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trees across 13 provinces in the country’s north since the programme began in 1978. Around 2000, deserts across the country

MAAYAN HAREL MAAYAN were expanding by 10,400 square kilometres a year, says the government. But in 2017, it reported that China’s deserts were shrinking by more than 2,400 square kilometres a year. A 2018 study1 of satellite data from the US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration found that forest cover has increased in line with government statistics, but suggested that changes in logging policy were more important than afforestation — planting forests where none were before. In 1999, the Chinese government began planting millions of trees in its Grain for Green Program, intended to repair dam- aged farmland in the northern Loess Plateau, which is roughly the size of France. And the afforestation drive is continuing apace: in 2018, the government announced a target of 30% forest coverage by 2050. At the moment, the coverage is around 22%. It’s still too early to determine whether it has solved the problem, says Congbin Fu, director of the Institute for Climate and Global Change Research at Nanjing University. Land restoration can take An artist’s impression of a young female Denisovan, based on skeletal traits derived from ancient DNA. several decades or even 100 years, he says. There are pitfalls to mass tree-planting. ANCIENT Large parts of China — including some areas where trees are being planted — are getting drier. A paper2 co-authored by Sternberg found that arid areas in China had increased Denisovan portrait by roughly 1.6 million square kilometres, about the size of Iran, since 1980 — probably due largely to anthropogenic climate change. drawn from DNA Many of the plants introduced to the Loess Plateau use more water than native vegeta- tion. A 2016 study3 found that the revitalized Reconstruction based on epigenetics reveals broad, ecosystem is already sucking up rainfall and -like facial features. reducing the amount of water that runs off to rivers; a drier climate could exacerbate the situation and trigger water shortages for BY EWEN CALLAWAY et al. Cell http://doi.org/dbqk; 2019). humans. A modelling study4 co-authored “It does help to paint a clearer picture of how by Fu and published last month reached or the first time, scientists analysing the they might have looked. Just the idea that it’s similar conclusions, and cautioned against DNA of Denisovans — an extinct group possible to use the DNA to predict morphol- continuing the Grain for Green Program. of ancient humans that was discovered ogy so is very impressive,” says Bence Considering water shortages is important, Faround a decade ago — have offered a glimpse Viola, a palaeoanthropologist at the Univer- says Shixiong Cao, an ecologist at Beijing of what they might have looked like. sity of Toronto in Canada who has analysed Forestry University. He thinks the national Ever since archaeologists uncovered the first Denisovan remains, but was not involved in forestry department has recognized the error fragmented Denisovan remains in a Siberian this research. of planting trees in arid areas, and that in , researchers have scoured the globe for recent years, it has moved towards planting clues to how the mysterious hominins looked. MAPPING METHYLATION shrubs with lower water requirements. has yielded a few more small Epigenetic modifications to DNA have a The head of the forestry department, fossils, and a jawbone from the Tibetan Plateau profound influence on most biological traits Zhang Jianlong, told state media in March added detail this year. But none of these fos- throughout life. They can help to determine that efforts should go to keep vegetation sils is large or complete enough to reconstruct differences between cells with otherwise healthy, rather than simply planting trees. ■ many anatomical details. identical genomes. One of the best-studied Now, computational biologists have epigenetic changes is the addition to a DNA 1. Liang, L., Chen, F., Shi, L. & Niu, S. PLoS ONE 13, e0205885 (2018). produced a rough sketch of Denisovan base of a methyl chemical group — made up 2. Prăvălie, R., Bandoc, G., Patriche, C. & anatomy based on epigenetic changes — of one carbon atom and three hydrogens — Sternberg, T. CATENA 178, 209–231 (2019). chemical modifications to DNA that can alter which often quells the activity of a gene. 3. Feng, X. et al. Clim. Change 6, gene activity. Their approach reveals that A team co-led by Liran Carmel, a compu- 1019–1022 (2016). 4. Ge, J., Pitman, A. J., Guo, W., Zan, B. & Fu, C. Denisovans were similar in appearance to tational biologist at the Hebrew University Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss. https://doi. but had some subtle differences, of Jerusalem, discovered a way to identify org/10.5194/hess-2019-397 (2019). such as a wider jaw and skull (D. Gokhman parts of ancient DNA that had once been

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methylated, by analysing patterns of chemi- Carmel and Gokhman’s team first tested the researchers weren’t able to predict this — cal damage that accrues to the DNA over time. whether it could successfully predict the anat- because molar size was not in the database they In 2014, Carmel’s team mapped methylation omy of Neanderthals, which is known from used — they did determine that Denisovans patterns across the genomes of Neander- hundreds of fossils. had long dental arches, a potential adaptation thals and Denisovans, and identified a limb- The predictions about physical appearance for big teeth. development gene for which these patterns made using this approach are qualitative and The 160,000-year-old lower jawbone from differed between the extinct groups and mod- relative, Carmel explains. “I can tell you that the Tibetan Plateau matched Gokhman and ern humans (D. Gokhman et al. Science 344, fingers are longer, but I cannot tell you they Carmel’s predictions for three out of four traits. 523–527; 2014). are longer by 2 millimetres,” he says. The team And a piece of skull from Denisova Cave that In the latest study, Carmel and computa- found 33 Neander- Viola has presented at meetings (but not yet tional biologist David Gokhman, also at the “The idea that thal traits that could described in a paper) suggests the group had Hebrew University of Jerusalem, led a team it’s possible to potentially be pre- wide heads — which matches the epigenetic that identified thousands more regions of use the DNA dicted from meth- reconstruction. the genome in which the methylation pat- to predict ylation patterns. The “I think the big picture is correct, but with terns of Denisovans and Neanderthals were morphology results accurately the individual traits, there is a lot of leeway,” distinct from those of modern humans. They so well is very predicted 29 of those says Viola. Although he is impressed by the compared these with databases of epigenetic impressive.” traits, for instance predictions, he is unsure how they will help modifications in tissue — where the that the had to determine what Denisovans actually looked impacts on gene expression are known — broader faces and flatter heads than modern like. Potential Denisovan bones are so rare that and produced a list of hundreds of genes for humans. most are already tested for DNA or protein — which expression levels probably differed The researchers then turned the technique currently the only way to link remains to the between archaic groups and modern humans. on Denisovans. They predicted that these extinct group. To connect this list to anatomical traits, the hominins shared many traits with Neander- In the future, scientists might use researchers looked at another database, which thals, such as their low foreheads and wide epigenetics to reconstruct the anatomy of catalogues the physical effects of genetic rib cages, but identified some differences, hominins known from fragmentary fossils, or mutations in people with rare conditions, including wider jaws and skulls. Although it perhaps even DNA from dirt, says Pontus Sko- reasoning that the reduced gene expression is impossible to know how accurate their pic- glund, a population geneticist at the Francis caused by DNA methylation was roughly ture is, some of the predictions are supported Crick Institute in London. But he thinks the analogous to the effects of the disease-causing by evidence from Denisovan remains. The approach could be most useful in predicting mutations. best-characterized Denisovan in the traits, such as behaviour, that don’t leave an Before applying the method to Denisovans, fossil record is gigantic molar teeth. Although impression in the fossil record. ■

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