICP-3 ……………………………..12

2.1 Structure Versus Agency in Actions and Outcomes ………………………...41

3.1 Summary of Religious Affiliation and Participation MDICP-3 …...... 60

3.2 Comparison of Coverage – National and Congregation Leader Interviews ...61

4.1 HIV-Umbrella Organizations by District – Malawi, 2005 ………………….88

4.2 Organizational Interconnections by Religious Tradition ……………………89

4.3 Congregational Co-Participation with Other Religious Organizations …..…90

4.4 Leaders’ Doctrinal Conversation Partners Outside the Congregation ………91

4.5 Leaders’ AIDS Conversation Partners Outside the Congregation ………….92

4.6 Logistic Regression Predicting Doctrinal Conversation Partners …………..93

4.7 Logistic Regression Predicting AIDS Conversation Partners ……………....94

5.1 MRP Congregation Leaders’ Description of the Scope of the HIV Problem ……………………………………….....130

5.2 MRP Congregation Leaders’ Evaluation of the Source of HIV as a Problem ………………………………………..131

5.3 MRP Congregation Leaders’ Suggested HIV-Prevention Strategies …...…132

6.1 HIV Status by Religious Affiliation MDICP-3 ……………………………157

6.2 Static Simulation Parameters ………………………………………………158 LIST OF TABLES cont’d x

6.3 Simulation Parameters – Sexual Partnerships ……………………………..159

6.4 Network Properties from Self-Reported Sexual Partnership Data ……...…160

6.5 Network Properties from AIDS-Discussion-Partners-Reported Sexual Partnership Data …………………………………………………...161

xi

LIST OF FIGURES

Figure Page

1.1 Malawi Map, Highlighting MDICP Research Locations …………………...19

2.1 James Coleman’s “Boat” – Macro-Micro-Macro Linkages and Methodological Individualism ………..….…….……………..42

2.2 Network Rhombus – Meso(-Node) – Meso(-Node) Relations and Methodological Structuralism ………………………………..43

3.1 Malawi Religion Project Sample ……………………………………………62

4.1 Potential Denominational Leadership Relationship Structures ……………..87

6.1 Simulated Population Self-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network ……………………………..162

6.2 Mchinji Simulated Population AIDS-Discussion-Partner-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network ……………………………..163

6.3 Balaka Simulated Population AIDS-Discussion-Partner-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network …………………………..…164

6.4 Balaka Simulated Population AIDS-Discussion-Partner-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network …………………………..…165

xii

CHAPTER 1

INTRODUCTION: A RELATIONAL APPROACH

FOR A RELATIONAL PROBLEM

In mid-July of 2005, I was invited to attend the funeral of Madalitso,1 a young

woman from Mchinji District of central Malawi. In the short walk from where we

were staying to the home where people were mourning, we had a brief discussion

with a local businessman, during which we learned that Madalitso had likely died due

to AIDS-related illnesses. They suspect she contracted it from her former husband,

because he was “movious”,2 and had “gotten thin” before he passed away the year

before.

As we entered the small two-room, sun-burned brick home with a tin roof (a

marker that this family was comparatively wealthy), we found approximately 15

women sitting seated shoulder to shoulder around the walls of the front room in the

house. Two more women sat in the middle of the floor next to Madalitso’s body

which was wrapped in several old chitenjes. Almost as soon as we took our seat in

the open spaces they’d created for us along the wall, one of the women reached down

and pulled away the chitenje covering Madalitso’s face, which set off a new chorus of

1 cries through the women in the room. That’s when I realized that the woman two

people to my right was Madalitso’s mother.

What struck me most about Madalito’s funeral was how much it reminded me

of the same rituals we observe in visitations and funerals in the U.S.; and yet how

very different it was. At the time, however I couldn’t put my finger on the difference.

“AIDS is becoming like a common song that people are talking over whenever they meet with one another.” (Baptist Pastor, Balaka)

When I read this quote from one of the Malawi Religion Project interview transcripts,

the difference struck me. In the funeral I attended in Malawi, there was no pretense to

the "ceremony" - attempting to distance Madalitso's death from the rest of her

family's life. In the U.S., of the handful of funerals I have attended, not one was in the

deceased family's home. Every time the corpse has been neatly primped and adorned

in a way that tries to hide the reality. Conversely in Malawi, a setting where virtually

every carpenter's sign advertises "coffin-making" because the reality of death makes

it economically advantageous, similar practices would be nonsensical. Death is a

reality that Malawian's face regularly. Their proximity to death, and its causes,

enables a much more direct recognition, both of death’s reality, but also of how it is

linked to life. By removing death into the confines of specialized parlors in the U.S.,

we have resituated death as an event that disassociates it from every other component

of our lives.

In Madalitso’s case, where her body lay in the center of the room was likely a

similar spot where she spent hours suffering in the days before she died. Her mother,

and most of those in the room that afternoon knew what this disease had done to her

2 body, and it was still evinced in these moments shared together. Pretenses allow for

distancing death from life, but Madalito’s family wasn’t attempting to separate them.

In this dissertation, I aim to take a cue from what I learned from this funeral.

Rather than focusing on the comfortable, the familiar, or the distanced, hopefully in

this dissertation I can strip away some of the pretenses that frequently get attached to

the coverage of topics that garner as much attention as the present HIV-pandemic.

Rather than taking the words of organizational figureheads as representative of what

religious organizations are doing to respond to the epidemic, I will examine the

messages presented by varying levels of religious leaders. Instead of assuming

religious organizational hierarchies exist and are useful for disseminating prevention

strategies, I investigate the relational structure within religious organizations. As

opposed to assuming that observed behavioral changes necessitate protective effects

against contracting HIV, I will consider how those same changes may actually

generate as many problems as they solve. Time to pull back the cloth and see what we

find.

In the twenty-five years since the discovery of HIV/AIDS, the number of

people infected in the world has grown rapidly, and estimates suggest that as many as

40 million people are infected today (UNAIDS 2006a). Levels of infection vary

greatly across and within many regions of the globe, an observation that has driven a

recent boon in research attempting to understand and explain how those differences

arise, and how understanding them could aid prevention efforts and help to reverse

the rise in new infections (Aral and Roegner 2000; Grassly et al. 2001; Green 2003b).

Longstanding scholarship establishes the role of networks both in the epidemiology 3 of infectious diseases, and in the diffusion of medical innovations and information

(Friedman et al. 1997; Morris 2004). To date however, the important contributions of

and analysis have not been readily incorporated into the numerous

subfields that explore the relationship between their topic of interest and the

epidemic. For example, scholars have recently become interested in explaining the

role religious organizations may play in HIV prevention and intervention efforts

(Gray 2004; Trinitapoli 2006b; Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2006a; Trinitapoli and

Regnerus 2006b; Watkins and Chimbwete 2004). In this dissertation, I show how

taking a network approach to studying this relationship between religion and HIV can

fundamentally alter the way this relationship is addressed, and force some

reformulation of the subsequent findings and interpretations within such studies.

When related to the global HIV pandemic, religious organizations are

frequently painted as heavily entrenched monoliths, which either impede the potential

progress of prevention efforts (Caldwell, Orubuloye, and Caldwell 1999; Pfeiffer

2004), or are recognized as frequently the only organizations existing in the most

heavily afflicted areas (Green 2003a), and are therefore targeted as strategic partners

in the ongoing fight (Jenkins 1995; Liebowitz 2004; Parry 2003). To date, the

research that does empirically address the association between religion and HIV

proceeds largely via one of two approaches. In one approach, researchers have

examined the content of religious messages that address religious prescriptions for

avoiding HIV, such as avoiding pre- and extra-marital sexual partnerships (Garner

2000). Alternately, other researchers examine the multivariate (or sometimes

bivariate) relationship between differences in religious affiliation, or levels of

4 religious participation, and individuals’ HIV “risk behaviors” or actual HIV status

(Rankin et al. 2005; Takyi 2003; Trinitapoli 2006a; Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2006b).

Organizational Messages

Studies that focus at the organization level and those interested in individual

outcomes each approach the religion-HIV link by framing the question in terms of the

potential harmful or helpful potential of religion in stemming the HIV-tide, whether

conceptualized at the organizational or individual level. They select a particular factor

to investigate, such as an individual’s number of sexual partnerships, or the

willingness of religious organizations to promote condom use as a protective

measure. These outcomes are then compared across religious affiliations to see which

organizations are comparatively better at protecting their members than others.

Alternately, researchers compare HIV risk factors across levels of religious

participation to examine the effect of being more actively engaged with one’s faith

community. By framing the question in such either/or terms, researchers do not

consider potential mechanisms that may simultaneously produce beneficial and

detrimental effects coinciding with the same factors.

The HIV-related messages within religious organizations are frequently

described as singular perspectives that rarely vary within denominations (Gray 2004),

and are sometimes painted with such broad strokes as to apply to all religious

organizations (Caldwell et al. 1999). Congregations, for that matter – any level of

religious organization, do not however exist in a void, and this approach leaves little

room for the importance of congregational context. This fails to incorporate the

negotiation, fluidity and potentially complex nature of such messages within any

given congregation. Recent research demonstrates some of the faults in such 5 treatment - describing some observed variations that do exist, particularly between

formal and informal policies within particular religious organizations (Parry 2003;

Trinitapoli 2006b). To date however, researchers have not devoted much attention to

explaining the salience and source of such differences.

I demonstrate how studying the relationship between religion and HIV

through a structural approach reframes the nature of the questions asked and the

approaches taken in their study. In particular, in the sections of this dissertation

focused on organizational networks, I provide a model that accounts for some evident

sources of such differences, which are also explicitly tied to their importance, by

addressing the location more than the content of such messages. This approach lends

itself to simultaneously account for some of the differences that do arise across, but is

also better equipped to explain the differences that arise within, particular religious

organizations.

Individuals’ Risk Behaviors

Similarly, studies that are interested in the link between individual religiosity

and HIV-risk behaviors (Garner 2000; Takyi 2003) frequently address risk behaviors

in ways that do not incorporate many of the important recent advances of network

epidemiologic literature (Friedman et al. 1997; Morris 1993; Morris 2004). I build a

model that demonstrates the weak association between individuals’ “risk behaviors” –

which are known to vary by religious affiliation and participation – and network

properties of risk – whish has not gained much attention to date in the religion

literature. The result is an examination of the ways that religious organizations can

simultaneously protect most of their members against HIV while putting others at

extreme risk. The startling implication of this chapter is that the same “protective” 6 behavioral changes that have been modeled in previous literature are the very

mechanisms generating both potential protective and risk-increasing effects in the

models presented here.

Framing the Problem

The existing HIV/AIDS epidemic is one of the worst health crises facing the

world today. Estimating HIV’s prevalence is notoriously difficult, and historically has

been plagued by problematic methods, such as relying almost exclusively on

antenatal clinics in many developing countries (Boerma, Holt, and Black 2001; Obare

2005; World Health Organization and UNAIDS 2003). Noting these difficulties,

current estimates suggest that approximately 39.5 million people are infected with

HIV globally (UNAIDS 2006a). In 2006 alone, nearly 2.9 million people died of

AIDS-related causes, while approximately 4.3 million new cases arose (UNAIDS

2006a). The nature of the epidemic varies greatly by region, and has changed

substantially with time.

The epidemic disproportionately afflicts sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), with the

region accounting for roughly 24.7 million (62.5%) of the global AIDS cases

(UNAIDS 2006a), despite being home to only about 11% of the world’s population

(PRB 2006). National prevalence estimates vary widely within SSA, with some

countries estimated to have over one third of their population infected (Swaziland,

Botswana), ranging to a low of about 1.0% in Senegal. In total approximately 6.1% of

the region’s population is infected with HIV (UNAIDS 2006a; 2006b). Across the

region, prevalence rates in most countries are increasing, or remaining roughly stable,

though a few countries, e.g., Uganda, Kenya and Zimbabwe, have recently shown

preliminary evidence of prevalence declines (Green 2003b; UNAIDS 2006b). The 7 epidemic effects not only those who are infected or die, but also has produced a

substantial AIDS-orphan population, encompassing as much as 20 percent of the

child and adolescent population in high-prevalence countries in SSA (Case, Paxson,

and Ableidinger 2004; UNAIDS 2006b).

[Insert Figure 1.1 about here]

Malawi is a small landlocked country in southeastern Africa; see Figure 1.1.

Like most of SSA, Malawi has a generalized epidemic, in that it affects more than

one percent of the population, the gender ratio approximates 1:1, most infections are

through heterosexual sexual contact, though perinatal transmission is also common

(NAC 2004; NSO 2005). Malawi’s epidemic is estimated to be eighth highest in the

world, with approximately 14.1% of the population presently infected, and recent

estimates suggest prevalence has stagnated since 2000 (NAC 2004; NSO 2005;

UNAIDS 2006b). Infectivity varies substantially within Malawi, with higher rates in

the southern region than others, and in urban areas than in rural (Crampin et al. 2003;

Obare 2005). Estimates suggest infection among approximately eight percent of rural

residents in Malawi (Obare et al. 2007; NSO 2005).

Approaching the Study of HIV/AIDS

In the past few decades research has demonstrated the important role networks

play in the propagation of infectious diseases through a population (Friedman et al.

1997; Morris 2004), including HIV and other STDs in particular (Aral, Padian, and

Holmes 2005; Klovdahl 1985; Rothenberg and Narramore 1996; Woodhouse et al.

1994). Other work has further shown how network structure can contribute to

stagnating such disease diffusion (Darrow et al. 1999). Similar models have also been

8 applied to demonstrate the importance of indirect connections in the dissemination of

information both in general (Granovetter 1973; Valente 1995), and about health

promotion strategies in particular (Coleman, Katz, and Menzel 1966; Valente et al.

1997). To date however, other subfields that study the relationships between their

given interest and disease risk or prevention messages proceed largely disconnected

from the insights gained in such network studies. For example, these ideas, and the

subsequent reframing of questions that they infer have not been addressed in the

substantial literature linking religion and health related trends, beliefs, practices or

outcomes (Chatters 2000; Ellison and Levin 1998; Levin 1994).

The literature linking religion and health outcomes has a long history, largely

focusing on the beneficial impact of religious participation on risk-related behaviors,

and subsequently on particular health related outcomes (Chatters 2000; Ellison 1991;

Hummer et al. 1999). These changes in health outcomes result from changes in

particular behavioral differences between religious groups, such as decreased

likelihood of smoking (Strawbridge et al. 1997) or alcohol consumption (Ford and

Kadushin 2002). Others explore the development of social support and its outcomes

that coincide with religious participation (Idler 1995; Krause, Ellison, and Wulff

1998). Recent scholars point out that the link between religion and health related

outcomes is not necessarily unidirectional, and that continuing to frame them this way

potentially limits researchers’ ability to understand this important relationship. Idler

(1995) raised this possibility, particularly suggesting that if health outcomes are

studied over time, different associations may be observed according to religious

participation at different points in time. To date, however, no studies have shown that

these pathways can occur simultaneously. 9 Of more direct importance to studying HIV-risk, still others have observed

that religious affiliation is associated with declines in extramarital sexual partnerships

(Hill, Cleland, and Ali 2004) and delayed sexual onset (Rostosky, Regnerus, and

Wright 2003), but also coincides with lower likelihood of condom use in sexual

encounters (Agha, Hutchinson, and Kusanthan 2006; Bearman and Bruckner 2005).

Some researchers also focus directly on the role of religious organizations in the

development of HIV prevention and intervention messages (Hearn 2002; Liebowitz

2004; Parry 2003; Pfeiffer 2004). For example, in an attempt to capture the broad-

scale influence, Gray (2004) showed that, among the few indicators he modeled,

proportion Muslim was the only one negatively associated with HIV prevalence for

38 countries in SSA. The vast majority of studies explore the link between religious

participation and particular "risky" behaviors. Several studies show the association

between religious affiliation and delayed sexual onset (Agha et al. 2006; Hill et al.

2004). Garner (2000) for example shows that among four churches in Kwa-Zulu

Natal, South Africa, the Pentecostal church studied has lower levels of extra- and pre-

marital sexual partnerships than other congregations. Others question whether there is

a relevant connection between religious participation and declines in risky behaviors

(Lagarde et al. 2000).

In many areas of SSA, individuals report virtually ubiquitous religious

participation (Bedaiko 1995; Bedaiko 2000; Green 2003a). With roughly two-thirds

of the population in SSA living in rural regions (PRB 2006), and religious

organizations frequently being the only formal organizations existing in such rural

locations (Green 2003a), congregations play an important role in many aspects of the

lives of people in SSA (Agadjanian 2001; Englund 2003; Green 2003a). Individuals’ 10 relationships are frequently centered within their religious congregations

(Mkandawire 2000; Watkins and Chimbwete 2004) such that while content of many

religious messages frequently don’t vary substantially across congregations,

individuals’ level of embeddedness within them is a strong predictor of adherence to

these religious doctrines (Agadjanian 2001; Garner 2000). Similar to patterns

observed elsewhere in SSA, in Malawi, while the majority are affiliated with

“Mainline” Christian congregations (Jenkins 2002; NSO 2005), Pentecostal

denominations have seen recent rapid increases, particularly in urban areas (Englund

2003), and a small proportion (a majority in select districts) are Muslim (Feidler

2004; Jenkins 2002).

Resulting from the above observations, and recent research finding some

evidence for differences in HIV-prevalence by religious affiliation (Gray 2004; NSO

2005), researchers have recently begun to explore whether differences in religious

organizations’ prevention strategies can account for these observed differences. In

finding that Muslims have lower HIV-prevalence across 38 countries in SSA, Gray

(2004) attempts to extrapolate backwards to suggest religious doctrines of the Islamic

faith that should generate less risky behaviors, and may generate such differences.3

Religious organizations are well-equipped to promote messages of abstinence and

fidelity (the A & B of the popular “ABC”s of HIV prevention popularized in SSA;

missing only the promotion of condom use) (Green 2003a). Religious organizations

in SSA have been described as the “sleeping giant” and as “Invisble NGOs” with

great capacity to engage the HIV epidemic (Hearn 2002; Parry 2003), but evidence is

mixed about what they are actually doing, despite stark accusations of their failings

in the fight against HIV (Caldwell et al. 1999). Regardless of researchers’ particular 11 stance in the role religious organizations play in preventing or supporting prevention

efforts, existing evidence points to substantial variation in HIV prevalence estimates

by religious affiliation and levels of participation. Table 1.1, for example

demonstrates the differences by religious affiliation observed in HIV prevalence

estimates across the three research locations in the Malawi Diffusion and Ideational

Change Project (described in detail in chapter 3).

Balaka Mchinji Rumphi N HIV+ N HIV+ N HIV+ Catholic 110 13.89 156 7.48 90 5.62 Mission 64 11.48 155 7.69 206 6.09 Protestant Pentecostal 45 15.56 43 15.00 74 2.74 AIC 16 18.75 14210.29 179 8.43 Muslim 526 8.82 3 0 6 0 Other 34 8.82 1025.00 87 4.76

Total 795 10.47 6018.28 642 5.86

NOTE: Numbers presented are N – number of adherents tested, and HIV+ – percentage who tested positive according to 2004 MDICP VCT.

Table 1.1 HIV Status by Religious Affiliation MDICP-3

Moving from Either/Or to Both/And

The focus in most present research either examines the beliefs, behaviors and

risk of individuals or the content of messages within religious organizations. Each of

these approaches implicitly addresses both religion and HIV-risk as properties that

individuals (or groups) “possess” to varying degrees. This produces a corresponding

conceptualization of the religion-HIV connection that is fundamentally based an

“either/or” logic, which seeks to determine whether religion is helpful or harmful for 12 HIV-prevention. At the individual level, if researchers in this area instead begin to

think of HIV-risk in terms that move beyond "risky" behaviors, and instead focus on

the structural properties of risk, we can arrive at a mechanism, which simultaneously

explains detrimental group level changes that arise from helpful individual behavioral

adaptations. Similarly, if researchers address the positions and messages of religious

organizations not as something that inhere in the organizations but develop, fluctuate

and are constructed within particular contexts, we can reach a more dynamic picture

of religious organizations’ contributions (and barriers) to prevention efforts.

With the focus on individuals and the beliefs they hold, or the behaviors they

engage in, and organizations and the positions they espouse, present research largely

engages questions of how well (or how poorly) religious affiliation or participation

contributes to particular outcomes that are framed as especially salient to the present

scope of HIV in SSA. Numerous researchers examine how particular religious

affiliations reduce extra- and pre- marital sexual partnerships better than others, or

how increased levels of involvement in those organizations contribute to similar

declines (Agha et al. 2006; Garner 2000; Hill et al. 2004). Researchers have also

examined how readily religious organizations are engaging in care of those already

living with AIDS (Liebowitz 2004; Pfeiffer 2002). Similarly, researchers have

addressed the contributions of religious organizations to proliferating or stemming

stigmatizing beliefs about HIV (Green 2003a; Gunter and Hue 2000; Herek,

Widaman, and Capitanio 2005) and the uptake of condom use (Agha et al. 2006).

By applying a social network perspective, I demonstrate how the questions

change, findings must be reinterpreted and implications should be reconsidered. I

suggest mechanisms by which single actions, and observed trends can each 13 simultaneously serve to improve protection efforts and increase risk. In particular, at

the organization level, I suggest here that it is important to understand the contexts

within which religious congregations develop their HIV-related messages both to

remove some existing presuppositions about the nature of their contribution to the

ongoing fight against HIV in SSA, but also to investigate if the existing prevention

and intervention strategies rely on organizational structures as they exist. This moves

beyond the assumption in present research of strong links between intended and

actualized content of messages; addressing it instead as an empirical question.

Similarly, at the individual level, I show that moving from models based on the

epidemiology of non-infectious disease-risk to network models that more readily

match the epidemiology of HIV, forces reconsiderations of presumed knowledge of

the link between religion and individual-risk.

Outline of Dissertation

In this dissertation, I therefore demonstrate several advantages of investigating

the relationship between religion and HIV/AIDS in SSA as a relational problem,

approached from the perspective and methods available through a social networks

frame. The findings presented here stand in contrast to some of those gained via

individual or variable-centered approaches presently used to investigate the link

between religion and HIV-risk, or knowledge about AIDS-prevention strategies. I

instead demonstrate what changes result from moving the focus from these actors to

the relationships between them.

The chapters that follow develop the above argument further and provide

several empirical investigations of the importance of religious networks in the nature

of the changing HIV/AIDS epidemic as it presently exists in SSA. In Chapter 2, I 14 overview some of the fundamental theoretical and methodological differences that

come with the shift to a relational focus of the questions being addressed. In this

chapter, I alter a longstanding challenge in social science based on methodological

individualism to demonstrate how methodological structuralism is more adept to

answer the questions derived from relational questions about the religion-HIV link.

While this perspective is fundamentally opposed to individual, organizational or

variable-centered approaches to studies of the same topics, I both build on these types

of work, and demonstrate how this approach fundamentally shifts the questions,

results and implications of existing research.

Chapter 3 summarizes the two large-scale data collection projects from

which the data for the empirical investigations of later chapters are drawn. In addition

to simply describing the content of these data sets, I also include in chapter 3

evaluations of the processes used in collecting these data and several analyses of data

quality.

Chapters 4 through 6 are the primary analytic chapters of this dissertation.

Chapter 4 provides a description of congregational leaders’ AIDS-discussion

networks, focusing particularly on the differences between formal and informal

channels of message development. In particular, I summarize these congregation

leaders’ descriptions of three types of network relationships – their co-participation

with other congregations in events like revivals and fellowships, conversations

regarding general doctrinal issues, and conversations regarding HIV/AIDS-specific

topics. I demonstrate the strong local clustering of the networks within which

congregation leaders’ relationships exist, and their policies are formed.

15 In Chapter 5, I examine the similarities and differences that exist between the

HIV-related discourses of national/denomination leaders and local/congregation

leaders, focusing on the increased importance of informal messages at the local level.

In particular, I summarize the congregation leaders’ descriptions of three HIV-related

topics – their perception of the scope of the HIV problem, their evaluation of the

source of the HIV problem, and the prescriptions they suggest to their congregation

members to protect themselves from contracting HIV. I demonstrate that local

congregation leaders’ descriptions for each of these are more readily shaped by day-

to-day interactions with their parishioners than are formal proscriptions constructed at

the national level. Combining these chapters suggests that religious organizations in

rural Malawi are congregationally organized, as is increasingly becoming the

approach to studying religious organizations in other contexts as well.

In Chapter 6, I draw on observed data establishing the differences by

religious affiliation in numbers of reported sexual partners to simulate a series of

networks to estimate network measures of HIV-risk. I use these networks to evaluate

the possibility for number of partners alone to influence the simulated likelihood of

being in monogamous relationships, smaller connected components, or in

components with individuals who are HIV positive. I find that observed differences in

number of sexual partners – which do vary by religious affiliation – do not produce

corresponding changes in risk-network position, and in some cases can even

correspond to increased risk.

In Chapter 7 I summarize the resulting changes in our understanding of the

relationship between religion and HIV/AIDS in SSA gained by moving to a relational

approach to their study. I suggest a number of implications for how these findings 16 could be extended into other contexts in SSA (beyond the rural-Malawian focus of

the present project), as well as into the study of other theorized relationships – such as

economic or gender considerations for HIV risk. I also address how the findings and

discussion presented here would in-turn inform present organizational and legislative

prevention strategies, which in recent years have increasingly funneled through

religious channels.

17 NOTES

1 This is not the actual name of the person whose funeral I describe here. I selected a pseudonym that is commonly used in Chichewa for both men and women - Madalitso, which means “blessings.”

2 While I am unaware of the actual translation of this term, it is used to summon images of someone who “moves around” a lot, like a mosquito flitting about. While its literal translation has nothing to do with sex, it directly infers sexual promiscuity.

3 It should be noted that many of the risky behaviors which Gray (2004) relates to the observed differentials in HIV prevalence by country are not behaviors directly tied to risk of contracting HIV, with most of his attention focused on alcohol consumption. This adds an additional layer of speculation about the mechanism generating the observed differences to his explanation.

18 19

Source: (Gerland 2006: 9)

Figure 1.1 Malawi Map, Highlighting MDICP Research Locations

19

CHAPTER 2

THEORETICAL ORIENTATION: MOVING FROM PEOPLE AND VARIABLES

TO RELATIONS AND LINKS

Actions have a constrained possibility to affect particular (desired) outcomes.

How those actions are constrained has been the topic of sociological research since

the discipline’s inception. In the Malawian context, when addressing the potential

strategies for engaging the existing HIV epidemic, these constraints have substantial

control over the range of changes that particular behaviors can produce. This

structure-agency debate has long influenced the way that social researchers address

the questions they study. In this dissertation, I examine some of the social network

based structural properties that effectively detach prevention strategies and related

behavioral adaptations – which are influenced by religious organizations and

individual religious participation – from their intended effects of altering the disease’s

present trajectory. In particular, I demonstrate the importance of structural

configurations within religious denominations that constrain the effectiveness in

development and implementation of top-down intervention models; and explain how

sexual marketplace patterns restrict the potential impact of individuals’ religiously-

associated partnering decisions for diminishing HIV-risk.

20 In this chapter, I develop the a strategy used in the rest of this dissertation,

which moves the focus of research from individuals and organizations, or the

characteristics they “possess,” to the spaces that separate them, and the connections

that fill those spaces. By drawing on this structural frame and several of the

extensions available through , I ask a series of fundamentally

different questions than those presently at the heart of investigation in studies of

religion and HIV in SSA. As a result, what I find here both reinterprets some of the

existing findings about this relationship, and presents new information about what

role religious organizations are playing in combating the epidemic that were simply

beyond the scope of previous analytic approaches.

In this chapter I describe how a social network frame alters the questions we

address - through shifting our notion of where should focus, and

implementing the corresponding methodological and theoretical alterations that result

from this shift. I build on an alteration of a standing challenge made by James

Coleman to better link micro-level studies to the macro-level outcomes that interest

sociologists. I do this however by taking a different starting point, which also alters

the nature of Coleman’s challenge.

Background

One of the fundamental debates in sociological research pits the relative

importance of structure against agency. Building on Weber’s, and later scholars’

interest in understanding behavior, the agency of individual choices and actions has

long been situated in the cross-hairs of social researchers. A strict rational choice

theorist, for example, builds complex theories of interaction that address macro-level

21 trends as aggregations of individual choices. Conversely, there are scholars who start

from the opposite pole, and primarily address societal and structural constraints they

perceive to restrict individuals’ actions – and their potential outcomes – to “options”

that are, in essence, predetermined.

