Fort Erie Labour Market Guide

Demographics Inside the Guide As of the 2011 National Household Survey, Fort Erie housed a total of 29,960 residents. Jobs in Fort Erie ...... 2

Among those individuals, 6,350 were age 19 and younger. Industrial Profile 2015 ...... 2

Out of Fort Erie’s total population, 4,685 individuals self-identified as immigrants to Canada. Industry Concentrations ...... 2

Industry Top-Ten Growth Occupations .....3 Fort Erie’s top industry, by number of jobs present, in 2015 was manufacturing. Educational Attainment ...... 4 Fort Erie’s largest industry sub-sectors, by number of employers, were food services and drinking places, specialty trade contractors, Commuter Flows ...... 5 and professional, scientific and technical services. Employers in Fort Erie ...... 6 Employment Fort Erie housed an estimated 10,229 jobs in 2015. Disclaimers ...... 7

Fort Erie’s estimated average income in 2015 was $40,364. About Us ...... 7

Top growth occupations in Fort Erie include: sales and service occupations, sales and service managers, and administrative and Data Sources ...... 7 regulatory occupations. Top Commuter Destinations: Niagara Falls, St. Catharines, Welland.

The data presented in Figure Figure 1: Jobs in Fort Erie 1 represents jobs that exist within the Town of Fort Erie, itself. Individuals who live in Fort Erie but commute to other municipalities are not represented in this data set. The effects of the recent recession, as well as Fort Erie’s subsequent trend toward pre-recessionary levels, are seen within Figure 1’s data.

Fort Erie’s 2015 industrial profile (as seen in Table 1) represents an extrapolation for the calendar year based on partial data from 2015. Source: EMSI Analyst NWPB expects there may be some degree of variance in these figures and will provide Table 1: Industrial Profile, 2015 Estimates updates when the 2015 data is available. Industry 2015 Jobs 2015 Annual Income Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 52 $25,192 The largest industry in Fort Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 5 $73,682 Erie (measured by the Utilities 101 $97,148 Construction 562 $53,697 number of jobs present) is Manufacturing 1,670 $45,331 manufacturing. This sector is Wholesale trade 202 $50,507 closely followed by retail Retail trade 1,119 $23,787 trade. This distribution of jobs Transportation and warehousing 871 $46,390 Information and cultural industries 92 $38,667 is generally representative of Finance and insurance 290 $41,111 the Niagara region, as well as Real estate and rental and leasing 126 $35,488 the province’s long-term shift Professional, scientific and technical services 348 $40,891 Management of companies and enterprises 28 $36,619 toward economic growth in Administrative and support, waste management and 418 $26,951 the services-producing remediation services sector. Educational services 512 $57,020 Health care and social assistance 941 $38,687 Arts, entertainment and recreation 695 $31,198 Accommodation and food services 828 $15,668 Other services (except public administration) 452 $32,761 Public administration 772 $64,276

Source: EMSI Analyst

2 Table 2: Industry Concentrations, 2014 Table 2 shows the location quotients (LQs) for Fort Erie’s Industry 2014 Provincial 2014 National industries. A LQ measures the Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 0.71 0.46 concentration of an industry Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction -- -- in a smaller region (e.g. Fort Utilities 1.23 1.25 Construction 0.94 0.78 Erie) compared to a larger Manufacturing 1.53 1.78 region (e.g. Ontario or Wholesale trade 0.40 0.44 Canada). A LQ of 1.0 would Retail trade 0.88 0.85 Transportation and warehousing 2.05 1.92 show that the smaller region Information and cultural industries 0.39 0.45 has an equal concentration of Finance and insurance 0.54 0.64 Real estate and rental and leasing 0.70 0.72 jobs in a given industry Professional, scientific and technical services 0.56 0.62 compared to the larger Management of companies and enterprises 0.40 0.39 region. Fort Erie’s provincial Administrative and support, waste manage- 0.80 0.93 LQ of 1.53 for manufacturing Educational services 0.71 0.71 for example, means that jobs Health care and social assistance 0.82 0.78 within this industry are Arts, entertainment and recreation 4.19 4.07 Accommodation and food services 1.25 1.18 approximately one-and-a-half Other services (except public administration) 1.10 1.10 times more concentrated in Public administration 1.06 1.05 Fort Erie than in Ontario.

