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Informe 2013 Bacrim
Las BACRIM despue s de 2013: ¿prono stico reservado? BERNARDO PÉREZ SALAZAR CARLOS MONTOYA CELY A mediados de 2012, el ministro de defensa, Juan Carlos Pinzón, dio un parte de tranquilidad frente a las bandas criminales –bacrim–, señalando que en 934 municipios del país “no hay presencia de bandas criminales”.1 No aclaró el alcance de la expresión “no hay presencia” ni la definición de “banda criminal”. Tampoco refirió cómo llegó a la mentada cifra de municipios. En todo caso la declaración contrastó visiblemente con el parte que a principios del 2011 habían entregado las autoridades de la Policía Nacional, con el general Oscar Naranjo a la cabeza, al indicar que las vendettas y los ajustes de cuentas entre narcos representarían el 47% de los 15.400 homicidios registrados en 2010. Dadas las violentas disputas territoriales que se registraban en aquel entonces por el control del “microtráfico” en sectores urbanos de Medellín entre alias “Sebastián” y “Valenciano”, así como por rutas de narcotráfico en Córdoba entre “Paisas” (aliados a los Rastrojos) y “Aguilas Negras“ (aliados de los Urabeños), no es de extrañar que una nota informativa cubriendo la noticia se hubiese titulado: “Las bacrim cometen la mitad de los asesinatos en Colombia”.2 Declaraciones sobre el tema del entonces ministro del Interior, Germán Vargas Lleras, entregadas también en enero de 2011, no fueron menos inquietantes, y se resumieron en el titular “Las bacrim ya actúan en 24 departamentos colombianos”, lo que propició que algunos analistas refirieran la presencia de -
Vol. Xcvi1 No. 3 September 2012
VOL. XCVI1 NO. 3 SEPTEMBER 2012 THE DIOCESAN COLLEGE, RONDEBOSCH College Address: Campground Road, Rondebosch, 7700, Tel 021 659 1000, Fax 021 659 1013 Prep Address: Fir Road, Rondebosch, 7700; Tel 021 659 7220 Pre-Prep Address: Sandown Road, Rondebosch, 7700; Tel 021 659 1037/47 Editor: Mr CW Tucker [email protected] OD Union E-mail: [email protected] Museum and Archives: Mr B Bey [email protected] website: www.bishops.org.za FOUNDED IN 1849 BY THE BISHOP OF CAPE TOWN, AS A CHRISTIAN FOUNDATION INCORPORATED BY ACT OF PARLIAMENT, 1891 Visitor HIS GRACE THE ARCHBISHOP OF CAPE TOWN THABO CECIL MAKGOBA Members of the College Council Chairman Mr MJ Bosman Bishop GQ Counsell, Dr R Nassen, Mrs M Isaacs, Prof HI Bhorat, AVR Taylor, P Anderson, M Bourne, J Gardener, S Utete Principal: Mr G nupen, B. Com, HED Deputy Principal: Mr Ma King, MA, MA, BA (Hons), NHED, B Ed (St Andrews Rhodes Scholar) COLLEGE STAFF Headmaster: Mr v Wood, B Ed, BA, HDE Deputy Headmasters Mr aD Mallett, BA, HDE Mr MS Bizony, B.Sc (Hons) Mr D abrey, B.Sc, PGCE Mr pG Westwood, B.Sc (Hons) Mr R Drury, BA, HDE Mr a Jacobs, PTD, HDE Mr W Wallace, BA (Hons), HDE Assistant Deputy Headmasters Mr S Henchie, MA (Economics) Mr M Mitchell, MBA, M Mus, HDE, LTCL, FTCL, UPLM, UTLM Ms B Kemball, BA, HDE, FDE (I SEN) Mr p Mayers, B Music Education Mr K Kruger; B Sc (Erg), HDE Mr D Russell, B Com, HDE Academic Staff Mr R Jacobs, B.Sc(Ed) Mr RpO Hyslop, BA (FA), HDE Mr J nolte, B.Soc.Sci (Hons); B Psych, PGCE Mr pL Court, BA (Hons), BA, HDE Mr R Smith, BA (Hons) SportsSci (Biokmetics), -
Civilian Victimization and Ethnic Civil War∗
Civilian Victimization and Ethnic Civil War∗ Lars-Erik Cedermany Simon Hugz Livia I. Schubiger§ Francisco Villamil{ March 30, 2018 Abstract While many studies provide insights into the causes of wartime civilian victim- ization, we know little about how the targeting of particular segments of the civilian population affects the onset and escalation of armed conflict. Previous research on conflict onset has been largely limited to structural variables, both theoretically and empirically. Moving beyond these static approaches, this paper assesses how state-led civilian victimization targeting members of specific ethnic groups affects the likelihood of ethnic conflict onset, and the evolution of conflicts once they break