Volcker Alliance, Reshaping the Financial Regulatory System
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The Value of Connections in Turbulent Times: Evidence from the United States
The Value of Connections In Turbulent Times: Evidence from the United States Daron Acemoglu Simon Johnson Amir Kermani MIT and NBER MIT and NBER MIT James Kwak Todd Mitton University of Connecticut BYU First Version: May 2009 This Version: May 2013 Abstract The announcement of Tim Geithner as President-elect Obama’snominee for Treasury Sec- retary in November 2008 produced a cumulative abnormal return for …nancial …rms with which he had a personal connection. This return was around 15 percent from day 0 through day 10, relative to other comparable …nancial …rms. This result holds across a range of robustness checks and regardless of whether we measure connections in terms of …rms with headquar- ters in New York City, meetings he had in 2007-08, or non-pro…t board memberships he shared with …nancial services executives. There were subsequently abnormal negative returns for connected …rms when news broke that Geithner’s con…rmation might be derailed by tax issues. Roughly in line with market expectations, the Obama administration hired people from Geithner-connected …rms into top level …nancial policy positions. Geithner’s policies proved supportive of large …nancial …rms’executives, shareholders, and creditors –including for Citigroup, with which he had the strongest prior connections. But the market-perceived quantitative value of connections is broader than just for the “too big to fail” category. We argue that this value of connections re‡ects the perceived impact of relying on the advice of a small network of …nancial sector executives during a time of acute crisis and heightened policy discretion. Keywords: cultural capture, political connections, economic crises, institutions JEL Classi…cation: G01, G14, G21, G28 For helpful comments we thank seminar participants at MIT, Harvard Business School, the International Monetary Fund, the University of Alberta, BYU, and the 2012 Econometric Society meetings. -
A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities Nonbank Financials, Fintech, and Innovation
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities A Financial System That T OF EN TH M E A Financial System T T R R A E P A E S That Creates Economic Opportunities D U R E Y H T Nonbank Financials, Fintech, 1789 and Innovation Nonbank Financials, Fintech, and Innovation Nonbank Financials, Fintech, TREASURY JULY 2018 2018-04417 (Rev. 1) • Department of the Treasury • Departmental Offices • www.treasury.gov U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities Nonbank Financials, Fintech, and Innovation Report to President Donald J. Trump Executive Order 13772 on Core Principles for Regulating the United States Financial System Steven T. Mnuchin Secretary Craig S. Phillips Counselor to the Secretary T OF EN TH M E T T R R A E P A E S D U R E Y H T 1789 Staff Acknowledgments Secretary Mnuchin and Counselor Phillips would like to thank Treasury staff members for their contributions to this report. The staff’s work on the report was led by Jessica Renier and W. Moses Kim, and included contributions from Chloe Cabot, Dan Dorman, Alexan- dra Friedman, Eric Froman, Dan Greenland, Gerry Hughes, Alexander Jackson, Danielle Johnson-Kutch, Ben Lachmann, Natalia Li, Daniel McCarty, John McGrail, Amyn Moolji, Brian Morgenstern, Daren Small-Moyers, Mark Nelson, Peter Nickoloff, Bimal Patel, Brian Peretti, Scott Rembrandt, Ed Roback, Ranya Rotolo, Jared Sawyer, Steven Seitz, Brian Smith, Mark Uyeda, Anne Wallwork, and Christopher Weaver. ii A Financial System That Creates Economic -
ML Strategies Update Financial Services Legislative and Regulatory Update