The poles of this debate are clearly delineated – individuals’ actions are either

individually motivated or completely constrained, and those actions can have either

full or no effect on desired outcomes. Table 2.1 highlights the combinations of these

dimensions, including the extremes (high-high and low-low). While the approaches

underpinning most sociological research fall somewhere in the upper-right or lower-

left panels of this table, perhaps the best way to understand the implications of those

positions however is to examine the extremes (in the upper-left and lower-right cells).

[Insert Table 2.1 about here]

In the structural determinism cell, actors are not free to make choices, and

those choices they perceive to exist are false. Additionally, their (in-)actions have no

impact on the predetermined outcomes; actors have no recourse to alter outcomes.

Conversely, in the free-choice cell, actors are entirely free to make whatever choices

they desire, and those actions – and not any other factors – directly generate the

experienced results. Much of social science takes an approach that more readily

reflects the intermediate combinations presented in Table 2.1. This includes the

embeddedness approach, which focuses on the possibility that actors make decisions

that have substantial influence over their experienced results – but do so from options

that are strongly structurally constrained and therefore have a limited range of

possibilities. The final option is an appearance of choice, while the variations in those

22 selections have little-to-no subsequent impact on the actual outcomes to which they

appear to be tied. In other words, in practice, the upper-right corner in Table 2.1, with

respect to how individual agency contributes to macro-level outcomes looks much

more like structural determinism than it does either of the two approaches. To

foreshadow, the approach in this study will largely contend that the contexts and

topics at the heart of this dissertation, at least for rural Malawi, fall closer to this last

“constrained choice” option than any of the others presented in Table 2.1.

This builds from substantial empirical evidence that demonstrates the

constraints around HIV-risk related choices available to rural Malawians. Virtually all

adult Malawians are married (NSO 2005), while the few who are not generally want

to marry, and expect to do so soon (Poulin 2006; Clark et al. 2006), Recent evidence

suggests some increasing delays in timing of first marriage may be increasing the risk

of adolescents contracting HIV (Bongaarts 2007), though to date, very few

adolescents appear to be contracting HIV prior to their first marriage (Clark et al.

2006; Poulin 2006; Obare 2007) – i.e., failure of abstinence messages do not appear

to be substantially contributing to the HIV epidemic in rural Malawi. Furthermore,

dissolved marriages (which may increasingly be used as a method of negative partner

selection, Reniers 2006), almost universally lead to remarriage (Reniers 2003). There

is virtually no evidence for the existence of sexless marriages, despite recent evidence

suggesting a high majority of women’s HIV-infections are taking place within

marriage – within which condom usage is extremely rare (Clark 2004; Reniers 2006;

Trinitapoli 2007). The scripts available therefore leave little room for Malawians to

remain sexual isolates. In other words, the vast majority of Malawian adults are

23 involved in relationships where unprotected-sex is the norm. As such, latter sections

in this dissertation (see especially Chapters 6-7) will address potential prevention

strategies that move beyond simply targeting individual behavior changes, which to

date have proven largely ineffective.

While has long incorporated structural mechanisms into its

explanatory models, these have only found their way into methodological analyses on

rare occasions. Sociology, despite its interest in social phenomena, for the past half-

century (or longer) has largely remained methodologically individual-istic.1 Both

qualitative and quantitative studies face this limitation – qualitative work with its

attachment to thick description of individual cases, and quantitative studies, at least

implicitly so, in its requirements of independence between cases – upon which most

statistical analytic techniques are based. James Coleman suggested re-linking this

prevalent methodological individualism in sociology to macro-sociological structures

as one of the core “intellectual hurdles” for modern sociologists (Coleman 1986); see

relation-3 in Figure 2.1. The structural framework that underpins social network

analysis provides one framework for reconnecting sociological empirical work with

its macro-social interests, which can perhaps best be seen through a reorganization of

the Coleman “boat” – presented in Figure 2.1.

[Insert Figure 2.1 about here]

Much existing work in SNA has been interested in meeting Coleman’s

challenge, attempting to complete the Macro-Micro-Macro connection (we can refer

to this as the A-I-A – mAcro-mIcro-mAcro – cycle). They do this largely by

addressing questions from the same direction as existing individualistic studies,

24 namely by placing the individual at the center of focus in research design. Such

studies may conceptualize networks as (1) properties of individuals to be measured as

variables, (2) network-based theoretical explanations for individual gains, or (3)

particular methodological approaches applying network strategies to examine yet-

individualistically motivated questions. In effect, these studies have accepted

Coleman’s challenge, and have proposed networks as the way to satisfy the

completion of the third phase of the A-I-A cycle, with network variables accounting

for the first and third transitions in his description of multi-level relations (“1” and

“3” in Figure 2.1), while network oriented methodological approaches and theoretical

propositions satisfy the second (“2” in Figure 2.1).

I provide a brief overview of the foundations of SNA here, while more

thorough descriptions are available elsewhere (Freeman 2004; Mullins and Mullins

1973; Scott 2000; Wasserman and Faust 1994; Wellman and Berkowitz 1988). Many

scholars in the area of SNA trace their roots back to early work in sociometry,

particularly the work of Jacob Moreno (1934). Many of the earliest works in this area

focused on trying to develop general forms to describe relational structural patterns

across differing kinship systems (White and Jorion 1992; White and Jorion 1996;

White 1963). A similar interest survives today in the way of interest in extracting

common structural traits that can explain a wide range of social phenomena within

parsimonious relational models. Perhaps the most widespread use of such models is

found in research on the diffusion of information, of which Coleman himself is one of

the pioneers (Bertrand 2004; Coleman, Katz, and Menzel 1966; Rogers 1995; Valente

and Davis 1999). There has been vast amounts of other work in areas such as disease

25 transmission (Morris 2004), the development of (Granovetter 1985; Lin

2001), analysis of friendship (Moody 2001; Zeggelink, Stokman, and Van De Bunt

1996) and publication patterns (Moody 2004; Newman 2001). Each of these

approaches the study of networks as a theoretically framed “orientation” for thinking

about the world that infers a method rather than as a methodological analysis strategy

alone.

To date, innovations in SNA’s theoretical framework and its empirical

findings have developed independent from the numerous substantive sub-disciplines

that exist within modern sociology. This has happened largely because SNA is

viewed by those from outside its practice largely as a methodological alternative to

more traditional research strategies.2 Further, much of current work that includes

network variables and theories or relies upon network methodologies among their

analytic strategies, still rarely fully capture the implications of the shift in focus which

underpins these initial structural analyses. Instead much of this work substitutes

network concepts into models as better ways of conceptualizing and measuring

properties of individuals. As I suggest here,3 SNA offers more than a new set of

variables to be introduced into individual models, an alternate set of theories for

social scientists to examine, or a new methodological approach to be substituted for

regression analyses (or other techniques).

Examples of existing studies that approach “networks” as properties or

variables of individuals, come from studies of individuals’ social capital (Coleman

1988), friendships (Adamczyk and Felson 2006; Marsden 1987; Zeggelink 1995) or

discussion partners (Behrman, Kohler, and Watkins 2002; Gerland 2006; Kohler,

26 Behrman, and Watkins 2000; 2001; Marsden 1987). Similarly, sociologists study

individual-based questions by employing networks as a methodology to capture

influences on those individuals (e.g., Haynie 2001) or the context within which they

are studied (Adimora and Schoenbach 2005). Finally, network theories have been

applied to a number of individual level-studies, perhaps the most famous of which is

Granovetter’s study showing the importance of weakly-connected relationships in

successful job-seeking (Granovetter 1973). In line with Coleman’s (1986) approach

however, each of these takes an approach that places the individual at the center of

focus – as the starting point for study.

A Structural Social Science

Bruce Mayhew (1980; 1981), argues that a structuralist framework is the only

truly sociological enterprise. He goes so far as to suggest that structuralists are not

concerned with “the individualist concern with ‘human behavior’… [s]tructuralists

have nothing at all to contribute to the non-problems individualists have posed for

themselves” (Mayhew 1980: 357). In this dissertation, I leave more room for

exchange between individualist and structuralist scholars than Mayhew, but do agree

with his assessment that the two approaches ask fundamentally different questions,

“make radically different assumptions, conceive of social phenomena in radically

different terminologies, and generally approach any topic from opposite directions”

(Mayhew 1980: 345).

A Network Paradigm

Wellman and Berkowitz (Berkowitz 1982; Wellman 1988; Wellman and

Berkowitz 1988) have argued for the treatment of SNA as a paradigmatic shift that

27 moves beyond the existing dominant individualistic framework in much of empirical

and even theoretical sociology. The defining characteristics of a scientific paradigm

according to Thomas Kuhn (1970) are cumulation of knowledge and a fundamental

reconstruction of prior understanding, both of which are found in SNA. Linton

Freeman, in his book accounting for the historical development of SNA as a field,

argues for the first of these (Freeman 2004: 6). Scholars who have adopted the SNA

framework have addressed the second of these questions (see summary above), but

those outside of this community have not readily accepted the relevance of this point.

Many of the advances of SNA to date have not been seen by the rest of the

sociological community in their full implications. Only by applying an SNA

perspective to new sets of questions will this limitation be overcome, and the full

potential of its contributions to the nature of social science as a whole be fully

appreciated. While Mayhew claims that relational, or as frequently termed in SNA

literature – structural, approaches to social science are the only truly social approach;

I temper his suggestion slightly. SNA offers a fundamentally different way of

examining the social world that moves research away from its present individualistic

assumptions. Perhaps through better incorporation of these ideas into mainstream

sociological efforts, we can better understand their impacts on commonly held

assumptions and, to-date-unquestioned empirical findings interpreted as social facts.

In his Introduction to Structural Analysis, Berkowitz (1982) summarizes the

main thrust of the structural approach as shifting the researcher’s focus from points

and individuals to the spaces and relations between them. This seemingly benign shift

has deceptively grand implications, which are not captured by the individualistic

28 approaches to social science which continue to dominate present sociological work

(Freeman 2004: 1). Returning to the Coleman’s problem, this suggests an alteration

to, and ultimately an inversion of his theoretical “boat”. First, Berkowitz’s notion of

taking as primary not the individual, but the relation, necessitates altering Coleman’s

“boat” by re-labeling the levels of analysis from micro and the macro to foci on node

and meso (or relational) levels. With the micro-macro distinction, there is a

fundamental implication of scope in the difference between the two levels of analysis.

No such distinction in the level(s) of aggregation is necessary in the altered version.

Instead of the size or aggregation focus of the macro-micro distinction, the alternate

version differentiates along lines of location. The nodes (whether individuals,

organizations, or other entities) and the description of their properties occupy one

“level”, while the spaces between them and the properties of the relationships that fill

those spaces occupy the other.

Whereas in Coleman’s version, the methodological individualism found in

much of social science is accepted and incorporated into the model, the second

alteration to his scheme instead places the focus of empirical research at the meso

level. This is an inversion of the order of explanation found in Coleman’s model. In

other words, a researcher’s interest is not focused on the size, scope or traits of the

nodes, but on the relationships between them. The pattern of relationships between

individuals, organizations, nations, etc. can all be identical, even when the nodes are

very different. With a focus on the relationships, and organization of relationships

between nodes, and not on the nodes themselves, properties of those particular nodes

(including their scope) are no longer the fundamental organizing principle behind

29 research strategies. Figure 2.2 presents this shift visually – as in Coleman’s version,

the level to be directly analyzed is on the bottom.

Relations as Starting Points, not Variables

The question then to address here is – “Upon what do social scientists then

affix their focus?”. Traditional social science defines actors and their various

characteristics, then groups and levels of groupings that are said to be relevant for

describing similarities, differences or even processes that arise (or exist) between

them. The key to the SNA approach is its focus on relationships and relationship

patterns instead of a focus on individuals, organizations, nation-states, or whatever

other “points” are commonly at the center of social-scientific research – frequently

described as methodological individualism. It is a fundamental inversion of the way

that social science has typically progressed. Perhaps the most important factor this

introduces to social science research is the recognition that "the elements of those

subsystems upon which structuralists base their definitions of groups are not

independent" (Berkowitz 1982: 14) as is fundamentally assumed in more traditional

methodological strategies. SNA is fundamentally interested in explaining how social

phenomena arise from node inter-dependencies.

[Figure 2.2 about here]

Figure 2.2 helps to explain this shift. A structural approach to studying social

phenomena takes the first meso-level relationship labeled in the bottom-left of Figure

2.2 as its focal beginning point. This focus on the meso-level moves away from the

individual (or node-level) focus common to most social science, and inherent in

Coleman’s model. Contrary to a purely structural approach to social science (Black

30 2000a; 2000b; Tucker 2002), SNA does not remove individuals from focus

altogether, but by placing the focus on meso-level relations, addresses individual and

organizational relationships in the same manner. While the Coleman model presumes

a link between individual beliefs and behaviors; such behavioral motivations are not

the focus of SNA. This is especially salient since researchers frequently dismiss its

feasibility for macro level “actors.” An SNA perspective of social structure therefore

focuses on questions of relational position and aggregation, rather than on presumed

boundaries based on formal organizations, or shared individual characteristics. While

individualistic approaches focus on the aggregation of individual characteristics into

groups that are presumably relevant, SNA is concerned with how relations aggregate

into networks, which can represent links between individuals, groups, or other macro-

level nodes.

An SNA researcher’s focus is therefore particularly suited to observe links

between (meso-level) relational structures, as illustrated in the next step in Figure 2.2.

(the transition labeled with the “*”). These can focus on how on relational structure

changes over time, or how one structure influences another. Recent work has begun

to investigate the importance of transitions in network phenomena. For instance,

while measures of social network properties frequently focus on static properties,

such as cohesion, centrality, degree, etc. (see Scott 2000; Wasserman and Faust

1994); scholars have recently begun exploring the ways that these properties can be

dynamically evaluated (Moody 2007). The implications for topics such as the

diffusion of ideas or diseases are direct, and are similarly important for other topics.

The transitional relationship presented in Figure 2.2 (*) can therefore represent the

31 impact of one type of meso-level relationship on another – e.g., the impact of marital

or trade relationships on ruling authority (Padgett and Ansell 1993) – or on these

dynamical shifts in network properties (Moody 2007).

As Mayhew contends (1980; 1981), SNA scholars therefore fundamentally

address different research foci than scholars who are engaged in research targeting

more traditional “actors” (whether individual or organizational nodes). However, this

does not leave the approaches unable to build on one another as Mayhew, and others

(Black 2000a; 2000b; Tucker 2002) would suggest. Instead, the links in Figure 2.1

between macro-structure and individual behaviors (1), or individual outcomes (2), are

still observable, and can be provided important explanations in the revised Figure 2.2,

but are now no longer questions across scope (i.e., macro-micro), rather explicitly

focus on nodes and the relational structure within which they are embedded. Whereas

Coleman’s boat implicitly assumes the importance of Link 2 as a connection in the A-

I-A chain, such a link is not required (though not removed) from the revised version

of the figure. Therefore in situations where behaviors are constrained in such a way

that choice is limited, or that individual behaviors have little control over the

outcomes they are intended to produce, a focus on meso-level dynamics – whether

relating two different types of relationships, or a single relationship at different points

in time – provides a mechanism by which to explain such a detachment. Perhaps most

importantly, this approach removes the necessity of establishing the link between a

node’s beliefs and it’s behaviors, but rather focuses on how readily a node’s

behaviors can potentially contribute to node-level outcomes (the focal question

presented in the agency-structure question as introduced with Table 2.1). Again,

32 inverting our focus, and addressing first the spaces between nodes (and the

relationships that fill them), reverses the nature of the problem proposed by Coleman.

It does not remove the importance of establishing the link between node-level

behaviors and meso-level relationships, but instead simply shifts our focus to the

fundamentally social aspect of the question, leaving how that then affects individual

properties and outcomes as a secondary consideration.

Finally, Figure 2.2 therefore provides some clarification on the initial

discussion from Table 2.1. The contribution of a focus on meso-level relationships

that are not necessarily bound to any particular individual-level properties (focusing

on * in Figure 2.2) can allow explanations of phenomena that fall in Table 2.1’s cells

2 and 4 in ways that simply are not possible if we focus only on individual traits, or

the aggregation of individuals. By focusing on structural characteristics that are, in

fact, relationally structural, and not simply structural proxies built on aggregated

individuals, we can develop mechanisms of explanation that are not otherwise

possible. Below, I elaborate how this directly changes both the questions addressed in

this dissertation, and therefore the answers when researchers attempt to explain the

link between religion and HIV.

Link to Empirical Work

The aims of the chapters that follow in this dissertation are therefore to apply

this relational perspective to improve our understanding of the relationship between

religion and the present HIV/AIDS epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa. By drawing on

my involvement in several large-scale projects in rural Malawi, I both reconceptualize

33 the way religion has been incorporated and how HIV-risk has been operationalized in

previous studies interested in this particular relationship. In particular, I address the

construction and dissemination of HIV-prevention related messages within religious

organizations and investigate how readily religious affiliation shapes HIV-risk

networks. Each of these questions moves away from treating messages, religious

organizations, their doctrine, and HIV risk as node-level properties, which has been

the exclusive approach of existing research on these topics.

Instead, SNA offers a fundamentally altered way of thinking about the nature

of social relationships that should substantially shift the approach to many questions

of social scientific interest. For example, in recent years researchers have shown a

vast interest in the link between religious affiliation and participation and health

outcomes. The SNA perspective can offer substantial insights into reformulating

researchers’ conceptualizations both of religious organizations and of health related

risks. In particular, some researchers have recently moved away from incorporating

religion as a merely individual level concept, even in individual level studies, opting

instead for a “moral communities” hypothesis of religious influence (e.g., Regnerus

2003; Welch, Tittle, and Petee 1991). An SNA approach to the study of religion

would offer a structural approach to investigate those communities that is not

available under the research strategies currently employed which must rely on proxies

or aggregation to approximate community effects. The importance of an SNA

approach to studying health related risks is similarly substantial. A voluminous

34 literature has recently developed in this area, particularly as it relates to the

transmission, spread and prevention of infectious diseases (e.g., Morris 2004). This

dissertation however is the first work to apply this perspective to each of these areas

simultaneously, and contributes some of the first extensions of the SNA paradigm

into sub-field analyses not primarily interested in the networks themselves.

SNA, Religion and HIV in Rural Malawi

I focus each of the three empirical chapters (4-6) on investigating the

relationship between religion and HIV prevention strategies – both their content and

their capacity for success – via the relational focus presented above. By addressing

the meso-structural context of the construction of religious HIV-prevention messages,

and the structural properties of sexual partnering, I shift the focus away from “what”

religious organizations say and an individual’s “risk behaviors,” to address the spaces

where those messages are constructed and the alters with whom those behaviors take

place. This shift produces a substantial alteration to our understanding of

organization-level responses within religious denominations and how readily those

organizations contribute to their participant’s risk contexts.

In Chapter 4, I detail the relational patterns of local congregational leaders to

first investigate not what they say about HIV, but where they develop those messages.

By first setting these leaders’ relational contexts as the focus, I am able to evaluate

what we should expect these leaders to be doing in response to the epidemic. Existing

work largely treats denominations as having high internal-consistency in their

35 responses, and therefore addresses what a denomination says. If the relational

structure within these organizations is incorporated into prevention strategies at all, it

is to assume hierarchical centralization, suggesting top-level leaders’ offices as the

launching point for the development and dissemination of any prevention strategies.

To date, little is known about whether this assumption matches reality, and any

breaks from this model could readily undercut the presumed internal consistency for

those studies that do not consider relational structure at all. In essence the shift in the

question here moves the research focus from “1” in Figure 2.1 to studying the initial

meso-relations (lower left) in Figure 2.2. This chapter primarily focuses on describing

the social and physical distances between relationships that congregation leaders draw

on in developing their response to the HIV epidemic.

The next chapter then turns to evaluating the similarities and discrepancies

that exist within denominations regarding how the present HIV epidemic is viewed

and what religious organizations are attempting to do in response. While many of the

descriptions in this chapter display substantial variations between local congregation

leaders and their corresponding national representatives, the differences that arise are

largely directly connected to the structure of the leaders’ relationships described in

chapter 4. Local congregation leaders aren’t drawing on national leaders’ opinions or

edicts, because they aren’t among the salient members of congregation leaders’

networks. Further, the distance that exists between national leaders and the lives of

individuals being impacted by the disease creates a response among national leaders

that is itself largely detached from the nature of the epidemic. This chapter moves the

36 focus from describing the content of messages as a property of individuals – a focus

on the “individual” beliefs represented in Figure 2.1, to a comparison between

discourse across varying levels within a religious organizations – focusing on the “*”

in Figure 2.2. Each of the chapters described above suggests that if religious

organizations are to continue to be engaged by donors and strategists to improve

potential successes in the fight against HIV in SSA, future efforts should engage not

“religious organizations” or denominations as wholes, but should address their

relational patterns in a way that more readily matches the local-clustering observed.

In the final empirical chapter here, I move away from measuring individuals’

HIV-risk solely as a property of their own behaviors. Existing literature demonstrates

a substantial relationship both between religious participation and HIV-infection as

well as between religious participation and presumed “risky” behaviors. Little is

known however, about the context within which those behaviors take place. I

simulate a series of networks based on the differences we do observe in number of

partners by religious affiliation, to demonstrate that where those relationships fall in

the larger sexual networks can prove more important than the number of such

partners. This chapter demonstrates one way that Link 3 in Figure 2.2 can suppress

any potential association represented by Link 2 in the same figure, and similarly can

produce an inability to produce any meaningfully observable association represented

by the third link in Figure 2.1. This shift is particularly relevant in that Coleman’s

model, and any research strategy employing traditional individual-focused techniques

would not have a mechanism by which to account for what I demonstrate in the

37 chapter.

Each of these chapters focuses first on relational patterns (meso-level) rather

than on individuals or organizations (node-level). In doing so, I demonstrate the ways

that much of the existing literature interested in the link between religion and HIV in

SSA limits the possibilities of explanation in the approaches they take. Further, this

approach moves beyond the potential dead-end of negative findings in research that

takes the individual-focus. For example, finding a weak association between

individuals’ “risky” behaviors and actual risk of contracting HIV, leaves any

prevention strategies targeting changes in individual behaviors virtually powerless to

evince meaningful change. The strategy in this study helps us not only to move the

focus of how we study what is already taking place for prevention efforts, but begins

to provide a frame of reference for what prevention efforts could be more effective

than those that presently key on individual factors alone.

38 NOTES

1 I should note at this point, that many sociologists do not study individuals only, and many of the insights from organizational studies will be incorporated into the later portions of this dissertation. However, even the ways that organizations are studied frequently imposes organizational-level “individuality” into the modeling techniques applied, where organizations are thought of as independent “actors”. For one substantial exception, see organizational ecology (Baum et al. 1996; Hannan and Freeman 1977).

2 As described elsewhere (Freeman 2004), this is perhaps best evidenced by its inclusion in the section of the ASA.

3 The paradigmatic treatment of SNA suggested here is consistent with the work of several others. See especially Berkowitz (1982), Freeman (2004), Wellman (1988) and Wellman and Berkowitz (1988).

39

Actions’ Control Over Outcomes High Low Actors’ Control High 1 - Free-choice 2- Constrained Choice over Actions Low 3- Embeddedness 4 - Structural determinism

Table 2.1 Structure Versus Agency in Actions and Outcomes

40

Macro level Structure Structure

1 3

Individual 2 Behavior Micro level Values Orientations

Source: Coleman (1986: 1322)

Figure 2.1 James Coleman’s “Boat” – Macro-Micro-Macro Relations and Methodological Individualism

41

“Individual” 2 Node level Behaviors “Individual” Outcomes

1 3

Meso level Meso * Meso Relations Relations

Figure 2.2 Network Rhombus – Meso(-Node) – Meso(-Node) Relations and Methodological Structuralism

42

CHAPTER 3

DATA: THE MALAWI RELIGION (MRP) AND

MALAWI DIFFUSION AND IDEATIONAL CHANGE (MDICP) PROJECTS1

Malawi – The Context

Malawi is a religiously diverse country, its AIDS epidemic is typical of the

rest of the region, and religious organizations, primarily congregations, are a central

component of rural life where the majority of Malawians live. These factors make

rural Malawi an ideal setting for examining the role of organizational networks in

responding to the AIDS crisis more closely. As is characteristic of the pandemic

across most of SSA, the HIV epidemic in Malawi is a generalized one – that is, the

spread of the disease occurs primarily through heterosexual transmission, the male to

female infection ratio approximates 1:1, and perinatal transmission is common (Green

2003b). Malawi’s epidemic is estimated to be eighth highest in the world, with

approximately 14.1% of the population presently infected, and recent estimates

suggest prevalence has stagnated since 2000 (NAC 2004; NSO 2005; UNAIDS

2006b). There is, however, wide variation across testing sites – from 2.9 percent to

43 35.5 percent – suggesting that some areas have been more successful in avoiding

infection than others (NAC 2004).

The vast majority of Malawians are either Christian or Muslim. Figures for

Malawi from the World Christian Encyclopedia (Barrett, Kurian, and Johnson 2001)

suggest that 77 percent of the population is Christian, 15 percent Muslim, and most of

the remainder practice traditional African religions (eight percent). Malawi differs

only slightly from AIDS-belt countries in eastern and southern Africa in its

proportion of Christians (e.g., 82 percent in Zambia, 83 percent in South Africa) but

has a higher proportion of Muslims than most. The major Christian denominations as

a percent of the total Christian population are Roman Catholics (25 percent), mission

Protestants (20 percent), and African Independent Churches or AICs (17 percent);

groups like evangelicals and Pentecostals are rapidly growing in Malawi, particularly

in urban areas, and together account for about 32 percent of the country’s Christians

(Jenkins 2002b). The religious composition of Malawi’s rural areas differs somewhat

from the national figures, with Muslims comprising a majority in the South and

Mission Protestants being dominant in the North.

The Malawi Diffusion and Ideational Change Project (MDICP)

The MDICP is an ongoing longitudinal household survey collected in four

waves (1998, 2001, 2004 and 2006) that examines how individuals’ ideation,

behavior and HIV-risk are shaped through informal discussion networks. These data

focus on three distinct rural districts of Malawi: Balaka in the south, Mchinji in the

central region, and Rumphi in the north (in red in Figure 1.1). The MDICP was

initially designed to examine two key empirical questions: the roles of social

44 interactions in (1) the acceptance (or rejection) of modern contraceptive methods and

of smaller ideal family size; and (2) the diffusion of knowledge of AIDS symptoms

and transmission mechanisms and the evaluation of acceptable strategies of protection

against HIV. While the MDICP sample was intended to represent the populations in

the three sampled regions and not necessarily all of Malawi, it does closely resemble

one nationally representative sample (the Malawi Demographic and Health Survey,

MDHS – NSO 2004) on several key factors such as age, education, and select

indicators of socio-economic status (Watkins 2004; Watkins et al. 2003; Anglewicz et

al. 2006). The sample represents 119 villages and includes roughly 1500 ever-married

women and 1000 of their spouses in each of the interview years (1998, 2001 and

2004). Researchers have shown favorable evaluation of these data's reliability,

attrition and representativeness (e.g., Watkins and Warriner 2003; Bignami, Reiners

and Weinreb 2003; Watkins et al. 2003; Anglewicz et al. 2006).

Since the project’s initial conception, the MDICP has expanded in several

ways: In 2004 (1) a sample of adolescents (age 15-24, married and unmarried) was

added to the base sample of ever-married women and their husbands; (2) Biomarkers

for HIV and other sexually transmitted infections were collected from all respondents

who consented, and the results were provided to those who requested them; (3) GPS

coordinates were collected for all sampled households; (4) An expanded religion

module was added to the survey; (5) Wave four (2006) also collected data on the role

of social interactions in altering the consequences of the AIDS epidemic. The

individual level analyses in this dissertation (chapter 6) rely on MDICP Wave III data

(2004), since Wave IV data (2006) is not yet available.

45 Analyses of the MDICP data have provided analyses of numerous HIV-related

issues in Malawi, such as risk perception (Behrman, Kohler, and Watkins 2003;

Helleringer and Kohler 2005), related behaviors (Kohler 2000), infection rates and

mortality (Doctor and Weinreb 2003) and patient care (Chimwaza and Watkins

2004). While the sample has changed in several ways through attrition across the

waves of this study, analyses demonstrate that these changes in the composition of the

sample have not changed many of the observed relationships between series of

important predictor variables and the outcomes at the heart of the project, and the

variables of interest included in this dissertation (Anglewicz et al. 2006; Watkins et

al. 2006; Bignami et al. 2003).

