ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग Meteorological Department नागपुर

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Regional Weather Inference And Forecast Wednesday, 19 July 2017 Morning Issue Time : 11.30 Hrs. IST Meteorological Analysis (Based on 0830 Hrs IST Observations) Weather Watch :- Extremely heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over . Heavy to Very heavy rainfall occured at few places over Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh and at isolated places over West Madhya Pradesh Heavy rainfall occured at isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh. Thunderstorm observad at few places over Vidarbha Madhya Pradesh and Chhattisgarh. Very light to moderate rainfall occurred at most places over Chhattisgarh and Vidarbha and at many places over Madhya Pradesh. Monsoon Watch :- Monsoon been vigorous over Vidarbha and acive over Chhattisgarh.The Northern Limit of Monsoon (NLM) continues to pass through Lat.30.0°N / Long. 73.5°E, Ganganagar, Hissar, Patiala, Kapurthala and Lat.31.5°N / Long.74.5°E. Inference:- The depression over coastal Odisha & neighbourhood has weakened into a well marked low pressure area, now lies over interior Odisha & neighbourhood with associated cyclonic circulation extending upto 7.6 Km above mean sea level tilting southwestwards with height. The trough at mean sea level from southwest Rajasthan to eastcentral Bay of Bengal, now runs across Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh and centre of well marked low pressure area over interior Odisha & neighbourhood. The off¬shore trough at mean sea level from south Gujarat to north Kerala coast now runs from north coast to north Kerala coast. The east¬west shear zone now runs roughly along Latitude 19.0°N between 3.1 & 5.8 Km above mean sea level.An upper air cyclonic circulation lies over south Gujarat region & neighbourhrhood and extends upto 1.5 Km above mean sea level.A fresh western disturbance as an upper air cyclonic circulation lies over north Pakistan & adjoining Afghanistan at 3.1 above mean sea level with a trough aloft with its axis at 5.8 Km above mean sea level runs roughly along longitude 70.0° E and north of latitude 32.0°N. The western disturbance as a trough in mid¬tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 km above mean mean sealevel roughly along Longitude 71.0°E and north of Latitude 30.0°Nhas moved away eastnortheastwards. The upper air cyclonic circulation over Kutch & neighbourhood at 1.5 km above mean sea level has become less marked.

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

Sidhi recorded the highest maximum temparature of 35.2 degree celsius. Betul recorded the Lowest minimum temperature of 19.8 degree celsius. Chief amount of rainfall in cms are :- Madhya Pradesh:- PACHMARHI -- 12; KHANDWA-AWS -- 9; BHAINSDEHI SEONI-AWS CHINDWARA-AWS -- 7each; BARELI -- 6; HARSUD-ARG MANDSAUR-AWS AMARWARA -- 5each; BEGUMGANJ BETUL-AWS ATNER KHIRKIYA-ARG GOTEGAON NARSINGHPUR-AWS -- 4each; BUDHNI LAHAR AMBAH LANJI DINDORI-AWS DEORI -- 3each; ALIRAJPUR-AWS BAGLI GAUTAMPURA CHICHOLI NEPANAGAR MULTAI KHAKNAR MAHIDPUR UDAIPURA RATLAM-AWS PATAN KEOLARI GADARWARA PUSHPAJGARH TENDUKHEDA -- 2each; GANJBASODA SONKATCH GOHAD BADWANI-AWS GAROTH BURHANPUR PANDHANA INDORE-AWS DEPALPUR SHEGAON NUSRULGUNJ-ARG MANAWAR TONKHURD DEWAS-AWS BHIND-AWS SEODHA(SEONDHA) JHABUA-AWS REHLI JAITHARI LAKHNADON SAGAR-AWS AMARKANTAK NAINPUR SOHAGPUR-AWS KATANGI NOWGONG -- 1each; Chhattisgarh :- Bakawand Jagdalpur 19 Katekalyan 15 Dentewada Gidam 14 Deobhog Bastanar Makadi 13; BadeRajpur Bastar- Pakhanjur -- 12each; Kuakonda -- 11; Mahagaon Darbha Keshkal -- 10each; Durgkondal Lohdiguda Kanker Dondilohara -- 9each; Manpur Narayanpur Nagari -- 8each; Narharpur Kondagaon -- 7each; Charama Bhanupratappur -- 6each; Bemetara -- 5; Antagarh -- 4; Ambagarh Dongargarh Balod Durg Dhamtari Gariaband Simga -- 3each; Karanja Rajpur Pali Marwahi Khairagarh Kawardha Berla -- 2each; Premnagar Kusumi Akaltara Mungeli Pendra Road Gandai Saja Basna -- 1each; Vidarbha :- BHAMRAGAD 34 CHAMORSHI 26 BRAMHAPURI 21 SINDEWAHI 19 MUL 17 AHIRI POMBHURNA PAUNI ETAPALLI 13 ; WARORA MULCHERA GADCHIROLI -- 12each; HINGANGHAT -- 11; SAOLI CHANDRAPUR SAMUDRAPUR BHADRAVATI -- 10each; DESAIGANJ RAMTEK BALLARPUR ARMORI LAKHANDUR GONDPIPRI -- 9each; RAJURA NAGBHIR BHIWAPUR CHANDUR DHANORA -- 8each; BABULGAON PANDHERIKAWARA WARDHA SAONER NARKHEDA ARJUNI MAUDA DEOLI WARUD WANI -- 7each; SIRONCHA BHANDARA GHATANJI MOHADI SELU DHAMANGAON -- 6each; SADAKARJUNI PERSEONI HINGNA JOITI NANDGAONKAZI KATOL UMRER MAREGAON NER -- 5each; CHANDUR CHIKHALDA ARVI KURKHEDA KALMESHWAR KARANJALAD MORSI LAKHANI DHARNI CHIMUR DEORI ZARIZAMNI KORPANA -- 4each; NAGPUR MURTAJAPUR AMGAON ARNI MEHKAR KHARANGHA KUHI KORCHI RALEGAON ASHTI SAKOLI TUMSAR -- 3each; Karanja YEOTMAL BATKULI Wardha KALAMB MAHAGAON DARWHA PUSAD SINDKHED TIWSA TIRORA GOREGAON -- 2each; SANGRAMPUR GONDIA AMRAOTI SALEKASA MANORA Mahagaon LONAR BALAPUR UMERKHED WASHIM -- 1each;