ML Strategies Update Jason Rosenstock [email protected] ML Strategies, LLC 701 Pennsylvania Avenue, N.W. Abby Matousek Washington, DC 20004 USA [email protected] 202 296 3622 202 434 7400 fax Follow us on Twitter: @MLSFinRegUpdate www.mlstrategies.com JANUARY 14‚ 2013 Financial Services Legislative and Regulatory Update Leading the Past Week As was widely anticipated, President Obama announced that he was nominating Jack Lew to succeed Treasury Secretary Geithner. With Lew having already gone through the confirmation process twice before, it is expected that he will sail through. However, it does seem that he has some detractors, and that there could be opposition based more on policy than personality. And of course, there is “serious” concern about how his unique signature would appear on the nation’s currency. The Congressional recess last week didn’t prevent the CFPB from rolling out its much anticipated qualified mortgage, or “QM” standard, which was included as part of a larger “ability to repay rule”. This new rule, along with the continued announcements of additional settlements between lenders and their regulators, the latest one dealing with questionable foreclosure practices, is seen by some as necessary to turn the page on the core causes of the financial crisis. Similarly, in international news, the Basel Committee finalized recommendations for liquidity standards and risk reporting, with the former offering concessions to the industry. Legislative Branch Senate Senate Confirms Berner to Head Office of Financial Research On January 1st, following the release of a hold by Senator Charles Grassley (R-IA), the Senate confirmed Richard Berner to head the Treasury Department’s Office of Financial Research (OFR). -
World Bank: Roadmap for a Sustainable Financial System
A UN ENVIRONMENT – WORLD BANK GROUP INITIATIVE Public Disclosure Authorized ROADMAP FOR A SUSTAINABLE FINANCIAL SYSTEM Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized Public Disclosure Authorized NOVEMBER 2017 UN Environment The United Nations Environment Programme is the leading global environmental authority that sets the global environmental agenda, promotes the coherent implementation of the environmental dimension of sustainable development within the United Nations system and serves as an authoritative advocate for the global environment. In January 2014, UN Environment launched the Inquiry into the Design of a Sustainable Financial System to advance policy options to deliver a step change in the financial system’s effectiveness in mobilizing capital towards a green and inclusive economy – in other words, sustainable development. This report is the third annual global report by the UN Environment Inquiry. The first two editions of ‘The Financial System We Need’ are available at: www.unep.org/inquiry and www.unepinquiry.org. For more information, please contact Mahenau Agha, Director of Outreach ([email protected]), Nick Robins, Co-director ([email protected]) and Simon Zadek, Co-director ([email protected]). The World Bank Group The World Bank Group is one of the world’s largest sources of funding and knowledge for developing countries. Its five institutions share a commitment to reducing poverty, increasing shared prosperity, and promoting sustainable development. Established in 1944, the World Bank Group is headquartered in Washington, D.C. More information is available from Samuel Munzele Maimbo, Practice Manager, Finance & Markets Global Practice ([email protected]) and Peer Stein, Global Head of Climate Finance, Financial Institutions Group ([email protected]). -
Capital Markets
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities Capital Markets OCTOBER 2017 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities Capital Markets Report to President Donald J. Trump Executive Order 13772 on Core Principles for Regulating the United States Financial System Steven T. Mnuchin Secretary Craig S. Phillips Counselor to the Secretary Staff Acknowledgments Secretary Mnuchin and Counselor Phillips would like to thank Treasury staff members for their contributions to this report. The staff’s work on the report was led by Brian Smith and Amyn Moolji, and included contributions from Chloe Cabot, John Dolan, Rebekah Goshorn, Alexander Jackson, W. Moses Kim, John McGrail, Mark Nelson, Peter Nickoloff, Bill Pelton, Fred Pietrangeli, Frank Ragusa, Jessica Renier, Lori Santamorena, Christopher Siderys, James Sonne, Nicholas Steele, Mark Uyeda, and Darren Vieira. iii A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities • Capital Markets Table of Contents Executive Summary 1 Introduction 3 Scope of This Report 3 Review of the Process for This Report 4 The U.S. Capital Markets 4 Summary of Issues and Recommendations 6 Capital Markets Overview 11 Introduction 13 Key Asset Classes 13 Key Regulators 18 Access to Capital 19 Overview and Regulatory Landscape 21 Issues and Recommendations 25 Equity Market Structure 47 Overview and Regulatory Landscape 49 Issues and Recommendations 59 The Treasury Market 69 Overview and Regulatory Landscape 71 Issues and Recommendations 79 -
