Annual Report

2013

Institut français des relations internationales The French Institute of International Relations

Contents

Ifri, the Leading French Think Tank on International Questions 3 In 2013, Ifri Notably Hosted… 4 Ifri’s 2013 Publications 6 Ifri’s Partner Businesses 7 Ifri and the Media: A Rich Ongoing Dialogue 10 The 6th World Policy Conference 11 The Team 12 Board of Directors and Advisory Board 13 Research 14 Regional Programs 16 Crosscutting Programs 30 Publications 37 Conferences and Debates 42 Financial Appendix 45

Annual Report 2013 2

Ifri, the Leading French Think Tank on

International Questions

In 2013, Ifri was ranked 25th out of the 100 most influential think tanks in the world by the 2013 Global Go To Think Tank Index Report from the University of Pennsylvania. The report takes into account some 6,826 think-tanks in 182 countries. Founded in 1979 on the model of Anglo-Saxon think tanks , Ifri is the principal institution for independent research and debate in , dedicated to the analysis of international questions and global governance. Ifri’s policy-oriented research strives to illuminate international events and put them into perspective. It is primarily useful for political and economic decision-makers as well as academics, opinion leaders, and civil society representatives. Ifri’s research interacts with issues in four major spheres: politics, business, academics and the media.

Analysis and Foresight Ifri’s research and debates center mainly on analysis and forecasting, with respect to European and international affairs, and use a multidisciplinary approach that takes local, national and global perspectives into consideration.  Ifri is composed of more than 30 permanent researchers (French and foreign) from a wide range of backgrounds and disciplines, who make up 14 research units based on: • regional subjects: Europe, Russia/NIS, Asia, United States, North Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Turkey, and the Middle East • crosscutting subjects: security and strategic affairs, energy, space, migration and citizenship

Ifri publishes its analyses in French, English, German and Russian. In 2013, its experts published more than 75 policy papers.

Structuring the Debate Ifri’s research is complemented by informal and non-partisan debates that facilitate the bringing-together of experts and decision-makers, private and public alike. In 2013, Ifri organized more than 100 conferences and debates in Paris and Brussels, 20 large international events in France and abroad, and numerous workshops and seminars. At its events, Ifri has hosted more than 120 high-level guests, among them heads of state and government officials, and a total of approximately 9,000 event participants.

Ifri Brussels, a European Network

Through its office in Brussels – open since March 2005 – Ifri has an active interface between Paris and the capital of the EU. Ifri’s mission is to enrich European debate and, through its multidisciplinary approach, cover all dimensions of international relations.

The Think Tank Dialogue, which was started in 2010 by Ifri Brussels along with Bertelsmann Stiftung and Agence Europe, annually brings together Brussels’s 11 most prestigious think-tanks. The fourth meeting, “Federalism or Fragmentation: Spelling out Europe’s F- word”, was hosted by José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission, and Herman Van Rompuy, President of the European Council.

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In 2013, Ifri Notably Hosted …

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Egemen Bağiş, Minister for European Affairs of the Republic of Turkey José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Commission Mohamed Bazoum, Minister of State for Foreign Affairs, Cooperation, African Integration, and Nigeriens Abroad of the Republic of Niger Chris Beddoes, Director General, Europia European Petroleum Industry Association Thomas Boni Yayi, President of the Republic of Benin Nicole Bricq, Minister for Foreign Trade Ditmir Bushati, Minister for Foreign Affairs of Albania Hervé Charpentier, Military governor of Paris Titus Corlatean, Minister for Foreign Affairs of Romania John Dramani Mahama, President of the Republic of Ghana Charles Ellinas, Executive President, Cyprus National Hydrocarbons Company Jose W. Fernandez, Secretary of State for Economic, Energy, and Business Affairs, USA Élisabeth Guigou, President of the Foreign Affairs Commission, National Assembly 3 Robert Hormats, Under Secretary of State for Economic Growth, Energy, and the Environment, USA Lee Hsien Loong, Prime Minister of Singapore Yu Hyun-seok, President of the Korea Foundation Wolfgang Ischinger, President of the Munich Security Conference (MSC) Mohammad Javad Zarif, Minister for Foreign Affairs of the Islamic Republic of Iran Ioannis Kasoulides, Minister for Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Cyprus Jakaya Kikwete, President of the United Republic of Tanzania Shinichi Kitaoka, President of the International University of Japan, acting chair of Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Panel on Restructuring the Legal Basis for National Security and chair of the Panel on National Security and Defense Capabilities 4 Bernard Kouchner, Former Minister for Foreign Affairs

1/ Mohammad Javad Zarif, Thierry de Alexeï Koudrine, Former Minister for Finance (2000-2011) and Former Deputy Prime Montbrial Minister (2007-2011) of the Russian Federation 2/ Dominique David, Dramani Mahama Jack Lang, President of the Arab World Institute 3/ Thomas Boni Yayi 4/ Elisabeth Laurin, Director for Asia and Oceania, Ministry of Foreign Affairs

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Jean-David Lévitte, Professor, Sciences Po, Paris, Distinguished Fellow, Brookings Institution, former Diplomatic Adviser and sherpa for Presidents Chirac and Sarkozy Pierre Lévy, Director of European Union Department, Ministry of Foreign Affairs David Lidington, Minister of State at the Foreign Office, serving as Minister for Europe, United Kingdom Emmanuel Macron, Deputy Secretary-General to the Presidency of the Republic, G20 sherpa for President Hollande

5 Henri Malosse, President of the European Economic and Social Committee Saïd Mouline, Director General, Agency for Development of Renewable Energy and Energy Efficiency, MoroccoEdward Nalbandian, Minister for Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Armenia Pierre Nkurunziza, President of the Republic of Burundi Taleb Ould Abdi Vall, Minister for Petroleum, Energy and Mines, Mauritania Alexey Ouliukaev, Minister for Economic Development of the Russian Federation Mauro Petriccione, Director in the European Commission's Directorate General for Trade, Director of Asia and Latin America Juan Carlos Pinzon Bueno, Minister for National Defense of the Republic of Colombia Claus Raidl, President of the Austrian National Bank Thierry Repentin, Minister for European Affairs Teresa Ribeiro, Deputy Secretary General for Energy at the Secretariat of the Union for the Mediterranean, Barcelona Michel Rocard, Former Prime Minister Adam Sieminski, Administrator of the US Energy Information Administration (EIA) 6 Boguslaw Sonik, Member of European Parliament, Rapporteur, “The Environmental Impacts of Shale Gas and Shale Oil Extraction Activities”

Nguyen Tan Dung, Prime Minister of the Socialist Republic of Vietnam Justin Vaïsse, Director, Center of Analysis, Prevention and Strategy (CAPS), Ministry for Foreign Affairs Herman Van Rompuy, President of the European Council Gao Yan, Vice-Chairman, Chamber of Commerce for the Petroleum Industry, All- China Federation of Industry & Trade

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4/ Alexey Ouliukaev, Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, Thomas Gomart 5/ Nguyen Tan Dung 6/ Lee Hsien Loong, Thierry de Montbrial 8 7/ David Lidington 8 / Titus Corlatean 9

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Ifri’s 2013 Publications

Ifri’s research is almost entirely available in digital format, with free access for all. • E-notes – policy-oriented texts that address issues from all Ifri’s programs or Ifri’s E-notes (digital collections) Broken up into diverse thematic collections and overseen by Ifri’s researchers, centers; they are the E-notes present policy-oriented analyses by French and international distributed in a targeted experts. Applying expertise to current events, they provide summaries of way so as to reach a debates and suggest possibilities for action. specialist readership.

• Études de l’Ifri – longer Within this framework, Ifri publishes thematic collections: Asie.Visions, Notes du Cerfa, Visions franco-allemandes, Notes franco-turques, Potomac Papers, texts that contribute to academic research on Russie.NEI.Visions, Focus stratégiques, Proliferation Papers, and the collections international relations. from the Sub-Saharan Africa, North Africa, Space, and Energy programs as well as the Centre for Migrations and Citizenship. • Séminaires – summaries In 2013, Ifri’s experts published more than 75 online reports (policy papers) of Ifri’s events. and 150 articles and contributions. • Actuelles de l’Ifri – Ifri distributes its publications in French, English, German and Russian. concise and timely analyses of current international events.

Two Flagship Publications

Politique étrangère Editor-in-Chief: Dominique David / Deputy Editor-in-Chief: Marc Hecker

A space for background analysis and debate, Ifri’s quarterly journal Politique étrangère strives to make sense of international events. Articles, current event- related debates, and documents studying the history of relevant issues can be found on the Politique étrangère blog: http://politique-etrangere.com/.

In 2013, the four issues of the journal included reports and articles focusing on current international events, including: Israel after the elections / Russia in the Middle East (no 1/2013); Diplomacy: Obama’s choices II (no 2/2013); Tomorrow’s wars: strategy, technology, ethics (no 3/2013); The European States: could they fall apart? (no 4/2013).

RAMSES 2013, 32nd edition – Les jeunes vers l’explosion ? Co-Directors: Thierry de Montbrial and Philippe Moreau Defarges

Annual Global Report on the Economic System and Strategies This annual reference book, which comes out every September, offers indispensable tools for elucidating global developments. As an introduction, Thierry de Montbrial’s “Perspectives” presents an original synthesis of the trends of the past year, covering the entire field of international relations, with particular emphasis on the emergence of a global civil society. This is followed by 7 thematic sections: Youth Today; Global Economy; Europe; the Arab World; Africa; Asia and the Americas, and the “Compass”, which offers a vast documentary resource: chronology, statistics, original maps created for RAMSES, and a detailed index.

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Ifri’s Partner Businesses

Ifri offers a unique platform for businesses, many of which are leading players in international relations. Combining research and debate, Ifri offers its partners access to its renowned policy-oriented expertise.

The strategic development team at Ifri works to diversify Ifri’s resources and establish firm, long-lasting relationships with the businesses that support it. In 2013, aside from maintaining almost all prior members, the strategic development team welcomed two new members to the program, despite the difficult economic context.

Support for Ifri comes in different forms: • Membership: general Ifri membership • Program support: support for a team of researchers • Major partner: Ifri membership and support of multiple research programs

All these forms of support offer tax advantages to donors.

Jean-François Tallec - CMA CGM, Thomas Gomart, Virginie Robert - Les Echos

Ifri partners’ motivations for getting and staying involved include: benefiting from illuminating research; participating in discussions with the experts, policymakers and international personalities that make up Ifri's network; supporting research in international relations, and allowing a French think tank to increase its weight in international debate.

Anne Boddaert – Le Chèque Déjeuner CCR, Emmanuelle Farrugia, Thierry Blanchetier, Partner, Mazars

Ifri extends warm thanks to its loyal supporters, including CMA-CGM and Hess Oil France, who joined in 2013.

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Events Reserved for Ifri Members and Partners

Dinners and lunch debates Les Mensuelles Ifri/Entreprises

Chair: Thierry de Montbrial Lunch Debates with Ifri’s researchers Chair: 22 October – Is an immigration policy Dominique David adapted for businesses possible? 22 January – Jakaya Kikwete, With Christophe Bertossi, Director, President of the United Republic of With the support of the Fondation du Center for Migrations and Citizenship, Tanzania Crédit Mutuel Ifri; Emma Broughton, Researcher, Center for Migrations and Citizenship, 8 April – Wolfgang Ischinger, Ifri President of the Munich Security Conference (MSC)

27 April – Robert Hormats, Under Secretary of State for Economic 7 February – Second Term for Obama: Growth, Energy, and the what should happen? Environment, USA With Laurence Nardon, Head of the United States Program, Ifri 30 April – Emmanuel Macron, Deputy Secretary General to the Presidency of the Republic, G20 sherpa for 28 February – China: new team, new President Hollande directions? With Alice Ekman, Associate Researcher,

23 May – Joseph Nye, Professor Ifri Center for Asian Studies Ambassadors’ Table Meetings for ambassador members, Emeritus, Center for Public businesses, and individual benefactors Leadership, Harvard University 28 March – The future of the Russian launched in 2010. university system: what are the strategies Chair: Thierry de Montbrial and objectives?

28 May – Alexeï Koudrine, Former With Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, Researcher, 30 January – Fareed Yasseen, Finance Minister (2000-2011) and Russia/NIS Center, Ifri Ambassador of the Republic of Iraq Former Deputy Prime Minister (2007-

2011) of the Russian Federation 24 April – Tunisia after two years: a 4 April – Ichiro Komatsu, Ambassador model to follow or to avoid? of Japan 4 June – Marwan Lahoud, Deputy With Denis Bauchard, Adviser on the

Chief Executive, EADS Middle East, Ifri 9 October – Tomasz Orlowski,

Ambassador of Poland 11 June – Titus Corlatean, Minister 11 June – Mali: French intervention and for Foreign Affairs, Romania reconstruction With Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan 29 October – Lee Hsien Loong, Prime Africa Program, Ifri; Étienne de Durand, Conferences reserved for Minister of Singapore Director, Security Studies Center, Ifri members of Ifri

5 November – Mohammad Javad 4 July – Energy in Europe 28 March – Mansouria Mokhefi, Head, Zarif, Minister for Foreign Affairs of With Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center Middle East/North Africa Program, Ifri the Islamic Republic of Iran for Energy, Ifri Political transformations west of the Mediterranean 25 September – Egypt, Tunisia: the Arab

Spring, between revolution and counter- 24 April – Thierry de Montbrial, revolution President, Ifri With Mansouria Mokhefi, Head, Middle Has globalization reached its limits? East/North Africa Program, Ifri 22 October – Hans Stark, Secretary

General, Cerfa, Ifri What to expect from Germany’s new government

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Ifri’s Partners LAZARD FRÈRES GESTION SAS AFD – AGENCE FRANÇAISE DAVIS POLK & WARDWELL PARIS MARKAZ – KUWAIT FINANCIAL DE DÉVELOPPEMENT DEVELOPMENT INSTITUTE CENTER S.A.K. AIR FRANCE INTERNATIONAL MAZARS AIR LIQUIDE EADS FRANCE MEDEF AREVA EDF MICHELIN AXA EQUANCY OCP BANQUE DE FRANCE AGENCE SPATIALE EUROPÉENNE (ESA) ORANGE BEARINGPOINT FRANCE EUTELSAT OSEO BNP PARIBAS FONDATION CLARENCE WESTBURY PERNOD RICARD BOUYGUES FONDATION DU CRÉDIT MUTUEL PRONUTRI BRITISH COUNCIL (THE) FONDS AXA POUR LA RECHERCHE PRICEWATERHOUSECOOPERS BUREAU DE REPRÉSENTATION GDF SUEZ RENAULT DE TAIPEI EN FRANCE GROUPAMA ASSET MANAGEMENT ROTHSCHILD & Cie BANQUE BURELLE SA GROUPE CHÈQUE DÉJEUNER RTE CAISSE DES DÉPÔTS ET HESS OIL FRANCE SAFRAN CONSIGNATIONS (CDC) HSBC FRANCE SANOFI CHENIÈRE LNG INTERNATIONAL IFP ÉNERGIES NOUVELLES SOCIÉTÉ GÉNÉRALE CITIGROUP FRANCE INDUSTRIES ET FINANCES SODEXO CMA CGM PARTENAIRES SSB CORPORATIONS COGES JAXA FRANCE TOTAL COMMISSARIAT À L’ÉNERGIE JETRO PARIS (JAPAN EXTERNAL UNIGRAINS ATOMIQUE ET AUX ÉNERGIES TRADE ORGANIZATION) VALLOUREC ALTERNATIVES (CEA) L’ORÉAL VEOLIA PROPRETÉ CONSEIL SUPÉRIEUR DU NOTARIAT LA POSTE VIEL & Cie CONVICTIONS ASSET MANAGEMENT LAFARGE VINCI

Member Organizations

BREWERS OF EUROPE (THE) (Belgium) JAPAN BANK FOR INTERNATIONAL COOPERATION (JBIC) CENTRAL EUROPE ENERGY PARTNERS (Belgium) JETRO PARIS (JAPAN EXTERNAL TRADE ORGANIZATION) CENTRE DE TRADUCTION DU MINEFE ET MBCPFP SECOURS CATHOLIQUE CONSEIL SUPÉRIEUR DU NOTARIAT THIERRY APOTEKER CONSULTING (TAC) INSTITUT DE RECHERCHE STRATÉGIQUE DE L’ÉCOLE VOJVODINA EUROPEAN OFFICE (Serbia) MILITAIRE (IRSEM) YALTA EUROPEAN STRATEGY (YES) (Ukraine)

Member Embassies ALGERIA FINLAND KUWAIT ROMANIA ANDORRA GEORGIA LATVIA RUSSIA ARMENIA GERMANY LEAGUE OF ARAB STATES SERBIA AUSTRIA GREECE LUXEMBOURG SINGAPORE AZERBAIJAN HUNGARY MALAYSIA SLOVAKIA BRAZIL INDIA MONACO SOUTH KOREA CANADA INDONESIA NETHERLANDS SWEDEN CHINA IRAQ NEW ZEALAND SWITZERLAND CROATIA IRELAND NORWAY TAIPEI CYPRUS ISRAEL POLAND TURKEY CZECH REPUBLIC ITALY POLAND OECD UNITED KINGDOM DENMARK JAPAN PORTUGAL UNITED STATES ESTONIA KAZAKHSTAN QUEBEC VIETNAM

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Ifri and the Media: A Rich Ongoing Dialogue

Ifri offers the French and foreign media a forum for meeting and debating, an independent platform where ideas and analyses can be shared and developed.