[Insert Table 3.1 about here]

Religion in the MDICP

Previous work using these data has also shown high levels of religious

participation among MDICP respondents (Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2006; Watkins

and Chimbwete 2004). Table 3.1 presents a brief summary of religious affiliation and

participation patterns from MDICP respondents in 2004. Data collected in Wave II of

MDICP (2001) facilitated the important task of studying the relationship between

religion and HIV risk at the individual level, and found that risk behaviors, perceived

individual risk and STD/HIV related attitudes vary by both religious affiliation and

participation (Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2006).

During Wave III (2004) of MDICP data collection, researchers conducted two

studies to expand these initial efforts to studies conducted at the organizational

leveling addition to individual-level studies of the influence of religious organizations

46 among MDICP respondents. Researchers piloted a survey of 60 religious leaders in

the Mchinji sample area, and collected ethnographic doctrinal summaries known as

‘sermon reports’ of 116 religious services – 68 in the Balaka sample area, and 48 in

Rumphi (Trinitapoli 2006b).

The Malawi Religion Project (MRP)

The MRP was subsequently planned as a large-scale cross sectional, mixed-

methods data collection project. The principal aim of the MRP was to collect data on

religious organizations in order to examine how these organizations and their “moral

communities” influence responses to the epidemic in a sub-Saharan African country

with a major HIV/AIDS epidemic. The data collection during summer 2005 included

four primary target populations: leaders of local congregations, local congregation

members, national level denomination leaders and leaders of non-Governmental

organizations (NGOs) active in the three sample areas.

The sample for this study is based on a strategy known as hypernetwork

sampling (Chaves et al. 1999; McPherson 1982; Spaeth et al. 1996), which holds that

a random sample of organizations can be derived by finding organizational

affiliations among a random sample of individuals, then sampling from the named

organizations. As such, the MRP sample consists of all congregations named by wave

III MDICP (2004) respondents. To locate the leaders of these congregations, the MRP

employed interview scouts – locals who have intimate knowledge of the research

area, who have completed the equivalent of high school education, and who have

previously worked for the MDICP.

Congregation Level Data

47 [Insert Figure 3.1 about here]

Defining the sample of congregations was a rather complex process, as

congregations in rural Malawi are frequently hard to identify. Virtually none have a

sign bearing the congregation’s name, and many do not meet in their own building at

all. It is common, for example, for congregations share a building with other

congregations or to not have a building at all (e.g., in one of the sites 3 of the

congregations met under a tree). Often times a single congregation is known by

several different names (including, but not limited to, the name of the village, the

name of the current leader, or the name of the founding leader or mission). As such

the research team refined the congregation list in a multi-stage approach (Figure 3.1).

Of the 3386 respondents in MDICP III, who were asked to name the religious

congregations in which they regularly participate, 3243 provided valid data on this

question. To create the sample of congregations, the research team identified all

different spellings and similar names within this initial list of congregations,2

reducing the list to 251 potential unique congregations. This list was then discussed in

the field daily by the research team, interview supervisors and interview scouts to

further clarify additional multiple namings or difficult to identify congregations.

The resulting congregational leader data comes from surveys and in-depth

interviews with the leaders of 187 congregations, which represents a response rate of

93.5%.3 The interview and survey were conducted in a single setting, with the bulk

of the time devoted to the unstructured interviews. These survey was intended to

focus primarily on six components: 1) Networks, 2) Organizational Structures, 3)

Informal Structures, 4) Social Services, 5) Doctrinal Issues, and 6) Denominational

48 Mobility, each with a specific focus on the relationship to HIV/AIDS. The semi-

structured interviews consisted of four thematic sections: the leader’s personal

religious history, a description of the congregational leadership and its history,

recounting any major problems faced by the congregations, and (if it had not already

been addressed in the other three qualitative sections or the survey) HIV/AIDS related

topics specifically.4

Additional data from congregation members was gathered through semi-

structured interviews from a stratified random sample of previous female MDICP

respondents (N=110). These interviews focused on five primary themes: personal

religious history, congregational norms and discipline, HIV/AIDS, religion and

HIV/AIDS, and family planning, with an added interest in the respondent's outlook

for the future in light of these topics.

Congregational Leaders’ Network Data

One of the primary goals of the MDICP is to examine diffusion of beliefs,

behaviors and knowledge of HIV/AIDS transmission and symptomology; being able

to examine the potential and actual routes of diffusion is an essential aspect of this

task. One of the MRP’s primary aims is to explore the potential effects of a

congregation’s relationships with other congregations, larger denominational

organizations and the few other formal organizations that do exist in these rural

settings. Previous research would lead us to expect significant relationships between

these larger networks and congregational responses to the present HIV epidemic, but

the specifics of the relationships are difficult to hypothesize. Existing evidence is

largely anecdotal (Parry 2003), limited to studies of single communities (Garner

49 2000; Gregson et al. 1995), or based on very small samples (e.g., Lagarde et al. 2000;

Takyi 2003). On one hand, largely poor congregations may gain capital through

support networks that provide opportunities for education and intervention that would

not otherwise be possible. Alternately these networks may embed a congregation

within a strong hierarchy with particular doctrinal systems that discourage protective

behaviors such as condom use. A further possibility is that the remote rural setting

imposes geographical constraints on these networks, limiting the influence of external

contacts (whether from denomination, NGO, or other sources). The reality is that the

existing literature and available data have been simply unable to explore the precise

nature of these organizational relationships; the design of the MRP aims to fill that

void.

Both the coded qualitative interview data and the survey responses to network

questions collected from religious leaders in MRP interviews focus on network

contact information for several relationship types. The initial aim of the network

component was to gather information about the connections between the sample

congregations and (a) other congregations (whether within or outside their own

denomination), (b) their denominations, and (c) other community organizations (e.g.,

NGOs). The network component of the survey addressed each of these potential

relationships through an open-ended listing of contacts for the religious leader’s

personal friendship networks. This section focused on gathering information on the

various people with whom the religious leader may develop their attitudes on any

number of topics, including but not limited to issues of sexual behavior and HIV. The

same open-ended format was also used to gauge congregational co-participation by

50 gathering information about formal cooperation that exists between organizations,

such as joint services, revivals or choir festivals. While these sorts of relationships

may not directly show potential avenues of information flow, they can provide

additional evidence for a congregation's level of embededness or seclusion within

their community. We asked congregation leaders about the individuals with whom

they discuss doctrinal related issues in order to get a picture of the sources they draw

upon for developing sermons and building their doctrinal repertoires in a more

general sense. Also key for this portion of the network data are accounts of

congregation leaders' educational histories and participation in training seminars.

Finally, we asked directly about the contacts with whom they discuss topics relating

to HIV/AIDS. Additionally, several questions examined the frequency of some of

these contacts in terms of formal congregational practices.

The first three waves of MDICP data include many indicators of respondents'

beliefs about HIV, their own risk behaviors, and their levels of perceived and actual

risk. Individual level analyses indicate the importance of religious affiliation and

involvement for many of these factors (Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2005), and an

overview of the messages available in the religious organizations in two of the sample

regions addresses the content of religious organizations' HIV-related messages

(Trinitapoli 2006b).To date, the means by which such organization's behavior

prescriptions are constructed has not been systematically examined. By combining

these congregational network data with the existing individual level data and the

national level denomination leader data, we can examine the match (or potential mis-

match) between the positions at each of these embedded levels. These unique multi-

51 level data will allow researchers to follow diffusion processes, specifying the

directions of the flow of information and other organizational influences.

Survey Data

A primary component of the MRP survey includes a four-section module

designed to collect organizational network information (adams and Trinitapoli 2007).5

First interviewers asked congregation leaders about the frequency of their contact

with leaders of their denomination, other congregations, other denominations, NGOs

and government officials. Next they asked the respondents to provide information

about any other organizations with which their congregation co-participated in

services or programs. Finally, respondents were asked to name those individuals with

whom they addressed "issues of religious belief or church doctrine" and issues related

to HIV/AIDS and list their organizational affiliations. These sections each included a

series of probes asking respondents to specify these connections separately for leaders

of other congregations, denominations, NGOs, and other community leaders.

All MRP interviews were conducted in the local language by trained

interviewers who were hired in each of the sample locations. The national language of

Malawi is Chichewa, however many of the interviews in Balaka were conducted in

Yao, and in Rumphi all interviews were conducted in the local language of Tumbuka.

Interviewer training was conducted in each site; the training emphasized interviewing

techniques to prepare the interviewers to conduct free-flowing, unstructured

conversations covering the four primary themes of the project (listed above).

Network Data from Qualitative Interviews with Leaders

52 The network data from the qualitative interviews is, therefore, obtained by

reading each interview transcript and coding all described relationships that arise

throughout the course of the interview. The entire transcript is used in the coding of

the network data derived from the qualitative interviews, however, the congregational

structure sections of the interview are the main source of relevant information.

One primary component of the unstructured qualitative interviews asks the

respondent to provide an account of their personal religious history. Within this

section of the interview, respondents frequently describe their educational

experiences and give accounts of various training seminars they have attended. In

some of these interviews respondents mention other individuals with whom they were

in school and whether they are still in contact with those individuals today. In some

instances those relationships describe significant contributions to the interpersonal

contexts within which the respondent constructs their doctrine or HIV-realted beliefs

and attitudes and would therefore be coded as ties accordingly. Similarly, their

description of participation in training seminars (whether religiously themed or HIV

specific) may demonstrate particularly salient relationships that presently contribute

to the space within which they develop the positions reflected to their congregations,

and were therefore coded along with other similar relationships as relevant. It is

important to note that because interviewers were trained to conduct the interviews as

naturally as possible, the interviewer could skip these informal network sections if

they felt that the respondent had sufficiently answered the question at another point in

the interview (e.g., in the formal survey).

53 The second and third thematic sections of the unstructured interviews focus on

congregational structure and prevailing problems faced by these conversations.

Similar to the methods discussed above within personal religious histories, these

frequently described interpersonal or inter-organizational network relationships which

were coded accordingly. As an example, in respondents' descriptions of present

congregational problems they frequently also addressed means of conflict resolution.

In some instances these resolutions point to the involvement of individuals from

outside the congregation that contribute doctrine-related content, and were therefore,

as appropriate, coded among the respondent's doctrinal network contacts. One of the

primary goals of this coding of qualitative transcripts for network information was to

allow the respondent's salient relationships to drive network nominations more than

the research team's preconceived notions of relevant ties. This necessitated an

iterative coding process that adapted to each additional reading of each transcript.

Daily debriefing meetings between the interviewers, interview supervisors,

and project coordinators were crucial to the success of this project. The immediate

and thorough evaluation of each transcript as soon as it was completed allowed the

interviewers to conduct callback interviews as necessary when portions of the

interview were either not covered, or were lacking in sufficient detail.

Organizational Data from Individual Congregation Members

The interviews with congregation members focused on their own religious

histories and corresponding attitudes. Occasionally, however, these interviews also

provided information about organizational level relationships. A particularly relevant

example comes from an individual member who mentions events they have

54 participated in with their congregation that also involved other congregations (e.g.,

choir festivals) when describing the extent of their participation in religious activities.

An unplanned but nonetheless valuable source of network data, the individual level

MRP interviews were also coded for organizational network data in the same manner

as that described above for the unstructured portions of the congregation leader

interviews. The focus of this coding remained at the level of organizational ties -- not

that of individual networks.6 While the organization level ties reported in these

interviews were less frequent than those from the congregation leader interview, they

reveal some additional ties that are relevant to the investigation of information flows

within religious contexts. They also provide additional evidence to support the

network ties identified through other sources.

Denomination Level Data

The final component of MRP data that I use in this dissertation is a series of

interviews with national denominational leaders that represent the congregations in

the samples at the individual (MDICP) and congregation leader (MRP) levels. During

the summers of 2005-2006, we conducted 48 interviews with 45 different leaders,

representing 44 denominations or organizations.7 For these interviews, researchers

approached the highest ranking official for each denomination represented in the

MRP sample. Where possible, the team interviewed the president (or equivalent; e.g.,

General Secretary, or director) of each denomination, and each of the main inter-

denomination and interfaith organizations represented in Malawi. Several included

denominations (e.g., CCAP, Church of Christ and New Apostles) do not have

national-level coordinating organizations, so we interviewed regional leaders (e.g.,

55 Synod General Secretary; N=7). In other cases where the president was not available

(N=16), we interviewed Vice Presidents or department heads (e.g., HIV/AIDS

coordinator). We successfully recruited at least one national level leader for all but

one of the denominations represented in the MDICP sample.8 These interviews were

conducted in English by a mix of Malawian and American researchers, with each

lasting between 45 minutes and two hours. For a comparison of the national leaders’

sample and the MRP sample, see Table 3.2.

[Insert Table 3.2 about here]

These national leader interviews were composed of five main sections, which

focused on: (1) the history of the religious organization in Malawi and an overview of

its organizational structure; (2) doctrinal related issues, particularly those which are

distinct to the particular denomination, compared to others in Malawi; (3) the

intended and actual collaborations of the denomination with other organizations,

including congregations within the denomination, other denominations, NGOs,

government and other international organizations; (4) a summary of the individual

leader’s personal religious history; and (5) a discussion of some of the primary

problems facing the denomination and how the organization attempts to resolve such

problems , with a particular focus on how issues of HIV/AIDS are addressed.9

The empirical chapters that follow draw primarily on three components of the

data described above: (1) MDICP-III, individual level surveys; (2) MRP congregation

leader surveys and interviews; and (3) denomination leader interviews.

56 NOTES

1 Large portions of this chapter come directly from three papers that are presently under review (adams & Trinitapoli 2007; Anglewicz et al. 2006; Watkins et al. 2006).

2 The majority of the “duplicate” congregation names were simply issues of recording or data entry which produced different spellings. However, for some cases, it was also possible to identify that, for example, “X CCAP” and “Y CCAP” were the same congregation through identification processes, such as matched leader name(s), location, etc.

3 We actually conducted a total of 194 interviews, which included interviews with two leaders from each of seven congregations. In congregation-level analyses, only one of these respondents is included, which is where the N of 187 comes from.

4 The training document used to guide interviewers through training for the qualitative component of the congregation leader interviews, is included as Appendix A.

5 The full network section of the MRP survey is included as Appendix B.

6 Adding this to the MRP would have been redundant, since the MDICP survey contains thorough individual-level network data.

7 Five individuals were interviewed both in 2005 and 2006, and representatives for 6 organizations were interviewed in both years. One individual was interviewed in each year, representing a different organization in each year. With the exception of this individual, all of the other “repeat” interviews were with representatives of interfaith and interdenominational organizations.

8 The lone refusal in our attempts to obtain interviews came from representatives of the Jehovah’s Witnesses in Malawi. This is not especially surprising given the history of Jehovah’s Witnesses in Malawi. Under the presidency of Kamuzu Banda they were formally banned from Malawi, and only recently have regained legal recognition (Jubber 1977). It should also be noted that the only Church of Christ interview conducted was with a national-youth coordinator. One of the foundational beliefs of the Church of Christ is in the authority of the local congregation, which results in few “coordinating” or oversite organizations within the Church of Christ (Jenkins 2002).

9 The training guide used to prep interviewers for the national leader interviews, is included as Appendix C.

57 New RC MP Pent AIC Muslim MP None Total N Individual Characteristics Respondents N 449 508 217 450 630 246 24 2524 % 17.79 20.13 8.60 17.83 24.96 9.75 0.95 100

Gender Ratio a 0.56 0.65 0.66 0.57 0.59 0.52 0.25 0.59 2524

Participation > Weekly 14.00 15.50 19.62 12.20 16.52c 10.34 0 14.16 1730d Weekly 54.30 42.86 47.37 47.32 13.26e 54.31 0 48.61 2-3 x a month 21.87 33.76 23.44 31.74 6.09f 27.59 0 28.38 Monthly 4.42 4.46 5.74 4.15 11.74g 3.45 0 4.39 < Monthly 5.41 3.61 3.83 4.63 19.78h 4.31 100 4.45 32.61i

Attended last week 63.37 62.30 76.64 62.84 54.31 68.98 0 62.04 2495

Born again / Made 19.82 30.22 40.93 20.68 29.31 29.88 5.56 27.17 2477 Tauba

Congregational Characteristics Congregations N 21 40 32 38 22 34 187 % 11.23 21.39 17.11 20.32 11.76 18.18

Regular adult 37.65 34.44 21.61 31.55 76.36 36.32 37.39 184 attendees j (44.15) (52.56) (16.35) (31.71) (101.48) (44.07) (52.81) Last week 124.14 72.49 35.03 80.09 81.6 54.18 71.11 174 attendance j (164.27) (72.58) (25.53) (114.81) (67.94) (53.13) (92.03)

Talk about AIDS 66.67 85 50 78.95 72.73 73.53 72.19 187 weekly / almost weekly

a Calculated as the proportion of MDICP respondents who are female. b Muslims were asked a different question – “How frequently did you do daily prayers during the last week?” (N=460). Responses are coded descending as: c - 5x per day, e a few times a day, f - once a day, g - few times a week, h – once, i – never. d Only sums respondents from Christian denominations. j Means and (standard deviations). All other numbers presented in the table are column percents, except where noted.

Table 3.1 Summary of Religious Affiliation and Participation MDICP-3

58

Congregation Leaders National Leaders Balaka Mchinji Rumphi Total Presidenta Other Total Roman Catholic 7 10 5 22 2 Quadiriya Muslim 13 1 2 16 2 Sukutu Muslim 2 0 0 2 1 CCAP 6 8 7 21 5 Baptist 9 2 3 14 4 Anglican 2 2 2 6 1 Pentecostal 11 6 12 29 6 SDA 1 0 3 3 3 Jehovah's Witnesses 2 1 1 4 0 Church of Christ 5 9 12 26 1 New Apostolic 0 0 6 6 1 Indegenous 2 19 17 38 0 Christian Other Christian 1 0 0 1 6 Other Muslim 4 0 0 4 6 Other 1

Inter-faith / Inter- 6 3 9 denominational Organizations Total 65 58 71 194 25 23 48

a To maintain anonymity of respondents, I provide only summarized information on the number of presidents, national and regional leaders interviewed.

Table 3.2 Comparison of Coverage – National and Congregation Leader Interviews

59

MDICP Respondents

N = 3386 Pre-fieldwork

Named Congregations No Congregation Reported Sample Preparation N=3243, 95.8% N=143, 4.2%

Unique Congregation Names Duplicate Names N=251, 7.7% N=2992, 92.3%

62

Unique Congregations Duplicate Congregations Fieldwork N=200, 79.7% N=51, 20.3% Sample Cleaning

Interview Complete Incomplete N=13, 6.5% (Response Rate) N=187, 93.5%

Not Found Refusal Disbanded Balaka Mchinji Rumphi N=11, 84.6% N=0 N=2, 15.4% N=65 N=54 N=68

Figure 3.1 Malawi Religion Project Sample

60

CHAPTER 4

EXAMINING POLICY LOCATION (NOT LOCUTION):

CONGREGATION LEADERS’ HIV-RELATED DISCUSSION NETWORKS

While sponsored programs frequently funnel resources and prevention

strategies into umbrella organizations – with the assumption that those then filter to

the local level – we presently know little about how well those intentions match the

reality. In this chapter I refocus the question from what organizations say to where

they construct (and speak) those messages. Following this shift, I develop an

empirical picture of religious organizational structure in Malawi, rather than

following prevention models’ assumptions. I present descriptive analyses of the

networks within which local religious leaders develop their HIV-related messages. I

find that congregational leaders’ networks are largely locally clustered, with little

distance between the space where these messages are constructed and where they are

disseminated. This chapter provides initial evidence, which is elaborated further in

the next, suggesting that religious organizational structure in SSA follows a more

congregational organizational form, consistent with patterns observed in recent

61 literature elsewhere.

Introduction

With the development of the U.S. President’s Emergency Plan for AIDS

Relief (PEPFAR 2007), the U.S. Department of State built “the largest commitment

ever by any nation for an international health initiative dedicated to a single disease—

a five-year, $15 billion, multifaceted approach to combating the disease around the

world” (PEPFAR 2007). This comes in addition to voluminous other resources

already devoted to the problem (USAID 2003). There has been considerable public

debate about the approach of this plan; particularly it’s reliance upon faith-based

organizations as a substantial arm in the distribution of funds and the implementation

of prevention and care strategies. A recent report from the World Health Organization

(ARHAP 2006) calls for increased cooperation with faith-based organizations (FBOs)

in the ongoing fight against AIDS (PEPFAR 2007). Others have been strongly critical

of such a response (Caldwell et al. 1999). In many of the areas where AIDS

prevention and care are the most pressing, rural sub-Saharan Africa in particular,

FBOs are frequently the only existing organizations (Green 2003). Combining this

interest in culturally appropriate strategies with the prevalence of religious

organizations frequently leads PEPFAR, as well as numerous other international

agencies engaged in developing HIV-related prevention and intervention, to develop

strategies that incorporate formal partnerships with various FBOs.

[Table 4.1 about here]

62 In fact, in many countries these governmental-FBO partnerships are

formalized to establish FBOs as the primary umbrella organizations through which

most finances and strategies for HIV intervention efforts flow. Though Malawi is not

one of the 15 focus countries of the PEPFAR initiative, the structure of prevention

efforts there does reflect the umbrella structure common to these efforts. Since 2003

in Malawi five umbrella organizations have coordinated the strategizing of local HIV-

intervention efforts. Each of the 27 districts in Malawi is assigned to one of these

umbrella organizations, and they are primarily responsible for the local efforts

targeting HIV-prevention and care strategies (NAC 2006). Table 4.1 displays how the

districts are filtered into these umbrella organizations in Malawi. Two of these

organizations are explicitly religious in nature and are responsible for 14 of the 27

districts, which are home to over 60 percent of the Malawian population.

Religious Organizational Structure

When researchers and policy makers address existing and potential links

between religion and HIV interventions, they frequently implicitly build upon a

hierarchical conceptualization of religious organizations. Sociologists with peripheral

interest in religion are commonly among those making hierarchical assumptions,

frequently building on notions dating to the early foundations of the discipline

(Weber 1978). This approach has been deemphasized by scholars who focus

explicitly on religious organizations, demonstrating that the empirical reality

frequently does not match this perspective (Chaves 1993).

Recent research in U.S. religion has substantially moved away from such a

63 hierocratic model of religious organization, increasingly noting that congregations are

the fundamental unit of analysis, at least for American Protestant congregations, as

members “belong” to congregations and not to denominations as a whole (Chaves

1993; Warner 1993). Chaves, in moving away from a hierocratic conceptualization of

religious denominations suggests denominations as dual structures – religious

authority structures and religious agency structures. I will discuss the potential

application of this distinction to the Malawian case below. Despite this focus on

congregations in the U.S. (Ammerman 1997; Chaves 2004), a

corresponding shift has not taken place in policy structure and scholarship that

focuses on SSA. In particular, researchers interested in the link between religion and

HIV devote their attention to differences between religious denominations

(Agadjanian 2005; Agha, Hutchinson, and Kusanthan 2006; Takyi 2003), or

discussions of religion in general terms (Gray 2004; Green 2003; Parry 2003).

However, whether this is the way religious organizations are structured in SSA, and

how readily this structure contributes to the funneling of HIV-intervention efforts,

should be an empirical question to verify and not something that is presumed. Recent

evidence demonstrates the targeted responses religious leaders have adopted in

response to the epidemic, particularly highlighting dialogue about the problem,

improving existing prevention efforts, and participation in care initiatives for PLWA

(Trinitapoli 2006).

In this chapter, I evoke a fundamental shift in how researchers examine

organizational policies; in effect reframing what has traditionally been a question of

describing what organizations’ HIV-related policies are, to one of where policy is. I

64 draw on the structural framework that underpins much of SNA to describe the

contexts within which congregational leaders develop their HIV-prevention

strategies. I describe the contexts within which local religious leaders develop their

HIV-related messages as ego-networks, and I present several of the characteristics of

these networks. I especially highlight how those networks differ from the implied

hierarchical organizational networks that underpin the assumptions in many of the

existing prevention models. In this chapter I pay attention to the close social-

proximity of these message-construction networks to the networks within which these

messages are disseminated.

Background

Current research frequently addresses organizational policies based in a

fundamentally essentialist framework treating policies as positions which

organizations or individual leaders hold. This takes place both explicitly – when

research focuses on the formal policies and organizational forms implemented to

meet those policies; and implicitly – when outcomes are modeled to differ by

organizational memberships, inferring internal consistency within a given

organization. Even when researchers compare informal to formal organizational

structures and policies, researchers still frequently defer to conceptualizing policies

that necessarily “are.”

This is particularly evident in cases of religious organizations, where

discussions wrapped in theological verbiage are frequently interpreted as, if not

intended to be, concrete absolutes describing the way things are within religious

organizations. For example, this is manifest in literature concerning the potential link

65 between religious organizations and HIV - in the debate about whether religious

organizations are helpful allies or harmful foes in the ongoing fight against the HIV

pandemic presently facing SSA. These literatures focus on how religious

organizational policies either promote or inhibit behavior change or other outcomes

relevant to halting and reversing the present epidemic trends (Caldwell 1999; Green

2003; Parry 2003}.

Recent work (e.g., Trinitapoli 2006b) demonstrates some of the considerable

variation that exists within religious organizations, particularly with reference to HIV-

related teachings and strategies. These variations suggest that most work built on

conceptualizations of religion in general terms and based on singular frames, or even

studies that describe denominational differences (Caldwell 1999; Green 2003; Parry

2003) – most treating them as internally consistent - potentially masks many of the

relevant ways in which religious organizations are actually engaging the epidemic.

While these criticisms may best apply to external evaluations of religious

organizational messages, similar problems can arise from representative interviews of

leaders within such organizations. Previous research presents ample evidence for

individuals’ proclivities for placing themselves closer to the center of relational

spaces than objective comparisons support (Kumbasar, Romney, and Batchelder

1994).1

Interventions in health outcomes are fundamentally local processes, but most

of the existing literature does not address local policies. This approach, which focuses

on formal policies, leaves a potentially large gap between the policies examined and

the location where they are implemented or their intended individual level outcomes.

66 While this is a common approach to investigating responses to the HIV epidemic

(USAID 2003), it has been criticized as a poor predictor of policy effectiveness

(Gauri 2006). In this paper, I therefore turn the attention to intraorganizational

networks to examine the local implementation of interventions, focusing separately

on their construction and implementation.

Influence as a Structural Property

While the existing literature examining the link between religion and HIV-

efforts devotes little attention to religious organizational structure, the implied

hierarchy of prevention models is not the only place to look to build expectations

about the relational structures in these organizations. In particular, literature that

builds on the dyadic nature of influence provides a framework that is useful for

guiding the analyses below. In principle the approach draws on the importance of

reducing role conflicts, a central theme of Robert K. Merton’s work (1968).

Robert Merton’s attention to role conflicts leads directly to the perspective of

Noah Friedkin, which provides two key foci for the analyses here. Stated formally,

Friedkin suggests that “Actor j’s influence on i depends on i's knowledge of j’s

opinions…[and] j’s influence on i depends on the salience or value of j’s opinion for

i” (Friedkin 1998: 68).2 These two factors, which are pertinent for the present

analyses, draw directly on Merton’s characteristics that serve to reduce role conflict –

(a) importance of those influencing the actor and (b) insulation from observability,

respectively.

The hierocratic conceptualization of religious organizations stated in terms

67 consistent with Friedkin’s perspective would require that denomination leaders are

both seen and salient for local religious leaders. Evidence suggesting a lack of

influence from national to local religious leaders, within Freidkin’s framework would

suggest that one (or both) of these are lacking in this particular context. First, in this

chapter the network properties I describe serve as measures representing

congregational leaders’ awareness or knowledge (or lack thereof) of national

denominational leaders HIV-related messages.

Some additional familiar ideas from SNA literature would also suggest a

move away from focusing exclusively on denomination leaders. One positional

estimate of intraorganizational influence is centrality.3 In the religious organizational

context centrality estimates only advantage denominational leaders in situations of

pure hierarchy, assuming relationships between denominational authorities and

congregational leaders even exist. Figure 4.1 presents a hypothetical religious

organizational structure, for one potential denomination. The central (red) node is a

denominational authority, and the five yellow nodes represent congregational leaders,

with the blue nodes representing congregational members, with the number of

members approximating the average size of MRP congregations.