Congress Underestimated: the Case of the World Bank
University of Michigan Law School University of Michigan Law School Scholarship Repository Articles Faculty Scholarship 2013 Congress Underestimated: The aC se of the World Bank Kristina Daugirdas University of Michigan Law School, [email protected] Available at: https://repository.law.umich.edu/articles/625 Follow this and additional works at: https://repository.law.umich.edu/articles Part of the Constitutional Law Commons, Legislation Commons, Organizations Law Commons, and the President/Executive Department Commons Recommended Citation Daugirdas, Kristina. "Congress Underestimated: The asC e of the World Bank." Am. J. Int'l L. 107, no. 3 (2013): 517-62. This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Faculty Scholarship at University of Michigan Law School Scholarship Repository. It has been accepted for inclusion in Articles by an authorized administrator of University of Michigan Law School Scholarship Repository. For more information, please contact [email protected]. This article is reproduced with permission from the July 2013 issue of the American Journal of International Law © 2013 American Society of International Law. All rights reserved. CONGRESS UNDERESTIMATED: THE CASE OF THE WORLD BANK By Kristina Daugirdas* International organizations undermine democracy, or so their critics charge: not only do international organizations themselves operate undemocratically,1 but they undercut demo- cratic governance within their member states. In particular, when states participate in inter- national organizations, they lose control over policy outcomes because each state must share decision-making authority with other member states.2 And within member states, national legislatures—the bodies specifically designed to be responsive to popular control—are margin- alized.3 Legislatures lack direct influence over international organizations and also have little influence over the executive branch’s interactions with such organizations.4 * Assistant Professor of Law, University of Michigan Law School. -
Ukraine NATO and the Geithner Doctrine
Ukraine, NATO Enlargement, and the Geithner Doctrine Clifford G. Gaddy and Barry W. Ickes* “[T]he central paradox of financial crises is that what feels just and fair is the opposite of what’s required for a just and fair outcome.” — Former U.S. Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner, The New York Times, November 5, 2011 Sober analysis of the current stand-off over Ukraine tells us we are in a deep mess, worse than people tend to recognize. The events playing out now are bigger than Ukraine (even though, as we explain elsewhere, Ukraine is important to Russia). Both Russia and the West are deeply committed to broader objectives that seem fundamentally irreconcilable. There are no easy solutions to the crisis. Finding a way out is going to be long, costly, and messy, and the best final outcome is likely to feel unsatisfactory. In this regard, the remarks by Timothy Geithner quoted above are relevant. They are even more appropriate because Russia, through its current actions in Ukraine, has exposed the post-Cold War order in Europe as the geopolitical equivalent of a financial bubble. We have enjoyed two decades of benefits from this order. But we did so under the illusion that it was nearly costless. Now we are finding out that there is a bill to pay. To understand this metaphor, we need to examine how the crisis developed. The Missing Quadrant We can explain by using a simple framework that we first developed in 2008 after the Georgia crisis. Imagine a matrix with two columns, one labelled “Strong Russia” and the other “Weak Russia,” and two rows, one for “Good Russia” and the other for “Bad Russia.” Into the quadrants of this matrix we place the various “future Russias” as they were envisioned by most Western policymakers in the early 1990s after the collapse of the Soviet Union. -
The Changing Landscape of China's Financial System: Is It Ready For
