Windlab Limited (ASX:WND)
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Windlab Limited (ASX:WND) Roger Price, Chairman and CEO For personal use only November 2017: Investor Roadshow For further information please contact: [email protected] Disclaimer This document has been prepared solely for the purpose of providing potential investors with information about Windlab Limited (WND, Windlab, or the Company). The information contained in this document does not purport to contain all of the information that a potential investor may need or desire. Potential investors should conduct their own investigation and analysis of WND and of the information contained in this document and should rely solely on their own judgement, review and analysis in deciding whether to invest in WND. This document is not intended to be financial product or investment advice nor is it a recommendation to acquire any securities. This document has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making any investment decision, potential investors are recommended to seek their own legal, taxation and financial advice appropriate to their individual circumstances. This document does not constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to any person to acquire securities. Neither the information contained in this document nor any further information made available by WND in connection with a potential investment in WND will form the basis of, or be construed as, an offer to acquire securities. This presentation is for information purposes only and is not a prospectus, product disclosure statement, pathfinder document for the purposes of section 734(9) of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (“Corporations Act”) or other offer document under Australian law or the law of any other jurisdiction. This presentation does not constitute an invitation to apply for or purchase securities and does not contain any application form for securities. The information contained in this document has not been independently verified. This document includes certain forward looking statements, estimates and projections that involve subjective views of the anticipated future performance of WND that may or may not be correct. Such forward looking statements, estimates and projections are not guarantees of future performance and involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are outside the control of WND. WND and its representatives and associates may amend or replace the document at any time and are not obliged to provide the recipient with any additional information, or to update or correct any inaccuracies which may become apparent in this document. To the maximum extent permitted by law, WND and each of its representatives and associates make no representations or warranties whether express or implied as to the currency, accuracy, reliability or completeness of any information provided to the recipient about WND or any potential investment in WND (including this document and any other written or oral communication about WND or any potential investment in WND) (Information). WND and each of its representatives and associates are not responsible for, and will not be liable for, any claim, loss, damage, cost or expense, whether direct, indirect, consequential or otherwise (including in negligence) out of or in connection with the Information. The distribution of this document outside of Australia may be restricted by law and any such restrictions should be observed. This document may not be distributed or released to any person in the United States. For personal use only WINDLAB LIMITED 2 About Windlab Australian based, international renewable energy development company 9 projects Completed1 WindScapeTM provides distinct, technology based competitive 1093 MW advantage Operate across the whole wind farm development value chain Total 50 projects development Track record of project success, strong growth and profitability pipeline >7,000 MW Growing portfolio of operating interests and asset management Near term revenues development 8 projects pipeline 814 MW (permitted) Capacity under management 350 MW Brisbane FY2017(F) For personal use only $23.2 m / Revenue / EBITDA $14.7 m Note 1: Includes projects which have reached financial close and Global Offices are either under construction or operating. WINDLAB LIMITED 3 What we do Apply science to develop, construct and operate better wind farms internationally WIND FARM PROJECT LIFECYCLE ~3 – 7 Years ~1 – 2 Years 25+ Years Costs: ~A$2 – 5Million/project ~A$2M/MW WIND FARM VALUE CREATION Development Returns Infrastructure Returns 5 to 10X IRRs 8% to 15% For personal use only WINDLAB LIMITED 4 What we do Windlab is an integrated developer, owner and asset manager operating across the full wind