ISSUE TWENTY FIVE

HAS BRITAIN LOST INFLUENCE IN EUROPE?

© David Castillo Dominici

think4photop © 2011 The UK’s decision on 30 th January 2012 to boycott the Influence is a very strange thing. Everyone seems to want new EU fiscal pact now leaves Britain poorly positioned it, yet no one quite knows what it is. It can't be measured. to defend its economic interests. It also weakens the So valuable is it, indeed, that sometimes people want to ability of likeminded EU countries such as the hoard it rather than expend it in pursuit of their own Netherlands or the Central European states to resist the ends. For it seems on occasion to be a finite resource. étatist tendencies of France and (to a lesser extent) So it should be used, at best, only sparingly. Germany. The EU will become less economically liberal, to the detriment of all its memberstates, including the But then, even when it's not used, it can still evaporate. Think of Tony Blair and George Bush in the run up to the Iraq War. We were United Kingdom. repeatedly told that, in order to preserve "our influence at the top The main purpose of the new “treaty on stability, coordination and table in Washington", we should go along with whatever the Bush governance in the Economic and Monetary Union” is to impose tough administration wanted. And so we did. But a Chatham House report fiscal discipline on participating states. But it will have important second published in 2006 found that, despite the military, political and financial order effects. It creates, effectively, an inner core of EU member sacrifices made by the UK, Mr Blair had been unable to influence the states. And while this core will not have the de jure power to set tax Bush administration in "any significant way" and that the invasion and and other economic policies for Member States not covered by the the postwar debacle damaged the UK's global influence. So a policy treaty these decisions remain the prerogative of the EU27 including designed to hoard our influence actually ended up damaging it. the UK in practice the core countries will seek to “precook” most such decision among themselves, only then consulting other countries In addition to the essential vagueness of the word, we should also (this explains why Poland and some other noneuro countries worked recognise the concept of influence in foreign affairs is based on the so hard to be included in the core). Countries outside of it will find idea that Britain is always working towards the same goal as our their ability to set the EU’s economic policy limited. Britain will fight an international "partners"; and that we can use our "influence" to tweak increasingly lonely battle to keep the EU economically liberal. things a little more in our direction; to secure for this or that special interest of ours a few crumbs from the top table. Here (so we are led This is doubly a pity because it has many natural allies in the EU, such to believe), the finest servants of Her Majesty's Foreign and as Ireland or the Central European states. But the British “no” to the Commonwealth Office can, with effortless polish and charm, secure treaty now leaves them in a weaker position to resist France's statist the best possible deal for Britain. tendencies and German federalist instincts, for two reasons.

First, while in the past, the economic liberals in the EU could count on There is an alternative, of course. Just consider Mrs Thatcher's success London to fight their corner, their powerful ally will not have any in securing our rebate from the European Economic Community (as it influence on the economic policies of the core. In theory, the Central Europeans or Irish can veto any move they see as undermining their CONTINUED ON PAGE 2  economic interests, such as tax harmonisation, which they regard as presenting a direct threat to their economic model built on low taxes CONTENTS: and investorfriendly laws. In practice, smaller countries need the Note on Enhanced Cooperation and the EU Patent 4

support of others to resist the pressure from the big countries. With Film Review: The Iron Lady 4 Germany and France making clear that they indeed want to agree a Think Tank Profiles 5 common tax rate and with the new treaty calling for "enhanced Who Governs Europe? 7 economic convergence" the odds are stacked against those countries that, like the UK, desire to maintain healthy competition among the EU Spotlight on Health and Welfare 9

member states' economic models. Note on the EU and International Climate Targets 10

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 1 CONTINUED FROM PAGE 1 

then was) in the early 1980s. That hugely successful battle was fought not on the basis that we should use our influence to gently lead our European partners round to our way of thinking. No. It was won by confrontation, and a hardheaded determination to secure what was best for Britain regardless of the diplomatic cost to our "influence". In summit after summit, that even many of her colleagues found horrendously embarrassing, Mrs Thatcher insisted on a budget rebate for Britain, demanding in public that "we want our money back." Yes, the diplomats were excruciatingly embarrassed. Yes, the BBC, the Labour Party and the chattering classes were aghast at the loss of © European Union, 2012 "influence" and British prestige. But "Never do things just because other people do them," Mrs Thatcher's father had told her, and she Second, the UK’s decision inadvertently weakened its allies further by didn't. So after five years of arguing, Mrs Thatcher finally got her way vetoing attempts by the core to use the EU treaty to govern their club. at Fontainebleau in 1984 when she finally threatened to withhold This means that the rest of the member states will now agree new Britain's contributions to the EEC budget altogether. As Nigel Lawson, rules outside existing EU treaties and with a limited role for EU who was her Chancellor at the time, told the House of Lords Select institutions. While the UK did allow the European Court of Justice to Committee: "it would never have happened if we had not made it be used to enforce the provisions of the new treaty, the European clear that if we did not get satisfaction, we would withhold our Commission has been weakened. And the smaller member states like contributions. I think it is widely known that we had a draft bill printed the European Commission (in which each country has one member) to give us the legal authority to withhold our contributions. Without because it helps them balance the power of big member states such as that threat to withhold our contributions, to the extent of having the Germany and France. Germany wanted to work through the EU law officers produce a bill, we would not have got it." institutions too but France prefers a new club, seeing it as a way to

