Emergent Regionalism in the Post-Soviet Space
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Agnia Grigas1
The Gas Relationship between the Baltic States and Russia: politics and commercial realities Agnia Grigas1 NG 67 October 2012 1 Agnia Grigas (née Baranauskaitė) has a decade of experience in business and academia working as a development and political risk consultant for corporations and governments. She is the author of The Politics of Energy and Memory between the Baltic States and Russia (Ashgate Publishing, forthcoming ) and holds a PhD in international relations from the University of Oxford. The contents of this paper are the author’s sole responsibility. They do not necessarily represent the views of the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, of any of the Institute’s members, and/or of the author’s other affiliations. Copyright © 2012 Oxford Institute for Energy Studies (Registered Charity, No. 286084) This publication may be reproduced in part for educational or non-profit purposes without special permission from the copyright holder, provided acknowledgment of the source is made. No use of this publication may be made for resale or for any other commercial purpose whatsoever without prior permission in writing from the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies. ISBN 978-1-907555-58-9 ii Acknowledgements I would like to thank Jonathan Stern, Chairman and Senior Research Fellow of the Natural Gas Programme at the Oxford Institute for Energy Studies, for having read, commented and given me guidance on this study. I would also like to thank editor John Elkins, cartographer David Sansom, and my research assistant Sabina Karmazinaitė. iii Preface The OIES Natural Gas Programme has published detailed studies of gas relationships between Russia and all European and CIS countries, with the exception of the Baltic States: Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania. -
Russia-Baltic Relations After Crimea's
CICERO FOUNDATION GREAT DEBATE PAPER No. 14/05 June 2014 RUSSIA-BALTIC RELATIONS AFTER CRIMEA’S ANNEXATION: REASONS FOR CONCERN? AGNIA GRIGAS, PhD Fellow at the McKinnon Center for Global Affairs at Occidental College Los Angeles, CA Former Advisor to the Government of Lithuania Cicero Foundation Great Debate Paper No. 14/05 © Agnia Grigas, 2014 All rights reserved The Cicero Foundation is an independent pro-Atlantic and pro-EU think tank. www.cicerofoundation.org The views expressed in Cicero Foundation Great Debate Papers do not necessarily express the opinion of the Cicero Foundation, but they are considered interesting and thought-provoking enough to be published. Permission to make digital or hard copies of any information contained in these web publications is granted for personal use, without fee and without formal request. Full citation and copyright notice must appear on the first page. Copies may not be made or distributed for profit or commercial advantage. The Cicero Foundation FRANCE THE NETHERLANDS 13, rue Washington Hondertmarck D 45 75008 PARIS 6211 MB MAASTRICHT Tel. +33 1 45 62 05 90 Tel. +31 43 32 60 602 Fax +33 1 45 62 05 30 Fax +31 43 32 60 828 Email [email protected] [email protected] 2 Russia-Baltic Relations After Crimea’s Annexation: Reasons for Concern? Agnia Grigas, PhD When the Baltic states gained NATO and EU membership ten years ago, the dual accession was believed to have resolved the security dilemma of the Baltic states vis-a-vis their regional hegemon Russia. In fact, before Russia’s annexation of Crimea in March 2014, a territorial assault on the Baltic states seemed implausible even while Moscow’s efforts to maintain influence in the Baltic region left no doubt. -
The New Politics of Natural Gas' [X-Posted from H-Diplo]
H-Environment Labelle on Grigas, 'The New Politics of Natural Gas' [x-posted from H-Diplo] Discussion published by gregory dehler on Friday, February 2, 2018 Cross-posted from H-Diplo Review published on Saturday, January 27, 2018 Author: Agnia Grigas Reviewer: Michael Labelle Labelle on Grigas, 'The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas' Agnia Grigas. The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas. Cambridge: Harvard University Press, 2017. 416 pp. $35.00 (cloth), ISBN 978-0-674-97183-7. Reviewed by Michael Labelle (Central European University) Published on H-Diplo (January, 2018) Commissioned by Seth Offenbach Printable Version: http://www.h-net.org/reviews/showpdf.php?id=50579 The New Geopolitics of Our Times Energy resources and geopolitics are intertwined in our modern economies. The New Geopolitics of Gas by Agnia Grigas exposes the shift from continental geopolitics to the emerging global market in natural gas. Grigas provides a thorough accounting of the politics, economics, and events marking the rise of gas as a key element in a low-carbon energy system. The book provides detailed discussions on issues like the shale gas revolution in North America and geopolitics in central eastern Europe. It also addresses lesser known stories behind developments like the rising imports to China, Russia’s take-over of Crimea, and the export and trading hub of Qatar. The New Geopolitics of Gas is a valuable account of the new geopolitical order in gas, serving as a foundation to understand daily events and provoking thoughts for further research. The timeliness of the book, as populist political tendencies rise, serves as a reminder of the benefits of international trade in a commodity. -
Energy Security in Transition
