Shifting Sands Coastal Barrier Island Network
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
2014 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Review
2014 North Atlantic Hurricane Season Review WHITEPAPER Executive Summary The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season was a quiet season, closing with eight 2014 marks the named storms, six hurricanes, and two major hurricanes (Category 3 or longest period on stronger). record – nine Forecast groups predicted that the formation of El Niño and below consecutive years average sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the Atlantic Main – that no major Development Region (MDR)1 through the season would inhibit hurricanes made development in 2014, leading to a below average season. While 2014 landfall over the was indeed quiet, these predictions didn’t materialize. U.S. The scientific community has attributed the low activity in 2014 to a number of oceanic and atmospheric conditions, predominantly anomalously low Atlantic mid-level moisture, anomalously high tropical Atlantic subsidence (sinking air) in the Main Development Region (MDR), and strong wind shear across the Caribbean. Tropical cyclone activity in the North Atlantic basin was also influenced by below average activity in the 2014 West African monsoon season, which suppressed the development of African easterly winds. The year 2014 marks the longest period on record – nine consecutive years since Hurricane Wilma in 2005 – that no major hurricanes made landfall over the U.S., and also the ninth consecutive year that no hurricane made landfall over the coastline of Florida. The U.S. experienced only one landfalling hurricane in 2014, Hurricane Arthur. Arthur made landfall over the Outer Banks of North Carolina as a Category 2 hurricane on July 4, causing minor damage. While Mexico and Central America were impacted by two landfalling storms and the Caribbean by three, Bermuda suffered the most substantial damage due to landfalling storms in 2014.Hurricane Fay and Major Hurricane Gonzalo made landfall on the island within a week of each other, on October 12 and October 18, respectively. -
Hurricane & Tropical Storm
5.8 HURRICANE & TROPICAL STORM SECTION 5.8 HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM 5.8.1 HAZARD DESCRIPTION A tropical cyclone is a rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or sub-tropical waters and has a closed low-level circulation. Tropical depressions, tropical storms, and hurricanes are all considered tropical cyclones. These storms rotate counterclockwise in the northern hemisphere around the center and are accompanied by heavy rain and strong winds (NOAA, 2013). Almost all tropical storms and hurricanes in the Atlantic basin (which includes the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea) form between June 1 and November 30 (hurricane season). August and September are peak months for hurricane development. The average wind speeds for tropical storms and hurricanes are listed below: . A tropical depression has a maximum sustained wind speeds of 38 miles per hour (mph) or less . A tropical storm has maximum sustained wind speeds of 39 to 73 mph . A hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 74 mph or higher. In the western North Pacific, hurricanes are called typhoons; similar storms in the Indian Ocean and South Pacific Ocean are called cyclones. A major hurricane has maximum sustained wind speeds of 111 mph or higher (NOAA, 2013). Over a two-year period, the United States coastline is struck by an average of three hurricanes, one of which is classified as a major hurricane. Hurricanes, tropical storms, and tropical depressions may pose a threat to life and property. These storms bring heavy rain, storm surge and flooding (NOAA, 2013). The cooler waters off the coast of New Jersey can serve to diminish the energy of storms that have traveled up the eastern seaboard. -
The Atlantic Hurricane Season Summary – 2014
THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON SUMMARY – 2014 SPECIAL FOCUS ON ANTIGUA AND BARBUDA (PRELIMINARY) Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section December 4, 2014 Satellite Image: Hurricane Gonzalo – Oct 13, 12:45 pm 2014 1 The Atlantic Hurricane Season Summary – 2014 Special Focus on Antigua and Barbuda Dale C. S. Destin (follow @anumetservice) Antigua and Barbuda Meteorological Service Climate Section December 3, 2014 The Season in Brief The 2014 Atlantic hurricane season was relatively quiet generally but relatively average for Antigua. It produced eight (8) named storms. Of the eight (8) storms, six (6) became hurricanes and two reached major hurricane status - category three (3) or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. The strongest tropical cyclone for the season was Major Hurricane Gonzalo with peak winds of 145 mph and minimum pressure of 940 mb (see figure 2). Gonzalo impacted Antigua and Barbuda and most of the other northeast Caribbean islands causing loss of lives and 100s of millions of dollars in damage. Relative to Antigua and Barbuda Relative to Antigua and Barbuda, the rest of the Leeward Islands and the British Virgin Islands, two (2) tropical cyclones entered or formed in our defined monitored area (10N 40W – 10N 55W – 15N 70W – 20N 70W – 20N 55W – 15N 40W – 10N 40W) - Bertha and Gonzalo. Gonzalo impacted the northeast Caribbean with hurricane force winds, passing directly over Antigua, St. Martin and Anguilla. This is the first time since Jose in 1999, Antigua has had sustained hurricane force winds, ending our 14 year hurricane drought. In terms of number of named storms, it was not a quiet season for Antigua but rather an average one; however, with respect to hurricanes, we were a year over due since one affects us every three years on average. -
High-Resolution Hurricane Vector Winds from C-Band Dual-Polarization SAR Observations
272 JOURNAL OF ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC TECHNOLOGY VOLUME 31 High-Resolution Hurricane Vector Winds from C-Band Dual-Polarization SAR Observations BIAO ZHANG School of Marine Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China WILLIAM PERRIE Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Dartmouth, Nova Scotia, Canada JUN A. ZHANG Rosenstiel School of Marine and Atmospheric Science, University of Miami, Miami, Florida ERIC W. UHLHORN NOAA/AOML/Hurricane Research Division, Miami, Florida YIJUN HE School of Marine Sciences, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China (Manuscript received 21 December 2012, in final form 1 November 2013) ABSTRACT This study presents a new approach for retrieving hurricane surface wind vectors utilizing C-band dual- polarization (VV, VH) synthetic aperture radar (SAR) observations. The copolarized geophysical model function [C-band model 5.N (CMOD5.N)] and a new cross-polarized wind speed retrieval model for dual polarization [C-band cross-polarized ocean surface wind retrieval model for dual-polarization SAR (C-2POD)] are employed to construct a cost function. Minimization of the cost function allows optimum estimates for the wind speeds and directions. The wind direction ambiguities are removed using a parametric two-dimensional sea surface inflow angle model. To evaluate the accuracy of the proposed method, two RADARSAT-2 SAR images of Hurricanes Bill and Bertha are analyzed. The retrieved wind speeds and directions are compared with collocated Quick Scatterometer (QuikSCAT) winds, showing good consis- tency. Results suggest that the proposed method has good potential to retrieve hurricane surface wind vectors from dual-polarization SAR observations. -
ANNUAL SUMMARY Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2008*
MAY 2010 A N N U A L S U M M A R Y 1975 ANNUAL SUMMARY Atlantic Hurricane Season of 2008* DANIEL P. BROWN,JOHN L. BEVEN,JAMES L. FRANKLIN, AND ERIC S. BLAKE NOAA/NWS/NCEP, National Hurricane Center, Miami, Florida (Manuscript received 27 July 2009, in final form 17 September 2009) ABSTRACT The 2008 Atlantic hurricane season is summarized and the year’s tropical cyclones are described. Sixteen named storms formed in 2008. Of these, eight became hurricanes with five of them strengthening into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir–Simpson hurricane scale). There was also one tropical de- pression that did not attain tropical storm strength. These totals are above the long-term means of 11 named storms, 6 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes. The 2008 Atlantic basin tropical cyclones produced significant impacts from the Greater Antilles to the Turks and Caicos Islands as well as along portions of the U.S. Gulf