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Japanese Airport Investment Opportunities

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Japanese airport investment opportunities Hiroki Yasui Director for Policy Planning and Coordination Airport Governance Reform Unit Japan Civil Aviation Bureau (JCAB) The Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism (MLIT) Ministry of Land, Infrastructure, Transport and Tourism 1. Circumstance, Trend and Target 2. Airport concessions in Japan 3. Upcoming transactions 1 Circumstance around airports in Japan ● Decreasing of population ＋ Centralization in urban areas ● Capturing a rapidly growing demand in Asia Shifted focus of airport policy “development to management” Deregulation and the proliferation of LCCs Vastly expanded Open Skies Agreements Positive support by Japanese government 2 Trends in domestic air passenger transport The demand for domestic air passenger transport in Japan started to decline in FY2007 due to increased fuel prices. As a result of the global economic recession after the Lehman crisis in 2008 and the Great East Japan Earthquake in 2011, the demand continued to decline. However, the demand started to increase again in FY2012 due to LCCs starting to compete with major airlines. Approximately 60% of domestic airline users start from Haneda Airport. Total number of passengers in FY2016: 98.12 million (10,000（万人） persons) Numbers of国内航空旅客数の推移 Domestic Air Transport Passengers Haneda Airport flight 9 812 10 000 羽田便利用者 9 666 9 697 9 606 passengers 9 458 9 549 9 449 9 485 9 520 9 198 9 279 9 249 9 066 関空または伊丹便利用者Kansai or Itami Airports Other 9 000 15%, 1,452 15%, 1,472 flight passengers 15%, 1,428 14%, 1,356 15%, 1,418 8 600 19%, 1,918 15%, 1,441 14%, 1,281 8 387 18%, 1,73818%, 1,738 7 810 15%, 1,398 14%, 1,305 8 221 18%, 1,643 中部または名古屋便利用者Chubu or Nagoya Airports 7 905 8 000 Chubu or flight passengers 7%, 645 7%, 674 17%, 1,488 Nagoya 7%, 637 7%, 648 8%, 712 7%, 644 15%, 1,256 7%, 632 15%, 1,248 6%, 610 Airport flight 7%, 650 7%, 597 6%, 563 6%, 577 16%, 1,243 6%, 571 passengers その他Other 17%, 1,324 7 000 14%, 17%, 14%, 6%, 513 6%, 498 6 525 16%, 16% 15%, 1,335 18%, 1,620 1,287 13%, 6%, 484 14%, 14%, 14%, Kansai or Itami 1,532 1,461 1,434 13%, 18%, 1,679 1,205 6%, 460 1,340 1,377 1,376 Airport flight 7%, 532 13%, 1,243 passengers 1,674 13%, 13%, 6 000 16%, 1,026 1,072 1,033 12%, 1,124 945 6%, 378 21%, 5 000 1,652 4 378 20%, 4 042 1,312 4 000 17%, 751 19%, 754 5%, 239 6%, 259 64%, 65%, Haneda 62%, 62%, 64%, 63%, 66%, 62%, 61%, 61%, 3 000 22%, 62%, 6,216 6,136 63%, Airport flight 60%, 5,949 5,941 5,905 5,947 5,959 66%, 66%, 64%, 5,908 2 545 960 5,701 67%, 5,792 5,879 5,824 passengers 25%, 5,477 5,546 5,490 5,456 5,258 1,013 16%, 402 55%, 2 000 5%, 118 58%, 4,302 28%, 3,809 711 55%, 50%, 2,427 1 000 2,016 52%, 1,314 0 3 197550 198055 198560 19902 19957 200012 200113 200214 200315 200416 200517 200618 200719 200820 200921 201022 201123 201224 201325 201426 201527 20162016201628 （年度）(FY) Trends in international air passenger transport Demand for international air passenger transport in Japan registered a record high in FY2016, despite a temporary decline since 2001 at the time of the 9/11 terrorist attacks, the Lehman crisis and the Great East Japan Earthquake. Passengers using airports in the capital area (Haneda and Narita Airport) account for 60% of the total number. 9 000 Airports in the capital area Total number of passengers 8 654 (10,000（万人） 首都圏空港（成田空港・羽田空港） 国際線航空旅客数の推移 (Narita and Haneda) Numbers of International Air Transport Passengers persons) in FY2016: 86.54 million 関西空港 Local Kansai Airport 7 904 airports 8 000 16%, 1,401 中部空港Chubu Airport 16%, 1,230 6 849 7 000 地方空港 6%, 524 Chubu Local airports Airport 6 329 6%, 490 6 069 14%, 956 6 000 5 806 5 831 Kansai 5 651 13%, 792 5 540 5 613 22%, 1,915Airport 5 408 5 440 12%, 703 7%, 450 5 302 10%, 567 10%, 563 5 336 5 166 9%, 532 9%, 518 10%, 581 7%, 447 22%, 1,728 10%, 514 11%, 577 10%, 532 7%, 449 5 000 10%, 534 4 777 9%, 547 10%, 556 10%, 505 9%, 533 8%, 449 8%, 451 20%, 1,352 4 415 4 453 9%, 498 8%, 438 8%, 437 10%, 488 8%, 430 8%, 420 19%, 1,205 8%, 364 19%, 1,143 11%, 467 19%, 1,123 19%, 1,101 4 000 9%, 414 20%, 1,116 20%, 1,114 19%, 1,041 7%, 332 19%, 1,011 18%, 957 19%, 1,011 8%, 348 24%, 1,285 20%, 1,044 Airports