FACOLTÀ DI ECONOMIA DIPARTIMENTO DI ECONOMIA E FINANZA

The 2018 Meeting of the European Public Choice Society

April 11-14, 2018 E P , C S European Public Choice Society www.epcs-home.org

ORGANIZATIONAL SECRETARIAT

UNIVERSITÀ CATTOLICA DEL SACRO CUORE

Formazione Permanente ECM, Convegni e Manifestazioni Largo F. Vito, 1 - 00168 Roma Tel. +39 0630154886 Fax +39 063055397 Email: [email protected] www.rm.unicatt.it

The program is updated with information received by April 3rd, 2018. EPCS 2018

Table of Contents

EPCS 2018 ORGANIZERS...... 3

UNIVERSITÀ CATTOLICA DEL SACRO CUORE...... 4

PROGRAM AT A GLANCE...... 8

ROOMS LOCATION...... 12

PARALLEL SESSIONS...... 14

IMPORTANT INFORMATION...... 43 EPCS 2018

Church of the Sacred Heart.

2 EPCS 2018 EPCS 2018 Organizers

Local organizers and Program Chair

Gilberto Turati | Luca V.A. Colombo | Massimo Bordignon Department of Economics and Finance, School of Economics, Università Cattolica

Selection committee

EPCS President

Francisco Veiga | University of Minho, Portugal

EPCS Board Members

Niclas Berggren | Research Institute of Industrial Economics, Sweden Lisa Chauvet | DIAL, IRD, Université Paris Dauphine, France Michael Dorsch | Central European University Budapest, Hungary Raphaël Franck | Hebrew University of Jerusalem, Israel Martin Gassebner | University of Hannover, Germany Silvia Marchesi | Università di Milano Bicocca, Italy Paola Profeta | Università Bocconi, Italy Monika Köppl-Turyna | Agenda Austria, Austria Linda Veiga | University of Minho, Portugal

Wicksell Prize Committee

Axel Dreher | Ruprecht-Karls-Universität Heidelberg, Germany Vincenzo Galasso | Università Bocconi, Italy Francisco Veiga | University of Minho, Portugal

3 EPCS 2018 Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore

History A group of forward thinking men united by strong commitment to culture and the Church came together in 1919 to put into effect their intent to found a Ca- tholic university that would exercise an important and necessary role in the na- tion’s culture. Father , Ludovico Necchi, Francesco Olgiati, Armida Barelli and Ernesto Lombardo faced many challenges but successful- ly set up the founding organization and authority, Istituto Giuseppe Toniolo di Studi Superiori, in February 1920. On 24 June of the same year, the then Minister of Public Education, , signed a decree approving the project. In the meantime, Pope Benedict XV gave the project an ecclesiastical endorse- ment, calling it a “victorious accomplishment for the Catholic movement, and for the entire ecclesial community in Italy.” Inauguration of Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore took place in on 7 De- cember 1921 with a mass concelebrated by Father Agostino Gemelli and Cardinal Achille Ratti, Archbishop of Milan, who was to become Pope Pius XI three months later. The first seat of the university was in the Palazzo Canonica, Via Sant’Agnese 2. In October 1932, the university’s seat was moved to the historic Saint Ambro- se Monastery where it has remained to this day. In 1921, there were 68 studen- ts enrolled on the first two courses: Philosophical Sciences and Social Sciences.

The Italian government officially recognised the university in 1924, thereby al- lowing it to issue legally valid degrees and diplomas (the statutes of Università Cattolica were approved by royal decree on 2 October 1924, and were publi- shed on 31 October 1924 in the Official Gazzette of the Republic of Italy). The Faculty of Arts and Philosophy and the Faculty of Law were established soon the- reafter, and the Higher Institute of Education originally set up in 1923 became an independent faculty in 1946, later in 1996 to become the Faculty of Education. The School of Social and Economic-Policy Sciences was separated from the Fa- culty of Law in 1926, and in 1931 became the Faculty of Political, Economic and Commercial Sciences, which also awarded degrees in Economics and Business until 1947. In 1936, the Faculty of Political Sciences became a separate entity. Cattolica’s commitment to education was again very evident immediately following World War II, with the creation of new programmes and the opening of additional campuses. In 1947 the university officially inaugurated the Faculty of Economics and Commerce, which also offered an evening course. On 30 October 1949, Luigi Einaudi, the then President of the Republic attended a ceremony at Uni- versità Cattolica to mark the beginning of construction for the Faculty of Agriculture in Piacenza, while the degree programme officially got started in November 1952. A government decree was issued on 4 August 1958 providing for the insti- tution of the Faculty of Medicine and Surgery in Rome. Adding a faculty of 4 Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore EPCS 2018 medicine had always been Father Gemelli’s great dream (the founder was in fact a graduate of medicine and surgery from the University of Pavia). The un- dertaking proved demanding and complex, and in fact first had to wait many decades for the construction of the biological institutes and general hospi- tal (later to be named after Father Gemelli). Construction work on the facul- ty buildings began in 1959, and Pope John XXIII celebrated a Mass on 5 November 1961 to officially open the Faculty of Medicine and Surgery. The first doctors graduated from the new medical school in 1967 by which time there were two degree programmes: Medicine and Surgery, and Dentistry. In 1965 Università Cattolica opened its campus in Brescia, with a teacher training college drawing on the city’s rich tradition of education. The Facul- ty of Mathematical, Physical and Natural Sciences was added in 1971, at the initiative of a group of renowned experts from the world of mathematics.

During the 1990s, three new faculties were added to the Milan campus: the Faculty of Banking, Finance and Insurance Sciences (in 1990); Languages and Foreign Literature, which is today the Faculty of Linguistic Sciences and Foreign Literatures (in 1991) and the Faculty of Psychology (in 1999). The Faculty of Eco- nomics at Piacenza, which had been a satellite of the Milan campus, became an independent faculty in 1997. Then in 2000 the Faculty of Law at Piacenza, which had been offering a degree programme since 1995 as a satellite of the Milan campus, also became independent of the Milan campus. The Faculty of Sociology was set up in Milan during the 2001-2002 academic year, and is Cattolica’s fourteenth faculty.

