HARTWELL HOUSE, BUCKINGHAMSHIRE, UK #SOIF2019
05–09 AUGUST 2019 05–09 AUGUST 2019
PROGRAMME RETREAT FORESIGHT FORESIGHT STRATEGIC STRATEGIC Hartwell House, Buckinghamshire, UK WELCOME TO SOIF2019
It is with great pleasure that we welcome you to SOIF’s summer retreat on strategic foresight.
This is our eighth retreat in the UK and each year we You’ll see in the programme different types of seek to bring together inspirational thinkers from interventions – keynotes and panels with expert different communities around the world. The retreat is an speakers, who will bring additional insights and help opportunity to take time away from day to day pressures us as we explore our policy theme, philanthropy and responsibilities, to explore how to use strategic and foresight in creating systemic change, and our foresight to create impact. methodological theme on foresight, prevention and big data. You will also find moments of delight built Our retreats are core to SOIF’s work to support into the programme to inspire and boost creativity: organisations and individuals to create a better future. interventions from a clown, science fiction author, Each year we innovate and build on the successes of journalist and composer. previous retreats. We create the programme with care: nurturing the different elements around your needs, We hope you enjoy the next few days! We look forward new issues arising in the foresight field, our desire to to getting to know you during the week, exploring hear inspiring speakers, to build our personal practice your motivations, hearing about your experiences, and as a community. sharing with you our approach to foresight, both as a theory and as a way of understanding and shaping the We design this week and hold the space to help you future. achieve three results: to become better users and commissioners of foresight; to return to your work We’ve left time in the programme for walks in the ready to build future-ready organisations; and to learn grounds, chats on the sofa, even early-morning yoga. from each other and support each other as part of a The whole environment – in and out of the formal global foresight community (see the learning outcomes sessions – is designed to be a reflective space for on page 5). learning and debate that is both enjoyable as well as fruitful for your future plans. The process, methodology and techniques we’ll introduce – with the help of our guest faculty, Kristel Thank you for coming to SOIF2019 with an open mind, van der Elst – are ones we have found achieve results and heart – we hope the relationships you make this in a range of organisations and countries. But foresight week will be a first step in a long journey in building a is art as well as science, which together make the craft. better future. And it is the practical application of this craft that is a core design feature of our retreats. This year, our live The SOIF Team Challenge Client, Stephen King from Luminate, asks you to explore Technology and the “Public Interest” in a changing global order.
SOIF2019 1 WHO WHAT WE ARE WE DO
SOIF helps policy-makers, business We help you to think differently – leaders and communities make and confidently – about the future: strategic choices, manage risk to position your organisation and become future-ready. Our to take advantage of new foresight work focuses on the opportunities while protecting you transmission of insights about the against shocks and surprises. future into decisions today. To deliver foresight with impact, we Come and learn with us, translate design for purpose, complexity and foresight into strategic insights, and participation. build a future-focused organisation through our educational, project We have worked to apply foresight and advisory services. and strategy at the highest levels of government, private Gain insight about your future and NGO sectors. As foresight environment: spot upcoming and strategy experts, we have trends and issues, risks and introduced strategic foresight to opportunities, and the new players over 600 senior leaders from over in your field. 50 countries and led projects in countries as varied as Switzerland, Build your capability: strengthen South Korea, Oman, Tunisia, Chile the skills of your senior decision- and Russia. makers and staff, so they can create and lead future-ready We have advised national organizations. These skills can governments and United Nations be accredited by the ILM, the on the use of foresight and UK’s leading specialist provider strategy and have worked with in leadership and management organisations around the world qualifications. to build their capacity, develop insight and support their long-term Access latest expert advice: sustainability. inform your good practice through our research, innovation and We advocate for the use of thought leadership. foresight and the need to put people at the heart of the future. Connect and mobilise with others: draw upon, and support in turn, our wider community of practice and networks of change- makers to co-create a better future.
2 SOIF2019 OUR SERVICES
GAIN INSIGHT CLIENTS AND PROJECTS • Explore the implications of themes or issues coming up on your radar SOIF works with industry, public and third sector organisations from around the world. • Conduct a strategic review and navigate possibilities, scenarios and options Clients include: British Council, BP, • Rapid horizon scans or deep dives Calouste Gulbenkian Foundation, Health Foundation, IATA, Shell Global, • Assess and manage risk – develop mitigation and response plans Metropolitan Education Trust in Nigeria, • Projects to drive innovation, build sector vision or engage your Malaysian Industry-Government Group community for High Technology, Mott MacDonald. NATO, Overseas Development Institute, Royal Society, Save the Children UK, STEPI BUILD CAPABILITY Korea, Swedish Defence University, United • Foresight audit to understand the ‘future-preparedness’ of your Nations Economic Commission for Latin team or organisation America and the Caribbean, United Nations Development Programme, UNDOCO and • Support integrating foresight into strategy development, policy or UN-Habitat programmes, UK Cabinet risk management, or help to set up or enhance an existing function Office, US Office of the Secretary of • Skills development, mentoring and training for individual, teams Defence and US State Department. and organisations RECENT AND ONGOING • Tailored training programmes and modules to build your capability at a strategic, operational or executive level PROJECTS • What makes a public policy • Demonstrate your skills as an accredited foresight practitioner fair from an intergenerational through our Strategic Foresight Programme, endorsed by the ILM perspective? Developing a • Custom retreat and events, including agenda design, speaker new methodology for Calouste engagements and strategic/senior team facilitation Gulbenkian Foundation to systematically and impartially assess the distributional impacts of ACCESS EXPERT ADVICE public policies on current and future • Full or ½–day strategy sessions for board, C-suite or senior generations. The project runs until management in private companies, industry bodies & NGOs September 2020.
• Government experts – championing the growing use of foresight • Future of terrorism: project for UK in governments including the UK and internationally Cabinet Office looking out to 2040.
• Promoting an integration and innovation agenda: evidence • Power sector in Northern Nigeria: and comparative insights with new global practice in strategic supporting a more sustainable socio- planning, open government, democracy and SDGs (especially economic future for the region and goal 16 “effective accountable and inclusive institutions”). sector.
• Driving new practice – we innovate with foresight methodology • Peace and reconciliation in for impact, collect case studies, and cross-pollinate practice from Mozambique: project for the German different domains (e.g. actuary, intelligence, design thinking, ecology) Federal Foreign Office
• Development co-operation Chapter CONNECT AND MOBILISE on “Using foresight methods to adapt development co-operation for • Our Foresight retreats – A unique combination of capacity the future” in OECD Annual Report building, networking and coalition building, and conference 2018: Joining forces to Leave no one • Join our international network of over 600 alumni and 100 Behind collaborators and access our online platform (SOIFSpace) to make • Oman 2040: delivering the scenario- new contacts building phase of the wider Oman • Benefit from peer-to-peer mentoring and networking Vision 2040 process for the Supreme opportunities including SOIF Alumni meetings and webinars Council of Planning
SOIF2019 3 YOUR LEARNING JOURNEY AND THE SOIF FOUR STAGES
Our retreats are curated and YOUR LEARNING JOURNEY THE FOUR STAGES designed to ensure that our The foresight journey is one that SOIF has developed a four-stage participants receive the maximum we take as individuals as well process to ensure that our clients benefit of their time at the as together in organisations. as well as new foresight users are retreat. We design the week as Effective foresight requires us all to aware of the essential components a “Learning Journey” to support continually explore the future and of successful foresight work. your personal development. We to expand our practice, learning For foresight to have impact, it build in opportunities to learn and from each other and sharing needs to be conceived from the reflect during the week. We teach insights across disciplines. outset with the decision-maker, a practical four-stage approach policy-maker, or other client of to foresight that provides the It is a space for participants the work in mind. Our four stages framework for you to learn the to build the skills they need to – Scoping, Ordering, Implications principles, art and science of understand change and disruption and Integrating Futures – lead you foresight. and how to create future-ready through the steps necessary to organisations in an uncertain and achieve this goal. As you progress through the week increasingly volatile world. We there are a core set of Learning bring together our values, seven The four stages are set out Outcomes that we address principles, four-stage process, and graphically opposite. You will also through the faculty and live three themes to this end. learn and practice a number of challenge sessions, and supported tools during the week. by our speakers.
Your Primer provides additional information on the four-stage approach and some background to foresight.
4 SOIF2019 SOIF FOUR STAGES
4. INTEGRATING FUTURES 1. SCOPING Embed insights from Understand the context your work into your and people, and set the organisation and beyond question
2. ORDERING Create contrasting, coherent futures using drivers of change
3. IMPLICATIONS Work through consequences of the futures
LEARNING OUTCOMES • Be able to describe and apply • Have regularly reflected SOIF’s four stage process for on their personal learning By the end of the Retreat, with foresight; principles; and the journey throughout the week the aid of faculty sessions, panel values of designing foresight and committed to on-going sessions, personal notes, and other for participation, purpose and development actions that learning resources, participants will: impact support their current work
• Through panel discussions • Have developed their own • Have learned about the theory and debates with expert foresight practice, and know and application of strategic practitioners and exploration of how to build their capability foresight case-studies, better understand over time, including through • Be confident in the design and the art of foresight, and have engagement with the wider tailoring of their approach, critically evaluated how the community of interest selecting and applying experiences of others can be • Have identified and committed appropriate tools, to ensure applied to their organisation’s to a personal foresight project, the impact of their work and and their personal practice of designed to apply Retreat make a real difference to their foresight learning to practice and to organisations • Through the live policy influence wider practice within • Have the vocabulary and challenge, have built critical their organisation. understanding to design and understanding, confidence facilitate effective conversations and practical experience in the about the future foresight craft
SOIF2019 5 OUR PRINCIPLES
SOIF sits at the point where theory and practice meet. Our principles are informed by our experience of implementing and researching foresight practice in over fifty countries. We also draw on insights from our network and from conversations with ministers, policy-makers, civil servants, front-line staff, foresight experts and consultants.
These principles shape the design of our retreats and form the foundation of our training, advisory, project and advocacy work. They reflect our belief in foresight as a holistic approach to empower people to create a better world for this and future generations.
1. Collective reflection on the future enables resilience and empowerment The act of reflecting on the future collectively - and the capability to do so - is valuable for all communities and countries at all times. It is not a luxury; it is a necessity. It helps build vision, resilience and empowerment in an uncertain world.
2. Focus on the decision and decision-maker, but unlock transformation with wide participation Any effective foresight process must be designed to benefit the decision and decision-maker and use insights about the future to create change in the world today. But it is essential to confront different views, engage the periphery and ensure broad participation, particularly by those not usually listened to. This is the key to unlocking the transformative potential of tomorrow, empowering citizens, and holding today’s decision-makers accountable to future generations.
3. Foresight as art, science and craft Foresight is both art and science and together these make the craft of foresight. To achieve impact requires both a good understanding of tools and techniques and the judgement to use them effectively.
4. Design foresight as a four-stage journey This journey acts as a scaffold for our work, moving from Scoping through Ordering and Implications to Integrating Futures.
5. Understand the context first, then choose the tools and methods for impact Tools and method are important, but are influenced and guided by culture, time, topic resources, and purpose. The tools used within the four-stage journey maximise impact around the purpose, while staying within resource- and other constraints.
6. Mobilise left-brain and right-brain approaches in our personal, organisational and system-wide journey Engaging with the future involves left-brain and right-brain approaches. We need to be mindful of our own personal practice when doing so, striving to make sense of things in an uncertain world and paying attention to our cognitive biases. What we learn inspires us to build future-alert organisations and communities.
7. We are part of a wider community of interest and advocacy We learn from each other and support each other with examples of whatwe have achieved
6 SOIF2019 THEMES AND LIVE CHALLENGE
At SOIF2019 we explore three themes: a policy issue, a methodological question, and a “Live challenge” – a real question set by a policy client:
Policy Issue: Philanthropy and Foresight in Live Challenge: Technology and the “Public Creating Systemic Change Interest” in a changing global order.
Each year, we choose one policy area where we see Our Live Challenge is being set by Luminate, a growing interest and evidence for the impact of global philanthropic organisation, focused on how to foresight in that domain. This year, we have been empower people and institutions to work together exploring the topic of Philanthropy and Foresight with to build just and fair societies. They are particularly SIX, including: interested in how digital technologies will be governed, regulated, controlled and used in the future; tensions • How can philanthropists harness foresight to drive between privacy, surveillance, national security transformational change in an increasingly turbulent and liberty; and the impact of global and regional future? governance.
• How can forward-thinking foundations and thinkers On Monday, will be joined by Stephen King, CEO of tackle the systemic challenges they want to impact Luminate and Paige Nicol, Senior Manager, Strategy through supporting long-term thinking about & Insights who will set our foresight challenge for complex social problems in a participative way? SOIF2019. • How can foundations use adaptive planning and strategy development in a volatile environment facing disruptive change?
• How can coalitions of foundations and stakeholders design interventions with impact, that are resilient More on the themes and Live Challenge over time and work to prevent as well as cure social problems Information on the philanthropy and prevention themes • How can the sector prepare for a future in which it is included on pages 40-43. Please talk to Cat Tully if may be a key driver of innovation, with governments you’re interested in finding out more, or to get involved and the private sector often increasingly risk-averse in ongoing work in this area. For more information and less willing to take a big-picture approach? on the Live Challenge, please read the briefing and background reading on HowSpace.