Source: EMSI Analyst Table 3 shows the occupations that experienced the largest absolute increase in jobs between 2009 and 2014. Sales and service Table 3: Top Ten Growth Occupations occupations posted the largest Occupation 2009 Jobs 2014 Jobs Change growth. Sales and service Sales and service occupations 880 950 70 supervisors and Sales and service supervisors 161 230 69 administrative and regulatory Administrative and regulatory occupations 245 310 65 occupations also grew Technical and related occupations in health 120 161 41 Machinists, metal forming, shaping and significantly during the five 216 256 40 erecting occupations year window. Finance and insurance administration occu- 165 204 39 pations NWPB can provide additional Contractors and supervisors in trades and 89 124 35 transportation occupational profiles upon Heavy equipment and crane operators, 115 149 34 request. including drillers Professional occupations in business and 183 216 33 finance Occupations in travel and accommodation, 132 160 28 including attendants in recreation and sport

Source: EMSI Analyst

3 The data represented in Figure 2: Labour Force Educational Attainment Figure 2 and Table 4 are derived from Statistics Canada’s 2011 National Household Survey (NHS). In Fort Erie, the NHS had a global non-response rate of 31.7%.

Figure 2 shows that Fort Erie’s workforce has a concentration of workers whose highest level of education is either secondary school completion or college completion. Approximately, one person in ten in Fort Erie holds a trades or apprenticeship certificate. Source: Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey About thirteen percent of the workforce has completed some level of university education. Table 4: Educational Attainment and Labour

Table 4 uses education levels Market Engagement Rates to break down labour market Percentage of Unemployment Participation Employment Highest level of education engagement in Fort Erie. Labour Force Rate Rate Rate Individuals who have not No certificate, diploma or degree 11.5% 14.5% 34.3% 29.3% completed secondary school show the highest High school diploma 36.5% 9.6% 61.6% 55.6% Apprenticeship or trades certifi- unemployment rate. This 9.4% 7.8% 58.5% 53.9% cate/diploma trend is common to both the College certificate or diploma 27.0% 5.7% 75.9% 71.6% Niagara region and Ontario. University certificate or diploma Individuals who completed 3.2% 7.3% 74.4% 68.2% below bachelor level either a college or university University degree at bachelor 12.5% 4.5% 70.7% 67.7% certificate or diploma below level or above the bachelor level had the Source: Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey highest employment rate in Fort Erie.

4 Tables 5 shows the origin points for individuals Table 5: Commuter Flow Into Fort Erie commuting into Fort Erie for work. Table 6 captures the Commuting In From Total Commuters top-ten destinations for Fort

Niagara Falls 715 Erie residents commuting

Port Colborne 580 elsewhere for work.

Welland 455 Niagara Falls ranks as the

St. Catharines 350 number one destination for Fort Erie’s commuters, as Thorold 120 well as the top source of Wainfleet 95 commuters into Fort Erie. Pelham 80 The majority of Fort Erie’s Niagara-on-the-Lake 30 commuting flow (i.e. all the Lincoln 25 individuals who commute out Grimsby 25 of or into Fort Erie) is within the Niagara region. Non- Source: Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey Niagara commuting destinations include Hamilton, Toronto, Oakville, and Vaughan. Table 6: Commuter Flow Out of Fort Erie For reference: Statistics Canada’s boundaries for the Commuting Out To Total Commuters St. Catharines–Niagara Niagara Falls 1600 Census Metropolitan Area

St. Catharines 785 (CMA), of which Fort Erie is a member, are based partly on Welland 455 commuter flow data. A Port Colborne 345 municipality is joined to a Niagara-on-the-Lake 310 CMA based the primary Thorold 170 destination for commuter Hamilton 125 flows. This is called

Toronto 85 “integration.” Because of the considerable commuter flow Oakville 75 between Fort Erie, Niagara Vaughan 65 Falls, and St Catharines, we Source: Statistics Canada, 2011 National Household Survey can say that there is a high degree of integration between the three communities.

