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Systems and Tipsters Update WRWM_Sept07.qxd:WRWM_Sept07 19/9/07 16:22 Page 1 September 2007 What Really Wins Money An Independent Review of Tipsters and Betting Systems reetings from the Emerald Isle! A transitional Revealed: A Way to Find Gnewsletter this one I’m afraid. I’ve had some teething problems with wireless broadband (3 days Horses Worth Backing at without) which has meant I am way behind in my work. I haven’t been able to update the systems and Short Prices The Night tipsters to the standard I would like. As soon as this settling in period is over and I can stabalise my internet Before a Race Without connection I will be able to update all results and send Form Analysis them to those who ask, or update via the eletter so sign up at www.canonburypublishing.com/wins. n this issue I’ve tried to come up with a way of Iselecting win-only back bets in horse racing which This month we look at the Asian Handicap bet. Drawn can be done the night before the day’s racing, and in by the 50/50 betting opportunties, is there really a way more importantly without the need for form analysis. to profit? This can, I feel, only be achieved by putting a certain Fancy a free bet? Discover how to qualify for a degree of faith in the journalists at The Racing Post , and bookies free bet without losing any stake money! specifically, if you want to get your selections the night I also offer a quick glimpse into trading this month (it before, from their corresponding website, www.racingpost.co.uk. is a subject requiring more a more indepth look at), and I hope you’ll benefit and at least grasp the concept with I have come up with a template which has proved the article. successful recently and, if followed, will allow you to select horses with an above average chance of winning. Enjoy the read and I trust you’llfind something to The only problem with the template (and it’s not swell the coffers necessarily a problem) is that 100% qualifying selections Enjoy as per the rules you’ll read about in a few moments do not come along too often, but when they do, they jump Clive Keeling out at you and you can back them with confidence that they will be very competitive ALL THINGS REMAINING EQUAL. I mention this latter point In this issue: because the ideal for any system (and the weakness of any mechanical system) is to qualify selections with Revealed: A Way to Find Horses Worth Backing the live betting market, because money is the key in at Short Prices The Night Before a Race horse racing. Without Form Analysis ................................. page 1 It’s all very well selecting a horse the night before, but Announcing: New FREE Resources to Help in doing this we are missing out on potential gambled on You Learn to Trade More Profitably horses nearer race time. ........................................................................ page 4 OK, so before we unravel the system I’ve found that More Ways to Profit Using Bookie’s Free Bets could ensure we’re not spending hours and hours ........................................................................ page 7 analysing form, OR needing to be around to watch the Fancy Backing a 1/5 Shot at a Much Better Price? racing OR follow it live, I think you should realise that in Use This Asian Handicapping Technique ..... page 9 order for us to achieve the above 2 goals we have to sacrifice in other areas already mentioned – specifically SYSTEM AND TIPSTERS UPDATE ........ page 11 the fact that we cannot be reactive to any money or And Finally . shortening in price that has come for any other horses How a Mild-Mannered Yorkshire Man Could (a la 16/1 system!). We have to be reliant on the analysis Help You to Compound Massive Winnings of third parties, and being human, they can get it wrong Backing Favourites ....................................... page 11 at times! I have been keeping a record of all qualifying selections please turn over WRWM_Sept07.qxd:WRWM_Sept07 19/9/07 16:22 Page 2 and have come up with what I believe to be the ideal 8TH SEPTEMBER : 350 L EOPARDSTOWN template we should be using on a daily basis. Examples BETTING FORECAST: 4/6 Dylan Thomas, 5/1 Red of course will show this template fully: Rocks, 13/2 Finsceal Beo, 7/1 Duke Of Marmalade, 10/1 28 A UGUST : 415 L INGFIELD Maraahel, 66/1 Red Rock Canyon. BETTING FORECAST: 15/8 Palmetto Point, 7/1 SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Dylan Thomas is going to be Botham, Straight Face, Withywood, 8/1 Candyland, 9/1 an exceptionally tough nut to crack, but at the prices it is Run For Ede, 