Methodological Focus: Foresight, Prevention and Big Data
We will take a look at how recent developments around the use of emerging techniques for modelling, big data and artificial intelligence, can be supported by foresight - to help address the challenge around acting to prevent slow-moving harms. How can sectors become more anticipatory rather than reactive, and unlock the political will and short-termism challenge? Our intuition is that combining preventive analytics with the strategic foresight approach has huge potential to help governments and other global actors to both think and act better for the long-term. And we invite you to explore this emerging field with us.
SOIF2019 7 PROGRAMME
DAY 1 MONDAY 5 AUGUST WELCOME AND INTRODUCTIONS Getting to know each other, our projects and the programme
1300 – 1430 Participants arrive and buffet lunch available
1500 – 1600 1. Welcome and introductions “Check in” Cat Tully Founder and Managing Director, School of International Futures
1600 – 1700 2. Keynote “Navigating the future and the importance of perspective and foresight” Arif Lalani Ambassador, Director, Department of Diplomatic Affairs, Seat of the Ismaili Imamat
1700 Tea/Coffee
1730 – 1800 3. Faculty Session – Introducing the SOIF2019 Programme Our learning objectives and design principles for learning about strategic foresight
1800 – 1900 4. Introduction to the Live Challenge Our policy client introduces our challenge for the week. Q&A Stephen King CEO, and Paige Nicol Senior Manager, Strategy & Insights, Luminate Respondent: Charlie Edwards Director, Cabinet Office, HMG, United Kingdom
Live challenge hosts: Peter Glenday Director Programmes and Research, School of International Futures Marius Oosthuizen SOIF Companion; Faculty, Gordon Institute of Business Science, University of Pretoria, South Africa
1900 – 1910 Closing session “Check out”
1930 Reception drinks followed by dinner at 8pm Moment of Delight: Wellington Nogueira Actor, Clown, Teacher; Founder of Doutores da Alegria (Doctors of Joy)
8 SOIF2019 PROGRAMME
DAY 2 TUESDAY 6 AUGUST STAGES I TO II – SCOPING TO ORDERING Starting the Live Challenge together – What the policy maker needs and how foresight can meet that need – principles of futures thinking and drivers of change – participants’ experiences
0700 – 0745 Yoga session (Garden or James Wyatt room)
0730 – 0845 Breakfast
0900 – 0915 Opening Session “Check in”
0915 – 0945 5. Faculty Session - Thinking like a futurist An introduction to some foundational foresight concepts and approaches. Introduction to the SOIF Learning Journey Kristel van der Elst Director General, Canada Policy Horizons; Co-Founder and CEO, The Global Foresight Group and Cat Tully
0945 – 1100 6. Panel Discussion: The policy client’s perspective. Decision-makers and senior researchers from government and civil society discuss the relationship between strategic foresight and policy, and their experience of commissioning futures work and promoting long- term decision-making. Bunmi Ajilore Country Lead for Climate Risk Profiling and Lead for Rwanda Digital profiles Agriculture Projects, International Centre for Tropical Agriculture, Nigeria Jaana Tapanainen-Thiess Government Foresight Group, Prime Minister’s Office, Finland Sophie Howe Future Generations Commissioner, Wales
1100 Tea/Coffee
1130 – 1315 7. Faculty and Live Challenge Session - Stage 1: Introduction to scoping Outlining the purpose of the scoping stage. Contracting in Groups. Exercise: Scoping the Live Challenge.
1315 Lunch (History tour at 2.15pm)
1445 – 1615 8. Faculty and Live Challenge Session - Stage 2: Ordering Uncertainty I Trends and scanning, exploring drivers of change
1615 Tea/coffee
1645– 1800 9. Plenary Session - Participants’ experience of foresight. You share your experience of foresight work, giving examples of projects you have been involved in.
1800 – 1810 Closing Session “Check out”
1845 Informal drinks. A dialogue on Foresight, Prevention and Data Analytics with Eleonore Pauwels Research Fellow on AI and Emerging Cybertechnologies, UN University Centre for Policy Research
1930 Croquet followed by dinner and Moment of Delight Karlheinz Steinmüller Scientific Director, Z-Punkt; Physicist and Science Fiction Author
SOIF2019 9 PROGRAMME
DAY 3 WEDNESDAY 7 AUGUST STAGES II TO III – ORDERING TO IMPLICATIONS Introduction to scenarios – global trends – scenario development and exploration – implications
0730 – 0845 Breakfast
0900 – 0915 Opening Session “Check In”
0915 – 1015 10. Faculty and Live Challenge Session - Stage 2: Ordering Uncertainty II Ordering uncertainty. Generating alternative images of the future. Introduction to scenario methodologies and their use in policy – guidelines for scenario construction
1015 Tea/Coffee
1045 – 1200 11. Panel Discussion: Alternative Futures An international panel explains how they order the futures, develop scenarios and apply them to policy Danièle Réchard Head of Global Trends Unit and Member of ESPAS, European Parliamentary Research Service Mathew Burrows Director Strategic Foresight Initiative, Atlantic Council Moutaz Al Riyami Executive Director, Petroleum Development Oman
1200 – 1300 12. Faculty and Live Challenge Session Scenario development and exploration. Plenary followed by group work
1300 Lunch followed by conference photo (2pm) and learning walk
1500 – 1630 13. Faculty and Live Challenge Session Continue Scenario development and exploration and feedback
1630 – 1700 14. Faculty and Live Challenge Session Scenario Implications
1700 – 1710 Closing Session “Check out”
1730 – 1900 Open space Exploring and proto-typing ideas together Host: Andrew Curry Director of Futures, School of International Futures
1930 Fireside chat José Manuel Barroso Prime Minister of Portugal, (2002 - 2004); President of the European Commission, (2004 - 2014)
2015 Dinner and Moment of Delight Mhairi Cameron Composer, Oceanborn: A New Musical
10 SOIF2019 PROGRAMME
DAY 4 THURSDAY 8 AUGUST STAGES III TO IV – IMPLICATIONS TO INTEGRATING FUTURES Building on our scenarios to identify implications – application of foresight to policy and strategy
0700 – 0745 Yoga session (Garden or James Wyatt room)
0730 – 0845 Breakfast
0900 – 0915 Opening Session “Check In”
0915 – 1045 15. Faculty and Live Challenge Session - Stage 3: Implications I From scenarios to strategies: bridging futures to policy
1045 Tea/Coffee
1115 – 1300 16. Faculty and Live Challenge Session - Stage 3: Implications II Wind-tunnelling and Policy Portfolios
1300 Lunch (Garden tour at 2pm)
1430 – 1545 17. Panel Discussion: Futures with Impact. How to think through the implications of foresight work and develop the strategic capability of individuals, organisations and systems to harness foresight in policy and decision-making processes Felix Reed-Tsochas Professor of Complex Systems, Saïd Business School & Oxford Martin School Nicholas Colloff Director Argidius Foundation and former Director of Innovation, Oxfam Natalie Cargill Founder and Executive Director, Effective Giving
1545 – 1745 18. Live Challenge Exercise Completing the Live Challenge. Participants prepare their advice for the client on how to respond to the Live Challenge. (Tea/coffee available)
1745 – 1845 19. Faculty Session - Stage 4: Integrating Futures I Integrating the futures approach. Embedding and communicating insights including Moment of Delight Amanda Ruggeri Editor, London Features and Editor, BBC Future
1845 – 1855 Closing Session “Check out”
1930 Drinks on the terrace. Followed by Gala dinner (8pm)
SOIF2019 11 PROGRAMME
DAY 5 FRIDAY 9 AUGUST STAGES IV – INTEGRATING FUTURES AND LESSONS FROM THE WEEK Integrating the foresight approach: presenting back to the client – brining foresight back to the office and planning our projects - lessons from the whole week as we wrap-up the journey for this year. Goodbyes
0730 – 0845 Breakfast and checkout of rooms. Please return your key to Hartwell House by 0845. You can leave your luggage at reception.
0900 – 0915 Opening Session “Check in”
0915 – 1000 20. Live Challenge Exercise Conclusion Groups present their recommendations to our policy client
Stephen King CEO Luminate (Videoconference)
1000 – 1045 21. Faculty Session - Stage 4: Integrating Futures II Integrating the futures approach. Building strategic capability and stimulating a forward-looking organisation.
1045 Tea/coffee
1115 – 1145 22. Integrating Futures – Personal Projects Integrating Futures in your organisation - your project
1145 – 1230 23. Advisory Session Developing future project plans with SOIF advisers and coaches
1230 – 1300 24. Concluding the Learning Journey Next steps and goodbyes. Final “Check Out” Cat Tully and the SOIF Team
1300 Lunch
1400 Participants depart
12 SOIF2019 STRATEGIC FORESIGHT PROGRAMME
School of International Futures (SOIF) is pleased to offer attendees at our retreats the option to achieve professional certification to our Strategic Foresight Programme endorsed by ILM.
The SFP recognises your continued development as a Strategic Foresight Practitioner and is awarded based on the successful completion of a three- to six-month programme. On completion you will receive a programme certificate endorsed by ILM, the UK’s leading specialist provider in leadership, coaching and management qualifications.
It is a programme focused on helping you to apply your retreat learning and the foresight approach to a project within your organisation or externally with a client. This is a great opportunity to focus and continue your ongoing professional development, as well as to demonstrate your capability and commitment to Strategic foresight
Benefits:
• Demonstrate your foresight skills and expertise
• Continue your personal development and practice using strategic foresight on a project, supported by SOIF advisers
• Ensure you follow through on your post-Retreat actions and commitments
• Following completion, receive an internationally recognized certificate
• The organisation that sponsored you to attend our workshop also benefits, since your continued development as a leader/manager is in their interests as well.
For further information on the Strategic Foresight Programme, ask one of the SOIF team.
An alternative accreditation route for those who can’t attend the Retreat based on a 2-day workshop with additional distance learning.
SOIF2019 13 NEXT GENERATION FORESIGHT PRACTITIONERS AWARD 2019
Our 2019 Award has just been The practice of foresight can help Our 2019 Winner: We are delighted announced and we have our Main us embrace change, uncertainty to welcome our Main Award winner, Award Winner, Prateeksha Singh & create better futures. The NGFP Prateeksha Singh to the retreat this joining us from India this week. The award aims to identify these year. As the Main Award winner Joseph Jaworki Next Generation innovators and support them in Prateeksha will receive $25k funding Foresight Practitioners Award is their endeavours. to develop a new foresight initiative an annual award launched in 2018 as well as other support to help to recognise the next generation’s Our 2019 Applicants: This year, her develop her personally and endeavours in shaping the future. we received 74 applications for the professionally. award from 35 nationalities. The award aims to identify, support Prateeksha is a multidisciplinary and showcase global, innovative Next steps on the journey: The designer based in Canada and practice in Strategic Foresight. It Award is just the start of the India. She collaboratively explores seeks to foster connections and journey to create a global Sensing how applying a living system lens collaborations between pockets Network of future-alert activists: to a design-futures and arts-based of innovative practice being a co-created platform for next practice can provide additional exercised by a new generation of generation foresight practitioners tools and perspectives for working foresight practitioners, whether to connect, and access support with complex yet adaptive millennials – with new aspirations to develop both personally and challenges. Her project seeks to and values – practitioners from professionally. take her inclusive futures framework new geographies, or second and called Lotus, which seeks to drive third career practitioners entering Over the next three years, we will culturally sensitive and inclusive the field from other domains with create a global accelerator for futures work, and to an create an fresh ideas and approaches. these emerging foresight leaders to online interactive resource for all amplify and scale their impact, with practitioners. Why is the award needed? The an associated impact fund. The world is changing and as it does vision is to transform the Sensing we need new sources of inspiration Network into a foresight leadership and innovation. accelerator for next-generation foresight practitioners, with a focus Change will come from many on the Global South. arenas and peoples. The Joseph Jaworski Next Generation Each year we will be piloting new Foresight Practitioners Award is ideas, with 2019 looking at an an annual award recognising the African Futures for African Next next generation’s endeavours in Generation Dialogue (piloting disrupting and shaping the future. regional networking using face-to- face dialogue), a Walkabout prize for young Foresight Scanners and a conference for Emerging Female Futures.
14 SOIF2019 Our special awardees: In total • Lauren Keeler (North America, USA) To translate futures games from we awarded 16 special awards to analogue to digital to allow their impact to scale across communities applicants from all six continents through online resources, training and tutorials to recognise their contributions to • Deepshikha Dash and Sugandh Malhotra (Group Award, India) A particular sectors or geographies. project to support designers to design future possibilities in Mobility for Our awardees willl be supported congested metropolitan cities. through mentoring with top international foresight thinkers • Shakhil Ahmed (Asia, Bangladesh) Creation of a futures space in and practitioners, meetups, and Bangladesh to support people to explore and create their preferred training webinars. futures.
• Alanna Markle (National/Local Policy, USA) Pilot and development of a simple framework to distil futures analysis into key policy messages and recommendations for decision-makers.