ENERGY SECURITY IN TRANSITION: PREVIEWCOPING WITH ENERGY IMPORT DEPENDENCE IN THE CZECH REPUBLIC, SLOVAKIA AND HUNGARY By Andrej Nosko A Doctoral Dissertation submitted to Central European University Department of Political Science In partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science Supervisor: Professor Béla Greskovits Budapest, Hungary 2013 CEU eTD Collection DECLARATION I hereby declare that no parts of this thesis have been accepted for any other degrees in any other institutions. This thesis contains no materials previously written and/or published by another PREVIEWperson, except where appropriate acknowledgment is made in the form of bibliographical reference. Andrej Nosko CEU eTD Collection ii ABSTRACT In this dissertation I study why countries under comparable international conditions prioritize energy security differently. Why do their domestic responses of coping with structural position of PREVIEWenergy import dependence vary over time, and what explains the type of variation and its timing? By answering these questions, this dissertation contributes to the broader research field on temporal and spatial variation of domestic responses to comparable international conditions. In order to understand the factors of prioritizing security in energy policy, and their facilitating and inhibiting conditions in countries in transition, through case selection, I isolate effects of fundamentals and external factors. As I observe in the Central and East European countries in transition, policies enhancing energy security are prioritized when three aspects coincide and interact: When popular perception of threat, which can plausibly be connected to the energy supply, is high and concentrated among supporters of ruling parties; when former elites who can draw on personal links with the perceived source of threat, and thus can dampen the effects of threat, are removed from power; and when incumbent industrial interests are de-concentrated and face obstacles in promoting their interests. -
Putin's Chosen People: Theories of Russian Jewish Policy, 2000-2017
University of Pennsylvania ScholarlyCommons Honors Theses (PPE) Philosophy, Politics and Economics 12-19-2017 Putin's Chosen People: Theories of Russian Jewish Policy, 2000-2017 Benjamin Parker University of Pennsylvania Follow this and additional works at: https://repository.upenn.edu/ppe_honors Part of the Eastern European Studies Commons, European Languages and Societies Commons, Other Political Science Commons, Politics and Social Change Commons, Race and Ethnicity Commons, Regional Sociology Commons, and the Soviet and Post-Soviet Studies Commons Parker, Benjamin, "Putin's Chosen People: Theories of Russian Jewish Policy, 2000-2017" (2017). Honors Theses (PPE). Paper 29. This paper is posted at ScholarlyCommons. https://repository.upenn.edu/ppe_honors/29 For more information, please contact [email protected]. Putin's Chosen People: Theories of Russian Jewish Policy, 2000-2017 Abstract Despite support from and for right-wing elements and a deep-seeded national history of anti-Semitism, the policies of the Russian government under Vladimir Putin have been markedly devoid of anti-Semitism. Appeals to nationalist, imperialist, and Eurasianist ideologies, pragmatic politics, and foreign policy concerns fail to explain these policies adequately. The biography of Putin himself, which includes influential, positive relationships with Jews, provides a better explanation. The personalized influence of the president on Jewish policy suggests a personalized, hyper-centralized regime generally. Keywords anti-Semitism, Jews, Russia, Putin, -
Energy Policy Dynamics in the European Parliament and in the Lithuanian Seimas
Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Problem Reports 2021 Energy Policy Dynamics in the European Parliament and in the Lithuanian Seimas Vaida Lilionyte Manthos West Virginia University, [email protected] Follow this and additional works at: https://researchrepository.wvu.edu/etd Part of the Other Political Science Commons Recommended Citation Manthos, Vaida Lilionyte, "Energy Policy Dynamics in the European Parliament and in the Lithuanian Seimas" (2021). Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Problem Reports. 8290. https://researchrepository.wvu.edu/etd/8290 This Dissertation is protected by copyright and/or related rights. It has been brought to you by the The Research Repository @ WVU with permission from the rights-holder(s). You are free to use this Dissertation in any way that is permitted by the copyright and related rights legislation that applies to your use. For other uses you must obtain permission from the rights-holder(s) directly, unless additional rights are indicated by a Creative Commons license in the record and/ or on the work itself. This Dissertation has been accepted for inclusion in WVU Graduate Theses, Dissertations, and Problem Reports collection by an authorized administrator of The Research Repository @ WVU. For more information, please contact [email protected]. Energy Policy Dynamics in the European Parliament and in the Lithuanian Seimas Vaida Lilionyte Manthos Dissertation submitted to the Eberly College of Arts and Science at West Virginia University in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the degree of Doctor of Philosophy in Political Science John Kilwein, Ph.D., Chair Shauna Fisher, Ph.D. Erik S. Herron, Ph.D. Daniel Renfrew, Ph.D. -
Part 3 Energy Policy: the Achilles Heel of the Baltic States