In 2013, Ifri was very active in the national and international media: its researchers authored 345 articles and interviews, were quoted approximately 4,300 times, and made 320 television and radio appearances.

Ifri strengthened its international position in 2013 and its influence on the media landscape, in France and abroad: 33% of the year’s articles and interviews were published by foreign media sources.

In 2013 Ifri expanded and reinforced its collaboration and partnerships with the media, especially with the three main daily newspapers, Le Monde, Le Figaro and Les Échos, which published 40 articles by and interviews with Ifri’s researchers; with Libération for the “Power and Responsibility” Rennes Forum and for the international conference “The new Kurdish dynamic”, co-organized with the Arab World Institute; with The Economist for the “Russia Business Summit” and the “Brazil Business Summit”; with LCI for a regular collaboration on Michel Field’s TV show “Le 17/20”; with France Culture for the shows “Enjeux internationaux”, “Culturesmonde” and “Affaires étrangères”; with BFM Business for “Good Morning Weekend”; with EurActiv on all European and energy-related issues; and with the Revue des deux mondes, etc.

A Growing Digital Presence

In 2013, Ifri continued the development of its digital presence and increased its visibility online. Ifri’s conferences are now filmed and broadcast through Dailymotion. Over 270 videos were made available to the public in 2013, and together they received more than 120,000 views.

Ifri is very active on Facebook, Twitter, Google+ and LinkedIn. Ifri’s digital publications are distributed through Pearltrees, Scribd and Calaméo.

Finally, Ifri has expanded its visibility in the blogosphere, with three blogs:

• Ultima Ratio, the Security Studies Center’s blog, is one of the main blogs on defense issues in France: http://ultimaratio-blog.org • Politique étrangère, the blog dedicated to the journal politique- etrangere.com • Afrique décryptages, the Sub-Saharan Africa Program’s new blog: afriquedecryptages.wordpress.com

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1 Sixth World Policy Conference

13-15 December 2013, Monaco

The sixth World Policy Conference (WPC) was held in Monaco from 13th to 15th December 2013. It brought together political and economic decision-makers, experts and opinion leaders to discuss current events and global governance, as it has done in the past years. The meetings opened with an introduction from Thierry de Montbrial,

followed by a speech by Albert II, Prince of Monaco, and Ali Babacan, Deputy Prime Minister of Turkey. Thirteen plenary sessions were devoted to discussing the challenges of global governance in areas including international finance, European integration, and the crises in the Middle East. Among the distinguished speakers were HRH Prince Turki Al Faisal (Chairman, Board of Directors, KFCRIS), Henri de Castries (CEO, Axa), Paul Hermelin (CEO, Capgemini) Mostafa Terrab (CEO, OCP), Pascal Lamy (Honorary President, Notre Europe), Élisabeth Guigou (Chair, Committee on Foreign Affairs, National Assembly), Bruno Lafont (CEO, Lafarge), Jin Roy Ryu (President, Poongsan), Titus Corlatean (Romanian Minister for Foreign Affairs), Didier Reynders (Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Foreign Affairs, Foreign Trade and European Affairs of Belgium), and Itamar Rabinovich (President, Israel Institute).

The workshops focused on four major issues - Energy and Environment, Health and Emerging Risks, Food Security, and Finance – viewed from the perspective of global governance. The discussions were particularly constructive, with participants such as Christophe de Margerie (CEO, Total), Maria van der Hoeven (Executive Director, IEA), James D. Wolfensohn (President, World Bank), Christian Bréchot (Director General, Institut Pasteur), Mahama Zoungrana (Minister for Agriculture and Food Security of Burkina Faso), Marcos Jank (CEO, Brasil Foods), Jean-Claude Trichet (former President, European Central Bank) and Marek Belka (President, National Bank of Poland).

With distinguished guests including Herman Van Rompuy (European Council President), Carl Bildt (Swedish Foreign Minister), Hubert Vedrine (former French Foreign Affairs Minister), (French Foreign Affairs Minister), and Pauline Marois (Prime Minister of Quebec), lunch and dinner debates provided an opportunity for dialogue to continue on topics covered in other sessions and workshops, such as international finance and the futures of Europe and the Middle East. The sixth annual conference of the WPC, which maintained a very positive atmosphere, generated new insights in several areas, helping to create a clearer picture of the specific challenges posed to global governance today. The speakers and participants, coming from a wide range of backgrounds and nationalities, demonstrated sincerity, moderation and openness. The success of this conference came from both its intellectual and human dimensions.

3 2 Sponsors: 1 / Laurent Fabius 3 Principality of Monaco, EFG International, OCP, Total, EADS, Capgemini, Fondation Latsis 2 / Thierry de Montbrial, HRH Turki Al Faisal Internationale, Lafarge, Axa, Grampet Group, Renault Nissan, Poongsan, Fondation 3/ Energy and Environment workshop Zinsou, EximBank, SN Nucleaelectrica, Alro, APCO Worldwide

Media partners: An-Nahar, Les Échos, EurActiv, Euronews, Jeune Afrique, Maeil Business, L’Orient-Le Jour

Website: www.worldpolicyconference.com/www.worldpolicyconferencetv.com Annual Report 2013 11

The Team as of the 31st of December 2013

Thierry de Montbrial, President, Member of the Académie des sciences morales et politiques Ifri’s Executive Committee Florence Richomme, Administrative Assistant Thierry de Montbrial, President Doïna Romanenko, Coordinator of Activities, Office of the Dominique David, Executive Vice-President President Valérie Genin, Secretary General Thomas Gomart, Vice-President for Strategic Development Dominique David Executive Vice-President Étienne de Durand, Director of Ifri Security Studies Center Nadia Fraïoli, Assistant Françoise Nicolas, Director of Ifri Center for Asian Studies

Dominique Moïsi, Special Adviser Song-Nim Kwon, Director of WPC Programs RAMSES Natacha Crance, Communications/Media Relations officer Thierry de Montbrial and Philippe Moreau Defarges, Co-Directors United States Program Research Marie-Claire Bani-Amer, Assistant Laurence Nardon, Head

Politique étrangère Europe Security Studies Center Dominique David, Editor-in-Chief Study Committee for Franco-German Étienne de Durand, Director Relations (Cerfa) Marc Hecker, Deputy Editor-in-Chief Marc Hecker, Research Fellow Hans Stark, Secretary General Aline Lebœuf, Research Fellow Publications Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, Research Fellow Corentin Brustlein, Research Fellow Cécile Tarpinian, Head of Editing Nele Katharina Wissmann, Junior Research Élie Tenenbaum, Research Assistant Aude Jeanson, Head of Distribution (until Fellow March 2013); Dragos Bobu, Head of Sandrina Delgrange, Assistant Defense Research Unit (LRD) Distribution (beginning April 2013) Étienne de Durand, Head French-Austrian Center (CFA) Antoine d’Évry (Major), Research Fellow Dominique David, Adviser Library and Resource Services Guillaume Garnier (Major), Research Éliane Mossé, Adviser for Central Europe Daniel Marier, Archivist Fellow Nele Katharina Wissmann, Junior Research Azra Isakovic, Archivist Aline Lebœuf, Research Fellow Fellow Corentin Brustlein, Research Fellow

Strategic Development Ifri Brussels Economic Studies Program Vivien Pertusot, Head Thomas Gomart, Vice-President for Strategic Laura Parmigiani, Associate Researcher Jacques Mistral, Economic Adviser Development Eva Vaudolon, Assistant Emmanuelle Farrugia, Deputy Manager Center for Energy Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Dominique Desgranges, Research and Russia/NIS Center Prospect Management Thomas Gomart, Director Scientific Committee William Ramsay, Adviser Cécile Campagne, Corporate and Embassy Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, Research Fellow Members Relations Julien Nocetti, Research Fellow Maïté Jauréguy-Naudin, Director (until January 2013) Barbara M’Chiri, Individual Members Relations Ifri Center for Asian Studies Cécile Maisonneuve, Director (beginning in February 2013) Françoise Nicolas, Director Maïté de Boncourt, Research Fellow Secretary General Céline Pajon, Research Fellow Laura Parmigiani, Associate Researcher John Seaman, Research Fellow Martine Breux, Assistant Valérie Genin, Secretary General

Françoise Henry, Assistant Middle East/North Africa/Mediterranean Space Program Middle East/North Africa Program Laurence Nardon, Head Accounting Denis Bauchard, Adviser Martine Breux, Assistant Annie Acher, Accountant Mansouria Mokhefi, Head Nathalie Reculon-Dupont, Accountant

Center for Migrations and Citizenship Maghreb Facing New Global Challenges Facilities and Security Program Christophe Bertossi, Director Mansouria Mokhefi, Head Dorothée Prud’homme, Research Fellow Nathalie Magnier-Hartmann, Head Emma Broughton, Research Fellow Mhenna Larbes, General Services Technician Contemporary Turkey Program Charles Renault, Technician Dorothée Schmid, Head Researchers’ bios are available online at Barbara M’Chiri, Houria Mabrouk, www.ifri.org. Receptionists Sub-Saharan Africa Program Alex Maleau, Technician

Alain Antil, Head Information Technology Hélène Quénot-Suarez, Research Fellow Daniel Safon, IT Manager Annual Report 2013 12

Board of Directors Advisory Board December 2013 December 2013

Chairman Chairman Thierry de Montbrial, Member of the Académie des sciences André Lévy-Lang, Associate Professor Emeritus, University morales et politiques, President of Ifri of Paris-Dauphine

Deputy Chairman and Secretary Members Louis Schweitzer, Chairman and former CEO of Renault,

President of Initiative France Vladimir Baranovski, Deputy Director of the Institute of Deputy Chairman and Treasurer World Economy and International Relations (IMEMO), Olivier Poupart-Lafarge, Member of the Autorité des Moscow marchés financiers (AMF) and the Autorité des normes Christian de Boissieu, Professor, University of Paris I comptables (ANC) Jean -Claude Casanova, Member of the Académie des Members sciences morales et politiques, Director of the journal

Robert Badinter, former Minister, Senator Commentaire

Marianne Bastid-Bruguière, President of the Académie des Alain Dejammet, Ambassador of France sciences morales et politiques Vincent Desportes, Major-General Catherine Bréchignac, Permanent Secretary of the

Academy of Sciences Karl Kaiser, Adjunct Professor of Public Policy, Harvard Kennedy School, Cambridge, United States Hélène Carrère d'Encausse, Permanent Secretary of the Académie française Jean Klein, Professor Emeritus, University of Paris Jean-Pierre Chevènement, former Minister, Senator André Lévy-Lang, Associate Professor Emeritus, University of Paris-Dauphine Alain Dejammet, Ambassador of France Dominique Moïsi, Special Adviser, Ifri Nathalie Delapalme, Director of Research and Public Policy Jean-Christophe Romer, Professor, Sciences Po Strasbourg, for the Mo Ibrahim Foundation University of Strasbourg III Mireille Delmas-Marty, Professor at Collège de France Simon Serfaty, Professor, University of Norfolk, Virginia, François Drouin, President-Director General of OSEO holder of the Zbigniew Brzezinski chair in Global Security and Geostrategy at CSIS, Washington Jean-Pierre Elkabbach, Journalist , President of Lagardère News

Danièle Hervieu-Léger, Director of Studies, EHESS-CESPRA

Pierre Jacquet, President of Global Development Network

Stanislas de Laboulaye, Ambassador of France to the Holy See Jean-Claude Meyer, Deputy Chairman of Rothschild Europe Yvette Nicolas, Founding President of the Humanitarian Association Le Pélikan Georges -Henri Soutou, Professor Emeritus, Sorbonne, Member of the Académie des sciences morales et politiques Serge Sur, Professor at University of Paris II, Director of the International Relations Department – IHEI-DRI Mostafa Terrab, President and CEO of the OCP Group

Annual Report 2013 13

The Research

Annual Report 2013 14

The Research

Regional Programs Europe Study Committee for Franco-German Relations (Cerfa) 16 French-Austrian Center (CFA) 19 Ifri Brussels 20 Russia/NIS Center 21 Ifri Center for Asian Studies 23 Middle East/North Africa/Mediterranean Middle East/North Africa Program 24 North Africa Facing New Global Challenges Program 25 Contemporary Turkey Program 26 Sub-Saharan Africa Program 27 United States Program 29

Crosscutting Programs Security Studies Center / Defense Research Unit 30 Space Program 32 Center for Energy 33 Center for Migrations and Citizenship 35

Annual Report 2013 15

REGIONAL PROGRAMS

Europe Between economic success and social instability, Germany 10 years after the Hartz laws, n° 101a, Brigitte Lestrade, Study Committee for Franco- May. Poverty in Europe: where is Germany? n° 101b, Christoph German Relations (Cerfa) Schröder, May. The energy transition: a challenge for German industry, n° Created in 1954 by an intergovernmental agreement 102, Hubertus Bardt, June. between the Federal Republic of Germany and France, Credit Union: the position of the German savings banks, n° the Study Committee for Franco-German Relations 103, Georg Fahrenschon, July. (Comité d’études des relations franco-allemandes, Cerfa) is today one of the oldest bilateral organizations involving the two countries. Renewing the transatlantic partnership? Its main goals are to: German-American relations during • contribute to a better understanding of the two Obama’s second term, n°104, Stormy- countries’ respective approaches to politics, Annika Mildner, Henning Riecke, Claudia society, and the economy Schmucker, July. • analyze the relationship between France and Germany within a constantly evolving European

Union (EU) Germany, France, Turkey: the triangle of power, n° 105 (Note franco-turque n° 9), Dorothée Schmid, September. Team Hans Stark, Research Fellow, Secretary General of Cerfa, "Schengen governance”: the subtle balance between University Professor Community method and intergovernmental logic, n° 106, Areas of expertise: history of Franco-German relations and Yves Pascouau, December. European integration, Common Foreign and Security Policy Germany after the federal elections of 22 September 2013: (CFSP), European Security and Defense Policy (ESDP), French between political continuity and structural changes, n° 107, and German foreign and security policies Ulrich Eith, December. Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, Research Fellow Areas of expertise: European integration, Franco-German relations “Visions franco-allemandes” Nele Katharina Wissmann, Junior Research Fellow, Head of the “Dialogue for the Future” program France, Germany and European defense: more pragmatism Areas of expertise: Franco-German relations, European and less pathos, n° 20, Claudia Major, January. integration, civil society in Germany Michel Drain, Associate researcher France and Germany: the present in perspective, n° 21, Areas of expertise: German security and defense policies Alfred Grosser, January.

Stephan Martens, Associate researcher Between ideals and interests: new French and German Areas of expertise: German foreign policy since the Second perspectives on North Africa, n° 22, Isabel Schäfer, World War, Franco-German relations, expansion of the EU February. towards the East The end of divergences? Perspectives on French and Publications German economic policies, n° 23, Henrik Uterwedde, October. “The Federal Elections of the 22nd Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri of September 2013: Overview, Ein gedrosselter Motor: Widerstände gegen den analysis and perspectives”, Hans europäischen Einigungsprozess in Deutschland und STARK and Jerôme VAILLANT Frankreich, Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, Hans Stark in Martin (ed.), Allemagne d'aujourd'hui, n° Koopmann, Joachim Schild, Hans Stark (eds.), Neue Wege in 206, October-December 2013. ein neues Europa. Die deutsch-französischen Beziehungen seit dem Ende des Kalten Krieges, Baden-Baden, Nomos, 2013, p. 35-53. Der Vertrag von Prüm – Ergebnis einer engen

Zusammenarbeit zwischen Deutschland und Frankreich, “Notes du Cerfa” Nele Wissmann (with Marion Gaillard), in Die Konsenswerkstatt. Deutsch-französische Kommunikations- Migrants in Germany, the integration debate, und Entscheidungsprozesse in der Europapolitik, Baden- n° 100, Nele Wissmann, January. Baden, Nomos, 2013, p. 195-209.

