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And Medium-Term Forecast for the Consumption of Packaging in the United Mexican States

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And Medium-Term Forecast for the Consumption of Packaging in the United Mexican States OCCASION This publication has been made available to the public on the occasion of the 50th anniversary of the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation. DISCLAIMER This document has been produced without formal United Nations editing. The designations employed and the presentation of the material in this document do not imply the expression of any opinion whatsoever on the part of the Secretariat of the United Nations Industrial Development Organization (UNIDO) concerning the legal status of any country, territory, city or area or of its authorities, or concerning the delimitation of its frontiers or boundaries, or its economic system or degree of development. Designations such as “developed”, “industrialized” and “developing” are intended for statistical convenience and do not necessarily express a judgment about the stage reached by a particular country or area in the development process. Mention of firm names or commercial products does not constitute an endorsement by UNIDO. FAIR USE POLICY Any part of this publication may be quoted and referenced for educational and research purposes without additional permission from UNIDO. However, those who make use of quoting and referencing this publication are requested to follow the Fair Use Policy of giving due credit to UNIDO. CONTACT Please contact [email protected] for further information concerning UNIDO publications. For more information about UNIDO, please visit us at www.unido.org UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATION Vienna International Centre, P.O. Box 300, 1400 Vienna, Austria Tel: (+43-1) 26026-0 · www.unido.org · [email protected] Pira information training and techno-economics division A SHORT- AMD MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST FOR THE CONSUMPTION OF PACKAGING IN THE UNITED MEXICAN STATES , FINAL REPORT: APRIL 1981 CONTRACT NUMBER 80/111DR 24 APRIL 1981 En al i sh № H 0 A SHORT- AND MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST FOR THE CONSUMPTION OF PACKAGING IN THE UNITED MEXICAN STATES FINAL REPORT PREPARED BY DR WILLIAM MANNING AND CHRISTOPHER CROSS - PIRA; AND ING LETICIA QUEVEDO ? - DEPARTAMENTO OE INFORMACION Y PROYECTOS, LANFI, FOR THE UNITED NATIONS INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT ORGANISATION EXECUTIVE AGENCY FOP THE UNITED NATIONS DEVELOPMENT PROGRAMME CONTRACT NUMBER 80/111DR A SHORT- AND MEDIUM-TERM FORECAST FOR THE CONSUMPTION OF PACKAGING IN THE UNITED MEXICAN STATES CONTRACT NUMBER 80/111DR FINAL REPORT: APRIL 1981 CONTENTS page INTRODUCTION Project purpose i Study coverage i Study methodology i i CONCLUSIONS General C.l Paper and board C.4 P la s tic s C.5 Regenerated cellulose film C.7 T in p la te C.8 Cans and containers primarily of tinplate C.9 Steel drums and pails C.10 Aerosols C.11 Aluminium C.l2 Glass containers C.13 Wood C.14 Areas for further study C.15 Macro study areas C.15 Micro study areas C.15 SUMMARY TABLES Table A Production of packaging materials by volume 1975-1979/80 B Estimated movement in the volume of production of packaging m aterials 1975-1979/80 C Estimated consumption of principal packaging m aterials by volume 1975-1979, 1982, 1985 D Estimated movement in consumption of principal packaging materials by volume E Price indices for principal packaging materials page PART I: GENERAL CONDITIONS Geography 1.1 Population 1.1 Economic con dition s 1.3 Primary industries 1.5 A g ricu ltu re 1.5 Fish ing 1.6 Mineral resources 1.6 Petroleum 1.7 Petrochem icals 1.8 Secondary in d u strie s 1.8 Conclusions 1.9 Appendix to Part I: Mexico - General economic data PART II: PACKAGING MATERIALS PRODUCTION AND CONVERSION Paper and board packaging 2.1 S t a t is t ic a l sources 2.1 Total national capacity 2.1 Industry structure and location 2.6 Production 2.6 Trade balance 2.7 Market size 2.8 End-user industry sectors 2.10 P rice trends 2.10 Technological developments 2.11 Plastics materials 2.12 S t a t is t ic a l sources 2.12 Total national capacity • 2.12 Industry structure 2.14 Production, trade balance, market size 2.14 Low density polyethylene 2.14 High density polyethylene 2.15 Polyvinyl c h lo rid e 2.16 Polystyrene 2.17 Polypropylene 2.18 End uses 2.18 Low density polyethylene 2.18 High density polyethylene 2.18 Polyvinyl chloride 2.19 Polystyrene 2.19 Polypropylene 2.19 Film s 2.19 B o ttle s, pots and ja rs 2.20 Plastics drums and jerricans 2.21 P rice trends 2.22 Technological developments 2.22 page PART II (contd) Regenerated cellulose film 2.24 Statistical sources 2.24 Total national