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Transport and Climate Change Global Status Report 2018 Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport (Slocat)

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Transport and Climate Change Global Status Report 2018 Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport (Slocat) Transport and Climate Change Global Status Report 2018 Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport (SLoCaT) SLoCaT Secretariat Team Karl Peet, Sudhir Gota, Cornie Huizenga, Nikola Medimorec, Angela Enriquez, Alice Yiu, Bente Verheul, Holger Dalkmann, Maruxa Cardama. Citation: SLoCaT (2018). Transport and Climate Change Global Status Report 2018. Available at: http://slocat.net/tcc-gsr Website: http://slocat.net/ Disclaimer This report has been produced by the Partnership on Sustainable, Low Carbon Transport (SLoCaT) and the views expressed in this report are not necessarily the views and the consensus of members of SLoCaT. The data and information provided in this report have been prepared from available sources and references to the origin of the data are provided where possible. SLocaT cannot be held liable for the accuracy, completeness and correctness of the data and information. The maps in this report do not imply any opinion whatsoever concerning the legal status of any region, country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, and is without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory, to the delimitation of international frontiers or boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area. This is a launch edition of the report. It will be followed by a subsequent edition in spring 2019. The Transport and Climate Change Global Status Report 2018 (TCC-GSR) has been developed with the support of the German Federal Ministry for the Environment, Nature Conservation and Nuclear Safety (BMU), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) and the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation. A significant share of the research for this report was conducted on a voluntary basis. Acknowledgments Strategy Team Barry Howe (Alstom), Harvey Scorcia (CAF), Bernhard Ensink (ECF), Andre Eckermann (GIZ and MobiliseYourCity Partnership), Daniel Bongardt (GIZ), Jacob Teter (IEA), Wei-Shiuen Ng (ITF), Nicholas Wagner (IRENA), Ahmed Al Qabany (IsDB), Ramón Cruz (ITDP), Rana Adib (REN21), Philip Turner (UITP), José Holguin-Veras (VREF), Bronwen Thornton (Walk21), Maria Cordeiro (World Bank), Carlos Dora and Thiago Hérick de Sa (WHO), Alyssa Fischer (WRI). Section Authors, Feedback Team Members and Other Section Contributors Juan Carlos Muñoz (BRT Centre of Excellence); Mark Wenzel (California EPA); Carlosfelipe Pardo (Despacio); Bernhard Ensink (European Cyclists’ Federation (ECF)); Richard Clarke and Sheila Watson (GFEI); Jakob Baum, Urda Eichhorst, Mathias Merforth, Christian Mettke and Friedel Sehlleier (GIZ); Yann Briand (IDDRI); Pierpaolo Cazzola, Marine Gorner and Sacha Scheffer (IEA); Nicholas Wagner and Gayathri Prakash (IRENA); Jacob Mason (ITDP); Jari Kauppila (ITF); Markus Delfs (MobilseYourCity Partnership); Jan Brooke (Navigating a Changing Climate); Aage Jorgensen (NDF); Rana Adib, Flávia Guerra, and Hannah E Murdock (REN21); Robin Chase (SMP), Sharon Feigon (SUMC), Andrew Murphy (Transport & Environment), Adam Cohen and Susan Shaheen (UC Berkeley); Lew Fulton (UC Davis); Tristan Smith (UCL Energy Institute); Andrea Braschi and Carole Zeno Escolan (UIC); Philip Turner (UITP); Valentin Foltescu (UN Environment); Daniel Sauter (Urban Mobility Research/Walk21); Marie Venner (Venner Consulting); Todd Litman (VTPI); Martin Wedderburn (Walk21); Regina Guthold (WHO). Senior Advisor Tyrrell Duncan (Independent Consultant) Special Advisor Rana Adib (REN21) Lead Consultant Aileen Carrigan (Bespoke Transit Solutions) Editing, Design and Layout Lisa M. Ross (Editor) Rayce Tugano, Billy Villareal, Rai O’Yek, Armie Decena, Ronald Eugenio, Mike Cortes (Design Muscle) Cover Photos Nikola Medimorec Ryoji Iwata Peer Reviewers and Other Contributors Alexander Jung (Agora Verkehrswende); Barry Howe (Alstom); Bert Witkamp (AVERE); Emilie Prattico (Business for Social Responsibility); Bernhard Ensink (ECF); Zoltán Szabó (EERL); Jakob Baum; Dennis Knese, Mathias Merforth, Christian Mettke, Martin Schaefer, Friedel Sehlleier, and Tali Trigg (GIZ); Cristiano Façanha (ICCT); Yann Briand (IDDRI); Sacha Scheffer (IEA); Laetitia Dablanc (IFSTTAR); Gayathri Prakash and Nicholas Wagner (IRENA); Cristian Gonzalez and Susanna Zammataro (IRF); Clarisse Linke and Jacob Mason (ITDP); Markus Delfs (MobilseYourCity Partnership); Jan Brooke (Navigating a Changing Climate); Aage Jorgensen (NDF); Holly Parker (Noa); Caley Johnson (NREL); Flávia Guerra and Hannah Murdock (REN21); Hutch Hutchinson (Rocky Mountain Institute); Ellen Partridge and Kevin Karner (Shared Use Mobility Center); Andrew Murphy (T&E); Philippe Stefanos (UIC); Bert Fabian (UN Environment); Herrie