Annual Report 2013 16

REGIONAL PROGRAMS From One Electoral Campaign to Another: Franco-German International Seminars Relations in Turbulent Times, Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, The 13 February – Presentation of Cerfa’s two major publications: Polish Quarterly of International Affairs, vol. 22, n° 2/2013, p. Franco-German Relations in a Divided Europe. Myths and 45-61. realities and Franco-German Relations in a Unified Europe: Achievements and Challenges. The institutional consecration of the European Council, German Embassy, Résidence de Beauharnais, Paris. Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer in The European Council and European Governance. The Commanding Heights of the EU, 25 March – French-German Defense Cooperation: Obstacles Routledge, 2013, p. 25-42. and Opportunities Co-organized with Ifri’s Defense Research Unit (LRD). Between domination and disappearance: the Christian- Principal themes discussed: Barriers to cooperation – Liberal coalition’s à la carte foreign policy, Hans Stark, Relaunching a difficult partnership? Confronting visions Allemagne d’aujourd’hui, n° 206, October-December 2013, with Aline Leboeuf, Research fellow, LRD, Ifri; Étienne de p. 64-77. Durand, Head, LRD, Ifri; Christian Mölling, Associate Researcher, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP); Hans

Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, University Paris-Sorbonne; Conferences and Debates 16 January – France/Germany: Fifty years after the Élysée Claudia Major, Deputy Director, Politique de Sécurité Research treaty Group, SWP; Alexis Morel, Special Adviser, Foreign Ministry, With Hélène Miard-Delacroix, Professor at University Paris- Paris.

Hans Stark Sorbonne; , Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, 2 April – France, Germany and the future of Europe Professor at University Paris-Sorbonne. Seminar organized in partnership with the Policy Planning Staff Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. of the Ministry of Foreign and European Affairs and the 25 September – Germany after the federal elections of Planning Staff of the German Federal Foreign Office. September 22nd Principal themes discussed: What is the role of the Franco- In collaboration with the Maison Heinrich Heine. German relationship in tomorrow's Europe?; The means for With Stefan Kornelius, Head of Foreign Policy, Süddeutsche overcoming the debt crisis; Europe, a failed project?; The Zeitung, Munich, Author of Angela Merkel: Die Kanzlerin und architecture of Europe after the crisis. ihre Welt, 2013; Pierre-Yves Le Borgn’, Deputy (PS), Opening by Reinhard Schäfers, Ambassador of Germany in President, Franco-German Friendship Group of the France, and Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Assemblée nationale; Andreas Schockenhoff, Federal Deputy With Thomas Bagger, Director, Planungsstab, Ministry of (CDU), President, Franco-German Friendship Group of the Foreign Affairs, Berlin; Ansgar Belke, Professor, University of Bundestag; Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, Duisburg-Essen, Director of Research at the Deutsches Institut Professor at University Paris-Sorbonne. für Wirtsschaftsforschung (DIW); Jean-Michel Casa, Director, Chair: Henry Ménudier, Honorary Professor, University European Union Division, Paris; Jean-Dominique Giuliani, Sorbonne Nouvelle, Paris III President, Robert Schuman Foundation; Sylvie Goulard,

European Deputy; Ulrike Guérot, Director, Berlin Office of the 22 October – What to expect from Germany’s new European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR); Christian government Lequesne, Director, Centres d’études et de recherches Conference reserved for Ifri members. internationales (CERI), Sciences Po Paris; Joseph Maïla, With Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, Professor at Director, Policy Planning Staff of the Ministry of Foreign and University Paris-Sorbonne. European Affairs, Paris; Peter Schoof, Deputy Director General, Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. European Affairs Division, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Berlin; Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri; Álvaro de 12 November – The EU and Paris-Berlin relations after the Vasconcelos, Director, Institute of Security Studies of the German elections: a new deal? European Union, Paris; Werner Weidenfeld, Professor, Ludwig- In cooperation with the Fondation Friedrich-Ebert Maximilians-Universität Munich. Principal themes discussed: Where is Germany headed? Internal political and economic issues after the September 26 April – France, Germany, and Poland: shared interests and 22nd elections – The international implications of the divided strategies in a Europe in crisis September 22nd elections: Impacts on Germany’s European Weimar Triangle seminar in collaboration with the Genshagen policy and Franco-German relations. Foundation and the Bertelsmann Foundation. With Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, Professor at Principal themes discussed: What future for the transatlantic University Paris-Sorbonne; Peter Gey, Director, Fondation partnership?; Between cohesion, solidarity and disunity: how Friedrich-Ebert, Paris; Günter Gloser, Former German can the monetary and political unions be strengthened?; Minister of State for European Affairs and secretary for Europe between the South and the East: how can the European Franco-German cooperation, Berlin; Ulrich Eith, Professor, Neighbourhood Policy be reinforced? University of Fribourg; Barbara Lippert, Executive Board With Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri; Cornelius Director of Research, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik, Ochmann, Project Manager, Bertelsmann Foundation, Berlin; Berlin; Ernst Hillebrand, Director of International Political Analysis, Fondation Friedrich-Ebert, Berlin.

Annual Report 2013 17

REGIONAL PROGRAMS Martin Koopmann, Director, Genshagen Foundation; With Ekkehard Ernst, Division Chief, Employment Trends, Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer, Director, The German Marshall International Labour Organization (ILO), Geneva; Martin Fund of The United States (GMF), Paris; Marcin Terlikowski, Kremer, Division Chief, EU Economic Policy, Domestic Researcher, Polish Institute of International Affairs (PISM); Market and Competition, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Berlin; Claudia Major, Deputy Director, Security Policy Research Marcel Royez, Adviser on Social Affairs, French Embassy, Group, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), Berlin; Rabat; Ramzi Aammou, Head, France-Morocco Club, French Institute of Morocco, French Embassy, Rabat; Ute Christian Lequesne, Professor, Director of CERI, Sciences Po Paris; Isabell Hoffmann, Project Manager, Bertelsmann Brockmann, Deputy Director, German Chamber of Foundation; Agnieszka Lada, Director, Europe Program, Commerce and Industry in Morocco, Casablanca; Thomas Institute of Public Affairs (ISP), Warsaw; Stephen Bastos, Kühnelt, Member of the Board of Directors, Signalis/EADS, Project Manager, European Dialogue, Genshagen Unterschleißheim; Mehdi Laghzaoui, Director, Audi Foundation; Janusz Styckzek, Deputy Director, European Morocco, Member of the France-Morocco Club; Claire Policy Division, Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Warsaw; Serge Demesmay, France Program Manager/Franco-German Telle, Interministerial Delegate for the Mediterranean, Paris; Relations, German Council on Foreign Relations (DGAP), Iris Kempe, Researcher, American Institute for Contemporary Berlin; Reda Elmerini, Director of Economic and Financial German Studies (AICGS), Berlin; Piotr Buras, Director, Affairs of the Arab Maghreb Union, Rabat; Jean-Yves Léost, European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR), Warsaw; Director of European Affairs, Electricity Transport Network Stéphane Crouzat, Under-Director, Eastern-Central Europe (RTE France); Saïd Mouline, Director General, National and Baltic Region, European Union Division, Ministry of Agency for the development of renewable energies and Foreign Affairs, Paris; Markus Meckel, Minister for Foreign energy efficiency, Rabat; Teresa Ribeiro, Deputy Secretary Affairs of the former government of the GDR. General for Energy at the Secretariat of the Union for the Mediterranean, Barcelona; Dominique David, Executive 28/30 June – Dialogue on the Franco-German future – Lille Vice-President, Ifri. In partnership with the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (DGAP) and the Robert Bosch Foundation. 13 December – Defense policies of France and Germany, Issues addressed: Algeria: Franco-German cooperation or between military objectives and budgetary constraints competition in the field of energy?; The economic In partnership with the Konrad-Adenauer Foundation. convergence between France and Germany: how to Issues discussed: Professionalization of the Bundeswehr: a overcome the differences?; Reform of the euro area: how completed reform?; The White Paper on France and its much integration is needed? impact on defense policy and French security. With Christoph Partsch, Director General, Algerian German With Christian Piotr, former Chief of the Contrôle général Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Algeria; Francis Perrin, des armées; Roderich Kiesewetter, Deputy, Deutscher President, Stratégies et Politiques Énergétiques (SPE), Paris; Bundestag, Berlin; Ulrich Reineke, Vessel Captain, Division Jörn Bousselmi, Director General, Franco-German Chamber Chief, Under-Director of Planning I, Federal Defense of Commerce and Industry, Paris; Olivier Passet, Director, Ministry, Berlin; Camille Grand, Director, Foundation for Synthèses économiques, Xerfi; Pieter Cleppe, Director, Open Strategic Research (FRS), Paris; Jean-Marc Duquesne, Europe, Brussels; Franck Lirzin, Economist, Robert Schuman Major, Director, Institute of Advanced Studies in National Foundation, Paris. Defense (IHEDN), Paris; Rene Leitgen, Colonel (GS) Head of Section Strategic Guidelines for the Bundeswehr Ministry of 3 July – Seminar in partnership with the Diplomatic and Defense, Berlin; Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, Consular Institute (IDC) of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs Professor at University Paris-Sorbonne. Issues addressed: Franco-German economic and societal convergences and divergences; The European dimension in International Conferences Franco-German relations.

With Claire Demesmay, France Program Manager/Franco- 4 February – France and Germany after 50 years: a German Relations, German Council on Foreign Relations, relationship for Europe? (DGAP), Berlin; Henrik Uterwedde, Deputy Director, Franco- Co-organized with Ifri Brussels, in Brussels. German Institute, Ludwigsburg (DFI); Michel Drain, Associate

Researcher, Cerfa, Ifri; Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, Researcher, Issues discussed: A look at bilateral relations: What can Cerfa, Ifri; Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri. France and Germany’s relationship do for Europe?

9/13 October – Dialogue on the Franco-German Future – With Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, Professor at Rabat University Paris-Sorbonne; Alexis Dutertre, Deputy In partnership with the Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Permanent Representative, Permanent Representation of Politik (DGAP) and the Robert Bosch Foundation. France to the EU; Dominique David, Executive Vice- EU Foreign Policy; Current Challenges of Issues addressed: President, Ifri; Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, Research Fellow, the German, French and Moroccan labor markets; French, Cerfa, Ifri; Nicolas Scharioth, Consultant, Gallup Europe, German and Moroccan company cultures; Morocco: Partner Brussels; Jacqueline Hénard, Essayist, Berlin. to the EU and actor in the Maghreb-Mashreq regions; Energy cooperation between France, Germany and Morocco.

Annual Report 2013 18

REGIONAL PROGRAMS Europe French-Austrian Center (CFA)

The French-Austrian Center for European Convergence (CFA) is an intergovernmental organization created in 1978 to pursue bilateral meetings for the consolidation of French-Austrian relations. The CFA focuses its activities on problems related to EU expansion in Central and Eastern Europe: agricultural, environmental, security and defense, monetary, budgetary, and immigration policies, etc. Today the CFA’s activities are concentrated on countries that envisage their future within a European context, in particular those in the Western Balkans and bordering the Black Sea.

Team Peter Jankowitsch (Vienna), Secretary General Thierry de Montbrial, President Dominique David, Executive Director, Adviser for the CFA Éliane Mossé, Adviser to Ifri on Central and Southeastern Europe Nele Katharina Wissmann, Junior Researcher

International Conferences

7 November – 35 years of European construction: current situation and prospects On the occasion of the CFA’s 35th anniversary

Issues discussed: Europe and its surroundings; The Crisis of the European social model; How to re-industrialize Europe?

Opening: Michel Rocard, Former Prime Minister; Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri, President, CFA; Peter Jankowitsch, Secretary General, CFA.

With Paul Luif, Lecturer, Political Science department, University of Vienna; Pierre Lévy, Director of the European Union division, Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Magda Vasaryova, Former Ambassador, Member of the National Council of the Slovak Republic; Erich Foglar, President, Austrian Federation of Trade Unions; Henri Malosse, President, European Social and Economic Committee; Jean-François Trogrlic, Office Director for France, International Labour Organization (ILO); Claus Raidl, President, Austrian National Bank; Helmut Kramer, Former President, Institute of Economic Research (Wifo), Professor of Political Economy, University of Vienna; Louis Schweitzer, Chairman of the Board of Directors, Renault, President, Initiative France.

Annual Report 2013 19

REGIONAL PROGRAMS Europe Seminars and Symposiums

Ifri Brussels 30 May – The French White Paper on Defense: What are the implications for European defense?

With General Gilles Rouby, MilRep of France to NATO and to The Ifri Brussels office acts as an interface between Ifri the European Union; Luis Simón, Research Fellow, Institute of Paris’s activities, debates organized in the European European Studies, Université libre de Bruxelles; Étienne de capital, institutions located in Brussels, the vast Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, Ifri. network of think tanks and researchers present in the Chair: Vivien Pertusot, Head, Ifri Brussels. city, and the private sector. Ifri’s research programs regularly organize presentations of their work in 26 June – More Flexibility: What Does the UK Want and What Brussels, and some programs undertake part of their Could the Others Accept? activities in the Brussels office. At the heart of the Brussels think-tank network, Ifri Issues discussed: The UK Domestic Debate: Is the Europe Brussels, along with 11 other think tanks, is Debate as Polarized as Portrayed and Can it Export?; Flexibility: How Contortionist Could the EU Be? responsible for organizing the Brussels Think Tank With Lord Stewart Wood, Shadow Minister without Portfolio, Dialogue, an annual event devoted to the state of the Adviser to Ed Miliband, London; William Sleath, Unit Chief, European Union. Its fourth meeting was held in April Secretary General, European Commission, Brussels; Piotr 2013. Kaczynski, Policy Adviser, European Parliament, Brussels; Vivien Pertusot, Head, Ifri Brussels. Chair: Paul Adamson, Editor-in-Chief, E! Sharp; Yann-Sven Team Rittelmeyer, Research Fellow, Cerfa, Ifri. Vivien Pertusot, Research Fellow, Head of Ifri Brussels Areas of expertise: security and defense questions (NATO 18 September – Presentation RAMSES 2014 and CSDP); European affairs; relations between the United Filigranes Bookstore. Philippe Moreau Defarges Kingdom and the European Union With , Research Fellow, Co-Director Dominique David, Laura Parmigiani, Research Fellow, Center for Energy, Ifri of RAMSES, Ifri; Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Vivien Pertusot Area of expertise: gas markets Chair: , Head, Ifri Brussels. Eva Vaudolon, Assistant 30 October – Syria, what now? Central Economic Council. Digital Publications With Philippe Setton, Representative to the Political and Security Committee (PSC), Permanent Representation of France “Notes de l’Ifri” to the EU; Dorothée Schmid, Head, Contemporary Turkey Program, Ifri; Julien Nocetti, Research Fellow, Russia/NIS In Europe, not Ruled by Europe: Center, Ifri; Denis Bauchard, Adviser on the Middle East, Ifri; Tough Love between Britain and Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, Ifri. the EU, Vivien Pertusot, March. Chair: Vivien Pertusot, Head, Ifri Brussels; Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri

13 December – The EU and the Security Sector Reform With Aline Lebœuf, Research Fellow, Security Studies Center/LRD, Ifri.

International Conference

Diplomatic Upheaval in Syria, Denis Bauchard, Mansouria 22 April – Federalism or Fragmentation: Spelling out Europe’s Mokhefi, Philippe Moreau Defarges, Laurence Nardon, F-word – Brussels Think Tank Dialogue – State of the Union Julien Nocetti, Vivien Pertusot, Dorothée Schmid, 2013 September. Annual conference organized by Ifri and the European think tanks Bertelsmann Stiftung, Bruegel, Center for European Syria: Is Military Intervention Still a Viable Option? Policy Studies (CEPS), Confrontations Europe, European Policy Corentin Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Guillaume Garnier, Centre (EPC), Egmont Institute, Friends of Europe, Madariaga Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum, September. College of Europe, SWP.