The numbers

Università Cattolica • 5 Campuses in Italy • Tenured professor/student ratio • 12 Faculties 1/21,68 • 47 Undergraduate programs • Tenured professors plus contract • 31 Graduate programs professors/student ratio 1/8,1 • 6 single-cycle (taking into account approx. 3000 Undergraduate programs contract professors) • Over 100 Specializing Masters • 49 Specialty programs • 7 Graduate Schools • 24 Departments • 49 Institutes • 79 Research centres • 5 University centres • About 40.000 enrolled students • 1400 Professors 5 EPCS 2018 Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Our Campuses Founded in Milan in 1921 by Father Agostino Gemelli, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore is Europe’s most important Catholic university. It is also the only university in Italy with campuses all over the country: in Milan, Piacenza, Cremona, Brescia and Rome - which is also home to the Agostino Gemelli General Hospital. Academic excellence, a commitment to charting the frontiers of research, and high standards of services are the strengths of an in- stitution long recognised for its openness to innovation and change. Università Cattolica holds a place in European tradition as a seat of cultural development; the strong and essential focus on a comprehensive, unifying building of know- ledge facilitates an understanding and interpretation of the complexities of life today. The university’s mission translates into the offer of an education focused on development of the person as a whole. Based on these ideals and this commitment, Università Cattolica has educated many of the individuals in past and present positions of leadership in Italy. The thousands of graduates since the institution’s foundation include eminent scho- lars, politicians, lawyers, educators, intellectuals, entrepreneurs, professionals, journalists, writers, publishers, and Church leaders. And there are so many other graduates, some better known than others, who have contributed to building Università Cattolica’s reputation in Italy and around the world. Rome Campus 2 Faculties (Medicine and surgery and Economics), 34 institutes, 18 research centres and over 7,000 students. 57 Undergraduate programs in Medicine, Healthcare, Biotechnology, Healthcare economics and management; more than 150 graduate programs. The Rome campus opened in 1961 and is home to Università Cattolica’s Facul- ties of Medicine and Surgery, Economics (as part of the School of Economics in Milan) and the Agostino Gemelli General Hospital. The campus has created synergy between education, research and healthcare which is one of its great strengths: the university hospital is a centre of excellence giving students the opportunity to put into practice what they have learnt in the classroom. Around 5,000 students are enrolled on undergraduate programmes in different areas - medicine, healthcare, biotechnology, cosmetology, healthcare economi- cs and management. A further 2,000 students are enrolled on different gradua- te programmes. The campus is also home to the Graduate School of Healthcare Economics and Management (ALTEMS) which operates on both the Rome and the Milan campuses, and is jointly run by the Faculty of Medicine and Surgery and the Faculty of Economics. There are 8 student accommodation facilities on campus - university halls of residence and “On-campus Student” halls. Faithful to its original calling, the university still turns out technically and scien- tifically qualified graduates capable of giving an anthropological and Christian perspective to the profession, creating a work and study environment with a blend of scientific and religious visions of the world. 6 Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore EPCS 2018 Agostino Gemelli General Hospital Father Gemelli’s ambition, right from the founding of the university, was to establish a Faculty of Medicine and Surgery. In 1934 the faculty was given pre- mises on Monte Mario for this purpose through a gift by Pope Pius XI to the Istituto Giuseppe Toniolo di Studi Superiori, the founding organisation of Univer- sità Cattolica. The papal authority of Pius XII then put the next phase in motion so that building work began in 1958 on the biological institutes, which were to become the seat of the faculty with the first students being admitted to the new faculty on 5 November 1961. That same year construction began of the general hospital and in May 1964 the first patients were admitted, with a cere- mony being held on 10 July officially naming the hospital after Father Gemelli. It is an elaborate imposing structure which has been developed and enlarged over the years. Founded in 1964 and dedicated to the memory and vision of Fa- ther Agostino Gemelli, Gemelli University Hospital is one of the most important and internationally acclaimed care provider in Italy. Gemelli University Hospital has been ensuring excellence in both diagnostics and therapy for fifty years: as an academic medical center operating in all areas of health and clinical assistance, it is at the heart of Italian healthcare system. Gemelli University Hospital continues to evolve and innovate on the wings of its heritage and its ability to grasp change and look towards to the future: its opera- tional model aims to integrate the care processes and all the hospital’s activities, which are currently managed by 5 centers and 10 departments. The five centers, (Oncology, Cardiovascular, Women’s Health, Emergency and Neuroscience) gather professional care and technology on the basis of clinical and health needs: the focus is on the patient, not on the illness. This allows all patients addressing a range of health issues with custom-tailored therapies. The hospital provides state-of-the-art personalized care to approximately 95,000 inpatients and 250,000 outpatients per year. It trains doctors (more than 1000 Medical Doctors graduated in the last 5 years; approx. 400 visiting doctors, 850 residents and 270 Ph.D. per year) and discover new treatments. It is renowned for leading-edge medicine and outstanding clinical programs. Physicians are recognized leaders in their professional societies, heading na- tional and international organizations and committees dedicated to improving care and advancing knowledge about disease.

Quick facts on the Rome Campus: • Campus area: over 300.000 mq • 2 Schools: Medicine & surgery, Economics • 43 Faculty members are listed among the Top Italian Scientists • The University Hospital is ranked first for the number of national non-profit clinical trials and third for non-profit drug experimentations performed • Top Italian oncologic hospital for the number of patients treated

7 EPCS 2018 Program at a glance Program at a glance

1. Wednesday April 11, 2018 ROOM

From 14:00 Registration Auditorium

15:30-17:00 Welcome and Plenary Session A Auditorium TITO BOERI - Migration, populism, and the politics of the Welfare State 17:00-17.30 Coffee-break Atrio Polonia

17:30-19:30 Parallel sessions A ROOM A1. MIGRATION Germania A2. ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND MACROECONOMETRIC MODELS 264 FOR POLICY ANALYSIS A3. LESSONS FROM HISTORY 102 A4. EMPIRICAL STUDIES ON DISCRIMINATION 103 A5. EU POLITICS 104 A6. MEDIA 230 A7. LOCAL GOVERNMENTS: POLITICS 105 A8. POLITICS, HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE 106 A9. RENT-SEEKING 101 A10. TRUST 203 A11. FISCAL RULES 205 A12. TAXATION, REGULATION AND FIRMS 204 Centro Congressi 19:30-21:00 Welcome reception Europa

2. Thursday April 12, 2018

9:30-11:00 Parallel sessions B ROOM B1. POLITICS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE Germania B2. ELECTIONS 264 B3. LOCAL AUTONOMY 101 B4. EXTERNALITIES AND PUBLIC GOODS: THEORY 204 B5. POLITICAL COMPETITION 230 B6. FISCAL POLICY 106 B7. DIFFERENT LANGUAGES AND HABITS 103 IN TIME AND SPACE 8 Program at a glance EPCS 2018

B8. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 105 B9. INCLUSIVE AND EXTRACTIVE 104 INSTITUTIONS: THEORY B10. REDISTRIBUTION: THEORY AND EVIDENCE 102 B11. THE JUDICIAL BRANCH 203 11:00-11:30 Coffee-break Sala Italia

11:30-13:00 Plenary Session B Auditorium SONIA BHALOTRA - The political economy of women’s health

13:00-14:00 Light lunch Sala Italia

13:00-14:00 EPCS - Board Meeting (restricted to Board members) Sala Inghilterra

14:00-15:30 Parallel sessions C ROOM C1. POPULISM Germania C2. ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION 230 C3. CONFLICT AND SOCIAL COHESION 264 C4. NOT JUST FOR THE MONEY 205 C5. TERRORISM 105 C6. POLITICS AND EDUCATION 106 C7. INEQUALITY 104 C8. LOCAL GOVERNMENTS: PROPERTY TAX 103 C9. VOTING: EXPERIMENTS 102 C10. WOMEN AND POLITICS 101 C11. HIDDEN ACTIVITIES OF FIRMS 204 C12. INTERNATIONAL DISPUTES 203 15:30-16:00 Coffee-break Sala Italia

16:00-17:30 Parallel sessions D ROOM D1. CRONY CAPITALISM Germania D2. POLITICS, HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE 204 D3. DECENTRALIZATION 230 D4. FOREIGN AID 264 D5. WOMEN AND POLITICS 101 D6. VOTING: EMPIRICAL STUDIES 102 D7. THE LEGISLATIVE BRANCH 203 D8. DISCRIMINATION AND MINORITIES 104 D9. REDISTRIBUTION: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 105 D10. CRIME 103 D11. INCLUSIVE AND EXTRACTIVE 106 INSTITUTIONS: EVIDENCE

17:30-18:30 EPCS Member Meeting (all participants invited) Auditorium

9 EPCS 2018 Program at a glance

3. Friday April 13, 2018

9:30-11:00 Parallel sessions E ROOM E1. VOTING: EMPIRICAL STUDIES 102 E2. THE HIDDEN ECONOMY 264 E3. TERRORISM Germania E4. POLITICAL BUDGET CYCLES: THEORY 103 AND EVIDENCE E5. LABOR MARKET AND POLITICS 101 E6. WINDS OF CHANGE 104 E7. DEMOCRACY, MARKETS AND GROWTH 105 E8. LOCAL GOVERNMENTS: TAXES 203 AND SPENDING E9. OIL RENTS 106 E10. INCOME AND WEALTH DISTRIBUTION 204 E11. CENTRAL BANKS 230 E12. POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS: THEORY 205

