The Role of the Chinese Military in National Security Policymaking Revised Edition Michael D. Swaine Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense R National Defense Research Institute Approved for public release, distribution unlimited The research described in this report was supported by the Office of the Secretary of Defense (OSD), under RAND’s National Defense Research Institute, a federally funded research and development center supported by the OSD, the Joint Staff, and the defense agencies, Contract DASW01-95-C-0059. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Swaine, Michael D. The role of the Chinese military in national security policymaking / Michael D. Swaine. p. cm. “Prepared for the Office of the Secretary of Defense by RAND’s National Defense Research Institute.” “MR-782-1-OSD.” Includes bibliographical references (p. ). ISBN 0-8330-2527-9 1. China—Military policy. 2. National security—China. I. National Defense Research Institute (U.S.). II. Title. UA835.S83 1998 355' .033051—dc21 97-22694 CIP RAND is a nonprofit institution that helps improve policy and decisionmaking through research and analysis. RAND’s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. © Copyright 1998 RAND All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means (including photocopying, recording, or information storage and retrieval) without permission in writing from RAND. Published 1998 by RAND 1700 Main Street, P.O. Box 2138, Santa Monica, CA 90407-2138 1333 H St., N.W., Washington, D.C. 20005-4707 RAND URL: http://www.rand.org/ To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information, contact Distribution Services: Telephone: (310) 451-7002; Fax: (310) 451-6915; Internet:
[email protected] PREFACE This report documents one component of a year-long effort to ana- lyze key factors influencing China’s national security strategies, policies, and military capabilities, and their potential consequences for longer-term U.S.