THE CHANGING LANDSCAPE OF CHINA’S FINANCIAL SYSTEM Yu Zheng Queen Mary University of London and CEPR CHINA’S INTEGRATION INTO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY • 11.4% of global goods trade in 2017 • 2nd largest source of outbound FDI and recipient of inbound FDI from 2015-7 • Impactful in the global technology chain. Second highest in R&D spending in 2018 CHINA’S INTEGRATION INTO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY • 11.4% of global goods trade in 2017 WITH INTEGRATION • 2nd largest source of outbound FDI and recipient of inbound COMES THE FDI from 2015-7 EXPOSURE TO RISK • Impactful in the global technology chain. Second highest in R&D spending in 2018 CHINA’S INTEGRATION INTO THE GLOBAL ECONOMY • Despite the trade frictions, China continues to pursue integration, in particular the integration into the global financial market • Financial system remains largely closed. Foreign ownership accounts for 2% (2%, 6%) in the Chinese banking (bond, stock) sector. • This talk: a close look at the recent initiative of financial sector opening. Risk? Opportunity? A BIT OF BACKGROUND • 40 years of foreign access starts from “the formation of joint venture with certain foreign capital” (People’s Daily, 6/28/1979) • April 10, 1980: Beijing Air Catering Ltd was born, nicknamed “China’s 001 James Wu” by Takungpao (⼤公报) • The story of a “hand-shake” told by the daughter of James Wu, Annie Wu, SBS, JP A BIT OF BACKGROUND • 40 years of foreign access starts from “the formation of joint venture with certain foreign capital” (People’s Daily, 6/28/1979) • April 10, 1980: Beijing Air Catering Ltd was born, nicknamed “China’s 001 James Wu” by Takungpao • In 1995, the first edition of Catalogue of Industries for Guiding Foreign Investment was released: encouraged, restricted, prohibited, and permitted • In 2017, the Catalogue was replaced by a “negative list” approach A BIT OF BACKGROUND • The idea of the “negative list” approach: to emphasise deviations from national treatment. -
Resolution of Failed Financial Institutions: Orderly Liquidation Authority and a New Chapter 14
RESOLUTION OF FAILED FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS: ORDERLY LIQUIDATION AUTHORITY AND A NEW CHAPTER 14 Studies by the Resolution Project at Stanford University's Hoover Institution Working Group on Economic Policy By Thomas H. Jackson Kenneth E. Scott Kimberly Anne Summe John B. Taylor Resolution Project Members Andrew Crockett, Darrell Duffie, Richard J. Herring, Thomas H. Jackson, William F. Kroener, Kenneth E. Scott, David Skeel, George P. Shultz, Kimberly Anne Summe, John B. Taylor April 25, 2011 CONTENTS Preface JOHN B. TAYLOR 1. A Guide to the Resolution of Failed Financial Institutions: Dodd-Frank Title II and Proposed Chapter 14 KENNETH E. SCOTT 2. Bankruptcy Code Chapter 14: A Proposal THOMAS H. JACKSON 3. An Examination of Lehman Brothers' Derivatives Portfolio Post-Bankruptcy and Whether Dodd-Frank Would Have Made Any Difference KIMBERLY ANNE SUMME 4. Dodd-Frank: Resolution or Expropriation? KENNETH E. SCOTT page I. PREFACE By John B. Taylor Let's write Chapter 14 into the law so that we have a credible alternative to bailouts in practice. We can then be ready to use a rules-based bankruptcy process to allow financial firms to fail without causing financial disruption --George P. Shultz foot note 1 "A Conversation About Key Conclusions," in Ending Government Bailouts As We Know Them, Kenneth E. Scott, George P. Shultz, John B. Taylor (Eds.), Hoover Press, 2009, p. 287. end of foot note. The purpose of this short collection of papers is to demonstrate why the "orderly liquidation authority" in Title II of the Dodd-Frank bill "Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act of 2010" should be supplemented with a new and more predictable bankruptcy process designed specifically for large financial institutions. -
A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities Asset Management and Insurance