11:00-11:30 Coffee-break Sala Italia

11:30-13:30 Parallel sessions F ROOM F1. ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND MACROECONOMETRIC MODELS 264 FOR POLICY ANALYSIS F2. IDEOLOGY AND POLICY 203 F3. POLITICIANS AND POLICIES 204 F4. FOREIGN AID Germania F5. POLITICS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE 230 F6. LESSONS FROM HISTORY 102 F7. CONVERGENCE IN THE EU 101 F8. POLITICS, HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE 104 F9. MEDIA 105 F10. BANKS AND POLITICS 106 F11. CORRUPTION 103

13:30-14:30 Light lunch Sala Italia

13:30-14:30 European Journal of Political Economy Sala Inghilterra Board Meeting (restricted to board members)

14:30-19:30 Guided excursion downtown Rome

19.30-22.00 Social dinner at Palazzo Rospigliosi

10 Program at a glance EPCS 2018

4. Saturday April 14, 2018

9:30-11:00 Parallel sessions G ROOM G1. THEORY OF CONFLICT 264 G2. LOBBYING 203 G3. WARS, INEQUALITY AND REFUGEES 230 G4. POLITICS AND RETIREMENT Germania G5. COMPETITION AND VIRTUES 103 G6. HISTORY OF PUBLIC CHOICE THOUGHT 102 G7. ELECTORAL CYCLES 104 G8. POLITICAL ECONOMY OF TAXATION 101 G9. CAPITAL FLOWS 105 G10. VOTING: DIFFERENT APPROACHES 106 G11. SOCIAL IDENTIFICATION 204 AND POLITICAL PARTICIPATION

11:00-11:30 Coffee-break Sala Italia

11:30-13:00 Plenary session C & Farewell Auditorium CLEMENS FUEST - Economic and fiscal governance in the Eurozone

13.00-14.00 Light lunch Sala Italia

The School of Economics.

11 EPCS 2018 Rooms location

1 6 ENTRANCES EX COLLEGIO JOANNEUM CAR PARKS 2 CENTRO CONGRESSI EUROPA Servizio Manifestazioni, Corsi di Formazione, ECM e Congressi 3 AUDITORIUM 7 CHURCH 4 ISTITUTI BIOLOGICI 8 POLICLINICO GEMELLI 5 POLO UNIVERSITARIO 9 RESIDENZA SANITARIA GIOVANNI XXIII 10 SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS

GroundGround Floor Floor - - SchoolSchool of ofEconomics Economics

Aula per Seminari e Riunioni per Uffici Direz. ALTEMS Coordinatori dei Corsi di Laurea Sala Riunioni per Presidenza e Dir. altems un massimo di 30 sedute

Germania MAIN ENTRANCE SCHOOL OF ECONOMICS

TO CONGRESS TO LIFTS AND STAIRS CENTER EUROPA

__ 264 230

12 EPCS 2018 Rooms location

First Floor - School of Economics First Floor - School of Economics

102 103 104 105 106

TO LIFTS AND STAIRS

101

Second Floor - School of Economics Second Floor - School of Economics

205 206

AULA 207 AULA 208 203 204

MAGAZZINO TO LIFTS AND STAIRS Ufficio TUTOR STUDI STUDI STUDI UFFICIO

Ufficio Studio Docenti Studio Docenti Studio Docenti Studio Docenti SALA SALA SALA STUDIO STUDIO COMPUTER MAGAZZINO UFFICIO

Sale Computer

UFFICIO

CALL CENTER

SALA RIUNIONI

CALL CENTER 13 UFFICIO

CALL CENTER UFFICIO CISALPI (CISALPI E GMC) EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

Each Session is chaired by the presenter of the last paper. Presenters are marked with a (*) in the program. The Chair is in charge of allowing 30 minutes for each paper including presentation (20 minutes) and comments by the discussant (5 minutes). General discussion should be considered as a buffer to ensure that each session runs smoothly on time. After each session, during coffee-break or lunch, time will be allowed for further discussions among participants.

Each paper has a discussant: the second presenter discusses the first paper, the third presenter the second (and so on in case of four papers). The first presenter is in charge of discussing the last paper. Presenters are also allowed to let co-authors of their paper to act as discussants.

To avoid loosing time during the session, we kindly ask presenters to upload their slides (both presentation and discussion) at least 10 minutes before the start of the session. Technical support will be available in all rooms throughout the meeting.

Candidates for the Wicksell Prize are identified in the program with (W).

14 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018 Detailed scientifc program

1. Wednesday April 11, 2018 ROOM

From 14:00 Registration Auditorium Registration will run throughout the conference in Atrio Spagna 15:30-17:00 Welcome and Plenary Session A Auditorium TITO BOERI - Migration, populism, and the politics of the WS 17:00-17.30 Coffee-break Atrio Polonia

17:30-19:30 Parallel sessions A ROOM

17:30-19:30 A1. MIGRATION Germania Marcus Drometer (*), Romuald Méango and Martina Burmann The Political Economy of European Asylum Policies Michaela Slotwinski (*), Alois Stutzer and Cédric Gorinas Democratic Involvement and Immigrants’ Compliance with the Law Anna Koukal (*) and Marco Portmann Chance or threat? Effects of non-citizens voting rights on natives’ attitudes towards immigrants Anthony Edo, Yvonne Giesing (*), Jonathan Öztunc and Panu Poutvaara Immigration and Electoral Support for the Far Left and the Far Right

17:30-19:30 A2. ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND MACROECONOMETRIC 264 MODELS FOR POLICY ANALYSIS Jaime Marques Pereira (*) and José Tavares Republicans, Democrats and Budget Deficits: Fiscal Dynamics in Political Perspective Joao Jalles (*), Prakash Loungani and Zidong An On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information Thomas Renstrom (*) and Luca Spataro Optimal Taxation and Policy Changes in an Endogenous Growth Model with Variable Population and Public Expenditure

15 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

17:30-19:30 A3. LESSONS FROM HISTORY 102 Massimiliano Onorato, Stefano Gagliarducci, Francesco Sobbrio (*) and Guido Tabellini War of the Waves: The Effect of Radio During World War II Bruno Caprettini (*) and Joachim Voth Rage Against the Machines. Labor-Saving Technology and Unrest in England 1830-32 Amin Z. Ashtiani and Arash Naghavi (*) Was Railroad Expansion a Success Story of the British Colonial Rule in India? A Long-Term Perspective Theresa Finley, Raphael Franck (*) and Noel Johnson The Effects of Land Redistribution: Evidence from the French Revolution

17:30-19:30 A4. EMPIRICAL STUDIES ON DISCRIMINATION 103 Richard Jong-A-Pin Taxi’s, Tips and Terror: Labor market discrimination against Muslims before and after the Boston Marathon Bombings Momi Dahan (*) and Sharon Gilad An empirical analysis of representative bureaucracy: the case of police vehicle stops Jan Fidrmuc (*) and Boontarika Paphawasit Beautiful Minds: Physical Attractiveness and Research Productivity in Economics Marco Giani and Pierre-Guillaume Méon (*) Global Racist Contagion following Donald Trump’s Election

17:30-19:30 A5. EU POLITICS 104 Charles Beat Blankart and David Christoph Ehmke(*) Divide and Choose: An Alternative Voting Rule for the EU Budget Armin Steuernagel, Jonas Friedrich (*) and Bruno S. Frey Future European Alliance Europe as a Flexible Democracy Sebastian Blesse, Pierre C. Boyer, Friedrich Heinemann (*), Eckhard Janeba and Anasuya Raj European Monetary Union Reform Preferences of French and German Parliamentarians Laszlo Bruszt and Nauro Campos (*) State Capacity and Economic Integration: Evidence from the Eastern Enlargement

