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Energy M&A Update: Q1 2019

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Energy M&A Update: Q1 2019 Energy & Resources Quarterly update Q1 2019 Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC | www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com Quarterly update | Q1 2019 | Energy Energy sector trends In this update Corporate investments in Texas consumers increase renewable energy surge2 investment in distributed • Energy trends energy resources1 The total solar market received • Economic outlook $2.8 in corporate funding in Many Texas homeowners, small billion • Industry analysis business owners, and large Q1 2019. Public markets, venture industrial users are increasing capital, and debt financing for solar • Select M&A transactions investment in distributed energy projects were up by 10 percent as • Appendix resources (DER) and actively compared to Q1 2018. Announced managing their energy large-scale solar funding soared to consumption. According to a $5.68 billion across 43 deals, which recent report completed by the is up from the 47 deals worth $2.8 in Q4 2018. The 2018 Texas Clean Energy Coalition, billion This update will focus on news struggles related to tariffs, subsidy/ consumers in Texas have and trends in the following installation cuts, and module increased their spend 62 oversupply situation has rebounded. areas: percent on DER in the past two The market is poised for grown, as years, particularly on solar shown by the rebound in installation and natural gas- solar equities in Q1 2019. • Mid-steam Oil Services powered microgrids. • Renewable Energy US oil production Private buyouts deals • Power & Utilities simmers down in Q13 to surge in oil and gas pipeline M&A4 The Energy Information M&A activity for midstream energy Administration (EIA) released was dominated by reorganizations its production report showing in 2018. M&A analysts expect US oil production was likely flat pipeline companies to join in from December 2018 through operations as public equity funding March 2019, due mainly to a for the sector remains scarce. shortfall in shale production Private Equity firms, who are Who we are within the Permian basin. sitting on a lot of investable January 2018 production fell 91 capital, are expected to play a thousand barrels a day from large roll in selling non-core assets Deloitte Corporate Finance LLC the final month of December. for these energy companies in is a leading global middle The EIA now projects the US 2019. These firms are often willing market M&A adviser. The will produce 12.39 million to pay more than industry players firm’s professionals have barrels per day in 2019, up as many believe multiples are from their previous estimate of rising given the upbeat trading extensive knowledge within 12.30 million barrels per day. environment. various sectors of the Energy space. In the news March 25th, 20195 – Royal Dutch Shell Plc (Shell) took a large step forward when it announced that it has a fixed rate power- supply for UK customers of ~$1,278 USD a year. Shell made this move in order to undercut the former cheapest suppliers of energy: Bulb Energy Ltd. Centrica Plc. Shell is aiming to become the world’s Contacts largest power producer within 15 years, and is committing large amounts of capital (~$2 billion USD) to its renewable division. The company plans to spend roughly 5 percent of its CapEx in its Shell Keith Adams New Energies business. This move is expected to shake up the UK Managing Director power market, as customers leave traditional utility providers in [email protected] search of smaller, less expensive suppliers. +1 (404) 631-3455 March 27th, 20196 – Secretary of Energy Rick Perry announced in late March that the US Department of Energy will be committing $130 million of funding for new research into advancing early-stage Eric Andreozzi solar technologies. The funding will be aimed at five key topics of Managing Director research including concentrated solar power (CSP), innovations in [email protected] manufacturing, and solar systems integration. The announcement +1 (704) 333-0518 also included an additional $33 million committed to CSP research and development in an effort to bring the price per kWh of CSP generated electricity down to $0.05. Another $17 million will be allocated to develop solar markets and address permitting issues. www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 1 Quarterly update | Q1 2019 | Energy Macroeconomic outlook US gross domestic product US Treasury yield curve 1 ($ in trillions) (nominal vs. real)2 $20.0 5.0% 3.5% YoY 3.0% 4.0% $15.0 p ercent 2.5% 3.0% ate 2.0% r $10.0 c 1.5% rillions 2.0% hange t 1.0% in $5.0 $ 1.0% Interest 0.5% $0.0 0.0% 0.0% Real yield (%) Nominal yield (%) GDP ($ in trillions) YoY % growth (Adj. for inflation) US unemployment rate ISM non-manufacturing index (% unemployed)3 and consumer confidence index4 10.0% 600 Jobless 64.0 145.0 9.0% 550 62.0 135.0 Consumer c 60.0 125.0 500 laims ( 8.0% 450 58.0 115.0 7.0% anufacturing c t onfidence housands) 400 m 56.0 105.0 6.0% nemployed u 350 54.0 95.0 % 5.0% 300 52.0 85.0 ISM Non- 4.0% 250 50.0 75.0 3.0% 200 48.0 65.0 ISM Non-manufacturing Consumer confidence Initial jobless claims Unemployment rate (%) *An ISM non-manufacturing index value above 50 signals economic expansion. Energy sector outlook Brent, WTI, and natural gas prices US energy production by source6 (2014 – 2010 YTD)5 $140 $6 100.0 $120 $5 9.5 11.1 80.0 10.1 8.8 8.3 8.4 $100 8.4 8.4 $4 60.0 19.6 19.5 $80 18.6 22.9 $3 arrel (Brent, WTI) (Brent, arrel $60 b 40.0 32.6 er $2 Quadrillion Btu 32.2 32.9 p $40 27.4 20.0 $20 $1 Dollars 17.9 15.8 Dollars per MMBtu (Natural (Natural Gas) MMBtu per Dollars 15.0 15.3 $0 $0 0.0 Brent WTI Natural gas Coal Natural gas Crude oil Nuclear Renewable www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 2 Quarterly update | Q1 2019 | Energy Energy sector breakdown & trading statistics1 Last twelve months NTM Median Median Median Number of % of 52 Median LTM EV/ EV/ EV/ Sector revenue EBITDA enterprise companies week high EBITDA Revenue EBITDA EBITDA CAGR (3 Yr) Margin value ($ in millions) Oil and gas, general (14) 14 83.1 % 7.3 % $3,710.5 18.9 % $46,769.5 2.1x 9.3x 7.6x Power & utilities (19) 19 88.9 3.1 3,599.0 33.1 32,201.9 3.6 10.9 10.6 Renewable energy (13) 13 79.8 6.5 237.6 14.7 2,698.3 3.7 10.9 13.7 Nuclear (3) 3 93.9 5.2 456.2 19.9 6,632.9 2.8 13.8 13.4 Energy index 49 87.1 % 5.0 % $2,169.0 28.5 % $22,331.5 2.7 x 10.5 x 10.0 x Public comparables three-year stock market performance2 S&P 500 index 26.09% NASDAQ composite index 56.28% Energy index* 5.58% 70.0% 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% (10.0%) (20.0%) S&P 500 index NASDAQ Composite index NYSE Energy index *Energy index companies listed on page 5 in the appendix. www.investmentbanking.deloitte.com | Page 3 Quarterly update | Q1 2019 | Energy Recent Energy M&A transactions1 Enterprise EV/ Close date* Target/acquiror Target business description Value (EV) EBITDA Pending Anadarko Petroleum Corporation Engages in the exploration, development, production, and $51,391.5 6.9 x marketing of oil and gas properties. Chevron Corporation Universal Coal Plc, a coal mining company, engages in acquisition, Pending Universal Coal Plc exploration, development, and commercialization of coal projects in 192.0 3.0 the Republic of South Africa. Afrimat Limited 3/18/2019 Epic Gas Ltd. Epic Gas Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, owns and operates a 371.3 8.5 fleet of pressurized gas carriers in Singapore. BW Group Limited Pending QEP Resources, Inc. Operates as a crude oil and natural gas exploration and production 4,629.8 3.6 company. Elliott Management Corporation Newfield Exploration Company, an independent energy company, 2/13/2019 Newfield Exploration Company engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude 7,795.3 6.7 oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. Encana Oil & Gas (USA) Inc. Penn Virginia Corporation, an independent oil and gas company, Pending Penn Virginia Corporation engages in the onshore exploration, development, and production 1,698.6 12.5 of crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas. Denbury Resources Inc. 2/18/2019 KenolKobil Plc As of February 18, 2019, operates as a subsidiary of Rubis Energie 422.8 11.2 SAS. Rubis Energie SAS Provides midstream infrastructure that links the producers of Pending MEG Energy Corp. natural gas, crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs)s to various 4,916.3 11.4 intermediate and end-use markets .and Mexico. Husky Energy Inc. Provides midstream infrastructure that links the producers of natural gas, crude oil, natural gas liquids (NGLs), condensate, and specialty chemicals to various intermediate and end-use markets and Mexico. Its Gas Gathering and Processing Services segment offers services to producers of natural gas and crude oil, including Pending American Midstream Partners, LP 1,576.2 13.4 transporting raw natural gas and crude oil from various receipt points through gathering systems, treating the raw natural gas, processing raw natural gas to separate the NGLs from the natural gas, fractionating NGLs, and selling or delivering pipeline-quality natural gas and NGLs.
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