undo the 2004 enlargement and limit the influence of the pesky liberal As a result, Mrs Thatcher secured a rebate of twothirds of Britain's new member states. The UK veto played into Nicolas Sarkozy’s hands, net contribution to the EU a rebate which stills exists today, and cemented the dominant role of Germany and France in the new although its value has diminished greatly as a result of Tony Blair's fiscal union, to the alarm of the small countries. "We are being later concessions. And note that when Blair made his concessions in presented with decisions on which we have minimum influence", one 2005, Peter Mandelson, then an EU trade commissioner, warned Central European official told the author. British ministers that they would be "serious losers" and would risk Inevitably, Britain's relations with its allies in the EU will suffer. The "diminished influence" if they fail to secure an agreement on the EU Czechs, who joined the UK in staying out of the treaty will presumably budget. rejoice at not being alone but the rest rue London's decision, and the impact it will have on their ability to set economic policies. This will This surely leads to the conclusion that influence is a rather expensive make it more difficult for London to “sell” its ideas to the rest of the and useless commodity. And that if influence means the ability to EU. One theme that the UK government has strongly and rightly suggest a small change in something you don't believe in, it isn't really emphasised is the need for the EU to find new ways to reinvigorate worth having at all. And so the question of whether or not Britain lost growth. As long ago as 2010 it distributed a thoughtful paper influence as a result of using our veto at the Council of Ministers suggesting, among other things, that the EU create a common digital meeting in December last year is the wrong question. It may be the market among the 27 to boost ecommerce. At a meeting of senior case that the BBC, the Labour Party and the chattering classes, once Central European officials and experts in late 2011, some think tank again, all got upset by our perceived "loss of influence". But we should participants argued that governments in the region should join forces surely ask whether, by using the veto, Britain protected its national with London to support its drive to boost growth. But the idea of a interests. And there the answer is quite clear. We did. joint initiative with Britain found few takers among officials present at the event. Privately, they say that Britain has become toxic by Tim Knox is director of the Centre for Policy Studies. association; that any ideas which it sponsors will be resisted on principle, not on merit. For governments that share London's liberal view on the economy that is a depressing conclusion.

London has managed to "drive itself towards the edges of European politics", one Central European ambassador told the author. The remark was offered with regret, not glee. On social issues, taxation or the single market, the Visegrad countries are firmly in the UK, not FrancoGerman, camp. But they have little sympathy for David Cameron, who is seen as having brought the isolation on himself, and blamed for weakening common institutions and thus reducing the power of smaller states. The UK as well as its allies has lost out in the process.

Tomas Valasek is director of foreign policy at the Centre for European Reform . © European Union, 2012

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 2 DIRECTOR’S REPORT

Following the recent British veto on the EU are only touched upon very briefly in the movie, Looking to the future of the environment also, fiscal pact, the UK and especially its prime it is made clear that the British premier wanted two of our researchers discuss the EU’s recent minister, David Cameron, have been in the to protect the sovereignty of Britain. Her activities in Durban where India and China news both at home and abroad whether to convictions and determination to stand by significantly accepted a roadmap that could set praise or to condemn his decision. We have tough decisions continue to divide opinions up the basis for a global climate change treaty in invited two of our member think tanks to give about her legacy today. 2015. us their opinion. On the one hand, Tomas Valasek, from the Centre for European EU policies continue to feature in our In our think tank profiles, meanwhile, we take a Reform, believes that Cameron’s decision IP programme, in particular, the controversial look at the work of the based Libera!, leaves “Britain poorly positioned to defend its issue of a “twospeed Europe”. Here we argue and of the Centre for Political Thought, based economic interests”. Tomas also argues that that in certain situations, like in the case of the in Krakow, Poland.

this decision weakens the ability of likeminded EU patent, it may in fact be the only practical solution when disharmony is preventing Most discussion of the EU these days, concerns EU states to resist the statist positions of the Eurozone crisis and, as a result, perhaps a France and even Germany. On the other progress. perception not just that the UK’s influence in hand, Tim Knox, from the Centre for Policy In this issue, our spotlight looks at the Future of Europe is waning but also that Europe’s Studies, questions the issue of “influence” and Healthcare. As the population of the OECD influence in the world is also on the decline. concentrates on the defence of national countries have a life expectancy of beyond 80 Yet, as some of the issues highlighted above interests. Tim compares Cameron’s decision years of age, governments are faced with the show, what Europe does continues, at least for with Mrs Thatcher’s successful record of question of how to modernise their healthcare now, to have a strong impact on global public defending British national interests in the EU systems to combine 21st century healthcare policy. As we struggle to get our finances back and believes that, on that basis, this veto has treatments with appropriate healthcare policies. on track, let us not lose faith in the power of once again managed to protect them. The Stockholm Network is organising an event good public policy to continue to change things

Following the trail of Margaret Thatcher, our on this issue in Brussels on 28 March where a for the better. usual book review section has been replaced panel of healthcare innovators and experts will Helen Disney is founder and chief executive this time by a review of the movie “The Iron present us with a new vision of the future of of the Stockholm Network. Lady”, a role masterly performed by Oscar healthcare and will discuss what Europe needs

winning American actress Meryl Streep. to do to make it a reality. Although relations between Britain and the EU

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 3 ENHANCED COOPERATION AND THE EU PATENT

There has long been a debate within An EU patent would instead require the EU about whether enhanced innovators to submit patent applications to a central European body in just one language, cooperation, in which Member States which would then provide protection across are able to integrate at different levels the Union. A problem arises of course when and speeds, undermines the core deciding in which of the EU’s 23 official principles of the Union. Yet, the EU languages the patent can be submitted. In order to maximise the costsavings of the patent shows that in certain situations reform, the Commission has decided to limit it © Stuart Miles a “twospeed Europe” may in fact be to a trilingual system, i.e. English, French and the only practical solution when German. In doing so, translation costs for patent by themselves. Enhanced cooperation is distinct from the EU optouts, which has been disharmony is preventing progress. patents would drop from €14,000 to €680 used previous to establish the European per patent and the total of cost of the EU Intellectual property rights are one of the few patent is estimated at being on average Monetary Union and the Schengen Agreement, remaining trade barriers still present within around €6,200. and allows some Member States to work more Europe today. For decades now, European closely together, while respecting the legal innovators seeking to trade across the Single Among others, Italy and Spain have objected framework of the Union. Market have had to comply with different to the use of only English, French and German, national patent processes in order to ensure requesting that their own respective languages It is clear that the EU patent will provide a big that their creations are protected. The be included and have refused to vote in favour help to innovators in Europe, which is significant European Commission estimates that the of the proposals. It is at this point that, unless a as they most likely hold the key to improving overall average cost of this is €32,000 per consensus can be reached, EU processes tend competitiveness and sustaining economic innovation, compared to an average of just to end and no further progress can be made. growth in the EU. Of course, unanimity in reform is ideal but this should not come at the €1,850 in the United States. Language is central to this, as many of the high costs are Yet, Member States have now sought to use expense of diluting the proposal’s intentions. enhanced cooperation, first established by the attributed to translation fees incurred in order Paul Healy is senior researcher of the to submit patent applications in each national Treaty of Amsterdam in 1999, allowing the 25 Stockholm Network. willing Member States to establish the EU language. FILM REVIEW: THE IRON LADY Though Meryl Streep's depiction of are only gently touched upon. Much of her Margaret Thatcher is pictureperfect, time in office is played out amidst the backdrop of the miners' strike and the the creators of "The Iron Lady" seem Falklands war. Her dealings with Ronald to have been less concerned with the Reagan during the Cold war leading to the fall details of her rise to power and the of the Berlin Wall are scarcely mentioned, major policies that define her. despite their significant role in her premiership.