16 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

17:30-19:30 A6. MEDIA 230

Marcel Garz (*), Gaurav Sood, Daniel Stone and Justin Wallace What Drives Demand for Media Slant? Nadia Fiorino, Emma Galli and Rajeev Goel (*) Media competition, diffusion and corruption exposure: Evidence across Italian regions Mirco Tonin (*) and Alessandra Casarico “Make Your Voice Heard”: pay-what-you-want to support independent information Ralf Dewenter, Melissa Linder and Tobias Thomas (*) Can Media Drive the Electorate? - The Impact of Media Coverage on Party Affiliation and Voting Intentions

17:30-19:30 A7. LOCAL GOVERNMENTS: POLITICS 105 Monika Banaszewska (*) and Ivo Bischoff EU funds and the prospect of re-election: Evidence from local elections in Poland Henrique Hott and Sergio Sakurai (*) Party switching and policy outcomes: evidence for Brazilian municipalities Andras Gregor The Effect of Political Alignment on Municipal Finances - A Natural Experiment from Hungary Luis Aguiar-Conraria, Pedro Magalhães and Francisco Veiga (*) Transparency, Policy Outcomes, and Public Support

17:30-19:30 A8. POLITICS, HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE 106 Jiunn Wang, Laura Marsiliani (*) and Thomas Renstrom Tax Reform, Unhealthy Commodities and Endogenous Health Jerg Gutmann (*), Matthias Neuenkirch and Florian Neumeier Sanctioned to Death? The Impact of Economic Sanctions on Life Expectancy and its Gender Gap Alberto Batinti (*), Joan Costa-Font and Tim Hatton Voting Up? The Effects of Voting Rights Extension on and Human Stature Luca V.A. Colombo (*) and Umberto Galmarini The Design of Tobacco Control Policies

17 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

17:30-19:30 A9. RENT-SEEKING 101 Louis Jaeck (*) and Francois Facchini Entrepreneurship Versus Rent-Seeking in the United Arab Emirates: The Impact of Culture Lambert Schoonbeek (*) and Pim Heijnen Rent-seeking with uncertain discriminatory power Marco Catola (W) Contribution and bribe: lobbying in presence of decision maker and advisor Thomas Stratmann (*) and Steven Monaghan The Effect of Interest Group Pressure on Regulatory Decisions

17:30-19:30 A10. TRUST 203 Marco Le Moglie (*), Arnstein Aassve and Letizia Mencarini “When the Going Gets Tough, Trust Gets Going”: How Trust Buffered the Negative Effect of the Economic Crisis on Fertility Markus Leibrecht and Hans Pitlik (*) Is trust in companies rooted in social trust, or regulatory quality, or both? Francesco Salustri (*) and Pierluigi Conzo A war is forever: The long-run effects of early exposure to World War II on trust Karsten Bo Larsen (*), Henrik Christoffersen and Søren Havn Gjedsted Trust in public sector performance: The importance of Economic and Political Factors

17:30-19:30 A11. FISCAL RULES 205 Wolf Heinrich Reuter When and why do countries break their national fiscal rules? Michele Salvi (*), Christoph A. Schaltegger and Lukas Schmid Do Fiscal Rules Cause Lower Debt? A Case Study of Switzerland Lasse Aaskoven and Rasmus Wiese (*) Do fiscal rules cause debt reduction? Mustafa Yeter Do Fiscal Councils Make Fiscal Rules More Effective?

18 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

17:30-19:30 A12. TAXATION AND REGULATION 204 Marcel Gerard (*) and Bastien Mahoux On the effectivity of tax incentives: Patent Box Regimes and Allowance for Corporate Equity Maurizio Conti, Leandro Elia, Antonella Ferrara and Massimiliano Ferraresi (*) The good, the bad and the ugly: government trade debt, firm exit and the late payment directive Yilin Hou (*) and Pengju Zhang Tax and Expenditure Limitations and User Charges - a Public Choice Perspective of Paradigm Shifts in Local Government Finance Kai A. Konrad Dynamics of the market for corporate tax-avoidance advice

Centro Congressi 19:30-21:00 Welcome reception Europa

Emma Galli and Giampaolo Garzarelli will present the newly re- During the launched Journal of Public Finance and Public Choice, together reception with Julia Mortimer, Journals Director at Bristol University Press

2. Thursday April 12, 2018

9:30-11:00 Parallel sessions B ROOM

9.30-11.00 B1. POLITICS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE Germania Michele Giuranno (*) and Antonella Nocco Trade tariff, wage gap and public spending Wilfred Ethier A political economy of trade agreements Arye Hillman (*) and James Cassing Rents for sale: International trade policy with politically assignable benefits

9.30-11.00 B2. ELECTIONS 264 Harry Pickard (W) Partisan alignment, elections and experienced politicians Franck Malan (*), Etienne Farvaque and Eiji Fujii Foreign Exchange Crises, International Currency Exposure and Elections Bharatee Bhusana Dash, J. Stephen Ferris and Stanley L. Winer (*) Measuring Electoral Competitiveness with application to the Indian States 19 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

9.30-11.00 B3. LOCAL AUTONOMY 101 Joaquin Artes (*) and Enrique García-Viñuela Does Public Infrastructure Investment Earn Votes? Experimental evidence from the Madrid-Rio Park Ramon Christen (*) and Nils Soguel Debate Prevention in Public Budgeting: How Earmarking Drives Efficiency Grażyna Bukowska, Joanna Siwinska-Gorzelak (*) and Piotr Wojcik Determinants of public investment spending at the local level. Tax autonomy and spatial dependence 9.30-11.00 B4. EXTERNALITIES AND PUBLIC 204 GOODS: THEORY Thomas Daske Externality Assessments, Welfare Judgments, and Mechnaism Design Laura Marsiliani (*) and Thomas Renstrom Privately Provided Public Goods in a Dynamic Economy with Heterogeneous Individuals George Economides (*) and Apostolis Philippopoulos Who should pay for the provision of impure public goods? A general equilibrium evaluation 9.30-11.00 B5. POLITICAL COMPETITION 230 Jahen F Rezki (W) Political Competition and Local Government Performance: Evidence from Indonesia Elena Sochirca (*) and Francisco Veiga Key determinants of elite rivalry: theoretical insights and empirical evidence Michael Dorsch (*), Cristina Corduneanu-Huci and Paul Maarek Learning to constrain: Political competition and randomized controlled trials in development 9.30-11.00 B6. FISCAL POLICY 106 Zareh Asatryan, Annika Havlik (*), Friedrich Heinemann and Justus Nover Are Fiscal Multiplier Estimates Politically Biased? Panagiotis Konstantinou (*), Jan Fidrmuc, Sugata Ghosh and Weonho Wang The Effects of Government Spending: Evidence from Systematic Responses to Natural Disasters and Government Spending Shocks Samuele Murtinu, Giulio Piccirilli (*) and Agnese Sacchi Fiscal policy, government polarization, and the economic literacy of voters 20 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

9.30-11.00 B7. DIFFERENT LANGUAGES 103 AND HABITS IN TIME AND SPACE Holger Herz, Martin Huber, Tjasa Maillard-Bjedov, Svitlana Tyahlo The Linguistic Savings Hypothesis: Does it affect exponential discounting or present-bias? Khansa Al-Sabah (W) The assimilation of Canadian immigrants: Evidence from non-market activities Bruno S. Frey The Political Economy of Digitization

9.30-11.00 B8. ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT 105 Richard Bluhm (*) and Melanie Krause Top Lights: Bright cities and their contribution to economic development Marina Dodlova Social Policies and State Capacity: Evidence from Developing Countries Eelke de Jong (*) and Rutger Schilpzand Which countries have made the effect of deep determinants on economic growth significant? An exploratory analysis

9.30-11.00 B9. INCLUSIVE AND EXTRACTIVE 104 INSTITUTIONS: THEORY Thomas Apolte A Theory of Autocratic Transition. Prerequisites to Self-Enforcing Democracy Konstantinos Pilpilidis The times are a changin’: Citizens’ resistance and social preferences Giampaolo Garzarelli and Lyndal Keeton (*) Should I Stay or Should I Go? State Formation through Internal Exit: The Case of Precolonial Southern Africa