Articles and Contributions Issues discussed: The EU’s New Industrial Policy. Panacea against the Rampant Job Crisis?; Energy Internal Market: State Defence Matters, report by Vivien Pertusot and Étienne de of the Art and Challenges Ahead; After the Crisis: Rethinking the Durand, NATO, October. EU’s Global Role in a Changing World; A Roadmap for EU Reform: Short, Medium and Long-term Challenges.

Annual Report 2013 20

REGIONAL PROGRAMS

With José Manuel Barroso, President of the European Russie/NEI Commission; Herman Van Rompuy, President of the European Council; Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri; Aart Russia/NIS Center De Geus, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Bertelsmann Foundation; Elisa Ferreira, Member of Both Russia and the Newly Independent States (NIS) European Parliament; Andreas Maurer, Director, Brussels show all the characteristics of areas marked by strong Office, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP); Matina potential and chronic instability. An obvious and Stevis, The Wall Street Journal; Philippe Herzog, President, unavoidable energy partner with a promising market, Confrontations Europe; Antti Peltomäki, Deputy Director Russia is plagued by various internal conflicts and General, DG Enterprise and Industry, European Commission; Luc Triangle, Deputy Secretary General, remains difficult to penetrate. Because of its industriAll Europe; Adrian van den Hoven, Deputy Director international status, it is not an emerging country like General, BusinessEurope; Klaus-Dieter Borchardt, Director any other. The region is distinguished by its extreme of the Internal Energy Market at DG Energy, European heterogeneity and the fundamental changes in the Commission; Andrei Marcu, Senior Adviser and Head of the relations that each country maintains with Moscow and CEPS Carbon Market Forum; Laura Parmigiani, Research other external players. The Russia/NIS Center was Fellow, Center for Energy, Ifri; Georg Zachmann, Research created in 2004 with three main objectives: to Fellow, Bruegel; Simon Taylor, Assistant Editor, European anticipate changes in the region, provide expertise, and Voice; Ruprecht Polenz, Foreign Affairs Commission, offer policy solutions to decision-makers. Bundestag; Rosa Balfour, Head, Europe in the World Programme, European Policy Centre (EPC); Marc

Trenteseau, Director General, Egmont Institute; Pierre Team Defraigne, Executive Director, Madariaga – College of Thomas Gomart, Research Fellow, Head of the Russia/NIS

Europe Foundation; Daniel Gros, Director, Centre for Center Areas of expertise: European Policy Studies (CEPS); Giles Merritt, Secretary civil-military relations, interaction General, Friends of Europe/Les Amis de l’Europe; Guntram between foreign policy and energy policy, European

Wolff, Deputy Director, Bruegel; Fabian Zuleeg, Chief Union/Russia partnerships, nation branding, digital power Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, Research Fellow Economist, European Policy Centre (EPC). Areas of expertise: Russian higher education, innovation

systems, technological potential, Russian soft power, human capital , Russian com panies Julien Nocetti, Research Fellow Areas of expertise: Russian Middle East policy, Internet and policy in Russia, interaction between foreign policies and Internet governance Pavel Baev, Associate Researcher Areas of expertise: energy and security in relations between Russia and Europe, Russian energy policy, Russian Arctic policy, Russian Army reform, post-Soviet conflict management in the Caucasus-Caspian region. Bobo Lo, Associate Researcher Cécile Campagne, Assistant

Book

Are Russian Universities Competitive? Tatiana Jean (ed.), Paris, CNRS Éditions/Ifri, February 2013, 316 p.

Annual Report 2013 21

REGIONAL PROGRAMS

Conferences and Debates Digital Publications 14 May – Academic and political power rankings: the case “Russie.Nei.Visions” of Russia Jamil Salmi (series published in English, French and Russian) With , former coordinator of the World Bank's The Challenge of Antimissile Defense: The Improbable Cooperation tertiary education program, author of Establishing World-Class Universities between Russia and Nato, n° 67, Richard Weitz, January. (2009) and co-author of The Road to Academic Excellence The Making of World-Class Governors, oligarchs and siloviki: oil and power in Russia, : Research Universities Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean n° 68, Ahmed Mehdi, Shamil Yenikeyeff, February. (2011); , Are Research Fellow, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri, author of Russian Universities Competitive? Russia-Turkey: a relationship determined by energy, n° 69 (Paris, CNRS Éditions/Ifri, (note franco-turque n°7), Rémi Bourgeot, March. 2013). Thomas Gomart Chair: , director, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri. Russia's Eastern Energy Policy: A Chinese Puzzle for Rosneft, n° 70, 18 November – The Economic Situation in Russia: Challenges and Perspectives Nina Poussenkova, April. With Alexeï Oulioukaev, Minister for Economic Development of the Russian Federation. Afghanistan after 2014: The Way Chair: Thomas Gomart, Director, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri. Forward for Russia? n° 71,

Ekaterina Stepanova, May. Seminars and Symposiums

15 May – The metamorphosis of the Russian petroleum industry Japan-Russia: Toward a Strategic Partnership? n° 72, Céline With Thane Gustafson, Professor of Government, Pajon, September. Georgetown University, Senior Director of IHS Cambridge The Influence of the State on Expanding Russian MNEs: Energy Research Associates (CERA). Advantage or Handicap? Andreï Panibratov, n° 73, Chair: Thomas Gomart, Director, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri. December. 8 October – The Prospects of Russian LNG Exports “Russie.Nei.Reports” With Tatiana Mitrova, Head of Oil and Gas Department at (series published in English or French) Energy Research Institute RAS, Russian Science Academy, Russian LNG: The Long Road to Export, n° 16, Tatiana former head of the global energy department, Skolkovo Mitrova, December. Center for Research and Development. Chair: Thomas Gomart, Director, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri.

Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri Internet, Catalyst for transformation in Russia, Julien Nocetti, Études, n° 418/2, February.

What energy policy for Russia in the Middle East? Julien Nocetti, Politique étrangère, 1:2013

The competition of Russian universities, Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, Obchtchaya tetrad, n°1 (61) 2013.

Digital diplomacy, Thomas Gomart, La Revue des deux mondes, January.

Russia: social networks and bloggers, new political actors, Julien Nocetti, in A. Dubien (ed.), Yearbook 2013, Observatoire franco-russe, Paris, Cherche-Midi, April.

New Missions and Ambitions for Russian Universities, Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, International Higher Education, n° 73, September.

The irruption of social networks on the international scene, Julien Nocetti, Questions internationales, n° 63, September.

Russian Companies and Higher Education, Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, Russian Analytical Digest, n° 137, October.

To what has Snowden given his name? Thomas Gomart, La Revue des Deux Mondes, October.

Annual Report 2013 22

REGIONAL PROGRAMS Asia Urbanization and Mobility in China, n° 66, Jiawan Yang, December. Ifri Center for Asian Studies Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri The emergence of Eastern and Southern Asia on the th international scene has intensified the already Beijing-Taipei: After the 18 Congress, Politique internationale, Winter 2012-2013, Alice Ekman. complex issues the region faces; the economic, political and security stakes could not be higher. China: New Leaders, New Reforms? Politique étrangère, Through its research, programs, partnerships with 1:2013, Alice Ekman. important international research centers, and the Shale Gas: An Answer to China's Energy Problem? Les events that it organizes, the Ifri Center for Asian Carnets du CAPS, n° 17, Spring 2013, John Seaman. Studies aims to offer in-depth insight and analysis, input in decision-making and a forum for dialogue on The Border Incident of Spring 2013: An Interpretative Essay on Sino-Indian Relations, Hérodote, n° 150, 3rd crucial issues. Quarter 2013, Isabelle Saint-Mézard.

Team Rare Earths: Future Elements of Conflict in Asia? Asian Françoise Nicolas, Director Studies Review, 37:2, May 2013, John Seaman with Céline Pajon, Research Fellow Ming Hwa Ting. Area of expertise: Japan John Seaman, Research Fellow The French Strategic Vision of the Indian Ocean, Journal of Area of expertise: China, energy issues the Indian Ocean Region, vol. 9, n° 1, June 2013, Alice Ekman, Associate Researcher Isabelle Saint-Mézard. Area of expertise: China India and North Africa’s New Relationship, L’année du Isabelle Saint-Mézard, Associate Researcher Maghreb, n° 9, 2013, Isabelle Saint-Mézard. Area of expertise: South Asia China’s Direct Investment in the European Union: Challenges and Policy Responses, EABER working paper, Digital Publications n° 86, Australian National University, November 2013, Françoise Nicolas. “Asie.Visions” Japan’s “Smart” Strategic Engagement in Southeast Asia,

The Asan Forum, Vol. 1, n°3, 6 December 2013, Céline Japan and the South China Sea: Pajon. Forging Strategic Partnerships in a Divided Region, n° 60, Céline Lessons from Investment Policy Reform in Korea, with Pajon, January. Stephen Thomsen and Mi-Hyun Bang, OECD Working Papers on International Investment, n° 2013/02, OECD Publishing, 2013, Françoise Nicolas.

Security Partnerships in Japan’s Asia Strategy – Creating China and International Investments – Toward Order, Building Capacity and Sharing Burden, n° 61, Ryo Normalization, in Mathieu Arès and Éric Boulanger (eds.), Sahasi, February. L’investissement et la nouvelle économie mondiale: trajectoires nationales, réseaux mondiaux et normes China’s Fortress Fleet-in-Being and its Implications for internationales, Brussels, Bruylant, 2013, Françoise Nicolas. Japan’s Security, n° 62, Tetsuo Kotani, February. Political Impasses and the Decision-Making Crisis in India: ASEAN-India Political Cooperation: How to Reinforce a What Does the Future Hold? Jean-Luc Racine, Annuaire Much-needed Pillar? n° 63, Sophie Boisseau du Rocher, Asie 2013, Paris, La Documentation Française, 2013, Isabelle March. Saint-Mézard.

China’s Growing Natural Gas India’s Relations in South Asia, in K. Bates, Mathieu Insecurity and the Potential of Boisvert, Serge Granger, C. Jaffrelot (eds.), L’Inde et ses Chinese Shale Gas, n° 64, John avatars: Pluralités d’une puissance, Montréal, Presses de Seaman, June. l’université de Montréal, 2013, Isabelle Saint-Mézard. The China-India Border Dispute: How Far Will the Status Quo Go? in Béatrice Giblin, Frédérick Douzet (eds.), Des frontières indépassables? Paris, Armand Colin, 2013, . Isabelle Saint-Mézard.

Changes in India's Agricultural Sector, n° 65, Christine Lutringer, June.

Annual Report 2013 23

REGIONAL PROGRAMS North Africa/Middle East/Mediterranean Seminars and Symposiums

Middle East/North Africa 15 March – France and the United States: A Comparative Look at the New Arab World Program In partnership with New York University – Paris. Ifri's Middle East/North Africa Program aims to Themes discussed: French diplomacy in the Face of the “Arab spring”; Israel’s Options in a Changing Region; provide expertise on the evolution of the area's Implications for American and European Policy; From political systems, firms and economies through an Tunis to Damascus: Moscow's Dissonant Vision; Saudi analysis of local, regional and international dynamics Arabia, A Changing Gulf and Implications for the West; that may help to guide the development of new Terrorism in the Sahel. A Shared Concern and the policies. The program also aims to anticipate new Complementarity Between France and the United States; directions for each country and decode the risks and Iraq, Ten Years After the American Military Invasion: From potential outcomes. The program draws upon a Inner Conflict to Regional Upheaval. network of researchers and experts, who work together closely on a variety of crucial subjects With Denis Bauchard, Adviser on the Middle East, Ifri; stretching from North Africa to the Gulf. Christian Koch, Director, Gulf Research Center, Geneva; Daniel Lévy, Director, Middle East and North Africa program, European Council on Foreign Relations (ECFR); Team Antonin Tisseron, Associate Researcher, Thomas More Mansouria Mokhefi, Program Head, Research Fellow Institute; Myriam Benraad, Associate Researcher, CERI; Denis Bauchard, Special Adviser on the Middle East William Jordan, former American diplomat; Marie Doubovikova, Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO University), Moscow.

28 March – Political Transformation to the West of the Digital Publications Mediterranean Conference reserved for Ifri members. With Mansouria Mokhefi, Head of the Middle East/North “Notes de l’Ifri” Africa Program, Ifri.

Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Diplomatic Upheaval in Syria, Denis

Bauchard, Mansouria Mokhefi, 26 September – The Southern Maghreb: Changes in Philippe Moreau Defarges, Laurence Progress Nardon, Julien Nocetti, Vivien In collaboration with the Sub-Saharan Africa Program. Pertusot, Dorothée Schmid, Themes discussed: Toward a new geopolitics in the September. Sahara - redefining migration.

Introduction:

Jean-Pierre Chevènement, Senator, Co-president of the

Sahel working group, Committee on Foreign

Affairs, Defense and Armed Forces. Syria: Is Military Intervention Still A Viable Option? Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Ifri Corentin Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Guillaume Garnier, Mansouria Mokhefi, Head of the Middle East/North Africa Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum, September. Program, Ifri.

With Zyad Limam, Director General and Editor-in-Chief, Afrique Magazine International; Jean-François Daguzan, Conference and Debates Deputy Director, Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS), Director of Maghreb-Machrek; Bakary Sambe, Lecturer 11 June – Iran on the Eve of Elections: Towards a and Researcher, Center for Religious Studies (UFR-CRAC), Renewal of the Islamic Republic? University Gaston Berger, Saint-Louis, Senegal; Salim With Michel Makinsky, Lecturer, France Business School, Chena, Researcher, ATER, Sciences Po Bordeaux; Wolfram Poitiers, Research Associate, University of Liège; Louis Lacher, Associate Researcher, Middle East/Africa Racine, Doctoral Candidate, EHESS; Clément Therme, Department, SWP, Berlin; Michel Peraldi, Director of Associate Researcher, Centre d’analyse et d’intervention Research, École des hautes études en sciences sociales sociologique (CADIS), EHESS and IRSEM. (EHESS), Paris; Stéphanie Pouessel, Anthropologist, Chair: Mansouria Mokhefi, Head of the Middle East/North Institute of Maghreb Contemporary Research (IRMC), Africa Program, Ifri. Tunis; Ali Bensaâd, Lecturer and Researcher, Institute for Research and Studies on the Arab and Muslim World (CNRS-Iremam), Marseille; Christophe Bertossi, Director, Center for Migrations and Citizenship, Ifri.

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REGIONAL PROGRAMS

North Africa/Middle East/Mediterranean Education in North Africa: Promises and Challenges, North Africa Facing New Abdeljalil Akkari, July. Healthcare Systems in Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia:

Global Challenges Program Unfinished Transitions, Michel Legros, Farid Chaoui, September.

This program, conducted in partnership with the OCP North Africa in the Face of the Informal Sphere, Group, seeks to further knowledge on North Africa by Abderrahmane Mebtoul, December. examining often-overlooked themes and proposing A Contribution to the Debate on Colocation in North new frameworks that place the Maghreb within our Africa, Mihoub Mezouaghi, December. globalized world. The program seeks to reframe the relationships North African countries have with the Western world and the traditional powers in the Agricultural Processing and Influence: How to Interpret region, as well as those that emerge within the Saudi Land Investment in Ethiopia? Matthieu Brun, Muslim world and developing countries. The North December. Africa Facing New Global Challenges Program calls on various research programs in Ifri, as well as outside North Africa in Turkey's Arab researchers. Policy – Insights into the Evolution of a Strategy, Mansouria Mokhefi, December Team Mansouria Mokhefi, Program Head, Research Fellow

Digital Publications

• “Notes de l’Ifri” Green Investments in Moroccan Agriculture, Najib Akesbi, New Relations Between India and North African December Countries, Isabelle Saint-Mézard, February. South Africa’s Regional Positioning Strategy: What Can China’s View of North Africa: Perceptions and New North Africa Learn? Mohamed Tawfik Mouline, December. Directions Following the Arab Spring, Alice Ekman, February. Political and Economic Effects of Qaddafi’s Death on Chad, Ketil Fred Hansen, December.

Beyond the Arab Awakening: Policies and Investments for Qatar: A Major Player in the Geopolitical Restructuring of Poverty Reduction and Food Security, Perrihan Al Riffai, Mansouria Mokhefi, Clemens Breisinger, Olivier Echer and Bingxin Yu, July. North Africa? December.

Sonatrach, A State Within the State? Hocine Malti, July.

Water in North Africa: Constraints, Challenges and Prospects, Eugenia Ferragina, Giovanni Canitano, July.