Instead, the movie focuses on an One of the most defining aspects of her elderly and somewhat confused Mrs tenacious political character, her view towards Thatcher as she attempts to Europe, is also only briefly covered. She is, remember important events in her however, shown vigorously defending the integrity of the British pound and the political career. sovereignty of Britain. In a speech given at a © Alex Bailey/Pathe Productions

dinner party in her old age, the character of The flashbacks provide a potted history that Mrs Thatcher is displayed citing the "evil" that Yet, many critics have suggested that the film begins with Margaret Roberts, an western civilisation faces and states that they portrays a "defanged, declawed, depoliticised" underestimated grocer's daughter who attends can never falter in their responses. It is here version of the controversial leader. In truth, "The Oxford University and is eventually elected that the viewer can grasp a sense of her Iron Lady" provides a very personal account of MP for Finchley. Mrs Thatcher's brief showing convictions and determination to stand by the rise, reign and decline of one of the most as a lowlevel MP and then education minister tough but necessary decisions, which continue influential Britons of modern times. is immediately followed by her campaign to to divide opinions about her legacy today. Kelsey Wooddell is a research intern of the become leader of the Conservative Party and Stockholm Network. prime minister, a trail marked with speeches Throughout the film, Meryl Streep succeeds at and imagery reminiscent of "The King's depicting Mrs Thatcher as implacable and Speech". Finally, once she becomes prime unwilling to compromise, as ironwilled as the minister the radical policies of her government film’s title suggests.

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 4 THINK TANK PROFILES

LIBERA! Brussels, http://www.liberavzw.be/

Libera! is an independent nonpartisan think tank in classicalliberalism and the values of a free society in his/her life and the Flemish region of Belgium fostering the values of a work.

free society in general and the protection of private From 2003 to 2009, the Prize for Liberty was awarded by Nova property rights in particular. The scope of its research Civitas. Since 2010, recognition has been awarded by Libera! to and activism is not limited to the regional or national Frits Bolkestein, former European Commissioner for the Internal Market in 2010 and to Theodore Dalrymple, conservative arena but also extends to the European and columnist and social critic in 2011. international level.

History and Intellectual Tradition

Although Libera! might look like a relatively new initiative – it was incorporated as a nonprofit organisation under Belgian law in the spring of 2010 – it finds its origins in the broader classicalliberal tradition of .

Research on liberalconservatism and classicalliberalism started with the institute Ludwig von Mises in the 1980s. Later on, in 1994, Nova Civitas was founded in the wake of the creation of a new classicalliberal political party in Belgium, the Flemish Liberal © European Union, 2008 Democrats or VLD. Yet, from the outset, the think tank declared itself independent from any political party. This became obvious © European Union, 2 012 when Nova Civitas strongly criticised the farreaching concessions the VLD made to the Walloon Socialists in the second government of prime minister, Guy Verhofstadt. Achievements and plans

“Libera! fosters the values of a free Libera! has published several articles and organised various events on free market economics and EU affairs, with a special focus on society in general and of the protection of the looming tax harmonisation in the EU, featuring lectures by private property rights in particular” former EU Commissioner Frits Bolkestein, amongst others.

In 2009, the directors of Nova Civitas decided to broaden the A series of research papers and policy studies are in the pipeline for radius of its activities by putting more emphasis on study work and 2012, including reports on the implementation of the EU’s Services publications, instead of just public debates, and by attracting new Directive; on better regulation to reduce the costs of waiting for members. After the merger with Cassandra, another liberal think businesses; on the protection of property rights and the concept of tank, a new association was set up in 2010 under the new name regulatory takings; on the flaws of the social cohesion argument in Libera!. policymaking; on welfare benefits and the unemployment trap; on trade unions and their governmentbacked monopolies; and on the Structure and key people destructive effects of multilayer subsidy schemes.

Libera! is governed by a Board of Directors and a General Together with our annual flagship event, the award ceremony of Assembly. A dedicated team of volunteers, external contractors the Prize for Liberty, Libera! has hosted public panel debates in the and Fellows is responsible for all activities and publications, and past few months on issues such as the end of the welfare state and conducts all research projects. It also has an academic advisory the differences between state capitalism and free market board and a board of patrons. The former consists of leading economics. Issues to be discussed at our upcoming panel debates academics and journalists, and the latter of key people from the include central banking and inflation, liberalism and nationalism, and political sphere as well as the business community. the need for strong judicial review to counter bad legislation. In the spring of 2012, the Belgian economist Johan Van Overtveldt will be Prize for Liberty honoured with this year’s Prize for his book The End of the Euro .

The Prize for Liberty, sometimes referred to as the Liberty Award, is an annual award bestowed upon a person for propagating Vincent De Roeck is secretary of Libera!

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 5 THINK TANK PROFILES

CENTER FOR POLITICAL THOUGHT (OMP) Krakow, Poland http://www.omp.org.pl

The Center for Political Thought is the leading Polish conservative think tank focusing on political philosophy, contemporary history and international relations. Our experts – leading Polish political scientists, sociologists, lawyers and philosophers – take part in the public debate concerning public policy in Poland and the main dilemmas of European policy and transatlantic relations.