out. Relying on a new dataset with global coverage that captures the ethnic identity of civilian victims of targeted violence, we find evidence that the state-led civilian victimization of particular ethnic groups increases the likelihood that the latter be- come involved in ethnic civil war. We also find tentative, yet more nuanced, evidence that ethnic targeting by state forces affects the escalation of ongoing conflicts. ∗Paper prepared for the Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association, April 5-8, 2018, San Francisco. Previous versions of this paper were presented at the American Political Science Association (APSA), San Francisco, August 31–September 3, 2017, the Annual Conference of the European Political Science Association (EPSA), Milan, June 22–24, 2017 and the Annual Meeting of the Conflict Research Society, September 18-19, 2017, Oxford University. We thank Inken von Borzyskowski and the other participants for their helpful comments. Financial support by the Swiss Network for International Studies is greatly appreciated. -
PRISM Vol 5, No.1
PRISM VOL. 5, NO. 1 2014 A JOURNAL OF THE CENTER FOR COMPLEX OPERATIONS PRISM About VOL. 5, NO. 1 2014 PRISM is published by the Center for Complex Operations. PRISM is a security studies journal chartered to inform members of U.S. Federal agencies, allies, and other partners on complex EDITOR and integrated national security operations; reconstruction and state-building; relevant policy Michael Miklaucic and strategy; lessons learned; and developments in training and education to transform America’s security and development EDITORIAL ASSISTANTS Ross Clark Ben Graves Caliegh Hernandez Communications Daniel Moore Constructive comments and contributions are important to us. Direct communications to: COPY EDITORS Dale Erickson Editor, PRISM Rebecca Harper 260 Fifth Avenue (Building 64, Room 3605) Christoff Luehrs Fort Lesley J. McNair Sara Thannhauser Washington, DC 20319 Nathan White Telephone: (202) 685-3442 DESIGN DIRecTOR FAX: Carib Mendez (202) 685-3581 Email: [email protected] ADVISORY BOARD Dr. Gordon Adams Dr. Pauline H. Baker Ambassador Rick Barton Contributions Professor Alain Bauer PRISM welcomes submission of scholarly, independent research from security policymakers Dr. Joseph J. Collins (ex officio) and shapers, security analysts, academic specialists, and civilians from the United States and Ambassador James F. Dobbins abroad. Submit articles for consideration to the address above or by email to [email protected] Ambassador John E. Herbst (ex officio) with “Attention Submissions Editor” in the subject line. Dr. David Kilcullen Ambassador Jacques Paul Klein Dr. Roger B. Myerson This is the authoritative, official U.S. Department of Defense edition of PRISM. Dr. Moisés Naím Any copyrighted portions of this journal may not be reproduced or extracted MG William L. -
Nuevos Escenarios De Conflicto Armado Y Violencia
NORORIENTE Y MAGDALENA MEDIO, LLANOS ORIENTALES, SUROCCIDENTE Y BOGOTÁ DC NUEVOS ESCENARIOS DE CONFLICTO ARMADO Y VIOLENCIA Panorama posacuerdos con AUC Nororiente y Magdalena Medio, Llanos Orientales, Félix Tomás Bata Jiménez Suroccidente y Bogotá DC Blanca Berta Rodríguez Peña NUEVOS ESCENARIOS DE CONFLICTO ARMADO Y VIOLENCIA Representantes de organizaciones de víctimas Panorama posacuerdos con AUC CENTRO NACIONAL DE MEMORIA HISTÓRICA Director General Centro Nacional de Memoria Histórica Gonzalo Sánchez Gómez Gonzalo Sánchez Gómez Director General Coordinador de la investigación y edición Asesores de Dirección Álvaro Villarraga Sarmiento María Emma Wills Obregón, Patricia Linares Prieto, Paula Andrea Ila, Andrés Fernando Suárez, Luz Amanda Granados Urrea, Doris Yolanda Asistente de Coordinación Ramos Vega, César Augusto Rincón Vicentes Sandra Marcela Flórez Directores Técnicos Investigadores e Investigadoras Alberto Santos Peñuela, Lukas Rodríguez Lizcano, Luisa Fernanda Álvaro Villarraga Sarmiento Hernández Mercado y Juanita Esguerra Rezk Dirección Acuerdos de la Verdad Comité de Lectores /Lectoras del CNMH Martha Angélica Barrantes Reyes Nororiente: Vladimir Caraballo, investigador CNMH-DAV Dirección para la Construcción de la Memoria Histórica Llanos Orientales: Bernardo Pérez, investigador, Fundación Paz y Reconciliación Ana Margoth Guerrero de Otero Suroccidente: Adolfo Atehortúa. Doctor en Sociología EHESS París, Dirección de Archivos de Derechos Humanos Francia. Profesor UPN Bogotá DC: Oscar David Andrade Becerra. Asesor Cualitativo -
