Weekly Update Monday, May 11, 2015 U.S
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Weekly Update Monday, May 11, 2015 U.S. Stocks Rise Sharply After Jobs Report Mary Burke U.S. stocks rose sharply Friday after the April employment report Partner showed an economy continuing to grow, but at a pace that investors 312.348.7081 [email protected] believe could keep the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates until late this year. William Whipple Partner The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.9% on the week, 312.348.7076 finishing at 18,191. [email protected] The S&P 500 grew 0.4% on the week, finishing at 2,116. Philip Zoloto Partner 312.348.7077 The NASDAQ Composite was flat on the week, finishing at 5,004 [email protected] (down 2.5% from its all-time high of 5,133). Yield on the 10-year Treasury rose four basis points to 2.16%. Lakeshore Food Advisors, LLC 20 North Wacker Drive Crude oil climbed 0.4% on the week, ending at $59.39 per barrel. Suite 1701 Chicago, IL 60606 Corn futures were flat on the week, ending at $3.63 per bushel. NASDAQ Highs: Mondelez, Willamette Valley Vineyards Lows: Keurig Green Mountain NYSE Highs: J.M. Smucker, Syngenta, Yum! Brands Lows: Diageo, Treehouse Foods Featured Stocks of the Week: Monsanto Company (MON) 10-year History Dean Foods (DF) 10-year History 160 120 140 100 120 80 100 80 60 60 40 40 20 20 0 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 The Lakeshore Food Chain Price Price as Compared to Enterprise Value to Total Debt Price Compared to 52-Week Range YE: Forward LTM: to LTM Company Name 5/8/15 5/1/15 High Low 2014 2013 P/E Revenue EBITDA EBITDA Dow Jones Industrial Average 18,191 0.9% 18,289 15,855 2.1% 9.7% S&P 500 Index 2,116 0.4% 2,126 1,821 2.8% 14.5% NASDAQ Composite Index 5,004 (0.0%) 5,120 4,036 5.6% 19.8% Sector Average: 3.5% 14.7% 18191.10 INPUTS *Agrium Inc. $131.40 3.6% $146.51 $92.81 19.5% 35.2% 13.7x 1.19x 11.4x 2.9x American Vanguard Corp. 14.24 14.0% 15.42 9.50 22.5% (41.4%) 38.5 1.73 19.0 3.3 CF Industries Holdings, Inc. 310.86 5.6% 314.43 233.38 14.1% 33.4% 13.6 3.90 8.7 2.3 Intrepid Potash, Inc. 12.74 1.7% 17.64 10.92 (8.2%) (19.6%) 82.9 2.75 9.2 1.4 Monsanto Company 120.79 2.0% 128.79 105.76 1.1% 3.6% 19.2 4.22 14.7 1.9 The Mosaic Company 45.46 1.1% 53.83 40.32 (0.4%) (3.8%) 13.2 1.95 7.7 1.7 *Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan, Inc. 39.09 (1.1%) 47.10 35.25 (4.8%) 11.6% 17.0 4.55 10.0 1.5 Rentech Nitrogen Partners, L.P. 14.54 (4.5%) 17.71 8.75 38.3% (17.4%) 9.8 2.61 13.3 4.5 S&W Seed Company 4.64 1.9% 7.72 2.99 15.9% (33.3%) 210.7 2.14 282.6 NM *Syngenta AG 396.90 26.2% 411.80 273.20 24.0% 11.7% 23.6 2.56 13.4 1.3 Zoetis Inc. 45.90 2.9% 47.99 30.05 6.7% 40.4% 27.6 5.44 19.2 2.7 Sector Average: 12.2% (2.0%) 24.1x 2.76x 12.7x 2.4x AGRICULTURAL EQUIPMENT *Ag Growth International Inc. $49.97 (4.7%) $57.99 $41.45 (11.6%) 11.9% 15.3x 1.98x 12.5x 2.5x AGCO Corporation 50.96 (1.5%) 57.46 41.56 12.7% (13.9%) 17.0 0.63 6.2 1.7 Art's-Way Manufacturing Co. Inc. 5.22 (8.7%) 7.08 4.27 0.2% (14.3%) NA 0.82 9.6 3.2 * Buhler Industries Inc. 5.45 (0.9%) 6.95 4.86 (8.9%) (23.2%) NA 0.68 15.4 6.0 CNH Industrial N.V. 8.68 (1.1%) 11.08 7.35 7.7% (23.5%) 16.6 1.07 