9.30-11.00 B10. REDISTRIBUTION: THEORY 102 AND EVIDENCE Christian Frey (*) and Christoph Schaltegger Direct Democracy and the Distribution of Income Philipp Harms (*) and Claudia Landwehr Money is beyond jokes: distributional interests and individuals’ preference for direct democracy Christina Fong and Panu Poutvaara (*) Redistributive Politics with Target-specific Beliefs

21 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

9.30-11.00 B11. THE JUDICIAL BRANCH 203 Manuel Coutinho Pereira (*) and Lara Wemans Productivity in civil justice in Portugal: A crucial issue in a congested system Katarzyna Metelska-Szaniawska (*) and Anna Lewczuk Constitutional Overperformance - An Empirical Study of De Facto Protection of Rights with No De Jure Equivalents

11:00-11:30 Coffee-break Sala Italia

11:30-13:00 Plenary Session B Auditorium SONIA BHALOTRA - The political economy of women’s health

13:00-14:00 Light lunch Sala Italia

13:00-14:00 EPCS - Board Meeting Restricted to Board Members Sala Inghilterra

14:00-15:30 Parallel sessions C ROOM

14:00-15:30 C1. POPULISM Germania Joan Costa Font and Martin Ljunge (*) Every Cloud has a Silver Lining? Behavioural Change after a Political Information Shock Elena Seghezza (*) and Giovanni Battista Pittaluga Commodity price cycle and redistributive populism in Latin America Monika Köppl Turyna (*) and Laurenz Ennser-Jedenastik Cushion or catalyst? How welfare state generosity moderates the impact of economic vulnerability on populist radical right support

14:00-15:30 C2. ENVIRONMENTAL REGULATION 230 Francois Facchini (*) and Louis Jaeck The French’s Beliefs over Climate Change: a Behavioral Political Economy Approach Yaniv Reingewertz (*) and Barak Fishbain Fiscal equivalence and environmental protection: the case of air quality Urs Steiner Brandt and Gert Tinggaard Svendsen (*) Will the Paris Treaty make a difference? Economic and Political Constraints

22 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

14:00-15:30 C3. CONFLICT AND SOCIAL COHESION 264 Sarah Langlotz (W) The Political Economy of Community Cohesion in Times of Conflict Thomas Calvo (*), Emmanuelle Lavallée, Mireille Razafindrakoto and François Roubaud Fear not for Man? Armed conflict and social capital in Mali Cécile Fauconnet, Julien Malizard and Antoine Pietri (*) Arms exports and intrastate conflicts: An empirical investigation on the French case

14:00-15:30 C4. NOT JUST FOR THE MONEY 205 Christian Krekel Can Raising Instructional Time Crowd Out Student Pro-Social Behaviour? Unintended Consequences of a German High School Reform Leonardo Becchetti, Francesco Salustri (*) and Pasquale Scaramozzino Making information on CSR scores salient: A randomised field experiment Benjamin Radcliff, Mark Brockway (*) and Alexander Pacek Public Employment and Human Well-Being: A Cross-National Analysis

14.00-15:30 C5. TERRORISM 105 Daniel Arce On the Human Consequences of Terrorism Nauro Campos, Martin Gassebner (*) and Tobias Korn The composition of the military and civil wars Nicola Brugali, Paolo Buonanno and Mario Gilli (*) Political Regimes, Terrorism and the Determinants of Counter-terrorism

14:00-15:30 C6. POLITICS AND EDUCATION 106 Michela Braga (*), Daniele Checchi, Christelle Garrouste and Francesco Scervini Selecting or rewarding teachers? Aurélie Cassette (*) and Etienne Farvaque Backtracking: When do Early Adopters Renounce to a Reform They Endorsed? Alessandro Balestrino (*), Lisa Grazzini and Annalisa Luporini On the political economy of compulsory education

23 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

14:00-15:30 C7. INEQUALITY 104 Mohammad Reza Farzanegan (*) and Tim Krieger How will Income Inequality Respond to Lifting of the Oil Embargo in Iran? Florian Neumeier, Florian Dorn, Clemens Fuest and Lea Immel (*) Inequality and Extremist Voting: Evidence from Germany Giorgio d’Agostino (*), Margherita Scarlato and Luca Pieroni Welfare spending and income inequality in OECD countries

14:00-15:30 C8. LOCAL GOVERNMENTS: PROPERTY TAX 103 Catarina Alvarez (*) and João Pereira Dos Santos Property Tax and Real Estate Value: A Natural Experiment from Portugal Claudia Ferretti, Patrizia Lattarulo (*) and Chiara Bocci Spatial interactions in property tax policies among Italian municipalities Luka Marcinko Party effects on residential property tax: progressivity and level of taxation

14:00-15:30 C9. VOTING: EXPERIMENTS 102 Boris Ginzburg (*) and José-Alberto Guerra When Collective Ignorance Is Bliss: Theory and Experiment on Voting for Learning Elisabeth Grewenig (*), Philipp Lergetporer, Katharina Werner and Ludger Wößmann Do Party Positions Change the Public’s Policy Preferences? Evidence from Representative Survey Experiments Kai A. Konrad and Raisa Sherif (*) Sanctioning, Selection and Pivotality Theory and Experimental Results

14:00-15:30 C10. WOMEN AND POLITICS 101 Bruno Heyndels and Colin Kuehnhanss (*) Gender quotas as (non-)binding constraints in semi-open list systems: the case of Flemish municipalities Grażyna Bukowska and Joanna Siwinska-Gorzelak (*) Does the election of a female mayor influence future women’s political participation? Paola Profeta (*) and Eleanor Woodhouse Do Electoral Rules matter for Female Representation?

24 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

14:00-15:30 C11. HIDDEN ACTIVITIES OF FIRMS 204 Angela De Martiis (*) and Jarko Fidrmuc Organized Crime and Impaired Firms Vitezslav Titl (*), Kristof De Witte and Benny Geys The efficiency implications of political donations Aziz Berdiev (*), James Saunoris and Friedrich Schneider Give me liberty, or I will produce underground: Effects of economic freedom on the shadow economy

14:00-15:30 C12. INTERNATIONAL DISPUTES 203 Julian Donaubauer (*), Eric Neumayer and Peter Nunnenkamp Winning or Losing in Investor-to-State Dispute Resolution: The Role of Arbitrator Bias and Experience Silvia Marchesi (*) and Tania Masi Sovereign rating after sovereign restructuring: private vs. official default

15:30-16:00 Coffee-break Sala Italia

16:00-17:30 Parallel sessions D ROOM

16:00-17:30 D1. CRONY CAPITALISM Germania Anna Kochanova Cronyism and Competition in Indonesian Manufacturing Pre and Post Suharto Vitezslav Titl (*) (W) and Bruno Baranek (W) Political Connections and the Competition on Public Procurement Markets Jin Yang, Jian Huang, Yanhua Deng, Massimo Bordignon (*) From Power to Wealth: Party Membership, Political Connections, and Private Entrepreneurship in China

16:00-17:30 D2. POLITICS, HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE 204

Monica Auteri (*) and Alessandro Cattel Intergovernmental grants: evidence form the Italian national health sector Theis Theisen The allotment of home care - compensating for lack of functionality Mats A. Bergman, Henrik Jordahl (*) and Sofia Lundberg Choice and competition in the welfare state: Home assistance as the ideal quasi-market

25 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

16:00-17:30 D3. DECENTRALIZATION 230 Andreas Kyriacou (*) and Oriol Roca-Sagalés Decentralization and Governance in Europe: Evidence from Different Expenditure Components Alfa Farah Fiscal disparity, institutional quality and asymmetric yardstick competition Leonardo Silvério Palhuca, Ekkehard Köhler (*), Lars Feld and Christoph Schaltegger Federalism and foreign direct investment: An empirical analysis