[Insert Figure 4.1 about here]

This figure illustrates some of the properties of networks that are well-known

in network literature. While the denominational leader appears at the middle of all

four graphs in layout, and appears to suggest they are also relationally central, the

addition of any shortcuts in the graph quickly generates reductions in the red node’s

centrality. In Panel A, the case of pure hierarchy, the denominational leader is the

68 most central, using both closeness and betweenness centrality measures. In Panel B,

however, where each congregational leader is connected to one other, the red node

has the highest closeness centrality, but the yellow nodes are higher on betweenness

estimates. Previous literature establishes that while higher closeness centrality

improves dissemination efficiency, higher betweenness centrality produces greater

likelihood of effecting the transmission of information (Freeman 1979; Friedkin

1991). Adding additional ties between the congregation leaders, or removing any of

the local-national links only further exacerbates the congregational leaders’ positional

advantages (Panel C & D).

Adding additional denominations and congregations would change the scope,

but not the nature of the changes illustrated in Figure 4.1. While the network

properties I present later in this chapter are ego-based and cannot calculate centrality

estimates, any substantial lack of congregational-denominational relationships would

not only distance individual leaders from their own denominational authorities, but

also make the overall picture more likely to fall somewhere between Panels B and D,

or even the high congregational-leader connectivity of Panel C. Either way it would

not resemble Panel A, which is the only one suggesting a positional advantage for

denominational leaders.

For local congregation leaders, the social distance between denomination

leaders and congregation leaders, particularly in rural Malawi, is great. This distance

may be such that in the determination of what local congregation leaders contribute to

HIV-prevention efforts, they may not identify national leaders, even from their same

denominations, as among their salient referents. As such in this chapter I investigate

69 the composition of the networks within which local congregation leaders develop

their HIV-related prevention strategies. This suggests that proper referents, drawn not

from the formal organizations within which particular leaders are embedded, but from

their actual day-to-day interactions, would provide higher levels of agreement than

other within-denomination comparisons.

Data and Methods

For the analyses in this chapter, I draw primarily from the social networks

component of the religious leaders' survey from the Malawi Religion Project (MRP).4

The MRP includes interviews with 194 congregational leaders in three rural districts

in Malawi - Rumphi in the northern region, Mchinji in the central region, and Balaka

in the south.5 These interviews combined open-ended discussion topics and a formal

survey component. For a more detailed description of the MRP data, see Chapter 2,

adams and Triniapoli (2007) and Triniapoli (2005).

The bulk of the analyses in this chapter provide descriptive properties of (1)

religious organizational networks and (2) doctrinal and (3) HIV-related discussion

ego-networks of religious leaders. I describe the properties of these networks to (a)

examine networks within which religious leaders discuss topics that potentially

directly contribute to the differences in content within those organizations, and (b)

demonstrate the general relational landscape within which these individuals are

embedded.

In these descriptive analyses, I draw on most of the gathered relational

information from religious leaders in the MRP, focusing separately on four sections

of the religious leader's interviews. I first describe the general relational patterns the

70 leader describes between him/herself or their organization and leaders of several other

leaders or organizations. Then I describe the co-participation of religious

organizations in shared service, fellowships or similar gatherings. Finally, I

investigate the discussion partners with whom the religious leader discusses topics

concerning religious doctrine and issues related to HIV/AIDS.

Additionally, I supplement these descriptive analyses with three other analytic

approaches. First, I include excerpts from qualitative interview transcripts that help

elaborate the patterns demonstrated in the quantitative responses. Second, I

demonstrate some of the substantial variation in these patterns that exist across

varying denominational affiliations. Third, I discuss, though do not present in detail,

several regression analyses predicting several of the described network relations, to

examine whether any of the differences by religious tradition - included in the

previous sections - are potentially better explained by factors other than religious

tradition.

Organization of the Discussion

Scholarship on religious organizations frequently uses broad classificatory

groupings of congregations or denominations based on various taxonomies of

tradition (Smith 1990) or historical organizational development (Steensland 2000). In

MRP interviews, each congregation was classified into one of 12 denominational

categories – Roman Catholic, Quadriya Muslim, Sukuti Muslim, Church of Central

Africa Presbyterian (CCAP), Baptist, Anglican, Pentecostal, Seventh Day Adventist,

Jehovah’s Witness, Indigenous Christian, Indigenous Non-Christian, and Other. All

responses of “Other” were then specified and later coded into the appropriate

71 category. An additional grouping – Church of Christ – was generated after data-

collection based on the number of “Other” responses who indicated this particular

affiliation. For use in analyses elsewhere (e.g., Trinitapoli 2007), these denominations

are further reduced using a strategy similar in motivation to the historical basis that

underpins schema in Steensland et al. (2000). In the analyses here, I use these six

categories - Catholic, Muslim, Pentecostal, AIC, traditional mission Protestant (i.e.,

Presbyterian, Anglican, Baptist), and new Mission Protestant (Seventh Day

Adventist, Church of Christ, Jehovah’s Witness) – to organize the discussion.6 I do,

however, highlight a few of the denominational differences that are particularly

strong contributors to the overall patterns described.

Findings

In the sections that follow, while I highlight many of the specific frequencies

and differences across religious leaders, I hope to draw your attention, not to the

particulars of each variable or the specific differences observed, but to the general

patterns across Tables 4.2-4.5.7 Regarding the importance, and openness of existing

relationships among religious leaders in his community, one Baptist pastor explains:

Our relationship [with other pastors in this area] is so fine and perfect. We don’t have problems. We meet every month to discuss some issues of our churches. And we encourage each other on areas that we see our friends need encouraging.

Organizational Interconnections

In Table 4.2, I present by - religious tradition - the frequency that religious

leaders report a series of connections between themselves and the leaders of various

other organizations (Panel A) and their congregation and other organizations (Panel B

72 and C). Virtually all religious leaders are (at least minimally) linked into their

denomination, with over 95% of leaders having met with congregational and

denominational leaders from their own denomination within the past year (numbers

not shown, though in essence sum rows 1 and 2 of Table 4.2). They are also

remarkably similarly tied into the religious leaders of other denominations, with

roughly three-fourths of all leaders reporting similar meetings with congregation and

denominational leaders of other denominations.

[Insert Table 4.2 about here]

The differences observed between meetings with these leaders and

missionaries, NGO representatives and governmental officials begin to demonstrate

the local-"outsider" discrepancy that will be further elaborated in what follows in later

tables. While denominational officials (whether from the leader's own or another

denomination) potentially could represent leaders outside the local context,

qualitative data, and the specified leaders nominated as conversational partners below

suggest that these are likely regional leaders, or denominational authorities who

happen to be locally stationed – not denominational authorities from Lilongwe

(Malawi’s capital), or beyond – venturing to the remote villages that are represented

in the MRP. Barely more than a third of religious leaders report having contact with

leaders who are necessarily located outside of their own communities (i.e.,

73 missionaries, NGO officials or governmental representatives).

Most of the differences observed in Panel A are not particularly surprising –

e.g., congregations in decentralized denominations (such as the Church of Christ)

have lower levels of contact with denominational leaders; Pentecostal congregations

are more likely to have contact with missionaries; and New Mission Protestant groups

report higher levels of missionary support, due in large part to these organizations

having developed a presence in Malawi only relatively recently (within the past 50

years). There are two significant differences in this first panel worth special attention

however. First is that while Muslims are comparatively more isolated on virtually

every other measure presented in Table 4.2, a comparatively higher proportion of

Muslim leaders have met with clergy from other denominations. Mosques, and

Muslims, in our sample are predominantly located in Balaka, where villages are much

larger than the other two research locations. Because of these village-level

differences, Muslim leaders are simply more likely to be in direct contact with leaders

of other religious organizations. If compared only to other religious leaders within

Balaka district, this Muslim advantage disappears. Second, Roman Catholics are

substantially more connected to the leaders of NGOs. This is due in large part to the

combined facts that the Roman Catholic and CCAP8 denominations (co-)sponsor

several of the dominant NGOs in Malawi and that they represent two of the three

74 largest single denominations in Malawi.9

Of particular importance in Table 4.2 is that roughly one fourth of the

congregations report never having been visited by outside denominational authorities

or missionaries (labeled "religiously isolated"). While the congregational leaders are

engaged with religious leaders from their denominational hierarchies (though the

degree of that engagement will be questioned below), this translates relatively

infrequently to their denominations initiating contact with the congregation itself.

Again, on this measure, Muslim leaders report their ROs to be substantially more

isolated than other religious leaders. In describing this disconnect between local

religious organizations and outside influence, one CCAP elder responds to a question

of whether his congregation has ever received support from people outside the

church:

Outside our church? Ah! Ah! [laughs] No! [Never before?] No. Never.

Congregational Co-Participation

Table 4.3 summarizes leaders’ reports of their congregations’ involvement

with other congregations in co-sponsored programs and shared services, fellowships

or revivals. Roughly two-fifths of all religious leaders report that their congregation

has participated in services or programs with other congregations in the previous

year. Muslims and New Mission Protestants are less likely, while Mission Protestants

75 are more likely to report involvement in such shared participation.10 Church of Christ

and Jehovah's Witness congregations account for most of the New Mission Protestant

"disadvantage" on this particular variable, which may be explained, in part, by these

organizations embattled histories within Malawi, which is especially well-

documented for Jehovah's Witnesses (Jubber 1977). As one Church of Christ pastor

explained why his congregation is not involved in such "fellowships":

It is different for us to get together because of differences in our teaching. It would be like we are condemning them…We must follow our way of preaching. If we came together, we would be indulging in fabricating rules without consulting the Bible. It would be like letting our members temporarily remove their beliefs as easily as you would a chain around your neck.

While there are substantial variations also in the numbers of congregations with

whom a congregation is involved in such co-participation, a comparison of the last

line of Panel 1 (showing significant differences when all congregations are included)

and the last line of Panel 2 (showing no significant differences when limited to those

who have at least one such tie) suggests that this is largely a matter of whether

congregations do so at all, and not reflective of the degree of such involvement.11

[Insert Table 4.3 about here]

In the bottom Panel of Table 4.3, I present a comparison of the reporting

congregation’s denomination to the denomination of those congregations with whom

they co-participate. There are few congregations who only co-participate with others

of their same denomination. In the rural context of this study there are no villages that

76 can support multiple congregations from the same denomination. Any co-

participation between two congregations of the same denomination thus necessarily

reflects somewhat intentional efforts by one of the congregations to move beyond

their local context. Therefore, these same-denomination co-participations could

potentially reflect embededness within stronger hierarchical denominations, or better

coordination within a single denomination. However, this possibility is largely

undermined by the fact that the two groups who are substantially more likely to report

this within-group limitation, Pentecostals and New Mission Protestants,12 are the two

religious traditions whose denominations are most likely to lack formal

denominational hierarchy (e.g. Church of Christ, which is explicitly congregationally

organized). This is therefore again probably better explained by the somewhat

embattled positions of these newer denominations within the religious landscape, than

it is of intentional exclusivity.

Conversely, I also calculate a measure representing those congregations who

only co-participate with congregations from denominations different from their own.

Roughly half of all congregations who report any co-participation reflect this pattern.

In contrast to the above mention that same-denomination coparticipation reflects

moving outside of a congregation's local context for such partnering, this measure is

likely a proxy for congregations whose co-participation(s) is(are) focused locally.

Roman Catholic and Mission Protestant congregations (the latter difference is again

77 driven almost entirely by Baptist congregations) are more likely to report locally-

focused co-participation. As one Roman Catholic priest described this practice:

Whenever we are involved in anything – whether a funeral or any activity – if we are really caring about others, we must inform others what is happening with us. And if those others have really strong love they come.

Doctrinal Discussion Partners

While U.S. congregational leaders generally have some form of religious

training, secondary education is rare, with approximately 29 percent of MRP

respondents having attended school past primary school (8 years); post-secondary

education is rarer still, with less than six percent of MRP respondents (N=10) having

attended any college or seminary education. Approximately two-thirds do report

having some additional religious training, but the vast majority of those described are

short-term (e.g., less than a week) bible studies or AIDS training seminars. As such,

religious leaders’ formal and informal relationships likely contribute substantially to

the form that their religious organizations take, and the content discussed in its

services. Table 4.4 presents whether MRP respondents discuss doctrinal issues with

leaders of a series of organizational types (Panel A), and with how many of each type

of leader they have such discussions (Panel B).

[Insert Table 4.4 about here]

While the vast majority (86%) of religious leaders consult some other

individuals about doctrinal related issues. Two-thirds of MRP respondents consult

other religious leaders about such topics (not shown, combines rows 1 and 2).

78 Among the various religious traditions, only Muslims are substantially different on

this measure with only about half reporting discussing doctrine with anyone, and 43

percent consulting other religious leaders. Slightly less than half of these leaders

report covering such topics with leaders from their denomination, while nearly two-

thirds rely on other congregational leaders. When investigating how many of each

type of conversational partners religious leaders report, other congregational leaders

and local villagers (i.e., not leaders of any religious organization) account for the

largest number of such partners, 2.3 and 2.6 respectively among those who have at

least one such partner. MRP respondents are substantially less likely to have doctrinal

related conversations with denominational leaders (p<0.01), and when they do so,

have them with substantially fewer such leaders (p<0.001). 13 Similar discussions

with NGO leaders are even less common still.

Panel C of Table 4.4 presents data for whether, and how many other religious

leaders MRP respondents report having regular interactions apart from doctrinal

discussions or formal (e.g., planning co-participation) relationships. This provides

additional evidence for the importance of local religious leaders as support to one

another, above and beyond their potential contributions to explicitly religious topics.

AIDS Discussion Partners

Finally, Table 4.5 presents the frequency and number of conversation partners

for conversations particularly pertaining to HIV/AIDS. The vast majority (72%) of

MRP congregational leaders are also engaging leaders of other organizations about

HIV-related topics (60% if limited only to other religious leaders). Again, Muslim

leaders are substantially less likely to engage in such discussions, across all alter-

79 types, and have fewer such partners overall, though in this case, the numeric

difference in this case is a difference in kind, not degree.

[Insert Table 4.5 about here]

As is the case with doctrinal discussion partners, for discussing topics related

to HIV/AIDS MRP congregational leaders are more likely to turn to other

congregational leaders than they are to denominational leaders (p<0.05), and when

they do so, incorporate more congregational leaders in such discussions than they do

denominational leaders (p<0.01). Again, NGO leaders are the alters to whom they are

least likely to turn. Unlike the doctrinal discussions described above however, other

local villagers (not leaders of any of these organizations) are the most likely

nominated discussion partners (p<0.05, compared to congregation leaders - the next

highest), and substantially more of them are nominated than any other alter types

included in this table (p<0.01, compared to congregation leaders - the next highest).

Estimating Robustness of Denominational Differences

The differences of primary interest in this chapter are those between ties to

congregational and denominational leaders, however, the various differences between

denominations in their likelihood to report particular tie types, observed in the

previous four tables, are also informative. To examine whether those differences

remain when controlling for other factors, I also calculated a series of logistic

regressions predicting the likelihood of a leader reporting having any of each type of

tie. In these models, while the focus is on religious tradition, I also control for the

district and the congregation leader’s comparative evaluation of the HIV problem in

their congregation compared to the rest of their village. I also estimated these models

80 controlling for the size of the congregation, tenure of the leader, and whether the

leader would identify their congregation as supporting “born again” beliefs.14 Because

of the limited number of cases in these models, I only present those that had a

significant direct effect or change the effects for the religious tradition variables.

[Insert Table 4.6 about here]

Table 4.6 presents the results for denominational conversation partners.

Largely, the same patterns demonstrated in the descriptive tables above remain when

controlling for other factors as well. Additionally, beyond what can be seen in the

table, Muslims report fewer congregational leader ties and “other villager” ties than

Pentecostal or new mission Protestant leaders, and fewer denominational leader ties

than AIC or mission Protestant leaders. I also estimated these models as a series of

OLS regressions predicting the number of such ties. As with the models presented

here, the descriptive patterns presented in Table 4.4 are not substantially changed.

[Insert Table 4.7 about here]

Table 4.7 presents the same information for AIDS-discussion partners. This

table presents a slightly different result than Table 4.6 in that the only significant

difference that remains is for Muslim leaders, who are substantially less likely than

Roman Catholic leaders to discuss HIV-related topics with denominational

authorities. In comparisons not shown here, they are also less likely to report such

denominational ties than all of the other religious categories. They also report fewer

congregation leader ties than new mission Protestants and Pentecostals, and fewer

“other villager” ties than mission protestant leaders. All of the relationships presented

in the descriptive tables above remain, suggesting that other factors do not appear to

81 alter the observed differences, and in fact, very few other factors are themselves

significant predictors of such ties. Those leaders who evaluate their congregation’s

problem to be more like that of their surrounding community are more likely to name

other congregation leaders as important doctrinal discussion partners. Leaders in

Rumphi are substantially less likely to nominate virtually every type of tie, which is

not surprising given the smaller villages in Rumphi. What is surprising is that they are

no less likely to nominate denominational leaders among their important doctrinal

discussion partners, largely reflective of their unimportance across all settings.

Finally, religious leaders from Mchinji have substantially greater likelihood of

interactions with NGO leaders; though this is likely simply a matter of proximity,

given that Mchinji is much closer to Lilongwe – Malawi’s capital, and the

headquarters of most NGOs.

Discussion and Conclusion

Overall, the pattern presented here demonstrates that MRP congregation

leaders are likely to focus their relationships - and those of their religious

organizations - locally. Particularly relevant for this dissertation is that this local

clustering of networks is especially strong when we focus on the relationships that

respondents report contribute to their development of HIV-related discourse. Susan

Watkins (2004) (among others, see also Gerland 2005; Poulin 2006), demonstrates

that rural Malawians’ AIDS-related and family planning beliefs and behaviors are

substantially influenced by discussions that take place alongside the activities of daily

life (e.g., collecting water from the local borehole). Rural Malawian religious leaders

appear to adopt a remarkably similar approach in the relationships that shape the

82 governance of their religious organizations - especially related to how they develop

HIV-targeted information. The quantitative comparisons presented here demonstrate

that these particular relationships are frequently limited to local partners. The

qualitative accounts suggest that these type of conversations are as likely (if not

substantially more so) to take place with friends alongside daily activities - like

walking the weekly trip to the trading center - as they are to occur in training

seminars or through formal relational or organizational channels.

A revealing pattern across these tables is that Roman Catholics are the least

likely to have interactions with other (Table 4.2, Panel 1), or even their own

denominational authorities (Panel 2), the most likely to focus their co-participation

locally (Table 4.3, Panel 2), and report the fewest denominational authority doctrinal

discussion partners (Table 4.4). Catholicism is one of the most hierarchically-

organized of the religious organizations represented in the MRP sample; yet religious

hierarchy appears to have the least impact on these congregations. Religious leaders'

HIV-related messages are largely constructed in the local context. These observations

suggest it would be a mistake to continue to assume that congregations in rural

Malawi are deeply embedded in strong hierarchical religious organizations. In the

next chapter, I elaborate how this relational structure contributes to the HIV-relevant

messages of congregational leaders. I demonstrate that this relational distance

between congregational leaders and their denominational authorities lends itself to

local religious leaders’ tactics for engaging the epidemic being more reflective of

their immediate context, and producing more suitable responses.

83 While the vast majority of MRP congregational leaders report having some

contact with the national (or regional) leaders of their denomination, they are much

more embedded in locally-clustered relationships. Denominational presence is

limited, at best, in the local congregation. Congregation leaders are much more likely

to turn to other people in their community - whether religious leaders of other

traditions, members of their own congregation, or simply other villagers who they

know intimately - than they are to outside leaders. This local preference exists for

specifically religious conversations, but is exacerbated even further for conversations

about HIV/AIDS.

84

A - Pure Hierarchy B - Hierarchy with Local Short-cuts

C - Leader D - Local Clustering

Figure 4.1 Potential Denominational Leadership Relationship Structures

85

Umbrella Organization Districts Region Population (1998)a Action Aid Malawi Chitipa North 126,799 Chiradzulu South 236,050 Mulanje South 428,322 Mwanza South 138,015 Phalombe South 231,990 Thyolo South 458,976 Zomba South 546,661 (Total = 2,166,813 ) Canadian Physicians for Aid and Karonga North 194,572 Relief (CPAR) Likoma North 8,074 North 164,761 Rumphi North 128,360 (Total = 495,767 ) Plan International Malawi Central 480,659 Mzimba North 610,994 (Total = 1,091,653) Save the Children – USA Balaka South 253,098 Blantyre South 809,397 Lilongwe Central 1,346,360 Mangochi South 610,239 Nkhotakhota Central 229,460 Salima Central 248,214 (Total =3,496,768 ) World Vision International Chikwawa South 356.682 Dedza Central 486,682 Dowa Central 411,387 Machinga South 369,614 Mchinji Central 324,941 Nsanje South 194,924 Ntcheu Central 370,757 Ntchisi Central 167,880 (Total =2,682,867 )

NOTES – The bold-italicized districts in are those in the MDICP & MRP samples. a Source –(NSO 2006).

Table 4.1. HIV-Umbrella Organizations by District – Malawi, 2005

86 RC MP Pent AIC Muslim New MPTotal In the past year have you met with… Clergy from another denomination 71 83 77 72 91 f 65 e 76 Authorities from another denomination 62 b 88 a,f 81 74 68 67 b 75 Missionaries 14 b,c,f 38 a 50 a,d 21 c 36 41 a 34* Representatives from an NGO 50 c,d,e 54 c,d,e 22 a,b 24 a,b 18 a,b 33 34** Government leaders 29 51 38 42 32 39 40

Has your congregation ever been visited by… Denominational authorities 57 b,d,e 83 a,e,f 78 e,f 83 a,e,f 23 a,b,c,d 42 b,c,d 65** Government officials 19 23 23 34 f 13 14 d 22 Missionaries 29 36 53 e 34 18 c 41 37

89 Religiously Isolated g 33 e 15 e 19 e 16 e 68 a,b,c,d,f 32 e 27**

Has your congregation ever been directly helped by… NGO programs 5 18 17 13 14 9 13 Mission Work 24 12 f 27 15 f 9f 51 b,d,e 24** Correlation - Mission visit & help 0.38 0.45* 0.31 0.45* 0.26 0.60** 0.43* Correlation - NGO visit & help 0.24 0.03 0.22 0.15 -0.20 0.00 0.07

N 21 40 32 38 22 34 187 NOTES: Numbers presented are column percentages, except where noted otherwise. * p<0.05, ** p<0.01 (χ2 Distribution, across the specified row) Letters denote significant differences (p<0.05) from: a Roman Catholic, b Mission Protestant, c Pentecostal, d African Independent, e Muslim, f New Mission Protestant g Religiously Isolated congregations are those that have never been visited by any “outside” religious leaders (denominational authorities or missionaries)

Table 4.2 Organizational Interconnections by Religious Tradition

87 RC MP Pent AIC Muslim New MP Total

All Congregations Co-participation in 60 e,f 67 c,d,e,f 41 f 41 b,f 18 a,b 18 a,b,c,d 41** programs or services with other congregations # Other Congregations g 2.7 c,f 2.4 c,f 1.3 a,b 1.9 f 1.6 0.6 a,b,d 1.7* (2.4) (1.9) (1.6) (2.9) (1.7) (1.4) (2.2) N=187

Congregations that Co-Participate with others Alter Congregations’ Denominational Affiliation All same as ‘ego’ 8 c,f 19 c 46 a,b 27 25 50 a 26* Mixed 8 12 31 33 50 0 20 All different from ‘ego’ 83 c,d,e 69 c 23 a,b 40 a 25 a 50 54 # Other Congregations g 3.8 2.7 2.5 3.9 2.8 3.0 3.1 (1.9) (1.8) (1.5) (3.0) (1.3) (1.7) (2.1) N=76 * p<0.05, ** p<0.01 (χ2 Distribution, across the specified row)

NOTES: Numbers presented are column percentages, except where noted otherwise. (may not sum to 100, due to rounding). Letters denote significant differences (p<0.05) from: a Roman Catholic, b Mission Protestant, c Pentecostal, d African Independent, e Muslim, f New Mission Protestant g Numbers presented are means and (standard deviations).

Table 4.3 Congregational Co-Participation with Other Religious Organizations

88 RC MP Pent AIC Muslim New MP Total Any 86 e 82 c,d,e 97 b,e 97 b,e 52 a,b,c,d,f 91 e 86 ** Congregational Leaders 38 c,f 60 75 a,f 63 43 c,f 74 a,e 61 * Denominational Leaders 29 53 e 47 53 e 25 b,d 50 45 NGO Officials 14 25 9 13 10 15 15 Other Villagers 29 c,d,f 50 f 69 a,e 66 a,e 30 c,d,f 76 a,b,e 57 ** Other Congregational Leaders N 0.6 b,c,e 1.8 a 1.5 a 1.2 e 1.0 1.9 a,d 1.4 (0.9) (2.0) (1.3) (1.3) (1.7) (1.6) (1.6) N (>0) g 1.5 b,f 3.0 a,c,d 2.0 b 1.9 b 2.4 2.6 a 2.3 (0.8) (1.7) (1.0) (1.2) (1.7) (1.3) (1.4) Denominational Leaders N 0.4 d,f 1.2 e 1.0 e 1.1 a,e 0.3 b,c,d,f 1.1 a,e 1.0 (0.8) (1.7) (1.4) (1.4) (0.4) (1.4) (1.4) N (>0) 1.5 2.3 2.2 2.1 e 1.0 d,f 2.2 e 2.1 (0.8) (1.8) (1.4) (1.2) (0.0) (1.1) (1.3) Officials from Other Non-Governmental Organizations N 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 (0.7) (1.3) (0.6) (0.9) (0.6) (0.5) (0.9) N (>0) 1.7 2.4 1.7 2.2 2.0 1.4 2.0 (1.2) (1.7) (1.2) (1.3) (0.0) (0.5) (1.3) Other Individuals (Local Villagers) N 0.6 c,d,f 1.2 f 1.9 a,e 1.6 a,e 0.8 c,d,f 2.4 a,b,e 1.5 (1.0) (1.6) (1.7) (1.6) (1.3) (2.1) (1.7) N (>0) 2.0 2.5 2.7 2.4 2.5 3.1 2.6 (0.6) (1.4) (1.3) (1.4) (1.0) (1.8) (1.5) Religious Leader Friends Any 76 e 70 e 81 e 84 e 38 a,b,c,d,f 71 e 72 ** N 1.9 e 1.6 e 1.9 e 2.3 e 0.6 a,b,c,d,f 1.7 e 1.7 (1.5) (1.4) (1.5) (1.6) (0.9) (1.4) (1.5) N (>0) 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.7 e 1.6 d 2.4 2.4 (1.2) (1.1) (1.3) (1.4) (0.8) (1.1) (1.2) * p<0.05, ** p<0.01 (χ2 Distribution, across the specified row) NOTES: Numbers in Panel A (and Panel C, row 1) are column percentages (may not sum to 100, due to rounding). Numbers in Panel B (and Panel C, rows 2 and 3) are means and (standard deviations). Letters denote significant differences (p<0.05) from: a Roman Catholic, b Mission Protestant, c Pentecostal, d African Independent, e Muslim, f New Mission Protestant g N (>0) denotes calculations using only those who have at least one such discussion partner.

Table 4.4 Leaders’ Doctrinal Conversation Partners Outside the Congregation

89

RC MP Pent AIC Muslim New MP Total Any 71 70 81 e 69 45 c,f 85 e 72* Congregational Leaders 48 55 e 59 e 56 e 23 b,c,d,f 67 e 53* Denominational Leaders 52 e 55 e 34 50 e 13 a,b,d,f 53 e 44* NGO Officials 33 e 33 e 19 22 5 a,b 22 22 Other Villagers 57 e 65 e 63 e 61 e 27 a,b,c,d,f 78 e 61* Other Congregational Leaders N 1.1 e 1.5 e 1.0 e,f 1.1 e 0.4 a,b,c,d,f 1.7 c,e 1.2 (1.4) (1.6) (1.1) (1.3) (0.9) (1.4) (1.4) N (>0) g 2.4 2.7 c 1.7 b,f 2.0 1.8 2.5 c 2.2 (1.0) (1.3) (0.8) (1.1) (1.1) (1.0) (1.1) Denominational Leaders N 1.0 e 1.1 c,e 0.6 b,d,e 1.2 c,e 0.1 a,b,c,d,f 1.2 e 0.9 (1.2) (1.2) (0.9) (1.4) (0.4) (1.5) (1.2) N (>0) 2.0 e 2.0 1.6 2.3 1.0 a 2.2 2.0 (0.8) (1.0) (0.8) (1.1) (0.0) (1.4) (1.1) Officials from Other Non-Governmental Organizations N 0.7 e 0.5 e 0.3 0.4 0.0 a,b 0.3 0.4 (1.0) (0.8) (0.6) (1.0) (0.2) (0.7) (0.8) N (>0) 2.0 1.6 1.3 2.0 1.0 1.4 1.7 (0.6) (0.7) (0.8) (1.1) (0.0) (0.8) (0.8) Other Individuals (Local Villagers) N 1.6 1.5 2.1 e 1.6 0.8 c,f 2.3 e 1.7 (1.9) (1.4) (2.2) (1.5) (1.5) (1.9) (1.8) N (>0) 2.8 2.3 c 3.3 b 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.7 (1.8) (1.0) (1.8) (1.1) (1.7) (1.6) (1.5) * p<0.05, ** p<0.01 (χ2 Distribution, across the specified row) NOTES: Numbers in Panel A are column percentages (may not sum to 100, due to rounding). Numbers in Panel B are means and (standard deviations). Letters denote significant differences (p<0.05) from: a Roman Catholic, b Mission Protestant, c Pentecostal, d African Independent, e Muslim, f New Mission Protestant g N (>0) denotes calculations using only those who have at least one such discussion partner.