Since its foundation in 1992, our Center, based in Krakow, has propagated the principles of politics that promote respect for personal freedom, religion and Polish cultural traditions. Since then we have organised over 100 scientific conferences, expert seminars and public debate. We have published over 160 books in Polish through a variety of series, such as the Library of Political Thought, and the Library of Polish Political Thought Classics. Their authors range from Polish to international scientists, political commentators and journalists. © FreestockPhoto.es

The current main projects of the Center are based on the following topics: b) Financial crisis and the future of the EU (conservative perspective): 1. The international situation in Europe – particularly in the − Will the crisis cause the restriction of a state’s role context of the Eastern policy of the EU, transatlantic relations in the economy, or will it increase the temptation of state and global threats (www.usaue.pl ); control?; − Is there one solution for the international crisis and what is 2. The institutional structure of the EU and its possible future the sense of coordinated effort against it?; transformations, analysed from the viewpoint − Will the economic and political interests of EU Member of preserving individual nation states’ competences; States prevail over general financial interest?; and

3. Relationships between the EU financial system and its − How to bring together the need to reform economies competitiveness in the globalising world market on the one (especially in reducing expenditure and increasing hand, and methods of shaping the EU policy in this field at the competitiveness against nonEuropean operators) with the level of the EU institutions and cooperation of its individual social costs of the required changes?

member states, on the other ( www.sporyokapitalizm.pl ). “OMP has propagated the principles of politics These projects will also address topics and questions such as: that promote respect for personal freedom, religion and Polish cultural traditions” a) Political power in the EU: Formal and informal centres and

decisionmaking mechanisms versus competences To celebrate its 20th anniversary the Center will organise a series of of individual nation states: conferences, including the international meetings “EU – what now? − distribution of competences between a nation The Central European Perspective” and “The prospects for state’s centres of power and the EU institutions – conservative parties in the European Union”. formal solutions and practical decisionmaking mechanisms; We will also organise numerous public debates including “Ageing − mechanisms used by the EU to enforce Member Nations? Demography as a Political Problem for Europe”; “Does the States to accept and apply EU law; EU promote or threaten the free market?”; and “Sexuality as political − influence of bilateral cooperation between Member weapon”. All these events aim to promote a conservative and free States on decisionmaking in the EU; and marketoriented vision of European and Polish policy and culture. − influence of nonstate subjects on EU policy – i.e. media, business, NGOs and informal interest groups Dr Jacek Kloczkowski is vice-president of the Center for Political Thought

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 6 WHO GOVE RNS EUROPE? A turbulent period has seen numerous governments replaced throughout Europe. Some were ousted by the conventional ballot box, whilst others fell foul of political developments mostly related to the Eurozone crisis.

But first it’s good to begin with some positive Berlusconi resigned as prime minister once it There have also been presidential elections in news from Belgium . After almost 18 months became apparent that he had lost his the Republic of Ireland to replace Mary of negotiations, Elio di Rupo has finally been parliamentary majority, in particular the support McAleese, who has reached the end of her approved as prime minister, leading a sixparty of his coalition partners, the Lega Nord. His last second and final term. Former culture minister coalition. The pivotal factor in reaching the act as prime minister was to ensure that austerity Michael Higgins, from the junior government agreement was the Christian Democratic and measures, forced by the EU, were passed by coalition Labour Party, has become the ninth Flemish Party’s (CD&V) decision to enter a both houses of parliament. president obtaining almost 40% of the vote. coalition without the (N VA), which topped the 2010 polls. Di Rupo’s Berlusconi’s replacement is former European Fine Gael, the main governing party in the socialist government will need to hit the ground Commissioner and university president Mario coalition had a poor showing in the election running, with almost half their term already Monti, who has established a technocratic suggesting a reversal of fortunes of those that expired and an NVA opposition looking for government designed to steward Italy through swept them to power, led by Taoiseach Enda greater powers for the Flemish region. the current economic crisis. In the government, Kenny, early this year. Their candidate Gay Monti himself will serve as finance minister and Mitchell finished fourth with just 6% of the vote, Another country where a new government has the industry and infrastructure portfolios have the party’s worst showing in a presidential been appointed without the largest party in been handed to Corrado Passera, chief executive election. At a byelection in Dublin West, held parliament is Slovenia , where Positive Slovenia of Italy's biggest retail bank. following the death of former finance minister were left out of the new fiveparty coalition Brian Lenihan, Fine Gael also lost to the Labour government led by the Slovenian Democratic Greece is now also home to a government led Party. Party (SDS). The spotlight following the snap by a nonpolitical appointee with the resignation elections was on Positive Slovenia’s leader of George Papandreou. The new leader is Lucas And finally, in Finland the main governing party, Zoran Janković to put a coalition together, but Papademos, an economist and former Greek the National Coalition Party, has claimed the in the end it was SDS’s Janez Janša whom was central bank vicepresident. Unlike Monti, presidency for the first time in more than 50 able to muster the necessary support. Papademos has not formed a new technocratic years after Sauli Niinistö defeated the Green

team, instead taking over a national unity candidate Pekka Haavisto in the second round. A new government was also elected in Spain coalition agreed by the two main party leaders. Niinistö received 63% of the vote and replaces as more than seven years of socialist leadership the Social Democrat Tarja Kaarina Halonen, was brought to an end. As expected, Mariano Romania In , the prime minister Emil Boc Finland’s first female President, who has reached Rajoy led his People’s Party to gain an absolute resigned following public protests against his the end of her maximum two sixyear terms. majority in parliamentary elections, claiming government, in particular the perception of 186 of the 350 seat Congress of Deputies. cronyism and corruption. Boc has been replaced Significantly, both second round candidates The incumbent Socialist Workers’ Party, led by Mihai Răzvan Ungureanu, a former foreign supported continued membership of the by Alfredo Pérez Rubalcaba dropped down minister, who vowed to continue reforms. Eurozone in an election dominated by Finland’s to 111 seats, their worst showing for 30 years. Parliamentary elections are due in Romania role in Europe, whilst the Eurosceptic party the

towards the end of this year. True Finns were unable to build on their success The economy was unsurprisingly at the top of in last year’s parliamentary elections. Their the election agenda, in particular the There have also been political disturbances in candidate and party leader Timo Soini finished extraordinarily high unemployment rate of 22% Slovakia , where the current government led by fourth and received just 9.4% of the vote, a far (more than 5 million people). Added to this, Iveta Radičová has forced fresh elections after cry from the 19% and 39 seats they received in were continual fears about future economic they lost a vote of confidence. The new elections parliamentary elections last year. The former growth and the government’s inability to take place in early March and polls currently Social Democrat prime minister, Paavo Lipponen, maintain budget deficit targets, especially in suggest that Slovakia’s largest party, led by former finished a disappointing sixth with 6.7%. respect to spending by regional governments, prime minister Robert Fico, will win enough to a level that is deemed sustainable by fellow support to oust Radičová and govern again. For more information, please visit: Eurozone leaders and, perhaps more http://www.whogovernseurope.com importantly, the financial markets. Presidential elections in Bulgaria have seen Rosen Plevneliev, of the ruling Citizens for UPCOMING ELECTIONS:

