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PRESS RELEASE April 15,2015

VP Binay Still Leads But Senator ls ln Hot Pursuit ln Presidential Race, Novo Trends Says in March 20L5 Metro Survey

Vice President Jejomar "Joja" Binay still has a commanding lead and will emerge the winner in if presidential elections were to be held today, a survey conducted from March 21,-26,2015 by Novo Trends PH showed, From the same survey, Senator Grace Poe gained nearly twice what she got in the last Novo Trends survey last October 201,4 and is now in second place.

Voters' Preferences for President

VP Binay, in first place, got 28 percent voter preference, statistically the same as his 29.3

percent in October 2014. Senator Poe got 1-9.3 percent voter preference, a big iump from her previous LL.8 percent. Senator Miriam Defensor-Santiago also gained with L0.3 percent voter preference, up from her previous 7.9 percent in October 2A14.

Davao Mayor Rodrigo Duterte had a massive upsurge to 8.8 percent rroter preference, from his 3.6 percent last October 2AL4. President Benigno Aquino lll lost his second place last

October 2At4 of 1-3.1 percent to a dismally dramatic 4.4 percent.

Voters' Preferences for Vice President

Three out of every ten voters would choose Senator Grace Poe Llamanzares as Vice President, if elections were held during the survey period. A far second was Senator Francis

(Chiz) Escudero, whom 12.9 percent of the voters chose. Senator and Davao City Mayor Rodrigo Duterte shared third and fourth ranks, with 7.8 and 7.7 percent shares respectively. Table 2 below shows that the top 13 accounted for 9O percent of voters.

Voters' Preferences for Senators

On the average, voters chose 9 out of 12 possible senators. Only 2.8 percent of the respondents had not yet chosen any one. On the other hand, about 37.8 percent filled up their list with 12 names.

Table 3 below shows that Ferdinand "Bongbong" Marcos, Jr. topped the senatorial race in the survey and garnered more than half of the voter preference. Four others in the top L2 senatorial hopefuls {Vicente "Tito" Sotto tll, , , and Teofisto "TG" Guingona llll were also incumbent senators. The other seven in the top L2 positions include

Panfilo "?'i*g!'Lac5on, Richard Gordon, Ramon MagsaySay, Jr., Leila De Lima, Francis "Kiko'

Pangilinan, Edward Hagedorn, and Vilma Santos. The rest of the top 20 in the senatorial voter preference inciude Juan Miguel "Miga"

Zubiri, Ana Maria Consuelo "Jamby" Madrigal, Herbert Bautista, Lito Atienza, Riza Hontiveros,

Leni Robredo, Manuel "Mannt'' Pacquiao, and Rozanno "Ruffy" Biazon).

President's Performance

Voters in Metro Manila were equally divided on the issue of the President's performance. The difference between the proportion of those who gave the President a passing grade {39.6 percent}and those who gave him a failing mark (38.4 percent}was not statistically significant. One out of every five voters could not decide whether the President rated a passing or failing mark.

The survey had 1,600 respondents in the National Capital Region (NCR). lt has a t 2 percent margin of error. Other factors included in the survey are specific standing at the city level, and voter preference in relation to wealth status and educational level. # Util,S- CARMELITA N. ERETA President/ Table 1. Top Ten Preferences for President: Metro Manila, March 2015 and October 201"4

March 201"5 OctoL:er 2014 Preference for President Percent Rank Pe rce nt Rank jejomar Binay 28.0 1 29.3 L Grace Poe Llamanzares 19.3 2 11.8 3 r"0.3 3 - 4 7.9 4 Rodrigo Duterte 8.8 3-4 3.6 5-9 {Chiz Escudero) 5.4 5-8 4"6 5-9 , Jr" 5.3 5-8 s.1 5-9 Benigno Aquino lll 4.4 5-I 13.1 Z Alan Peter Cayetane 3.4 5-8 3.4 5-9 Manuel Roxas lll {Mar Roxas} 2.8 7 -9 3.4 5-9 {Ping Lacson 1.8 10

Table 2. Top 13 Preferences for Vice-President: Metro Manila, March 203.5

Preference for Vice President Rank Percent

a{ a Grace Poe Llamanzares L J I".J Francis {Chizi Escudero 2 12.9 Alan Peter Cayetano 3-4 7.8 Rodrigo Duterte 3-4 7.7 s-13 4.6 tV 5-13 4,3 Nolide Castro 5-13 3.8 Panfilo {Ping}Lacson 5-3.3 3.8 ?1 Manuel {Mar} Roxas lll s-13 Leila De Linna 5-13 2.9 Joseph {iinggoy} Ejercito Estrada, Jr. 5-13 z.v Vicente {Tito) Sotto lll 5-13 7.7 Feliciano Belmonte 5-13 2.6 Table 3. Top 20 Preferences for Senators: Metro Manila, March 2015

95% Confidence Rank Proportion lnterval Preference for Senators Lower Upper

Ferdinand (Bongbong) Marcos, Jr*. I 52.5 50.1 54.9 Panfilo (Ping) Lacson 2-3 45.6 43.2 48.1" Vicente (Tito) Sotto lll. 2-5 42.6 40.2 4s.0 Richard Gordon 2_tr 38.0 3s.6 40.4 Franklin Drilon* ?_E 37.9 35.5 40.3 Ralph Recto. 4-9 33.5 31..2 35.8 Ramon Magsaysay, Jr. 6-10 32.6 30.3 34.9 Leila De Lima 6-11 3L.7 29.4 34.0 Fra ncis ( Kiko) Pan gilinan 6-12 30.9 28.7 33.2 Edward Hagedorn 7 -14 28.4 26.2 30.6 Teofisto (TG) Guingona lll. 8 - 15 27.5 25.3 29.7 Vilma Santos 9-16 26.6 24.4 28.7 Herbert Bautista 10-16 26.3 24.2 28.s Juan Miguel (Migz) Zubiri 10-16 24.9 22.8 27.1 Rozzano (Ruffy) Biazon 11-16 23.7 21.5 25.8 12-16 23.4 20.9 2s.L Manuel (Manny) Pacquiao 17 -20 L8.1 16.2 20.0 Lito Atienza 17 -20 17.8 15.9 19.7 Leni Robredo 17 -24 1,4.8 13.1 1,6.6 Maria Ana Consuelo (Jamby) Madrigal 17 -20 1_4.8 13.0 16.5

*lncumbent Senator