• Krizna Gomez (Humanitarian, Philippines) Creation of a school for young futurists (15-25 years old) to promote social justice globally and in their local contexts
• Charlie Warwick (Europe, UK) Project to drive positive and future-fit community planning in a town planning context and pilot for an urban planning ‘Futures Toolkit’
• Carin Ism (International Policy, Sweden) To support the Future Governance Agency for a deeper purpose of promoting an increased understanding of governance innovation
• Naidel Ardilla (Community, Mexico) Addressing internal barriers to self-valuation, and quality of decision-making in the lives and futures of Mexican women
• Leah Zaidi (Environment, Canada) A participatory approach to experiential futures to help build futures capacity and communicate complex emerging problems
• Maha Hosain Aziz (Education, Pakistan) Powerful visual stories which enlighten youth and adults on global risks: For adults, a graphic novel trilogy on the refugee, the youth citizen and the extremist; for kids, a mixed identity superhero teen who fights for democracy and human rights.
• Ana Tiquia (Oceania, Australia) All Tomorrow’s Futures: connecting artistic and creative practice with foresight. A project series starting with futures of energy in Australia
• Corina Angheloiu (Community, Romania) Foresight pollinators: a multidisciplinary community of practice building the wider field of futures-led inquiry
• Nisreen Lahham (Middle East, Jordan) Solutions for water-energy-food security Nexus in MENA and SSA, using participative foresight
• Stephanie Yesmukanova (Cities, Kazahkhstan) The future identity of Kazakhstani citizens
• Rodrigo Mendes Leal de Souza (S. America, Brazil) Participative scnearios to address Brazilian development challenges
• Adeiye Oluwaseun-sobo (Africa, Nigeria) Pilot of Prototype testing the Futures Literacy Labs in Nigeria
SOIF2019 15 TEAM
At this year’s retreat you will be supported by different members of the SOIF team, who will be helping you at different stages of your journey.
SOIF FRONT OF HOUSE • Cat Tully (Retreat host and Faculty)
• Marius Oosthuizen (Live challenge)
• Peter Glenday (Retreat host and Live Challenge)
• Sarah Spencer (Retreat Coordinator)
GUEST FACULTY • Kristel van der Elst
FACILITATION TEAM • Emma Bennett (Lead facilitator)
• Chris Skelly
• Maggie Greyson
• Pupul Bisht
SPECIAL GUESTS • Andrew Curry (Open space host, SOIF)
• Brian Chandler (SOIF Guru)
• Louise Pulford (Executive Director, SIX)
• Sarah Dunn (Advisor)
• Sophie Middlemiss (Communications, SOIF)
• Sophie Monaghan-Coombs (Strategy and Development Manager, SIX)
16 SOIF2019 TEAM BIOS
TEAM BIOS
ANDREW CURRY BRIAN CHANDLER CAT TULLY Andrew Curry has worked as a futurist Between 1980 and 1990 Brian was Cat Tully is the founder of the for twenty years, leading a wide range the main change agent at Arthur School of International Futures of projects across the commercial Young (now Ernst & Young). He (SOIF). SOIF helps leaders, sector, the public sector, and the turned the training department communities and organisations non-profit sector. He left the Futures into a profit centre and built a team engage with the future, to make Practice of Kantar Consulting in June, which moved from ‘classroom’ better decisions today. SOIF and joined the School of International teaching to working with business runs projects and foresight as Director of Futures. At Kantar leaders on their problems. (Those retreats across the world and has Consulting he was until 2018 managing who worked with him now run 600 alumni in 50 countries. Cat editor of the company’s Future their own businesses.) He drew advises on and teaches strategic Perspectives thought leadership series, on Gallwey’s ‘Inner Game’, foresight, emergent strategy and and also co-host of its podcast, The Huthwaite’s behavioural research, system stewardship internationally, Future of Consumption. His clients Porter’s theories, and much else including at the UN and as a have included the UK government’s to underpin this. Along with Mairi Visiting Professor in Malaysia. Foresight Programme and the UK Eastwood, who used to head Environment Agency, where a set Praesta, global leaders in coaching Previously, Cat was Strategy of 50-year scenarios informed the he opened up the UK market for Project Director at the UK FCO Agency’s 50 year water strategy. MBAs. and Senior Policy Adviser in the He was also lead author of the Prime Minister’s Strategy Unit. Henley Centre’s 2001 report for the What he learned and what Before working in government, Cabinet Office, “Understanding Best he created in this period (he she worked in strategy and Practice in Strategic Futures.” He transformed the training international relations across has published extensively on futures programme for 4000 people) the not-for-profit and business subjects, including – with Wendy enabled him to build his own sectors, including Christian Aid, Schultz – “Roads Less Travelled”, on consulting practice. With many Technoserve and Procter and the strengths and weaknesses of of his clients now retired, he has Gamble. comparative scenarios methods, and moved into ‘Angel Investing’ with, – with Anthony Hodgson – the first amongst others: a headhunter Cat has degrees from Cambridge academic paper on the Three Horizons who leads in placing women in and Princeton Universities. She method. A critical history of the idea engineering management; and is a trustee for the Foundation of scenario planning is scheduled a project to provide postcode for Democracy and Sustainable to be published later this year in addresses in Africa. Development (FDSD); a Global Lancaster University’s Handbook of board member of Academics Social Futures. Andrew is a member He lives in a tiny village in Norfolk. Stand Against Poverty (ASAP); of the Advisory Board of Lancaster a member of United Nations University’s Institute of Social Futures. Learning Advisory Council for the He served for five years as Vice Chair 2030 Agenda and a member of of the Association of Professional the Advisory Group of the British Futurists. Before joining The Henley Foreign Policy Group (BFPG) Centre in 1999 he worked as a financial journalist for the BBC and Channel 4 News, as a television producer, and in interactive media.
SOIF2019 17 TEAM BIOS
CHRIS SKELLY EMMA BENNETT KRISTEL VAN DER ELST Dr Skelly and his colleagues are Emma works with leaders in Kristel Van der Elst is Director transforming the way they approach the public and private sector to General, Canada Policy Horizons, and ‘organisational intelligence’. challenge established structures Co-Founder and CEO, of The Global The continuing rapid change in and achieve better human futures. Foresight Group. She has 17 years national health systems requires an She has a strong interest in applied of experience in forward-looking ‘intelligence rethink’. We’ve done systems thinking, resilience and strategy and policy advisory roles. just that and after three years of adaptation, particularly in a world She works with senior executives transformation and organisational threatened by ecological collapse. and policy makers including development, we are moving to heads of state, ministers, heads ‘transformative collective system She is a strategy and foresight of international organisations and intelligence’. Futuring is a key practitioner with expertise think tanks, and CEOs providing the element of that process. across management consulting, insights, resources and processes to international development, and help them turn long-term strategic Chris is also immersed in HUMI, a corporate innovation. She works thinking into actions and impacts. passion project (www.humi.site), to unpack and reframe complexity which currently involves participants by weaving together insights from She is a member of the OECD from Australia, the UK, India, and divergent mental models, sectors Governmental Foresight Community, China. Having formed a partnership and disciplines. the Strategic Foresight for Research with the UNCBD, we issued a joint & Innovation Policy in Horizon challenge at COP14, in Sharm El- As a strategist at Accenture and 2020 (SFRI) European Commission Sheikh, to establish 20 city projects, at the WPP creative agency ‘The Expert Group, and the Independent in 20 countries by 2020. The Futures Company’, she advised Advisory Committee to the Global pathway into community adaptation global multinationals on their Burden of Disease initiative, and resilience to climate change long-term growth strategies, with a former Senior Director, Head of is now thought to be through the particular focus on industries facing Strategic Foresight, and member restoration of ecosystems and their crisis and reinvention. of the Executive Committee, World functioning. Microbiome Science is Economic Forum. changing the way that future looks. At the international development consultancy Adam Smith Kristel is an established author, With a broad educational International, she led DFID-funded speaker, moderator and certified background and career across a programmes to improve justice and facilitator. number of sectors including natural security infrastructure in fragile and resources conservation, earth conflict-affected countries. Kristel is Visiting Professor at the observation science, climate change College of Europe and teaches in impact modelling, animal and Emma is part of SOIF’s core Executive Education progammes at plant biosecurity, and public health management team and also consults Said Business School, University of intelligence, Chris has worked in the as an independent strategy director. Oxford and at the London School of academic, public and private sectors She is a fellow of the RSA and holds Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. of Canada, New Zealand, Australia Masters degrees in War Studies, and and the United Kingdom. For in Philosophy and Politics. Kristel holds an MBA from the Yale balance, he seeks out the occasional School of Management, a Masters in long-distance walk. Development Cooperation from the University of Ghent, and a Masters in Commercial Engineering from the Free University of Brussels. She is a Fulbright Scholar and Rotary Foundation Ambassadorial Scholar.
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LOUISE PULFORD MAGGIE GREYSON MARIUS OOSTHUIZEN Louise Pulford is the Executive Maggie Greyson is a Winner of Marius Oosthuizen is a global Director of SIX, a social innovation the Next Generation Foresight futurist. His passion is helping exchange built on mutual value, Practitioner Special Award for strategic leaders adapt to complex relationships and knowledge. North America from the School of challenges with ethical awareness SIX works globally to facilitate International Futures. and future-orientated strategy. He is purposeful cross-sector a board member of the Association conversations that challenge and Her mandate is to help people of Professional Futurists (APF.org) inspire people to advance the field use ambiguous nature of our and a member of faculty at the of social innovation. Louise has times to play a meaningful part in Gordon Institute of Business Science been responsible for building SIX the future. Robust research and (GIBS.co.za) of the University over the last 6 years. Under her creative risk-taking define her of Pretoria, South Africa. He leadership, SIX spun out of the career as a designer, futurist and specialises in strategic foresight and Young Foundation in 2013. writer. scenario planning. As a consultant and keynote speaker, he is often Louise leads a team of 9 Maggie has a Master of Design in called upon to shift the mindsets spread across London and Strategic Foresight and Innovation of leaders and provide strategic Canada to advance the field from the Ontario College of Art insight into complex systemic shifts of social innovation through and Design University. She was an in the operating environment. major programmes of work Emerging Fellow of the Association Marius helps leaders navigate with foundations, universities, of Professional Futurists 2018. complex changes brought about corporates and governments. by global political and economic Louise is also building SIX’s work Her work garners international trends, digital and technological to advance culture change within attention for strategic transformation and unpredictable organisations. Louise is a seasoned communication and innovative social change. He holds a master speaker on building networks, storytelling methods. She has of arts in strategic foresight from the value of exchange and social designed interactive online Regent University, VA, USA, and a innovation globally, and regularly experiences for Fortune 100 master of philosophy in social and designs and facilitates social companies such as Nissan, GE political ethics from St. Augustines innovation training programmes and Shell. She also has a ten college, Johannesburg. He is a past for governments, foundations year career as a designer for the participant in the Oxford Scenarios and universities around the world. stage with companies such as the Programme and the Futures Forum Louise also publishes regular International Shakespeare’s Globe, at Saïd Business School, Oxford articles on networks and social in the London and the Stratford University and currently completing innovation. Theatre Festival. a PhD in public leadership with Stellenbosch University, Cape Louise has worked on social Town, looking at best practice in innovation with the European multi-sector institutions. He has Commission since 2010 and she sits worked on foresight projects in on the Mayor of Seoul’s Advisory multiple sectors, including, financial group for social innovation. services and insurance, oil and gas, automotive, healthcare and the property industry, national policy in the digital age, cities, water and energy security and emerging markets. Marius loves to travel and to immerse himself in new contexts. He lives in South Africa with his wife and three children. SOIF2019 19 TEAM BIOS
PETER GLENDAY PUPUL BISHT SARAH SPENCER
Peter Glenday is Programme and Pupul is a multi-disciplinary Sarah Spencer is SOIF’s Next Research Director at the School of foresight practitioner and the Generation Foresight Practitioner International Futures. Winner of the Joseph Jaworski (NGFP) Award and Retreats Next Generation Foresight Coordinator. Sarah manages the He is responsible for supporting Practitioners Award 2018. Her award process, outcomes and the international clients from across practice is rooted in human- NGFP community. She also leads the public third and private centered insights and lies at the organisation of the annual SOIF sectors to build resilience and the intersection of futures Retreat and high level events. agility through foresight. He has thinking, systems design, and seven years’ experience delivering participatory research. As part of Sarah joined SOIF in 2018, after consultancy and research projects the NGFP Award, she founded the having a career break to start a including horizon scanning and Decolonizing Futures Initiative in family. Before that, she worked for foresight projects for governments, 2018— a global project that aims to two years at the Department for consulting in the non-profit sector, engage marginalized communities Education, in the Sure Start and and academic research. in imagining their preferred futures Early Intervention Unit. There, she in order to inform and inspire was part of the team setting up He has led and worked on horizon inclusive policy-making and and monitoring children’s centres scanning projects for School of innovation. Through this initiative, as well as organising events around International Futures for clients Pupul is pioneering the use of her early interventions for very young including BOND Development novel foresight method inspired children. Futures, UK Department for by the Kaavad folk-storytelling Transport, UK, Cabinet Office, tradition of Rajasthan, India— one Before joining the DfE, Sarah spent Research UK, Arts Council England, of the first and only foresight ten years (2000-2010) working in IATA the Royal Society and United methods directly derived from the Cabinet Office as part of the Nations. He previously worked a non-western tradition. Pupul Performance and Innovation Unit, at the Horizon Scanning Center, is also currently working with and in then the Forward Strategy Government Office for Science NESTA, UK on developing a global Unit based in 10 Downing Street. as a lead researcher on the 2010 anthology on Participatory Futures These two then merged into the Technology and Innovation Futures as the youngest member of Action Prime Minister’s Strategy Unit. and ‘Dimensions of Uncertainty’ Foresight’s ‘Global Swarm’. With Sarah’s roles included running the projects, and subsequently for a belief that the stories we tell of administrative teams on strategy Horizon Scanning Ltd on the 2012 our pasts shape our futures, Pupul projects and organising press refresh. has dedicated her practice to conferences, presentations, seminar uncovering narratives of alternative programme and staff events. Peter has a doctorate in Zoology histories and marginalized futures (Genetics) from University of that otherwise lie in under-explored Outside work, Sarah is kept busy Oxford and a BA in Natural nooks of our everyday world. with her three young sons. She also Sciences from University of Through the tool of storytelling, enjoys music, being creative, the Cambridge she hopes to move foresight outdoors, and keeping happy. outside organizational confines and engage in mass dialogue about our collective future as a civilization. Pupul has a Bachelor’s in Graphic Design from National Institute of Design (India) and a Master’s in Strategic Foresight and Innovation program from OCAD University
20 SOIF2019 TEAM BIOS
SARAH DUNN SOPHIE MIDDLEMISS SOPHIE MONAGHAN- Passionate about social justice Sophie is a foreign policy and COOMBS and uncompromising on quality, international affairs consultant, Sophie is the Strategy and Sarah draws on more than 20 years with sidelines in strategic Development Manager at SIX. She experience in over 25 countries communications and travel leads their programme of work across Africa, Asia, Europe the writing. She has a decade’s with philanthropy, the SIX Funders Middle East and Caribbean. experience at the UK Foreign and Node. This programme works with She combines high level policy Commonwealth Office (2008-18), philanthropic foundations all over expertise with on the ground working - amongst other things the world, enabling challenging delivery having led programme - on the UK’s Russia policy, as and inspiring them to be more portfolios of up to $500m. a speechwriter to then-Foreign transformational and increase Secretary David Miliband, and in their impact. Sophie also manages Now working as an independent the FCO Strategy Unit. She has the of organisations that make up consultant Sarah was previously also worked to manage global SIX’s core partners - the SIX Global the Director of Partnerships and communications campaigns Council. Brands for the innovative start for major global clients such as up foundation The Power of UN Women whilst at Portland She joined SIX in February Nutrition, Director of Strategy Communications (2010-11). Sophie 2018 after working for charities for the Children’s Investment has written for Rough Guides based in London and The Big Fund Foundation (the world’s and The Observer on European Issue magazine at their editorial largest philanthropy focused on destinations (Russia, Serbia, headquarters in Glasgow. She improving children’s lives), Head Hungary and Kosovo) and is graduated in 2017 with a degree of Business Change and Strategy the author of the forthcoming in English Literature, where she for the Department of International Berlitz city guide to Belgrade. specialised in contemporary Development (DFID) and DFID She holds a Masters’ degree in literature dealing with issues such Country Director in South Africa. International Relations from LSE as gender and the environment. Alongside a deep contextual and (with distinction) and a first class strategic understanding Sarah History degree from the University brings experience of working in of Cambridge. partnership with many of the major (and minor) investors committed to driving change to deliver on the SDGS.