U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities A Financial System That T OF EN TH M E T T R R A E A Financial System P A E S D U R E That Creates Economic Opportunities Y H T Asset Management and Insurance 1789 Asset Management and Insurance TREASURY OCTOBER 2017 2018-03031 (Rev. 1) • Department of the Treasury • Departmental Offices • www.treasury.gov 2018-03031 EO ASSET MGT COVER vSILVER.indd 1 11/2/17 12:27 PM T OF T OF EN TH EN TH M E M E T T T T R R R R A E A E P P A A E E S S D D U U R R E E Y Y H H T T 1789 1789 U.S. DEPARTMENT OF THE TREASURY A Financial System That Creates Economic Opportunities Asset Management and Insurance Report to President Donald J. Trump Executive Order 13772 on Core Principles for Regulating the United States Financial System Steven T. Mnuchin Secretary Craig S. Phillips Counselor to the Secretary T OF EN TH M E T T R R A E P A E S D U R E Y H T 1789 Staff Acknowledgments Secretary Mnuchin and Counselor Phillips would like to thank Treasury staff members for their contributions to this report. The staff’s work on the report was led by Jared Sawyer and Dan Dorman, and included contributions from Joseph Dickson, Rebekah Goshorn, Sharon Haeger, Alex Hart, Gerry Hughes, W. Moses Kim, Daniel McCarty, Bimal Patel, Bill Pelton, Frank Ragusa, Jessica Renier, Bruce Saul, Steven Seitz, Brian Smith, James Sonne, Mark Uyeda, and Darren Vieira. -
The Origins and Development of Financial Markets and Institutions: from the Seventeenth Century to the Present
This page intentionally left blank The Origins and Development of Financial Markets and Institutions Collectively, mankind has never had it so good despite periodic economic crises of which the current sub-prime crisis is merely the latest example. Much of this success is attributable to the increasing efficiency of the world’s financial institutions as finance has proved to be one of the most important causal factors in economic performance. In a series of original essays, leading financial and economic historians examine how financial innovations from the seventeenth century to the present have continually challenged established institutional arr- angements forcing change and adaptation by governments, financial intermediaries, and financial markets. Where these have been success- ful, wealth creation and growth have followed. When they failed, growth slowed and sometimes economic decline has followed. These essays illustrate the difficulties of coordinating financial innovations in order to sustain their benefits for the wider economy, a theme that will be of interest to policy makers as well as economic historians. JEREMY ATACK is Professor of Economics and Professor of History at Vanderbilt University. He is also a research associate with the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) and has served as co-editor of the Journal of Economic History. He is co-author of A New Economic View of American History (1994). LARRY NEAL is Emeritus Professor of Economics at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, where he was founding director of the European Union Center. He is a visiting professor at the London School of Economics and a research associate with the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER). -
A Minsky Meltdown: Lessons for Central Bankers1
Presentation to the 18th Annual Hyman P. Minsky Conference on the State of the U.S. and World Economies—“Meeting the Challenges of the Financial Crisis” Organized by the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College New York City By Janet L. Yellen, President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco For delivery on April 16, 2009, 8:00 PM Eastern Time, 5:00 PM Pacific A Minsky Meltdown: Lessons for Central Bankers1 It’s a great pleasure to speak to this distinguished group at a conference named for Hyman P. Minsky. My last talk here took place 13 years ago when I served on the Fed’s Board of Governors. My topic then was “The ‘New’ Science of Credit Risk Management at Financial Institutions.” It described innovations that I expected to improve the measurement and management of risk. My talk today is titled “A Minsky Meltdown: Lessons for Central Bankers.” I won’t dwell on the irony of that. Suffice it to say that, with the financial world in turmoil, Minsky’s work has become required reading. It is getting the recognition it richly deserves. The dramatic events of the past year and a half are a classic case of the kind of systemic breakdown that he—and relatively few others—envisioned. Central to Minsky’s view of how financial meltdowns occur, of course, are “asset price bubbles.” This evening I will revisit the ongoing debate over whether central banks should act to counter such bubbles and discuss “lessons learned.” This issue seems especially compelling now that it’s evident that episodes of exuberance, like the ones that led to our bond and house price bubbles, can be time bombs that cause catastrophic damage to the economy when they explode.