Predicting Adolescent Drug Abuse: a Review of Issues, Methods and Correlates
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DOCUMENT RESUME ED 119 424 EC 081 554 AUTHOR Lettieri, Dan J., Ed. TITLE Predicting Adolescent Drug Abuse: A Review of Issues, Methods and Correlates. Research Issues-11. INSTITUTION Macro Systems, In-7., Silver Spring, Md.; National Inst. on Drug Abuse (DHEW/PHS), Rockville, Md. REPORT NO DHEW-(ADM)-76-299 PUB DATE Dec 75 NOTE 370p.; A few pages may reproduce poorly in hard copy due to small print of original AVAILABLE FROM Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 (Publication Number (ADM; 76-299) EDRS PRICE MF-$0.83 HC-$19.41 Plus Postage DESCRIPTIS Adolescents; *Drug Abuse; *Emotionally Disturbed; Exceptional Child Research; General Education; *Prediction; *Research Methodology; Research Needs; Research Reviews (Publications); *Trend Analysis ABSTRACT Presented are 18 papers on predicting adolescent drug abuse. The papers have the following titles: "Current Issues in the Epidemiology of Drug Abuse as Related to Psychosocial Studies of Adolescent Drug Use"; "The Quest for Interpersonal Predictors of Marihuana Abuse in Adolescents"; "Assessin: the Interpersonal Determinants of Adolescent Drug Use "; "Speculations on Possible Changes in Youthful Lifestyle between the 1960's and 1970's "; "A Psychological Approach toward the Meanings of Drug Use"; "An Approach to the Classification of the Lifestyles ofNarcotic Abusers"; "Individualized Prediction as a Strategy for Discovering Demographic and Interpersonal/Psychological Correlates of Drug Resistanceand Abuse"; "A Social Psychological Approach to Substance Abuse Construct Validity--Prediction of Adolescent Drug Use from Independent Data Sources"; "Computer Interview Questionnaires for Drug Use/Abuse"; "Personality Factors Related to Drug and Alcohol Use"; "Self-esteem as a Predictor of Adolescent DrugAbuse"; "Ego Mechanisms and Marihuana Usage"; "Chemical Substance Abuse and Perceived Locus of Control"; "Behavioral and Demographic Correlates of Drug Use among Students in Grades 7-12"; "Teenage Drug Use--A Search for Causes and Consequences"; "Predicting Time of Onset of Marihuana Use--A Developmental Study of High School Youth"; "Drug Use Research Items Pertaining to Personality and Interpersonal Relations--A Working Paper for Research Investigators"; and "Some Comments on the Relationship of Selected Criteria Variables to Adolescent Illicit Drug Use". (DB) ti 'ming Adokaiak Abuse: A R Elm of Issues. 11111h d Correlates ,r ,i.A NATIONALINSTITUTEON DRUG ABUSE RESEARCH ISSUES SERIES 1. Drugs and Employment 2. Drugs and Sex 3. Drugs and Attitude Change 4. Drugs and Family/Peer Influence 5. Drugs and Pregnancy 6. Drugs and Death 7. Drugs and Addict Lifestyles 8. A Cocaine Bibliography - Nonannotated 9. Drug Themes in Science Fiction 10. Drug Themes in Fiction 11. Predicting Adolescent Drug Abuse: A Review of Issues, Methods, and Correlates Cover Illustration STARS Maurits Cornelis Escher Gift of Mr. C.V.S. Roosevelt National Gallery of Art, Washington 3 -"" A PhEDIM-Ium PXY_Ia© -[-DRua L Agei@u] [k@m@@0 N@Qh©6@ E),H6Oco] ngnag@ U.S OEPARTMENT OF HEALTH. EOUCATION WELFARE NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF EOUCATION THIS DOCUMENT HAS PEEN REPRO. DUCED EXACTLY AS RECEIVED FROM THE PERSON OR ORGANIZATION ORIGIN- ATING IT POINTS OF VIEW OR OPINIONS STATED DO NOT NECESSARILY REPRE- SENT OFFICIAL NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF EDUCATION POSITION OR POLICY DitaJo[L.GfQ[1©97ri December 1975 vJ L) National Institute on Drug Abuse 11400 Rockville Pike Rockville, Maryland 20852 For Sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office, Washington, D.C. 20402 Parts of this volume were prepared for 'the National Institute on Drug Abuse by Macro Systems, Inc., 1110 Fidler Lane,Silver Spring, Maryland 20910 under contract number BOA 73- 2- 20(p). DREW. Publication do.(ADM) 76-299 Printed 1975 ii 5 Con.R FTR@ CONTRIBUTORS vii LIST OF PLATES ix I. INTRODUCTION. Prediction: A prolegomenon 1 DAN J. LETTIERI, Ph.D. IT. SUMMARIES OF CHAPTERS III. CONCEPTUAL ISSUES IN DEVELOPING PREDICTION STUDIES Current issues in the epidemiology of drug abuse as related to psychosocial studies of adolescent drug use 17 ROBERT. H. EICHBERG, C. Phil. PETER M. BENTLER, Ph.D. The quest for interpersonal predictors of marihuana abuse in adolescents 33 SEYMOUR FISHER, Ph. D. Assessing the interpersonal determinants of adolescent drug use 45 JOEL W. GOLDSTEIN, Ph.D. Speculations on possible changes in youthful lifestyle between the 1960's and Z970's 53 CHARLES WINICK, Ph. D. IV: NOSOLOGICAL AND CLINICAL APPROACHES irpsychological approach toward the meanings of drug use 61 MARIA KOVACS, Ph.D. 6 iii An approach to the classification of the lifestyles of narcotic abusers 77 DAVID N. NURCO, D.S.W. MONROE LERNER, Ph.D. ARTHUR J. BONITO, M.S. MITCHELL B. BALTER, Ph.D. V. METHODOLOGICAL ISSUES Individualized prediction as a strategy for discovering demographic and interpersonal/ psychological correlates of drug resistance and abuse 95 MARVIN D. DUWETTE, Ph.D. A social psychological approach to substance abuse construct validity: Prediction of adolescent drug use from independent data sources 129 PETER M. BENTLER, Ph.D. ROBERT H. EICHBERG, C.PhiZ Computer interview questionnaires for drug use/abuse 147 JOHN H. GREIST, M.D. MARJORIE H. KLEIN, Ph.D.