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UNDP Project Document UNDP Project Document Government of Ecuador United Nations Development Programme The Ministry of Environment Adaptation to Climate Change through Effective Water Governance in Ecuador Brief description The project objective is to reduce Ecuador’s vulnerability to climate change through effective water resource management. The project will mainstream climate change adaptation into water management practices in Ecuador through the integration of climate change risk of the water sector into key national and local development plans, the implementation of adaptation measures, and information management and knowledge brokering. 1 Table of Contents SECTION I: Elaboration of the Narrative..........................................................................................5 PART I: Situation Analysis ...................................................................................................................5 Context and global significance ...............................................................................................................5 Threats, root causes and barriers analysis ...........................................................................................6 Temperature and Precipitation Projections ..........................................................................................7 Coastal Region and El Niño.................................................................................................................7 Andean Region.....................................................................................................................................8 Amazon Region....................................................................................................................................8 Economic impacts of extreme events .....................................................................................................11 Institutional, sectoral and policy context................................................................................................13 The regulatory framework for water management.............................................................................14 Water and climate-related measurements and infrastructure .............................................................15 The institutional framework for addressing climate change concerns in Ecuador.............................18 Stakeholder analysis...........................................................................................................................19 Baseline analysis ................................................................................................................................20 PART II: Strategy ................................................................................................................................22 Project Rationale and Policy Conformity...........................................................................................22 Project Indicators, Risks and Assumptions ........................................................................................36 Expected global, national and local benefits......................................................................................38 Country Ownership: Country Eligibility and Country Drivenness ....................................................38 Sustainability......................................................................................................................................40 Replicability .......................................................................................................................................41 Linkages with other programmes and action plans at regional and sub-regional levels ....................41 PART III: Management Arrangements .............................................................................................42 PART IV: Monitoring and Evaluation Plan and Budget.................................................................46 Monitoring and Reporting..............................................................................................................46 Independent Evaluation .................................................................................................................49 Learning and Knowledge Sharing .................................................................................................50 Indicative Monitoring and Evaluation Work Plan and Corresponding Budget .............................51 PART V: Legal Context......................................................................................................................53 SECTION II: Strategic Results Framework and GEF ....................................................................53 Part I: Additionality Cost Analysis....................................................................................................53 Project background.............................................................................................................................53 Additional cost assessment.................................................................................................................54 Baseline..........................................................................................................................................54 GEF Alternative Scenario..............................................................................................................54 Systems Boundary .........................................................................................................................55 Summary of Costs..........................................................................................................................55 SECTION II: STRATEGIC RESULTS FRAMEWORK AND GEF INCREMENT ...................52 Additional Cost Matrix.......................................................................................................................52 Logical Framework Analysis .............................................................................................................55 Annexes..................................................................................................................................................59 Annex 1: Evolution of National Institutions and their Mandates into Water Resources ..............59 Annex 2: Roles, Responsibilities and Contact Details of Key Stakeholders....................................61 Draft Budget (To be updated including using the new TBWP at CEO endorsement)...................64 Annex 3: UNDP Monitoring and Evaluation Framework for Adaptation......................................65 Annex 4: UNDP Template for lessons learned in adaptation projects ............................................66 Annex 5: References to Climate Change in the Ecuadorian Written Media, 2001-2007 ...............69 2 Acronyms ALM Adaptation Learning Mechanism AME Association of Ecuadorian Municipalities APF Adaptation Policy Framework APR Annual Project Report AWP Annual Work Plan CAMAREN Consortium to Capacitate in Natural Renewable Resources Management CBA Community-Based Adaptation Programme CC Climate Change CCCS Country Climate Change Study CC:TRAIN: Training Programme in Climate Change CDR Regional Development Corporations CG-PAUTE Water Management Council for the Paute Watershed CEDENMA Ecuadorian Committee for the Defense of the Environment CEDEX Spanish Center for Public Works Studies and Research (Centro de Estudios y Experimentación de Obras Públicas de España) CIIFEN International Center for Research on the El Niño Phenomenon CNC National Climate Committee CNRH National Council of Hydrologic Resources CO Country Office CONCOPE Consortium of Provincial Council of Ecuador CONESUP National Council of Higher Education CORDELIM National Clean Development Mechanism Promotion Office GDP Gross Domestic Product ENSO El Nino-Southern Oscillation EPA Ecuador Climate Change Country Study ESPOL Coastal Polytechnic School FNC First National Communication to the UNFCCC FRH Water Resources Forum FONAG The Water Fund GEF Global Environment Facility GWP The Global Water Partnership IDB Inter-American Development Bank INAMHI National Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology INERHI National Institute of Hydrologic Resources INOCAR Navy’s Oceanographic Institute IR Inception Report IRD Institute for Research and Development IW Inception Workshop LDCF Least Developing Countries’ Fund MEC Ministry of Education MoA Ministry of Agriculture M&E Monitoring and Evaluation MEM Ministry of Energy and Mines MMRREE Ministry of External Affairs MoE Ministry of Environment 3 MSP Medium-sized Project NCSA National Capacity Self Assessment NGO Non-Governmental Organizations PCCE Climate Change Process in Ecuador Project PIR Project Implementation Review PMRC Coastal Resources Management Project Phase II PNRHE National Plan for Water Resources RING Regional and International Networking Group SCCF Special Climate Change Fund SEI Stockholm Environment Institute SENPLADES National Secretary for Planning and Development SIGAGRO Farming and Geographical Information System SNC Second National Communication to the UNFCC SPA Strategic Priority on Adaptation STAP Scientific and Technical Advisory Panel ToR Terms of Reference TPR Tri-partite Review TTR Terminal Tri-partite Review UN United Nations UNDP United Nations Development Programme UNDAF United Nations Development and Assistance Framework UNEP United Nations Environmental Programme UNEP-RISO UNEP’s Programme
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