16:00-17:30 D4. FOREIGN AID 264 Wong Melvin, Lennart Kaplan (*) and Kai Gehring Aid and conflict at the local level The Role of Traditional and Emerging Donors Silvia Marchesi and Tania Masi (*) What does influence the choice of the implementation level? Evidence from the World Bank Axel Dreher and Katharina Richert (*) The Political Economy of International Finance Corporation Lending

16:00-17:30 D5. WOMEN AND POLITICS 101 Quentin Lippmann (W) Is Incumbency a Barrier to Women’s Entry in Politics? Caroline Slegten (*) and Bruno Heyndels Within-party gender gaps in expenditure preferences among Flemish local politicians Anna Koukal How Vatican II influenced female enfranchisement: A story of rapid cultural change

16:00-17:30 D6. VOTING: EMPIRICAL STUDIES 102 Oliver Herrmann (*), Richard Jong A Pin and Lambert Schoonbeek Prospect-theoretic risk preferences and voter participation Marcello Sartarelli (*) and Javier Burbano Does Campaign Spending Affect Local Elections? Evidence from Colombia Abel François and Olivier Gergaud (*) Civic Duty and Electoral Turnout: Empirical evidence based on blood donations 26 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

16:00-17:30 D7. THE LEGISLATIVE BRANCH 203 Christian Henning (*), Johannes Hedtrich, Jan Christiansen and Rudolf Berghammer Computation of Equilibrium of the Baron-Ferejohn Legislative Bargaining Game Etienne Farvaque (*), Mamadou Boukari and Daniel Cakpo-Tozo “Oh dear! Oh dear! I shall be too late!”Popularity Gains as an Incentive to Legislate Frantically? Fabio Padovano A theory of the cyclical production of laws and decrees

16:00-17:30 D8. DISCRIMINATION AND MINORITIES 104 Bengt-Arne Wickström A cost theory of language planning and policy Björn Kauder (*) and Niklas Potrafke Conservative politicians and voting on same-sex marriage Colin Jennings (*), Alan Collins and Stephen Drinwater The Role of Cultural Change, Immigration and Political Positioning in the Liberalization of Attitudes Towards Homosexual Relations in the UK

16:00-17:30 D9. REDISTRIBUTION: EMPIRICAL EVIDENCE 105 Joshua Holm (*), Colin R. Kuehnhanss, Bram Mahieu and Bruno Heyndels Region, nation and redistribution: Experimental evidence on social identity and policy preferences among Belgian local politicians Maite Laméris (*), Richard Jong-A-Pin and Rasmus Wiese Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is: Validating Political Ideology using a Real-Effort Distribution Experiment Martin Ljunge (*) and Kelly Ragan The Three Deep Roots of Redistribution: Zero-Sum Wealth Views, Uncertainty Aversion and Long Term Orientation

16:00-17:30 D10. CRIME 103 Giuseppe Sorrenti and Marco Le Moglie (*) “Mafia Inc.”: When Godfathers Become Entrepreneurs Nik Smits (*) and Stijn Goeminne Tiebout and Crime: How crime affects income tax capacity Zelda Brutti and Daniel Montolio (*) The impact of a nationwide preschool reform on local crime rates

27 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

16:00-17:30 D11. INCLUSIVE AND EXTRACTIVE 106 INSTITUTIONS: EVIDENCE Joshy Easaw (*) and Bazoumana Ouattara Property Rights, Size of Government and the Distribution of Income: What is the Role of Democracy Soeren Schwuchow Extractive Institutions, Choking Taxes, and War: On the (Beneficial) Impact of Inequality in Autocracies Christian Bjørnskov, Andreas Freytag (*) and Jerg Gutmann Coups, Regime Transition, and the Dynamics of Press Freedom

17:30-18:30 EPCS Member Meeting All participants are cordially invited Auditorium During the meeting Announcement of the 2019 Annual Meeting of the EPCS

3. Friday April 13, 2018

9:30-11:00 Parallel sessions E ROOM

9:30-11:00 E1. VOTING: EMPIRICAL STUDIES 102 Anirban Mitra (*), Shabana Mitra and Arnab Mukherji Cash for Votes: Evidence from India Lena Gerling (*) and Kim Leonie Kellermann Contagion Effects of Radical Party Support: Evidence from Germany Alois Stutzer (*), Michael Baltensperger and Armando Meier Overstrained Citizens? The Number of Ballot Propositions and the Quality of the Decision Process in Direct Democracy

9:30-11:00 E2. THE HIDDEN ECONOMY 264 Annabelle Doerr (*) and Sarah Necker The supply and price of undeclared work A field experiment Riccardo Novaro (*), Massimiliano Piacenza and Gilberto Turati Does Money Laundering Inflate House Prices? Evidence from the Italian Real Estate Market Anton Gidehag (*), Sven-Olov Daunfeldt and Niklas Rudholm Corporate tax evasion and unreported wages: The effect of compulsory staff registers

28 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

9:30-11:00 E3. TERRORISM Germania Jim Bang, Atin Basuchoudhary (*), John David and Ani Mitra Predicting Terrorism: A Machine Learning Approach Krisztina Kis-Katos (*), Axel Dreher and Michael Jetter Terrorism in the media

9:30-11:00 E4. POLITICAL BUDGET CYCLES: THEORY AND EVIDENCE 103 Maxime Menuet (*) and Patrick Villieu Does public debt secure social peace? A diversionary theory of public debt management Miguel Ángel Borrella Mas and Marcello Sartarelli (*) Partisan Alignment and Political Budget Cycle. Evidence from Spain Frank Bohn and Jan-Egbert Sturm (*) Do Recession Expectations Kill Political Budget Cycles?

9:30-11:00 E5. LABOR MARKET AND POLITICS 101 Kim Leonie Kellermann (W) Political Participation and Party Capture in a Dualized Economy Julia Samwer The effect of ILO conventions on Labor standards. The structural change Vincenzo Galasso Electoral Incentives and Economic Policy across Political Regimes

9:30-11:00 E6. WINDS OF CHANGE 104 Gunes Gokmen, Tommaso Nannicini, Massimiliano Onorato (*) and Chris Papageorgiou Policies in Hard Times: Assessing the Impact of Financial Crises on Structural Reforms Michael Christl, Monika Köppl-Turyna (*) and Denes Kucsera Public sector efficiency in Europe: Long-run trends, recent developments and determinants Erich Gundlach and Martin Paldam (*) A study of triggering events. When do political regimes change?

29 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

9:30-11:00 E7. DEMOCRACY, MARKETS AND GROWTH 105 Tommy Krieger (*) and Klaus Gruendler Machine Learning Indices, Democratic Institutions, and Economic Development Domenico Rossignoli Democracy, institutions and economic growth: an empirical exploration of interdependence Niclas Berggren (*) and Christian Bjørnskov Do voters dislike liberalizing reforms? New evidence using data on satisfaction with democracy

9:30-11:00 E8. LOCAL GOVERNMENTS: TAXES 203 AND SPENDING Massimiliano Ferraresi Revisiting yardstick competition and spillover effects in in the new era of spatial econometrics: evidence from Italian cities Raymond Gradus (*) and Dijkgraaf Elbert Dutch municipalities are becoming greener: Some political and institutional explanations Stefanie Vanneste (*) and Stijn Goeminne Politics and the Budget Balance

9:30-11:00 E9. OIL RENTS 106 Mohammad Reza Farzanegan (*), Pooya Alaedini and Khayyam Azizimehr Middle Class in Iran: Oil Rents, Modernization, and Political Development Stephan E. Maurer Oil Discoveries and Education Spending in the Postbellum South Tania Masi and Roberto Ricciuti (*) Oil discoveries and democracy