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SPEAKERS DAY 1
ARIF LALANI STEPHEN KING PAIGE NICOL Ambassador Lalani serves as As a Senior Manager at Luminate, As CEO of Luminate, Stephen leads the Head of the Department Paige leads the organisation’s our overall team and strategy and is of Diplomatic Affairs for His strategic planning and foresight responsible to Luminate’s Board for Highness the Aga Khan, at the activities. She works with the running of the organisation. He Diwan of the Ismaili Imamat, investment teams and the portfolio brings over 25 years of leadership based in Lisbon, Portugal. He is across all regions and impact areas experience to his role, with a responsible for supporting the to identify new trends and translate career focus on using media and Imamat’s global diplomatic and insights to action. technology to create positive social government relations. He is a impact and hold power to account. career diplomat on leave from the Before joining Luminate, Paige Canadian government. With the was a Strategy Manager on the Before joining Luminate, Stephen Canadian government, he served Intellectual Capital team at Omidyar was a partner at Omidyar Network as Ambassador to the United Arab Network, where she helped where he led the Governance and Emirates; Canada’s first Special develop the firm’s Digital Identity Citizen Engagement initiative and Envoy to the Organisation of Islamic initiative. Previously, she was a helped establish its global network Cooperation; Ambassador to the Graduate Fellow with The Business of investments. Prior to that, he Islamic Republic of Afghanistan; and Human Rights Group. Paige worked at BBC Media Action where, and as Ambassador to the began her career as a Consultant as Chief Executive, he helped build Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, and at Deloitte with engagements the organisation’s reputation as (non-resident) Ambassador to the focused on strategic planning, a global leader in using media to Republic of Iraq. Other postings leadership alignment, and change promote better governance and include Turkey, (with accreditation management for major public transparency, and improve the lives to Georgia and Azerbaijan); New sector transformations. of the world’s poorest. York (Alternative Representative to the UN Security Council); and, Stephen has held executive Washington, D.C. (Counsellor). positions at several nonprofit Arif is a member of the Board organisations and companies in of Directors of the Centre for the UK, North America, and Asia. International Governance Innovation He is a currently a board member (CIGI). He was a founding member of the International Consortium of the Advisory Board of the Munk of Investigative Journalists and School of Global Affairs, a graduate of Phandeeyar, a technology school to develop professionals for incubator. careers in international affairs. He is the recipient of: Honorary Doctor of Letters (PhD), Canadian University of Dubai; Alam Sayad Jamal-u-Din al Afghani medal for promotion of Canada-Afghanistan relations; and, the Queen Elizabeth II Golden Jubilee Medal, for service to Canada and Canadians.
22 SOIF2019 SPEAKERS
CHARLIE EDWARDS WELLINGTON NOGUEIRA Charlie Edwards is a Director in the Restlessly looking for fun and joy Cabinet Office. He was previously in in every aspect of life, Wellington the Office for Security and Counter Nogueira started his professional life Terrorism and was the Senior Policy as a teacher of English at Objetivo Adviser to the Home Secretary on Educational Group in Brazil, in 1980. National Security and International The classrooms inspired him to pursue Affairs. Charlie has spent much a life onstage, so, in 1983 he moved of his career in think tanks and to NYC to study Musical Theater research institutes including the Performance at the American Musical RAND Corporation. and Dramatic Academy, AMDA. Upon graduating in 1986, started acting in New York Theater, Film – Signs of Life, and Circus – NY Clown Festival, IF Every Fool. In 1988, he joined the Big Apple Circus Clown Care Unit, as Dr Calvin Clown, performing at several NYC hospitals. That marked the beginning of his journey into the ever fascinating universe of professional clowns in hospitals. Committed to bringing that innovative Art form to Brazil, he returned to São Paulo in 1991, and created Doutores da Alegria (Doctors of Joy), Brazil’s pioneer professional “clown doctor” organization. Wellington was recognised as Social Entrepreneur by ASHOKA in 1997 and Doctors of Joy was included as one of the 40 World Best Practices by The UN Habitat in 1999. In 2014, The Institute For The Future, in Palo Alto, awarded Wellington the Fellowship4Good, where he focused on the relationship between Joy and Work, proposing new mindset and action for turbulent times of change: Play2Flow. He is happily married to filmmaker Mara Mourão and they are the proud parents of Theo.
SOIF2019 23 SPEAKERS
DAY 2
OLUWABUNMI AJILORE JAANA TAPANAINEN- SOPHIE HOWE Oluwabunmi “Bunmi” Ajilore is THIESS Sophie was appointed as the first an Agricultural Development and Mrs Tapanainen-Thiess is an expert in Future Generations Commissioner for Foresight expert with over a decade strategic foresight and has extensive Wales in February 2016. Her role is experience working with national experience in conceptualizing and to act as a guardian for the interests and international development realizing high stakes strategic of future generations in Wales, and organisations across Africa, Latin foresight projects for both private and to support the public bodies listed in America, Europe, Caribbean and public sector. She has managed and the Well-being of Future Generations the Pacific Islands. led strategy and scenario projects (Wales) Act 2015 to work towards for blue-chip companies (DAX, achieving the well-being goals. Prior to He is 2018 Africa Special Award MDAX, EURO STOXX 50) and futures this role, Sophie was the first Deputy Winner and the Global Runner- projects of the European Union, Police and Crime Commissioner up of the Joseph Jaworski Next Inner Security, Government, Rule for South Wales, where she led Generation Foresight Practitioners of Law, knowledge, Inclusion and programmes to tackle violent crime Award, and a 2018 Fellow of Creativity, Food & Natural Resources, and violence against women and girls, the Abshire-Inamori Leadership Sustainable Environment, and Defence focusing on early intervention and Academy (AILA) of the Center for Co-Operation. At the Prime Minister’s partnership working. She reformed Strategic and International Studies office of Finland she has conducted programmes on substance misuse and (CSIS). a comprehensive foresight work offender management and negotiated for all 12 Ministries, the Permanent the first shared work programme Bunmi recently re-joined the State Secretaries and the Executive between Public Health Wales and International Center for Tropical Management Teams of each Ministry. South Wales Police. Sophie has served Agriculture (CIAT) as a Consultant She is a member of the Government as a Government Special Adviser to lead the Center’s Climate Risk Foresight Group and has worked as providing policy and political advice Profiles project in Nigeria and the an Advisor at the Prime Minister’s on communities, local government, Digital Profiles project in Rwanda. Office in United Arab Emirates. As a community safety, housing, Prior to that, he was the Foresight management consultant she improved regeneration and equality. With a Adviser at the Global Forum on the growth and competitiveness of background in equality and diversity Agricultural Research & Innovation Finnish businesses and the innovation having managed the legal department (GFAR) Secretariat – hosted by the environment, and helped them in in the Equal Opportunities Commission UNFAO. phases of internationalization. As and subsequently as a policy adviser Head of Industry she covered over in the Equality and Human Rights He has a master’s degree in 40 countries. Mrs Tapanainen has Commission, Sophie chaired and environmental biology from an MBA from the triple accredited wrote the report of the Councillors University of Ibadan, Nigeria; and a Executive MBA Programme at the Commission Expert Panel on increasing bachelor of agriculture from Olabisi Kellogg School of Management at diversity in Local Government. Sophie Onabanjo University. He is an Northwestern University (USA), served as a County councillor in Cardiff analytical thinker; likes reading and WHU - Otto Beisheim School of - having been elected at the age of 21 writing, and speaks/understands Management (Germany) and Hong she became the youngest Councillor 4 languages (2 fluently, 2 basic). Kong University of Science and in Wales. During her nine years as a He loves travelling, and has lived in Technology. A Native of Finland, she Councillor she was Deputy Leader of 4 countries and worked in/visited has lived and studied over 25 years the Opposition for a period, as well as more than 30. in Germany, the Netherlands, New a member of the Children and Young Zealand, Belgium. People Scrutiny Committee.