Table 4.5 Leaders’ AIDS Conversation Partners Outside the Congregation

90

Congregational Denominational NGO Other Villagers Muslim a 0.97 0.59 1.46 0.95 (0.69) (0.47) (1.53) (0.72) AIC a 3.45* 3.21 1.01 5.52** (2.10) (1.97) (0.84) (3.46) Pentecostal a 6.72** 2.28 1.02 6.79** (4.47) (1.44) (0.94) (4.46) Mission Protestant a 3.00 3.05 2.7 2.87 (1.78) (1.84) (2.06) (1.73) New MP a 5.70** 2.43 1.26 9.17** (3.68) (1.51) (1.04) (6.08) Balaka a 1.01 1.00 0.26* 0.73 (0.48) (0.43) (0.15) (0.34) Rumphi a 0.38* 0.56 0.32* 0.42* (0.16) (0.23) (0.17) (0.18) AIDS problem worse 1.59 1.98 0.47 1.41 in village b (0.56) (0.69) (0.21) (0.50) AIDS problem same 5.95* 3.23 0.94 2.32 in congregation (5.17) (2.14) (0.81) (1.68) and village b Intercept 0.54 0.30* 0.43 0.44 -0.3 -0.17 -0.3 -0.25

-2 Log-likelihood -107.25 -114.56 -70.42 -108.14 χ2 23.22 16.54 14.09 26.67 Pseudo R2 0.10 0.07 0.09 0.11 N 179 178 178 178 ** p<0.01, * p<.05 NOTE: Numbers presented are odds-ratios and (standard errors). a Reference category is Roman Catholic. b Reference category is that the leader evaluates the HIV problem in their congregation to be worse than in the surrounding village.

Table 4.6 Logistic Regression Predicting Doctrinal Conversation Partners

91

Congregational Denominational NGO Other Villagers Muslim a 0.43 0.14* 0.19 0.42 (0.31) (0.11) (0.22) (0.29) AIC a 1.27 0.83 0.65 1.47 (0.74) (0.48) (0.42) (0.86) Pentecostal a 1.64 0.43 0.56 1.41 (0.98) (0.26) (0.39) (0.85) Mission Protestant a 1.39 1.05 1.32 1.66 (0.79) (0.59) (0.81) (0.96) New MP a 2.00 0.88 0.67 2.83 (1.20) (0.52) (0.44) (1.80) Balaka a 0.53 1.10 0.39 0.73 (0.23) (0.47) (0.20) (0.32) Rumphi a 0.63 0.97 0.71 1.09 (0.26) (0.38) (0.31) (0.46) AIDS problem worse 1.01 1.09 1.12 0.67 in village b (0.35) (0.38) (0.45) (0.24) AIDS problem same 0.73 1.02 1.30 0.51 in congregation (0.47) (0.65) (0.98) (0.34) and village b Intercept 1.40 1.14 0.57 1.72 (0.74) (0.60) (0.33) (0.93)

-2 Log-likelihood -115.94 -114.48 -89.75 -109.3 χ2 12.21 13.57 11.58 15.27 Pseudo R2 0.05 0.06 0.06 0.07 N 177 176 176 176 * p<0.05 NOTE: Numbers presented are odds-ratios and (standard errors). a Reference category is Roman Catholic. b Reference category is that the leader evaluates the HIV problem in their congregation to be worse than in the surrounding village.

Table 4.7 Logistic Regression Predicting AIDS Conversation Partners

92 NOTES

1 While the cited study focuses on estimates of relational structure and maps of relational space per se, the content of those relationships and projections of beliefs, particularly within groups of which a respondent is a member, are ready extensions of such findings (Horowitz 1983).

2 Friedkin continues these statements to point out the reasoning behind the respectively being that “invisible opinions cannot be directly influential” and “irrelevant or valueless opinions cannot directly influence i” (Friedkin 1998: 68).

3 Other important measures of intraorganizational influence are hierarchical authority and resource control (Astley 1984). I will focus on the former of these in the next chapter, and contend that the latter is largely beyond the scope of this project.

4 For the complete networks section of the MRP survey, see Appendix B.

5 That these leaders are located in rural settings is particularly relevant to several of the points elaborated later in this chapter. For example, in the United States, governmental or NGO leaders could as readily be found in virtually any contexts. In the rural settings at the center of this study, local religious organizations are generally the only organizations present in these settings (Green 2003), and representatives from other organizational types are regularly cast as outside influences, because of the very fact that they are not proximally located (Watkins and 2000).

6 This grouping of the discussion into reduced categories both serves to preserve anonymity of the responses provided by individual respondents, and to simplify the presentation of a vast amount of information.

7 It is for this reason that I include most of the observed information, rather than selecting particular variables, and building models in step-wise fashion. I will highlight the cases where the specific differences do represent a potentially salient pattern.

8 Church of Central Africa Presbyterian (CCAP) is the single largest of the Mission Protestant denominations.

9 The third large single denomination is . The comparatively higher involvement in meetings with NGO leaders, for Roman Catholic and CCAP leaders in our sample, does not however translate into any comparative advantages in receiving aide from these organizations (see Panel 3).

10 The New Mission Protestant disadvantage on this variable is driven largely by Jehovah’s Witnesses and Church of Christ congregations (who each report no such partnerships), while the Mission Protestant advantage is driven largely (who virtually universally, 92%, report such partnerships). The Baptist advantage on this variable may derive in part from the importance of the Providence Industrial Mission (a Baptist sponsored organization) in Malawi’s gaining independence, and related celebrations of those events (on top of other “religiously themed” co-participation). The founder of PIM in Malawi, John Chilembwe, was an early revolutionary pressing for Malawian independence,

93

which is now honored in part with the inclusion of his picture on the front of all denominations of Malawian kwacha banknotes.

11 As can be seen in Appendix B, the number of network ties that respondents could nominate was capped at seven, however interviewers were instructed to record additional responses if they were provided. There is substantial debate within existing network literature about the ways such caps can bias estimates of network size (Erickson 1983; Erickson 1981; Granovetter 1977; Marsden 1990; Marsden 2003; Wasserman 1994). In MRP data, however, only 1 respondent exhausted the 7 slots available on the survey, suggesting that these networks are artificially truncated by the instrument, or inflated to fill the available options.

12 Further, because of the vast number of Pentecostal denominations, the “same- denomination” ties for Pentecostal congregations were actually more liberally coded than other categories, including all Pentecostals as same-denominational alters, rather than selecting only on the specific denomination of the respondent’s congregation. This should not skew the information presented in any particular direction since Pentecostal congregations have only very recently started finding their way into the rural settings of the MRP sample. Therefore, like other denominations, there are also no villages with multiple Pentecostal congregations, even with this more liberal coding of denominational matches.

13 The difference between whether leaders engage congregational and denominational leaders is not significant, though in he same direction, for Roman Catholic or Mission Protestant congregation leaders. Similarly, the difference in number of doctrinal conversation partners is also insignificant when looking only at Roman Catholic or AIC congregation leaders.

14 Being “born again” has been the focus of several previous articles on religion and HIV in Malawi, suggesting a unique identity among individuals who self-identify or congregations that promote such beliefs (Watkins 2004). In these models, it only had an impact on the number of congregational leaders reported as connections apart from or doctrinal discussion partners – positively predicting such ties. This variable suggests that “born- again” leaders therefore have more informal interaction with other religious leaders that is not necessarily specifically religious in nature, but also not specifically tied to HIV.

94

CHAPTER 5

WHAT’S LILONGWE GOT TO DO WITH IT?

COMPARING RELIGIOUS HIV DISCOURSE BETWEEN

DENOMINATIONAL AND CONGREGATIONAL LEADERS

In this chapter, I investigate how readily the HIV-prevention strategies

described by local congregation leaders in the sample villages of the Malawi

Diffusion and Ideational Change Project match the strategies described by national

level leaders of the particular religious organizations within which they are

embedded. I draw on qualitative interviews (2005) and survey data (2005-06) from

congregation leaders in the Malawi Religion Project, and qualitative interviews

(2005-06) with the national leaders of the denominations represented in that

sample. Building on the previous chapter's finding of locally clustered networks, I

examine how readily this translates into (in-)consistent HIV-related messages

across varying levels of religious leadership. I pay particular attention to the

differences that exist between formal and informal recommendations.

95 Background

The existing scholarly criticism of religious organizations’ involvement in

HIV-intervention efforts in SSA often treats religious organizations as monolithic

structures.1 Teachings of religious traditions are frequently treated as though they

contain high, if not complete internal consistency within any given denomination,

and sometimes even within a religious perspective as a whole (e.g., Christianity or

Islam). The edicts of a particular organization are commonly presumed to funnel

directly from the top position in the organization to each of the leaders at other

levels in the organization – if not to the individual adherents themselves. Perhaps

the most obvious example of the attention devoted religious organizations in

popular criticisms and the scholarly literature focuses on how (un-)willing they are

to prescribe condom use, though empirical support for this claim is limited.

The ABC’s of HIV prevention is a widespread effort suggesting that the

best way for an individual to protect themselves from HIV is to Abstain from sex

before marriage, Be faithful to one partner in marriage, and use a Condom if A&B

fail (Singh 2003). The ’s (and several other denominations)

opposition to proscribing condom use is well described, though not similarly well

investigated. Increasingly, some organizations have recommended condom usage

in particular instances, such as within marriages for the protection of a non-

infected partner from their infected spouse, or as a means of family planning in

general, which also has implications for STD prevention. What is unclear however

96 is how well these (and other) proscriptions translate from the top levels of the

organization to the local level congregations, and subsequently to members.2

Caldwell and colleagues express a common perspective, which is also

frequently universally attributed to religious leaders, claiming that “[HIV] is a

punishment, in the words of the evangelical preachers, for fornication and adultery,

and more generally for disobeying the instructions of the holy books” (Caldwell,

Orubuloye, and Caldwell 1999). This view ascribing a “punishment” perspective

of HIV among religious leaders is frequently assumed to limit religious leaders’

contributions to HIV-prevention and care efforts. Recent evidence demonstrates

that this assumption is not accurate, with religious leaders frequently engaging

HIV-intervention strategies (Trinitapoli 2006b; Parry 2003). Each of these popular

criticisms infers a universal view of the way HIV is addressed within single

denominations (and sometimes even within religions as wholes). In this chapter, I

examine as an empirical question the consistency within denominations, something

to date that has largely been absent from the dialogue.

While financial donations are not the focus of this chapter, those models

are similarly presently based on a presumed hierocratic organizational structure.

The extension of findings in the level of agreement in information across religious

organizations, can potentially also contribute some suggestions to the effectiveness

of the existing financial models as well. These extensions, which obviously will

have to be more tempered than will discussion of the topic directly addressed here

will be considered further in the discussion following the analyses.

97 Central Questions for the Chapter

The main aim of this paper is therefore to describe the similarities and

differences that exist in several levels of HIV-related discourse between national

and local religious leaders. With this investigation, I then evaluate whether the

hierocratic organizational form - presumed in intervention strategies, the

congregational form - common in recent U.S. sociology of religion, or potentially

some other form, more readily matches the observed differences. While the

investigation of Malawian religious organizations’ treatment of AIDS-intervention

strategies here will provide several useful insights into the organizational structure

of denominations there, it is important however to keep in mind that this is one

relatively narrow aspect of the application of that organizational structure.

Therefore, in the discussion concluding this chapter, I will also consider how

readily the insights gained in these two chapters can be extended to religious

organizational structure more generally in Malawi. Additionally, I will also

hypothesize about how readily the hierocratic or congregational models may

extend to religious organizations in the rest of SSA, given that the existing

literature on the topic focuses almost exclusively on the United States.

Expectations

To date, SNA remains a largely positivistic pursuit, interested in explaining

the underlying social structure supporting particular outcomes. As such, data

collection and methodological toolkits used to gather and analyze social network

data are built to detect and analyze ties that somehow objectively exist. This is

98 appropriate for the vast majority of the topics studied with SNA - kinship patterns

can be genealogically established (White 1963); the diffusion of particular

innovations start in and spread from particular locations (Coleman and Katz 1966);

coauthorship entails multiple authors claiming ownership of a particular idea

(Moody 2004); trade involves the exchange of particular goods between two

parties (Keister 2001); information gathering requires a source and receiver

(Borgatti 2003); contracting an STD requires fluid exchange between infected and

uninfected individuals (Morris 1993).This list could go on.

Social influence has recently become a pertinent topic of interest in SNA

(Friedkin 1998), and in many approaches has adopted the very same techniques

available in other social network research. The approach gathers information on

ties that purportedly objectively exist and infers influence from those exchanges or

reported relationships. Influence however, like power or friendship, is not

something that one person has and passes to another, in the same was as applies to

body fluids or information. Similarly a conversation is not merely the coordinated

interlacing of two people alternately speaking and listening. I contend that many of

the religious leader's suggested HIV-prevention strategies mentioned in this

chapter are best conceived of as part of an ongoing conversation about HIV. Recall

the Baptist Pastor's account of HIV quoted in the introduction:

“AIDS is becoming like a common song that people are talking over whenever they meet with one another.” (Baptist Pastor, Balaka).

99 Conceptualizing, and therefore analyzing influence, friendship, or a conversation

should incorporate the ways that these sorts of relationships are different from

those that are the focus of other types of network ties (Mische and White 1998).

Turning to the HIV discourse presented in this chapter, HIV conversations

take place with high regularity in rural Malawi, given its high prevalence (Watkins

2004). These conversations are co-generated events that take place between two

(or more) individuals and produce content that belongs to neither of its participants

alone. As demonstrated in the previous chapter, local congregation leaders'

involvement in that conversation takes place largely at the local level. The vast

majority of the conversations that they take place in are therefore not with

denominational leaders, or other outside authorities, but rather with other religious

leaders, and villagers from their surrounding community.

Therefore, given the denominational leaders low hierarchical authority,

lack of resource control, and peripheral position in their religious networks (see

Chapter 4), congregation leaders likely devalue the salience of those

denominational leaders’ recommendations. Rural Malawian congregation leaders

construct and disseminate their HIV-related messages in a locally clustered

environment, which largely excludes national religious leaders' voices from the

conversation. This is not because those voices are devalued, but because they

simply aren't present. Therefore, their voiced opinions about HIV are much more

likely to reflect the ongoing conversation in their community with those they see

on a regular basis. Given this perspective, we should expect the alters with whom

these opinions should agree would be the other individuals engaged in that

100 conversation - other members of their local villages, their neighbors and family

members - not denominational authorities.

This Chapter’s Approach

In this paper, I therefore compare three types of HIV-related messages

between local congregation leaders and the national leaders of their corresponding

denominations to examine how readily the presumed hierocratic structure of

religious organizations fits the empirical reality. First I examine the leaders’

evaluation of the scope of HIV as a problem, in their community, Malawi and SSA

as a whole and within their particular religious organization. Next, I address their

respective evaluation of the problem, particularly as it relates to their religious

organization. In this section I especially draw on their diagnoses of the source of

the problem in their religious organization, and the discussion surrounding their

responses to questions evaluating whether, for those infected, AIDS is a deserved

consequence of their behaviors - addressing the statement quoted above from

Caldwell and colleagues. Third, I describe the leaders prescribed prevention

strategies for people in their congregation, focusing in part on their willingness to

incorporate condom usage into those strategies. For each of these three topics, I

examine the similarities and discrepancies in the way that these three topics cluster

within and across denominations.

For these comparisons, I take an approach that builds on concordance

studies - an important stream of literature in SNA research. In these studies,

researchers examine differing reports of a single social relationship as an estimate

101 of reliability of the existence of the named relationship. Previous studies find a

wide range of concordance estimates (Bell, Montoya, and Atkinson 2000; Bernard

and Killworth 1977; Killworth and Bernard 1976; Marsden 1990), particularly

noting that constraining the time window about which respondents are reporting

(adams and Moody 2007; Brewer et al. 2006), and focusing on more intimate

relationships (e.g., sexual partners as opposed to social acquaintances) produce

higher levels of consistency across multiple reports of the same relationship

(adams and Moody 2007; Bell et al. 2000). While most of these studies focus on

(dis-)agreement in reporting of the existence (or absence) of a particular

relationship, this approach can also be readily adapted to make comparisons of the

content of relationships, when both parties agree the relationship exists (e.g.,

shared identification within a single denomination).

Estimating Religious Organizational Structure

By leaving the empirical validation of denominational structure, and

variations within them, outside of the scope of existing research, there are

numerous assumptions left unexamined empirically. In this chapter, by

investigating the level of congruence in HIV-related messages within and across

denominations between national and local leaders as described above, I address

several of the potential pitfalls in leaving these concerns out of previous research.

First, as described above is how readily denominations actually display the implied

levels of internal consistency. Secondly, and perhaps more relevant to this chapter,

I examine whether denominations are the relevant organizational form for religious

102 organizations in rural Malawi. Finally, while previous research frequently resorts

to religious explanations for inter-denominational differences described, with my

analyses here, I also demonstrate the importance of organizational structure in the

differences observed - both in combination with, and beyond the doctrinal

differences between denominations.

These concordance estimates, based on the predictions from the previous

chapter - of a lack of salience and importance of hierarchical authority - predict

that there should be low levels of agreement between congregational and

denominational religious leaders' HIV-discourse. High levels of agreement

between religious leaders across levels of leadership within denominations would

suggest that these relationships demonstrate the salience assumed in present

hierocratic religious models underpinning most of the existing intervention

strategies. If, however substantial differences are present between leaders within

single denominations, the inferred corresponding social distance between the

levels of leadership would provide additional support for a more congregationally-

based model of religious organizations in this context.

Data & Analytic Methods

In this chapter I draw on the MRP interviews with local congregational and

national denominational religious leaders to describe their (1) descriptions of the

scope of AIDS as a problem, (2) evaluation of the source of HIV-infections, and

(3) suggestions for HIV-prevention strategies. I focus mainly on the qualitative

interviews with each of these leaders, which were conducted in 2005-2006. Each

103 of the congregational leader (N=173) and national leader (N=48) in-depth

interviews was read and coded using ATLAS.ti software (Muhr 2004) searching

for a series of topics including, but not limited to, direct mentions of HIV/AIDS,

illness in general,3 discussions surrounding family planning decisions and sexual

practices – particularly their support for / opposition to the ABCs. Software such

as ATLAS.ti provides two distinct advantages that were helpful in this coding

process. First, it allows ready application of a range of codes to large quantities of

text, excerpts from which can then be organized, selected, and retrieved for

analysis (Barry 1998). Second, it eases the necessarily iterative nature of the

coding process as additional themes emerge with subsequent readings of the

interviews.

For each of the analytic sections below, I also present introductory

descriptions of congregation leaders’ responses to related MRP survey questions.

These descriptive statistics will be drawn from the full sample of religious

congregational leaders (N=194), while only those who were interviewed in 2005

(N=173) and responded to the qualitative component of the interview are included

in the primary analyses in this chapter.4 As in the previous chapter, I describe these

differences, largely based only on the (six category) collapsed religious tradition

variable used in this project, both to simplify the discussion, and to protect the

anonymity of MRP respondents. The specific analytic comparisons that underpin

these summarized comparisons, though, are based on the more specific

104 denominational identifications.

Previous work in this region demonstrates that religious leaders do actively

discuss the problem of HIV both formally and informally, have developed

strategies for prevention, and have engaged congregations’ responses to results of

HIV infections (such as care of people living with AIDS – PLWA – funerals, or

AIDS-orphan care) (Trinitapoli 2006b). The quantitative descriptions from the

survey questions will help to illuminate how readily congregation leaders differ on

some of the concepts addressed. I will then explore these in more detail in the

descriptions of their similarities and differences as compared to their

corresponding national leaders.

Scope of the HIV/AIDS Problem

Within Malawian religious organizations, leaders at all levels acknowledge

that the HIV epidemic in Malawi is a substantial problem facing the population of

the country. There is however some variation among leaders regarding how they

rank it among the most pressing problems facing the country, with national leaders

commonly elevating it higher on the list than local congregation leaders. Further,

there is also variation in the “face” these leaders put to the problem, particularly in

how distanced they estimate the problem to be from themselves. While there is

variation on each of these components both within and across levels of religious

leadership, national leaders are slightly more likely to elevate the overall

importance of the problem but downplay the scope of the problem within their

particular religious organization than are local-rural congregation leaders. National

105 leaders commonly describe the epidemic as one of the most pressing issues facing

the country as a whole, however distancing themselves from the problem more so

than do local religious leaders.

[Insert Table 5.1 about here]

To summarize some of the views expressed by congregational religious

leaders in the MRP sample, Table 5.1 presents MRP leaders’ responses to several

questions describing their perspective of the scope of the HIV epidemic in general,

in their community and in their congregation. In leaders’ evaluations of the scope

of HIV as a problem compared to others faced by the congregation, there is

substantial variation demonstrated in Table 5.1 by religious tradition (p < 0.01),

however these differences are differentially associated across the three MRP

research locations (p < 0.001), and the denominational differences become

insignificant if examined only within any single location.5 Together these facts

suggest that local religious leaders are less likely to describe the HIV epidemic as

the most pressing problem their denomination faces than are national leaders,

though this gap narrows with corresponding increases in prevalence that we

observe across the MDICP/MRP research locations (i.e., in Balaka where

prevalence is roughly twice what is found in Rumphi (Obare 2005), leaders are

more likely to express HIV as among their most pressing problems).

For national and local leaders, poverty is the problem most commonly

mentioned as the most pressing issue facing their religious organization. Where

(and whether) HIV subsequently falls in their rankings of these issues varies

106 slightly across leadership levels. With large portions of the interviews for both

leadership levels focused on issues surrounding HIV, perhaps most telling in this

respect is the unprompted mentions of HIV (before HIV was raised by the

interviewer). National leaders virtually unanimously mentioned HIV, unprompted,

as one of the most severe problems facing their religious organization.

The major challenge is poverty. That’s the biggest problem. Members cannot offer as we want them to offer…Once they see someone who looks like he has means they gravitate to them and say “We want this, we want that.” So it is a big big problem. That is the major problem. Then HIV and AIDS is

the second. (New Mission Protestant Denomination, National Leader)

While some congregation leaders focused exclusively on poverty and hunger,

others did bring up HIV.

The problems here exist because when the parish was founded, people were used to donations. Those who provided these things are no longer here. They have left the congregation in the hands of its members. People are being taught to be self-reliant. Because of this, we don’t have money, so we don’t have fuel in our cars to visit people. So, the problem is that we don’t have money here at our parish. (Roman Catholic, Congregational Leader)

Problems that we receive from church members and others are emergencies – like hunger and poverty. Also disease - some diseases are incurable.6 (Baptist, Congregational Leader)

Often times these mentions are coupled, with the resultant problems being

compounded, with HIV producing increased needs, and a lack of resources

leaving those needs unmet.

The problems which we are facing in our church of CCAP are shortage of food. So, when we heard that other churches

107 are donating food to their members, as we have heard the Pentecostal churches do. So when our members see these things they come to us and complain saying, “Why can’t our church do the same?” We try to explain to them saying donation comes out of free… Because of this deadly disease, orphans are increasing fast so in our church we have more children who are orphans whose parents died of AIDS. Now these children need help and assistance. If we meet these children, we do try to give them the little we have because we do not have much. (CCAP, Congregational Leader)

For both national and local leaders, once prompted about whether HIV is a

problem facing their congregation, virtually every leader agrees that it is. One of

the more telling differences between local and national level leaders in relation to

the scope of HIV is in the distancing of their particular religious organization from

the source of HIV. National leaders are more likely to frame the HIV problem as

one that their organization deals with because it is a general problem facing the

country as a whole, which they must therefore deal with. They are less likely to

discuss it directly as a problem found within their religious organization, such as

through acknowledging that their members are actually contracting the disease.

This distancing is much less common among local congregational leaders (see

question 3 in Table 5.1). This comes through more clearly in the next section,

which focuses on leaders’ evaluations of the sources of HIV as a problem.

Evaluating the Source of the HIV Epidemic

There is a strong assumption within some scholarly literature suggesting

that religious leaders judgment of PLWA is a significant source of stigma, rather

than representing these leaders as contributing to alleviating such problems.

Unfortunately, for the most part these are assumptions based largely on hearsay or

108 select observations (Caldwell 1999; Orubuloye 1993). In part, this perception is

built on the potential condemnation of those infected with HIV as getting what

they deserve, or having been judged by God for disobedience (usually through

sexual promiscuity). However, empirical research is limited on what religious

leaders actually say on this topic, where it comes from, and how readily religious

participants absorb it.

In this section, I demonstrate that national leaders are actually less likely to

hold such stigmatizing views than are local congregation leaders. While they do

recognize the role of sexual behaviors in the proliferation of the disease, they are

reticent to assign blame to individuals who have contracted HIV.

I have heard a lot of sermons to the effect that God has sent AIDS to punish sinners, and we need to repent so God will forgive us. Now, I believe that AIDS is progressing because of sin, but if we say that those that are suffering from AIDS is because of sin, then we will be making a big mistake. Plus it is not only sexual immorality that is sinful; killing is sinful, abortion is sinful. There are so many other things. I don't think that God can pick just one and say this particular sin I want to punish. (Mission Protestant, National Leader)

Some of the distinctions that national religious leaders make appear to arise from

their distancing the problem from their own religious organizations. This takes

place in two stages – first, national leaders are more likely to distance the source of

infection from its probable source than are local congregation leaders. They

frequently evoke explanations of HIV infections based on needles, blood

transfusions, etc. which are thought to contribute very little to the present HIV

epidemic in Malawi.7

109 I don't condemn those who have the disease, because some of them, you know, they got it in some weird ways. They are not loose. Some of them are victims of the disease. (New Mission Protestant, National Leader)

This is a disease, like any other disease…for example, HIV and AIDS, it's not only through sexual intercourse…but you know even blood transfusions, even taking blood, or using the same needles. I remember there was a time; there was an accident when we were driving from Mangochi, and we found people bleeding. We didn't even have gloves, but we said handle them carefully. Because we might have a cut, and if it is, we might get an infection. And you can't say that it was because of sin. But you know some have contracted this disease who were giving first aid or helping. (Mission Protestant, National Leader)

Second, for those individuals who they do acknowledge contracted HIV through

sexual activity, they are more likely to suggest that they contracted it within a

marital relationship or that these individuals joined their church after infection.

National leaders are particularly reticent to attribute the spread of HIV to sexual

promiscuity among members within their own denominations.

You can contract AIDS in different ways. For example maybe through adultery - then you know for sure that you have sinned. But sometimes you can get it from your husband or wife, so the problem is with not you but you still have the disease. That is why we still have to differentiate that. There the sin can be for the spouse who has brought AIDS to his partner or wife. (Mission Protestant, National Leader)

Congregation leaders are more likely than national leaders to attribute

sexual sources of HIV-contraction, and “blame” the individuals who are positive,

something that even national leaders recognize.

110 I would say that in our villages, most people would say, this is a punishment. The stand of the church is that it is a collective sin, because the people who are getting it are our people." (Pentecostal, National Leader)

He continued, explaining that caring for individuals with HIV is something that

should not vary according to how individuals got the disease in the first place.