capacity 2.24 Industry structure 2.24 Production 2.24 Trade balance 2.25 Market size 2.25 End uses 2.25 P rice trends 2.25 Technological developments 2.26 Tinplate 2.27 Statistical sources 2.27 Total national capacity: tinplate 2.28 Industry structure 2.28 Production 2.29 Trade balance 2.29 Market size and share 2.30 End uses 2.31 P rice trends 2.31 Technological developments 2.32 Cans and containers manufactured p rim a rily from tin p la te 2.33 Statistical sources 2.33 Total‘nationcl capacity 2.33 Industry structure 2.33 Production 2.34 Trade balance 2.35 Market size and end use 2.36 Price trends 2.36 Technological developments 2.37 Steel drums and pails 2.38 Statistical sources 2.38 Total national capacity 2.38 Industry structure 2.38 Production 2.38 Trade balance 2.39 Market size 2.39 End uses 2.40 Price trends 2.40 Technological developments 2.41 Aerosols 2.42 Statistical sources 2.42 Total national capacity 2.42 Industry structure 2.42 Production 2.43 Trade balance 2.43 Market size and end use 2.44 P rice trends 2.45 Technological developments 2.45 page PART II (contd) 2.46 Aluminium fo il Statistical sources 2.46 Total national capacity 2.46 2.46 Industry structure 2.47 Production Trade balance 2.48 2.48 Market size 2.49 End uses 2.49 Price trends Technological developments 2.49 2.51 Glass containers Statistical sources 2.51 Total national capacity 2.51 2.51 Industry structure Production 2.52 2.52 Trade balance 2.53 Market size 2.54 End uses 2.55 Price trends Technological developments 2.55 2.56 Wood 2.56 Stati stical sources Total national capacity 2.56 2.56 Industry structure 2.57 Production 2.58 Trade balance 2.58 Market size 2.58 End-uses 2.60 Price trends Technological developments 2.60 PART III: PACKAGING USAGE: BY MAIN CONSUMING INDUSTRY SECTOR 3.1 Introduction 3.2 M ilk Production 3.2 Packaging 3.2 3.3 Outlook 3.4 Edible oils 3.4 Production 3.4 Packaging 3.5 Outlook 3.6 Meat Production 3.6 Packaging 3.6 T.7 Out!ook page PART III (contd) Fish and seafood 3.8 Production 3.8 Packaging 3.8 Outlook 3.9 Fruit and vegetables 3.10 Production 3.10 Packaging 3.10 Outlook 3.11 Soft drinks/carbonated beverages 3.12 Production 3.12 Packaging 3.12 Outlook 3.13 Beer 3.14 Production 3.14 Packaging 3.14 Outlook 3.15 Wines and other a lc o h o lic beverages 3.17 Production 3.17 Packaging 3.17 Outlook 3.17 C igarettes 3.19 Production 3.19 Packaging 3.19 Outlook 3.20 R e ta ilin g 3.21 Packaging 3.21 Outlook 3.21 Detergent, household cleaners, soap, shampoo etc 3.22 Production 3.22 Packaging 3.22 Outlook 3.24 Pharmaceuticals 3.25 Production 3.25 Packaging 3.26 Outlook 3.26 Pai nt 3.27 Production 3.27 Packaging 3.27 Outlook 3.28 Domestic electrical appliances 3.29 Production 3.29 Packaging 3.29 Outlook 3.30 APPENDICES Appendix 1 List of companies and organisations approached for additional information A l . l 2 Letter of introduction and interview schedules used for data collection A2.1 INTRODUCTION ¡1 I PROJECT PURPOSE The Government o f Mexico, the United Nations Development Programme (UNDP) and the United Nations Industrial Development Organisation (UNIDO) have concluded an agreement and are co-operating in carrying out a p ro je ct entitled "Mexican Institute for Assistance to Industry". The objective of this project is to draw up a comprehensive programme for the development of the country's packaging industries taking into account national requirements and the maximum u tilisation of domestic raw materials. One input to th is project is a study fo reca stin g the short- and medium-term consumption of packaging in the United Mexican States, so that an assessment can be made of the country's installed and planned production capacity from which to investigate the need for new packaging production u n its. Pira, the UK national research association for paper and board, printing and packaging, has been commissioned to carry out th is study and, as principal contractors, engaged Mexican counterpart support through sub­ contracting to Laboratorios Nacionales de Fomento Industrial (LANFI) to help in obtaining published statistics ar.d unique data from field visits in Mexico. These investigations and their subsequent analyses by Pira's Techno-Economics Group have resulted in this report - a statistical and economic review of the packaging industries of the United Mexican States 1980-1985. STUDY COVERAGE This study investigates the five major packaging material categories of: metals; plastics; glass; paper, paperboard and wood; their various combinations and packaging containers made therefrom. Data has been collected on their production and consumption, broken down by packaging material and pack type, and end-use applications respectively for the period 1975-1980, and a fo recast made covering the period 1980-1985.
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