9:30-11:00 E10. INCOME AND WEALTH 204 DISTRIBUTION Simone Pellegrino (*), Guido Perboli and Giovanni Squillero Balancing the Equity-efficiency Trade-off in Personal Income Taxation: An Evolutionary Approach Philip Müller (*) and Tobias Schmidt Identifying Income and Wealth-Poor Households in the Euro Area Iftekhar Hasan, Roman Horvath and Jan Mares (*) The Determinants of Wealth Inequality: War, Finance, and Redistribution 30 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

9:30-11:00 E11. CENTRAL BANKS 230 Etienne Farvaque, Davide Romelli (*) and Piotr Stanek Lame Duck Central Bankers Hamza Bennani (*), Matthias Neuenkirch and Tobias Kranz The Determinants of Disagreement between the FOMC and the Fed’s Staff: New Insights Based on a Counterfactual Interest Rate Bernd Hayo (*) and Florian Neumeier Explaining Central Bank Trust in an Inflation Targeting Country: The Case of the Reserve Bank of New Zealand 9:30-11:00 E12. POLITICAL INSTITUTIONS: THEORY 205 Alvaro Aguirre The Dynamics of Political Compromise, Political Institutions and Economic Policies George Tridimas Democracy without political parties: the case of ancient Athens Athanassios Pitsoulis and Soeren Schwuchow (*) Though this be madness: A game-theoretic perspective on the Brexit negotiations 11:00-11:30 Coffee-break Sala Italia

11:30-13:30 Parallel sessions F ROOM

11:30-13:30 F1. ENDOGENOUS GROWTH AND MACROECONOMETRIC 264 MODELS FOR POLICY ANALYSIS Sugata Ghosh (*) and Ronald Wendner Efficiency and Distortions with Positional Preferences under Welfarist and Paternalistic Governments: Does One Size Fit All? Federico Giesenow (*), Juliette de Wit and Jakob de Haan The political and institutional determinants of fiscal adjustments and expansions: Evidence for a large set of countries Ekkehard Kohler (*), Lars P Feld and Julia Wolfinger Modeling fiscal sustainability in dynamic macro- panels with heterogeneous effects: Evidence from German Federal States Roger Congleton (*) and Yang Zhou A Test of the Institutionally Induced Equilibrium Hypothesis: On the Limited Fiscal Impact of Two Celebrity Governors 31 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

11:30-13:30 F2. IDEOLOGY AND POLICY 203 Luisa Lorenz (*), Dodge Cahan and Niklas Potrafke Government ideology and monetary policy in OECD countries Matteo Cervellati, Giorgio Gulino and Paolo Roberti (*) Party Ideology and Policies Andrew Pickering (*) and Mickael Melki Ideological Polarization and Government Debt

11:30-13:30 F3. POLITICIANS AND POLICIES 204 Stefanie Gaebler (*) and Felix Roesel The effects of direct elections on public services and spatial inequalities - Quasi-experimental evidence from Germany Ivana Tomankova (W) Politicians on a Trust Budget: Utility Maximization under Electoral Control Marco Portmann, David Stadelmann (*) and Reiner Eichenberger The office makes the politician: How politicians fulfill public expectations after achieving office

11:30-13:30 F4. FOREIGN AID Germania Axel Dreher, Andreas Fuchs (*), Bradley Parks, Austin M. Strange and Michael J. Tierney Aid, China, and Growth: Evidence from a New Global Development Finance Dataset Anna Minasyan US aid, US educated leaders and economic ideology Axel Dreher, Valentin Lang (*) and Peter Rosendorff Buying Votes and International Organizations Lisa Chauvet (*) and Laurent Wagner Economic Diplomacy: Do European Donor Countries’ Affiliates Benefit from Foreign Aid?

32 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

11:30-13:30 F5. POLITICS OF INTERNATIONAL TRADE 230 Tommaso Aquilante Undeflected Pressure? The Protectionist Effect of Political Partisanship on US Antidumping Policy Gerda Asmus (*), Andreas Fuchs, Brad Parks and Vera Z. Eichenauer A New Scramble for Africa and the Developing World? An Analysis of Chinese and Indian Development Projects Martin Braml (*) and Gabriel Felbermayr How are Attitudes Towards Free Trade Shaped? Evidence from Europe Christian Bjørnskov (*) and Philipp Schröder Press Freedom, Market Information, and International Trade

11:30-13:30 F6. LESSONS FROM HISTORY 102 Jean Lacroix (*), Pierre-Guillaume Méon and Kim Oosterlinck Are dynastic politicians a safeguard against autocratic reversals? The case of France’s 1940 enabling act Katharina Pfaff (*) and Alejandro Quiroz Flores Nationalization in Democracies: The Case of Rail Networks in Europe Kai Gehring (*) and Lukas Willi Farmers vs. Industrialists: Within-elite Conflict and its Effect on Industrialization in the US South Toke S. Aidt (*), Stanley L. Winer and Peng Zhang Franchise extension and redistribution: evidence from the United Kingdom 1820-1913

11:30-13:30 F7. CONVERGENCE IN THE EU 101 Benoit Dicharry (*), Thi Kim Cuong Pham and Phu Nguyen-Van The winner takes all or a story of the optimal allocation of the European Cohesion Fund Nauro Campos and Corrado Macchiarelli (*) Convergence and Symmetry in Monetary Unions: An Empirical Investigation Iikka Korhonen, Nauro Campos and Jarko Fidrmuc (*) Business Cycle Synchronisation in a Currency Union: Taking Stock of the Evidence

33 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

11:30-13:30 F8. POLITICS, HEALTH AND HEALTH CARE 104 Adam Pilny and Felix Roesel (*) Are Doctors the Better Health Ministers? The Limits of Technocracy Marina Di Giacomo (*), Massimiliano Piacenza, Luigi Siciliani and Gilberto Turati Price regulation and the (ab)use of pre-natal screening tests Andreas Kotsadam, Jo Thori Lind (*) and Jørgen Modalsli Call the Midwife. Health Personnel and Mortality in Norway 1887-1921 Luca Salmasi (*), Luca Pieroni, Donatella Lanari and Liliana Minelli Regularization of Immigrants and the Effects on Fertility in Italy 11:30-13:30 F9. MEDIA 105 Marcel Garz and Sabrina Maaß (*) Cartels in the European Union, Antitrust Action, and Public Attention Miloš Fišar (*), Tommaso Reggiani and Jiří Špalek ‘We have good news!’ Media Negativity Bias and Tax Compliance Julia Wolfinger (*), Ekkehard A. Köhler, Tobias Thomas and Lars P. Feld Does News Coverage Affects Market Pricing? The Impact of Eurozone-Related News on Government bond yield Spreads Nikita Zakharov State Induced Preference Falsification: Manufacturing Pro-Regime Bias 11:30-13:30 F10. BANKS AND POLITICS 106 Beni Kouevi-Gath (*), Pierre-Guillaume Méon and Laurent Weill Do Banking Crises Improve Democracy? Florian Loipersberger (W) The Effect of Supranational Banking Supervision on the Financial Sector: Event Study Evidence from Europe Alexander Jung (*) and Harald Uhlig Monetary policy news shocks and the soundness of the European banking system Alex Cukierman The Political Economy of US Bailouts, Unconventional Monetary Policy, Credit Arrest and Inflation during the Financial Crisis 34 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

11:30-13:30 F11. CORRUPTION 103 Réda Marakbi (W) Corruption and inflation: a reassessment Mickael Melki (*) and Pickering Andrew Polarization and Corruption in America Luisa Corrado, Germana Corrado, Giuseppe De Michele and Francesco Salustri (*) Are perceptions of corruption matching reality? Theory and evidence from microdata Qijun Liu The growth effect of corruption: Evidence from China

13:30-14:30 Light lunch Sala Italia

European Journal of Political Economy 13:30-14:30 Sala Inghilterra Board Meeting Restricted to Board Members