These leaders may be aware of the popular criticisms painting religious leaders as

contributing to HIV-related stigma, or their awareness of (or at least their

perception of) local religious leaders' framing of the HIV-sin connection. National

leaders' distancing on this particular issue may partially be in response to these

issues. In these interviews they frequently implicitly attempted to de-stigmatize

any individuals within their denomination who have contracted HIV, as is the case

in the latter half of the quote above, even in the situation of strong denominational

positions that may suggest otherwise. Perhaps the greatest irony of this particular

"protective" distancing, on the part of national religious leaders in Malawi, is that

within MRP congregation leaders, despite relatively high levels of "sin" and

"blame" attributions for those who contract HIV, these leaders, and their

congregations are still highly engaged in care for PWLA, suggesting that this

particular issue is of little concern, at least in the MDICP/MRP research locations

(Trinitapoli 2007).

Congregation leaders do not display nearly as much distancing of the

problem, instead focusing almost exclusively on the sexual sources of contracting

HIV (whether implicitly - as in the first quote below, or explicitly - as in the

111 second). They are also much more likely to use phrases attributing HIV-infection

to sinful behavior or God's judgment.

Sometimes when we are reading the Bible we say the reward of sin is death. And if you are walking with a weapon you will die with the same weapon. (Roman Catholic, Congregational Leader)

I believe AIDS and sin are the same because those who do not comit adultery cannot get aids so it is like they are the same. (New Mission Protestant, Congregational Leader)

So that referring to the Bible we are just assuming that it is the epidemic that God promised which God said that it will be incurable. (Roman Catholic, Congregational Leader)

What I know is that AIDS is a combination of diseases that is gained by practicing unprotected sex. (Islamic Sheikh)

Virtually all (86%) congregation leaders view those who have contracted

AIDS through sexual promiscuity (commonly referred to as being movious8 in

Malawi) as haven "gotten what they deserve” (see question 1, Table 5.2). As

mentioned above however, this perspective - commonly perceived to be

stigmatizing - has little effect on their subsequent care for PWLA. The leaders'

views on this topic also appear to have little effect on what congregation members

themselves believe, as they respond to this question with substantially lower levels

of agreement (Trinitapoli 2007). Further, congregation members substantially

underestimate the levels with which their religious leaders espouse such views

(Trinitapoli 2007), suggesting that it is not something that leaders frequently

preach, or if they do, it is not something that their congregation members readily

absorb. 9

112 [Insert Table 5.2 about here]

While national leaders are more likely to evaluate promiscuity as a problem

“out there” contributing to the prevalence of HIV as a whole, but less focused on

the issue within their particular denomination, local congregation leaders do not

similarly distance themselves, or their congregants from the problem.

Congregational leaders report high levels of sexual promiscuity among the people

in their villages, and in their religious congregations. In fact, while Table 5.2

displays several significant differences by religious denomination in the reporting

of congregational and community levels of marital infidelity and adolescent

promiscuity (Pentecostals and New Mission Protestants are slightly more likely to

favorably evaluate their members than other congregation leaders from other

traditions, p<0.05), virtually all of those differences are rendered insignificant

when examined within particular districts. Further, of these leaders’ evaluation of

these problems for community versus their congregation members, only

Pentecostals estimate their congregation members to be slightly less promiscuous

than other leaders. However, if we compare a single leader’s responses to the same

question regarding their congregation members to the community around them,

none of the differences are significant.10 In other words, all local congregation

leaders are likely to estimate that their congregation members are like the other

members of their communities regarding levels or pre- and extra-marital sexual

partnerships. Conversely, national leaders were more likely to estimate sexual

promiscuity as a problem among the general population, not as likely to be

113 affecting their particular denominational affiliates, as evidenced in the quotes

above.

Proposed Religious Organizational Prevention Strategies

The final comparison I examine between religious leaders at the national

and congregational levels is what they proscribe as the course of action individuals

should take to protect themselves from contracting HIV. Since the dominant

paradigm for approaching prevention keys in on individual behaviors, as expressed

in the “ABC”s of HIV prevention, I focus especially on the importance placed

each on abstinence, faithfulness and condom use by each of these leaders. I

demonstrate below that national religious leaders are more likely in their

behavioral recommendations to espouse absolutist positions than are their

congregation leader counterparts. Focusing in particular on the willingness of

leaders to suggest that individuals use condoms as a means of protecting

themselves, I find considerable variation across denominations, which roughly

corresponds to expected patterns, but variation within denominations that is much

higher than previously expected. Further, I find that local congregation leaders,

even in the “strictest” denominations are more willing to employ contingency

recommendations (particularly condom use) than are national leaders. Table 5.3

presents a summary of the frequency with which religious leaders teach particular

HIV-prevention strategies, focusing especially on the ABCs.

[Insert Table 5.3 about here]

Religious leaders all focus on varying components of the ABC's of HIV-

114 prevention, though to varying degrees. Abstinence before marriage and monogamy

within marriage are the cornerstones of prevention strategies for both national and

local religious leaders. National leaders, however, are much more likely to espouse

"absolute" positions regarding what should and should not be taught within their

religious organization. The majority of the attention in discussions with national

leaders, not surprisingly focused on their position related to the prescription of

condom usage. Most of the national leaders were reluctant to include condoms

among the repertoire of prevention measures supported by their denomination.

We don't want Christians to divorce each other…We are trying to very much encourage marriages to continue. Because our work is to make people marry. When people come together and we wed them, it's no use of wedding them then letting them go and undo the marriage. Now, with regards to condoms, Christians should not use, it is not wise to use the condoms. Because if we are dealing with Christians, what we tell them is to be honest with their wives; to be honest with their husbands; not to be running around with everyone. It's not our teaching to our member Christians that you can use condoms. (Mission Protestant, National Leader)

Those who do discuss the use of condoms do so with a clear qualifier that it is

meant for family planning methods, not for use by un-married individuals.

Whenever I go out, I always mention this pandemic. Not to scare them, but we want to get rid of it. We always teach the young ones to wait until when they get married. I am not one of those advocators of condoms. Condoms, from my own teaching, should be used [only] for family planning." (Mission Protestant, National Leader)

We are telling them that the best way is abstinence. We do not encourage our young people to use condoms. We are telling them, please abstain. But for those, for the sake of

115 family planning, and everything, yes we tell them to go ahead. For them, they can use the condom. (Pentecostal, National Leader)

While this "A and B, but not C," refrain, was common among

national leaders across most of the denominations, they did mention several

specific exceptions to the rule. The most common exception mentioned

addressed the situation in which one spouse is known to be HIV-positive.

…without consecrating the option of divorce, [they] should be using the condoms, you see? So, rather than to talk about divorce, we would rather encourage the use of condoms. (Mission Protestant, National Leader)

This exception, when mentioned however, was explicitly tied only to cases of

known discordant HIV-status. It is important to point out, with respect to this

requirement, according to the 2004 Malawi Demographic and Health Survey, only

5.6% of rural women and 12.3% of rural men have been tested for HIV and have

received their test results (NSO and Macro 2005).

Most relevant to the question addressed in this chapter however, is how

well those proscriptions at the national level translate to recommendations among

local congregational leaders. One particularly illuminating example of the

discrepancy on this particular subject comes from national and local leaders within

the Roman Catholic Church.

That is non-negotiable as far as the church is concerned…the only thing that the church accepts, according to the teaching is natural planning. Any artificial planning is not accepted; it is against the Catholic teaching

116 and doctrine. Because…God created people to procreate. Yes we can control, but we have to use the natural way, not an artificial way of controlling.

…I think as far as the messages are concerned, I don’t think there are any differences from other organizations; we have the standardized message…with the exception of one – the issue of condoms. We don’t talk about it, but if someone talks about it, we have to come in and say, this we don’t accept. That one is for us, I wouldn’t say non- negotiable…We don’t make a general ruling, but the condom is the crucial issue that the Catholics don’t deal with. We have got our doctrine and we have to stick to that. (Roman Catholic, National Leader)

Local leaders are not so absolute in their views, and are much more

likely than national leaders to discuss cases where condom use is

acceptable.

We have problems like people who do not manage to abstain. Previously I was keeping condoms, capsules, creams and they used to come to collect such things for their personal safety. As for condoms? We have bales and bales of them. (Roman Catholic, Congregational Leader)

I do not want to paint too-rosy of a picture regarding condom promotion though; as

indicated in Table 5.3, less than a third of local religious leaders overall

recommend people use condoms as a method of protecting themselves from HIV.

Our denomination does hate condom use because that is against our faith. Our point is that the person has to have self-control, but if he/she wants to get a sexual partner, one has to choose a man or a woman who hasn’t a bad record. They should choose someone who he/she knows he/she is going to stay with for a long time. They shouldn’t choose someone, who after you marry, you can hear other people saying you have married a person who has AIDS. They want a person who has self-control starting from the beginning so that they can be living together and not going around with everybody. All the days I do tell them that this is going to

117 put then into . (Islamic Sheikh)

However, they are much more likely to qualify the “A&B” portions of the popular

prevention message to adapt for cases where individuals may not perceive of

abstinence and fidelity as feasible options.

One additional recommendation that came up - more among congregational

leaders than national leaders - is using HIV-testing as a means of self-protection.

In particular, it is increasingly an informal recommendation that when a young

man and woman want to get married, they should first go for testing.

When these children who belong to our church are on holiday they do go to retreat where they are advised that when they want to get married they have to go for blood tests first; but this is not said in the church. (Mission Protestant, Congregational Leader)

For both local-congregational and national-denominational religious

leaders, virtually all of the proscribed prevention efforts focus on one of the

components of ABC - more "A" and "B", than "C", while few also mention the

potential role of HIV testing and knowing one's (or one's spouse's) HIV status, as

ways they suggest people within their religious organization can protect

themselves from contracting HIV. In the discussion below, I will focus on how, for

congregation leaders, this fits well within the other ways that they discuss their

experience and views of the epidemic, while national leaders' positions paint a

picture that is a little more obscured.

Summary of Findings

Religious leaders at the local and national levels in Malawi regularly

118 address the issues relating to HIV/AIDS with people in their religious

organization. While popular accounts, and some scholarly attention suggests

otherwise, leaders are not shying away from this topic. In fact, most congregation

leaders (72%, MRP) describe sexual morality and issues directly concerning

HIV/AIDS as among the topics they broach weekly in their congregation's

services.11 National leaders consistently rank HIV/AIDS as among the most

pressing issues their denominations face. Continuing to suggest that religious

leaders avoid addressing HIV would require ignoring the empirical evidence.

What these leaders say about HIV, however, varies considerably across

levels of religious leadership. Rural congregational leaders are entrenched in local

village contexts, and evaluate the problem as one facing the people they know and

interact with regularly. Their referent community is their village, and those close

by; it is not tied exclusively to their congregation or denomination. As a result,

their descriptions of the how their congregation faces the epidemic are tightly knit

with their descriptions of how their community as a whole does so. Despite

professing more judgmental views about PLWA than their congregants or national

leaders, they still respond with compassion to them, and encourage others to do

likewise. These leaders craft careful scripts that negotiate the particulars of the

problem as they see it, and enact every means available to promote change - even

promoting condom usage more readily than popular accounts, or national leader

perspectives would lead us to expect.

National denomination leaders also devote substantial attention to the HIV-

119 epidemic - unlike congregational leaders - almost universally including it among

their denomination's most pressing problems. However, their discussion of its

manifestations, and subsequent proscriptions for prevention efforts reflect their

distance from the vast majority of their constituency, and perhaps better reflects a

problem they see as one "out there" facing the country as a whole, rather than one

to which they are intricately linked. They are more likely to evoke iatrogenic and

non-sexual explanations of HIV transmission than evidence supports. They do this

at least in part in an attempt to de-stigmatize PLWA. However, their subsequent

focus on prevention strategies are much more likely to the reflect religious (and

international) "party line" - i.e., "A" and "B", but not "C" - in absolutist tendencies

that do not reflect these peculiarities.

The differences between local congregational leaders and denominational

authorities HIV-related discourse subtly reflect their relative positions in the

national landscape. An especially reflective example of this distance between

religious leaders comes from one common national leader response to questions

about their views on HIV/AIDS, and particularly condom use. A small majority of

these leaders mentioned position papers or policy documents that their

denomination adopted as a whole.12 Not one of the local congregational leaders we

interviewed mentioned their use of similar documents when asked similar

questions. Either these documents are not finding their way to the local leaders, or

if they do, the leaders deem them irrelevant for their situation. Both of these

potentials support the image threaded through discussion in this chapter - that, at

120 least related to the topic of HIV responses - rural Malawian congregations are

rarely impacted by any form of religious hierarchy.

Conclusions

Denominational authorities, who are virtually all located in either Lilongwe

(Malawi’s capital) or Blantyre (the other major city – located in Malawi’s southern

region),13 recognize the importance of the AIDS problem in Malawi, but are

distanced from the particularities of the problem. The way they discuss the

epidemic and potential interventions is likewise – distanced, both from the

problem itself, and in the connections between their evaluation of the problem and

their proposed responses to it. Congregational leaders’ discussion of HIV is not

substantially influenced by their national denominational leaders, is more directly

linked to the scope and source of the problem they observe, and more readily

connects to the prevention suggestions they make. The largest difference between

the two levels however, is that there is much greater room for difference in the

informal recommendations that congregation leaders make than is the case for

national leaders. Congregation leaders are simply more likely to see the people that

the epidemic is affecting more often, and respond in ways that reflect this

difference.

Studying Religious Organizations

Combined, these two chapters demonstrate that for the case of HIV-related

discourse and response among religious leaders in rural Malawi, strong

organizational hierarchies are not important. Congregational forms of religious

121 participation have recently become the primary focus of many scholars in the

sociology of religion. This takes place for two primary reasons that are particularly

relevant for thinking about how the local clustering found in the rural Malawian

setting – could translate into other studies of religion in SSA, and in developing

contexts more generally. First congregational studies benefit from the ability to

combine local context into the way religious organizations are studied

(Ammerman 1997). In a similar way that Presbyterian churches in Boston are

substantially different from those in Chicago; so too is the experience of members

of an AIC congregation in Balaka substantially different from those from an AIC

church in Rumphi. Second is that congregational analyses allow more fine-tuned

studies of organizational form and religious content in the ways that they differ

across religious congregations, even within the same denomination (Chaves 2004).

While suburban mega-churches orient their religious programming substantially

different from centuries old inner-city congregations, or small rural parishes in the

United States; our studies should allow for similar differences between

congregations at the trading centers located near major crossroads or between two

large villages, and those located in more remote settings.

Both for scholars interested in studying religious communities in SSA, and

those who wish to include religious participation in models of other outcomes,

studying religious organizations as congregations in these settings would more

readily reflect factors likely related to the outcomes they are interested in studying.

122 It misrepresents these religious organizations, and is likely a disservice to any

studies including measures representing them, to continue to paint with broad

strokes descriptions of the importance of religion – or even the differences across

varying religious denominations – in SSA.

HIV Policy

These two chapters set out to describe the religious organizational setting

that contributes to HIV-prevention strategies in rural Malawi in part to examine

whether the empirical reality matches the assumptions underpinning most present

policy strategies. Largely, it appears that present models are built on a presumed

organizational hierarchy, which for religious organizations does not exist. The

question then remains whether present policy models are (1) still effective despite

this mismatch, or are (2) ineffective - whether (a) due to this mismatch or (b) due

to other reasons that have nothing to do with religious organizational structure.

Answering this question lies largely beyond the scope of this project, but I would

like to present a preliminary answer drawing on some of the existing knowledge

from other work.

Reponses to the HIV epidemic are having an impact on HIV, and the

contributions of religious communities are among the strongest predictors of

having extramarital sexual partners, and even HIV status (Trinitapoli 2007).

Unfortunately, at this point it is, however, unclear whether this reflects

comparative successes - with particular ROs especially well equipped to respond to

the epidemic - or if it simply reflects a “reshuffling of the deck - with some ROs

123 attracting people who are HIV-positive to their congregation faster than others.

Future analyses using the soon-to-be-available longitudinal data on religious

affiliation and participation coupled with multiple measures of sero-status and

other behavioral markers can perhaps better illuminate this distinction. So the

verdict on whether policies, which funnel large sums of their resources through

religious organizations, are having effect, is still murky – but appears to suggest

that there is a little of both, perhaps leaning more towards beneficial effects.

In terms of what generates the ineffectiveness of those programs that do

fail, I suggest two primary avenues for future research to tease this out. The first

draws again from the evidence above that religious leaders are having a substantial

impact on the epidemic. Those religious leaders who are actively engaged in

combating the epidemic – whether through preaching, policing or whatever

avenues – appear to be having a substantial impact. Further, they appear to have

most of the information they need to provide accurate behavioral

recommendations. However, many of these leaders are still remiss to formally

apply all of the tactics at their disposal. For example, while more religious leaders

are promoting condom use than we would have expected prior to fielding the

MRP, many still are not. And perhaps more problematic – those who are,

frequently only do so informally. The mixed messages that come through formal

and informal channels may contribute to the well-known lack of association

between knowledge of AIDS risk and subsequent behavioral adaptations. While

recent research demonstrates that religious leaders are having a positive impact on

124 their congregation members’ risk of contracting HIV, they may simultaneously be

driving others of their congregation away from these protective effects.

Another important angle for future research to examine is to move beyond

simply focusing on the impact of religious organizations on behavior change.

There are other important factors that contribute to the spread of the epidemic,

such as poverty, and familial patterns – which religious organizations in this

setting also likely can contribute to, and they potentially can have a more direct

impact on the fight against HIV. Further, it is also feasible that without changing

some of these larger supra-individual contributors to the progress of the epidemic,

we will not see substantial changes in the present epidemic even if individuals

largely adhere to behavior prescriptions. In particular the next chapter

demonstrates that the behavioral changes at the heart of virtually all present

intervention models – the ABCs are, afterall, an exclusively individual, behavioral

approach – can, in particular ways, generate little-to-no actual change in

individual’s risk of contracting HIV.

125

NOTES

1 It is important to note however that this practice is not limited to scholarship linking religion and HIV interventions. For example, evaluations of governmental responses to HIV frequently focus on formal policies and the existence of organizations or task- forces to address the epidemic (USAID 2003). Unfortunately, little has been done to evaluate how readily such policies generate changes at other levels of organization (national vs. local governments) or how readily observed changes are directly linked to such efforts (Martin 2003). For example, while there have been wide-circulated reports of a decline in HIV prevalence in Uganda (Green et al. 2002; Kirungi et al. 2006), there is little consensus about the source of observed changes (Brody 2004; Green et al. 2002; Hallett 2006), and even debate about whether those shifts are in fact genuine or merely methodological artifacts (Parkhurst 2002). Similar limitations exist in other areas as well, not just religious and governmental responses to the epidemic. As such, the critiques found in the argument here should not be interpreted as unique to religious organizations, only unique in the particular substantiations I describe for this particular setting.

2 For one way this resource flow (and the corresponding “skimming” that takes place at each stage of the process) has been conceptualized, see Appendix D.

3 Previous research demonstrates that while pastors do frequently talk about HIV specifically by name, they also commonly employ euphemisms (such as “this illness”) for the disease (Pfeiffer 2004; Trinitapoli 2006b).

4 Limiting the quantitative responses to only those congregation leaders also represented in the qualitative interviews does not substantially change any of the differences presented, except where noted below.

5 The non-significant difference could be the result of a small-N problem, and substantial differences may remain by denomination. There are not enough congregations of each denomination within each of the research locations to approximate standard levels of significance for each denomination separately.

6 As mentioned above (see Note 3), this “incurable disease” is likely a thinly-veiled reference to HIV, which most listeners would recognize as such, and not as a reference to other diseases.

7 While there is some recent debate over this contention, with several scholars suggesting that non-sexual sources of HIV infection in SSA should be more directly considered (Gisselquist et al. 2004, 2002; Brewer et al. 2007), it is still widely accepted that the vast majority of HIV transmission in SSA occurs through heterosexual sexual contact (UNAIDS 2006; Green 2003).

126

8 “Promiscuous” is not a perfect translation of the word movious, though it captures most of the relevant connotations for the present discussion.

9 Congregation members largely project their own levels of agreement with such statements onto others, under-estimating the degree to which their religious leaders espouse such views (Trinitapoli 2007). Congregation leaders also seemingly project their own views onto those around them, conversely over-estimating the degree with which those in their congregations and villages agree with this statement.

10 The only difference that approaches significance is that Pentecostals are marginally more likely to estimate their congregation members to be less promiscuous than their surrounding community (p < 0.10). This near-effect only applies to estimates of adults’ extra-marital partners.

11 Evidence presented elsewhere suggests that while these leaders may moderately over- report the frequency with which they address HIV-related topics, they do not over- exaggerate whether they engage these issues (Trinitapoli 2006b).

12 One leader, in fact, would not elaborate further; instead stating that policies directly follow what is written in their denomination’s document (which he co-authored).

13 Two of the leaders interviewed as national representatives were actually located in Mzuzu (a much smaller city in the northern region). Both of these, however were regional leaders representing organizations without a central national coordinating office.

127

Mission Catholic Prot. Pentecostal AIC Muslim New MP Overall How worried do you think people in your congregation are about AIDS? None 0 5 22 15 0 18 11 Little 10 5 9 20 5 24 13 Lot 90 90 69 65 95 58 76

Compared with other problems your congregation faces, how big of a problem is AIDS currently? Not a problem at all 0 7 12 7 9 26 11 Somewhat of a prob. 29 24 42 29 0 40 29 Big problem 48 41 24 39 41 20 35 Single biggest prob 24 27 21 24 50 14 25

Is the AIDS problem in your congregation more or less of a problem than in your village? Less of a problem 10 3 6 10 5 9 7 No difference 48 55 73 63 60 60 60 More of a problem 43 43 21 28 35 31 33

Do you think the AIDS problem in your congregation will…? Get better 62 77 72 78 65 74 73 Stay the same 5 3 6 3 5 13 6 Get worse 33 21 22 19 30 13 22

Do you think the AIDS problem in your village will…? Get better 50 45 41 68 60 50 52 Stay the same 0 3 13 3 5 3 4 Get worse 50 53 47 29 35 47 43

Proportion of congregation deaths in past 12 months attributed to AIDS – Mean & (Std. Dev) Adults 0.42 0.26 0.41 0.36 0.15 0.38 0.34 (0.24) (0.30) (0.44) (0.39) (0.21) (0.07) (0.37)

Children 0.08 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.04 0.07 0.04 (0.37) (0.06) (0.07) (0.05) (0.10) (0.22) (0.14)

N 22 41 33 41 22 35 194 NOTE – All numbers are column-percentages, except where otherwise noted.

Table 5.1 MRP Congregation Leaders’ Description of the Scope of the HIV Problem

128

Miss. Catholic Prot. Pentecostal AIC Muslim New MP Overall

Those who are movious and got AIDS through sex have gotten what they deserve Strongly disagree 14 8 21 13 5 9 12 Disagree 0 10 24 15 14 6 12 Agree 41 26 21 18 23 29 25 Strongly agree 45 56 33 55 59 57 51

People in your congregation feel that those who are movious and got AIDS through sex have gotten what they deserve Strongly disagree 5 10 23 8 10 6 10 Disagree 19 10 23 23 14 15 17 Agree 38 35 26 33 33 38 34 Strongly agree 38 45 29 38 43 41 39

People in your village feel that those who are movious and got AIDS through sex have gotten what they deserve Strongly disagree 14 18 24 10 5 9 14 Disagree 18 5 21 18 23 15 16 Agree 50 38 18 28 27 27 31 Strongly agree 18 40 36 45 45 48 40

Marital infedelity is rampant among people in your congregation Strongly disagree 18 34 24 23 14 34 26 Disagree 18 24 58 41 43 37 37 Agree 36 24 0 21 19 26 20 Strongly agree 27 18 18 15 24 3 16

Marital infedelity is rampant among people in your village Strongly disagree 5 28 9 8 14 21 15 Disagree 18 10 22 32 43 21 23 Agree 50 28 31 26 24 24 30 Strongly agree 27 33 38 34 19 35 32

Promiscuity is rampant among adolescents in your congregation Strongly disagree 24 16 34 15 20 30 23 Disagree 19 26 44 50 25 52 38 Agree 43 39 9 20 15 12 23 Strongly agree 14 18 13 15 40 6 16

Promiscuity is rampant among adolescents in your village Strongly disagree 18 8 19 18 5 23 16 Disagree 14 5 16 18 25 20 16 Agree 32 26 19 26 10 34 25 Strongly agree 36 61 47 37 60 23 43 NOTE – All numbers are column-percentages, except where otherwise noted.

Table 5.2 MRP Congregation Leaders’ Evaluation of the Source of HIV as a Problem 129 Catholic Miss. Prot. Pentecostal AIC Muslim New MP Overall

Abstinence Sex before marriage is unacceptable if the 95 84 94 85 91 91 89 couple loves each other a

Do you ever privately advise members of your 100 98 97 90 91 97 95 congregation to be faithful or stop promiscuous behavior

Be Faithful Sex outside marriage is unacceptable for a 100 100 97 100 95 100 99 married woman a 132

Sex outside marriage is unacceptable for a 100 100 94 100 95 100 98 married man a

Condom Use Do you ever privately advise members of your 23 15 27 35 59 11 26 congregation to use condoms

Other Do you ever privately advise members of your 29 34 21 38 59 20 32 congregation to leave spouse suspected HIV+

Do you ever privately advise members of your 77 83 61 65 59 51 66 congregation to get tested for HIV a These questions are reverse coded from the actual survey question. All numbers presented are percent of yes responses.

Table 5.3 MRP Congregation Leaders’ Suggested HIV-Prevention Strategies

130

CHAPTER 6

DAMNED IF YOU DO, DAMNED IF YOU DON’T:

RELIGIOUS AFFILIATION AND HIV RISK NETWORK STRUCTURE1

Introduction

Few people would question that sub-Saharan African is the epicenter of the

present HIV/AIDS pandemic. Prevalence rates for countries in this region are

consistently higher than any other region of the world, with as much as 40 percent of

the population of some countries being presently infected (UNAIDS 2006). In the

case of Malawi, a small landlocked country in southeastern Africa, present estimates

suggest that roughly 14 percent of the population is infected (NAC 2004). In most

countries in SSA, the epidemic is a generalized one, in that it is passed primarily

through heterosexual intercourse, has a male-to-female ratio of approximately one-to-

one and frequently results from perinatal transmission (Green 2003). As a result,

intervention efforts frequently focus on behavioral modifications, particularly the

ABCs (abstinence, being sexually faithful, and condom use).

Religious participation in the region is virtually ubiquitous (Bedaiko 1995),

and a growing body of recent research in SSA demonstrates empirical associations

131 between religion, mortality and health (Gregson et al. 1995; Lagarde et al. 2000;

Pfeiffer 2002). The literature addressing the link between religious participation and

health outcomes, including specifically HIV in SSA, focuses almost exclusively on

the relationship between religious affiliation (or participation) and subsequent

individual behaviors, attitudes and risk. As one recent example, in an attempt to move

away from conceptualizing religious participation as a solely individual phenomenon,

the "moral communities" thesis has shown that religion can be thought of more as a

group phenomenon than an individual one (Stark 1996), and correspondingly can

reduce particular risk behaviors (Ellison, Burr, and McCall 1997; Pescosolido 1990;

Pescosolido and Georgianna 1989; Regnerus 2003). Even these studies, which argue

for conceptualizing religion as a group level phenomenon, then turn to apply it to the

study of risk as an individual level outcome. For example, this thesis has been applied

to the study of HIV in SSA (Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2006), by estimating

individuals' risk behaviors and individual's perceived HIV risk as a factor of

individual, community and organization level religious affiliation and participation.

This is an important step forward in understanding the link between religion and

HIV-related outcomes. However, this approach fails to incorporate the structural

properties of risk, something recent network epidemiologic work (Morris 2004) has

proven is vital to understanding HIV-risk.

I present the first work that incorporates this recent reconceptualization of

religion as a group level phenomenon into the network epidemiologic notion of risk

as a structural property. While reductions in risk behaviors are a vital component to

reversing the HIV epidemic, such behavior modification is only effective if

132 universally adopted. In this paper, using a series of simulations based on observed

sexual partnership data, I demonstrate how those who do not adopt such changes and

engage in “risky” behaviors can affect risk both for themselves and those who have

adopted behavior modifications such as marital fidelity. This focus will move beyond

the current literature’s focus on how religious participation is helpful or harmful in

regard to the present HIV epidemic, presenting one mechanism by which both can

happen simultaneously. I draw on data which establishes the link between religion

and HIV-risk behaviors to build simulation models of risk network structure. I

illustrate network properties that demonstrate how observed reductions in risk

behaviors, which have been shown in recent research to vary by religious

participation, can actually generate little-to-no effect on group level risk, and in

certain circumstances can even correspond to increases in group level risk.