Coast. Hurricanes Gustav, Ike, and Paloma hit Cuba, as did Tropical Storm Fay. Haiti was hit by Gustav and adversely affected by heavy rains from Fay, Ike, and Hanna. Paloma struck the Cayman Islands as a major hurricane, while Omar was a major hurricane when it passed near the northern Leeward Islands. Six con- secutive cyclones hit the United States, including Hurricanes Dolly, Gustav, and Ike. The death toll from the Atlantic tropical cyclones is approximately 750. A verification of National Hurricane Center official forecasts during 2008 is also presented. Official track forecasts set records for accuracy at all lead times from 12 to 120 h, and forecast skill was also at record levels for all lead times. -
2008 Tropical Cyclone Review Summarises Last Year’S Global Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Impact of the More Significant Cyclones After Landfall
2008 Tropical Cyclone 09 Review TWO THOUSAND NINE Table of Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1 NORTH ATLANTIC BASIN 2 Verification of 2008 Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts 3 Tropical Cyclones Making US Landfall in 2008 4 Significant North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones in 2008 5 Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for 2009 15 NORTHWEST PACIFIC 17 Verification of 2008 Northwest Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts 19 Significant Northwest Pacific Tropical Cyclones in 2008 20 Northwest Pacific Basin Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for 2009 24 NORTHEAST PACIFIC 25 Significant Northeast Pacific Tropical Cyclones in 2008 26 NORTH INDIAN OCEAN 28 Significant North Indian Tropical Cyclones in 2008 28 AUSTRALIAN BASIN 30 Australian Region Tropical Cyclone Forecasts for 2009/2010 31 Glossary of terms 32 FOR FURTHER DETAILS, PLEASE CONTACT [email protected], OR GO TO OUR CAT CENTRAL WEBSITE AT HTTP://WWW.GUYCARP.COM/PORTAL/EXTRANET/INSIGHTS/CATCENTRAL.HTML Tropical Cyclone Report 2008 Guy Carpenter ■ 1 Executive Summary The 2008 Tropical Cyclone Review summarises last year’s global tropical cyclone activity and the impact of the more significant cyclones after landfall. Tropical 1 cyclone activity is reviewed by oceanic basin, covering those that developed in the North Atlantic, Northwest Pacific, Northeast Pacific, North Indian Ocean and Australia. This report includes estimates of the economic and insured losses sus- tained from each cyclone (where possible). Predictions of tropical cyclone activity for the 2009 season are given per oceanic basin when permitted by available data. In the North Atlantic, 16 tropical storms formed during the 2008 season, compared to the 1950 to 2007 average of 9.7,1 an increase of 65 percent. -
Water Resources Management Division C/O Government Purchasing Agency 30 Strawberry Marsh Road St
WRMD Newfoundland and Labrador Weather Forecast Services for 2014-2015 Flood Alert and Flood Forecasting Services Hurricane Summary Report Issued for 2014-2015 WEATHER FORECAST SERVICES FOR 2014-2015 FLOOD ALERT AND FLOOD FORECASTING SERVICES FOR THE GOVERNMENT OF NEWFOUNDLAND AND LABRADOR ISSUED FOR 2014-2015 HURRICANE SUMMARY REPORT Submitted to: Water Resources Management Division c/o Government Purchasing Agency 30 Strawberry Marsh Road St. John’s, NL, A1B 4R4 Submitted by: AMEC Environment & Infrastructure A Division of AMEC Americas Limited 133 Crosbie Road, PO Box 13216 St. John's, NL, A1B 4A5 210 ColonnadeJanuary Road 16 South,, 2015 Unit 300, Ottawa, Ontario, K2E 7L5 1 WRMD Newfoundland and Labrador Weather Forecast Services for 2014-2015 Flood Alert and Flood Forecasting Services Hurricane Summary Report Issued for 2014-2015 1. SUMMARY OF 2014 ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON OUTLOOK In June 2014, AMEC provided an Atlantic Hurricane Season outlook for WRMD. Forecasters predicted that the Atlantic Basin would have a near to below normal season, and that Newfoundland was mostly likely to be impacted by 1-3 tropical/post-tropical cyclones through the hurricane season. As indicated in the outlook report, there were several factors favouring a near-normal or below-normal hurricane season for the Atlantic Basin: The development of El Niño over the summer. Sea-surface temperatures (SST) in the Main Development Region (MDR) of the Atlantic Ocean were expected to remain near average to below average. We were in the warm phase of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) going into the hurricane season but there was not sufficient evidence to support a continuation of this warm phase. -