Aside from elections, governments also changed European Development of Bulgaria party Slovakian parliamentary 10 March hands as a result of political developments. (GERB), become the next president. Plevneliev France presidential 22 April Italy Most prominently in , threetime prime replaces the Socialist Georgi Parvanov, who has Greek parliamentary April (TBC) minister Silvio Berlusconi has potentially put an completed the second of a maximum possible France parliamentary 10 June end to his extraordinary political career. two fiveyear terms.

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 7

AUSTRIA BELGIUM BULGARIA WHO ÖSTERREICH BELGIQUE / BELGIË БЪЛГАРИЯ

Head of State: Heinz Fischer Head of State: King Albert II Head of State: Rosen Plevneliev GOVERNS Head of Gov’t: Werner Faymann Head of Gov’t: Elio Di Rupo Head of Gov’t: Boyko Borisov Governing Party: Social Democrats Governing Party: Socialist Party with Governing Party: Citizens for European with People’s Party others Development of Bulgaria EUROPE? 1 3 1 1 Parliamentary 3 Latest possible Elections : Last 2008, Next – 2013 Elections1: Last 2010, Next – 2014 3 Elections : Last 2009, Next 2013 2 Presidential 4 Interim

CYPRUS CZECH REPUBLIC DENMARK ESTONIA ΚΎΠΡΟΣ / KIBRIS ČESKÁ REPUBLIKA DANMARK EESTI

Head of State: Dimitris Christofias Head of State: Václav Klaus Head of State: Queen Margrethe II Head of State : Toomas Hendrik Ilves Governing Party: Progressive Party of Head of Gov’t: Petr Nečas Head of Gov’t: Helle ThorningSchmidt Head of Gov’t: Andrus Ansip Working People Governing Party: Civic Democratic Governing Party: Social Democrats Governing Party: Estonian Reform Elections2: Last 2008, Next – 2013 Party with TOP09 and Public Affairs with Social Liberal Party and others Party and Pro Patria Res Publica Elections1: Last 2010, Next 2014 Elections1: Last 2011, Next – 2015 3 Elections1: Last 2011, Next 2015

FINLAND FRANCE GERMANY GREECE SUOMI FRANCE DEUTSCHLAND ΕΛΛΆ∆Α

Head of State: Sauli Niinistö Head of State: Nicolas Sarkozy Head of State: Horst Seehofer 4 Head of State: Karolos Papoulias Head of Gov’t: Jyrki Katainen Head of Gov’t: François Fillon Head of Gov’t: Angela Merkel Head of Gov’t: Lucas Papademos Governing Party: National Coalition Governing Party: Union for a Popular Governing Party: Christian Democratic Governing Party: PASOK with New Party with others Movement with others Union with Free Democratic Party Democracy and others Elections2: Last 2011, Next 2015 Elections2: Last 2007, Next 2012 Elections1: Last 2009, Next – 2013 3 Elections1: Last 2009, Next – 2012

HUNGARY IRELAND ITALY LATVIA MAGYARORSZÁG ÉIRE ITALIA LATVIJA

Head of State: Pál Schmitt Head of State: Michael Higgins Head of State: Giorgio Napolitano Head of State: Andris BērziĦš Head of Gov’t: Viktor Orbán Head of Gov’t: Enda Kenny Head of Gov’t: Mario Monti Head of Gov’t: Valdis Dombrovskis Governing Party: Fidesz – Hungarian Governing Party: Fine Gael with Governing Party: Independent Governing Party: Unity Alliance with Civic Union Labour Party Elections1: Last 2008, Next – 2013 3 Zatlers’ Reform Party and others Elections1: Last 2010, Next – 2014 Elections1: Last 2011, Next – 2016 3 Elections1: Last 2011, Next – 2015

LITHUANIA LUXEMBOURG MALTA NETHERLANDS LIETUVA LUXEMBOURG MALTA NEDERLAND

Head of State: Dalia Grybauskait÷ Head of State: Grand Duke Henri Head of State: George Abela Head of State: Queen Beatrix Head of Gov’t: Andrius Kubilius Head of Gov’t: JeanClaude Juncker Head of Gov’t: Lawrence Gonzi Head of Gov’t: Mark Rutte

Governing Party: Homeland Union with Governing Party: Christian Social People's Governing Party: Nationalist Party Governing Party: People’s Party and National Resurrection Party and others Party with Socialist Workers' Party Elections1: Last 2008, Next – 2013 3 Christian Democratic Appeal Elections1: Last 2008, Next – 2012 Elections1: Last 2009, Next – 2014 Elections1: Last 2010, Next – 2014 3

POLAND PORTUGAL ROMANIA SLOVAKIA POLSKA PORTUGAL ROMÂNIA SLOVENSKO

Head of State: Bronisław Komorowski Head of State: Aníbal Cavaco Silva Head of State: Traian Băsescu Head of State: Ivan Gašparovič Head of Gov’t: Donald Tusk Head of Gov’t: Pedro Passos Coelho Head of Gov’t: MihaiRăzvan Ungureanu Head of Gov’t: Iveta Radičová, Governing Party: Civic Platform with Governing Party: Social Democratic Governing Party: Democratic Liberal Governing Party: Slovak Democratic Polish Peasants’ Party Party and People’s Party Party and Hungarian Democratic Union and Christian Union and others Elections1: Last 2011, Next – 2015 Elections1: Last 2011, Next – 2015 3 Elections1: Last 2008, Next – 2012 Elections1: Last 2010, Next – 2012