Background

The literature linking religion and health outcomes has a long history, largely

focusing on the beneficial impact of religious participation on risk-related behaviors,

and subsequently on particular health related outcomes (Chatters 2000; Ellison 1991;

Hummer et al. 1999). These changes in health outcomes result from changes in

particular behavioral differences between religious groups, such as decreased

likelihood of smoking (e.g., Strawbridge et al. 1997) or alcohol consumption (e.g.,

Ford and Kadushin 2002). Others explore the development of social support and its

outcomes that coincide with religious participation (Idler 1995; Krause et al. 1998).

Of more direct importance to studying HIV-risk, still others have observed that

religious affiliation is associated with declines in extramarital sexual partnerships

133 (Hill et al. 2004) and delayed sexual onset (Rostosky, Regnerus and Wright 2003),

but also coincides with lower likelihood of condom use in sexual encounters (Agha et

al. 2006; Bearman and Bruckner 2001).

Recent scholars point out that the link between religion and health related

outcomes is not necessarily unidirectional, and that continuing to frame them this way

potentially limits researchers’ ability to understand this important relationship. Idler

(1995) raised this possibility, particularly suggesting that if health outcomes are

studied over time, different associations may be observed according to religious

participation at different points in time. To date, however, no studies have shown that

these pathways can occur simultaneously. Instead research focuses on different

behaviors that alternately improve or decrease health related outcomes. By remaining

with an individual focus, such "either/or" mentality is likely to remain. Researchers

who specifically study the link between religion and HIV follow the trend of

conceptualizing the link as unidirectional. If instead researchers in this area begin to

think of HIV-risk in terms that move beyond "risky" behaviors, and instead focus on

the structural properties of risk, we can arrive at a mechanism, which simultaneously

explains detrimental group level changes that coincide with helpful individual

behavioral adaptations.

A number of recent studies investigate the relationship between religion and

HIV. These studies evaluate the role of religious organizations in the development of

HIV prevention and intervention messages (Green 2003; Hearn 2002; Leibowitz

2002; Parry 2003; Pfeiffer 2004). To date, Trinitapoli (2006b) is the only researcher

to model individual HIV infection by religious affiliation and participation. Previous

134 studies focus on the link in less direct fashion. In an attempt to capture the broad-

scale influence, Gray (2004) showed that, among the few indicators he modeled,

proportion Muslim was the only one negatively associated with HIV prevalence for

38 countries in SSA. The vast majority of studies however explore the link between

religious participation and particular "risky" behaviors. For example, several studies

show that affiliation with particular religious traditions delays sexual onset (Agha, et

al. 2006). Garner (2000) for example shows that among four churches in Kwa-Zulu

Natal, South Africa, the Pentecostal church has lower levels of extra- and pre-marital

sexual partnerships than other congregations. Hill and colleagues (2004) find a

similar effect in Brazil for evangelicals, a category which largely overlaps with

Pentecostalism in their sample. Others question whether there is a relevant connection

between religious participation and declines in risky behaviors (Lagarde et al. 2000).

These studies all conceptualize HIV-risk as an individual level property. They

recognize that HIV is contracted through pathogens that only pass through blood and

other bodily fluids. Only particular types of contact can therefore put a person at risk

of HIV infection, and those are the sorts of behaviors these models attempt to explain,

inferring the relationship then to HIV risk. The assumption is that if researchers can

understand the causes of these particular sets of behaviors, then models of

intervention and prevention can be better conceptualized. The implied model

therefore suggests that infection risk is a function of individual risk behaviors, which

can be stated in probabilistic terms as:

Pi(inf) = Ci x SC + f(i, r, c, n) + ei , (6.1)

135 where Pi(inf) is the probability that an individual (i) will get infected as a function of:

(a) Ci, the number of risky behaviors in which i engages; (b) SC, the susceptibility of

infection in a single exposure through contact by a particular risk behavior; and f(i, r,

c, n) represents a combination of any number of other factors, which could vary at the

individual (i), religious organization (r), community (c), or even national (n) levels.

Such models typically attempt to estimate Ci, as "risky" behaviors, for example as the

number of extramarital or extra-relational sexual partnerships of an individual (i).

Other times, they model a proxy for Ci x SC, for example, as the adoption of condom

use within such behaviors, which reduces SC (Gray et al. 2001). Researchers estimate

these models with any number of parameters among their independent variables (the

f(…) portion of Eq. 6.1); and have recently explained a considerable amount of

variation in risky behaviors that is associated with religious participation (Agha,

Hutchinson, and Kusanthan 2006; Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2006), and have even

begun to link these to HIV infection rates (Trintapoli 2006b). Such models however

tell only part of the story, and in effect are based more on the epidemiology of non-

infectious diseases, like cancer, than on infectious diseases, like HIV.

This application of a "cancer model" of the relationship between risk

behaviors and actual risk to the case of HIV and other infectious diseases has been

discussed elsewhere (e.g. Morris 2004), but as yet has not been incorporated into the

literature connecting religion and HIV. What these models fail to incorporate is that

Pi(inf) is a function not only of an individual’s “risky” behaviors, but also of a number

of properties of the alters (j) with whom individuals (i) engage in such behaviors. If

for example an individual has 100 extra-marital partners, none of whom are infected,

136 the risk of infection for that individual, SC, is zero, even though their number of

partners (Ci) is high, something equation (1) is not equipped to incorporate. A better

representation of the probability of infection for an individual would be:

Pi(inf) = • { Cij x SCij | Pj(inf) } + f(i, j, r, c, n) + ei + ej , (6.1a)

where the differences from Eq. 1 are the inclusion of the sum (•) for all of i's alters (j)

of: (a) Cij, the number of an individual's contacts (Ci) with each of i's alters (j); (b) the

inclusion of infection rates which are partner specific (SCij ) and not uniform across

all "risky" behaviors; and (c) the dependence of these infection rates on the given

probability that each alter is infected (| Pj(inf)). For the present paper, I only

incorporate the differences in Eq. 6.1 and 6.1a that occur in the (a) and (c) terms,

although the independent variables included in later models could also incorporate

properties of each alter f(j) as well as properties of each of the other factors separately

2 for i and j (e.g., f(ri, rj)).

Within the network literature, there is considerable debate about the role of

degree (the number of risk-behavior partners) in network structural properties that

drive infection risk. One argument focuses almost exclusively on the role of the

number and distribution of partners to explain risk-network properties in a given

population. Recent popularity of explanations citing a "scale-free" distribution of

partners have championed this focus (Barabasi and Albert 1999; Dezso and Barabasi

2002; Dezso and Barabasi 2001; Liljeros et al. 2003; Liljeros et al. 2001; Newman

2002),3 suggesting that not only are network "hubs" (those with high numbers of

partners) at highest individual risk, but that they also serve an important role in

connecting the entire network, and correspondingly are central to group-level risk

137 estimates. However, recent work by others has demonstrated that high network

connectivity can arise in situations without such hubs, where no individuals have high

numbers of partners (Handcock, Jones, and Morris 2003; Jones and Handcock 2003;

Moody et al. 2003). This latter group of findings suggests that if researchers want to

understand the role of risk-network structure in infection probabilities, they must

include more than the number of partners for individuals in the network.

Based on this literature, there are numerous factors beyond Ci, which could

constrain Cij. This paper focuses on the way religious affiliation contributes to those

constraints, and incorporates a range of estimates of those effects in the simulated

networks described below. First, while previous work has established a link between

religious affiliation and sexual partnering, no studies to date have shown how those

individual-level “risk” behaviors equate to changes in structural properties of risk.

This first focus of the paper will therefore examine how changes in Cij (number of

“risky” behaviors) change estimates of population level infection risk. Second, by

incorporating the known prevalence rates of HIV infection for the population into

these network simulations, I also estimate the effects such changes can have on the

probability that those behaviors take place with an infected partner (Pj(inf)), which is a

difficult property to incorporate into individual models (for one approach, see

Trinitapoli 2006b).

It is well known that epidemiological models based on individual behaviors

alone misestimate STI risk (Aral 2002), and that sexual network structure can explain

differences that are not observed in individual level models. For example, Laumann

(Laumann and Youm 1999; Youm and Laumann 2002) finds that blacks’ sexual

138 partnerships more frequently serve as network bridges than do whites’ partners. They

show that even beyond individual level risk behaviors, the populations where blacks

draw risk partners put them at much greater risk of STI infection than is the case for

whites. Similarly, (Moody and adams 2006) show that in one high risk population

different risky behaviors differentially connect the network. They show that sexual

ties form bridges across otherwise disconnected portions of the population, while

needle sharing partnerships (which have higher transmission rates per contact)

provide largely redundant connectivity, and therefore do not contribute substantially

to the observed networks overall risk potential. To date no research examines how

religious affiliation can influence the partnering patterns of sexual partnerships,

which may similarly drive structural components of STI/HIV risk, particularly in

SSA, where intravenous drug use contributes little to the present HIV epidemic. The

premise of this paper is therefore to combine the observed differences that arise in

number of sexual partnerships by religious affiliation into models of risk network

structure. While these changes in individual behaviors have been the focus of

previous research investigating the link between religion and HIV-risk, little is known

about how they contribute to network properties and therefore the structural

properties of risk. In the simulations that follow, I demonstrate how the declines in

risky behaviors associated with some religious affiliations actually produce little to no

change in estimates of risk when conceptualized in network terms.

Simulation Parameters

The following sections describe the parameters used in estimating network

connectivity for each of three simulated populations. For each simulated population,

139 gender, religious affiliation and HIV status are assigned to match their representation

in combination (i.e., HIV prevalence matches by gender and religious affiliation) in

sample level observations, and held constant through variation of each of the other

simulation parameters. The number of sexual partners for each simulated respondent

is then assigned according to a series of reports on sexual partnership data from the

Malawi Diffusion and Ideational Change Project, Wave-3 (described below). For

each type of sexual partnership reporting, I assign sexual partners in the simulated

populations to approximate the observed distribution of partnerships first randomly,

then constrained by gender, then constrained by gender and religious affiliation. For

each generated distribution, I then simulate 100 networks with the observed

properties. I generated all of the random population characteristic assignments and

network partner matches using the R programming environment (R 2006).

For each produced network, I calculate the size of the component individuals

are members of, whether they are members of components of at least size three, and a

measure of graph reachability. 4 A component of a graph is a subset of the graph

where at least one path connects all nodes, and is the largest possible range for

epidemic spread. Some have suggested components as a minimal measure of potential

epidemic spread (Moody et al. 2003; Moody and White 2003). A component of at

least size three is the minimal requirement for representing a situation in which either

an individual or their partner has at least one other partner. Because component size is

not comparable across graphs, I calculate the proportion of the entire graph reachable

from an individual on at least one path. Finally, for each individual in each graph, I

calculate whether or not the component within which they are embedded includes an

140 HIV-infected individual. I then summarize each of these individual estimates of

structural-risk properties across religious affiliation to approximate how readily

observed changes in individual “risk” behaviors translate into changes in structural

estimates of risk. I calculated each of these network characteristics using the SPAN

packages (Moody 1999) for the SAS program (SAS 2004), and statistical

comparisons using available SAS routines (SAS 2004). These simulations show that

while religious affiliation has been reported to alter number of sexual partnerships,

these changes do not produce corresponding changes in structural components of risk,

unless adopted as abstinence.

Data from the Malawi Diffusion and Ideational Change Project

The networks generated in the simulations here are based on characteristics

observed in data from the Malawi Diffusion and Ideational Change Project – Wave 3

(MDICP-3) (2004). The MDICP is a longitudinal household survey, which in wave 3

surveyed 1542 women and 1081 of their husbands in 119 villages in three rural

districts of Malawi. While the MDICP sample is intended to represent the populations

of the three sampled regions and not necessarily all of Malawi, it does closely

resemble one nationally representative sample (the Malawi Demographic and Health

Survey) (NSO 2005) on several key factors such as age, education, and select

indicators of socio-economic status (Watkins 2004; Watkins et al. 2003). Researchers

have shown favorable evaluation of the reliability, attrition and representativeness of

these data elsewhere (Bignami-Van Assche, Reniers, and Weinreb 2003; Watkins

and Warriner 2003; Watkins et al. 2003). The MDICP data also closely follow

estimates of religious affiliation from other samples where 77 percent of Malawians

141 being Christian, 15 percent Muslim and the remainder practicing traditional African

religions. Presently, the major Christian denominations as a percent of the total

Christian population are Roman Catholics (25 percent), mission Protestants (20

percent), and African Independent Churches or AICs (17 percent); while groups like

evangelicals and Pentecostals are rapidly growing in Malawi, particularly in urban

areas, and together account for about 32 percent of the country’s Christians (Jenkins

2002). While the total MDICP sample closely resembles national rates of religious

affiliation, the northern sample district is a majority Mission Protestant, while the

southern sample district is predominantly Muslim. The effects of these differences

will be discussed in further detail below.

[Insert Table 6.1 about here]

In this paper, the simulations I generate are designed to represent the

properties separately for each of the MDICP's three research locations with regard to

population size, gender composition, marital composition, religious affiliation and

HIV prevalence (constrained by each of these other parameters). To introduce some

of the differences that exist in the sample districts, Table 6.1 displays the HIV

prevalence by religious affiliation figures for MDICP3 summarized for the entire

MDICP3 sample, and sorted by sample district. This table demonstrates a few

properties of religious affiliation and HIV prevalence that motivate the current paper.

For MDICP3, respondents were asked to which religious group they belonged, and

were provided with 14-groupings from which to choose.5 For analytic purposes, those

14 categories are collapsed to seven: none, Roman Catholic, Mission Protestant

142 (includes CCAP, Baptist and Anglican), Pentecostal, Muslim and other (includes

Jehovah's Witness, Seventh Day Adventist, "Just Christian" and other).

Sample-wide there are few significant differences in the HIV prevalence by

religious affiliation (with the exception that members of AIC churches have

consistently higher infection rates than other groups). The differences across sites

however, are substantial (with Balaka having the highest infection rates, and Rumphi

the lowest among the three sites). Further, there are substantial differences by

religious affiliation within district, with a moderately protective effect of being a

member of the district's dominant religious group (e.g., Muslims in the south and

Roman Catholics or Mission Protestants in the center, though the pattern does not

hold for AICs in the northern region), while being a member of minority groups is

moderately associated with increased risk. While it is difficult to speculate the precise

properties that give rise to such discrepancies, present research suggests that the

differences in intervention strategies and behavioral adaptations across

denominational classifications do not appear substantial enough to explain such

variance (see chapter 5; also Trinitapoli 2006b). This paper therefore investigates the

presumed pathway in existing literature that suggests number of “risk” behaviors as a

significant contributor to this difference. I postulate that these changes observed by

religious affiliation in risk behaviors will not coincide with the expected

corresponding changes in structural properties of risk. This expectation is consistent

with knowledge from existing network epidemiology literature, and stands in contrast

to the assumptions in the present religion and public health literatures, the latter of

which under-gird present intervention models. If found to be accurate, this would

143 force some rethinking of the way researchers and public health officials currently

think about intervention strategies.

Individual / Behavioral Constraints

Fixed Parameters

For the simulations in this paper, I draw on several sources of known

information regarding sexual partnerships and religious participation from MDICP

data. These parameters are based on findings that are described more fully in work

elsewhere (e.g., Trinitapoli 2006b; Trinitapoli and Regnerus 2006; Watkins et al.

2003). I simulate three populations, which approximate the total population for all

persons in the sampled villages included in MDICP-3 separately for each of the three

sample districts (Balaka in the south, Mchinji in the center and Rumphi in the north).

Each individual within a site is then assigned a gender, marital status,6 and collapsed

religious affiliation – each according to proportional assignments that approximate

the distribution of each of these parameters for MDICP-3. HIV status is then assigned

to match the distribution across of the other parameters within each site.

Variable Sexual Partner Parameter

I then vary the number of sexual partners for each individual in the simulated

population according to a series of estimates of sexual partnership data also drawn

from MDICP-III data. The first series of estimates incorporate all sexual partners an

individual reports having in the past 12 months, as reported in the sexual network

partnership section of MDICP-III. Each run of the simulated networks first assigns

144 the sexual partnership information randomly; subsequent runs constrain the

assignment of partners according to observed information by gender then additionally

by religious affiliation. Because the wording of the question about extramarital

partnerships limited the respondent to list no more than three sexual partners

(including spouses), and only those in the past 12 months, I incorporate a series of

additional sexual partnership estimates that derive from other sources in MDICP-III

data. To account for the potential deflating of the number of sexual partners this

constraint introduces, I also add an additional partner to individuals based on

respondents who reports having an additional sexual partner at any point during their

current marriage, for those respondents who did not report this additional partner as

someone with whom they had a relationship with in the past 12 months. While this

potentially expands the estimated network properties beyond present concurrency of

partnerships, I incorporate it as a means to estimate the underreporting of extramarital

partnerships observed for self-reported sexual relationships.7

The under-reporting of sexual behaviors for individuals has notoriously

plagued survey research in SSA (Nnko et al. 2004). The final estimate of number of

extra marital partners per simulated individual comes from data about people with

whom MDICP-III respondents discussed AIDS-related information. For each of these

discussion partners, respondents were asked to report the number of sexual partners

their discussion partners had in the past year.

[Insert Tables 6.2 and 6.3 about here]

Each of these reports of sexual partners are then randomly assigned as

estimates for number of sexual partners for the individuals in the simulated networks,

145 where I assign number of sexual partners to each individual as one (all included nodes

have at least one partner – those with no partners have been excluded in the

assignment of marital status) plus two random Bernoulli draws with p defined to

match the above estimates of extramarital sexual partnerships as observed in self

reports of sexual partnerships and the reported sexual partnerships for all AIDS-

discussion partners.8 I produce a series of partnership distributions to arrive at

matching average degree values, conditional on the parameters defined in Tables 6.2

and 6.3.

Mixing Model Parameters

After the number of sexual partners is defined, I run a heterosexual mixing

model, which randomly matches each simulated respondent to the assigned number of

partners.9 I produce 100 simulated networks for each of the sets of partnership

parameters, and describe the mean and standard errors of these groups of networks for

the network properties described in the results below. I also display a series of

exemplar networks here, and highlight those networks in the figures describing the

observed network properties.

Findings

The overall pattern that emerges in the simulated networks, for the majority of

the parameter sets is one of numerous small components ranging in size from 3 to

approximately 100. In all of the simulated networks, no more than 20 percent (in one

parameter set it is less than ten percent) of the population is found in monogamous

relationships despite approximately 49 percent of the population having only one

partner.

146 [Figure 6.1 about here]

Figure 6.1 shows the dominant pattern in Rumphi, where overall number of

partners is substantially lower than each of the other two sites. In this simulated

population, the vast majority (~85%) of simulated respondents are found in

components ranging from 3-77. The focus in this figure however should not be on the

overall size of the components that emerge but the distribution by religious affiliation

of individuals within those components. Remember (see Table 6.2) that in Rumphi,

Mission Protestants account for approximately 30 percent, while Pentecostals account

for about twelve percent of the population. These two groups, despite having

significantly different numbers of partners appear in Figure 6.1 to remain distributed

across the various components (and those of smaller sizes not shown in this image) in

proportions approximating their representation in the population. Pentecostals having

fewer partners on average than Mission Protestants does not protect them from being

located in such large components (see the blue and red nodes respectively).

[Figure 6.2 about here]

Figure 6.2 shows that a similar pattern emerges in the example of the

simulated population for the Mchinji population, using AIDS-discussion partners’

reports of sexual partnership data. This image shows that while more of the

population is located in these larger components than was the case in the Rumphi

example, the distribution by religious affiliation of individuals across those

components continues to reflect their overall distribution in the population, and is not

differentially associated with increases in number of partners. These two example

147 graphs demonstrate the pattern in five of the six main parameter settings where

number of partners is constrained by site, gender and religious affiliation.

[Figure 6.3 about here]

In one of the combinations of parameter settings (for the simulated Balaka

population based on AIDS-discussion partner reports of sexual partnership data), a

giant component emerges that includes about one third of the simulated population,

an example graph of which can be seen in Figure 6.3. Despite this dramatic difference

in the overall structure of the simulated networks, individuals remain distributed

within those networks in the same manner consistent with their representation in the

population as a whole, and not dependent on their number of partners. In fact, if

instead of coloring nodes by religious affiliation, I color them by number of partners,

you can begin to see the problem with using number of partners as a primary

predictor of risk. Even those individuals who have only one partner (the yellow nodes

in Figure 6.4) are found within components of varying sizes (including the giant

component), in no relation to their number of partners. There are actually more

people with only one partner found in this giant component (39%) than are found in

components of size 2, representing monogamous relationships (22%).

[Figure 6.4 about here]

Table 6.4 presents summarized network properties for the simulated networks

representing the number of self-reported sexual partners – constrained by site, gender

and religious affiliation. The first column demonstrates the differences in number of

sexual partners by religious affiliation. The second column indicates the proportion of

148 individuals who are in components of size three or greater. By religious affiliation,

the remaining columns present: the third column - the average size of the component

individuals are embedded in; the fourth column – the proportion of the full graph

reachable by an individual; and the fifth column – the proportion of individuals found

in a component that includes at least one individual who is HIV positive.

[Table 6.4 about here]

Significance tests, which are measured in comparison to values for Mission

Protestants indicate that those significant differences in number of sexual partners

that exist by religious affiliation do not regularly correspond to differences in network

position in the predicted direction. For example, in the bottom panel of Table 6.4,

Pentecostals and Others each have fewer average partners than Mission Protestants

but are not significantly different from them on any of the network measures of

estimated risk. In fact, there are almost as many significant changes in the opposite of

the predicted direction as in the expected direction. For example, in Panel 1 of Table

6.4, Pentecostals do have significantly fewer sexual partners than Mission Protestants,

and – as predicted by the assumptions in present research – measures of component

size, reachability and membership in a component with and HIV positive individual

are marginally lower than for mission protestants (p<0.10). However, in the same

panel members of AIC churches, who have marginally more sexual partners than

Mission Protestants are actually less likely to be found in components with an HIV

positive individual (p<0.05).

[Table 6.5 about here]

149 Table 6.5 presents the same set of summarized network properties as in Table

6.4, but for the simulated networks representing the number of sexual partners

reported for AIDS-discussion partners – constrained by site, gender and religious

affiliation. In this table, the overall number of partners, and measures of network

connectivity are higher on average than in the models based on self-reported sexual

partnership data. However, the general pattern from above remains, in that of

differences in number of sexual partners that vary by religious affiliation do not result

in corresponding differences in network estimates of risk. As is the case in Table 6.3,

there are almost as many estimates of network risk that work in the opposite of the

predicted direction as there are that work as present assumptions would expect.

Turning then to intervention strategies, the results presented here suggest that

existing strategies of HIV-prevention that focus almost exclusively on promoting

behavior changes (such as the predominant “ABC” model in SSA, which promotes

Abstinence, Be faithful and when those do not work, Condom use) must be rethought.

Intervention models cannot focus only on “high-degree” actors, as risk substantially

impacts individuals who have smaller numbers of partners, even those who have only

one sexual partner, and therefore are presumed by existing models to not engage in

any risky behaviors. Further, models that demonstrate the association of religious

affiliation with behavior changes are potentially limited in their actual contribution to

understanding their role in altering HIV risk. One suggestion for an intervention

strategy that moves beyond thinking of HIV risk as an individual level property is

increasing the emphasis for VCT (voluntary counseling and testing), which has

recently become increasingly accepted. Another strategy that relies on religious

150 organizations, and is consistent with existing literature is that some of the policing of

sexual behaviors and evaluation of potential partners by religious and community

leaders (see for example Watkins 2004; Trinitapoli 2006b) is to remove some of the

privatizing of HIV-risk models that present prevention strategies produce. In other

words, while present models focus on individual behavior change, inferring HIV-risk

as an individual level property, instead prevention efforts might in fact want to

encourage highly-afflicted regions to think of HIV-risk as a community level issue to

be engaged by the community rather than left exclusively to individuals.

Conclusions

As is known in network epidemiologic models, the simulations presented here

demonstrate that the average number of partners is a poor predictor of network

position, and of proximity to an HIV infected individual. This finding stands in

contrast to the assumptions of the existing religion models, which frequently rely on

the number of partners as a primary estimate of an individual’s HIV risk. The

findings here suggest that if researchers are really interested in understanding the

importance of religious affiliation or participation on HIV risk, we must investigate

how it impacts position in the network, beyond simply ego-properties. Future

research should investigate how religious affiliation impacts network structure and

not simply the number of sexual partners of an individual, to more accurately capture

its effect on HIV risk.

151 NOTES

1 This chapter was previously presented at the Annual Meetings of the Population Association of America (adams 2007).

2 Modeling pairwise infection probabilities (SCij).

3 Scale-free networks are those that, through growth and preferential attachment, have a probability, P(k) that a vertex in a network will connect to k other vertices that decays as a power-law, following P(k) ~ k-λ (Barabasi and Albert 1999).

4 A component of size three is the smallest group that reflects individuals who are, or who are tied to someone who is, involved in non-monogamous relationships. Four nodes as the smallest possible bicomponent here represents both the data’s inclusion only of reports of heterosexual partnerships, and the property of bicompnents, which requires that they have at least four nodes to include 2 node-independent paths.

5 The list of religious groups on the survey included: none, Roman Catholic, Quadriya Muslim, Sukuti Muslim, CCAP, Baptist, Anglican, Pentecostal, Seventh Day Adventist, Johovah's Witness, Indigenous Christian, Indigenous non-Christian, "Just Christian," and Other.

6 Since my interest here is not in marriage per se, but in the sexual partnerships in marriage, I assign “marriages” according to the rates of relational reporting in MDICP-3 data. As such the only people from MDICP-3 data who would be excluded from the models below are those reported as having no sexual partners in the last year. All other individuals are assigned as being “married” in the sense that they are assigned at least one sexual partner.

7 I also calculated estimates excluding this second addition to the self-reported extramarital partners, but they did not differ substantially from the models presented.

8 Unfortunately, the religious affiliation variable available for AIDS-discussion partners does not correspond exactly to the 7-category variable described above in self-reported religious affiliation for MDICP respondents (None, Roman Catholic, Mission Protestant, Pentecostal, AIC, Muslim, Other). The AIDS-discussion partner's religious identification is coded using a scheme that was adopted directly from MDICP-2 for purposes of comparison, and includes as the categories: No religion, Catholic, Protestant, Revivalist, Traditional African, Moslem, and Other). The overlap between these two variables however is considerable. I estimate this overlap by calculating a Chi-square difference test, for the classification for self reported affiliation and the reported religious affiliation for all of the respondent's best friends who are included among AIDS-discussion partners and attend the same church as the respondent. I find no significant differences between, what are in effect, two separate classifications of the same congregation. The only potential difference of note is that the AIDS-discussion partner coding includes non-Christian Indigenous churches among the Traditional African churches, and the self-reported data will include them among the Others. Unfortunately there is no way to correct this difference. Pentecostal and Revivalist appear to be functionally interchangeable, and each

152

of the other categorizations correspond across the two coding schemes. I will therefore refer only to the self-reported classification scheme, while substituting the data from the AIDS-discussion partner classifications directly into the estimates of sexual partnerships by religious affiliation.

9 Because of the strong constraints on how the number of partners is assigned (matches on site, gender, marital status and religious affiliation), there are small differences in the number of partners for men and women. In each simulated population, the gender with the smaller number of partners is used to limit the pairing of partners in the mixing assignments.

153

Balaka Mchinji Rumphi N HIV+ N HIV+ N HIV+ Catholic 110 13.89 156 7.48 90 5.62 Mission 64 11.48 155 7.69 206 6.09 Protestant Pentecostal 45 15.56 43 15 74 2.74 AIC 16 18.75 14210.29 179 8.43 Muslim 526 8.82 3 0 6 0 Other 34 8.82 102 5 87 4.76

NOTE: Numbers presented are N of the population in the particular site and percentage of that population who were HIV+ according to 2004 testing.