THE BALTIC STATES IN THE EU: YEstERDAY, TODAY AND TOMORROW Extract from: A. Grigas, A. Kasekamp, K. Maslauskaite, L.Zorgenfreija, “The Baltic states in the EU: yesterday, today and tomorrow”, Studies & Reports No 98, Notre Europe – Jacques Delors Institute, July 2013. PART 3 ENERGY POLICY: THE ACHILLES HEEL OF THE BALTIC STATES by Dr. Agnia Grigas INTRODUCTION Nearly a decade following EU accession, the energy sector remains the most vulnerable national arena for Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania – an “Achilles heel” of the three Baltic states. The vulnerability stems from the fact that the energy sectors of the three states remain inextricably linked to and fully depended on Russia while they are virtually isolated from the rest of the EU, making them “energy islands”. This predicament is not only of concern to statesmen and strategists as energy effects almost every aspect of the Baltic states – the economy, industry and the wellbeing of citizens. The rapid inflation of the mid 2000s leading to the economic overheating and eventual economic crisis in 2008 was in part due to the rapidly accelerating costs of Russian gas and oil. Industry which accounts for a significant portion of total gas consumed (50%1 of total gas consumed in Lithuania, 21%2 in Estonia, 14%3 in Latvia) was also hard-hit. Gas prices are particularly sensitive for households who depend on gas for heating in the winter months, making up 10%4 of total gas used in Estonia in 2011, 9%5 in Latvia, and 5%6 in Lithuania, which represents 10 to 15% of their post-tax income7. -
The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas
J.P. Morgan Center for Commodities at the University of Colorado Denver Business School The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas Agnia Grigas, Ph.D. Nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council; and Board Member, LITGAS In June 2018, Dr. Agnia Grigas (right), Ph.D., nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council and Board Member, LITGAS, participated in the World Gas Conference in Washington, D.C. where she discussed her book, “The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas.” To Dr. Grigas’ left is Mr. Robert McNally, Founder and President of the Rapidan Energy Group, whom, in turn, also contributed an article to this issue of the GCARD. Over the last decade, developments in the natural gas markets have ushered in a transformation of the geopolitics of gas by reorienting the relationships between natural gas exporting, importing, and transit states. Understanding the landscape of the evolving natural gas market illuminates the changing rules of natural gas trade as well as bilateral and multilateral relations between states, many of which see natural gas as a strategic resource and even a tool of foreign policy. My newest book, The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas (Harvard University Press, 2017), explores this energy revolution, which is driven by the shale boom, the surge of liquefied natural gas (LNG) trade, the rise in interconnective gas infrastructure, and the growing global demand for natural gas as a cleaner fossil fuel. The book focuses on the key regions that are driving a shift in global gas supply and demand: United States, the rising gas GLOBAL COMMODITIES APPLIED RESEARCH DIGEST | Industry Commentaries | www.jpmcc-gcard.com | Winter 2018 103 The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas exporter; Russia, the traditional gas exporter; Europe, the traditional gas importer; developing Asia, the growing demand center; as well as other transit and supply countries in Eurasia. -
US LNG Exports to Europe September 13, 2018 American Liquefied
Dr. Agnia Grigas, Associate, Argonne National Laboratory, Nonresident Senior Fellow, Atlantic Council, Author, “The New Geopolitics of Natural Gas” (Harvard UP 2017). U.S. Senate Committee on Energy and Natural Resources Subject: US LNG Exports to Europe September 13, 2018 American Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Exports to Europe, made possible only by the recent shale boom and launched in 2016, have significant positive national security, economic, political, and geopolitical implication for the United States and its European allies. National Security Implications From a national security perspective, the United States should be concerned about the security implications of Europe’s high dependence on Russian natural gas. In the past and today, Russia and its national gas company Gazprom has used gas exports as a tool of political influence, intimidation, coercion, and even as a weapon by threatening and enacting gas supply cuts and gas price increases. Thus, Russian gas exports and their accompanying political strategies directly threaten the national security of European gas importing states. As the largest NATO power and a key security guarantor for many European members of the Alliance, the United States is directly implicated in the security repercussions of Europe’s energy dependence. The European Union (EU) has also been concerned about the security implications of its energy dependence. In 2014, the EU adopted its energy security strategy, which argued that the Union must diversify its energy sources, suppliers and routes. In 2017 Russia accounted for about 30% of the EU’s total gas imports most of which was provided by natural gas pipelines. However, this figure may soon rise to 40% if Gazprom implements the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline. -
US Policy Toward Frozen Conflicts