14:30-19:30 Guided excursion downtown Rome

19.30-22.00 Social dinner at Palazzo Rospigliosi

During the reception Announcement of the Wicksell Prize Winner By Francisco Veiga, President EPCS; Axel Dreher, President EPCS 2015-2017; Vincenzo Galasso, Editor EJPE

4. Saturday April 14, 2018

9:30-11:00 Parallel sessions G ROOM

9:30-11:00 G1. THEORY OF CONFLICT 264 Toshihiro Ihori Defense Expenditures and Allied Cooperation Kai Konrad and Florian Morath (*) Escalation in dynamic conflict: On beliefs and selection Ronald Wintrobe An economic theory of a hybrid (competitive authoritarian or illiberal) regime

35 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

9:30-11:00 G2. LOBBYING 203 Deniz Igan (*), Thomas Lambert, Wolf Wagner and Quxian Zhang Winning Connections? Special Interests and the Sale of Failed Banks Dominika Milczarek-Andrzejewska (*) and Lukasz Widla-Domaradzki Farmers’ association in Poland: How powerful are they in the eyes of their members? Sanjay Jain Redistributive promises, transfers to special interests, and the political economy of reform with limited state capacity

9:30-11:00 G3. WARS, INEQUALITY AND REFUGEES 230 Marion Mercier (*) and Fabio Mariani Fighting from abroad - Do refugees affect violence in the home country? Raul Caruso (*) and Antonella Biscione Military expenditures and income inequality: evidence from a panel of transition countries (1990-2015) Daniel Meierrieks “Pay for it heavily”: Does U.S. support for Israel lead to anti-American terrorism?

9:30-11:00 G4. POLITICS AND RETIREMENT Germania Monika Bütler, Katharina Hofer (*) and Sabrina Stadelmann Retirement savings and real-estate purchases Ann Barbara Bauer (*) and Reiner Eichenberger Worsening Workers’ Health by Lowering Retirement Age: The Malign Consequences of a Benign Reform Xue Wang (*) and Frank Bohn Pension Reserve Funds, Political Budget Cycles and Fiscal Illusion

9:30-11:00 G5. COMPETITION AND VIRTUES 103 Eelke de Jong and Annemiek Schilpzand (*) Does a market society stimulate virtues? Sergio Beraldo An Impossibility Result on Nudging grounded in the Theory of Intentional Action Mario Ferrero (*) and George Tridimas Divine competition in Greco-Roman Polytheism

36 Parallel Sessions EPCS 2018

9:30-11:00 G6. HISTORY OF PUBLIC CHOICE THOUGHT 102 Frederic Gannon (*) and Etienne Farvaque Profiling Giants: James M. Buchanan and Gordon Tullock’s Co-authorship Networks Manuela Mosca and Michele Giuranno (*) Political realism and models of the state: Antonio de Viti de Marco and the origins of Public Choice

9:30-11:00 G7. ELECTORAL CYCLES 104 Mamadou Boukari Is strategic optimism good for long term policies? Georgios Chortareas (*), Vasileios Logothetis and Andreas Papandreou Electoral Cycles and Regulation Frank Bohn (*) and Francisco Veiga Elections, Recession Expectations and Excessive Debt: An Unholy Trinity

9:30-11:00 G8. POLITICAL ECONOMY OF TAXATION 101 Manuela Krause (*) and Niklas Potrafke The real estate transfer tax and government ideology: Evidence from the German states Samina Sultan (*) and Clemens Fuest How will Brexit affect Tax Competition and Tax Harmonization? The Role of Discriminatory Taxation Tidiane Ly (*) and Sonia Paty Local taxation and tax base mobility: Evidence from a business tax reform in France

9:30-11:00 G9. CAPITAL FLOWS 105 Beatrice Scheubel (*), Andrea Tafuro and Benjamin Vonessen Stigma? What stigma? A contribution to the debate on the effectiveness of IMF lending Abel François (*), Sophie Panel and Laurent Weill Are some dictators more attractive to foreign investors? Nicolas Gavoille (*) and Katharina Hofer Capital Controls and Electoral Cycles

37 EPCS 2018 Parallel Sessions

9:30-11:00 G10. VOTING: DIFFERENT APPROACHES 106 Alexander Mayer (*), Stefan Napel and Sascha Kurz Weighted Committee Games Ulrich Matter (*) and Omar Guerrero Uncovering Vote Trading through Networks and Computation David Stadelmann, Gustavo Torrens and Marco Portmann (*) A Quasi-Natural Experiment on Electoral Rules and Political Representation

9:30-11:00 G11. SOCIAL IDENTIFICATION 204 AND POLITICAL PARTICIPATION Simon Lapointe (*), Tuukka Saarimaa and Janne Tukiainen The Effects of Municipal Mergers on Voter Turnout Pierre André and Paul Maarek (*) Education, social capital and political participation: Evidence from school construction in Malian villages Nils Soguel (*) and Manon Jaquerod Resistance threshold to jurisdictions’ amalgamation: A survey of MPs’ attitude toward budget control and social identification

11:00-11:30 Coffee-break Sala Italia

11:30-13:00 Plenary session C & Farewell Auditorium CLEMENS FUEST - Economic and fiscal governance in the Eurozone

13.00-14.00 Light lunch Sala Italia

38 EPCS 2018 CENTRO CONGRESSI EUROPA CONFERENCE VENUE Centro Congressi Europa & Faculty of Economics Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore Largo Francesco Vito 1 - 00168 Roma

HOW TO REACH THE VENUE FROM THE MAIN AIRPORT From Fiumicino Airport “Leonardo da Vinci” there are different possibilities: • Non-stop Train “Leonardo Express” Airport-Termini Station (every 30 minutes, it takes about 30 minutes), then take Subway Line A, get off at Valle Aurelia and take Train FL3 (Direction Cesano/Viterbo) and get off at Gemelli. • Train FL1 Airport-Fara Sabina/Orte (every 20 minutes), get off at Trastevere, then take the Train FL3 direction Cesano/Viterbo and get off at Gemelli. • Taxi from the airport. FROM THE MAIN TRAIN STATIONS • From Termini Station take Subway line A (direction Battistini), get off at Valle Aurelia and take Train FL3 (Direction Cesano/Viterbo) and get off at Gemelli. • From Ostiense and Valle Aurelia Station take directly Train FL3 (Direction Cesano/ Viterbo) and get off at Gemelli. PUBLIC BUSES • Bus 446 (Piazza Mancini - Ponte Milvio - Cortina D’Ampezzo - Pineta Sacchetti/Gemelli - Cornelia) • Bus 146 (Boccea - Battistini - Pineta Sacchetti/Gemelli) • Bus 980 (Cornelia - Boccea - Pineta Sacchetti/Gemelli) BY CAR On the A1 highway take the exit “Roma Nord”, then Grande Raccordo Anulare (G.R.A.): • Exit 1 - Via Aurelia (towards Piazza Irnerio - Via della Pineta Sacchetti) • Exit 4 - Via Trionfale (towards Trionfale - Via della Pineta Sacchetti)

39 EPCS 2018 SERVICES CAR PARKS Visitors arriving by car can use the car parks marked on the campus map (there is a limited number of free parking). INTERNAL SHUTTLE BUS A free internal shuttle bus service is available from 7.40 am to 5.35 pm from Monday to Friday, it runs every 30 minutes approximately. The itinerary includes several stops across the Campus all marked by yellow signs (University - Policli- nico Gemelli - Istituti Biologici - Residenza Sanitaria - car parks). TAXI A taxi rank is located outside the main entrance of the Policlinico “A. Gemelli” (Largo A. Gemelli, 8)

The Polo Universitario Giovanni XXIII.

40

Contact: Formazione Permanente, ECM, Convegni e Manifestazioni Largo F. Vito 1 - 00168 Rome E-mail: [email protected] www.rm.unicatt.it