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ELEONORE PAUWELS KARLHEINZ Eleonore Pauwels is the Research STEINMÜLLER Fellow on AI and Emerging Steinmüller is scientific director Cybertechnologies at United and founding partner of “Z_punkt Nations University Centre for Policy GmbH – The Foresight Company” Research. Pauwels held the position at Cologne and Berlin. Since 1991 of Director of the Anticipatory in the field of futures studies, he Intelligence (AI) Lab with the is engaged in foresight activities Science and Technology Innovation for large enterprises and public Program at the Woodrow Wilson administrations. Recent clients International Center for Scholars. She include the Federal Academy for is a former official of the European Security Policy, the Berlin-based Commission’s Directorate on Science, Center for International Peace Economy and Society. Pauwels is Operations, the German Armed a writer and international science Forces, several foundations and policy expert, who specializes in the the European Commission. His governance and democratization special fields of expertise include of converging technologies. She technological foresight, scenario is the author of a landmark report generation, and in particular wild for the United Nations University, cards. He has also done research titled “The New Geopolitics of into the history and methodology Converging Risks: The UN and of foresight, and lectures about Prevention in the Era of AI.” Pauwels’ it at Freie Universität Berlin. He is research analyzes and compares member of several committees, how emerging technologies, such including the working group on as artificial intelligence, cyber- methodology of the Netzwerk and biotechnologies, raise new Zukunftsforschung (Network opportunities and challenges for Futures Research) and the program health, security, economics and committee on infrastructure of the governance in different geo-political German space flight management. contexts. Pauwels is a Member of the Previously, he collaborated in the Council on Extended Intelligence, (now defunct) Collège Européen de Adviser on the AI Initiative at Harvard Prospective Territoriale. Steinmüller, Kennedy School, the IEEE Global born in 1950 at Klingenthal/East Initiative on Ethics of Autonomous Germany, studied at Technical and Intelligent Systems, as well as University Chemnitz and Humboldt an expert for the World Economic University Berlin. He graduated Forum. She regularly testifies before in theoretical physics and got his U.S., European and international degree in philosophy of science. authorities. Bilingual in French and Together with his wife Angela, he English, she frequently writes for has written twelve science fiction Nature, The New York Times, The books, three books about foresight Guardian, Scientific American, Le and a biography of Charles Darwin. Monde, UN News, The UN Chronicle and The World Economic Forum. SOIF2019 25 SPEAKERS
DAY 3
DANIÈLE RÉCHARD MATHEW BURROWS MOUTAZ AL RIYAMI Moutaz Al Riyami is currently an After experiences in the industrial Mathew Burrows serves as Executive Director in Petroleum sector, Danièle joined the European director of the Atlantic Council’;s Development Oman. Institutions where she gained Foresight, Strategy and Risks extensive insight in policy (Social Initiative (FSR). FSR works with a Prior to his current role Moutaz Affairs, Home and Justice, migration broad range of partners, including joined Shell in 2015 as a member issues, as well as Constitutional governments, businesses, NGOs of the Group Strategy Business Affairs). In her present post at the and foundations on analyzing Environment leadership team European Parliament (European trends and possible scenarios (Shell’s Scenario Team) and was Parliamentary Research Service) and their broad implications. responsible for managing the Danièle is in charge of setting up the Burrows recently authored a report Energy Transition Programme. In Global Trends Unit that focuses on sponsored by Zurich Insurance 2017 he became a member of the following long-term global trends Group on “Reducing the Risks From Upstream Joint Venture leadership to analyse how these might affect Rapid Demographic Change,” and team based in The Hague. the European Union and policy a joint report with the Moscow- making. The aim is to facilitate based Primakov Institute of World Moutaz began his career in PDO, a common awareness within Economy and International Relations a Shell Joint Venture, and held the European Parliament, other (IMEMO) on the “Global System on numerous technical and corporate European Institutions and beyond the Brink: Pathways Toward a New roles in the exploration and and to contribute to the European Normal.” Burrows’ book is entitled production business. Strategy and Policy Analysis System, The Future Declassified: Megatrends a high-level administrative dialogue that Will Undo the World Unless We He studied engineering and between the European Institutions. Take Action (Palgrave/Macmillan holds a degree in mechanical In her previous posts she served, 2014).In August 2013 he retired from engineering. inter alia, as a Head of Unit in a 28-year career in the CIA and State Citizens’s Rights and Constitutional Department, the last ten being spent Affairs, as an advisor to Inigo at the National Intelligence Council Mendez De Vigo, President of the (NIC), the premier analytic unit in the EP Delegation to the Convention US Intelligence Community. In 2007, on the EU Charter of Fundamental he was appointed Counselor which is Rights (2000) and as a counsellor the number three position in the NIC, to the former President of the EP where he was the principal drafter Delegation to the Convention on for Global Trends 2030: Alternative the draft Constitution (2002-2003). Worlds, and drafted two earlier Danièle has experience in teaching editions of the report. Burrows at Sciences-Po Paris and first-hand joined the CIA in 1986. Positions knowledge in migration issues as a included assignments as special fellow at the University of Colorado. assistant to the US UN Ambassador Danièle graduated from Sciences-Po Richard Holbrooke (1999-2001) and Paris and holds a Master of Laws deputy national security advisor to from the Sorbonne. She is fluent in US Treasury Secretary Paul O’Neill French, English and German. (2001-02).
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DAY 4
JOSÉ MANUEL BARROSO MHAIRI CAMERON FELIX REED-TSOCHAS Having first been elected to the Mhairi Cameron is a young Felix Reed-Tsochas is Professor Portuguese Parliament in 1985, José composer, lyricist, and performer. of Complex Systems at the Saïd Manuel Barroso served as state Her first musical, Oceanborn, Business School, University of secretary for home affairs, state premiered at 54 Below in New Oxford. He is a founding Director secretary for foreign affairs and York last year and has been of the CABDyN Complexity Centre cooperation, and minister for foreign nominated for multiple awards. in Oxford, which was launched affairs in successive governments. Cameron is a law student at the in 2003. He directed the Oxford In 1999, he was elected president University of Oxford, where she is Martin School Programme on of the Social Democratic Party and a member of the Law Society and Complexity, Risk and Resilience from became the leader of the opposition. a prolific performer. 2012 to 2019, and co-directed their In 2002, he was elected Prime Complexity Economics Programme Minister of Portugal and in 2004 at the Institute for New Economic he was nominated as President Thinking from 2012 to 2015. He holds of the European Commission. an MA in Natural Sciences (Physics) JMB remained in the Presidency and PhD in Theoretical Physics from for two five-year terms where he the University of Cambridge and an played an influential role in the MBA from the University of Oxford. passing of the Treaty of Lisbon, The focus of Felix’s interests is to responding to the financial crisis develop a better understanding and incorporating new members in of complex systems and networks the European Union, as the EU went across disciplinary boundaries, from 15 to 28 countries. On behalf using analytic frameworks and tools of the EU, JMB received the Nobel that can be applied to radically Peace Prize in 2012 and gave the different problem domains. Felix acceptance speech together with the and members of his research President of the European Council. group have worked on diverse Academic positions have included topics unified by a common goal: visiting professor at Georgetown seeking to understand how the University, and visiting professor of patterns and dynamics between the International Economic Policy at the constituents of a system generate Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton systemic behaviour and properties. University. JMB has received over These include, influence processes 60 decorations, prizes and honors, between users and collective including Portugal’s Grã-Cruz da behaviour in social networks, the Ordem Militar de Cristo and Grande use of mobile phone call data to Colar da Ordem do Infante Dom model attention allocation, the use Henrique. JMB graduated in Law of administrative data and medical (University of Lisbon) and completed records to model risk generated a master’s degree in Political Science by patient-patient interactions in and a diploma in European studies hospital settings, and dynamic at the University of Geneva. JMB models of ecological networks and is currently chairman and non- systems. executive director of Goldman Sachs International. SOIF2019 27 SPEAKERS
DAY 4
NICHOLAS COLLOFF NATALIE CARGILL AMANDA RUGGERI Nicholas Colloff is the Director Natalie is the Founder & Executive Amanda Ruggeri is Editor, London of the Argidius Foundation, a Director of Effective Giving, a Features and Editor, BBC Future, private family foundation that is nonprofit which helps high-net- which uses evidence-based analysis, focused on advancing enterprise worth donors maximize the impact original thinking and powerful development in Africa and Latin of their philanthropy. Effective storytelling to shine a light on the America. He is the founder, Giving’s clients include the UK’s hidden ways the world is changing through Opportunity International, youngest self-made billionaire, Ben – and provide solutions for how of two small/micro enterprise Delo, and since Natalie established to navigate it. Whether climate banks in Eastern Europe. The Effective Giving in July 2018, they change, psychology or gender, co-founder, through directorship have moved over $3m to work to BBC Future has become a premier of the venture philanthropy fund, safeguard future generations. destination for readers around the Andrews Charitable Trust, of both world to slow down, delve deep Opportunity International UK Alongside Effective Giving Natalie and shift perspectives. Although (working on financial inclusion) and coordinates a group of donors who not a futurology site, BBC Future Basic Needs ( working in the field collectively give $70m annually to frequently grapples with how to of mental health & amp; poverty). one of the world’s most pressing prepare for our changing world: the problems, and has lectured on the series Deep Civilisation, for example, Following university in London, principles of effective giving at the stands back from the daily news where he studied theology & University of Cambridge and King’s cycle to explore the long view of philosophy, he worked with people College London. Natalie is also an humanity through topics like religion, in prison teaching meditation and associate barrister at Serjeants’ technology and even sex. In 2019, accompanying people on their life Inn Chambers, a tier-1 set, known BBC Future won the prestigious journeys. for cases of ethical and political international Webby Award in the importance. She graduated with category of Best Writing (editorial), This became the Prison Phoenix a double first-class degree from beating out competitors including Trust of which he remains an ever- the University of Oxford and the New Yorker. As well as an going trustee. When not founding has worked with the UN Human editor, Amanda is an award-winning things or helping others too, he is Rights Council, 80,000 Hours, and journalist and presenter whose main to be found either with a book, in Sentience Politics. areas of interest include climate an art gallery or walking through a change, cultural heritage and travel, forest. psychology, food, and ski racing. As a student of history (BA, Yale University) and international relations (MPhil, Cambridge University), she is always especially interested in how learning from the past can inform our present and future. Before joining the BBC in 2014, she worked as a freelance journalist in Rome – and although it’s a tough choice, she would still choose a plate of amatriciana over a pub roast.
28 SOIF2019 PARTICIPANTS
PARTICIPANTS
ADANNA SHALLOWE ANGEL CHEW BEATRIZ NOVALES Adanna Shallowe is the Senior Angel is a Senior Strategist at I have been working for 15 years Global Manager at the Royal the Centre for Strategic Futures, in development cooperation in Society for the Encouragement of a think tank sited in the Prime both NGO and official cooperation Arts, Manufactures and Commerce Minister’s Office of Singapore. She (Spanish Agency for International (RSA). She is responsible for oversees the Centre’s capability Cooperation). My main areas providing global intelligence on development function, including of expertise are public policy the RSA’s thought leadership designing the Centre’s FutureCraft management and organizational in key thematic areas such as curriculum—a series of foresight development. I have been working Future of work, Inclusive Growth courses taught at the Civil for Oxfam Spain for more than and Tech and Society. Previously, Service College—and mentoring 3 years as Program Director for Adanna represented the UK in aspiring futures trainers. She has a Africa. During that time, I have two international membership postgraduate diploma in education been actively involved in the Oxfam organisations - WorldSkills and has more than seven years of internal change process and I am International and WorldSkills experience teaching General Paper participating/chairing governance Europe. Adanna also held research and Project Work (Cambridge A groups at country and regional levels. positions on development Levels) to junior college students. In the last years of my professional initiatives for the Government of She is a firm believer in learning life I have been working especially on Trinidad and Tobago and for the through play, even when it comes strategy development and planning UNDP Caribbean Sub Regional to adults. Her current research process: I led the establishment Research Facility. interests include the future of of the Strategy and Planning Unit learning, specifically the future of and coordinated multi-actor and Adanna holds a Bachelor of continuing education and training multilevel planning processes in Science degree in Management for adults; the social implications the Spanish Agency and currently Studies and a MSc degree from of a changing work order; and I am part of two working groups the University of the West Indies the future of populism. She has at Oxfam which are involved in the in International Relations. She is a bachelor’s degree in English development of the new Oxfam Plan. also a trustee of Project Phakama, Literature from the National a theatre arts charity based in University of Singapore. London.
SOIF2019 29 PARTICIPANTS
CARIN KAUNITZ CHRISTIAN TOHMÉ CHRISTOPHER PARSONS Carin Kaunitz is a strategist with Christian is a cross-industry Under threat of being sent to a many years of business development professional with profound headquarters, Brigadier Parsons leadership, both in the role as knowledge of strategic attempted and passed New Zealand advisor, head of business and project philanthropy, social profit Special Air Service selection in 1995. manager. She has worked with marketing and institutional project After gaining infantry experience he development in both military and funding. completed Special Forces training societal security and safety, ranging ‘and was ‘badged’ as an operational from every day accidents to crisis After having worked in various member in October 1998. Hw has been management, civilian and military positions in the Swiss private employed in the full range of regimental defence. Basis for the work has been and public sector, he joined the appointments and has deployed on several agencies; MSB (Swedish Civil International Red Cross Movement operations as a Troop Commander, Contingencies Agency), the Armed almost 13 years ago. Squadron Commander and as the Forces and FOI (Swedish Defence Commanding Officer. Between 2006 Research Agency). In his current role as member of a and 2007, Brigadier Parsons was the Currently she is developing the Foresight & Advisory team at the New Zealand Army’s interoperability national educational system for International Committee of the Red representative in Australia. He returned societal security and safety, including Cross in Geneva, Christian‘s work to New Zealand in January 2008 and civilian defence. Earlier she has been is mainly focused on helping his was tasked with two projects; to raise responsible for a couple of national organization anticipate trends & the 1st (New Zealand) Signals Regiment processes: national risk and capability best practices and to plan ahead in the Army and a Directorate of Special assessment, foresight analysis and for an uncertain future in terms of Operations in Defence Headquarters. He conceptual development of a modern diversified funding venues. was then posted as the acting Director civilian defence. Special Operations until he assumed 2012-2013 the government appointed Christian is passionate about Command of the 1st New Zealand her as national expert in societal the nexus between capital Special Air Service Group in 2009. In security in the national Defence & purpose, modern-day December 2013 he took six months leave Committee, which produced a philanthropy, responsible to work in the commercial sector. On foreign and security policy report business, transformative solutions, return to the military, he attended the for the government. She started networked learning & reaching United States War College, as one of her carrier with a Master’s degree new heights through off the beaten the inaugural Carlisle Scholars. In 2015 in mechanical engineering from the track approaches. Brigadier Parsons was appointed as Royal Institute of Technology (KTH) the Deputy Chief of the New Zealand and continuously add on courses Army, Aide de Camp (Additional) to Her to facilitate business development Majesty the Queen. Brigadier Parsons such as change management and took up his current role as Head of New quality excellence assessment. When Zealand Defence Staff United Kingdom she isn’t busy saving the world or and Europe in January 2018. Brigadier increasing efficiency in operations Parsons is married to Hayley and they she loves to take dancing classes with have four children. Together, they are her husband and to travel abroad. embarked on a foolhardy renovation of a historic villa and, typical of kiwis, they have interests in the agricultural sector and the outdoors. Hayley is also active in supporting military families, for which she has been recognised with a Chief of Army’s Commendation.
