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Renewable Energy Across Queensland's Regions

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Renewable Energy Across Queensland's Regions Renewable Energy across Queensland’s Regions July 2018 Enlightening environmental markets Green Energy Markets Pty Ltd ABN 92 127 062 864 2 Domville Avenue Hawthorn VIC 3122 Australia T +61 3 9805 0777 F +61 3 9815 1066 [email protected] greenmarkets.com.au Part of the Green Energy Group Green Energy Markets 1 Contents 1 Introduction ........................................................................................................................6 2 Overview of Renewable Energy across Queensland .....................................................8 2.1 Large-scale projects ..................................................................................................................... 9 2.2 Rooftop solar photovoltaics ........................................................................................................ 13 2.3 Batteries-Energy Storage ........................................................................................................... 16 2.4 The renewable energy resource ................................................................................................. 18 2.5 Transmission .............................................................................................................................. 26 3 The renewable energy supply chain ............................................................................. 31 3.1 Construction activity .................................................................................................................... 31 3.2 Equipment manufacture - Solar .................................................................................................. 31 3.3 Equipment manufacture - wind ................................................................................................... 33 3.4 Estimating employment from renewable energy projects ........................................................... 34 4 Regional Profiles – Mackay-Whitsunday ...................................................................... 36 4.1 Rooftop solar .............................................................................................................................. 36 4.2 Utility-scale projects .................................................................................................................... 36 5 Regional Profiles – Townsville and the Dry Tropics ................................................... 38 5.1 Rooftop solar .............................................................................................................................. 38 5.2 Utility-scale projects .................................................................................................................... 38 5.3 Battery manufacturing ................................................................................................................. 39 6 Regional Profiles – Far North Queensland .................................................................. 41 6.1 Rooftop solar .............................................................................................................................. 41 6.2 Utility-scale projects .................................................................................................................... 41 7 Regional Profiles – Darling Downs ............................................................................... 43 7.1 Rooftop solar .............................................................................................................................. 43 7.2 Utility-scale projects .................................................................................................................... 43 8 Regional Profiles – Wide-Bay Burnett .......................................................................... 45 8.1 Rooftop solar .............................................................................................................................. 45 8.2 Utility-scale projects .................................................................................................................... 45 9 Regional Profiles – Central Queensland ...................................................................... 47 9.1 Rooftop solar .............................................................................................................................. 47 9.2 Utility-scale projects .................................................................................................................... 47 10 Regional Profiles – South East Queensland ................................................................ 49 10.1 Rooftop solar ....................................................................................................................... 49 10.2 Utility-scale projects ............................................................................................................ 49 11 Regional Profiles – Western Queensland .................................................................... 51 11.1 Rooftop solar ....................................................................................................................... 51 11.2 Utility-scale projects ............................................................................................................ 51 12 Appendix A – Definitions of regional boundaries ....................................................... 53 13 Appendix B – Listing of large-scale renewable energy projects in Queensland ..... 56 Green Energy Markets 2 Disclaimer: The data, analysis and assessments included in this report are based on the best information available at the date of publication and the information is believed to be accurate at the time of writing. Green Energy Markets does not in any way guarantee the accuracy of any information or data contained in this report and accepts no responsibility for any loss, injury or inconvenience sustained by any users of this report in relation to any information or data contained in this report. Green Energy Markets 3 Figures Figure 1-1 Geographical boundaries defining regions used in this report ............................................... 7 Figure 2-1 QLD renewable energy power generation and share of consumption ................................... 8 Figure 2-2 Queensland large-scale installed renewable energy by 2020 compared to past ................. 10 Figure 2-3 Renewable energy projects under development in Queensland in 2015 versus 2018 ........ 12 Figure 2-4 Queensland cumulative solar PV rooftop capacity and number of installations ................... 13 Figure 2-5 Number of solar PV systems and proportion of dwellings with solar by state ...................... 14 Figure 2-6 Projected cumulative rooftop solar capacity and systems to 2020 ...................................... 15 Figure 2-7 AEMO projected rooftop solar power generation and share to 2030 ................................... 16 Figure 2-8 Average price of lithium-ion battery pack per kWh of storage 2010-2017 ........................... 16 Figure 2-9 Average daily pattern of output from Kennedy wind turbines and solar farm....................... 17 Figure 2-10 Amount of energy storage required to ensure reliability and security at high levels of renewable energy share of supply ........................................................................................................ 18 Figure 2-8 Intensity of solar radiation across the NEM states ............................................................... 19 Figure 2-9 Capacity factors of solar farms across Queensland compared to the international average of 2017 installations .................................................................................................................................. 20 Figure 2-10 Capacity factors of Qld committed wind farms compared to the international average of 2017 installations .................................................................................................................................. 21 Figure 2-11 Average wind speeds across the NEM states ................................................................... 22 Figure 2-12 Correlation of 2015/16 power output across wind farms in NEM relative to distance apart 23 Figure 2-13 Prospective suitable sites for pumped hydro facilities (red dots) ....................................... 25 Figure 2-14 Powerlink assessment of the generation capacity that can be absorbed on the QLD transmission system excluding 275kV and 330kV substations ............................................................. 27 Figure 2-15 New transmission lines (dashed) identified by AEMO to support exploitation of areas with high quality renewable energy resources ............................................................................................. 29 Figure 2-16 AEMO options to upgrade the NSW-Queensland Interconnector ...................................... 30 Figure 3-1 Breakdown of locally versus internationally sourced equipment (non-module) used in Broken Hill and Nyngan Solar Farms ................................................................................................................ 33 Figure 12-1 Geographical boundaries defining regions used in this report ........................................... 54 Green Energy Markets 4 Tables Table 2-1 Impact on retail electricity prices of 50% renewable energy target ......................................... 9 Table 2-2 Jobs and investment from projects built or under construction post-2015 ...........................
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