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REGIONAL PROGRAMS

North Africa/Middle East/Mediterranean Conference and Debates

Contemporary Turkey 21 February – Turkey for a New Europe With Egemen Bağiş, Turkish Minister for European Affairs.

Program Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri.

The activities of the Contemporary Turkey Program, Seminars and Symposiums established in 2007, have two main objectives: 1) to develop new tools for analyzing the political, 2 July – Turkey’s Energy Strategy Under Pressure: Domestic economic and social dynamics within Turkey itself and Bets and Regional Constraints to comprehend the rise of the country in the Breakfast with the Center for Energy at Ifri Brussels. international arena; With Dorothée Schmid, Research Fellow, Head of the 2) to strengthen the instruments of Franco-Turkish Contemporary Turkey Program, Ifri; Mithat Rende, dialogue between the political and economic Ambassador, Director General for Multilateral Economic decision-makers of both countries and between civil Affairs, Turkey; Denis Simonneau, Diplomatic Adviser, societies. Director, Executive Committee in charge of European and international relations, GDF Suez; Ozan Acar, Researcher, The program also aims to stimulate public debate in TEPAV; Sohbet Karbuz, Director of the Hydrocarbon division, both countries through conferences, seminars and Observatoire méditerranéen de l’énergie (OME); Cécile publications; to identify relevant actors in France and Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. Turkey, in both civil society and institutional circles; and to organize activities that encourage socialization, 13/14 November – The New Kurdish Dynamic particularly among media professionals (“Franco- In collaboration with the Arab World Institute (IMA). Turkish Media Dialogue”). Topics discussed: The Kurds Facing the States: Between Team Oppression and Empowerment; Regional and Global Effects of the Kurdish Dynamic; Kurdism, Arabism, Turkishness: Dorothée Schmid, Program Head, Research Fellow Murderous Identities or How Nationalisms Thrive on Mutual Areas of expertise: Franco-Turkish relations, Turkish foreign Opposition; The Difficult Unification of Kurds through History, policy, Mediterranean regional issues, EU Middle East Language and Culture. policy

Opening speech: Bernard Kouchner, Former Minister for Digital Publications Foreign Affairs; Jack Lang, President of the IMA; Denis Bauchard, Middle East Adviser, Ifri.

“Notes franco-turques” With François Zabbal, IMA; Thomas Gomart, Director of Strategic Development; Dorothée Schmid, Head of Russia-Turkey: A Relationship Dictated by Energy, Contemporary Turkey Program, Ifri; Michel Leezenberg, Rémi Bourgeot n° 7 (Russie.NEI.Visions, n°69), , March. University of Leiden, Netherlands; Kadri Gürsel, Milliyet; Abbas Vali, University of Boğaziçi, Turkey; Clément Therme, Crisis and Weakening of Southern Europe: Implications for University of Geneva; Jean-Christophe Ploquin, La Croix; Marc Turkey, n° 8, Eduard Soler i Lecha, May. Semo, Libération; Arthur Quesnay, University of Paris 1; Denise Natali, National Defense University, Washington; Gareth Winrow, Oxford University; Ofra Bengio, University of Tel-Aviv; Khaman Asad, KRG Representative in France; Falah France, Germany, Turkey: A Mustafa Bakir, Minister, Head of the Department of Foreign New Triangle of Powers, n° 9 Relations for the regional government of Iraqi Kurdistan (Note du Cerfa n° 105, (KRG); Djene Bajalan, Oxford University; Jordi Tejel, Graduate September 2013), Dorothée Institute, Geneva; Olivier Grojean, University of Aix-en- Schmid, September. Provence; Cyril Roussel, Ifpo – Amman, Jordan; Boris James, . Ifpo; Joyce Blau, Kurdish Institute of Paris; Salih Akin,

University of Rouen; Seyhmus Dagtekin, poet and writer.

Closing speech: Kendal Nezan, Kurdish Institute of Paris.

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REGIONAL PROGRAMS

Africa Digital Publications

Sub-Saharan Africa Program “Études de l’Ifri”

Billboards in Abidjan: Mirrors of Brands, Markers of Consumption, Hélène Quénot- Created in 2007, the Sub-Saharan Africa Program aims Suarez, December. to produce detailed and qualitative analysis of the African continent, tracking its transversal dynamics and analyzing its economic, social, political and security transformations. Designed to renew the keys for understanding and provide food for thought to “Notes de l’Ifri” enrich public debate, the program experts also aim to help political and economic actors shape their policies regarding the continent. A Class Defined “by Consumption”: The Grocery-Shopping A variety of events complement the academic Practices of the Lower-Middle Classes in Johannesburg, production, bringing together academic, political, South Africa, Élodie Escusa, April. economic and civil actors to exchange analytical tools France and the Fight against Terrorism in the Sahel: The and views on the continent. The program's research History of a Difficult Leadership Role, Tobias Koepf, June. focuses on diverse themes: the urbanization of the continent and the emergence of middle classes; land Equal Partners? Economic Relations between South Africa access competition; the evolution of the state; African and China since 1994, Vincent Darracq, July. policies of traditional and emerging partners in Africa; governance and geopolitics of the extractive industry, and security issues in the Sahel. Conferences and Debates

Team 6 February – Natural Resources in Mauritania: Alain Antil, Program Head, Research Fellow Opportunities and Challenges Areas of expertise: Mauritania, Sahel, West Africa, security With Taleb Ould Abdi Vall, Mauritanian Minister for and terrorism issues, trafficking Petroleum, Energy and Mines; James Crossland, Vice- Camille Niaufre, Project Manager, Communication President, Kinross; Jean Daniel Blasco, North African Hélène Quénot-Suarez, Research Fellow Director, Total; Kane Amadou Mamadou, Director General, Areas of expertise: Ghana, Burkina Faso, West Africa, Société de production d’électricité et de gaz (SPEG); African cities, middle classes, local and urban governance, Benjamin Augé, Associate Researcher for Sub-Saharan development of the private sector Africa Program, Ifri. Thierry Vircoulon, Associate Researcher Chair: Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Areas of expertise: South Africa, Democratic Republic of the Ifri. Congo (DRC), mineral/raw material issues, conflicts in Africa, reform of the security sector, China and Africa, 7 February – Democracy and Development in Africa: The governance, rule of law Stakes, Challenges and Prospects Benjamin Augé, Associate Researcher With Thomas Boni Yayi, President of the Republic of Benin. Areas of expertise: petroleum and gas, border conflicts Chair: Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri. related to hydrocarbons, Nigeria, the Sudan, Angola, Uganda, DRC, Ghana, South Africa, Mozambique, Tanzania 12 March – Peace and Security in the Great Lakes Region of Cyril Musila, Associate Researcher Africa: Burundi’s Role Areas of expertise: RDC, Great Lakes zone, Central Africa, With Pierre Nkurunziza, President of Burundi. regional cooperation, post-conflict reconstruction, cross- Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri; Alain border economic dynamics Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Ifri. Matthieu Pellerin, Associate Researcher Areas of expertise: Madagascar, safety/risk countries, 29 May – Africa: New Opportunities, New Policy Directions corporate social responsibility, Mali, Niger, Libya, With John Dramani Mahama, President of Ghana. Mauritania, Ghana, Sahel Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Sylvain Touati, Associate Researcher Areas of expertise: electoral processes, emerging African Seminars and Symposiums countries, Sahel, French policy in Africa Kathryn Nwajiaku-Dahou, Associate Researcher 22 February – Discussion about Madani Amadou Tall, Areas of expertise: Nigeria, Niger delta, hydrocarbons Malian Political Party Leader Chair: Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Ifri.

Annual Report 2013 27

22 April – French Intervention in Mali, Lessons and 26 September – North African Countries and their Southern Perspectives Region: Ongoing Change In collaboration with the LRD Program. In collaboration with the Middle East/North Africa Program. With Matthieu Pellerin, Associate Researcher, Ifri; Pierre Themes discussed: Towards a New Geopolitics for the Boilley, Historian, Director, Centre d’étude des mondes Sahara; Redefining Migrations. africains (Cemaf); Frédéric Garnier, Colonel, CPCO; Charles Tenenbaum, Researcher, IEP Lille. Opening speech: Mansouria Mokhefi, Head of the Middle East/North Africa Program, Ifri; Jean-Pierre Chevènement, Chair: Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, Senator for the Territoire de Belfort, Co-President of the Ifri; Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Sahel Working Group for the Senate Commission on Foreign Ifri. Affairs, Defense and Armed Forces; with Zyad Limam, President and Managing Editor, Afrique Magazine 13 June – The Central African Republic: Understanding the International; Jean-François Daguzan, Deputy Director, New Crisis Through the Old Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS), Director of the With Thierry Vircoulon, Associate Researcher, Ifri journal Maghreb-Machrek; Bakary Sambe, Lecturer and Chair: Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Researcher, Center for Religious Studies (UFR-CRAC), Ifri. University Gaston Berger of Saint-Louis, Senegal; Salim Chena, ATER, Sciences Po Bordeaux; Wolfram Lacher, 4 December – Security Threats Along the Niger Border Associate Researcher, Middle East/Africa Department, SWP, With Mohamed Bazoum, Minister of State for Foreign Berlin; Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Affairs, Cooperation, African Integration and Nigerians Ifri; Christophe Bertossi, Director, Center for Migrations and Abroad of the Republic of Niger. Citizenship, Ifri; Michel Peraldi, Research Director, École des Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri; Alain hautes études en sciences sociales (EHESS); Stéphanie Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Ifri. Pouessel, Anthropologist, Institute of Maghreb Contemporary Research (IRMC), Tunis; Ali Bensaâd, Senior International Conferences Lecturer, University of Aix-Marseille, Lecturer and Researcher, CNRS-IREMAM, Aix en Provence. 24 June – Access to Farmland in Sub-Saharan Africa, A Key to Development 22 November – South Africa: 20th Anniversary of Freedom Themes discussed: Demographic and Diet Evolutions and and the General Elections of 2014 Land Grabbing Phenomena; From Rights Competition to Themes discussed: State of the Nation: Economy, Politics and Land Policies; Land Access as a Development Issue: The Society; South Africa on the International Scene, New Example of Landholding (TSS). Horizons?

Opening speech: Dominique David, Executive Vice- Opening speech: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, President, Ifri. With Marc Dufumier, Agronomist, Agro Ifri; with Laurent Clavel, Commissioner General of the Paristech; Madiodio Niasse, Director, International Land French-South Africa Season 2013; Véronique Vouland-Aneini, Coalition; Étienne Le Roy, Professor of Legal Anthropology, Deputy Director for Africa and the Indian Ocean, French Director, Paris Laboratory of Legal Anthropology (LAJP), Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Jens-Christian Hoj, Senior Sorbonne University Paris 1; Jean Schmitz, Anthropologist, Economist on South Africa, Economics Department, OECD, Director of Research, Institute of Research and Paris; Anthony Butler, Professor, Department of Political Development (IRD); Bruno Angsthelm, African Project Studies, University of Cape Town; Raphael Botiveau, Manager, CCFD-Terre solidaire; Florence Liégeois, Head of University of Paris-1 Pantheon Sorbonne; Seeraj Mohamed, RDS, RCN Justice & Democracy Programs; Abdoulaye Director of Corporate Strategy and Industrial Development, Harissou, Notary, President of the “Landholding” Work Senior Lecturer, University of Witwatersrand, Johannesburg; Group, International Union of Latin Notaries (UINL); Didier Hélène Quénot-Suarez, Research Fellow, Ifri; Alfredo Tjiurimo Nourissat, Notary, Coordinator of the “Landholding” Hengari, Head of the South African Foreign Policy and African Committee for the High Council of French Notaries, General Drivers Program, South African Institute of International Counsel, UINL; Bachir Dieye, Adviser, Commission for Affairs, Johannesburg; Thierry Vircoulon, Associate Development and Cooperation, Parliamentary Assembly of Researcher, Ifri; Agathe Maupin, South African Institute of French-Speaking Countries; Michel Merlet, Director, aGter International Affairs, Johannesburg. Association.

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REGIONAL PROGRAMS

United States Obama’s Second Term Foreign Policy Team, William Burke- White, June. United States Program Global Swing States and U.S. Strategy, Daniel Kliman, September. Europeans see many cultural similarities between themselves and the United States. Despite this, The Pentagon Faced with Sequestration and the End of however, the US remains founded on a political Wars: The Art of Budgetary Blurring? Aude Fleurant, philosophy and a reference system that is very September. different from those of the old continent. Moreover, Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri the American institutions, political system and economic conditions contribute to a framework never Is the United States Moving Toward Energy before seen in the world. How does this culture and Independence? Politique étrangère, 2013/2, Laurence practice translate into US actions internationally? Ifri's Nardon, June.

United States Program seeks to understand and Foreign Policy: The United States First, Questions explain the US from the inside and to illuminate the internationales, n° 64, November-December, Laurence way toward more productive interactions with its Nardon. partners, primarily Europe.

Conference and Debates Team Laurence Nardon, Program Head, Research Fellow 4 July – Immigration Reform in the US: Challenges Ahead Areas of expertise: domestic policy, foreign policy, social With Patrick Weil, Director of Research, CNRS, Center of th evolution 20 Century Social History, University of Paris 1, Visiting Anne-Lorraine Bujon, Associate Researcher Professor, Yale University; Anne Bagamery, European Day Areas of expertise: political theory, social and cultural Editor, The International Herald Tribune. questions Chair: Laurence Nardon, Head of the United States Alexandra De Hoop Scheffer, Associate Researcher Program, Ifri. Areas of expertise: foreign policy and security issues 30 September – Fall 2013: Where Does the US Stand in the François Vergniolle de Chantal, Associate Researcher World? Areas of expertise: institutions and domestic policy In partnership with the American Embassy in Paris.

With Walter Russel Mead, Professor, Bard College, Columnist, The American Interest; Justin Vaïsse, Director,

Digital Publications Centre d’Analyse, de prévision et de stratégie (CAPS), Ministry of Foreign Affairs. “Potomac Papers” Chair: Laurence Nardon, Head of the United States Program, Ifri. United States: The Role of the State in Research Funding, n° 16, Gabrielle Durana, April. Annual Conference

The Republican Party’s Ideological 6 December – Where Does the US Stand in the World? Aurélie Godet Crisis, n° 17, , June. United States Program annual conference, in partnership

An Ohio Renaissance? n° 18, Guy with the American Embassy in Paris. Hervier, October. With the support of Starbucks, David Pol, Viel & Cie, and the Clarence Westbury Foundation. Policy Briefs Themes discussed: Looking for the Next President; The State of the US Economy; Can the United States Escape the Middle East?; The Transatlantic Security Relationship. A series of policy briefs on the future of American With John Zogby, Analyst, Zogby Analytics; Aurélie Godet, leadership. In partnership with the GMFUS. Senior Lecturer, University of Paris VII Diderot; Michael Tomasky, Editor-in-Chief, Democracy; Florence Pisani, The Future of American Leadership, Alexandra de Hoop Economist, Dexia Asset Management; Michele Dunne, Scheffer, Laurence Nardon, January. Researcher, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace; Jeffrey Mankoff, Deputy Director, Russia and Eurasia A City Upon a Crumbling Hill? Martin Michelot, January. Program, Center for International and Strategic Studies (CSIS); Alireza Nader, Political Analyst, Rand Corporation; The Future of American Leadership: Between Renewal François Bujon de l’Estang, French Ambassador, former and Delegation, Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer, February. Ambassador to Washington, President, FBE International Consultants; Leo G. Michel, Senior Research Fellow, The Republicans and American Foreign Policy: What’s in Institute for National Strategic Studies (INSS); Laurence Store for 2016? Laurence Nardon, April. Nardon, Head of the United States Program, Ifri.

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CROSSCUTTING PROGRAMS

Digital Publications Security Studies Center Defense Research Unit (LRD) “Focus stratégiques”

Winning in Libya: By Design or Default? n° 41, Michael W. Kometer, Stephen E. Wright, January.

For more than 20 years, the Security Studies Center Ever More Expensive? The Complexity of Armaments and Sophie Lefeez has contributed to strategic security analysis in France the Inflation of Military Expenditures, n° 42, , February. and throughout the world through its original research, publications, and participation in debate Defence Reform in the United Kingdom: A Twenty-First through research and seminars. The center is also Century Paradox, n° 43, John Louth, March. working to develop a far-reaching presence in new media (Ultima Ratio blog, Twitter, videos on Cyberwar: In Search of a Strategy, Dailymotion). Devoted to the subject “French defense n° 44, Michel Baud, May. in question”, the 2012-2013 brown-bag seminar cycle, organized in partnership with the Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS) and the Secret Défense blog, received widespread attention.