30 SOIF2019 PARTICIPANTS
ESHANTHI RANASINGHE ELIZABETH WILSON GABRIEL CASTILLO Liz Wilson is a senior executive at Gabriel is vice-president of the Eshanthi is a manager on the Small Foundation, a philanthropic Instituto del Futuro (IDF), the first Intellectual Capital team at funder supporting initiatives foresight think-tank in Peru. As Omidyar Network where she that improve the business VP he leads the IDF´s efforts to advances strategy and research ecosystems that proliferate income communicate the future, educate across the firm’s initiatives, opportunities for those in extreme people in foresight and plays a incubates new areas of impact, poverty in sub-Saharan Africa. key role in developing foresight and leads the firm’s work on future research tailored specifically sensing and foresight. Liz has over 20 years of experience to Peru. He is a member of the in delivering international Copenhagen Institute of Future Prior to joining Omidyar Network, partnerships and strategic Studies Global Scanning Network. Eshanthi was a management analysis. Previously she was a He contributes to the network´s consultant at the Boston program officer in the Economic horizon scan by identifying signals Consulting Group, working on a Advancement Program of and potential trends. Gabriel is range of projects, from analyzing Open Society Foundations, and also a part of Pushay, a non-profit international market dynamics deputy director and co-founder dedicated to helping people for long-term expansion and of Agriculture for Impact, Imperial living in precarious conditions exit opportunities for healthcare College London, where she develop social and entrepreneurial companies to developing growth provided evidence and analysis projects. As part of Pushay he strategies for nonprofit charter to European governments to is a part of the organization´s school startups. Before that, inform and increase their support strategic planning unit. Before Eshanthi worked for CARE for agricultural development, joining the IDF Gabriel worked Bangladesh to value and negotiate food and nutrition security in on public policy consultancy a joint-venture social enterprise sub-Saharan Africa. Liz has where he participated in projects that empowers rural Bangladeshi worked in the UK’s Department covering a wide range of subjects. women to become entrepreneurial for International Development Gabriel holds a Bachelor of Arts in salespeople. She also worked in Beijing on government International Development from for Ford Motor Company India, partnerships to implement climate the University of Sussex. where she set up a public-private change adaptation and sustainable partnership to establish a mobile urban development strategies health initiative. in China. She has also worked as a humanitarian worker in the Eshanthi attended the University Democratic Republic of Congo and of Michigan for an MBA a and an the UK, and served as a UK political M.S. in Natural Resources and diplomat in Beijing and London. Environment. She also has a B.S. in Liz is a trustee of the Nigeria- business and a B.A. in journalism. based Visiola Foundation, and UK-based charity Enterprise for Development.
SOIF2019 31 PARTICIPANTS
GENEVIEVE CAMERON ISAAC KWAKU JENNIFER BURGESS Genevieve is Programme and Isaac Kwaku Fokuo, Jr. offers Lieutenant Colonel Burgess is an Research Manager at the Health strategic and leadership guidance Australian Army Engineer Officer Foundation—an independent charity to support clients successfully and is posted to the United Kingdom committed to bringing about better navigate the nuances of emerging Development, Concepts, Doctrine health and health care for people growth markets. Kwaku is the Centre, as the Australian Exchange in the UK. She manages the Health founder and principal of BOTHO Officer. She is an experienced Foundation’s Shaping Health Futures Emerging Markets Group, an project manager with diverse programme which aims to support emerging markets investment domain expertise including, civil and health and social care policymakers advisory firm. Kwaku is also the software engineering and military to better prepare for the future by founder of the Sino-Africa Centre of vehicle technology. incorporating long-term thinking Excellence (SACE), an organization Lieutenant Colonel Burgess more effectively into today’s that facilitates partnerships completed a Bachelor of Civil decisions. between Chinese and African Engineering Honours degree private and public sector actors. at the University of Adelaide Genevieve’s background is in social Most recently he served as the VP before enlisting in the Royal research. She previously worked for Strategy and Linkages for the Australian Engineers in 1994. In for the Care Quality Commission, African Leadership Group (ALG). her appointments she successfully England’s health and social care Kwaku is a member of the China- managed the design and regulator, reviewing the quality of Africa Wildlife Conservation Council development of a medical clinic, care in local health and social care (CAWCC), an Aspen Institute community housing, sewerage systems. Before that she worked and Africa Wildlife Foundation and water treatment projects for in research consultancy delivering Initiative. Kwaku holds an MA in remote Aboriginal communities, research and evaluation projects for International Relations with a focus and was instrumental in improving clients across the NHS, central and on security and regional integration the living and working conditions local government and the voluntary from the UChicago, an MBA for Australian troops in East sector. Kellsdtadt School of Business, and a Timor through the management Certificate in Executive Education in of engineering safety technical assessments of force assigned Leadership from the Oxford derelict buildings and through University Saïd Business School. the design and construction of Kwaku is an Advisor to the China sanitation and sewage treatment Africa Tech Initiative, a trustee of facilities. Hanover College, and serves on the She completed Acquisition and Boards of Axis Human Capital and Technology studies at the Royal The Boardroom Africa. Military College Shrivenham in 2001 and was awarded the Challenger Trophy for Cum Laude.. In 2012 Lieutenant Colonel Burgess received a Commendation for her leadership, judgement and dedication, in the development and delivery of a complex system of systems. Lieutenant Colonel Burgess and her husband, Peter, have two children, Peter Jack 15 years old and Eric 13 years old, and enjoys spending time outdoors, travelling and hiking.
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KRYSTEL MONTPETIT MALIN SEVERIN MARLENE BUCKNER Malin Severin is a Swedish analyst Marlene Buckner graduated summa Parisian, lover of nature, the arts, currently seconded by the Swedish cum laude from Oregon State sciences and philosophy, especially Armed Forces to the UK MoD’s University with a BS in Interior passionate about ecology, physics, think tank Development, Concepts Design. She is president of The metaphysics, history and a and Doctrine Centre, DCDC. As Urban Realm, Inc., is an NCIDQ healthy lifestyle; Complex Systems part of the DCDC Futures Team certified professional, an NCIDQ Specialist, Complexity aficionado, she works with Strategic Foresight, Ambassador, and the recipient of Foresight Specialist, Policy Analyst, covering trends and developments 17 industry design awards. She is a Current Co-Head of the Foresight, in Europe, Russia, as well as published expert in the psychology Innovation and Policy Reform issues relating to the future of of space and a master at creating Unit at the Next Einstein Forum governance. Prior to joining DCDC emotional experiences between (NEF) with the African Institute she worked at the Swedish Defence people and environments. for Mathematical Sciences (AIMS); Research Agency, FOI, where her has previously lived in Kigali, Addis research focused on issues relating Marlene is a long-time strategist Ababa, Avignon, Cap Skirring, to ‘grey zone’ challenges, early and mentor. While president London, Toronto, Barcelona, Dublin warning and Total Defence. Malin of ASID Oregon in 2009, and Montreal, now back home has a background in journalism and she recognized the skills and in Paris; feels most at home in political risk analysis, and has also experience gap between emerging Brittany with family and friends, worked at the Swedish Embassy in graduates and employers. As Sciences Po, London School of Washington, DC. a result, she founded PXP, an Economics, Dauphine Université innovative externship program in and University of Toronto alumna; She holds a MA in War Studies which design students combine married, no children; an avid from King’s College London, a creativity and critical thinking skills reader; poet and short story writer MSc in Political Science from Lund to solve real design problems on when inspired and able to enjoy University, and a MA in Journalism professional projects. Since then some down time; loves swimming, from Uppsala University. her research has focused on the US dancing (swing and salsa), the educational system and the future opera, jazz and blues music, the of interior design. She is currently theatre and the ballet. collaborating with faculty chairs and educators to develop and pioneer a new learning model for complex design fields. Her primar interests revolve around strategic thinking, experiential learning, the future of education, and the near environment.
SOIF2019 33 PARTICIPANTS
OSSI PIIRONEN PATRICIA CANEPA PHILLIPPA BIGGS Ossi Piironen is Senior Researcher Patricia helps people and Phillippa Biggs is an economist at the Ministry for Foreign Affairs organizations make a difference in and qualified accountant at the of Finland, Policy Planning and their work. She worked at Procter International Telecommunication Research Unit. He holds a PhD in & Gamble Peru and LHH DBM Peru, Union (ITU) since 2005. She political science. He has published where she successfully led business holds a Natural Sciences degree in various peer review journals and units and coached executives on from Cambridge University, an has several years of experience their career and leadership skills. accountancy qualification from teaching in global governance and She is passionate about innovation, the ICAEW and a Master’s degree methodology of political science at technology, and writing. in Economics for Development the University of Helsinki, Finland. She is and has been a Member of the from Oxford University, where she His latest co-authored book Board of various organizations. She won the Oxford University Prize (with Tero Erkkilä) “Rankings and is currently Member of the Board of for Best Overall Performance in Global Knowledge Governance: LHH DBM Peru. She was 2nd Vice her Masters degree, as well as two Higher Education, Innovation and President of OWIT Peru, and the diplomas (in both Economics and Competitiveness” was published President of the Human Resources Statistics) from the UK’s Open in 2018.His responsibilities include Committee of the American University. Prior to joining ITU, planning and coordination of Chamber of Commerce in Peru. She Phillippa worked for two other foresight within the Finnish MFA. was Member of the Board of San UN agencies, as an Economic Silvestre School, the AWLC, and the Affairs Officer at UNCTAD and Peruvian Marketing Society. She is as a consultant with UNIDO in also a Mentor at Endeavor Peru. Tanzania and Egypt. She is now an She is a speaker on work and economist, editor and chief author management topics and author of a of the State of Broadband reports book on personal marketing and is (www.broadbandcommission. working on her second book. She org), World Information Society is a blogger in SemanaEconomica. Report (www.itu.int/wisr), the com, the leading economic Status of VoIP Worldwide report, magazine in Peru and was a and ITU’s Confronting the Crisis columnist on personal marketing reports (www.itu.int/crisis2009). in Gestión business newspaper. She analyses developments in Patricia is a certified Independent broadband, VoIP and 3G markets Board Member from Centrum around the world. Catolica and completed the Exponential Innovation Course at Singularity University, the Business Model You Practitioner Training, and the Corporate Management Program at Universidad de Piura. She has a Masters in International Management from the American Graduate School of International Management (Thunderbird) and a B.A. in Political Science from Pitzer College in Claremont, California. She is married, has three children, loves reading and the ocean.
34 SOIF2019 PARTICIPANTS
PRATEEKSHA SINGH SHU YING TAN SRI WIDIAS TUTI ASNAM Prateeksha Singh is a A researcher by training, Dr Tan RSJO INTAN multidisciplinary designer Shu Ying obtained her PhD in Sri Widias Tuti started her carrier based in Canada and India. She Biotechnology and is a Khazanah in MIGHT as Researcher in Industry collaboratively explores how Scholar. Moved by her interest in Intelligence Division since 2010. During applying a living system lens to emerging technologies and realising attachment in Maritime Unit, her team a design-futures and arts-based Malaysia’s aspirations in Science, had successfully developed national practice can provide additional Technology and Innovation, (STI) blueprint for Shipbuilding and Ship tools and perspectives for working she put her lab coat aside to work Repair (SBSR) industry which called with complex yet adaptive in the policy arena. She is currently Malaysian SBSR Industry Strategic challenges. She is driven to working a Principal Analyst at myForesight, Plan 2020. A few successful initiatives with diverse voices and harnessing Malaysian Industry-Government undertaken including Resolved of inclusive and plural images of the Group for High Technology or better Importation Raw Material Issues for future. known by the acronym MIGHT; a SBSR Industry (MITI) and Reinstate technology think thank under the SBSR Industry as Promotional Her work (solo and collaborative) Prime Minister’s Department. Activities under PIA 1986 (MOF/ spans facilitated sessions, MIDA). Besides, a few publications workshops, experiential She works with stakeholders from had been published including series installations, and written articles, industry, government and academia of industry reports ie. Malaysian SBSR and has been published in range of to help them better understand Industry Report from 2013 - 2017 and leading publications, radio channels, and prepare for future impacts, Malaysian SBSR Industry: Positioning conferences, and art shows. She is opportunities or risks that may arise in the Industry 4.0 published in 2018. also an award winning black & white in a volatile, uncertain, complex and A few research paper also had been film photographer. ambiguous world. Topics of particular delivered namely Potential SBSR Study interest to her include the futures of (Bank Pembangunan) and Supply Prateeksha is on the board of work, education, emerging science & and Demand of skilled Workforce in the Association of Professional technologies, society, industries and the Malaysian SBSR Industry (MOHR). Futurists, and chairs the annual APF governance. Recently, she has involved in National Futures Festival. She also holds a Marine Industries Forum 2018 in U.S. CPA license, and has a Master Out of the office, Dr Tan is a Kuala Lumpur Convention Centre as of Design in Strategic Foresight passionate athlete in the sports presenter and panellist for the topic of and Innovation from OCAD of volleyball and badminton. She Industry 4.0 in SBSR Industry. She also University in Toronto, Canada. Her believes that sports instill teamwork, has presented a paper to Open Forum professional experience spans passion, perseverance, discipline, and in LIMA 2017 on the Malaysian SBSR corporate, non-profit, start-up, critical thinking which constitutes the Industry Landscape. Prior to her current social enterprise, government, and vital EQ component required in being position, she has 5 years of experience academia. Additionally, she has successful in life. in the herbal industry that well matched lived in eight countries and speaks by her qualifications in Biotechnology four languages. Hence, her diverse Degree from UKM and Herbal experiences inform her richly Professional Certificate from MIGHT textured projects. -METEOR Advance Manufacturing Sdn Bhd. Since 2017, she was transferred to Strategic Intelligence & Foresight Division where the Malaysian Foresight Institute (myForesight®) take place to further explore and expose on other field and sector in addition to SBSR industry development projects.
