Threat Inºation and the Failure of the Marketplace of Ideas
Threat Inºation and the Marketplace of Ideas Threat Inºation and Chaim Kaufmann the Failure of the Marketplace of Ideas The Selling of the Iraq War Mature democracies such as the United States are generally believed to be better at making foreign policy than other regime types. Especially, the strong civic institutions and ro- bust marketplaces of ideas in mature democracies are thought to substantially protect them from severe threat inºation and “myths of empire” that could promote excessively risky foreign policy adventures and wars. The market- place of ideas helps to weed out unfounded, mendacious, or self-serving for- eign policy arguments because their proponents cannot avoid wide-ranging debate in which their reasoning and evidence are subject to public scrutiny.1 The marketplace of ideas, however, failed to fulªll this function in the 2002–03 U.S. foreign policy debate over going to war with Iraq. By now there is broad agreement among U.S. foreign policy experts, as well as much of the American public and the international community, that the threat assessments that President George W. Bush and his administration used to justify the war against Iraq were greatly exaggerated, and on some dimensions wholly baseless. Postwar revelations have made clear that President Bush and top ofªcials of his administration were determined from early 2001 to bring about regime change in Iraq.2 It was not until the summer of 2002, however, that they began Chaim Kaufmann is Associate Professor of International Relations at Lehigh University. For helpful comments, the author is indebted to Robert Art, Karen Ballentine, Stephen Biddle, Mia Bloom, Jane Kellett Cramer, Michael Desch, Peter Feaver, Christopher Herrick, Seymour Hersh, Robert Jervis, Jack Levy, David MacMichael, John Mearsheimer, Ivan Oelrich, Robert Pape, Ken- neth Pollack, Edward Rhodes, Gideon Rose, John Schuessler, Jack Snyder, Stephen Van Evera, par- ticipants in the University of Chicago Program on International Security Policy, and to International Security’s anonymous reviewers.
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