Team Étienne de Durand, Research Fellow, Director of the Tsahal on All Fronts: The Israeli Army and Strategic Uncertainty, n° 45, Pierre Razoux, July. Security Studies Center and the Defense Research Unit (LRD) The IDF on All Fronts: Dealing with Israeli Strategic Areas of expertise: European security, French and American Uncertainty, n° 45 bis, Pierre Razoux, August. defense policies, the “transformation” of force structures, military interventions, counter-insurgency, nuclear Wagering on Amphibious Operations: Tactical Risk and deterrence and proliferation Strategic Influence, n° 46, Guillaume Garnier, September. Michel Baud, Major, Research Fellow at the LRD Killer Drones and Targeted Eliminations: The United States Areas of expertise: strategic and military questions, French Against Al-Qaida and its Affiliates, n° 47, Stéphane Taillat, defense policy October. Corentin Brustlein, Research Fellow at the LRD and Head of the Proliferation and Deterrence Program The End of the Regiment? 30 Years of Deconstructing the Areas of expertise: antimissile defense, nuclear deterrence, Tactical Organization of the Regiment, n° 48, André American defense policy, proliferation of weapons of mass Thieblemont, November. destruction, military transformation Antoine d’Évry, Battalion Commander (on secondment to “Proliferation Papers” Ifri), Research Fellow at the LRD Areas of expertise: evolution of contemporary military engagements, the future of the armored forces, French Command and Control in a Nuclear-Armed Iran, n° 45, Shahram Chubin military cooperation in Africa , January-February.

Guillaume Garnier, Lieutenant Colonel (on secondment to The Primacy of Alliance: Deterrence and European

Ifri), Research Fellow at the LRD Security, n° 46, Lawrence Freedman, March-April. Areas of expertise: amphibious operations, urban combat, counter-insurgency, intelligence China’s Nuclear Idiosyncrasies and Their Challenges, n° 47, Marc Hecker, Research Fellow, Deputy Editor-in-Chief of Jeffrey Lewis, November-December. Politique étrangère Areas of expertise: terrorism, asymmetrical conflicts, “Notes de l’Ifri “ wartime communication Aline Lebœuf, Research Fellow at the LRD Areas of expertise: changes in world conflicts, stabilization Syria: Is Military Intervention Still and post-conflict reconstruction, African conflicts A Viable Option? Corentin Élie Tenenbaum, Assistant Research Fellow Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Areas of expertise: guerrillas and counter-insurgency, Guillaume Garnier, Marc Hecker, military doctrine, communication of strategic intelligence Élie Tenenbaum, September. Thomas Rid, Associate Researcher Areas of expertise: cyberdefense, war communication, asymmetrical conflicts, counter-insurgency

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CROSSCUTTING PROGRAMS

Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri LRD Seminars

Does France Have an Exit Strategy in Mali? Étienne de 22 March – FRUK Defense Forum Round Table – London In partnership with the Centre for European Reform, Durand, foreignaffairs.com, February 2013. Chatham House, the Foundation for Strategic Research, and What Future for French Military Interventions? Aline the Royal United Services Institute (RUSI). Lebœuf, ISN ETH Zürich, 15 August 2013. Themes discussed: Operational and Industrial Implementation of the Treaties; Implications of the French Half a Century of Pro-Palestinian Activism in France: White Paper for FR-UK Defense Cooperation. Evolution and Prospects, Marc Hecker, Confluences Méditerranée, n° 86, Summer 2013. With Michael Clarke, Director General, RUSI; Robert Regan, Director, International Policy (France), UK Ministry of America’s New Military Stance in Asia, Corentin Brustlein, Defense; James de Waal, Visiting Scholar, Chatham House; Politique étrangère, 2:2013. Ash Smith, Deputy Director of Strategy, UK Ministry of

Defense; Camille Grand, Director, FRS; Étienne de Durand, The Nuclear Disarmament Letdown, Corentin Brustlein, Director, Security Studies Center, Ifri. Études, n° 419-3, September 2013.

Air Superiority: Where Does the French Model Stand 25 March – French-German Defense Cooperation: Within the SEAD? Élie Tenenbaum, DSI, n°93, October Obstacles and Opportunities 2013. In collaboration with Cerfa. Themes discussed: Barriers to Cooperation; Relaunching a Western Air Power in 2025 (2/2): Elements of Difficult Partnership?; Confronting Visions. Sustainability, Corentin Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Élie Tenenbaum, Revue Défense nationale, December 2013. With Ronja Kempin, Director of UE External Relations Department, Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), Seminars Berlin; Christian Möllin, Associate Researcher, SWP, Berlin; Claudia Major, Deputy Head of Defense Policy Research Brown-bag Seminars Group, SWP, Berlin; Alexis Morel, Forecasting Department, In partnership with the Foundation for Strategic Research Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Aline Lebœuf, Research Fellow, (FRS) and the blog Secret Défense. Security Studies Center, Ifri; Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, Ifri. 24 January – The French Defense Budget: What Changed in 2012-2013? 22 April – French Intervention in Mali: Lessons and With Martial Foucault, Director, EU Center of Excellence, Perspectives McGill University, Montreal; Camille Grand, Director, In collaboration with the Sub-Saharan Africa Program. Foundation for Strategic Research (FRS); Jean-Dominique Themes discussed: Feedback on the Serval Operation; Merchet, author of the blog Secret-Défense. Peace Building? Chair: Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, Ifri. With Frédéric Garnier, Colonel, CPCO; Charles Tenenbaum, Senior Lecturer, Sciences Po Lille; Pierre Boilley, Professor, 14 February – Role of the Armed Forces in National University of Paris 1; Mathieu Pellerin, Associate Defense: Scenarios Researcher, Ifri; Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa With General Hervé Charpentier, Military Governor of Paris; Program, Ifri; Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, Ifri; Center/LRD, Ifri; Aline Lebœuf, Research Fellow, Security Jean-Dominique Merchet, author of the blog Secret- Studies Center/LRD, Ifri. Défense.

Chair: Camille Grand, Director, Foundation for Strategic 11 July – The Sustainability of Defense Equipment Policies Research (FRS). Military Inflation: An Inexorable Race to Themes discussed: 28 March – Arms Acquisition and Industries: A Call from Exhaustion?; How to Maintain Coherent Forces and a Long- Europe Term BITD with a Consistent Budget?

With Hélène Masson, Senior Research Fellow, FRS; Camille With Alain Bouquin, General, Departmental Head, Systems Grand, Director, FRS; Jean-Dominique Merchet, author of of Force Architecture, DGA; Sophie Lefeez, Doctoral the blog Secret-Défense. Candidate, CETCOPRA/Paris 1 and EADS; Gilles Desclaux, Chair: Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, General, ThalesRaytheonSystems, former Commander of Ifri. Renaud Bellais Air Defense and Air Operations; , Associate 27 June – The White Paper: A Review of French Defense Researcher, ENSTA Brittany; Olivier Martin, Secretary With Camille Grand, Director, FRS; Jean-Dominique General, MBDA. Merchet, author of the blog Secret-Défense. Chair: Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Chair: Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center, Center/LRD, Ifri; Guillaume Garnier, Lieutenant-Colonel, Ifri. Research Fellow, LRD, Ifri.

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CROSSCUTTING PROGRAMS

3 September – Defense: For What Purpose? Lunch debate with Jacques Gautier, Senator (UMP); Daniel Space Program Reiner, Senator (PS). Chair: Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Center/LRD, Ifri. Ifri's Space Program seeks to establish the importance 11 December – Light Footprint Operations: Relevance of of space as a political subject among policymakers and the Concept and the Role of Ground Forces the general public, to highlight the central role it plays With David W. Barno, General, Senior Fellow, Center for a in our societies and economies. It also aims to situate New American Security; François Lecointre, General, Flag national, regional and international space policies in Officer, Chief of Land Staff; Jean-Christophe Noël, Colonel, the broader context of the dynamics currently affecting Chief Operating Officer, CAPS, Ministry of Foreign Affairs; international relations. Finally, the project seeks to Xavier Lafargue, Colonel, Head of Research and Development, General Staff, Special Operations define and illustrate the strategic opportunities of Command; Pierre-Joseph Givre, Colonel, Deputy Military space, to establish and understand its importance in Governor of Paris; Étienne de Durand, Director, Security international politics. The Space Program focuses its Studies Center/LRD, Ifri. analyses on Europe, since its ability to cope with the challenges of the 21st century will depend in part on the development of a coherent and ambitious space Seminar of the Proliferation and Dissuasion strategy. Program Team 25 November – US Nuclear Future: Deterrence Laurence Nardon, Research Fellow, Head of the Space Challenges at Lower Numbers Program Seminar with James Acton, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. Areas of expertise: American space policy, space and security Chair: Corentin Brustlein, Research Fellow, Security Studies Center/LRD, Ifri. Guilhem Penent, Associate Researcher

Areas of expertise: Space policy, space and security, space In collaboration with Ifri/Brussels telecommunications

Julien Béclard, Associate Researcher 30 May – The French White Paper on Defense: What Implications for European Defense? – Brussels Areas of expertise: European space policy With Gilles Rouby, General, Chief Military Representative of France to NATO and the European Union; Luis Simón, Martine Breux, Assistant Researcher, Institute for European Studies, Free University of Brussels; Étienne de Durand, Director, Security Studies Digital Publications Center, Ifri. Chair: Vivien Pertusot, Head of Ifri Brussels. “Actuelles de l’Ifri 13 December – The EU and the Security Sector Reform – Brussels The Lisbon Treaty and the Evolution of European Space Julien With Didier Lenoir, Director of Crisis Management and Governance, The Europe & Space Series n° 12, Planning Directorate (CMPD), European External Action Beclard, July. Service; Aline Lebœuf, Research Fellow, Security Studies The Vegetation Programme, The Europe & Space Series n° Center/LRD, Ifri. 13, Julien Beclard, September.

Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri

Space, Luxury or Necessity: Situations and Prospects for France After the Livre blanc and Operation Serval, Guilhem Penent, The Space Review, August.

U.S. Opportunity in Asia Is Not Strategy, Guilhem Penent, Space News, March.

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CROSSCUTTING PROGRAMS

Seminars and Symposiums Center for Energy

23 April – Orbital Slots and Spectrum Use: A Governance Outlook

Themes discussed: Main Challenges for Today’s Space Community; Orbits and Frequencies: Status; Repartition, The Center for Energy aims to inform actors involved Regime; Political Issues of Satellite Telecommunications; in public debate and public and private stakeholders The Current Legal Regime and its Inadequacies. about developments in global energy markets and their environmental and economic implications, as Tanja Masson-Zwaan With , Deputy Director, International well as their effects on external policy. Particular Institute of Air and Space Law, Leiden University; Xavier attention is paid to European debates; identifying Pasco, Senior Research Fellow, Foundation for Strategic energy strategies at the Community level while Research (FRS); Gérard Brachet, Member of the Board of respecting the energy choices of member states and Directors, SWF, Consultant in space policy, Vice-President, the new environmental constraints on public policy is International Astronautical Federation; Laurence Nardon, Head of the Space Program, Ifri; Guilhem Penent, Associate a challenge in implementing energy policy at the

Researcher, Space Program, Ifri. European level.

Team 19 November – The Militarization of Space and Norway’s Cécile Maisonneuve, Research Fellow, Director (beginning in February 2013) Satellite Stations: Bases for Debate in the Next Military Space Era Areas of expertise: geopolitics of energy, international

With Bård Wormdal, author of The Satellite War, 2012, strategies of firms relating to energy governance issues Journalist, NRK. Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Center’s Scientific Chair: Guilhem Penent, Associate Researcher, Space Committee Program, Ifri. William C. Ramsay, former Deputy Executive Vice- President of the International Energy Agency (IEA) and former Director of Ifri's Center for Energy, Adviser Maïté de Boncourt, Research Fellow Areas of expertise: transportation, Middle East

Laura Parmigiani, Research Fellow (Brussels) Areas of expertise: gas markets

Benjamin Augé, Associate Researcher Areas of expertise: petroleum, gas, electricity, conflicts linked to fuel, Africa Sylvie Cornot-Gandolphe, Associate Researcher Areas of expertise: gas and coal markets, shale gas Martine Breux: Assistant

Digital Publications

“Notes de l’Ifri”

The Gulf Countries’ Energy Strategies. What’s on the Menu for the Power Sector? Maïté de Boncourt, January

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CROSSCUTTING PROGRAMS

Photovoltaics: An Effective Development Tool for Sub- ² Conferences and Debates Saharan Economies, Karim Megherbi, January. 9 January – European Policies and Energy Transitions Global Coal Trade: From Tightness to Oversupply, Sylvie With Jean-Arnold Vinois, Head of Unit on Energy Policy and Cornot-Gandolphe, February. Security of Supply and Networks, DG Énergie, European Commission; Daniel Dobbeni, Director General, Elia; Maïté Offshore Gas in the East Mediterranean: From Myth to Jauréguy-Naudin, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. Reality, Maïté de Boncourt, May. Chair: Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Scientific Committee, Center for Energy, Ifri.

The European Gas Market: A Reality Check, Laura 14 March – Status and Outlook for Shale Gas and Tight Oil Parmigiani, May. Development in the US With Adam Sieminski, Administrator of the US Energy Le tournant énergétique allemand: année N+2, Michel Information Administration. Cruciani, July. Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri.

Impact du développement des gaz de schistes aux États- 30 May – Unconventional Hydrocarbons: Is a European Unis sur la pétrochimie européenne, Sylvie Cornot- Approach Possible? Gandolphe, October. With Olivier Appert, President, IFP Énergies nouvelles; Sylvie Duflot, Administrative Director and Public Relations, Year 2 of Germany’s Energy Transition, Michel Cruciani, Total Gas Shale Europe (TGSE); Capella Festa, Senior Energy November. Analyst, International Energy Agency (IEA); Boguslaw Sonik, Member of the European Parliament, Parliament The Impact of the Development Rapporteur for the report “The Environmental Impacts of of Shale Gas in the United States Shale Gas and Shale Oil Extraction Activities”. Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. on Europe’s Petrochemical Industries, Sylvie Cornot- 9 July – German Energy Policy: A Good Example? Gandolphe, November. With Michel Cruciani, Project Manager, Center of Geopolitics of Energy and Raw Materials (CGPEM), University of Paris IX-Dauphine; Christian Pierret, former Minister for Industry, President of the think tank Énergie Vista. Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri.

21 November – Shale Gas Boom in the US: What Future for European Petrochemical Industries? “Éditos” With Sylvie Cornot-Gandolphe, Energy Consultant; Isabelle

Muller, General Delegate, Union française des industries An Energy Transition and the Confusion of Ideas, Jacques pétrolières (UFIP). Lesourne, February. Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. The Commission’s “Green Paper” on Energy: A Text in Need of Revision, Jacques Lesourne, March Seminars and Symposiums

Europe and Energy: Are you listening, Brussels? Jacques 2 July – Turkey’s Energy Strategy Under Pressure: Lesourne, June. Domestic Bets and Regional Constraints Keeping a Cool Head in the National Debate on Energy In collaboration with the Contemporary Turkey Program. Transition, Jacques Lesourne, July. With Dorothée Schmid, Head of the Contemporary Turkey

Europe Left Behind in the Energy Revolution, Cécile Program, Ifri; Mihat Rende, Ambassador, Director General Maisonneuve, July. for Multilateral Economic Affairs, Turkish Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Denis Simonneau, Diplomatic Counselor, Member of the Executive Committee, Director of European and International Relations, GDF Suez; Sohbet Karbuz, Director of Hydrocarbons, OME: Ozan Acar, Economist, Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey, TEPAV. Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri.