Volume XV, Issue 1 February 2021 PERSPECTIVES on TERRORISM Volume 15, Issue 1
ISSN 2334-3745 Volume XV, Issue 1 February 2021 PERSPECTIVES ON TERRORISM Volume 15, Issue 1 Table of Content Welcome from the Editors...............................................................................................................................1 Articles Bringing Religiosity Back In: Critical Reflection on the Explanation of Western Homegrown Religious Terrorism (Part I)............................................................................................................................................2 by Lorne L. Dawson Dying to Live: The “Love to Death” Narrative Driving the Taliban’s Suicide Bombings............................17 by Atal Ahmadzai The Use of Bay’ah by the Main Salafi-Jihadist Groups..................................................................................39 by Carlos Igualada and Javier Yagüe Counter-Terrorism in the Philippines: Review of Key Issues.......................................................................49 by Ronald U. Mendoza, Rommel Jude G. Ong and Dion Lorenz L. Romano Variations on a Theme? Comparing 4chan, 8kun, and other chans’ Far-right “/pol” Boards....................65 by Stephane J. Baele, Lewys Brace, and Travis G. Coan Research Notes Climate Change—Terrorism Nexus? A Preliminary Review/Analysis of the Literature...................................81 by Jeremiah O. Asaka Inventory of 200+ Institutions and Centres in the Field of Terrorism and Counter-Terrorism Research.....93 by Reinier Bergema and Olivia Kearney Resources Counterterrorism Bookshelf: Eight Books -
INFORME SOBRE PRESENCIA DE GRUPOS ARMADOS EN COLOMBIA Actualizacion 2018-2 Y 2019
INFORME SOBRE PRESENCIA DE GRUPOS ARMADOS EN COLOMBIA Actualizacion 2018-2 y 2019 1 INFORME SOBRE PRESENCIA DE GRUPOS ARMADOS EN COLOMBIA Camilo González Posso presidente de indepaz y coordinador DE la investigacION Juana Valentina Cabezas Palacios Leonardo González Perafán InvestigacIOn Carlos Eduardo Espitia Cueca Mapas Agosto 2020 * El contenido de este informe es responsabilidad de sus autores. SIGLAS Y ABREVIATURAS AGC: Autodefensas Gaitanistas de Colombia ASCAMCAT: Asociación Campesina del Catatumbo ASCN: Autodefensas Conquistadoras De La Sierra Nevada AUC: Autodefensas Unidas de Colombia BACRIM: Bandas Criminales BVPA: Frente Virgilio Peralta Arenas CINEP: Centro de Investigación y Educación Popular COCCAM: Coordinadora Nacional de Cultivadores de Coca, Amapola y Marihuana DEA: Administración para el Control de Drogas DIH: Derecho Internacional Humanitario ELN: Ejército de Liberación Nacional EPL: Ejército Popular de Liberación ERPAC: Ejército Popular Antisubversivo de Colombia ETCR: Espacio Territorial de Capacitación y Reincorporación FARC-EP: Fuerzas Armadas Revolucionarias de Colombia- Ejército del Pueblo FIP: Fundacion Ideas para la Paz FOS: Frente Oliver Sinisterra FUP: Fuerzas Unidas del Pacífico GAD: Grupos Armados Delincuenciales GAO: Grupos armados Organizados GAOr: Grupos Armados Organizados Residuales GSNM: Grupos de Seguridad del Narcotráfico y Mafias GUP: Guerrillas Unidas del Pacífico INPEC: Instituto Nacional Penitenciario y Carcelario LDNP: Libertadores del Nordeste Presente MRC: Movimiento Revolucionario Campesino ONU: Organización de Naciones Unidas OVA: Oficina del Valle de Aburrá PCC: Primer Comando Capital PNIS: Programa Nacional Integral de Sustitución de Cultivos RNI: Rearmados para Negocios Ilegales SAT: Sistemas de Alertas Tempranas UNP: Unidad Nacional de Protección TABLA DE CONTENIDO pg. 7 Presentación pg. 7 Metodología 1. pg. 9 Contextualización del Riesgo pg. -
