Scientific Examination of Western Atlantic Bluefin Tuna Stock-Recruit Relationships
SCRS/2012/xxx SCIENTIFIC EXAMINATION OF WESTERN ATLANTIC BLUEFIN TUNA STOCK-RECRUIT RELATIONSHIPS Andrew Rosenberg,1 Andrew Cooper, Mark Maunder, Murdoch McAllister, Richard Methot, Shana Miller, Clay Porch, Joseph Powers, Terrance Quinn, Victor Restrepo, Gerald Scott, Juan Carlos Seijo, Gunnar Stefansson, John Walter SUMMARY A workshop was convened in Washington, DC on 19-21 June 2012 to review the available information on the relationship between spawning stock and recruitment for western Atlantic bluefin tuna (Thunnus thynnus), a critical part of the scientific advice for management of the stock. The workshop participants noted that considerable attention has been paid to the form of the relationship between stock and recruitment, but that insufficient attention had been paid to the consequences of different hypotheses about that relationship. We suggest a simple decision table approach, using well-developed methods, for informing on the consequences of different policy choices given the uncertainty in the productive capacity and future trajectory of the stock. This will enable the scientific advice to move beyond a debate about the form of the stock and recruitment relationship and provide a more informative set of information for management. Based on the decision table analysis, considering alternative hypotheses about stock and recruitment using the available data, the results indicate that for rebuilding of spawning stock and yield in the long-term, fishing mortality rates should be kept low. Higher values are only advantageous if the primary goal is short-term yield at the expense of long-term rebuilding of the biomass. Higher values pertain to tradeoffs with yield in short and long term.
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