10/1 Ella Y Rossa, 14/1 Mariaverdi, 25/1 possibly worth taking a chance that FINSCEAL BEO can Hannahbecc, Rangali Belle, 33/1 Ponte Vecchio. recover her early-season brilliance. Her trainer's record with top-class fillies speaks for itself. SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Potentially a lively market with reasons to anticipate improved efforts from Straight POINT 1: Funnily enough this is not the ideal price Face, Botham and Withywood, but PALMETTO POINT gap, but when we take the price gap seen in the context of (nap) has more concrete claims and may still be a step the grade of race (top class), it takes on greater ahead of the handicapper. Straight Face could pose significance. most problems . POINT 2: Remember those trigger words? Well, here Palmetto Point:great price gap here. Result: 1st at 5/6 is a prime example “exceptionally tough nut to crack” This is the IDEAL example we are looking at for POINT POINT 1 – THE PRICE GAP 2. The result? 1st 8/15. This is The Racing Post Betting Forecast available 11 TH SEPTEMBER : 450 L EICESTER from www.racingpost.co.uk the night before racing starts from about 8pm onwards. Our first step is to note the BETTING FORECAST: Evs Ibn Khaldun, 8/1 price gap between the first favourite and the 2nd named Abeyance, Forsyte Saga, Morestead, 10/1 King´s horse in the Betting Forecast. Wonder, Novas, 14/1 Looter, St Jean Cap Ferrat, 33/1 Royal Manor, 50/1 Atlantic Diamond, 100/1 Looking here, the first favourite, Palmetto Point, is Amwell House. priced at 15/8 and the 2nd favourite Botham is priced at 7/1. Remember earlier I mentioned we are looking for SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: Not much to go on in the horses who “jump off the page”? Well from a price gap way of form and the betting should be informative with perspective, this is the case here – very obvious indeed. big stables represented by newcomers. Morestead will be a factor if fulfilling debut promise and St Jean Cap Ferrat POINT 2 - SPOTLIGHT’S VERDICT is a likely improver, but IBN KHALDUN is the only one with up-coming Group race engagements and likely to be Here we are looking for optimism and confidence hard to beat with a promising run behind him . from another of The Racing Post ’s journalists: SPOTLIGHT. Spotlight provides us with his VERDICT at POINT 1: A very significant price gap the base of the race card, as well as a spotlight on all POINT 2: “likely to be hard to beat” horses in the race. The first place to look is VERDICT. RESULT: 1st 4/9. It is a real pity about the price here I have mentioned this phrase before, and told you that as this is another ideal example of what we are looking I use it as a trigger for any bets I want to make using a for a price gap. selection strategy NOT based on any form analysis. The phrase is simply “hard to beat” (or a variant thereof, such 13 TH SEPTEMBER : 755 W OLVES as “tough nut to crack, impossible to oppose” etc). If this BETTING FORECAST: 13/8 Choisette, 6/1 Paddy trigger phrase is not there, then we must build up Jack, Richardthesecond, 8/1 Bahamarama, 10/1 Speedy evidence to convince us to back the horse in question. In Senorita, 12/1 Orpen´s Art, 14/1 Diademas, 20/1 Baytown this example, I have singled out 2 pieces of information Blaze, Maracana Boy, 25/1 Frizzini, Myriola, Only In provided by Spotlight’s Verdict, the first is the fact that Jest, Rightcar Ellie . Spotlight has coincidentally napped the horse. A nap is SPOTLIGHT VERDICT: A couple of interesting the best bet at the race course that day. Spotlight tells us runners but the one to appeal most is CHOISETTE (nap), that Palmetto Point has “concrete claims” – and he “may who is ideally drawn for one that races up with the pace still be ahead of the handicapper”. and whose second to a previous winner (pair clear) on This is enough evidence for me. The result? 1st at 5/6. her AW debut last week gives her a leading form chance An unexciting price and as the title to this article off tonight's 2lb lower mark . suggests, if you don’t want to do any form analysis then POINT 1 – The price gap is very definitely there – more often than not you will be singling out horses whose 13/8 – 6/1. chances are obvious, and when chances are obvious this is reflected in the price. POINT 2 – Again Choisette has coincidentally been 2 WRWM_Sept07.qxd:WRWM_Sept07 19/9/07 16:22 Page 3 napped by Spotlight. Because there is no “hard to beat” Option, 20/1 Regal Ovation, 33/1 Apache Chant, On or equivalent trigger words, we are looking to build Watch, 40/1 Salto Chico .
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