5 The data in Tables 7a and 7b Table 7a: Top Industry Subsectors, December 2014 present the top-five industry 1-4 5-9 10-19 20-49 50-99 Industry subsectors in Fort Erie as of employees employees employees employees employees December 2014. The tables Food services and drinking places 22 22 21 7 1 also break down the Specialty trade contractors 48 14 3 5 1 employers by size of their Professional, scientific and technical 35 8 3 1 0 workforce. Note: self- Ambulatory health care services 24 11 8 1 0 employment/family-run businesses are not captured Administrative and support services 23 9 5 3 1 in these tables. Source: Canadian Business Patterns, December 2014 Table 8 shows that in December of 2014, 51.7% of Table 7b: Top Industry Subsectors, December 2014 employers in Fort Erie employed fewer than four 50-99 100-199 200-499 500 + Industry Total employees employees employees employees people. 73.7% of the Food services and drinking places 1 0 0 0 73 employers in Fort Erie had nine or fewer employees. Specialty trade contractors 1 0 0 0 71 Professional, scientific and technical These figures are very 0 0 0 0 47 services comparable to those Ambulatory health care services 0 0 0 0 44 observed at the regional level Administrative and support services 1 1 1 0 43 during the same time period. Therein, 49.2% of Niagara’s Source: Canadian Business Patterns, December 2014 employers had between one and four employees, and Table 8: Industry Size in Fort Erie, December 2014 71.0% had between one and Establishment Size Total Establishments nine employees. Without employees 1462 Establishments without 1-4 393 employees include 5-9 167 individuals who are self- 10-19 98 employed, running a family 20-49 65 business where family 50-99 22 members are employees, or 100-199 7 operating a business using only independent contractors 200-499 7 as employees. 500+ 0

As of December 2014, zero Source: Canadian Business Patterns, December 2014 employee establishments need only be registered as a business to be included in the Canadian Business Patterns database.

6 Notes

______

______Niagara Workforce Planning Board Disclaimers and Legal Text We serve the Niagara region as a leader

in local labour market planning, deliver- This document may be freely quoted and reproduced without the written consent of the Niagara Work- ing authoritative research, identifying force Planning Board provided there are no changes made to the text or content and Niagara Work- employment trends, targeting workforce Planning Board is acknowledged as the author of the document.

force opportunities and bringing peo- The content of this publication is provided for informational purposes only and is not an endorsement ple together to produce solutions. of content or organizations listed within. Niagara Workforce Planning Board assumes no responsibility to the user for the consequences of any errors or omissions. Niagara Workforce Planning Board acknowledges report limitations and is committed to ongoing research to enhance findings.

For additional information, contact: The views expressed in this document do not necessarily reflect those of the Government of Ontario.

Adam Durrant Research Manager [email protected]

Laura Fyfe Research Associate [email protected]

Niagara Workforce Planning Board

36 Page Street, Suite 404 Data Sources St. Catharines, Ontario L2R 4A7 2006 Census

Phone: 905-641-0801 2011 National Household Survey (Fort Fax: 905-641-0308 E-mail: [email protected] Erie non-response rate: 31.7%)

Web: www.niagaraworkforce.ca EMSI Analyst Twitter: @NWPB Facebook: Niagara Workforce Planning Board Survey of Employment, Payrolls and Hours

Labour Force Survey

Canadian Business Patterns

Canadian Occupational Projection System

YOUR LOGO HERE