SOIF2019 35 LIST OF PARTICIPANTS, FACULTY AND SPEAKERS
NAME TITLE NATIONALITY
Adanna Shallowe Senior Global Manager, RSA United Kingdom
Amanda Ruggeri Editor, London Features and Editor, BBC Future Italy and United States
Andrew Curry Director of Futures, School of International Futures United Kingdom
Angel Chew Senior Strategist, Prime Minister’s Office, Singapore Singapore
Arif Lalani Ambassador, Director, Department of Diplomatic Affairs, Seat Canada of the Ismali Imamat
Beatriz Novales Africa Program Director, Oxfam Intermón Spain
Brian Chandler SOIF Guru United Kingdom
Bunmi Ajilore Consultant, Country Lead for Climate Risk Profiling and Lead Nigeria for Rwanda Digital profiles Agriculture Projects, International Centre for Tropical Agriculture
Carin Kaunitz Strategic Advisor, MSB (Swedish Civil Contingencies Agency) Sweden
Cat Tully Founder and Managing Director, School of International Portugal and Futures United Kingdom
Charlie Edwards Director, Cabinet Office, HMG, United Kingdom United Kingdom
Chris Parsons Head of New Zealand Defence Staff, UK and Europe, New New Zealand Zeland Defence Force
Chris Skelly Head of Programmes (Research and Intelligence), Public Canada, New Health Dorset International Programme Director, Health Urban Zealand and United Microbiome Initiative (HUMI) Kingdom
Christian Tohmé Head of Sector and Senior Manager, International Committee Switzerland and of the Red Cross (ICRC) Lebanon
Danièle Réchard Head of Global Trends Unit and Member of ESPAS, European France Parlimentary Research Service
Eleonore Pauwels Research Fellow on AI and Emerging Cybertechnologies, UN Belgium University Centre for Policy Research
Elizabeth Wilson Senior Executive, Small Foundation United Kingdom
Emma Bennett Strategy Lead, School of International Futures United Kingdom
Eshanthi Ranasinghe Senior Manager and Interim Lead, Exploration and Future United States Sensing, Omidyar Network
Felix Reed-Tsochas Professor of Complex Systems, Saïd Business School, and United Kingdom Oxford Martin School, University of Oxford and United States
Gabriel Castillo Vice-president, Instituto del Futuro Peru
Genevieve Cameron Programme and Research Manager, The Health Foundation United Kingdom
Isaac Fokuo Founder and Principle, Botho Ltd Ghana
Jaana Tapanainen-Thiess Government Foresight Group, Prime Minister’s Office, Finland Finland
Jennifer Burgess Staff Officer – Futures, Development, Concepts and Doctrine Australia Centre, Ministry of Defence, United Kingdom
José Manuel Barroso Prime Minister of Portugal (2002 - 2004); President of the Portugal European Commission (2004 - 2014)
36 SOIF2019 LIST OF PARTICIPANTS, FACULTY AND SPEAKERS
NAME TITLE NATIONALITY
Karlheinz Steinmüller Scientific Director, Z_punkt GmbH The Foresight Company; Germany Physicist and Science Fiction Author
Kristel van der Elst Director General, Canada Policy Horizons; Co-founder and Belgium CEO, The Global Foresight Group
Krystel Montpetit Co-head of Foresight, Innovation and Policy Reform, Next France and Canada Einstein Forum (African Institute for Mathematical Sciences)
Louise Pulford Executive Director, SIX United Kingdom
Maggie Greyson Partner, Futures Present Canada
Malin Severin Analyst, Development, Concepts and Doctrine Centre, Ministry Sweden of Defence, United Kingdom
Marius Oosthuizen SOIF Companion; Faculty: Strategic foresight, Gordon Institute South Africa of Business Science, University of Pretoria
Marlene Buckner Entrepreneur, Designer, Educator United States
Mathew Burrows Director, Strategic Foresight Initiative, Atlantic Council United States
Mhairi Cameron Composer, Oceanborn: A New Musical United Kingdom
Moutaz Al Riyami Executive Director, Petroleum Development Oman Oman
Natalie Cargill Founder and Executive Director, Effective Giving United Kingdom
Nicholas Colloff Director, Argidius Foundation; Former Director of Innovation, United Kingdom Oxfam GB
Ossi Piironen Senior Researcher, Unit for Policy Planning and Research, Finland Ministry for Foreign Affairs
Paige Nicol Senior Manager, Strategy and Insights, Luminate United States
Patricia Canepa Independent Consultant; Former Associate Consultant for LHH Peru DBM Peru
Peter Glenday Director, Programmes and Research, School of International United Kingdom Futures
Phillipa Biggs Coordinator of the Broadband Commission & Senior Policy United Kingdom Analyst, International Telecommunications Unit
Prateeksha Singh Designer and Strategist, mpathy Canada
Pupul Bisht Founder, Decolonizing Futures Initiative; Member, Action India Foresight’s “Global Swarm”
Sarah Dunn Partner, ELMS Solutions United Kingdom
Sarah Spencer NGFP and Retreats Coordinator, School of International United Kingdom Futures
Shu Ying Tan Principal Analyst I / Researcher, Malaysian Industry- United Kingdom Government Group for High Technology (MIGHT)
Sophie Howe Future Generations Commissioner, Wales United Kingdom
Sophie Monaghan-Coombs Strategy and Development Manager, SIX United Kingdom
Sophie Middlemiss Strategic Comms and Policy Lead, School of International United Kingdom Futures
Sri Widias Tuti Asnam Research Analyst, Malaysian Industry-Government Group for Malaysia Rsjo Intan High Technology (MIGHT)
Stephen King CEO, Luminate United Kingdom
Wellington Nogueira Actor, Clown, Teacher; Founder of Doutores de Alegria Brazil (Doctors of Joy) SOIF2019 37 THINK PIECES ON OUR THEMES
• trigger earlier release of funding, through the 1. FORESIGHT AND Famine Action Mechanism launched last year in PREVENTION partnership with Google, Microsoft and Amazon (OCHA) SIGNALS FROM THE FUTURE’. • predict population movements “using machine- CHANGING THE FRAME FOR DECISION- learning and indicator-based algorithms MAKERS. synthesizing interrelated variables from The failure of political decision-makers to prevent the precipitation to commodity prices” (UNHCR unfolding nightmare of climate change is the latest • advise governments, through the Policy Priority example of the age-old failure to act on clear signs of Inference framework on establishing policy priorities future threats. Even well-intentioned political leaders towards the 2030 Sustainable Development Goals have focused less on stewardship for future generations, (UNDP) and more on short-term outcomes or quick wins. The problem becomes more acute at times of high volatility, • anticipate the sources and routes of major climate- such as the present, when political horizons shorten and change related risk-aversion increases. In particular, the failure to prevent Other leading humanitarian and development policy ‘slow-moving harms’ – unfolding threats that seem actors, such as the Overseas Development Institute, are inexorable, but that with political will can be prevented -- interested in applications which use “forecast-based has allowed neglected issues to become acute. early action [to] help with decisions about how to best allocate funds in advance of an imminent impact”. This One development offers some hope that we can mobilise gives humanitarian agencies an alert a year before a quicker policy responses to these slow-moving harms. severe drought. The International Science Council is This is the application of so-called ‘preventive analytics’ analysing big data on air pollution to predict ‘slow- to global policy challenges. These techniques can model onset climate disasters’. possible futures. Their use chimes well with the increased recognition of the need to think more about prevention Strategic foresight improves the value of these newer in global policymaking: the UN Secretary-General – tools by factoring in uncertainty and complexity, perhaps the world’s most senior policymaker – signalled and helps analysts and policy makers recognise the the importance of this issue when he said that prevention impossibility of prediction. If taken too trustingly as underpins the three pillars of UN work – development, ‘forecasts’, data analytics approaches degrade the peacekeeping, and humanitarian. quality of organisations’ thinking about the future by creating false certainties about what may happen. INTEGRATING ANALYTICS WITH However good the data, however sophisticated the STRATEGIC FORESIGHT FOR GLOBAL algorithms, however narrow the field in which the POLICY data prediction is made, projections are never certain. But these new tools need to be properly integrated with Single point forecasts, however they are derived, leave insights from strategic foresight: above all, that the future organisations exposed when the unexpected happens. is inherently uncertain, and that we must both imagine and prepare for a full range of potential, plausible futures, by Combining preventive analytics with strategic foresight mapping trends and exploring alternative future scenarios, approach has huge potential to help governments to equip ourselves to cope with change. and other global actors to both think and act better for the long-term. Together, they ensure they are The two fields have much in common. They share an alert to risks and opportunities and to inherent interest in improving public policymakers’ ability both to uncertainties. Bringing the two fields together will help plan for the future, and to make decisions which shape ensure that global policymakers are using all the tools it. They are mutually complementary and bring different available to them to think about futures regularly and actors and incentives to the table. rigorously. Joint applications could include:
The uses of data analytics are now being explored with • Assessing epigenetic risks (already in use in the life enthusiasm in global policy circles. There is growing insurance industry) and exploring the epigenetic optimism that they can offer ‘signals from the future’, impacts on our children of this generation’s health, providing early indications of change and triggering earlier tailoring future global public health efforts to the responses. UN agencies are exploring their potential to: risk factors of individuals and communities.
38 SOIF2019 • Mobilising a more determined response to the d. What are the potential downsides of these tools? intergenerational impacts of climate change. e. What are the barriers to these solutions being • Exploring potential future shocks/disruptions in global used, and how can these be overcome: e.g. lack of • Identifying conflict early warning signals; political will, institutional capacity?
• Designing more effective interventions for f. Is there scope for develop or adapt these investment in the early years of childhood (as New technologies, and their application, to make them Zealand has done successfully for 25 years, and more useful in this sector? where new organisations like Big Society Capital are trying to expand). g. How can wide distribution of this information, How will we know if this combined approach is and access to it, enable new solutions to existing successful? Three assessments can help: policy problems, or new actors to come into play?
• First, does it change the calculation of political will, h. Can we share practice across domains – for and drive new action on prevention from current example, applications in the humanitarian sector, actors? Have they helped policy makers to be more health sector or in finance? willing to take risks when they use their political and financial capital to make changes? II) The second stage is an inter-disciplinary investigation, involving deep-dives, policy workshops, and • Second, can joint approaches using strategic academic papers on applying these technologies to foresight and preventive analytics identify solutions complex policy challenges. This will bring together which reduce, or even dissolve, resistance to change? insights from policy practitioners and academics in • And third, can it tip the current systemic incentives the relevant fields, including big data, humanitarian from inaction to action, by empowering new actors work, healthcare, philosophy, and cognitive science. to intervene in new ways? This would interrogate the enthusiasm for predictive analytics, in particular looking at how to integrate WHAT’S NEXT? analytics with strategic foresight both in the sector The School of International Futures (SOIF), where I and within individual organisations. work, is now starting to explore the potential of these approaches, working with colleagues at UCL’s Institute III) The third and final stage will, if the case is made, for Global Prosperity and the Alan Turing Institute. involve the embedding of preventive techniques for foresight in global policymaking organisations We will begin with a conversation at the SOIF2019 as part of a strengthened practice of strategic retreat this summer, which will lead on to three further foresight, developing new funding mechanisms and stages of work. integrating them into their operations. For example, this might be as part of routine risk identification I) The first is a ‘Hackathon’, designed to “hack the and response practices. question” by exploring practitioners’ perspectives on the potential, and on where further methodological Throughout the project, we will work with former Heads trials would be valuable. The Hackathon will bring of State at the Club de Madrid, who will shape and together practitioners in preventive analytics define the challenge, advise on real world applications, and foresight/futures with the development/ and help to disseminate and to scale. These are early humanitarian/global health policy communities. It will days. But further exploration is certainly needed. The explore questions such as: risks of doing nothing are simply too high.
a. What solutions can big data and preventive The thinking outlined in this article emerged from a breakfast analytics put on the table to help policymakers meeting held in London in 2019. It was attended by Jigmi who want to actively reduce or prevent harm? Thinley, former Prime Minister of Bhutan and Club de Madrid Member; Kinga Göncz, MEP, former Foreign Minister of b. On what issues, and on what timescales, can they Hungary, and Club de Madrid Member; Maria Elena Aguero, provide the most effective and accurate ‘signals Secretary General, Club de Madrid; Clem McCartney, Content from the future’? Coordinator of the Shared Societies Project, Club de Madrid; Omar Guerrero, Turing Research Fellow, The Alan Turing c. How can the analytics field and strategic Institute and Senior Research Fellow, University College foresight be best integrated to reduce the risks to London; Cat Tully, Founder, School of International Futures organisations of single point forecasts? and Board member, Academics Stand Against Poverty; and Lorena Pacheco, Program Officer, Club de Madrid.