in 3 290 the capital 23%, 1,098 19%, 854 area 9%, 284 21%, 937 (Haneda 3 000 6%, 194 and Narita) 16%, 533 56%, 4814 1 930 56%, 4456 2 000 60%, 4091 6%, 118 62%, 3774 61%, 3885 3%, 50 61%, 3569 62%, 3611 62%, 3457 61%, 3472 63%, 3385 64%, 3417 63%, 3540 63%, 3414 1 339 20%, 382 57%, 62%, 3197 60% 3046 58%, 65%, 2903 9%, 118 2777 2%, 26 69%, 2663 1 000 827 22%, 294 2279 8%, 66 72%, 8%,1%, 145 9 67%, 1380 73%, 901 607 0 4 197550 198055 198560 19902 19957 200012 200113 200214 200315 200416 200517 200618 200719 200820 200921 201022 201123 201224 201325 201426 201527 201628 （年度）(FY) （昭和） （平成） Foreign visitors to Japan ○ The number of foreign visitors to Japan rose to a record high of over 28 million in 2017 with a national ambition to increase further. million 48 44 Target 40 36 32 60,0 28 24 20 40,0 16 28,7 12 24,0 19,7 8 13,4 8,6 10,4 4 7,3 8,3 8,4 6,8 6,2 8,4 5,2 6,1 6,7 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2020 2030 5 Breakdown of int’l visitors by country/region of origin Italy Russia Spain Australia 13 (0.4%) 8 (0.3%) 10 (0.3%) 49 (1.7%) Germany 20 (0.7%) Other 2017 110 France (3.8%) (Unit: 10,000 people) 27 (0.9%) ① China ⑤U.S.A. 736 U.K. 138 (25.6%) 31 (1.1%) (4.8%) 5 major European Canada North countries 31 (1.1%) America 100 (3.5%) India 168 13 (0.5%) ⑥ (5.9%) Vietnam Thailand Total 31 (1.1%) 99 (3.4%) Philippines 2,869 ④ Hong 42 (1.5%) （ ） Kong Asia: 2,434 84.8% Indonesia 223 East Asia: 2,129（74.2%） 35 (1.2%) (7.8%) South-east Asia: 292（10.2%） Malaysia 44 (1.5%) ② Republic ③ Of Korea Singapore Taiwan 714 40 (1.4%) 456 (24.9%) (15.9%) Note 1: Figures in parentheses are shares of overall visitors. Note 2: “Other” includes other countries in Asia and Europe. Note 3: Totals may not be the same as the sum of individual values, due to rounding. 6 Note 4: Adapted by the JTA based on material prepared by the JNTO Strategic relaxation of visa requirements Date Country Growth in numbers of international visitors after the Thailand substantial relaxation of visa requirements Malaysia Number of visitors to Japan from the 2013 July 1 Philippines Philippines Approx.243,000 people Vietnam 25250,000万 Approx.158,000 Indonesia 20200,000万 people July 3 India 15150,000万 Indonesia 100,000 After the substantial relaxation of visa September 30 10万 2014 Philippines requirements (September 30, 2014) 550,000万 54% year-on-year increase November 20 Vietnam 0万 0 December 1 Indonesia 2013.10～2014.09 2014.10～2015.09 2015 January 19 China January 11 India Number of visitors to Japan from Russia Vietnam 2016 February 15 Approx. 77,000 people India 80,000 October 17 China 60,000 Approx. 55,000 people January 1 Russia 2017 February 1 India 40,000 After the substantial relaxation of visa May 8 China requirements (January 1, 2017) 20,000 January 1 India 41% year-on-year increase 2018 7 August 1 Philippines 0 2016.01～12 2017.01～12 Change in JTA budget (Units: billions of yen) 30030 Initial当初予算 Supplementary補正予算 budget budget 25025 24.8 21.0 20.020.0 20020 15015 Japan Tourism Agency was inaugurated 12.7 (Oct 2008) 10.1 10.0 9.7 9.8 9.9 10010 9.1 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 5.5 50 4.2 5 2.6 2.6 1.9 1.5 0.9 0.05 0 0 H18(2006)2006 H19(2007)2007 H20(2008) 2008 H21(2009) 2009 H22(2010) 2010 H23(2011)2011 2012H24(2012) 2013H25(2013) 2014H26(2014) 2015H27(2015) 2016H28(2016) 2017H29(2017) 2018H30(2018) 8 1. Circumstance, Trend and Target 2. Airport concessions in Japan 3. Upcoming transactions 9 Airports in Japan Wakkanai National airports (19) Memanbetsu Asahikawa Corporate airports (4) Sapporo Obihiro Kushiro Local airports (65) Chitose Shin-Chitose Defense / Civil airports (9) Hakodate Misawa Kobe Niigata 97 airports Sendai Hiroshima 127 million people Iwakuni Matsuyama Komatsu Hyakuri Miho Narita Haneda Kitakyushu Itami Chubu Kansai Fukuoka Yao Oita Nagasaki Kochi Naha Tokushima )Kumamoto Shizuoka Takamatsu Kagoshima Miyazaki 10 Four types of airport management system in Japan ① National airports (ex. Haneda(Tokyo), Hiroshima) 19 airports Ownership: MLIT Operation: a) Aerodrome (development and maintenance of runways, navigation aids, etc.) ⇒ MLIT b) Non-aerodrome (construction and maintenance of terminal buildings, services to air passengers, etc.) ⇒ Private sectors ② Corporate airports (ex.
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