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CROSSCUTTING PROGRAMS

The Ifri Energy Breakfast Roundtables (Brussels) Center for Migrations and

19 February – What Lies behind Europe’s Refining Crisis? Citizenship With Chris Beddoes, Director General, Europia (European Petroleum Industry Association); Antoine Halff, Head of the Oil Industry and Markets Division, editor of the Oil Market By observing migration as a structuring reality of Report, International Energy Agency (IEA); Saïd Nachet, contemporary international relations and practices of President, Energy and Consulting & Advisory Services citizenship in a world ever more interdependent, the (ECAS), Senior Lecturer, IFP School, Professor, Sciences Po Paris, National Expert, Directorate General for Energy and Center offers fresh thinking on migration and Climate (DGEC). diversity. For several years, it has led a project on Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri; European citizenship in four working-class, immigrant Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Scientific Committee, neighborhoods (Birmingham, Lisbon, Montreuil and Center for Energy, Ifri. Palermo), as well as a research program on the

21 March – New Energy Resources in East Africa: Pushing relationship between firms and migration policies. back the Continent’s Last Hydrocarbon Frontier The Center also focuses on Islam and the citizenship With Benjamin Augé, Associate Researcher, Sub-Saharan of populations viewed as Muslim in Europe. Africa Program, Ifri; Roger M. Carvalho, Director General, Corporate Finance, SPTEC Advisory; Yorick de Mombynes, Team Vice-President Country Delegate for Kenya and Tanzania, Christophe Bertossi, Center Director, Research Fellow Total E&P, East Africa. Areas of expertise: citizenship, multiculturalism, institutions Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri; (armies and health), migration policies Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Scientific Committee, Emma Broughton, Research Fellow Center for Energy, Ifri. Areas of expertise: migration policies (Europe and developing countries), migration and firms 4 June – East Mediterranean New Offshore Gas Resources: Dorothée Prud’homme, Research Fellow What’s in It for Europe? Areas of expertise: discrimination and health, ethnicity, With Charles Ellinas, Executive President, Cyprus National migration policies Hydrocarbons Company; Philip Hagyard, Senior Vice- Danièle Joly, Associate Researcher President, LNG/GTL Business, Technip; Olivier Silla, Deputy Areas of expertise: migration policies, asylum, Head of Unit, International Relations and Enlargement, DG discrimination, multiculturalism, Muslims in Europe Énergie, European Commission; Menelaos Ydreos, Vice- Marie Bassi, Associate Researcher President, Market and Customer Service, Union Gas Ltd, Areas of expertise: migration policies, immigration in Vice-President, Coordination Committee, International Gas Southern Europe Union; Maïté de Boncourt, Research Fellow, Center for Imad Bou Akl, Associate Researcher Energy, Ifri. Areas of expertise: culture and health, multiculturalism, Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri; Lebanon Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Scientific Committee, Jan Willem Duyvendak, Associate Researcher Center for Energy, Ifri. Areas of expertise: citizenship, multiculturalism, social 17 October – Hydrocarbons in Algeria, Long-Term or movements, Muslims in Europe Uncertain Supplier for EU? With Mustapha Faid, Former Vice-President, Sonatrach, Book Published outside of Ifri President, SPTEC Advisory; Francis Perrin, President, Le pétrole et le gaz arabes; Olivier Silla, Deputy Head of Unit, European States and Their Muslim Citizens, John R. Bowen, International Relations and Enlargement, DG Énergie, Christophe Bertossi, Jan Willem Duyvendak, Mona Lena European Commission, Executive Representative, GDF- Krook (eds.), Cambridge University Press, 2013. SUEZ. Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri; Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Scientific Committee, Center for Energy, Ifri.

4 December – Shale Gas Boom in the US: What Future for European Petrochemical Industries? With Sylvie Cornot-Gandolphe, Associate Researcher, Center for Energy, Ifri; José Mosquera, Director of Industrial Policy, Cefic-European Chemical Industry Council; Cristian Kanovits, Policy Officer, Energy and Transport, Sustainable Industrial Policy and Constructions Unit, DG Enterprise & Industry, European Commission. Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri.

Annual Report 2013 35

Digital Publications With Maria Chiara Monti, Researcher, Department of Psychology, University of Palermo; Giuseppina Cassara, University of Palermo Hospital; Filippo Casadei, Researcher,

“Notes de l’Ifri” University of Bergamo; Carolyn Sargent, Anthropology

John Bowen Entrepreneurs and Migrations: The Case of Sweden, Karin Professor, Washington University in St. Louis; , Krifors, February. Dunbar-Van Cleve Professor in Arts and Sciences, Sarah Gelhert Washington University in St. Louis; , E. Labor Migration in the State of Qatar: Policy Making and Desmond Lee Professor of Racial and Ethnic Diversity, Filippo Marranconi Governance, Zahra R. Babar, December. Washington University in St. Louis; ,

Doctoral Candidate, University of Torino and EHESS, Paris; Anna Maria Lu Stefania d’Amato zi and , Researchers, Conference and Debates National Institute of Health (ISS), Rome; Ivo Quaranta, Researcher, University of Bologna; Fulvio Vassallo 7 January – Western Europe States and Their Muslim Paleologo, Professor, Department of Politics, Law and Citizens – Institutions, Perceptions, Boundaries Society, University of Palermo; Mario Affronto, Director, Conference in partnership with the British Council. Department of Migrants’ Health, University of Palermo Jan Willem Duyvendak With , University of Amsterdam; Hospital; Dorothée Prud’homme, Research Fellow, Center Carolyn Sargent John , Washington University in St. Louis; for Migrations and Citizenship, Ifri. Bowen, Washington University in St. Louis; James Beckford, University of Warwick; Christophe Bertossi, Director, Center Conclusion: Leoluca Orlando, Mayor of Palermo. for Migrations and Citizenship, Ifri.

Seminars and Symposiums

9 April – Migration Policy and the Competitiveness of Firms in Europe – Brussels With Emma Broughton and Dorothée Prud’homme, Research Fellows, Center for Migrations and Citizenship, Ifri.

International Conference

22/26 May – European Citizenship Days – Palermo Workshops and the international conference Health and Multiculturalism held as part of the SUCCESS project (Voicing Democracy in Successful European Societies – Palermo) In collaboration with the University of Palermo and under the patronage of the National Institute of Health (ISS), Rome. With the support of the Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation, the Regional Council of Île-de-France and the European Commission’s Europe for Citizens program.

Themes discussed: Diversity in Health Institutions: Contexts, Ideologies, Practices; Social Influences on Health in Multicultural Contexts: An International Comparison; How Migrations Shape European Societies and Institutions: The Example of Immigrants’ Health in Palermo.

Opening address: Roberto La Galla, Chancellor, University of Palermo; Stefano Boca, Director, Department of Psychology, University of Palermo; Christophe Bertossi, Director, Center for Migrations and Citizenship, Ifri.

Annual Report 2013 36

Publications

France and Germany: the present in perspective, n° 21, Books Published outside Ifri or in Co-edition Alfred Grosser, January.

Action and Reaction in the World System, Thierry de Montbrial, Vancouver, UBC Press, Canada, 2013. Between ideals and interests: new French and German European States and their Muslim Citizens, John R. Bowen, perspectives on North Africa, n° 22, Isabel Schäfer, Christophe Bertossi, Jan Willem Duyvendak, Mona Lena February. Krook (eds.), New York, Cambridge University Press, 2013, September. The end of divergences? Perspectives on French and German economic policies, n° 23, Henrik Uterwedde, The European Council and European Governance. The October. Commanding Heights of the EU, Yann-Sven Rittelmeyer, François Foret (eds.), Abingdon, Routledge, 2013. • Publications by Ifri Brussels Are Russian Universities Competitive? Tatiana Jean (ed.),

Paris, CNRS Éditions/Ifri, February 2013, 316 p. “Notes de l’Ifri” In Europe, not Ruled by Europe: Tough Love between Digital Publications, Articles Britain and the EU, Vivien Pertusot, March. Diplomatic Upheaval in Syria, Denis Bauchard, Mansouria Mokhefi, Philippe Moreau Defarges, Laurence Nardon, Europe Julien Nocetti, Vivien Pertusot, Dorothée Schmid, • Cerfa’s Publications September. Syria: Is Military Intervention Still a Viable Option? Corentin Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Guillaume Garnier, “Notes du Cerfa” Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum, September Migrants in Germany, the integration debate, n° 100, Nele Wissmann, January. Articles and Contributions Between economic success and social instability, Germany 10 years after the Hartz laws, n° 101a, Brigitte Lestrade, Defence Matters, report by Vivien Pertusot and Étienne de May. Durand, NATO, October. Poverty in Europe: where is Germany? n° 101b, Christoph Schröder, May. Russia/NIS Credit Union: the position of the German savings banks, n° Book 103, Georg Fahrenschon, July. Are Russian Universities Competitive? Tatiana Jean (ed.), Renewing a transatlantic partnership? German-American Paris, CNRS Éditions/Ifri, February 2013, 316 p relations during Obama’s second term, n°104, Stormy- Annika Mildner, Henning Riecke, Claudia Schmucker, July. “Russie.Nei.Visions” Germany, France, Turkey: the triangle of power, n° 105 (Note franco-turque n° 9), Dorothée Schmid, September. (series published in English, French and Russian) Germany after the federal elections of 22 September Antimissile Defense: The Improbable cooperation 2013: between political continuity and structural changes, between Russia and Nato, n° 67, Richard Weitz, January. n° 107, Ulrich Eith, December. Governors, oligarchs and siloviki: oil and power in Russia, Germany, France, Turkey: A New Triangle of Powers, n° 68, Ahmed Mehdi, Shamil Yenikeyeff, February. n° 105, Dorothée Schmid, September. "Schengen governance”: the subtle balance between Russia-Turkey: a relationship determined by energy, n° 69 Community method and intergovernmental logic, n° 106, (Note franco-turque n°7), Rémi Bourgeot, March. Yves Pascouau, December. Russia’s Eastern Energy Policy: A Chinese Puzzle for Rosneft, n° 70, Nina Poussenkova, April. “Visions franco-allemandes” Afghanistan after 2014: The Way Forward for Russia? France, Germany and the European defense: more n° 71, Ekaterina Stepanova, May. pragmatism and less pathos, n° 20, Claudia Major, January. Japan-Russia: Toward a Strategic Partnership? n° 72, Céline

Pajon, September.

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The Influence of the State on Expanding Russian MNEs: Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri Advantage or Handicap? Andreï Panibratov, n° 73, Beijing-Taipei: After the 18th Congress, Politique December. internationale, Winter 2012-2013, Alice Ekman. China: New Leaders, New Reforms? Politique étrangère, “Russie.Nei.Reports” 1:2013, Alice Ekman. (series published in English or French) Russian LNG: The Long Road to Export, n° 16, Tatiana Shale Gas: An Answer to China’s Energy Problem? Les Mitrova, December. Carnets du CAPS, n° 17 – Spring 2013, John Seaman.

The Border Incident of Spring 2013: An Interpretative Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri Essay on Sino-Indian Relations, Hérodote, n° 150, 3rd Internet, an Accelerator for Transformations in Russia, Quarter 2013, Isabelle Saint-Mézard. Julien Nocetti Studies, February. Rare Earths: Future Elements of Conflict in Asia? Asian What Energy Policy for Russia in the Middle East? Julien Studies Review, 37:2, May 2013, John Seaman with Ming Nocetti, Foreign Policy, 1:2013 Hwa Ting. The Competitiveness of Russian Universities, Tatiana Kastoueva John Obshchaya tetrad '(in Russian), No. 1 (61) The French Strategic Vision of the Indian Ocean, Journal of 2013 the Indian Ocean Region, vol. 9, n° 1, June 2013, Isabelle Digital Diplomacy, Thomas Gomart, La Revue des Deux Saint-Mézard. Mondes, January Russia: Social Networks and Bloggers, A New Political India and North Africa’s New Relationship, L’année du Julien Nocetti Yearbook 2013 Franco-Russian Actors, Maghreb, n° 9, 2013, Isabelle Saint-Mézard. Centre, Paris, Cherche-Midi. New Missions and Ambitions for Russian Universities, China’s Direct Investment in the European Union: Tatiana Kastoueva John, International Higher Education , Challenges and Policy Responses, EABER Working Paper, No. 73, September. n° 86, Australian National University, November 2013, The Emergence of Social Networks on the International Françoise Nicolas. Scene, Julien Nocetti, International Issues, No. 63, September. Japan’s “Smart” Strategic Engagement in Southeast Asia, Russian Companies and Higher Education, Tatiana The Asan Forum, vol. 1, n° 3, 6 December 2013, Céline Kastoueva John, Russian Analytical Digest, No. 137, October Pajon. What does the Snowden case hides?, Thomas Gomart, La Revue des Deux Mondes, October Lessons from Investment Policy Reform in Korea, with Stephen Thomsen and Mi-Hyun Bang, OECD Working Asia Papers on International Investment, n° 2013/02, OECD Publishing, 2013, Françoise Nicolas. “Asie.Visions” Japan and the South China Sea: Forging Strategic China and International Investment – Toward Partnerships in a Divided Region, n° 60, Céline Pajon, Normalization, in Mathieu Arès and Eric Boulanger (eds.), January. L’investissement et la nouvelle économie mondiale: trajectoires nationales, réseaux mondiaux et normes Security Partnerships in Japan’s Asia Strategy – Creating internationales, Brussels, Bruylant, 2013, Françoise Nicolas. Order, Building Capacity and Sharing Burden, n° 62, Ryo Political Impasses and the Decision-Making Crisis in India: Sahasi, February. What Does the Future Hold? Jean-Luc Racine, Annuaire China’s Fortress Fleet-in-Being and its Implications for Asie 2013, Paris, La Documentation Française, 2013, Isabelle Japan’s Security, n° 62, Tetsuo Kotani, February. Saint-Mézard.

ASEAN-India Political Cooperation: How to Reinforce a India’s Relations in South Asia, in K. Bates, Mathieu Much-needed Pillar? n° 63, Sophie Boisseau du Rocher, Boisvert, Serge Granger, C. Jaffrelot (eds.), L’Inde et ses March. avatars: Pluralités d’une puissance, Montréal, Presses de China’s Growing Natural Gas Insecurity and the Potential l’université de Montréal, 2013, Isabelle Saint-Mézard. of Chinese Shale Gas, n° 64, John Seaman, June. The China-India Border Dispute: How Far Will the Status Changes in India's Agricultural Sector, n° 65, Christine Quo Go? in Béatrice Giblin, Frédérick Douzet (eds.), Des Lutringer, June. frontières indépassables? Paris, Armand Colin, 2013, Urbanization and Mobility in China, n° 66, Jiawan Yang, Isabelle Saint-Mézard. December.

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Middle East/North Africa/Mediterranean Qatar: A Major Player in the Geopolitical Restructuring of North Africa? Mansouria Mokhefi, December.

• Middle-East/North Africa • Contemporary Turkey “Notes de l’Ifri”

Diplomatic Upheaval in Syria, Denis Bauchard, Mansouria “Notes franco-turques” Mokhefi, Philippe Moreau Defarges, Laurence Nardon, Russia-Turkey: A Relationship Dictated by Energy, n° 7 Julien Nocetti, Vivien Pertusot, Dorothée Schmid, (Russie.NEI.Visions, n°69), Rémi Bourgeot, March. September. Crisis and Weakening of Southern Europe: Implications for Eduard Soler i Lecha Syria: Is Military Intervention Still a Viable Option? Turkey, n° 8, , May. Corentin Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Guillaume Garnier, Germany, France, Turkey: A New Triangle of Powers, n° 9 Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum, September. (Note du Cerfa n° 105, September 2013), Dorothée Schmid, September. • Maghreb Facing New Global Challenges Program Africa

“Notes de l’Ifri” “Études de l’Ifri” New Relations Between India and North African Countries, Isabelle Saint-Mézard, February. Billboard in Abidjan: Mirrors of Brands, Markers of Consumption, Hélène Quenot-Suarez, December. China’s View of North Africa: Perceptions and New Directions Following the Arab Spring, Alice Ekman, February. “Notes de l’Ifri” Tunisia, Year 3 of the Revolution, Denis Bauchard, April. A Class Defined “By Consumption”: The Grocery-Shopping Beyond the Arab Awakening: Policies and Investments for Practices of the Lower-Middle Classes in Johannesburg, Poverty Reduction and Food Security, Perrihan Al Riffai, South Africa, Elodie Escusa, April. Clemens Breisinger, Olivier Echer and Bingxin Yu, July. France and the Fight against Terrorism in the Sahel: The Sonatrach, A State Within the State? Hocine Malti, July. History of a Difficult Leadership Role, Tobias Koepf, June. Water in North Africa: Constraints, Challenges and Equal Partners? Economic Relations Between South Africa Prospects, Eugenia Ferragina, Giovanni Canitano, July. and China Since 1994, Vincent Darracq, July. Education in North Africa: Promises and Challenges, Abdeljalil Akkari, July. United States Healthcare Systems in Algeria, Morocco and Tunisia: Unfinished Transitions, Michel Legros, Farid Chaoui, September. “Potomac Papers” United States: The Role of the State in Research Funding, Algeria and its South: What Are the Security Challenges? n° 16, Gabrielle Durana, April. Salim Chena, November. The Republican Party’s Ideological Crisis, n° 17, Aurélie North Africa in the Face of the Informal Sphere, Godet, June. Abderrahmane Mebtoul, December. A Contribution to the Debate on Colocation in North An Ohio Renaissance? n° 18, Guy Hervier, October. Africa, Mihoub Mezouaghi, December. Policy Briefs Agricultural Processing and Influence: How to Interpret A series of policy briefs on the future of American Saudi Land Investment in Ethiopia? Matthieu Brun, leadership. In partnership with the GMFUS. December. South Africa’s Regional Positioning Strategy: What Can The Future of American Leadership, Alexandra de Hoop North Africa Learn? Mohammed Mouline, December. Scheffer, Laurence Nardon, January.