SLOVENIA SPAIN SWEDEN UNITED KINGDOM SLOVENIJA ESPAÑA SVERIGE UNITED KINGDOM

Head of State: Danilo Türk Head of State: King Juan Carlos I Head of State: King Carl XVI Head of State: Queen Elizabeth II Head of Gov’t: Janez Janša Head of Gov’t: Mariano Rajoy Brey Head of Gov’t: Fredrik Reinfeldt Prime Minister: David Cameron Governing Party: Slovenian Democratic Governing Party: People’s Party Governing Party: Alliance for Sweden Party: Conservatives with Liberal Party with others Elections1: Last 2011, Next – 2015 Elections1: Last 2010, Next – 2014 Democrats Elections1: Last 2011, Next – 2015 Elections1: Last 2010, Next – 2015 3

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 8 STOCKHOLM NETWORK SPOTLIGHT: THE FUTURE OF HEALTHCARE

now reasonably demand even further innovation, as research is very often targeted advancements that allow more diseases to be towards filling gaps in treatment needs. In the overcome. future, therefore, it can be expected that even greater investment in research and Fortunately for patients, medical innovation development will generate further advances in has not reached its end and the famous quote the effectiveness of healthcare treatments. in 1899 by the US Office of Patents that

© Shutterstock "everything that can be invented has been More expensive healthcare invented" should teach us all not to lose faith Yet the price that will surely be paid for more Healthcare systems today are more about the potential for ingenuity in the future. If necessity is indeed the mother of invention accessible, personalised and effective adept than ever at keeping patients then we should now ponder where medical healthcare is likely to be larger healthcare healthier for longer. Since 1961, life innovation could lead us in the future. budgets. Innovation, after all, does not come expectancy at birth in the OECD has for free and developing more sophisticated More accessible healthcare treatments in new disease areas requires increased by over 11 years on average, heavy incentives and investment. Such rises in which means that a person born in the Modern consumer habits mean that today’s health costs, however, are likely to further OECD can now expect to live beyond patients are much more demanding of easy compound the notion that healthcare systems toaccess healthcare treatment. No longer are are currently unsustainable. We should 80 years of age. patients willing to accept long waiting lists for therefore also think about how we can The main cause of this has been the operations, timeconsuming booking systems modernise these systems to combine 21st for family doctors or an inability to access modernisation of healthcare, which has been century healthcare treatments with 21st driven by an explosion of medical medical opinion at the touch of a button. This century healthcare policies. advancements, and relatively peaceful societies inclination is not necessarily because patients that have allowed patients to take advantage of are unacceptably insistent today but because Conclusion they recognise that such obstacles are no such progress. It becomes increasingly obvious then that just longer necessary. More accessible healthcare as it has always done, healthcare is likely to Healthcare systems are now much more systems in the future will inevitably need to sophisticated creatures, which encourage the make strides to accommodate this, for change in the future. Whilst it is encouraging development of complex innovations. The example by developing the field of eHealth, that such developments will be designed to keep people alive for longer, such progress will evolution of research into molecular biology which has up to now been surprisingly slow in between the 1940s and 1960s showed just its uptake. inevitably come at a cost. Smart policymakers how rapidly progress can be made and the should be looking to preempt changes in adoption of genetic engineering from the More personalised healthcare healthcare and aiming to install reforms that will better accommodate such changes. 1970s onwards has showcased how such If eHealth can be rolled out further then this progress can be translated into significant would certainly fulfil another demand of The best way to prepare for more accessible, benefits to people’s lives. Even on a global patients: the desire for more personalised effective and personalised treatments would scale, more sophisticated healthcare systems treatment. No longer do patients want to be be to implement reforms now that make the were able to eradicate lifethreatening diseases, treated as a homogenous mass, primarily current healthcare system more accessible, such as small pox in the 1970s. because they have realised that medical effective and personalised. To do this, patients

Yet, such successes have also created some evidence proves that they in fact are not all need be empowered. problems of their own. Diseases that are the same. Whilst onesizefitsall healthcare can have its advantages in areas of public In financing healthcare, there needs to be a greatly influenced by environmental factors, greater balance between private and public such as cancer and heart disease, have been health, such as immunisation, the reality is that most diseases are much more complex. Yet funding, allowing for more flexibility and compounded by the fact that people have choices. Furthermore, there needs to be a been living longer and are more prone to whilst progress has been made in the West, many treatments are still being administered reform of the relationship between patients develop such conditions in line with their simply on the basis that the patient is human. and their health services, which could really ageing. Such diseases dominate the list of top turn the emphasis towards what patients want. ten causes of death in developed countries, This is why more research is now being now into personalised medicines, which are Last but not least, further competition in whereas people in the developing world are designed to tailor treatments towards specific health services will increase the accountability more likely to die from infectious diseases, such of such services to patients. as HIVAIDS, diarrhoea and malaria. subsets of a population.

Paul Healy is senior researcher of the Nonetheless, this is not to say that patients More effective healthcare Stockholm Network, which is hosting an should now accept that later life diseases are Personalised medicine aims to create more event on the future of healthcare in Brussels th an insurmountable consequence of society’s effective medicines and reduce the sideeffects on 28 March. For more information, please progress in healthcare. In fact, patients can for patients. Such benefits often drive medical see the feature on the back page.

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 9 THE EU AND INTERNATIONAL CLIMATE TARGETS

At a recent climate conference in Europe 2020 looks to establish a smart, Durban, the EU was able to secure an sustainable and inclusive economy. Aside from the climate targets, Europe 2020 also agreement that it described as an establishes four other sets of ambitious “historic breakthrough in the fight objectives to be achieved by 2020, in against climate change”. It acquired employment, innovation, education and social the consent of both China and India inclusion.