Atlantic Council DINU PATRICIU EURASIA CENTER A Tool Kit for US Policymakers Agnia Grigas Frozen Conflicts A Tool Kit for US Policymakers Agnia Grigas The author would like to thank Congressman Gerald “Gerry” Connolly, the United States Representative from Virginia’s 11th congressional district, and his staff for feedback in the development of this report. The author would also like to thank Jeanne Frechede for research support. ISBN: 978-1-61977-473-5 Cover photo credit: Mikhail Voskresenskiy/RIA Novosti/Sputnik. Russian troops during exercises at the Kanchaveli advanced outpost in South Ossetia, July 2013. This report is written and published in accordance with the Atlantic Council Policy on Intellectual Independence. The authors are solely responsible for its analysis and recommendations. The Atlantic Council and its donors do not determine, nor do they necessarily endorse or advocate for, any of this report’s conclusions. July 2016 TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 Introduction 1 Post-Soviet Frozen Conflicts 2 Manufacturing Frozen Conflicts 7 Implications of Frozen Conflict Conditions 8 US Policy Toward Frozen Conflicts Policy Recommendations for the US 12 Government and Congress 15 About the Author 16 Endnotes FROZEN CONFLICTS of international concepts of human rights and self-determination or instead seek integration into INTRODUCTION the Russian Federation. The flaring of violence in Nagorno-Karabakh in mid-2016 shows that the Since the 1990s, a number of separatist movements United States will have to be continuously prepared and conflicts have challenged the borders of the for reignited conflict. Meanwhile, since Russia seems states of the former Soviet Union and created quasi- determined to maintain its occupation of Crimea independent territories under Russian influence despite Western sanctions and non-recognition by and control. -
Annual Report 1 August 2010 – 31 July 2011 Annual Report 1 August 2010 – 31 July 2011 Table of Contents Introduction: Head of Department
Annual Report 1 August 2010 – 31 July 2011 www.politics.ox.ac.uk Annual Report 1 August 2010 – 31 July 2011 Table of Contents Introduction: Head of Department Introduction: Head of Department … … … … … … … … … … … … 3 he year just ended, my first as Head of Department pressures, reflecting the cuts in funding to universities Tas successor to Professor Neil MacFarlane, has that are already feeding through and are set to Teaching … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 4 brought a number of conspicuous achievements and continue. We were set an increased budget surplus to steps forward taken in response to the significantly achieve by the Social Sciences Division, which we have Graduate Studentships and Bursaries … … … … … … … … … … … 6 more challenging environment in which we are now broadly met. Financially, it would be fair to say that the operating. Department is in a sound position in steady-state, but Appointments, Prizes and Awards … … … … … … … … … … … … 7 Firstly, our achievements. The Department ranks steady-state will not apply. That is why we have started second in the world in the QS world subject leagues for in the last year to look at new plans for the future. Research … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 8 Politics and International Relations. Christopher Hood, This means, of course, promoting what we do Gladstone Professor of Government, was awarded a CBE academically since our academics are the main source Staff … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 22 for services to social science. Stewart Wood was elevated of our financial stability. Our REF preparations are under to a peerage – as Lord Wood of Anfield – and now way, led by Petra Schleiter, as the Department tries to Academic Visitors … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 24 serves as the Labour Party’s Shadow Minister without match its performance in the previous RAE 2008 when it Portfolio and as Head of Strategy for Ed Miliband, which submitted the largest number of 4* and 3* academics in Finance … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … … 26 extensive duties have not surprisingly led him to resign the country. -
Energy As a Tool of Foreign Policy of Authoritarian States, in Particular Russia
STUDY Requested by the AFET committee Energy as a tool of foreign policy of authoritarian states, in particular Russia Policy Department for External Relations Directorate General for External Policies of the Union PE 603.868 - April 2018 EN Policy Department, Directorate-General for External Policies ABSTRACT Russia and other energy-rich authoritarian states use their energy exports for economic gains but also as a tool of foreign policy leverage. This study looks at the ways and methods these states have used to exert political pressure through their energy supplies, and what it means for the European Union. Most energy-rich authoritarian states use their energy wealth to ensure regime survival. But, more than others, Russia uses its energy wealth as well to protect and promote its interests in its ‘near abroad’ and to make its geopolitical influence felt further afield, including in Europe. It uses gas supplies to punish and to reward, affecting both transit states and end-consumers. This study explores how supply disruptions, price discounts or hikes, and alternative transit routes such as Nord Stream 2 and Turkish Stream, are used by Russia to further its foreign policy ambitions, feeding suspicions about its geopolitical motives. The lack of transparency about Russia’s energy policy decisions contributes to this. In response, the EU is building an Energy Union based around the Third Energy Package, a more integrated European market and diversified supplies. By investing in new supplies, such as LNG, and completing a liberalised energy market, the EU will be better able to withstand such energy coercion and develop a more effective EU foreign policy.