farm life cycle WIND FARM PROJECT LIFECYCLE For personal use only WINDLAB LIMITED 5 What we do Apply science to develop, construct and operate better wind farms internationally FINDING THE COONOOER BRIDGE WIND FARM. A DIAGRAMMATICAL REPRESENTATION OF WINDSCAPETM IN ACTION WIND FARM PROJECT LIFECYCLE 3Kms Resolution 1Km Resolution Looking closer! Prospecting Prospecting Prospecting For personal use only 100metre Resolution Land use overlay Virtual Wind Farm WINDLAB LIMITED 6 Revenue model HOW DOES WINDLAB GENERATE REVENUE? DEVELOPMENT MARGIN EXTRACTION: Development margins from the sale or part sale of 1 Development margin projects at or near financial close Target: $250,000 / MW, which typically equates to 8% – 12% of total capex margin Received through a combination of Success fees from previously sold or partnered projects. Development Success fees are typically received on completion of cash and carried interests 2 certain development milestones and / or when a project reaches financial close Windfarm capex Wind turbines, including the cost of transport to the site Asset management fees for wind farm management of 3 Civil works both Windlab developed and third party owned projects future of NPV project Site preparation cash flows atflowscash financial close Concrete foundations for wind turbines Wind Wind farm capex On-site electrical works Equity or other commercial interests in operating 4 projects retained beyond financial close For personal use only WINDLAB LIMITED 7 2017 Achievements SINCE IPO PRIOR TO IPO (IPO in August, raising A$50 million) ✓ Sold project rights on 3 projects ✓ Financial Close of AGL’s Cooper’s Gap Wind Farm – the largest wind farm in South Africa in Australia (453MW). Windlab has received a $10.3 million final milestone success payment ✓ Financial close for Kennedy Energy Park, Phase I ✓ Commenced construction of Development fee of A$5.4 million, which has been applied with part of Kiata Wind Farm in Victoria, the IPO proceeds to maintain Windlab’s 50% equity interest in the project Australia Asset management fee of $600k during construction, and $900k p.a. during commercial operations under a 20 year agreement Construction period of ~12 months (to commence imminently) Entered option agreement for ✓ ✓ Kiata construction complete – connected to grid and commissioning the sale of Greenwich Wind underway. Farm in Ohio, USA ✓ Bolstered Australian development team ✓ Reaffirmed prospectus revenue forecast for CY17 ✓ Entered JV with Globeleq for ✓ Added five early stage projects to Australian portfolio For personal use only development of Mozambique ✓ Identified and in process of securing 21 highly prospective and portfolio commercially competitive sites across South Africa and Sub Saharan Africa WINDLAB LIMITED 8 MARKET OVERVIEW For personal use only Market Overview Wind technology Wind turbine technology has advanced to enable larger turbines, taller hub heights, and bigger generators Source: International Energy Agency, “Technology Roadmap: Wind energy, 2013 edition”. Larger turbines and Taller hub heights Bigger generators For personal use only rotor diameters Wind turbines make up the largest capex component of an onshore wind project. Continued advances in technology are driving increased capacity factors and lower costs WINDLAB LIMITED 10 Market Overview Cost of energy generation The cost of generating electricity from newly installed renewable energy generating capacity is now generally less than that produced by newly constructed traditional thermal alternatives such as coal generation LCOE IN AUSTRALIA Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. For personal use only LCOE is a measure of the average cost of producing electricity from a specific generating technology, representing the cost per MWh of building and operating a generating plant in order to provide reasonable return over an assumed financial life. WINDLAB LIMITED 11 Market Overview Australia’s changing energy mix The Australian energy market is projected to continue to transition away from fossil fuel generation towards renewable generation, particularly solar and wind CURRENT MIX IN THE NEM FUTURE SOLUTION CAPACITY BY REGION AGE OF COAL GENERATION CAPACITY Source: Bloomberg New Energy Finance. 9,000MW of coal generation is expected to close over the course of the next 15 years For personal use only Source: AEMO. Data is current at 19 May 2017. WINDLAB LIMITED 12 Market Overview Africa Africa is the most electricity poor region in the world. Rapid population and economic growth is driving demand for electricity, much of which is expected to be met by renewables CURRENT SITUATION FORECAST RENEWABLES CAPACITY SUB SAHARAN AFRICA (EXCLUDING SOUTH AFRICA) SSA (EXCLUDING SOUTH AFRICA) Sub Saharan Africa (SSA) is the most electricity