Weather Forecast for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 24 July 2017 Meteorological Sub-division wise detailed 5 days rainfall forecast is given in Table 1.

No significant change in maximum and minimum temparatures over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha & Chhattisgarh during next 2 days.

Outlook for subsequent two days from 24 July 2017 to 26 July 2017 RA/TSH Very likely to occur at many places over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Weather Warnings for next 5 days * valid upto 0830 Hrs IST of 24 July 2017

Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall very lilely at isolated 19-Jul-2017 places over Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.Heavy to very heavy rainfall very likely (Day 1) at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh.

20-Jul-2017 Heavy to very heavy rainfall very lilely at isolated places over Madhya Pradesh (Day 2) Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.

Heavy to very heavy rainfall with extremely heavy rainfall very lilely at isolated 21-Jul-2017 places over West Madhya Pradesh. Heavy rainfall very likely to occur at (Day 3) isolated places over East Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh.

22-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 4) 23-Jul-2017 No warning (Day 5)

* The Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : Warning Probability of WARNING (TAKE ACTION) UnlikelyOccurence <(%) 25 ALERT (BE PREPARED) Likely 25 - 50 WATCH (BE UPDATED) Very Likely 50 - 75 NO WARNING (NO Most Likely > 75 ACTION)

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157 ादेिशक मौसम पूवानुमान के Regional Weather Forecasting Centre ादेिशक मौसम के Regional Meteorological Centre भारत मौसम िवान िवभाग India Meteorological Department नागपुर Nagpur

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Table 1

5 Day Rainfall Forecast

Outlook for next two days valid 19-Jul 20-Jul 21-Jul 22-Jul 23-Jul Met Sub- from 0830 hrs division IST of 24-Jul to Today Thu Fri Sat Sun 0830 hrs IST of 26-Jul

West Madhya WS WS WS WS FWS FWS Pradesh

East Madhya WS WS WS FWS FWS FWS Pradesh

Vidarbha WS WS FWS FWS FWS FWS

Chattisgarh WS WS WS FWS FWS FWS

Forecast and Warning for any day is valid from 0830 hours IST of day till 0830 hours IST of next day Legend : % Station Reporting Rainfall 76 - 100 WS Widespread / Most Places 51-75 FWS Fairly Widespread / Many Places 26-50 SCT Scattered / A Few Places 1-25 ISOL Isolated No Rain DRY Dry

------Old Terminal Building, DBAI Airport, Sonegaon, Nagpur - 440005 Tel. No. : 91-712-2282157, 2288544 Fax. No. : 91-712-2282157