Actores Armados Ilegales Y Sector Petrolero Del Meta
ACTORES ARMADOS ILEGALES Y SECTOR PETROLERO DEL META INFORME MONOGRÁFICO 2013 Frédéric Massé Director del Área de DDR Johanna Camargo Castro Asistente de investigación CONTENIDO I. INTRODUCCIÓN ...................................................................................................................................... 3 I. CONTEXTO MILITAR Y ECONÓMICO DEL META ......................................................................... 4 1. Los actores armados ilegales luego del sometimiento del Erpac ................................................... 4 a. Estructuras post-desmovilización luego del sometimiento del Erpac .................................................................... 4 b. FARC .............................................................................................................................................................. 6 2. Proyectos de producción y exploración de hidrocarburos en el Meta ........................................... 7 a. Proyectos en fase de producción ....................................................................................................................... 7 b. Proyectos en fase de exploración ...................................................................................................................... 8 II. EL MODUS OPERANDI DE LOS ACTORES ARMADOS ILEGALES FRENTE AL SECTOR PETROLERO DEL META ................................................................................................................................. 8 1. Extorsión y protección frente -
Spatial Horizontal Inequality and the Maoist Insurgency in Nepal
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Murshed, S. Mansoob; Gates, Scott Working Paper Spatial horizontal inequality and the Maoist insurgency in Nepal WIDER Research Paper, No. 2004/43 Provided in Cooperation with: United Nations University (UNU), World Institute for Development Economics Research (WIDER) Suggested Citation: Murshed, S. Mansoob; Gates, Scott (2004) : Spatial horizontal inequality and the Maoist insurgency in Nepal, WIDER Research Paper, No. 2004/43, ISBN 9291906328, The United Nations University World Institute for Development Economics Research (UNU- WIDER), Helsinki This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/63435 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Research Paper No. 2004/43 Spatial Horizontal Inequality and the Maoist Insurgency in Nepal S. -
Defending Damascus, Betraying Beirut: Hezbollah's Communication
Defending Damascus, Betraying Beirut: Hezbollah’s Communication Strategies in the Syrian Civil War Research Thesis Presented in partial fulfillment of the requirements for graduation with research distinction in International Studies in the undergraduate colleges of The Ohio State University by Maxwell Scurlock The Ohio State University April 2017 Project Advisor: Professor Jeffrey Lewis, International Studies Table of Contents Part 1 – Background Information and Historical Context Introduction – 1 1. Historical and Contextual Background – 6 a. Shi‘ism in Historical Context – 9 b. French Mandatory Period, 1920-1945 – 10 c. Independence to Black September, 1945-1970 – 14 d. The Early Years of the Lebanese Civil War and the Emergence of Hezbollah, 1970-1982 – 17 e. Hezbollah’s Formation – 21 f. Hezbollah’s Early Ideological Framework – 23 g. Syrian and Israeli Occupations of Lebanon, 1982-2005 – 24 h. Political Turmoil, 2006 Lebanon War, and 2008 Lebanese Political Crisis – 29 i. Hezbollah’s 2009 Manifesto – 31 j. The Syrian Civil War – 32 k. Sunni Islamists in Lebanon and Syria – 34 l. Lebanese Christians – 37 Part 2 – Analysis of Hezbollah’s Communications 2. Theoretical Approach to Hezbollah’s Communications – 40 3. Hezbollah in Syria – 44 a. Hezbollah’s Participation in Syria – April 30th, 2013 – 44 b. The Campaign for al-Qusayr, Part One – May 9th, 2013 – 48 c. The Campaign for al-Qusayr, Part Two – May 25th, 2013 – 50 4. Hezbollah’s Responses to Terrorism – 54 a. An Attack in al-Dahieh – August 16th, 2013 – 54 b. The Bombing of Iran’s Embassy – November 19th, 2013 – 56 5. Further Crises – 62 a. The Assassination of Hezbollah Commander Hassan al-Laqqis – December 3rd, 2013 – 62 b. -