to a roadmap that would eventually The climate targets are fourfold. Firstly, © Stuart Miles lead to a global treaty in 2015. If all Member States are obliged to reduce overall goes smoothly this will bind two of greenhouse gas emissions in the EU by 20%. The national targets differ greatly, with some To assist them in this, a second target requires countries, like Luxembourg and Malta, aiming the world’s largest carbon emitters, the balance of renewable energy, as a portion for around 10% renewable energy balance by along with the rest of 193 signatory of total energy consumption in the EU, to be 2020 and others, like Sweden, aiming for 49%. countries, to legally binding targets to increased to 20%. Furthermore, 20% is At least ten Member States currently expect to reduce their CO2 emissions. required to be saved in energy efficiency have a surplus in 2020 compared to their within the EU and finally the use of biofuels, as binding target, the largest of which are Spain The EU has experience when it comes to this, a part of total energy consumption in vehicles, and Germany. At least five expect to have a given that it presently binds its 27 Member is set at 10%. deficit by 2020, most significantly Italy. States to ambitious carbon reduction targets Collectively, the EU is currently forecasted to that must be met by 2020. When this None of these targets are in fact designed to exceed its 20% target by 0.3%. agreement was reached, the European act as goals for each country. Instead, Commission President Jose Manual Barroso individual targets allow the EU to reach an Climate change policy clearly offers the EU an called it “a defining moment for the EU” and average that reflects the total goal. As a result, opportunity to set an example of how to said that it would set the pace for reining in there is the potential for countries to trade rebalance energy needs with more sustainable global warming. Negotiations in Durban any excess to those lagging behind. All targets sources. In addition, the robust structure of suggest that the EU is attempting to maintain that are set relate to energy levels in1990. regional integration in Europe means that it is this momentum and extend it globally, to perfectly placed to monitor and enforce targets those states more central to the challenges when set. However, the possibility of extending posed by climate change. Yet, for the EU to this internationally is much more problematic. successfully convince the rest of world of the Certainly it will be much tougher to manage benefits of international carbon targets, their emerging markets, such as China and India, regional strategy must prove effective. which are rightly concerned about the effect that targets could have on economic growth. The EU targets were first agreed in 2007 and are now formalised within the Europe 2020 Paul Healy is senior researcher and Kelsey growth strategy. As an overall approach, © dan Wooddell is a research intern of the Stockholm Network

ABOUT THE NETWORK

WHAT DO WE DO MEET THE TEAM The Stockholm Network is a panEuropean think tank and marketoriented network. It is We conduct panEuropean research on, and Chief Executive and Founder a onestop shop for organisations seeking to create a wider audience for, marketoriented Helen Disney work with Europe’s leading policymakers and policy ideas in Europe. Our website contains a Director of Research thinkers. Today, the Stockholm Network comprehensive directory of European free Dr Meir Pugatch brings together over 120 marketoriented market think tanks and thinkers. We advertise Chief Operating Officer think tanks from across Europe. forthcoming events (our own and those of Dr Cristina Palomares partner organisations) and facilitate publication Senior Researcher Combined, the think tanks in our network exchange and translation between think tanks. Paul Healy publish thousands of opeds in the high We also post regular news flashes and updates Fellows quality European press, produce many on European think tanks and their activities. Jacob Arfwedson hundreds of publications, and hold a wide Rachel Chu range of conferences, seminars and meetings. WOULD YOU LIKE TO JOIN THE Paul Domjan As such, the Stockholm Network and its STOCKHOLM NETWORK? Dr David Torstensson member organisations influence many millions Please contact us on +44 20 7354 8888 or Accounts of Europeans every year. email info@stockholmnetwork.org Nasrin Hassam

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 10 Health Policy Institute KOSOVO NETWORK MEMBERS www.hpi.sk Group for Legal and Political Studies Institute for Economic and Social Reforms Spanning almost 40 countries and over 120 think tanks, our www.legalpoliticalstudies.org www.ineko.sk unique organisation has the capacity to deliver local messages and Riinvest Institute for Development Research Institute of Economic and Social Studies www.riinvestinstitute.org locally-tailored global messages across the EU and beyond. www.iness.sk LITHUANIA M.E.S.A. 10 ALBANIA Libera Belarusian Institute for Strategic Studies www.mesa10.sk Albanian Liberal Institute www.libera.fi http://belinstitute.eu The F.A. Hayek Foundation www.alblib.org/ www.hayek.sk FRANCE Lithuanian Free Market Institute www.lrinka.lt Civil Society Institute ARMENIA SLOVENIA Analytical Center on Globalization and www.ifrap.org MACEDONIA Institut dr. Jozeta Pucnika Regional Cooperation Fondation pour l'Innovation Politique Association for Modern Economy www.ijpucnik.si www.azadliqciragi.org www.fondapol.org www.ame.org.mk SPAIN Institut Turgot Institute for Economic Strategies & International Affairs AZERBAIJAN www.turgot.org www.oi.org.mk Fundació Catalunya Oberta Free Minds Association Institute for Economic Studies Europe www.catalunyaoberta.net www.azadliqciragi.org www.ies-europe.org MALTA Fundacion FAES