Table 6.1 HIV Status by Religious Affiliation MDICP-3

154 Total Women Men Balaka Mchinji Rumphi Total Balaka Mchinji Rumphi Total Balaka Mchinji Rumphi Total

Population 3648 3424 3043 10115 1856 1742 1548 5146 1792 1682 1495 4969 Estimate

Marital Status Married (N) 15-19 3.10 5.68 0.42 20-24 12.05 16.43 7.52 25+ 49.74 44.77 54.89 Single (N) 15-19 17.51 13.38 21.78 20-24 7.73 5.45 10.10 25+ 9.87 14.29 5.30 158 Religious Affiliation none 0.22 1.99 0.92 1.03 0.00 1.22 0.45 0.54 0.54 0.31 1.61 1.73 RC 13.08 27.05 13.04 17.80 13.68 25.15 12.03 16.99 12.20 29.64 14.52 18.94 Mission Protestant 7.80 23.07 30.96 19.94 7.21 24.34 36.97 21.92 8.67 21.33 22.26 17.12 Pentecostal 5.16 7.73 12.65 8.28 5.36 9.53 13.14 9.10 4.88 5.26 11.94 7.12 Muslim 67.47 0.82 1.19 24.97 68.58 0.41 0.22 16.32 65.85 1.39 2.58 24.62 AIC 2.09 22.83 27.93 16.88 1.66 23.53 26.06 25.22 2.71 21.88 30.65 17.69 Other 4.18 16.51 13.31 11.10 3.51 15.82 11.14 9.91 5.15 17.45 16.45 12.79

HIV Prevalence men 9.40 7.60 5.38 7.55 women 11.23 8.82 6.79 9.05 combined 10.50 8.32 6.23 8.45 NOTE: All numbers presented are column percentages.

Table 6.2a. Static Simulation Parameters

155

Total Women Men Balaka Mchinji Rumphi Total Balaka Mchinji Rumphi Total Balaka Mchinji Rumphi Total Self Report Overall 1.243 1.166 1.122 1.181 1.108 1.194 1.093 1.135 1.310 1.238 1.161 1.241

by 6cat relig none 1.000 1.133 1.143 1.125 N/A 1.000 1.500 1.125 1.000 1.222 1.000 1.125 RC 1.183 1.126 1.152 1.147 1.182 1.075 1.116 1.116 1.186 1.183 1.194 1.186 Mission Protestant 1.197 1.211 1.128 1.171 1.027 1.161 1.128 1.125 1.414 1.279 1.129 1.245 Pentecostal 1.000 1.205 1.080 1.095 1.000 1.172 1.019 1.057 1.000 1.267 1.176 1.154 Muslim 1.282 1.000 1.250 1.278 1.226 1.000 1.000 1.224 1.359 1.000 1.286 1.349 AIC 1.467 1.192 1.114 1.164 1.571 1.084 1.095 1.107 1.375 1.333 1.135 1.231 Other 1.143 1.120 1.121 1.157 1.158 1.090 1.068 1.092 1.125 1.155 1.170 1.157

159 For AIDS Discussion Partners Overall 1.535 1.272 1.191 1.325 1.465 1.177 1.099 1.232 1.610 1.354 1.331 1.430 by 6cat relig none 1.000 1.443 1.769 1.519 1.000 1.222 1.200 1.267 1.100 1.481 1.125 1.581 RC 1.636 1.266 1.208 1.349 1.548 1.188 1.095 1.259 1.736 1.332 1.370 1.444 Mission Protestant 1.543 1.207 1.158 1.210 1.256 1.132 1.063 1.096 1.742 1.269 1.315 1.347 Pentecostal 1.387 1.271 1.119 1.220 1.319 1.127 1.096 1.152 1.500 1.365 1.152 1.297 Muslim 1.547 1.250 1.579 1.542 1.509 1.000 1.000 1.499 1.587 1.400 1.647 1.585 AIC 1.556 1.303 1.194 1.265 1.682 1.087 1.080 1.135 1.357 1.542 1.343 1.426 Other 1.244 1.368 1.152 1.241 1.316 1.241 1.150 1.197 1.182 1.483 1.156 1.295 NOTE: All numbers are mean number of reported sexual partners.

Table 6.3. Simulation Parameters – Sexual Partnerships

156

Degree Comp>3 Comp Size Reach HIV+ N Balaka

Religious Affiliation None 1.000 0.672** 11.759** 0.001** 0.037** 10 RC 1.226 0.854 18.128 0.005 0.569 456 MP 1.280 0.853 18.304 0.005 0.589 279 Pent 1.106 * 0.837 16.999+ 0.005+ 0.555+ 170 Muslim 1.268 0.858 18.250 0.005 0.576 2495 AIC 1.494 + 0.857 18.348 0.005 0.535* 77 Other 1.118 + 0.844 17.395 0.002 0.574 161

Mchinji

Religious Affiliation None 0.988 * 0.841** 11.441* 0.003* 0.508 86 RC 1.156 0.839 10.838 0.003 0.468 918 MP 1.204 0.839 10.926 0.003 0.468 790 Pent 1.285 0.834 10.697 0.001 0.438 239 Muslim 1 0.865** 11.638* 0.003* 0.444** 32 AIC 1.221 0.838 10.946 0.003 0.464 766 Other 1.078 ** 0.847 10.991 0.003 0.454* 593

Rumphi

Religious Affiliation None 1.458 + 0.787 10.209+ 0.003+ 0.466 24 RC 1.167 0.844 11.298 0.003 0.461+ 401 MP 1.165 0.838 11.460 0.003 0.469 877 Pent 1.050 * 0.840 11.681 0.003 0.447 397 Muslim 1.444 + 0.760 9.803 0.003 0.366 36 AIC 1.113 0.841 11.420 0.003 0.463 864 Other 1.061 * 0.836 11.168 0.003 0.442 444

Table 6.4. Network Properties from Self-Reported Sexual Partnership Data

157

Degree Comp>3 Comp Size Reach HIV+ N Balaka

Religious Affiliation None 1.000 + 0.770** 816.92** 0.224** 0.581* 10 RC 1.691 0.919 1208.11 0.331 0.785 456 MP 1.573 0.915 1179.85 0.323 0.776 279 Pent 1.541 0.912 1180.67 0.324 0.778 170 Muslim 1.520 0.909 1163.88 0.319 0.770 2495 AIC 1.519 0.889+ 1107.39+ 0.304+ 0.726* 77 Other 1.211 ** 0.889* 1074.89* 0.295* 0.743* 161

Mchinji

Religious Affiliation None 1.186 0.808* 14.664 0.004 0.516 86 RC 1.291 * 0.851 15.710** 0.005** 0.499 918 MP 1.184 0.859 15.999 0.005 0.513 790 Pent 1.293 0.847 15.813 0.005 0.480+ 239 Muslim 1.281 0.826 15.269 0.004 0.448 32 AIC 1.322 ** 0.866 16.090+ 0.005+ 0.504 766 Other 1.310 * 0.851 15.677 0.005 0.485 593

Rumphi

Religious Affiliation None 1.500 0.850 28.007 0.008 0.581 24 RC 1.252 0.867 28.478 0.008 0.556 401 MP 1.195 0.867 28.519 0.008 0.559 877 Pent 1.081 * 0.870 28.501 0.008 0.545 397 Muslim 1.778 ** 0.885 32.344* 0.009* 0.540 36 AIC 1.218 0.876 28.798 0.008 0.560 864 Other 1.088 * 0.874 29.052* 0.008* 0.549 444

Table 6.5. Network Properties from AIDS-Discussion-Partners-Reported Sexual Partnership Data

158

Legend None RC MP

Pent

162 Mus AIC

Other

Pajek NOTE: Includes all components of size 20 or greater. Nodes are colored by religious affiliation.

Figure 6.1. Rumphi Simulated Population Self-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network

159

163

45

Pajek

NOTE: Includes all components of size 20 or greater. Nodes are colored by religious affiliation; see Figure 1 for the key.

Figure 6.2. Mchinji Simulated Population AIDS-Discussion-Partner-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network

160

164

Pajek

NOTE: Includes all components of size 20 or greater. Nodes are colored by religious affiliation; see Figure 1 for the key.

Figure 6.3. Balaka Simulated Population AIDS-Discussion-Partner-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network

161

165

Legend 1 2 3

4 5 APajek NOTE: Includes all components of size 20 or greater. Nodes are colored by number of sexual partners.

Figure 6.4. Balaka Simulated Population AIDS-Discussion-Partner-Reported Sexual Partnership Data - Exemplar Network

162

CHAPTER 7

CONCLUSIONS AND SUGGESTED EXTENSIONS

Given that this dissertation is titled “Religion Networks and HIV/AIDS in

Rural Malawi,” it is not surprising that the findings presented here demonstrate that networks matter. What may be surprising however, is the way that knowledge of networks can move research beyond many of the questions in existing literature, and alter both the findings and the implications of research that is more traditionally focused on actors (whether individuals or organizations). To conclude, in this chapter

I give an overview summary of the findings presented in previous chapters, suggest some additional directions that applying a network perspective can further help research of the religion-HIV link in SSA, and finally develop a few suggestions for how the implications of what I present here could inform future policy interventions aimed at combating the HIV-epidemic.

Summary Overview

In this dissertation I examined the ways that taking a relational-structural approach changes how we study the link between religion and HIV in rural Malawi.

In particular, I applied perspectives available from SNA to two separate levels of analyses. The first section examined the existence and salience of the hierarchical 163 organization of religious denominations in rural Malawi, which present intervention models presume direct the flow of information used in prevention messages. I find that the presumed hierocratic structure is an inefficient route for disseminating prevention strategies. Local pastors and sheikhs have little contact with the national leaders of their organizations (see chapter 4), and the prevention strategies they espouse more commonly reflect the attitudes of their local community than of the formal organizations with which their organizations are affiliated (see chapter 5).

The second section of this dissertation demonstrates one mechanism by which reductions in individual-level risk behaviors can produce little change in individuals’ actual HIV-risk. An individual’s number of partners, which religious organizations do influence, does not predict to whom those individuals will be connected, or whether those partners (or their partner’s partners, and so on) are already infected (see chapter

6). At present we know little about how religious organizations influence these network-properties of risk.

Other Network Extensions

One of the primary aims of this dissertation has been to establish a link between the vast amount of work that has been done from a social network perspective and the sociology of religion and health literatures. To date, the primary audience for social network scholarship has been other social network scholars. While those scholars are largely convinced of the importance of networks for studying social phenomena, this “ghettoization” of the perspective has limited its ability to inform the ways that social scientists study the variety of topics in which they are interested –

164 despite offering substantial alterations to the way social scientists approach their research topics.

Future investigations of the HIV epidemic both within the sociology of religion and those engaged in other sub-disciplines could similarly benefit from taking a relational-structural approach to the way scholars approach their research.

For example, further investigating how religious association (both affiliation differences, and intensity of participation) differentially contributes to where individuals draw their sexual partners is a ready extension to the work in Chapter 6.

Further, while many scholars build on the importance of network “hubs” – whether in explicitly network terms, or indirectly through discussions of the role of prostitutes or other presumed high-risk actors – in their models, investigating how religious associations are differentially associated with gender-discrepancies in network positions could help provide explanations of how women are at higher risk of HIV- contraction, despite consistently reporting lower numbers of sexual partners.

Outside of the sociology of religion, a burgeoning literature focuses on the role of marriage in increasing HIV-risk. Marriage is a fundamentally relational phenomenon, though it is frequently modeled as an individual characteristic much as any other held status. If instead we apply a relational frame to the way researchers examine marital contributions to the HIV-epidemic, we may be able to better understand how marriage itself is a substantial contributor to the HIV-epidemic.

Many other possibilities exist, and scholars in a wide variety of scholarly endeavors could similarly benefit from the approach elaborated here. By moving beyond thinking of networks as an alternate way to investigate the same questions

165 possible in other research strategies, scholars in other sociological sub-disciplines may also take advantage of the fundamentally different perspective on constructing the questions they ask through taking an SNA approach to their research. Whether this shift similarly alters the findings and implications of the prevailing knowledge for other substantive questions – in the same way that it does here – is something that can only be determined once researchers have applied this alternative research approach to the topics they study.

Policy Extensions

Each of the sections described above have direct implications for the way that existing prevention strategies can more readily evince desired reductions in new HIV cases. The first section primarily reorients how policies are implemented, while the second forces some additions to the predominant ABC paradigm, which drives most of what existing prevention efforts suggest.

As for the development of prevention strategies through religious organizations - denominations in Malawi do not appear to be self-organized in a sufficiently hierocratic way to funnel prevention resources through them – whether information or finances. While virtually all denominations in Malawi have formulated a response to the epidemic, these strategies have rarely impacted the efforts taken at the local level.1 Any future efforts that continue to funnel resources initially through the centralized headquarters of these organizations would ignore previous failures of this strategy. Organizations disseminating funding or other resources through religious channels may want to engage local contexts more directly, particularly by training – or seeking the cooperation of – local religious leaders themselves, rather

166 than through denominational proxies. If such direct contacts are not reasonably available, international donors and national NGOs should – at minimum – more vigorously pursue feedback on their existing efforts from multiple levels within the participating organizations, and not simply from those at the top of religious denominations.

Despite increasing recognition that supra-individual properties have substantial influence both on individuals’ HIV risk and the potential for epidemic spread, prevention strategies continue to focus almost exclusively on individual behavior changes. While existing network literature incorporates the fact that who partners are can be as influential in shaping an individual’s risk, as how many partners they have, prevention strategies rarely attempt to incorporate such alter characteristics in their efforts. While religious organizations do appear to wield some influence over the behaviors of their participants, they also occupy a unique position to potentially influence one major arena governing with whom those behaviors take place. Recent evidence suggests that discordant-status mixing between marital partners may be substantially contributing to spreading the present epidemic. Marriages, while not an exclusively religious domain in rural Malawi, almost always involves an ankhoswe, many of whom are from the congregation of those who intend to marry. One strategy that some religious leaders have recently adopted is to encourage HIV testing before marriage, so that potential marriage partners can be aware of their potential partner’s present HIV status. This should be a higher prevention priority, and is one that religious leaders may be uniquely positioned to encourage. Entering into marriage with both parties HIV-negative provides a context within which fidelity – the “B” within the ABCs – can actually protect an individual from contracting the disease. 167 168 NOTES

1 Again, this is not unique to religious organizations. Previous research has demonstrated similar activity in national governments generating no impact on local level processes (Guari 2006; USAID 2003).

169

APPENDIX A

CONGREGATION LEADER – QUALITATIVE TRAINING GUIDE

170 MRP QUALITATIVE TRAINING

Interviewers should understand the 4 key topics that we are most interested in knowing more about. The goal of these interviews is to engage in a

“conversation” with the leader about their religious life, their role as religious leader, and the problems facing them and their congregation. This is not a guide for the interviewer to follow, but gives some suggestions and examples of what we are interested in for each of the four main topics.

1. PERSONAL RELIGIOUS HISTORY of the congregation leader –

DENOMINATIONAL AND SPIRITUAL – from birth to just before he

became the leader of this congregation. This needs to be done in as much

detail as possible . What about personal spiritual growth, periods of doubt,

how were they resolved, etc.? Stories about personal experiences with healing,

their exposure to or interest in other religious traditions or denominations.

Their own decisions to examine or join other religions or to resist any

possibilities to change and WHY. Probe about the tensions and difficulties

that come with leaving a congregation and joining a new one. We want to get

the stories about their religious lives and the changes they’ve been through.

2. TIME AS LEADER AS CONGREGATION. How did you become leader?

What is satisfying about your work in this congregation? We want to know

about the problems in the congregation as well. How do you address such

problems when they come up? We’re interested in the leader’s role as

PASTORAL COUNSELOR. What problems do people come to you with? 171 What types of difficulties do people ask you about, and what kind of

responses do you give? SUSPENSION from church and why. Do people ever

get kicked out? Why? Is it hard for you to do this? Do you give people second

and third chances? How does this happen? SERVICES – what sort of

activities does the congregation engage in? Do you or other members from

your congregation participate in fellowships or revivals? What are they like?

COMPETITION WITH OTHER DENOMINATIONS- what brings new

members? What makes people leave? Probe for stories about who left, who

came and why. In these stories, do you see that members are being “snatched”

by other denominations? Which traditions are “snatching”? How do these

congregations attract others? When there are problems, where do you go for

help with these? Who does this leader consult with when things get difficult—

friends? Other pastors? How does he cope with these things? What about

relationships with denominational authorities or other outside groups? To

what extent these provide support, leadership, funding? Are they helpful?

Stingy? Supportive? Is money given with strings attached? How are other

decisions in the church influenced by these other relationships?

3. BIGGEST PROBLEM FACING YOUR CONGREGATION? Your religious

tradition in general? Here, we want to focus on the problems the leaders bring

up and not move too quickly to AIDS. Religious leaders have told us that their

congregations face many different problems. They may tell us that their

members are uneducated, that they are lacking food, that the building is falling

apart, or that their congregation is shrinking; they also may bring up AIDS 172 here. SIN – what does the leader believe about the relationship between sin

and the problems facing the congregation? We’re interested both in this

particular congregation and in “the Church” (or Islam) more generally.

4. SURVEY ADMINISTRATION

5. This section will be asked if sections 2 & 3 have not already lead to an in-

depth discussion about AIDS

VIEW OF AIDS. When did he first hear about it? What did he think about it

then? What did he say about it when it first came up? With his friends? With

his wife? Have his views about AIDS changed at all in more recent years?

Views on sin (individual sin or community/collective sin). Is there

disagreement in your congregation about issues having to do with AIDS? Do

some people disagree about how to care for the sick? Whether or not to sing at

the funeral when someone has died from AIDS? Whether or not people who

are sick with AIDS should be allowed in the church? What about counseling?

Do people come to talk with you about AIDS? About AIDS-related problems

like caring for orphans? Do you teach about AIDS in your congregation?

Have you ever gone to a workshop for AIDS training? Find out EXACTLY

what happened at the AIDS training.

173

APPENDIX B

NETWORK SECTION OF CONGREGATION LEADER SURVEY

174 Congregational Leader Questionnaire, English Final Version 2005 November 11, 2005

INSTRUCTION: The following questionnaire should be administered to a leader of every group mentioned in the Village-Specific Religious Census. Where possible, and where such can be identified, the senior leader of that congregation should be interviewed.

FILL D1 – D4b PRIOR TO THE INTERVIEW D1. Village name ______D2. Village number |__|__|__| D3. Name of religious leader ______D4a. Name of Church/Mosque ______D4b. Village-specific church code [Final column, religious census]: |__|__|__|

D5. Interviewer Name ______Interviewer # |__|__|__| D6. Supervisor ______D7. Interview Date: Month [ __|__ ] Day:[ __|__] Year |__|__|__|__| D8. TIME BEGUN [ __|__ ][ __|__] (24 HOUR TIME)

FOR LOGGING PURPOSES D10. Transcriber name ______Transcriber # |__|__|__| D11. Typist name ______Typist # |__|__|__| D12. Interviewer Checked ______Date: ______

INFORMED CONSENT INTERVIEWER: READ TO THE RESPONDENT BEFORE THE BEGINNING OF THE INTERVIEW

My name is ______. I am working with a research team from the Malawi College of Medicine and several foreign universities. We are interested in religious life in this area and understand that you are one of the local religious leaders. If you don’t mind, we’d like to ask you a few questions about your church/mosque, your role as a religious leader in this community, and your community in general. All your answers will be treated with the utmost confidentiality. Is it all right if I ask you these questions?”

YES [__] NO [__]

175 Thanks for agreeing to talk with me about your church / mosque. I’d like to start by asking you about your congregation in general and also about your own religious background.

N1 IN THE PAST YEAR HAVE YOU MET WITH ANY: A. Clergy from your same denomination Yes…...... 1 No……………….0 Don’t Know….…88 B. Authorities from your same denomination Yes…...... 1 No……………….0 Don’t Know….…88 C. Clergy from other denominations Yes…...... 1 No……………….0 Don’t Know….…88 D. Authorities from other denominations Yes…...... 1 No……………….0 Don’t Know….…88 E. Missionaries (or Brothers) Yes…...... 1 No………….0 ! N1F Don’t Know..88 E2. From where?______F. NGO leaders Yes…...... 1 No…………...0 ! N1G Don’t Know..88 F2. From where?______G. Government leaders Yes…...... 1 No……………….0 Don’t Know….…88

N2 Has you congregation ever been visited by Yes…………….……....1 denominational authorities? No……………..………0 Don’t Know…………..88 N3 Has your congregation ever been visited by high- Yes…………….……....1 level government officials? No……………..………0 Don’t Know…………..88 N4 Has your congregation ever been visited by Yes…………….……....1 missionaries? No……………..………0 Don’t Know…………..88 INTERVIEWER: PROBE AS IN N1E (FOREIGN BROTHERHOOD) N5 Has your congregation been directly helped by Yes…………….……....1 any NGO programs? No……………..………0 Don’t Know…………..88

176 N6 Has your congregation been directly helped by Yes…………….……....1 any mission work? No……………..………0 Don’t Know…………..88 INTERVIEWER: PROBE AS IN N1E N7 Are there any congregations with which you Yes………………1 have participated in services or programs during No…………….…0 !N10 the past 12 month? DK……………..88

b. LIST DENOMINATION c. Freq Frequency N8 What were a. LIST NAMES Codes their names? i. ______i. ______i.____ last ii.______ii.______ii.____ week…...1 iii. ______iii.______iii.____ last iv.______iv.______iv.____ month.....2 2-5 mos v.______v.______v._____ ago.….3 vi.______vi.______vi.____ 6 mo. – 1 vii.______vii.______vii.____ yr.ago….4

N9 CHECKER QUESTION: Count number mentioned in N8a Number______

N10 Have you discussed issues of religious belief or Yes………...... 1 church doctrine with anyone outside of your No………………..0 ! N15 ! N15 own church or mosque, such as…? Don’t Know……88 LIST NAME, POSITION, & CHECKER N11 Leaders of other churches? Total # AFFILIATION Named a.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE b.______FOR NAME, POSITION, c.______AND AFFILIATION. d.______(EXAMPLE: “Joel Phiri, e.______Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP” or f.______just “Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP”) g.______

N12 Leaders of other denominations? a.______b.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE c.______FOR NAME, POSITION, d.______AND AFFILIATION. e.______(EXAMPLE: “Joel Phiri, f.______Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP” or g.______just “Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP”)

177 N13 Leaders of any NGOs? a.______b.______c.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE d.______FOR NAME, POSITION, e.______AND AFFILIATION. f.______(EXAMPLE: “Joel Phiri, site g.______coordinator, Mangochi World Vision” or just “site coordinator, Mangochi World Vision”) N14 Other individuals here in the a.______area? b.______c.______d.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE e.______FOR NAME,POSITION, f.______AFFILIATION g.______N15 Outside of formal participation a.______or doctrinal discussions, name b.______any other religious leader c.______(congregational, denominational d.______or otherwise) with whom you e.______have regular interaction. f.______g.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE FOR NAME, POSITION, AND AFFILIATION.

N16 What about issues of HIV/AIDS, have you Yes………...... 1 discussed issues of HIV/AIDS with anyone No………………..0 ! T1 outside of your own church or mosque, such Don’t Know……88 ! T1 as…? LIST NAME, POSITION, & CHECKER N17 Leaders of other Total # AFFILIATION churches/mosques? Named a.______

b.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE c.______FOR NAME, POSITION, d.______AND AFFILIATION. e.______(EXAMPLE: “Joel Phiri, f.______Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP” or g.______just “Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP”)

178 N18 Leaders of other denominations? a.______b.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE c.______FOR NAME, POSITION, d.______AND AFFILIATION. e.______(EXAMPLE: “Joel Phiri, f.______Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP” or g.______just “Pastor, Ulongwe CCAP”)

N19 Leaders of any NGOs? a.______b.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE c.______FOR NAME, POSITION, d.______AND AFFILIATION. e.______(EXAMPLE: “Joel Phiri, site f.______coordinator, Mangochi World g.______Vision” or just “site coordinator, Mangochi World Vision”)

N20 Other individuals herein the a.______area? b.______c.______INTERVIEWER: PROBE d.______FOR NAME, POSITION, e.______AND AFFILIATION. f.______g.______

179

APPENDIX C

NATIONAL LEADER INTERVIEW GUIDE

180

MRP – National Religious Leaders Interview Guide

Introduction:

Thank you for accepting to have a conversation with me on issues related to your

faith. My name is…………………I am part of a group of researchers from the

College of Medicine, University of Malawi and other researchers from America

and Israel. We are interested in knowing about the activities of your religious

organization in Malawi. I would like to record our conversation so that I do not

miss much of what we discussed. Is this okay with you?

Institutional Level

Section 1 - History:

a. Get the history of the religious faith/Organisation IN MALAWI; how it came

about; when it was introduced in the country; coverage (geographic and

membership); find out if membership is growing or shrinking? Why? How

does he feel about it? How does this particular denomination bring new

members into the faith?

b. Financing – ask how the denomination was and is financed; (probe how much

comes from weekly service collections); what are the organization's finances

used for? How do those funds come from / go to the congregations? Any

changes? What caused the changes?

181

Section 2 - Doctrine:

KEY PROBES

– Distinctions

– particular beliefs (healing, born again, etc.)

Ask for an overview of the doctrine of the particular organization. Focus on what makes it unique or different from other denominations/sects? Ask about healing, belief in being born again, evangelization, prosperity, casting evil spirits etc. How

does the denomination faith effectively evangelize

(congregation/revivals/fellowships/etc.)?

Section 3 - Networking:

KEY PROBES (for each network partner discussed):

- Intended collaboration (ought) vs. actual

collaboration (is)

- Tensions that arise as a result of collaborations a. Connections with local congregations (their branches): (ask specifically how

they collaborate with them. How money flows (which direction? For what

purpose?). [Probes] b. Connection with other religious organizations. Who are they working with?

Which denominations and organisations does he think is growing? Why? How

does he feel about it? Does he think there is competition between faith-based

182 organizations/denominations/religions? Does he think healing is part of the

competition? [Probes]

c. Connections with IFBOs and NGOs: What partnership? Find out if there are

any tensions (ie. Monetary or ideological). [Probes] d. Connections with Government: What departments the organisations

collaborate with? What people? What projects? Ask which areas his

organisation works in collaboration with Government and donors? What type

of support the organisation receives from Government. Ask what Government

policies the organisation has influenced in the past. (If not mentioned ask

about HIV/AIDS policy). Find out if there are any tensions/problems (i.e.

Monetary or ideological). [Probes] e. Connections with international organizations of their denomination: What

international organizations does the organisation collaborate with? What type

of partnership (training, monetary, technical). Find out if there are any

tensions (i.e. Monetary or ideological). [Probes]

Section 4 - Individual level:

a- Personal History: Ask about his appointment. When he

became a leader? How he became a leader? If had any

training, what type of training? Have there been any changes

in his spirituality (increased/decreased belief in God's

intervention/ how God's power affects day to day life).

183 b- Leadership: What are his responsibilities? How often does

he visit local branches of his organization (denomination)?

How often he conducts/attends leadership meetings (at local

level, regional level, national and international level)? How

does he handle disciplinary issues?

c- Frequency of preaching/meetings: (at own branch and other

branches); Find out if he conducts/participates in joint

evangelical meetings with his branch leaders or other

denominational leaders? How effective does he think these

meetings are? Visits to local congregations?

d- [As time permits]: Healing incidences: Has there been

anybody who has been healed due to preaching/teachings

from your denomination? Tell me what happened.

Section 5 - Problems facing the denomination / organisation:

KEY PROBES (after HIV raised as a topic)–

- Content of HIV/AIDS-related messages

- Source of information

- How disseminated a) Ask what is the biggest problem the denomination/organisation is currently

facing? [Probe about HIV/AIDS]. When did he hear about AIDS first? What

were his views about it (doctrine issues come up here)? Did he think of it as a

problem of individual sin or collective sin? How does he view this problem in

184 relation to God (judgement)? How do people (in their organization) react to

people who they think have AIDS? Do people agree on how to handle a

person with AIDS, like praying for the deceased? Has anybody asked for help

in relation to AIDS?

b) Ask about his views about condom use/ family planning/divorce? Has he

been to any workshop related to AIDS? What issues were covered? What

interventions or education services does your denomination/organisation

provide? Who provides these services? How the providers are prepared for

service provision? How training materials are developed. Let him mention any

training/education materials the denomination/organisation has developed in

the past 5-10 years. Are these implemented at the national/local level? How

information passed to the local congregations/members?

[If not mentioned above] ask about his views about orphan care? What is the role of the denomination/organisation?

185

APPENDIX D

GLOBAL-TO-LOCAL SUPPLY CHAIN OF HIV INTERVENTION

A CONCEPTUAL MODEL

186

Source (Dionne 2007)

187

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