2014 Vol. 5, No. 1
PRISM VOL. 5, NO. 1 2014 A JOURNAL OF THE CENTER FOR COMPLEX OPERATIONS PRISM About VOL. 5, NO. 1 2014 PRISM is published by the Center for Complex Operations. PRISM is a security studies journal chartered to inform members of U.S. Federal agencies, allies, and other partners on complex EDITOR and integrated national security operations; reconstruction and state-building; relevant policy Michael Miklaucic and strategy; lessons learned; and developments in training and education to transform America’s security and development EDITORIAL ASSISTANTS Ross Clark Ben Graves Caliegh Hernandez Communications Daniel Moore Constructive comments and contributions are important to us. Direct communications to: COPY EDITORS Dale Erickson Editor, PRISM Rebecca Harper 260 Fifth Avenue (Building 64, Room 3605) Christoff Luehrs Fort Lesley J. McNair Sara Thannhauser Washington, DC 20319 Nathan White Telephone: (202) 685-3442 DESIGN DIRecTOR FAX: Carib Mendez (202) 685-3581 Email: [email protected] ADVISORY BOARD Dr. Gordon Adams Dr. Pauline H. Baker Ambassador Rick Barton Contributions Professor Alain Bauer PRISM welcomes submission of scholarly, independent research from security policymakers Dr. Joseph J. Collins (ex officio) and shapers, security analysts, academic specialists, and civilians from the United States and Ambassador James F. Dobbins abroad. Submit articles for consideration to the address above or by email to [email protected] Ambassador John E. Herbst (ex officio) with “Attention Submissions Editor” in the subject line. Dr. David Kilcullen Ambassador Jacques Paul Klein Dr. Roger B. Myerson This is the authoritative, official U.S. Department of Defense edition of PRISM. Dr. Moisés Naím Any copyrighted portions of this journal may not be reproduced or extracted MG William L. -
Research Notes
Number 21 — August 2014 RESEARCH NOTES THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY MINDING THE HOME FRONT Hezbollah in Lebanon Mona Alami riggered by the March 2011 uprising against the egie’s online journal Sada, have addressed Hezbol- regime of Bashar al-Assad, the civil war in Syria lah’s involvement in Syria.1 However, this paper goes Thas been marked by the extensive military involve- beyond the emphasis of such reports—which often ment of Hezbollah, the Lebanon-based Shiite Mus- discuss the effects of Hezbollah’s war involvement on lim militant group and political party. Although con- the regional power balance and Lebanon’s economics sidered a terrorist organization by the United States, and security—by also probing the party’s relationship the “Party of God” is embraced by Lebanon’s Shiite with its Lebanese constituency. population as a resistance movement and represented Alongside the experts named in this report, some within the Lebanese government. Backed by Iran and forty Lebanese Shiites were interviewed, including Syria, Hezbollah has an extensive security apparatus fifteen from southern Lebanon, twelve from Beirut, and a wide-reaching social services network. Hez- ten from the largely Shiite Beqa Valley, and two Shi- bollah has always framed itself according to its resis- ite party members, in addition to security sources and tance against Israel and its commitment to moumana Hezbollah fighters. The interviews were conducted (securing immunity from Western influence) in the off the record due to security concerns. A request for Middle East, alongside Syria and Iran. In recent years, an interview with Hezbollah’s public relations arm especially since the end of the Pax Syriana—a period was declined.