11.1 9.1 Deere & Company 89.89 (1.6%) 94.79 78.88 1.6% (1.6%) 17.6 1.83 11.3 6.5 Lindsay Corporation 76.72 (2.2%) 90.30 73.01 (10.5%) (7.3%) 27.9 1.44 10.1 1.4 Titan Machinery, Inc. 14.29 (3.6%) 18.25 10.69 2.5% (19.8%) NM 0.53 15.2 12.5 Sector Average: (0.8%) (11.5%) 19.8x 1.12x 12.2x 3.0x AGRIBUSINESS The Andersons, Inc. $42.91 (0.2%) $69.93 $38.65 (19.3%) (27.8%) 14.0x 0.41x 8.2x 4.5x Archer-Daniels-Midland Company 51.25 3.0% 53.91 41.63 (1.4%) 18.1% 15.1 0.47 8.3 1.6 Bunge Limited 89.91 1.3% 93.17 73.32 (1.1%) 9.5% 13.8 0.32 8.6 2.1 Darling Ingredients Inc. 14.09 2.8% 21.40 13.60 (22.4%) (32.5%) 22.9 1.13 7.8 4.2 * Gruma S.A.B. de CV 189.73 2.6% 209.00 119.60 20.6% 92.1% 19.8 1.82 12.0 1.5 Ingredion Incorporated 81.10 0.9% 87.20 69.94 (4.4%) 18.5% 14.1 1.32 9.0 2.7 Landec Corp. 14.25 (0.4%) 15.16 10.75 3.2% 17.6% 15.9 0.80 17.3 2.0 * Olam International Limited 2.00 (1.0%) 2.69 1.93 (1.0%) 30.3% 12.9 0.66 13.8 10.4 Omega Protein Corporation 12.71 0.7% 15.92 9.00 20.2% 3.4% 11.4 1.00 4.5 0.5 Sector Average: (0.6%) 14.3% 15.6x 0.88x 10.6x 2.4x DIVERSIFIED FOODS B&G Foods Inc. $29.86 (1.8%) $34.63 $27.03 (0.1%) (11.9%) 19.8x 3.16x 14.9x 5.6x Campbell Soup Company 45.83 0.6% 48.31 40.60 4.2% 5.9% 19.2 2.17 12.1 2.6 ConAgra Foods, Inc. 37.51 2.6% 38.41 28.60 3.4% 11.3% 16.5 1.39 10.1 3.6 General Mills, Inc. 56.27 1.0% 57.73 48.32 5.5% 12.7% 18.8 2.51 13.7 3.3 The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. 60.63 (0.6%) 66.35 40.84 4.0% 33.6% 28.9 2.70 23.1 2.9 The J. M. Smucker Company 115.99 (0.7%) 118.83 95.60 14.9% 11.9% 20.5 2.91 13.7 1.9 Kellogg Company 63.61 (0.4%) 69.89 58.83 (2.8%) 4.2% 17.8 2.08 18.1 4.6 Kraft Foods Group, Inc. 86.04 1.6% 91.32 53.33 37.3% 59.6% 26.7 3.29 26.4 4.4 Lancaster Colony Corporation 89.48 (0.6%) 97.77 81.96 (4.4%) 1.5% 22.7 2.11 13.6 0.0 Mondelez International, Inc. 39.44 2.0% 39.58 31.83 8.6% 11.7% 21.9 2.43 15.9 3.7 * Nestlé S.A. 72.55 (0.5%) 77.00 64.15 (0.5%) 11.1% 21.4 2.66 9.6 1.2 Pinnacle Foods Inc. 41.03 1.5% 42.17 30.03 16.2% 49.4% 21.3 2.70 15.6 5.1 Post Holdings, Inc. 49.89 7.1% 52.21 30.94 19.1% 1.3% 56.7 1.61 12.9 8.4 SunOpta Inc. 12.27 0.7% 16.22 11.67 (10.8%) 15.5% 23.1 0.68 12.7 2.0 * Treehouse Foods, Inc. 73.55 (10.4%) 92.92 70.11 (14.0%) 6.7% 20.8 1.44 12.2 3.8 Unilever NV 39.43 0.9% 42.75 28.75 20.8% 34.7% 21.5 2.54 13.7 1.4 Sector Average: 6.3% 16.2% 23.2x 2.38x 13.5x 3.3x 2 Price Price as Compared to Enterprise Value to Total Debt Price Compared to 52-Week Range YE: Forward LTM: to LTM Company Name 5/8/15 5/1/15 High Low 2014 2013 P/E Revenue EBITDA EBITDA ETHANOL Green Plains Inc. $31.55 1.7% $46.28 $20.31 27.3% 62.8% 15.8x 0.46x 5.8x 2.7x Renewable Energy Group, Inc. 8.77 (3.4%) 12.30 8.10 (9.7%) (23.5%) 45.0 0.33 6.1 3.7 Sector Average: 8.8% 62.8% 30.4x 0.46x 5.8x 2.7x FRUIT & VEGETABLE Calavo Growers Inc. $50.17 (0.2%) $53.56 $29.59 6.1% 65.8% 26.4x 1.14x 19.5x 1.3x Fresh Del Monte Produce Inc. 37.37 1.2% 41.16 27.91 11.4% 32.0% NA 0.59 9.0 1.3 Seneca Foods Corp. 28.65 (0.5%) 32.65 25.06 6.0% (10.2%) NA 0.46 19.5 9.9 The WhiteWave Foods Company 46.10 4.9% 47.55 28.59 31.8% 101.0% 40.0 2.73 24.6 3.9 Sector Average: 13.8% 47.2% 33.2x 0.73x 16.0x 1.3x PROTEIN Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.