SOIF2019 39 outpace the traditional business model of philanthropy 2. FORESIGHT AND altogether. The unprecedented pace of change poses a profound challenge to philanthropies fighting to keep PHILANTHROPY their legacies relevant for the 21 st century.
All philanthropic organisations exist to change the This is why we, at the School of International Futures world, or at least a part of it. They are distinguished (SOIF) and the Social Innovation Exchange (SIX), by their level of ambition – and by their optimism believe that the philanthropic sector needs a much that the future can be made better than the present stronger ‘foresight mindset’ to become truly future-fit. for their beneficiaries. But that ambition makes them We cannot continue with business as usual. particularly susceptible to the radical uncertainties of our fast-changing world. Philanthropic foundations have traditionally given relatively little emphasis or resource to strategic To be considered transformational, any philanthropic foresight, compared to the private sector. But organisation should aim for lasting impacts that go philanthropy is more exposed to future risk than the well beyond their immediate beneficiaries. Yet the private or public sectors, in that it takes on risky, longer-term future of philanthropy, and the success of untested or ‘frontier’ areas. The rise of the new global individual programmes, are at risk as never before in ‘millennial philanthropic generation’ and an exponential the face of what the UK’s Ministry of Defence recently rise in philanthropy in India and China present new characterised as ‘unprecedented acceleration in challenges and opportunities within the sector itself. the speed of change, driving ever more complex Whether the scope of intervention is global, national or interactions between [diverse] trends’. local, philanthropy urgently needs a stronger focus on the future to equip itself to harness the potential upsides Philanthropy is already trying to deliver on a hugely of future changes and mitigate the looming risks. ambitious vision of a better future to leave no-one behind for the 21 st century. Taking the Sustainable Strategic foresight cannot tell us with certainty what Development Goals as one marker, this includes, within the future operating environment will look like, but just over a decade, ending poverty, ending hunger and it can offer a much stronger sense of the range of delivering universal healthcare. Progress is struggling plausible alternatives; help navigate uncertainties and to match aspirations: the UN has found that globally, manage risk; and make thinking about the future an hunger is on the rise again and malaria rates up due to integral part of the mindset of an organisation – or a antimicrobial resistance. sector as a whole.
And of course, the operating environment is far from Conversely, shutting off foresight risks producing static. With the accelerating pace of change in the brittle policies and programmes, susceptible to failure coming decades, new trends are set to bring huge and reversal in the face of change. A blinkered sector opportunities and threats, often both at the same will miss emergent opportunities – and risk being time. To take two examples: blindsided by future threats and shocks.
• the growth of new technology in synthetic biology Whatever systemic challenges the sector feels it faces could revolutionize food security, but also prompts at present – and the debates around that are very much anxieties around the risks. live – their intensity will deepen over the next decade. • In labour security, the rise of machine learning For many working in the field, the questions raised and automation offers to accelerate efficiency and about legitimacy, accountability and effectiveness by productivity in the ‘fourth industrial revolution’, but Rob Reich’s ‘Just Giving’ and Anand Giridharadas’ is already creating dislocation in parts of the global ‘Winners Take All’ have already forced a fresh look workforce. at ingrained assumptions. The sector is beginning to address some big questions about its future under the Other trends may feel familiar – even old news – auspices of IIARAN’s thinking on the future of aid – through repetition, but their pace, trajectory and which concludes that “humanitarian organisations will impacts remain radically uncertain: climate change, need to adapt their structure, operations and values, demographic shifts, technological change, democratic to remain relevant and successful by 2030”; through rollback, a new world order. Future Agenda’s Future of Philanthropy project; and through work on more collaborative, catalytic The trends of the coming 10-20 years have the potential systems change by Co-Impact and others. to reverse hard-won progress, distort the outcomes of interventions, radically change the geography and distribution of need, and – more fundamentally –
40 SOIF2019 Forward-thinking foundations and thinkers are already We are seeing appetite in the sector to know how to seizing on the potential of strategic foresight – coupled better: with systems thinking, design thinking and social innovation – to help the sector better achieve its • Within organisations, become ‘futures literate’: transformational potential. This increased focus on how better understanding the intervention points that to not just do the right thing but to do it well is urgently will make a difference in the future; designing needed to make philanthropy better prepared for an programmes that are more resilient to alternative uncertain future in which it will be asked to do more scenarios; identifying stakeholders who will help than ever, with governments and the private sector advance longer-term goals. The OECD Development often increasingly risk-averse and less willing to take a Assistance Committee recently set up a foresight big-picture approach. unit for the first time – to build better development cooperation for the future. Here at the School of International Futures • Across the sector, achieve common outcomes: (SOIF) and the Social Innovation Exchange (SIX) we’ve such as those identified in the 2018 collaborative seen an increased demand for foresight from the sector scenarios work between MIT, FutureEarth and the in the last few years. We see a stronger focus on futures ClimateWorks Foundation, which aims to help the as part and parcel of a welcome overall commitment world’s philanthropists tackle climate change. The to tightening up strategic capability in the sector. scenarios exercise drew on insights from 154 global Many of those drawn to working in philanthropy are stakeholders, many outside the classic ‘expert’ natural futures thinkers: ambitious, open-minded and community, and the resulting five scenarios are capable of critically appraising their own approach or now regularly used by ClimateWorks and others to institution. Omidyar Network, for example, sponsor of “stress-test strategies and programmes against a the Next Generation Futures Practitioners awards, have range of scenarios” and to assess “emerging trends been exploring the intersection of design/systems that … may affect future efforts at climate action”. thinking and futures practice, setting up an Exploration & Future Sensing unit to investigate provocative, • Drive sectoral change: such as the Health emergent issues. Foundation’s emerging work looking at how to support the complex set of actors in the UK Given this flourishing interest, what could a foresight health and care sector to prepare for potential ‘prescription’ for the sector look like? futures.
We firmly believe that the mindset shift towards Given this flourishing interest, what could a foresight futures-thinking needs to happen at the level of the ‘prescription’ for the philanthropic sector to engage sector as a whole. Philanthropy as a sector needs with the future in a more systematic way look like? The to look ahead to better understand how the trends four essential steps are: of the next 10, 20 and even 50 years will impact its focus, operations and legitimacy. We are seeing a • Analysing the trends and issues that will shape their high appetite in the sector to learn more about how to future operating environment; scanning the horizon better: for early warning signs, ‘wild cards’, ‘weak signals’ and potential shocks. • Scan upcoming trends • Exploring alternative future scenarios, by mapping • Learn from global practice out the intersection of multiple complex trends. • Explore methodological questions such as the link • Looking at the implications (the ‘so what’) for today’s with predictive analytics. operations; integrating insights about the future into today’s decision-making and programme design. This short paper is the result of a conversation with Louise Pulford from the Social Innovation • Integrating strategic foresight into operations, Exchange (Six), and inspired by Jon Huggett on how culture and organisational mindset, making it philanthropists can, and are, harnessing foresight an integral and iterative approach instead of a to drive transformational change. This is both an glitzy one-off exercise. Far-sighted examples opportunity and an imperative as we move into of this include the Gulbenkian Foundation’s an increasingly turbulent future. Intergenerational Fairness Project, which seeks to integrate the interests of future generations into current decision-making processes.
SOIF2019 41 HARTWELL HOUSE
HISTORY FACILITIES Hartwell House is a National During the residence of the French Participants and speakers have Trust property and stands in 90 Court the roof was converted free access to facilities at Hartwell acres of parkland, landscaped into a miniature farm, where birds House including the Spa, Tennis by a contemporary of Capability and rabbits were reared in cages, Courts, Swimming Pool and Gym. Brown, with a lake spanned by while vegetables and herbs were Please email Mirella Di Bratto at astone bridge, a ruined church and cultivated in densely planted [email protected] for many 18th century statues and tubs. Shops were opened in the more information. garden buildings. outbuildings by émigrés short of money. The Hartwell Spa and Gym is Hartwell House has a rich history: situated close to the Hartwell first mentioned in the Doomsday Hartwell House remained in the Rooms and Hartwell Court, about Book as belonging to William possession of the original families 100 yards from the main house. Peverel, son of William the until 1938, when it was purchased Swim in the warm clear water of Conqueror, the present house by Ernest Cook, an early pioneer the inviting pool lined with blue was built in 1600 by the famous of the conservation movement mosaic tiles, relax in the steam Buckinghamshire family, The who transferred the house and room, sauna and the bubbling Hampdens. estate into the Ernest Cook Trust waters of the whirlpool. in 1952. King John stayed just before Experienced therapists offer a signing the Magna Carta into From 1957 until 1983 the house wide range of beauty treatments existence; while guests included was leased to a distinguished girls’ using Aromatherapy Associates Louis XVIII of France and his finishing school, the School of and Jessica products. Individual family, and Gustavus IV of Sweden, Citizenship, before being leased treatments are available to guests also in exile. More recently, the to Historic House Hotels who staying in the hotel. These need to house has played host to the G7 spent a substantial sum restoring be booked and paid for separately. finance ministers, and Bill Clinton, the house, park and gardens and who addressed the US nation from furnishing the house. Hartwell the library. House opened as a hotel in 1989 and final restoration finished During Louis XVIII’s residence in 1992 and still retains both between 1809 and 1814, he was Jacobean and Georgian features OPENING TIMES joined by his Queen, Marie- with outstanding decorative Spa and Gym: Josephine de Savoie, his niece the ceilings and panelling, fine 7.30am – 9.00pm (Mon–Fri) Duchesse D’Angoulême, daughter paintings and antique furniture in 7.30am – 7.30pm (Sat/Sun) of Louis XVI and Marie Antoinette, its elegant and spacious rooms. his brother the Comte d’Artois, It remains a place for discreet Tennis Courts: later Charles X, and Gustavus IV conversations. 7.30am until dusk the exiled King of Sweden.
Hartwell House Hotel Restaurant and Spa Oxford Road Vale of Aylesbury Buckinghamshire HP17 8NR
Main Switchboard Tel: + 44 (0) 1296 747 444 Fax: +44 (0) 1296 747 450 Email: [email protected] www.hartwell-house.com
42 SOIF2019 About the image For this year’s retreat illustrates the shifting political, social, environmental landscapes (reflected in the water/the sea, the sky/clouds) that are in constant motion.
The boat person is making his/her way shorewards towards people who are lookinga towards the horizon/future as the participants of the 2019 Retreat will be doing.
SOIF2019 43 USEFUL INFORMATION Mobile phones Incidentals and extras Telephone calls Please be respectful when using You will be responsible for any Telephones are available in your mobile telephones and laptop extras that you charge to your rooms. Charges will be applied to computers in public rooms. room including drinks at the bar, your room account. those ordered from the bar during Messages dinner, any additional purchases or Valuables Messages can be left for spa treatments. You will be asked Hartwell House can only accept participants at main reception to settle these on checkout. responsibility for valuables or on the message board in the deposited with the Manager for safe hallway. Departure keeping in one of the hotel’s safes. If you have not already advised us Photocopying on your departure arrangements, Retreat online space Printing and photocopying is please let [email protected] and Conference materials including available at the main reception. [email protected] know as soon as presentations, material, address Charges will be applied to your possible so that we can assist with list, group photograph and room account. any travel arrangements. presentations will be provided on HowSpace our retreat online Computer facilities Retreat questionnaire platform at soif2019.in.howspace. If you require access to a computer We would be grateful if you com – if you have not yet received please discuss this with the main could complete the feedback your invitation please contact reception desk. Wireless facilities questionnaire to enable us to [email protected] are available in the private rooms evaluate the retreat and the service and in bedrooms. No code is we provide. The questionnaire can Intellectual Property required, simply join the Hartwell be obtained from reception if you All Intellectual Property Rights in House Wi-Fi network. are leaving before the end of the any materials used or provided at conference. a SOIF event or retreat belong to Wake-up call SOIF unless otherwise indicated. Please contact reception. Fire exits Participants are permitted to use Please note all fire exits. These the materials for the purposes of Room keys are indicated on the back of the their professional role, but must Please remember to leave room bedroom doors and throughout not sell the materials or pass on keys at Reception, especially when the house. We do ask you to check the content in any other way for leaving the Hotel. The bedroom your escape route. If you leave the commercial gain. doors are not all self-locking. premises, please inform reception for fire procedures and any other Checkout emergency. Checkout is by 9.00am on the day of departure. Should guests require Smoking later departure, please contact Smoking is NOT permitted inside main reception on +44 1296 747 the buildings or bedrooms at 444. When leaving, please pay Hartwell House. A deep cleaning your bill and return your room key charge of £100 per day will be to reception. charged if evidence of smoking is detected.
44 SOIF2019 Design by Effusion
School of International Futures 49 Brick Lane London, E1 6PU +44 (0) 300 302 0486 @SOIFutures #SOIF2019 www.soif.org.uk