-'1-v"," LAWRENCE J. VAN CURA, M.S. HAROLD P. ERDMAN, M.S. VI. RESEARCH FINDINGS: THE SEARCH FOR CORRELATES AND PREDICTORS A. INTRAPERSONAL Personality factors related to drug and alcohol use 165 BERNARD SEGAL, Ph.D. Self-esteem as a predictor of adolescent drug abuse 193 ARDYTH A. NOREM-HEBEISEN, Ph.D. Ego mechanisms and marihuana usage 207 MURRAY P. NADITCH, Ph.D. Chemical substance abuse and perceived locus of control 223 MARJORIE M. PLUMB, Ph.D. CHRISTOPHER D'AMANDA, M.D. ZEBULON TAINTOR, M.D. iv B. BEHAVIORAL/DEMOGRAPHIC Behavioral, and demographic correlates of drug use 263 among students in grades 7-22 J. RICHARD BLOCK, Ph.D. C. LONGITUDINAL Teenage drug use: A search for causes and consequences 277 GENE M. SMITH, Ph.D. CHARLES P. TOGG, Ed. D. D. DEVELOPMENTAL Predicting time of onset of marihuand use: A developmental study of high school youth 283 RICHARD JESSOR, Ph.D. E. INTERPERSONAL Drug use research items pertaining to personality and interpersonal relations: A working paper for research investigators 299 GLEN D. MELLINGER, Ph.D. ROBERT H. SOMERS. Ph.D. DEAN I. MANHEIMER, M.A. Some comments on the relationship of selected criteria variables to adolescent illicit drug use 343 DENISE KANDEL, Ph.D. V Plate 21 9 vi ©CDHLIFT1-.-3 Mitchell B. Baiter, Ph.D. John H. Greist, M.D. Psychopharmacology Branch Department of Psychiatry National Institute of Mental Health University of Wisconsin Rockville, Maryland Madison, Wisconsin Peter M. BentZer, Ph.D. Richard Jessor, Ph.D. Department of Psychology Department of Psychology University of California University of Colorado, and Los Angeles, California Institute of Behavioral Science Boulder, Colorado J. Richard Block, Ph. D. Department of Psychology Denise B. Kandel, Ph.D. Hofstra University School of Public Health Hempstead, New York Columbia University, and Biometrics Research Arthur J. Bonito, M.S. New York, New York Friends Medical Science Center, Inc. Baltimore, Maryland Maria Kovacs, Ph.D. Depression Research Unit 'Christopher D'Amanda, M.D. Philadelphia General Hospital Office of Drug and Alcohol Abuse Philadelphia, Pennsylvania City of Philadelphia Philadelphia, Pennsylvania Marjorie H. Klein, Ph.D. Department of Psychiatry Marvin Dunnette, Ph.D. University of Wisconsin Department of Psychology Madison, Wisconsin University of Minnesota Minneapolis, Minnesota Monroe Lerner, Ph.D. Department of Health Care Organization Robert H. Eichberg, C.Phil. The Johns Hopkins University Department of Psychology Baltimore, Maryland University of California Los Angeles, California Dan J. Lettieri, Ph.D. Behavioral and Social Sciences Branch Harold P. Erdman, M.S. National Institute on Drug' Abuse Wisconsin Psychiatric Institute Rockville, Maryland Madison, Wisconsin Dean I. Manheimer, M.A. Charles P. Fogg, Ed.D. Institute for Research in Social Behavior College of Basic Studies Berkeley, California Boston University Boston, Massachusetts Glen D. Mellinger, Ph.D. Institute for Research in Social Behavior Seymour Fisher, Ph.D. Berkeley, California - Psychopharmacology Laboratory Boston University Medical School Murray P. Naditch, Ph.D. Boston, Massachusetts Department of Psychology Cornell University Joel W. Goldstein, Ph.D. Ithaca, New York Behavioral Sciences Research Branch National Institute of Mental Health Ardyth A. Norem-Hebeisen, Ph.D. 'Rockville, Maryland Department of Social, Psychological and Philosophical Foundations of Education University of Minnesota Minneapolis. Minnesota vii 10 i David N. Nurco, D.S.W. Maryland Psychiatric Research Cente Baltimore, Maryland Marjorie M. Plumb, Ph.D. Department of Psychiatry State University of New York Buffalo, New York Bernard Segal, Ph.D. Department of Psychology Murray State University Murray, Kentucky Gene M. Smith, Ph.D. Department of Psychiatry Harvard Medical School Boston, Massachusetts Robert H. Somers, Phd.2,A. Institute for Researchin Social Behavior Berkeley, California ZE.bulon Taintor, M.D. Department of Psychiatry State University ofNew York Buffalo, New York Lawrence J. Van Cu a, M.S. Department of Medicine University of Wisconsin Madison, Wisconsin Charles Winick, Ph".-D7- Department of Sociology City CoZZege of the City University of New York New York, NewYork 11 -J 1-1 ri 21_ 1. STARS 7. THE WHIRLWIND OF LOVERS MAURITS CORNELIS ESCHER