Institut Euro 92 Competitive Malta www.fundacionfaes.org BELGIUM www.euro92.com www.competitivemalta.com Institucion Futuro European Centre for International Political Economy www.ifuturo.org www.ecipe.org Institut Montaigne MOLDOVA Juan de Mariana Institute European Ideas Network www.institutmontaigne.org Institute for Development and Social Initiatives www.juandemariana.org www.epp-ed.org/europeanideasnetwork Liberté Chérie www.viitorul.org Poder Limitado Health Consumer Powerhouse www.liberte-cherie.com Sauvegarde Retraites MONTENEGRO www.poderlimitado.org www.healthpowerhouse.com www.sauvegarde-retraites.org Centre for Entrepreneurship & Development Institut Économique Molinari SWEDEN www.visit-ceed.org.me www.institutmolinari.org Captus GEORGIA Institute for Strategic Studies and Prognoses Institute Thomas More www.captus.nu New Economic School www.isspm.org www.institut-thomas-more.org Eudoxa www.nesg.net Slobodna Misao (Free Thought) Libera! www.eudoxa.se http://www.liberavzw.be/ GERMANY www.slobodnamisao.net Timbro Liberal Flemish Students Organization Center for European Policy NETHERLANDS www.timbro.se www.lvsv.be www.cep.eu Frédéric Bastiat Stichting SWITZERLAND Ludwig von Mises Institute Europe Committee for a Constructive Tomorrow www.bastiatstichting.nl www.vonmisesinstitute-europe.org (CFACT Europe) Avenir Suisse Murray Rothbard Instituut www.cfact.eu NORWAY www.avenir-suisse.ch www.rothbard.be Council on Public Policy Civita Institut Constant de Rebecque Work for All www.council.uni-bayreuth.de www.civita.no www.institutconstant.ch www.workforall.org Hamburg Institute for International Economics Institut POLAND www.hwwi.org www.libinst.ch BULGARIA Adam Smith Center HayekGesellschaft Center for Economic Development www.smith.org.pl TURKEY www.hayek.de www.ced.bg Center for Social and Economic Research Association for Liberal Thinking Institute for Innovation & Valuation in Healthcare Center for the Study of Democracy www.case.com.pl www.liberal.org.tr www.innoval-hc.com www.csd.bg Centre for Political Thought New Social Market Economy Foundation UNITED KINGDOM Centre for Liberal Strategies www.omp.org.pl www.insm.de Business for New Europe www.cls-sofia.org Gdansk Institute for Market Economics Stiftung Marktwirtschaft www.bnegroup.org Institute for Market Economics www.ibngr.edu.pl www.stiftung-marktwirtschaft.de Centre for European Reform www.ime-bg.org Instytut Globalizacji Walter Eucken Institut www.cer.org.uk LaissezFaire Capitalism Institute “Atlas” www.globalizacja.org www.eucken.de Centre for Policy Studies http://www.atlas-bg.eu Ludwig von Mises Institute Poland www.cps.org.uk GREECE www.mises.pl CROATIA Centre of Research in PostCommunist Hellenic Leadership Institute Sobieski Institute Adriatic Institute for Public Policy Economies http://hli.org.gr/site/ www.sobieski.org.pl www.adriaticinstitute.org www.crce.org.uk The Knowledge & Innovation Institute Civitas CYPRUS HUNGARY www.knowledge-innovation.eu www.civitas.org.uk The Mediterranean Policy Centre Foundation for Market Economy PORTUGAL E.G. West Centre www.medpc.org www.fme.hu Causa Liberal http://research.ncl.ac.uk/egwest/ CZECH REPUBLIC ICELAND www.causaliberal.net Global Vision Centre for Economics and Politics Centre for Social and Economic Research www.global-vision.net www.cepin.cz www.rse.is ROMANIA Open Europe Center for Institutional Analysis and Development Civic Institute www.openeurope.org.uk ISRAEL www.cadi.ro www.obcinst.cz Policy Exchange Jerusalem Institute for Market Studies Ludwig von Mises Institute Romania Health Reform.cz www.policyexchange.org.uk www.jims-israel.org www.mises.ro www.healthreform.cz Politeia Romanian Center for European Policies Institute for Lifestyle Options and Longevity ITALY www.politeia.co.uk www.crpe.ro www.ilol-think-tank.eu Adam Smith Society Reform www.adamsmith.it SME Union RUSSIA www.reform.co.uk www.sme-union.cz Centro Einaudi The Hayek Foundation Reform Scotland www.centroeinaudi.it www.reformscotland.com DENMARK www.hayek.ru Fondazione Respublica Social Affairs Unit Centre for Political Studies www.fondazionerespublica.org SERBIA www.socialaffairsunit.org.uk www.cepos.dk Intertic Center for LiberalDemocratic Studies Stockholm Network The Copenhagen Institute www.intertic.org www.clds.org.rs www.stockholm-network.org www.coin.dk Istituto Acton Italia SLOVAKIA The Centre for Social Justice FINLAND www.acton.org Center for Economic Development www.centreforsocialjustice.org.uk Anders Chydenius Foundation Istituto Bruno Leoni www.cphr.sk www.chydenius.net www.brunoleoni.it Conservative Institute of M. R. Stefanik Full list at: Finnish Business and Policy Forum Magna Carta Foundation www.institute.sk http://tinyurl.com/SNMembers www.eva.fi www.magna-carta.it

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 11

REGULAR NEWSLETTERS SN EVENT

WEEKLY BULLETIN A NEW VISION FOR THE This weekly eupdate keeps subscribers up to date on all Stockholm FUTURE OF HEALTHCARE Network member think tank activities including events, announcements and publications. The Stockholm Network is hosting a lunchtime event on the topic of innovation in healthcare. “A new vision for the future of PROGRAMME NEWSLETTERS healthcare” will take place on 28 March 2012 (12.452.30pm) in Receive information about current issues as well as expert analysis Brussels (Radisson Blu EU Hotel, Rue d´Idalie, 35 – 1050). and insight into debates in our three programme areas: In this special event, we invite a range of healthcare innovators and experts to present to us a new vision of the healthcare future and CLIMATE OF OPINION to ask what Europe needs to do to make it a reality. The panel of

Each issue focuses on a different speakers is:

aspect of timely energy and  Prof Paul Corrigan CBE – former senior health policy advisor environment policies. to Tony Blair;  Johan Hjertqvist – director of Health Consumer Powerhouse; GESUNDHEIT!  Dr Alphonse Crespo, president of Medicine and Liberty; and

 Dr Richard Barker, author of 2030 The Future of Medicine: Highlights developments in Avoiding a Medical Meltdown and director of Centre for contemporary European health Accelerating Medical Innovations and welfare policy.

The meeting will be chaired by Helen Disney, CEO and founder of KNOW IP the Stockholm Network. Discusses notable developments in the field of IP both in Europe For more information, please visit: and beyond. http://bit.ly/uOPou

SN PUBLICATION FEATURED PUBLICATION CAPTURING VALUE: Why dynamic TURKEY, MIGRATION AND THE EU: efficiency should be considered in the Potentials, Challenges and Opportunities pricing and reimbursement of medicines Edited by S P Elitok and T Straubhaar, Hamburg Institute for

International Economics This paper looks at the concept of

dynamic efficiency and studies how it In the context of Turkey’s accession could be used in the pricing and to the EU, this book touches upon reimbursement of medicines. various aspects of the ongoing debate Healthcare payers are obliged to ensure about the effects of Turkey’s accession that budgets are not pushed to their to the EU upon the migration flows limit but by considering dynamic and sheds light on various dimensions efficiency in their decisionmaking, of current panorama, addresses policy policymakers would need not only to implications as well as future challenges focus on the ability to make ends meet and opportunities. today or to balance budgets annually.

To download this publication, please visit: To view this publication, please visit: http://www.hwwi.org/publikationen/edition/editionhwwiband5.html http://bit.ly/wILIat

ISSUE TWENTY FIVE 12