Green Investments in Moroccan Agriculture, Najib Akesbi, A City Upon a Crumbling Hill? Martin Michelot, January December. (article, February, website).

North Africa in Turkey’s Arab Policy – Insights into the The Future of American Leadership: Between Renewal and Evolution of a Strategy, Mansouria Mokhefi, December. Delegation, Alexandra de Hoop Scheffer, February. Maghreb Facing New Global Challenges: Political and Economic Effects of Qaddafi’s Death on Chad, Ketil Fred The Republicans and American Foreign Policy: What’s in Hansen, December. Store for 2016? Laurence Nardon, April.

Annual Report 2013 39

Obama’s Second Term Foreign Policy Team, William Burke- “Notes de l’Ifri” White, June. Syria: Is Military Intervention Still a Viable Option? Corentin Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Guillaume Garnier, Global Swing States and U.S. Strategy, Daniel Kliman, Marc Hecker, Élie Tenenbaum, September. September.

The Pentagon Faced with Sequestration and the End of Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri Aude Fleurant Wars: The Art of Budgetary Blurring? , Does France Have an Exit Strategy in Mali? Étienne de September. Durand, foreignaffairs.com, February 2013.

Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri What Future for French Military Interventions? Aline Leboeuf, . Is the United States Moving Toward Energy ISN ETH Zürich, 15 August 2013

Independence? Politique étrangère, 2:2013, Laurence Half a Century of Pro-Palestinian Activism in France: Nardon, June. Evolution and Prospects, Marc Hecker, Confluences

Méditerranée Foreign Policy: The United States First, Questions , n° 86, Summer 2013. internationales n° 64, November-December, Laurence America’s New Military Stance in Asia, Corentin Brustlein, Nardon. Politique étrangère, 2:2013.

The Nuclear Disarmament Letdown, Corentin Brustlein, Security Études, n° 419-3, September 2013. “Focus stratégiques” Air Superiority: Where Does the French Model Stand Winning in Libya: By Design or Default? n° 41, Michael W. Within the SEAD?, Élie Tenenbaum, DSI, n° 93, Kometer, Stephen E. Wright, January. October 2013.

Ever More Expensive? The Complexity of Armaments and Western Air Power in 2025 (2/2): Elements of the Inflation of Military Expenditures, n° 42, Sophie Lefeez, Sustainability, Corentin Brustlein, Étienne de Durand, Élie February. Tenenbaum, Revue Défense nationale, December 2013.

Defence Reform in the United Kingdom: A Twenty-First Century Paradox, n° 43, John Louth, March. Space Cyberwar: In Search of a Strategy, n° 44, Michel Baud, May. “The Europe & Space Series” Tsahal on All Fronts: The Israeli Army and Strategic The Lisbon Treaty and the Evolution of European Space Uncertainty, n° 45, Pierre Razoux, July. Governance, n° 12, Julien Beclard, September.

The IDF on All Fronts: Dealing with Israeli Strategic The Vegetation Programme, n° 13, Julien Beclard, Uncertainty, n° 45 bis, Pierre Razoux, August. September. Wagering on Amphibious Operations: Tactical Risk and Strategic Influence, n° 46, Guillaume Garnier, September. Articles and Contributions outside of Ifri Space, Luxury or Necessity: Situations and Prospects for Killer Drones and Targeted Eliminations: The United States France after the Livre Blanc and Operation Serval, Guilhem Against Al-Qaida and its Affiliates, n° 47, Stéphane Taillat, Penent, The Space Review, August. October. The End of the Regiment? 30 Years of Deconstructing the U.S. Opportunity in Asia Is Not Strategy, Guilhem Penent, Tactical Organization of the Regiment, n° 48, André Space News, March. Thieblemont, November. Energy “Proliferation Papers” Command and Control in a Nuclear-Armed Iran, n° 45, Shahram Chubin, January. “Notes de l’Ifri” The Gulf Countries’ Energy Strategies: What’s on the The Primacy of Alliance: Deterrence and European Menu for the Power Sector? Maïté de Boncourt, January. Security, n° 46, Lawrence Freedman, March-April. Photovoltaics: An Effective Development Tool for Sub- China’s Nuclear Idiosyncrasies and Their Challenges, n° 47 Saharan Economies, Karim Megherbi, January. Jeffrey Lewis, November-December. Global Coal Trade: From Tightness to Oversupply, Sylvie Cornot-Gandolphe, February.

Offshore Gas in East Mediterranean: From Myth to

Reality, Maïté de Boncourt, May.

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The European Gas Market: A Reality Check, Laura Europe and Energy: Are you listening, Brussels? Jacques Parmigiani, May. Lesourne, June.

Keeping a Cool Head in the National Debate on Energy Transition, Jacques Lesourne, July. Le tournant énergétique allemand: année N+2, Michel Cruciani, July. Europe Left Behind in the Energy Revolution, Cécile Maisonneuve, July. Impact du développement des gaz de schistes aux États- Unis sur la pétrochimie européenne, Sylvie Cornot- Gandolphe, October. Migrations and Citizenship Year 2 of Germany’s Energy Transition, Michel Cruciani, November. Book Published outside of Ifri The Impact of the Development of Shale Gas in the United States on Europe’s Petrochemical Industries, Sylvie Cornot- European States and their Muslim Citizens, John R. Bowen, Gandolphe, November. Christophe Bertossi, Jan Willem Duyvendak, Mona Lena Krook (eds.), Cambridge University Press, 2013.

“Éditos” “Notes de l’Ifri”

An Energy Transition and the Confusion of Ideas, Jacques Entrepreneurs and Migrations: The Case of Sweden, Karin Lesourne, February. Krifors, February. The Commission’s “Green Paper” on Energy:: A Text in Labor Migration in the State of Qatar: Policy Making and Need of Revision, Jacques Lesourne, March. Governance, Zahra R. Babar, December.

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Conferences and Debates

January

7 January – Western Europe States and their Muslim China; Françoise Nicolas, Director, Center for Asian Studies, Citizens – Institutions, Perceptions, Boundaries Ifri; Michel Destot, Member of French Parliament, Conference in partnership with the British Council. rapporteur for fact-finding mission on China; Marie-Louise With Jan Willem Duyvendak, University of Amsterdam; Fort, Member of French Parliament, author of report for Carolyn Sargent, Washington University in St. Louis; John Commission of European Affairs on EU-China relations; John Bowen, Washington University in St. Louis; James Beckford, Seaman, Research Fellow, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri. University of Warwick; Christophe Bertossi, Director, Center for Migrations and Citizenship, Ifri. 19 February – Do diplomacy and social media mix? Conference organized in the framework of the 2013 Social 9 January – European Policies and Energy Transitions Media Week in Paris. With Jean-Arnold Vinois, Head of Unit on Energy Policy and With Anne Chounet-Cambas, Head of the Digital Team, Security of Supply and Networks, DG Energy, European Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Bertrand de La Chapelle, Commission; Daniel Dobbeni, Director General, Elia; Maïté Director of the Internet and Jurisdiction program, Académie Jauréguy-Naudin, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. diplomatique internationale, Member of the Board of Chair: Jacques Lesourne, Chairman of the Scientific Directors of ICANN; Thomas Gomart, Vice-President for Committee, Center for Energy, Ifri. Strategic Development, Ifri; Joan Tilouine, journalist, creator of the e-Diplomacy application of the AFP. 16 January – France/Germany: Fifty years after the Élysée Chair: Marc Hecker, Research Fellow, Ifri. treaty With Hélène Miard-Delacroix, Professor at University of 21 February – Turkey for a New Europe Paris-Sorbonne; Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, With Egemen Bağiş, Turkish Minister for European Affairs. Professor at University of Paris-Sorbonne. Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri.

February March

6 February – Natural Resources in Mauritania: 12 March – Peace and Security in the Great Lakes Region Opportunities and Challenges of Africa: Burundi’s Role With Taleb Ould Abdi Vall, Mauritanian Minister for With Pierre Nkurunziza, President of Burundi Petroleum, Energy and Mines; James Crossland, Vice- Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. President, Kinross; Jean Daniel Blasco, North African Director, Total; Kane Amadou Mamadou, Director General, 14 March – Status and Outlook for Shale Gas and Tight Oil Société de production d’électricité et de gaz (SPEG); Development in the U.S. Benjamin Augé, Associate Researcher for the Sub-Saharan With Adam Sieminski, Administrator of the US Energy Africa Program, Ifri. Information Administration. Chair: Alain Antil, Head of the Sub-Saharan Africa Program, Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. Ifri. 26 March – Foreign policy of Jacques Chirac: an overview 7 February – Democracy and Development in Africa: The With Jean-David Lévitte, Professor, Sciences Po Paris, Stakes, Challenges and Prospects Distinguished Fellow, Brookings Institution, former With Thomas Boni Yayi, President of the Republic of Benin. Diplomatic Adviser and sherpa to Presidents Chirac and Chair: Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri. Sarkozy; Richard Banegas, Professor, Sciences Po, Paris; Pierre Melandri, Professor Emeritus, Sciences Po Paris. 13 February – China After the 18th Congress of the Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Communist Party Third Parliament/Ifri meeting With Élisabeth Guigou, President of the Commission of 28 March – Political Transformation to the West of the Foreign Affairs at the Assemblée Nationale; Thierry de Mediterranean Montbrial, President, Ifri; Jean-Marie Le Guen, Member of Conference reserved for Ifri members. With Mansouria Mokhefi, Head of the Middle East/North Africa Program, Ifri. French Parliament, President of the France-China Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Friendship Group; Patrice Martin-Lalande, Member of the French Parliament, President of fact-finding mission on

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April

24 April – Has Globalization Reached its Limits? 11 June – Iran on the Eve of Elections: Towards a Renewal Conference reserved for Ifri members. of the Islamic Republic? With Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri. With Michel Makinsky, Lecturer, France Business School, Poitiers, Research Associate, University of Liège; Louis Racine, Doctoral Candidate, EHESS; Clément Therme, May Associate Researcher, Centre d’analyse et d’intervention 14 May – Academic and political power rankings: the case sociologique (CADIS), EHESS and IRSEM. of Russia Chair: Mansouria Mokhefi, Head of the Middle East/North With Jamil Salmi, former coordinator of the World Bank’s Africa Program, Ifri. tertiary education program, author of The Challenge of Establishing World-Class Universities (2009) and co-author 26 June – Colombia’s Security Environment: Internal and of The Road to Academic Excellence: The Making of World- External Challenges Class Research Universities (2011); Tatiana Kastouéva-Jean, With Juan Carlos Pinzón Bueno, Minister for National Research Fellow, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri, author of Are Defense, Republic of Colombia. Russian Universities Competitive? (Paris, CNRS Éditions/Ifri, Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. 2013). Chair: Thomas Gomart, Director, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri. 27 June – Corporate Social Responsibility: The Crossroads Between Business and Diplomacy 14 May – Armenia, The Caucasus, and Europe With Jose W. Fernandez, US Assistant Secretary for With Edward Nalbandian, Minister for Foreign Affairs, Economic and Business Affairs. Republic of Armenia Chair: Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri. Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. July 21 May – Russia in the Middle East Conference-debate on the issues addressed by Politique 4 July – Immigration Reform in the US – Challenges Ahead étrangère, 1/2013 With Patrick Weil, Director of Research, CNRS, Center of th With Julien Nocetti, Research Fellow, Russia/NIS Center, Ifri; 20 Century Social History, University of Paris 1, Visiting Frédéric Pichon, Research Fellow, François Rabelais Professor, Yale University; Anne Bagamery, European Day University, Tours. Editor, The International Herald Tribune. Chair: Dominique David, Editor in Chief, Politique étrangère. Chair: Laurence Nardon, Head of the United States Program, Ifri. 29 May – Africa: New Opportunities, New Policies Directions 9 July – German Energy Policy: A Good Example? With John Dramani Mahama, President of Ghana. With Michel Cruciani, Project Manager, Center of Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. Geopolitics of Energy and Raw Materials (CGPEM), University of Paris IX-Dauphine; Christian Pierret, former 30 May – Unconventional Hydrocarbons: Is a European Minister for Industry, President of the think tank Énergie Approach Possible? Vista. With Olivier Appert, President, IFP Énergies nouvelles; Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. Sylvie Duflot, Administrative Director and Public Relations, Total Gas Shale Europe (TGSE); Capella Festa, Senior Energy September Analyst, International Energy Agency (IEA); Boguslaw Sonik, Member of the European Parliament, Parliament 11 September – Presentation of RAMSES 2013. The youth: Rapporteur for the report “The Environmental Impacts of towards explosion? Shale Gas and Shale Oil Extraction Activities”. With Nicole Bricq, Minister for Foreign Commerce; Thierry Chair: Cécile Maisonneuve, Director, Center for Energy, Ifri. de Montbrial, President, Ifri; Philippe Moreau Defarges, Researcher, Co-Director of RAMSES; Cécile Maisonneuve, 31 May – France’s European Policy Director, Center for Energy, Ifri; Marc Hecker, Research With Thierry Repentin, Ministre délégué chargé des Affaires Fellow, Security Studies Center, Ifri. européennes. Chair: Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri. 24 September – The Strategic Franco-Vietnamese Partnership: Building Strategic Confidence June With Nguyen Tan Dung, Prime Minister, Vietnam. Chair: Thierry de Montbrial, President, Ifri. 4 June – Geopolitics of the Eastern Mediterranean: A Cypriot vision 25 September – Germany after the federal elections of nd With Ioannis Kasoulides, Minister for Foreign Affairs, September 22 Republic of Cyprus. In collaboration with the Maison Heinrich Heine. Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri. With Stefan Kornelius, Head of Foreign Policy, Süddeutsche Zeitung, Munich, author of Angela Merkel. Die Kanzlerin

Annual Report 2013 43

und ihre Welt, 2013; Pierre-Yves Le Borgn’, Deputy (PS), President, Franco-German Friendship Group of the Assemblée nationale; Andreas Schockenhoff, Federal Deputy (CDU), President, Franco-German Friendship Group of the Bundestag; Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, Professor at University of Paris-Sorbonne. Chair: Henry Ménudier, Honorary Professor, Université Sorbonne Nouvelle – Paris 3.

30 September – Fall 2013: Where Does the US Stand in the World? With the support of the American Embassy in Paris. With Walter Russell Mead, Professor, Bard College, Columnist, The American Interest; Justin Vaïsse, Director, Centre d’Analyse, de prévision et de stratégie (CAPS), Ministry of Foreign Affairs. Chair: Laurence Nardon, Head of the United States Program, Ifri.

October

10 October – Wars of Tomorrow – Strategy, Technology and Ethics Presentation by Politique étrangère 3/2013. With Jean-Baptiste Jeangène Vilmer, Policy Adviser, Centre d’analyse, de prévision et de stratégie (CAPS), French Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Jean-Christophe Noël, Colonel, CAPS, French Ministry of Foreign Affairs; Jean-Jacques Roche, Professor, University of Panthéon-Assas, Director of l’Institut supérieur de l’armement et de la défense. Chair: Dominique David, Editor-in-Chief of Politique étrangère.

16 October – The Future of the European Union: our Shared Agenda With David Lidington, Minister of State at the Foreign Office, Minister for Europe, United Kingdom. Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri.

22 October – What to expect from Germany’s new government Conference reserved for Ifri members. With Hans Stark, Secretary General, Cerfa, Ifri, Professor at University Paris-Sorbonne. Chair: Dominique David, Executive Vice-President, Ifri.

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Financial Appendix

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Editor Natacha Crance

Photo Credit: ©Ifri; ©Christophe Peus; © Bahi; © Veldeman Photo Brussels; © Hubert Raguet

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