Front Matter (PDF)
VOLUME 51: NO. 4 FALL 1997 ISSUE SPRING MIGRATION March 1-May 31, 1997 AMERICAN BIRDING ASSOCIATION IN ALLIANCE WITH THE NATIONAL AUDUBON SOCIETY TWO FOR THE BIRDS! VICTOR EMANUEL NATURE TOURS PLUS SWAROVSKI OPTIK... ,A GREATCOMB!NATION! Thefinest premium optics and•Wørld wide birding are yoursx•hen •you take advantage oftfiis specia!::øffer from . Vieto,'Emanuel Nature 'Tours (VE•) and'Swar0*ski • Optik. P•-r-6ha.,e aqy SWar6vs-ki6i: tical prøduct aad youß '1!,'e,•e,ye a vou9her Wo.r•h $100.00;:toward th.,pureham of•sr!•½ied bir.ding tour•s offered byVENT dm •ag 1998• 3,,,to,-E•afin•ib•g•n'. coi•dncting • ;;'•sha•-e aelp•d pioneer eso-amasm a!! o•;gr;he i. net.•Tod •NT isthe world s largest compauy; •fide.,d.th, ,, ,• •;fheYBa•e s½ldcted Swarovski a ow 'v• h dan rt ai• the best fr,•m VENTand .. •;ns sp•:c•aloffer. • e½ '1'•.A,.ipalh•g ;•arovsk• Optik dealer. "-"; •LN 1• ..... -XE•' for d•taJsaad tour bn :i•i. lia,iti d and •dl• Ction•is SW.AROVSKI :0 P T [ K Cra•,•,,•on• RI•'02990 80d-•26-3089 FIELD NOTES * AMERICAN BIRDING ASSOCIATION ß VOLUME 51: NUMBER 4 * FALL 1997 SPRIN•MIGRATION: MARCH1-MAY3• I997 THE REGIONAL REPORTS 898 Idaho-Western Montana 817 Editor's Notebook DAN SVINGEN 8:38 Atlantic Provinces 818 The Storms of 'gG: 900 Mountain West BLAKE MAYBANK Part I VAN A. TRUAN 842 Quebec EDWARDS. BRINKLEY, and BRANDON K. PERCIVAL PIERREBANNON TODD HASS, 904 Arizona and NORMAND DAVID and JIM LOCKYER CHRIS D. -
Virginia HURRICANES by Barbara Mcnaught Watson
Virginia HURRICANES By Barbara McNaught Watson A hurricane is a large tropical complex of thunderstorms forming spiral bands around an intense low pressure center (the eye). Sustained winds must be at least 75 mph, but may reach over 200 mph in the strongest of these storms. The strong winds drive the ocean's surface, building waves 40 feet high on the open water. As the storm moves into shallower waters, the waves lessen, but water levels rise, bulging up on the storm's front right quadrant in what is called the "storm surge." This is the deadliest part of a hurricane. The storm surge and wind driven waves can devastate a coastline and bring ocean water miles inland. Inland, the hurricane's band of thunderstorms produce torrential rains and sometimes tornadoes. A foot or more of rain may fall in less than a day causing flash floods and mudslides. The rain eventually drains into the large rivers which may still be flooding for days after the storm has passed. The storm's driving winds can topple trees, utility poles, and damage buildings. Communication and electricity is lost for days and roads are impassable due to fallen trees and debris. A tropical storm has winds of 39 to 74 mph. It may or may not develop into a hurricane, or may be a hurricane in its dissipating stage. While a tropical storm does not produce a high storm surge, its thunderstorms can still pack a dangerous and deadly punch. Agnes was only a tropical storm when it dropped torrential rains that lead to devastating floods in Pennsylvania, Maryland, and Virginia. -
NWS Weather Forecast Offices
NationalNationalNational WeatherWeatherWeather ServiceServiceService PerformancePerformance andand ChallengesChallenges WarningWarning SystemsSystems KennethKenneth E.E. GrahamGraham Meteorologist-in-CharMeteorologist-in-Chargege NewNew OrleansOrleans WEATHER.GOV BusyBusy 20082008 20082008 20072007 20062006 20052005 NumberNumber ofof 1296*1296* 10741074 11061106 12641264 TornadoesTornadoes NumberNumber ofof TornadoTornado 123*123* 8181 6767 3838 FatalitiesFatalities *Preliminary So Far This Year Greensburg,Greensburg, KSKS WEATHER.GOV SuperSuper TuesdayTuesday • February 5 through 6, 2008: 82 tornadoes including 5 EF4s 57 fatalities; most since May 31st, 1985 and 13th all time 350+ injuries > 400M in property damage 36 (63%) killed were in mobile homes Most of the tornadoes occurred after dark WEATHER.GOV SuperSuper TuesdayTuesday Even with advanced notice of the event and individual severe storms, there was still a large loss of life WEATHER.GOV CommunicationCommunication PriorPrior toto OutbreakOutbreak SPC Day 6 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook Issued: Jan. 30, 2008 Valid: Feb 5-6, 2008 Tornado, Wind, Hail Reports NWS began publicizing the potential for severe weather 6 days in advanceWEATHER.GOV of the outbreak. CommunicationCommunication PriorPrior toto OutbreakOutbreak Hatched area depicts the potential for significant EF2-EF5 tornadoes. Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook Day 1 Tornado Probability Issued: Sun (2am), Feb 3. Valid: Feb 5-6 Issued and Valid Tue, Feb 5 NWS forecasts were furtherWEATHER.GOV refined leading up to February 5, 2008 CommunicationCommunication PriorPrior toto OutbreakOutbreak • NWS Weather Forecast Offices (WFOs) advertised the potential for severe thunderstorms, including tornadoes, in their Hazardous Weather Outlooks (HWOs) as early as Thursday, January 31, 2008. •Subsequent HWOs throughout the weekend refined the timing and magnitude of the threat. • WFOs used conference calls, Go-To Meeting, email/text alerts, and graphical HWOs to provide situational awareness. -
An Investigation of Tropical Rainfall Downwind of Urban Areas Along the United States East Coast
Mississippi State University Scholars Junction Theses and Dissertations Theses and Dissertations 1-1-2008 An Investigation of Tropical Rainfall Downwind of Urban Areas along the United States East Coast Ashley Marie Hayes Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarsjunction.msstate.edu/td Recommended Citation Hayes, Ashley Marie, "An Investigation of Tropical Rainfall Downwind of Urban Areas along the United States East Coast" (2008). Theses and Dissertations. 603. https://scholarsjunction.msstate.edu/td/603 This Graduate Thesis - Open Access is brought to you for free and open access by the Theses and Dissertations at Scholars Junction. It has been accepted for inclusion in Theses and Dissertations by an authorized administrator of Scholars Junction. For more information, please contact [email protected]. AN INVESTIGATION OF TROPICAL RAINFALL DOWNWIND OF URBAN AREAS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST By Ashley Marie Hayes A Thesis Submitted to the Faculty of Mississippi State University in Partial Fulfillment of the Requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geosciences in the Department of Geosciences Mississippi State, Mississippi May 2008 AN INVESTIGATION OF TROPICAL RAINFALL DOWNWIND OF URBAN AREAS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST By Ashley Marie Hayes Approved: __________________________________ __________________________________ P. Grady Dixon Jamie L. Dyer Assistant Professor of Geosciences Assistant Professor of Geosciences (Director of Thesis) (Committee Member) __________________________________ -
2008 North Atlantic Hurricane Season: Verification of the Met Office Seasonal Forecast
2008 North Atlantic hurricane season: verification of the Met Office seasonal forecast January 2009 Verification_report_branded V02 - 1 – © Crown copyright 2008 Contents Executive summary...........................................................................................................2 Introduction .......................................................................................................................2 Verification of the Met Office seasonal forecast for 2008..................................................3 Predictions of tropical Pacific and North Atlantic SST.......................................................4 Observed 2008 North Atlantic activity ...............................................................................6 Prediction skill measured using retrospective forecasts (hindcasts).................................9 Summary.........................................................................................................................10 Issued by the Met Office Hadley Centre MetO ref: TCYC/2008 This report was prepared in good faith. Neither the Met Office, nor its employees, contractors or subcontractors, make any warranty, express or implied, or assume any legal liability or responsibility for its accuracy, completeness, or any party’s use of its contents. The views and opinions contained in the report do not necessarily state or reflect those of the Met Office. - 1 – © Crown copyright 2009 Executive summary The 2008 North Atlantic hurricane season was the fourth most active season