Schalekamp (University of Cape Town); Edna Ohiambo (University of Nairobi); Kara Kockelman (University of Texas); Roger Behrens (VREF CoE - Cape Town); Todd Litman (VTPI); Bronwen Thornton (Walk21); Patricia Ferrini (WHO); Maria Cordeiro (World Bank); Ben Welle (WRI); Fernando Rangel Villasana (WWF); Stefan Bakker (Independent); Tyrrell Duncan (Independent); David Leipziger (Independent); Margarita Parra (Independent); Xumei Chen (Independent). Foreword A recently-released special report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change underscores the urgency of reducing emissions significantly and rapidly to achieve the 1.5 degree Celsius scenario (1.5DS) called for in the Paris Agreement, to avoid potentially catastrophic climate impacts by mid-century. The transport sector contributes roughly one quarter of global energy related GHG emissions and one sixth of total emissions and is the fastest growing emissions sector. Without rapid and ambitious mitigation action, transport emissions could more than double by 2050; thus, it is evident that any path to a 1.5DS must include low carbon transport as a central element. This inaugural edition of the Transport and Climate Change Global Status Report (TCC-GSR) is intended to help ensure that low-carbon transport is a central strategy in climate action at global, regional, national, and sub-national levels. The report describes recent trends in transport demand emissions, illustrates recent policy targets and measures across a number of transport sub-sectors, and sets a baseline from which to demonstrate the potential of transport to make a proportional contribution to the 1.5DS. The TCC-GSR is intended primarily as a resource for policy-makers to raise ambition on climate mitigation and adaptation in sustainable transport plans and programs by countries, cities, states and provinces, and private sector companies; thus, the report provides a central repository on transport and climate change data which can help to support policy-makers in setting transport planning targets. In addition, the report offers trends analyses supported by peer examples to help increase coherence among low carbon transport policies for actors at different levels of government. The TCC-GSR opens with a Key Findings section, which synthesizes report outputs and offers a set of broad trends observed in the past year. Part I of the report consists of a Global Overview comparing current trends in transport and climate change across three dimensions: passenger and freight transport, international aviation and shipping, and global regions with respect to transport demand, transport emissions, and low-carbon transport policy measures. Part II describes recent trends in transport demand and transport emissions and illustrates potential Paris Agreement-compliant mitigation pathways. Part III of describes frameworks for transport and climate change planning through the UNFCCC mitigation and adaptation planning processes, along with low carbon transport policy targets and measures across eight major policy areas, which are illustrated by recent examples from a range of global regions including extensive case studies from the Global South. Part IV describes avenues to scale up and accelerate implementation of low-carbon transport measures, which include financing strategies to achieve transformational change in the transport sector and ongoing stakeholder efforts to support such a transformation at global, regional, national and sub-national levels. While the TCC-GSR offers a snapshot of recent progress on transport and climate change, it is not intended to make policy recommendations, nor does it advocate the use of any particular low carbon transport measure, mode, or technology. Data are drawn from the most recent publicly-available source to populate a set of key indicators, which are to be refined and expanded ni the future. As available data are not consistently robust for each of the eight policy areas, the report maintains indicators to highlight existing gaps with the goal to support future data collection efforts. Mode shift and emission reduction impacts for implemented measures in each of the eight policy areas are quantified where possible, data sets are currently limited for most of this policy areas. The eight policy areas described in Part III provide an illustrative subset of transport sub-sectors to complement summaries in the Global Overview, which are to be expanded in future iterations of the TCC-GSR. Future editions of the report are envisioned to have increasing emphasis on quantifying the results of policy targets and measures relative to the baselines established in the current report, and to assess these trends relative to the transport sector emission gap. To accomplish this, the TCC-GSR will seek to establish in-country networks to help compile more current and comprehensive transport data. This report has been made possible
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